What can heterodoxy do for me?
I had been wondering if any contributors to this debate would respond to my comments about the near-exclusion of certain social groups from economics, and finally Thomas Palley did so – but only to dismiss them as irrelevant compared to the social exclusion of heterodox white male economists. I do agree with him that economics is important because of its influence on policy and in society more widely through its effect on practices in business and financial markets. This is why I regret the social exclusiveness of the subject; even though there are many fine economists from all identity groups who do research economic outcomes for women and members of minority groups in society, their perspective simply can’t be the same as that of a researcher from one of those groups.
Am I accusing heterdox economists of whining?To a degree, yes. At any rate, I wish some amongst them would welcome the undoubted opening up of the mainstream to a wider range of ideas and approaches. The absence of new papers on Keynesian macroeconomics in the AER doesn’t prove anything to the contrary. As Thomas says, there’s no scientific basis for rejecting all Keynesian descriptions of the economy – or for accepting them – although there is a sound evidential basis for some beliefs about how to run macroeconomic policy, such as the institutional status and aims of the central bank and the long-term role of money. When you’re talking about any model of the whole economy simple enough to warrant a label like ‘Keynesian’ (or anything else) you’re in the realm of belief and not science. These can be extremely useful in many circumstances. Reaching for Keynesian metaphors to try to understand events was a sensible reaction to the post-2000 period when deflation looked a greater possibility than at any time since the 1930s.
Yet economics does have a good claim to a scientific basis. Like a number of the non-experimental natural sciences such as geology and evolutionary biology, it tries to pick out the most important variables driving change, sets them in a model which ensures internal consistency, and confronts the model with the evidence. Models may be ephemeral, with one that suits one era not working in another. They are certainly falsifiable.
I’m completely with Paul Krugman in thinking that the ‘orthodox’ approach of modelling via maximisation problems and asking what the equilibrium solution would be is incredibly fruitful. Most of my work is in competition economics, and in new technology markets at that. I’m not so daft as to believe that the businesses I look at succeed in maximising anything, nor that their industries are in a perfectly competitive equilibrium, or equilibrium of any kind. But the mainstream approach tells me more than the alternatives about where, as a competition regulator, I should be interested in intervention. Few heterodox economists have offered alternative tools but where they have – such as Paul Ormerod’s application of agent-based complexity models – I’m delighted to use them too. I’m certainly not rejecting heterodoxy on the grounds of ideology, although I do find it lacking in traction for applied work.















Models may be ephemeral, with one that suits one era not working in another.
This is an interesting statement. I'm not sure a geologist or biologist would be satisfied with an "ephemeral" model. Certainly, they would accept a model that applies only when certain specific conditions are met, but a model that works in some eras and not in others would, I think, be viewed with suspicion by a natural scientist as either incomplete or just plain wrong.
Note: by "works in some eras" I assume you mean "works when applied to some eras," not (as the preposition "in" might imply) "works when applied during some eras." A model that works when applied to the 1920s but not the 1980s would be viewed suspiciously by a natural scientist, I think. A model that works when applied on Tuesday and doesn't work when applied on Wednesday might prompt even a natural scientist to search for supernatural explanations.
May 31, 2007 5:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
You just need to read justice Ginsburg's statement over the sex discrimination case to see that it isn't just economics which is dominated by white, male, Christian conservatives.
I'd like to see one of the current crop of presidential candidates pledge to appoint only women until they represented 50% of the executive positions in the government. I think law schools now graduate more women than men (colleges certainly do) so their under representation in the higher reaches of the world can only be due to deliberate discrimination.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
May 31, 2007 7:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
The NC theory is not falsifiable at all. No observation can reject this theory. It has, as Lakatos would say, a hard core that is immune to rejection. It is a matter of, dare I say it, faith that the NC tools are "true".
Yes PARTICULAR models built within the NC approach might be able to be proved wrong but the NC theory itself? 100% immune to rejection, which is contrary to NC economists' own definition of a science.
But the spector of the the Duhem-Quine thesis (that I'm sure you're aware of) makes even the rejection of any particular narrow NC theoretical claim potentially doubtful.
May 31, 2007 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink