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Time to Trim the Hedge

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Over at the NY Times, columnist David Leonhardt provides a really interesting look at hedge funds, focusing on their returns and the compensation schemes (my word, not his) for those who run the funds.

But the article doesn’t speak to what’s becoming one of the most closely watched issues regarding these guys’ (yep, they’re all ‘guys’) compensation: should it continue to be taxed at the lower capital gains tax rate of 15 percent, or treated like regular income and taxed at 35 percent?

Guess which one I vote for?

As Leonhardt explains, the managers’ payments come from two sources: a small percentage for running the fund, and a big one based on the fund’s profits. Given the size of these funds—the top ten average $25 billion—even the two percent management fee can mean serious bucks. But the real money comes from the cut of the profits: typically 20 percent, but as high as 44 percent in one the top funds reviewed in the Times’ piece.

The industry argues that since the lion’s share of their compensation is keyed off the appreciation of the fund, it should be treated as a capital gain. A growing number of critics disagree. Look at their job title: they’re managing other people’s money. Sure, they often reinvest their own returns, but their income from managing the fund is just that: income derived from doing their job.

And, man, the US Treasury is foregoing some big payouts based on this favorable treatment. My colleague Randall Dodd, who’s been doing great analysis of the good and bad of hedge funds, is working on quantifying the amount of revenue that would result from making the change from taxation based on cap gains to income. He’s not quite done, but we could be looking at $20 billion per year.

That’s over three years of SCHIP funding, the public health insurance program for low-income kids that Bush proposes to cut for lack of revenue. Congress is resisting the cuts, looking under rocks to find the needed funds, but here they are, over by the hedge.

Now, Congress could, and probably will, have all kinds of deep, philosophical arguments about how to treat this compensation. After all, these guys are smart investors: they’ve ploughed millions into campaign coffers.

But here’s what I’d like to see: every presidential candidate should start jawboning this one, advocating for the switch to the higher income tax rate. The D’s, especially Edwards (who knows a little bit about hedge funds), are already saying a lot about excessive compensation and the unprecedented income gaps that confront us today. Here’s a simple idea that would surely resonate with those of us not managing hedge funds. I’ve even heard some conservatives say the switch makes sense.

So, get out the hedge clipper and let’s get to work!

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Simpler idea---tax capital gains as normal income, in all cases, applying appropriate bracket rate.

Absolutely.

In my haste to make this smaller point, I neglected to make the larger point which makes a ton of sense to me, and is a great way to make the code simpler and fairer--goes a way towards fixing the AMT too, I believe.

That said, I don’t think major tax reform/overhaul/large scale definitional changes are in the same political ballpark as a tweak like this. 

I read that no less a tax-cutter than Baucus likes this idea, and I'll bet he's not anywhere close to the change you mention. 

In some (many?) situations, hedge funds are large enough to move markets. This condition gives them surprisingly powerful levers to manage their own performance in the short term.

Given that temptation, it seems logical to consider their managers' compensation accordingly. (As in, the compensation needs to be adjusted for long term performance...)

In response to the very good idea in Tom's comment:

Simpler idea---tax capital gains as normal income, in all cases, applying appropriate bracket rate.

I have always wondered about *when* to tax capital gains. When should transactions be taxable? I used to think that "keeping it in the capital market" should be nontaxable, as in moving money from one investment vehicle to another. Taking money out of the market always seemed to be a good time to tax a transaction. And I've always thought that tax rate is exactly income like any other.

There another interesting question though which is, "What constitutes taking money out of the market?" And equally importantly in my mind, should there be differential tax treatment for moving capital between U.S. and non-U.S. markets?

Disclaimer: I am a software geek, not an economist. My views on this stuff tend to come from a fairly naive view of markets. And I think that real wealth-generating work should be rewarded at least as well as successful investment management, at least from a tax-treatment perspective.

I didn't phrase the issue properly, having referred only to the difference between short-term and long-term performance.

A more important question would be whether it's possible to reward genuine economically-valuable investment policies rather than merely arbitrage (which is what I should have said originally...).

We tax cap gains when they're realized--ie, when someone sells an asset and makes a profit, we tax the profit.  That seems to me to be the right time--pretty intuitive.

I'm not sure that this has to be defined as "major tax reform/overhaul," although it could also be the first step toward such a reform, and it is a major provision of Senator Wyden's reform. The differential rates were not introduced in major reforms, but in smaller tax/budget bills, in 1997 and 2003. I think the focus on hedge funds is a distraction from the more basic economic/tax principle that all income, regardless of source, should be taxed on the same progressive basis.

In most of the tax code when the way you earn your living is taxed as ordinary income, even if others might be able to treat the income a capital gains. Why hedge fund managers should have a special benefit is very strange.

However, keeping capital gains rates and dividend rates low, and attempting to avoid double taxation of dividends, seem like a good idea to encourage capital formation and preventing capital from leaving the U.S. It is the case that capital is crucial to the expansion of labor.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Everyone's right that, while it'd also be nice to curb the treatment of capital gains, something's fishy here.  Suppose it's a capital gain. That means it's a return on the hedge fund manager's investment, which would seem to imply that the manager is investing borrowed money.  So then it's a loan with high negative interest.  I don't rule out that markets can create conditions of negative interest, only that my having to phrase things this way reinforces that someone's spinning the taxcode. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

I think it makes sense to tax dividends as ordinary income to individuals. If we're worried about double taxation of dividends (and I'm not sure I am), I think we should address it on the corporate tax side, not the individual side. Maybe dividends paid should be tax deductible on the corporate side?

I think it makes sense to tax capital gains at the time assets are sold for the most part. Maybe it would be possible to establish some kind of tax-deferred investment fund where cap gains aren't taxed until the money is removed from the fund--but then I might tax all gains from such a fund as income anyway (not unlike the way after-tax contributions to 401k plans are taxed).

I'd join Tom and argue for taxing cap gains the same as income, though I might bite on a proposal to index cap gains for inflation and, maybe, to allow the cap gains on the sale of one's primary residence to go untaxed (up to some limit).

Furthermore . . . how about getting rid of the estate tax as it is and taxing inheritances as income? I don't think I'd tax the heirs directly (too complex and might advantage some heirs over others based on their different individual tax status), but I'd apply an income tax rate to the value of the estate (with some deduction, so small estates aren't being taxed). Also, when someone dies, I'd value their unliquidated capital and tax the unrealized gain (even if the asset isn't liquidated by the estate or heirs). Cap gains would therefore be taxed (1) when assets are sold and (2) at the death of the owner, if the gain had not previously been taxed. One other possible reform--allow people to pay any portion of the estate tax assessed on nonliquid assets over time (with light interest) so as not to force immediate liquidation to cover taxes.

Doesn't this also raise a broader question of the taxation of closely-held private businesses? Seems to me like a lot of small (and big) business owners have a lot of ways of avoiding taxes. Whether it's the hedge fund partner who gets to treat what seems like income as capital gains (cutting his tax rate in half) or the plumber who writes off his car as a business expense, business owners get a lot of tax breaks that ordinary wage earners can't get.

The management fee and the incentive fee (2 and 20%) go to the management company of the hedge fund. It then pays its partners a wage. Or, that's how it should be. It's certainly how a mutual fund manager is paid and taxed.

What should be treated as a capital gain is the value of the managers investment in his own fund or in his own management company, when he liquidates it.

Most managers are heavily invested in their own funds so they will still get pretty big income taxed at capital gains levels.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

I would agree with your point about dividends at the corporate level. One of things that would be desired is for corporations to expand their capital base with equity and less with debt. While there are endless theories about the optimum mix equity to debt when the economy turns down companies loaded with debt tend to unload workers or even go out of business.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

I tend to agree, Dan, about the advantages of equity over debt. However, equity investors place their own demands on company performance, which sometimes leads to bad things for workers. One way CEOs can get a temporary boost in their financials to satisfy the shareholders is to lay off workers. I've seen that often enough to have some reservations about equity, too . . .

My 912th (or is it 913th?) confession of ignorance around here...

<blush>What's a hedge fund?  How does it work?</blush>

I profoundly hope I'm not the only ignoramus who doesn't understand this.  :-D

aMike

It's basically a big pool of investment money, usually from pension funds and other institutional investors (university endowments, etc.), as well as rich families and individuals.

There are far fewer regulations applicable to them, which has ups and downs. Congress is currently considering whether the SEC should regulate them more closely.

They have all kinds of investment strategies other than just stock picking.

That's a huge difference -- 15% at capital gains tax rate vs. 35% at the income tax rate.

As the debate over CEO pay, of public companies, shows you are absolutely right top employees and equityholders in many respect are on the same side against middle management and blue collar workers. However, having dealt with investors, in my own business, it is very hard to get people to part with their money.

It is one of the realities that takes to the computer, greater individualism capital has and will continue to be far more important than labor. This is not a moral view but reality. The question is how best to make workers flexible enough so that as more and more machines both take over jobs and allow others to be transfered outside the U.S. so they can adjust with the tidel

Daniel A. Greenbaum

It's a high stakes poker game, except slightly less regulated.

Basically, I'd describe them as private investment companies (private, as in not publically listed on a stock exchange) that have a few identifiable characteristics:

--you need a lot of dough to join;

--they tend to use complicated investment techniques to hedge their bets (heads, they win; tails, they win).

--they're lightly regulated relative to public investment companies.

Actually, you're giving these guys way too much credit. The real defining feature is that they're private partnerships that manage money and that the managers (as general partners) generally charge 2% a year and 20% of the profits. Because they're limited to a certain number of high net worth investors and can't market, they are generally free from regulatory scrutiny.

Though some use exotic securities, the vast majority of them are just long only stock funds, or go long and short stocks. Most are not properly hedged at all. They're also mostly more vanilla than your "high stakes poker" characterization would suggest. One complaint that people make about hedge funds is that for all the money they charge investors, they really aren't that sophisticated or exotic.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

You've brought up an important topic, Jared, but I'm afraid most people are quite clueless as to what is being discussed. I don't usually dump one of my essays on this crowd but I think the following might be helpful to those who are shaking their heads at the references that are being made, suspecting that they are again being had by Wall Street but can't quite put their fingers on why:

The supreme importance of investment is understood by all economists. Without it, long-run improvements in economic welfare are impossible. We want investment to occur whenever it is likely to improve our lives. Unfortunately, very few of the tax policy proposals touted in Congress as "investment-friendly" are likely to do anything at all to increase desirable investment in the United States’ economy. To understand the flaws in these proposals we first need to understand the difference between financial investments and real economic investments.

Economic investments---the kind that actually end up improving the economic welfare of a population---involve purchases of capital goods or other economic resources that are used to either produce more capital goods or more final goods that consumers find desirable. In other words, they either increase output or expand the supply-side's productive capacity. This happens whenever firms purchase machinery/equipment to improve productive efficiency or when they spend money on the construction of new stores or factories or on the salaries of new employees. However, not all firm expenditures are economic investments, e.g., money spent by firms on advertising that either (a) misleads consumers or (b) does nothing to help them with their purchasing decisions.

Financial investments---are purchases or commitments of money that provide the "investor" with an income stream. Saving money is a financial investment because it provides interest income; purchases of assets can be financial investments if they eventually provide a capital gain. Economic investments made by firms are usually also financial investments because they generate income that exceeds their cost. The economic investments made by governments that improve infrastructure or human capital are not financial investments because they do not provide the government with an income stream.

Some financial investments are also economic investments, but many of them are not. The purchase of a piece of land, for example, is a financial investment if it appreciates in value over time, but it is not an economic investment if it just sits there, undeveloped. Purchases of stocks in secondary markets (e.g., NYSE, NASDAQ) are clearly financial investments if the stocks appreciate in value, but they are not economic investments because they involve nothing more than exchanges of titles of ownership of already existing assets. They do not typically put any money into the hands of firm managers that could be used for economic investments. That normally happens only when stocks are first sold to underwriters, prior to an initial public offering.

Supply-Side theorists have taken advantage of the impreciseness of the word investment to craft tax policy proposals that sound as though they are beneficial to the economy, but actually are not. The famous Capital Gains Tax Cut, for example, is frequently promoted as an incentive that would stimulate 'investment.' Unfortunately, the only 'investment' that such a tax cut is likely to stimulate is increased financial investment in stocks and other real assets. One financial investor hands money over to another financial investor for a piece of paper. Very little if any of the money involved in these transactions ends up being spent on capital goods that would increase output or the productive capacity of the economy.

When do firms need special incentives to motivate them to invest in new capital goods? The answer is never. In modern market economies, competition provides firm managers with the most powerful motivation to continually invest that they will ever need: fear. They ultimately face both the fear of bankruptcy and the fear of lost opportunity. If your competition lowers its costs by investing in new equipment, or improves the appeal of its products by incorporating new innovations, then you’d better do the same or you will soon find yourself driven out of business. With only a few exceptions, additional government-provided financial incentives are nothing more than an unnecessary waste of tax dollars.

Entrepreneurs do not need special additional incentives provided by the government to encourage them to assume the risks of creating a new business. True risk takers believe that their ideas will succeed in the market and have so much of their identities invested in them, they really don’t care if they receive any return at all on their invested time and money, sometimes for several years, as long as they have hope of eventual success. The problem for them is not that they lack motivation; it's that they can't find someone who is willing to provide them with a loan that banks, venture capitalists, and angel investors find too risky.

In confronting this situation, Congress has a couple of options. It can choose to do nothing and simply allow the marketplace to reward firms-that-make-wise-investments with the market share of firms-that-do-not. The other option would be for lawmakers to help entrepreneurs [and established 'too-risky' firms] to obtain the funding they need in the hope that they might then be competitive with better established firms. The rational way to do this would be to provide these marginal firms with targeted investment tax credits or perhaps with guarantees on private loans.

These kinds of initiatives would put the money directly into the hands of those who will be investing the money. Compare this to the insane idea of giving tremendous amounts of extra disposable dollars to wealthy savers in the hope that their extra savings might somehow make their way into the hands of true economic investors when private banks have already rejected their borrowing plans as too risky. Very little, if any, of those billions of dollars would actually end up helping needy entrepreneurs and firm managers.

I hope this helps...

Thanks for all the kind answers. 

Now I know it nothing to do with charity toward hedgehogs. :-)

I'm reminded of the guy who kept the mainframe computer on campus working in the days we had one of those beasts.  He kept a rubber chicken in his office, and whenever anything needed tweaking he made mystic passes over the Data General as part of the process...figuring it couldn't hurt.

aMike

Especially when you consider that fortunes are made in fractional percentages of interest and share value.

You raise an important point here regarding the lack of a credible relationship between tax cuts on investment income and heightened investment on productive capital.

This is going to be at the heart of the upcoming debate over whether or not the Bush high end tax cuts should sunset.  The extenders will argue that the cuts stimulated investment.  This will be tough, because investment in equipment, structures, software, etc, grew much more slowly over this recovery than previous recoveries.

I hope to organize some more rigorous evidence on this point for a later post.  It's really important--my 7-yr old no longer believes in the tooth fairy.  But somehow, these guys still believe in supply-side economics (or they pretend to).

Since the essence of real business investment is sinking money into productive capacity over a long term ... one way is to reward financial accumulation that acts like real business investment, by staying put for the long term.

That is, "capital" gains would be limited to assets, whether real or financial, held for five years or more.

Gains on assets held for a shorter period of time, well, that's just income.

Why are hedge funds taxed as long-term capital gains at all? They (at least the ones I am aware of) buy and sell stocks at a rate closer to day traders rather than long-term investors.

Peter

Because you invest in the fund, not the underlying stocks in the fund. So if you hold your fund shares for more than a year, that's a long term gain, the underlying securities don't determine what gains or losses you realize, that's the NAV of the fund shares.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

On the side, that raises the question of why the threshold is a year.

Indeed, one could imagine a stepladder, with asset gains taxed as regular income if held under a year, taxed as medium term capital gains at, say, 25% if held from a year to five years, and taxes at 15% if held more than five years.

I agree, you could have a more progressive outlook for capital gains that would have the rate go down as the investment length climbed.

Why 1 year? It's a little arbitrary, I know. But, it does make some sense -- companies tend to give earnings guidance for 12 months forward. So, if a company is guiding you towards expectations for the next 12 months, it does seem fair to say that you're an investor and not a trader, if you're buying and holding for that 12 month period.

Certainly, if you take the mutual fund universe into account, 1 year does make you a long term investor. The average mutual fund turns over the stocks in its portfolio 3 times a year. The mutual funds are the biggest investors out there. If they're churning at 300%, then a 1 year horizon for an individual is pretty much "buy and hold."

BUT... and this is where you're damned right... 1 year is not really a long term time horizon in terms of financial planning. If we set tax rates to encourage investors to think in increments of 3-5-10-20 years, we would actually save them from having to even worry about those individual days when the Dow drops 500 points. We'd be encouraging healthy investing habits.


thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

In part, I am going outside of the pure financial accumulation universe altogether, and thinking about actual real business investment in productive capacity. While a real asset with a life of four years is not working capital, it sure as heck is not very durable as far as durable assets go.

But if there was a tax incentive to think five years in the future as opposed to one, that would discourage both buying into a boom that you are uncertain is sustainable, and panic selling out once it goes bust ... and of course, it is only calming the upsurge that we avoid the most serious damage that can be caused by the bust.

I guess the first question I'd want to ask is why tax capital gains at a lower rate than income? Personally, I think cap gains should be taxed at the same rate as income--except I would index cap gains for inflation (which, of course, would result in a declining absolute rate the longer you hold an asset, assuming inflation continues). Besides inflation, the other reasons typically suggested for lowering capital gains tax rates relative to income tax rates have to do with the flow and abundance of capital. Personally, none of these arguments has ever convinced me. While I agree that capital gains taxes do create an obstacle to moving capital from one investment to another and do remove money from private investment, I am not convinced that these effects are as significant or as negative as the opponents of capital gain taxation argue. I'm also not sure that the current system--which taxes earnings from labor at a higher rate than earnings from capital investment--doesn't have it's own negative impacts on the economy.

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