The World Bank
Over the years I've engaged with the World Bank fairly often; negotiated alongside of it, met with its president, lectured at, plotted with, and so forth. So let me say: this is by and large a terrific multilateral Bretton Woods-style helpful organization that foreshadows the sort of global effort to end poverty and stop calamitous climate change that in fact is the necessary task of all of us alive today.
There's another view: namely, that the World Bank is an enabler of global despotism at worst and inefficient pocket-lining "French" bureaucracy at worst.
It's certainly
true that the World Bank resembles a halfway house for economists, suspended between the real world and the academy, vested in a sort of quasi-tenure system, bound to an ethic of cooperation that resists innovation. But exactly why it would benefit the world to have the World Bank be the hotbed for radical change is beyond me. There are other ways to foster innovation than through large scale infrastructure lending, which is what the Bank should focus on. And there are worse sins than having a little bureaucratic fat on the bone; aren't corporations from time to time a little short of lean?
The World Bank, first and foremost, is a noble aspiration, and through thick and thin it ought to be funded, supported, bolstered, and honored. Even while I concede that it's a frustrating place for agents of change, I insist that it is a good institution in a troubled world that has a deficit of sound multilateral organizations.
So I hope the White House will support for its president someone truly worthy of the potential of the World Bank. Yale President Rick Levin, a fine economist, would be a great choice. In all events, the Senate should inject its views. The Senate should open a debate, long overdue, on the new purpose of the Bank. It would be useful too if Gordon Brown, a fine economist too, weighed in. This could be an important first step in his new job.
The fate of the Bank is at risk. In the post-Cold War world it is no longer an arm of anti-communism. It must not become the arm of an anti-Islam pro-Western effort to prevail in a mostly conjured clash of ersatz civilizations. Instead, it should become a platform builder, an elevator for billions trapped in poverty. As such it must be an agent of creative disruption. Therefore, it has enemies in the status quo. In brief, the Bank now is squeezed between those who want to give it a political or cultural mission, and those who want it to perpetuate the current divisions between the have's and have-not's. Between these two poles lies the Bank's golden opportunity.
For most of its history, the Bank has accomplished less than it could have. Yet now, in a world that is way short of infrastructure for energy, communications, dwelling, agriculture, and trade, it is more important than ever and it deserves a president who understands in depth the opportunity that the Bank must seize.












While I would be stunned if Bush made a creative nomination for the Bank presidency, what is the possibility that the Senate could, at least, bring in some nontraditional views? Perhaps your suggestion about debating the purpose might start before a nomination, with, perhaps, a lead witness such as Muhammad Yunus.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 19, 2007 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
From your keyboard to God's screen:
May 19, 2007 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a load! What's the smear for? Are you still eating freedom fries, Hundt?
Yeah, who wants French bureaucracy (which just managed to put in service the world's fastest train) when we can have Amtrak (I'll never be on time is my motto). Or great American bureaucracy like Michael Brown's FEMA, or those Kafkaesque health insurance forms? And Walter Reed?
If you need an example of crappy bureaucracy, just stick to the good old US of A. No need to be a wimp and look elswhere.
May 19, 2007 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
And why in the world should the US choose the president? I'd like Reed Hundt to argue that one.
Which might be a little tougher than mouthing pieties about the "noble" mission.
May 19, 2007 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
A bit of barbed humor poked at the WB and Wolfie by the IPS.
May 20, 2007 1:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a guess, but I assume that it's not that RH thinks that the US should choose the WB President, just that it does, at present, make that choice. It seems clear to me that the sense of legitimacy the Bank has is undermined by the sense that it is an agent of the US, and our sole pick of the President contributes to this.
May 20, 2007 3:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
You have brought up a good point. First, get the house in order like feeding about 35 million poor Americans and giving free medical insurance to 45 million uninsured Americans. What the World Bank needs is not an economist from America or the Western World, what we need is Jesus Christ who has compassion and love for human mankind.
Immorality breeds immorality, so far, P Wolfowitz is the latest immoral, highly talented casualties of the Bushy. Who’s next? Attorney General.
Jesus Christ has impeccable integrity, though he may not have a top class degree from Harvard or a Nobel Prize in humanity. Well, in those days, who has a college degree? Who needs one anyway? To fix poverty, you must find someone who has the ability to love and has compassion for others.
Find him and you will find the right World Bank president
May 20, 2007 4:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Senate has no role in the selection of a World Bank President, nor does any U.S. institution -- formally. Formally, the President of the World Bank is chosen by its Board of Executive Directors. However, in practice, in the past, the Board has always gone along with whoever the U.S. puts up.
May 20, 2007 6:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I heard that Bush is considering Bill Frist for the position, and also Tony Blair. I guess it is too much to hope that he might actually do the right thing and appoint someone with competence and experience.
Anyone have suggestions WORSE than the above? How about John Bolton? Oh, I've got another! He could give it to Alberto and say it is because he is needed to clean up the problems over at the World Bank. He would even say it with a straight face. Oh! Here's another: Jeb Bush! I'll bet my system of pulling names out of my ass is not too different from the White House method.
Jan
May 20, 2007 6:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Move beyond the idea of fostering innovation to the idea of fostering economic development ... what is the rationale for believing that large scale infrastructure lending is a useful means of fostering economic development?
To what extent do we engage in large scale infrastructure lending because that is what the World Bank should be doing, and therefore divert nations seeking relief from external finance constraints from economic development activity into trying to develop large scale infrastructure projects.
May 20, 2007 7:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
The fact that America is the highest donor in the World Bank has given the American President the right to choose the World Bank President. Until America is dropped to 2nd or lower, the right to choose the President is still very much a decision of the American President. It is not the world poverty that the World Bank President is to fix, it is who he is to please.
May 20, 2007 7:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
As far as other alternatives, I'd appreciate some education, as I am not an economist, do not play an economist, and, when I did computer support for economists, learned that if you lined up all the economists in the world, they'd point in different directions.
More seriously, some of the alternatives of which I am aware are debt relief and microloans. The latter is one reason I raised the name of Muhammad Yunus. I mentioned him for testimony, because the reality is that GWB is going to nominate the WB president and an utterly qualified third-world economist with the Nobel Prize is beyond GWB's imagination.
I understand there is progress on debt relief, and associated financial reform. Uganda is one country that seems to have done an excellent job of economic reform after debt relief, although it's certainly not a perfect country.
Intuitively, though, there would seem to be levels between massive infrastructure and microloans. Realistically, the WB could only provide the funding for microloans, with the details delegated to locals. What WB additional things could the WB do that are less than massive and larger than micro? This is a request for information, with no intended criticism.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 20, 2007 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think that it's more important to discuss the future of the national debt than the world bank, frankly, if our country keeps digging itself a hole of neverending red ink, does it really matter who's in charge of the world bank? Um, 'no'.
May 20, 2007 10:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
"There are other ways to foster innovation than through large scale infrastructure lending, which is what the Bank should focus on."
Way to build your premises into your conclusion. In retrospect it is far from clear that Sub-Saharan Africa needed superhighways more than micro-lending. I'll defer to people who know something, but over the years it seems that the World Bank has been a lot more about Bechtel and the interests of various African dictators than it has been about spreading the benefits of productivity resulting from infrastructure improvements. Even to the extent that those exist.
It is like Foreign Aid. Very few of those dollars leave the United States. Instead they leave in the form of weapons and American wheat. The World Bank and the IMF are much like Hawaiian Missionaries, they came to do Good and did very Well indeed.
Lending money to Mobutu so he could skim 20% off every dollar returned in a contract to a Western contractor might warm hearts in Davos. I doubt it has the same effect in Lagos.
May 20, 2007 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Kinshasha.
But Lagos rhymes with Davos and to be honest I couldn't name you any one of the last 40 years of Nigerian leaders , at least one or two of whom
were probably at least well intentioned and possibly competent as well . But then I can recall the sincere and knowledgeable missionary on a Sabena flight heartened by Mobutu's first year in charge. Of all things,the then comptroller of the conglolese post office reported to me (don't ask) and he too thought things were going well.
As for Lagos ,if the Ibo/Hausa split hadn't sucked the air out of all other political issues , it might by now have demonstrated the success that was forecast at Independence. And if my mother had wheels she'd have been a Mack
truck.
May 20, 2007 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's a good point. Superhighways are unlikely needs. Something like the pipeline from Chad to Cameroon, even though it benefits an oil company, has the potential of bringing jobs and infrastructure -- but will the owners do so?
Perhaps more than traditional superhighways, some of the initiatives for information highways in Africa may make more sense. Within a couple of years, there should be optical fiber undersea cables circling all of Africa. Some of the challenge is bringing them inland. One sensible approach is combining infrastructures; the Ethiopians are building out their electrical grid, but putting wireless digital local loop transceivers/repeaters onto the power pylons. Both the power and communications links easily can connect into South Sudan, and from there across the Sahel.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 20, 2007 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are good examples of large-scale infrastructure, which the World Bank is uniquely able to help fund for poor countries.
May 20, 2007 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, it does matter to a lot of people in other parts of the world to whom the U.S. deficit is a remote concern. I guess my question is: do those people matter to you?
May 20, 2007 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
May I assume that you mean that these are useful infrastructure, as opposed, to such things as steel mills for countries without the transportation system to distribute product or get raw materials?
Are there smaller projects where you see the Bank helping?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 20, 2007 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think decent highways, perhaps two-lane with wide shoulders and paved paths along the sides for the rickshaws and animal carts, are not a bad thing for developing countries. Microcredit buys a couple more chickens to raise, at pretty high interest rates. Not a bad idea, and very helpful to the poorest of the poor, but not the way to develop a country.
I nominate Jeffrey Sachs.
May 20, 2007 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wolfowitz was right in attempting to eliminate corruption . To the extent he applied that criterion to a project per se . Wrong to the extent he applied it to the government of a nation where the project would be implemented (provided the project itself could be reasonably immunized from that corruption ) .
There is no less value in the life of a child saved from maleria in Zimbabwe than in, say , Rwanda. Governments come and go. Yesterday's Liberia becomes today's Liberia. Who knows what tomorrow's Uzbekistan will look like ?
Attempting to penalize a corrupt government or reward a clean one , is regime change masquerading as development. Or "nation building ". It didn't work directly in Iraq , it won't work indirectly through the distribution of World Bank funds.
May 20, 2007 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Bush" selects government people for only one reason, and that is to help channel money to his supporters, who are mostly oil related businessmen. Why would anyone assume that the World Bank, since it deals with large sums of money, would be any different? So, whomever is chosen by "Bush" to be the new head of the World Bank will be expected to and will channel as much of the money there to the bank accounts of US businessmen as is humanly possible.
Bush, of course, will have no say in this. Cheney will make the choice.
Hoppy in Sacramento
May 20, 2007 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I know the difference between the Congo, indeed both Congos and Nigeria and where Mobutu reigned, though I admit I couldn't off the top of my head tell you which general is currently on top in Nigeria either though you can be pretty sure he is not from Biafra.
It's a blog comment, not a Grad Seminar presentation.
It is pretty hard to find a Western financial center rhyming with Kinshasha, which was not Kinshasha when Mobutu took over in 1965. In fact it is not 'Kinshasha' now, it is 'Kinshasa', it is not 'conglolese' it is 'congolese'
Are you really sure that missionary on Sabena didn't come off the pages of "Special Ops" by W.E.B Griffin? A novel that takes place in Mobutu's first year in power, has the owner of Sabena and his son as central characters, and prominently features a missionary advisor to Mobutu?
If you want to nit pick at least turn your spell check on.
(That Lagos rhymed with Davos wasn't an accident.)
May 21, 2007 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
On microloans, since the loans are in domestic currency, the domestic monetary authority can simply create the funds to lend.
The most important role for the World Bank to play would be to provide a clearing house for technical assistance from low income nations with successful microloan systems in place to help low income nations attempting to establish the programs ... establishing conference in the nations with the successful microloan programs, providing assistance in getting officials of other low income monetary authorities to the conference, publishing and promulgating the information.
Secondarily, one can imagine that it could provide some assistance to cover the impact on the external accounts ... but part of the success of the microloans is that microentrepreneuers are strongly biased toward local labor and locally available materials, and to the extent that they compete more successfully against imported goods and services, their modest imported value component tends to be more than self-financing. There is no need for external financing if the program is functioning properly, so providing external financing is removing a constraint that ought not be removed.
The same is true of intermediate scale projects ... for example, distribution of a decentralized complement of agricultural field trials, transport improvement cooperatives, health clinics, schools, and communication centers to small towns in immediate contact with producer villages. If successful, the complement of activities is self-financing on the external account, so providing external loan financing is not a contribution to success. The proper role of the World Bank would be as a central clearing house for sharing experiences.
There will be some large projects that will be self-financing in the external account over the long term for which the country does face a short term external finance constraint. Those are precisely what the World Bank should be funding through loans ... but most of that project lending is not taking place, and most of the project lending taking place does not fall into that category of actually supporting the economic development of low income nations.
May 21, 2007 8:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
A lot was going well in the Congo in the first decade ... alongside the political repression ... and the first five years in particular. Its just that as the iron law of oligarchy took hold, all of those gains were sacrificed to the effort by Mobutu to stay in power, with kleptocracy destroying all of the early gains within the second decade, and going on to allow the entire infrastructure ... physical and social ... of the nation to rot by the end of Mobutu's rule.
May 21, 2007 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
And if the World Bank funded them, it would be a tremendous benefit. However, the World Bank is more likely to finance them and expect the nations themselves to fund them.
If a nation finances as well as funds a combined communication/electrification program itself, the project is far more likely to be within the means of the nation to maintain on its own. The false reduction in cost of external inputs in project establishment under World Bank finance repeatedly comes back to bite the country as the cost of external inputs for maintenance returns to their actual levels.
May 21, 2007 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
For a country like the DRC, a network of such roads would certainly represent a gross misallocation of national resources.
Far more efficient is a light rail transport trunk, in areas that do not have navigable rivers available, with the focus of roads on all-weather gravel paths from producer village to local market town, and all-weather gravel roads from market town to railhead.
May 21, 2007 8:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is there now a clearinghouse and technical assistance function in the WB that perhaps needs expansion for these missions, or would this sort of involvement be new for the Bank?
Does the Bank ever decentralize? For example, would it make sense (operationally & politically separate) for them to designate Yunus' organization as the WB Clearinghouse on Microloans, and funnel the needed expansion resources to a place that already has expertise?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 21, 2007 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is, but I get the impression that it often tends to be tightly associated with project lending ... which is, of course, part of the problem.
Countries pursue project lending for the short term relief in their external finance constraint, which means that a soft currency nation is likely to go along with the latest World Bank fad irrespective of how good a fit that fad is to the actual development needs of the country.
One primary target for project lending that is likely to be self-financing is windpower and other utility scale renewable energy generation, since for net energy exporters that will increase export earnings from energy, and for net energy importers that will reduce the import bill immediately and reduce exposure to energy price shocks.
May 21, 2007 11:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is it barely possible that Hundt used that word ("French," which he put in quotes for no other apparent reason) as a shorthand rendition of the contempt held by so many people for international quasi-governmental institutions generally? Many of these organizations either were formed by the French, reflect the French tradition, or used French as their official language long after it stopped being the world's lingua franca (ouch).
Or maybe he just called France a country of thieving bureaucrats.
May 21, 2007 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The fact that America is the highest donor in the World Bank has given the American President the right to choose the World Bank President."
Well, the Bush Babies may have sown dragon's teeth here.
Just being the largest contributor should not automatically entitle the US to pick the WB President, and more than the US is entitled to name the President of the UN Security Council simply because (when it deigns to pay its bills) it is the UN's largest contributor.
I would like to see the choices for leadership of both the IMF and the WB thrown open to some semblance of democracy.
May 21, 2007 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it just me, or has TPM turned into an Economics site? For at least a week every major post has been about economics. It is fine to cover it, but there is a lot going on that is being crowded out IMHO.
On the bright side, it has caused me to spend more time at the "Reader Blogs" section and I am so glad I did. We have some great thinkers here!
Jan
May 21, 2007 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
The WB as an institution is not suited to microlending -- in fact, microlending should not be done by massive multilaterals headquartered in the West, it needs to be done by very localized institutions with sandals on the ground. If you're taking the 40-year retrospective timeline, you need to acknowledge that microlending was not invented until the late '70s and not widely accepted as a strategy until the late '80s. In any case, there are some developing countries which can and do take great advantage of large infrastructure lending. Vietnam's sustained 8% growth rates have relied on World Bank loans for ports, highways and hydroelectric generation. Ghana's port at Tema is the gateway for West African agriculture export, and its huge dam on Lake Volta provides the region's electricity. You need both microlending and macrolending to generate income growth in the third world.
Accumulating Peripherals
May 21, 2007 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL...it could turn into a site about Republican views of economics between Israel and Palestine.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 21, 2007 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
And during Mugabe's first term he protected the planters , treated the opposition with respect ,
made statesmanlike speeches and Southern Rhodesia probably looked like a reasonable place for the World Bank to invest .
May 21, 2007 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Belgians pronounce it Kinshasha but probably don't say conglolese.
May 22, 2007 12:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I recognize this is not a grad seminar, but I personally try to be as precise as possible when talking about a specific situation, rather than a broad concept such as Democratic strategy or even muzzling the Dark Side of Batman and Robin Dick and George.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 22, 2007 6:20 AM | Reply | Permalink