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Hey Buddy, Can You Spare Some Change (Theory)?

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Comrades with keyboards, I need your help.

First, allow me to stipulate three points:

1) As I will show in a moment, the share of the country that thinks we are on the “wrong track” is historically very high.

2) The ’08 presidential debate will generate some good ideas to get us on the right track.

3) These ideas may or may not come to fruition.

So, the question becomes: what has to happen to ensure that progressive changes have at least a fighting chance?

Since you can often find a poll result to back up whatever crackpot theory you like, it’s important not to cherry-pick. That’s why these graphs are highly revealing, albeit unsurprising.

They show a composite trend line through a bunch of different polls asking similar questions as to whether folks think our country is on the right or the wrong track. The wrong track share has been trending up consistently and now stands around 70%. These figures only go back a few years, but historically, this is a very high level going back many more years (do troll around this link--you'll get a real sense of how deep these negative sentiments are right now).

Now, I know it’s annoyingly early, but a presidential campaign is begun, and if you’ll forgive me for being reductionist, Rudy McRomney’s agenda doesn’t reflect the sentiments in the wrong track graph. The R candidates may be distancing themselves from Bush himself, but on the war (onward to victory) and on the economy (extend the tax cuts), it’s pretty much biz as usual.

The D’s seem more in tune with these sentiments, and I look forward to seeing and hearing more about their plans. We’ll have ample time to dissect them.

For now, allow me to take the economist’s prerogative, and “assume a progressive agenda.” Don’t be put off by this assumption. It’s generally a bad idea for candidates to get too specific too early. But we can be confident, for example, that each of the D candidates will have a health care plan that is either single payer, universal coverage, or something close to it. And this is arguably an idea whose time has come. Same with global warming. (Edwards is furthest along in both cases.)

Yet, even if the majority desires big changes in these areas, as I think they do, such changes may well not occur. What needs to change for the electorate to be open to good ideas—in fact, not just open, but insistent upon them being implemented?

Our history suggests that it sometimes takes a catastrophe to turn things around. But there are two other conditions wherein large, new initiatives can be undertaken. One, when most people aren’t paying much attention, and the other, when they are.

The best example of the former condition—lack of attention—is the Bush years. The wealthy were already doing extremely well, yet we watched, or didn’t watch, the White House and Congress enact large tax cuts that essentially transferred our hard-won budget surplus to the top income classes. And while they were busy playing reverse Robin Hood, they got the country mired in a tragic war, at tremendous cost in life and treasure.

Well, I think it’s fair to say that these events have gotten our attention. The wrong track polls show that the failure of the conservative movement is not just an intellectual phenomenon for DC think tanks to ponder. And note: this is not merely a failure to address challenges. It is a failure that has exacerbated these challenges, from global warming (anti-conservation) to inequality (the tax cuts) to foreign policy.

One theory of how change occurs—not one I necessarily endorse—maintains that left-leaning centrists may have an edge in getting us back on track. We’re not ready for a president or Congress to significantly alter the health care system tomorrow, but we are ready for one to plot the course for the next five to ten years to get us there. We’re not ready to implement extensive conservation standards, like 40+ per gallon fuel efficiency tomorrow. But we are ready to start moving in that direction incrementally.

Granted, it sounds unsexy, but when it comes to significant political changes, this is a conservative country, with deep-pocketed vested interests that will fight you tooth and nail at every step of the way.

Of course, all this is very top down, and for any progressive agenda to have a chance, it’s got to be met by bottom-up demand, and that means serious grassroots (and netroots) organizing.

Anyway, we should take advantage of the fact that it’s early in the game and begin to hammer this out. How do you think we reach in and tap the clear dissatisfaction in that "wrong-track" graph? What’s your change theory? Brother, can you paradigm?

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I think it's worth emphasizing loudly and repeatedly that the "political center" of the US in many regards is to the left of the "political center" of DC politicians and pundits.

Ending the Occupation of Iraq, universal health care, aggressively addressing climate change, encouraging development of alternative energy, restraining the gross excesses of corporatism, abortion access, civil rights ... polls seem to consistently show that most people support these things. Yet you wouldn't know it to listen to most politicians and pundits. These ideas are constantly framed as if it's politically risky to strongly support them.

The first politician -- dare I say "leader" -- or group who somehow manages to do an end-run around the punditocracy (and around the timidity of their own supposed allies) will, I think, get huge public support. But of course it's damn near impossible to make oneself heard over the noise of the so-called "common wisdom".

One curious result of looking at the two graphs you referenced: in 2004, the last year we voters decided who should rule the country, less than 50% thought we were on the right track, after 4 years of the Bush administration, but we chose to "stay the course" and continue down the wrong track. So, these charts don't do much for me as a demonstration that the 2008 election will see a change in course.

To answer your question, before we can hope to get a progressive administration in office we need the news media to be honest enough to report the news as it is, and not as the Republic Party wants it reported. That is one Hell of a hurdle.

It would help a lot if the Democratic Party would select a presidential candidate who appeals to the majority of the voters. That doesn't seem to be much of a possibility either.

So, I suppose we are left with the hope that the republic party will self-destruct, chosing a serial adulterer, a proven incompetent, a man totally lacking in the personal characteristics needed to lead the nation, as their candidate. I see great hope in this direction, until I recall who they chose back in 2000 as their candidate.

Hoppy in Sacramento

We’re not ready to implement extensive conservation standards, like 40+ per gallon fuel efficiency tomorrow.

why not? Americans overwelmingly have gone out and shopped for Priuses and the republicans, stupidly, didn't expand the tax credit for those Toyotas and, while I haven't checked, congress still supports the massive tax breaks for SUV's and hasn't, as it should, turned the prius tax break into a national security issue.

instead, those dudderheads turned to ethanol which, because of it's chemistry, contains less energy than gasoline so you have to buy more of it-- so I'd presume your mpg rating goes down on E85 cars.

America is absolutely ready and, more specifically, my Honda Civic, made in 1991, gets-- sometimes, 36 miles-per-gallon and a 40 mpg standard would have required Honda to increase it's fuel efficiency by about 0.60 percent each year. (i.e. a 10% gain over 16 years where 0.60 = APY)

If I were an economist, I'd have to conclude that economic policy was failing to provide the right incentives.

as I've ranted about in the past, the US was the only "major country" to consume the last Harry Potter book on non-recycled paper and I think that the reason had something to do with propping up raw materials market.

To boldly go...

Just to be clear, that "we're not ready" was under the rubric of opinions I don't necessarily share.  I think we are absolutely ready for convservation and agree with other commenters on that point.

But if we're all ready, we aren't we there?  That's pretty obvious: vested interests combined with entropy.

I'm trying to think about what needs to happen to move policy closer to where most people may well be already.

RE Hoppycalif, that's a good point, but the fear thing worked in '04 in a way that's no longer as operative--didn't work for them in '06.  Also, the historically high level--70% wrong track--is something that ought to be "tappable" by those seeking new priorities. 

I suggest two changes.

First, the effect of large money donations distorts political decisions. The amount of money permitted in elections should be greatly constrained and probably should be funded by government. This almost certainly requires a constitutional amendment.

Second, the gerrymandering of election districts can be manipulated to make elections safe for one side or the other. That distorts politics by consigning inordinate influence to the committed activists that control primary elections. The result is the vitriolic factionalism we see today. Districts should be drawn with the principal purpose of making them as competitive as possible and the subordinate purpose of making them as geographically compact as possible. This would be easier if, for instance, congressional districts could cross state lines. This also requires a constitutional amendment.

I sometimes think a winning strategy would be to make the Democratic party economically left wing, but culturally right wing.

Maybe I'm just 'projecting' my mentality onto the public, but there's some things I believe ordinary people think they're rejecting when they vote GOP.

1. "Multiculturalism" - Puleez. It's just a synonym for 'alienation.' We don't need to build more walls around our frickin' cultural identities. Lets find common ground instead of staking out our little duchies. The GOP makes a lot of hay on bashing 'mexicans' - and I think much of voters anxiety around the issue has to do with culture, not jobs or economics. America is becoming Balkanized and voters don't like it. If we're talking about winning and not liberal virutes you need to face the fact that aliens can't vote. "Pluralism" might be a virtue, but it's still a virtue that's at war with itself.

2. "Rebels without a cause" - Today I heard a story on NPR about students threatening their teachers. A freind of a friend had to quit teaching after suffering harrassment, threats - even having some things stolen by the little darlings in her classroom - the principal didn't do a thing about it either. The '60's had their successes, but they also had their huge mistakes. Getting rid of school uniforms and corporal punishment was one of them. Spare the rod and spoil the child.

3. "The 'right' to be profane." - Free speech doesn't have to mean free filth. I think a left-wing spin on having some kind of standards for TV could focus on over-the top violence of video games. People don't realize how much hay Ralph Nader made with this issue in 2000.

4. "Bill Maher" - To me, Maher represents everything repulsive about 'Hollywood liberals.' I remember seeing him once go on a tirade against deer hunting. Some of my best memories - happy hours I'll take to my grave - involve deer hunting. Don't knock it till you've tried it Bill. What Bill does is take his suburban/urban prejudices/ignorance and re-brand them as 'morality.' Of course sexual morality is another matter for Bill. He gets to tell me I can't spend time with my Dad hunting antelope, but is deeply outraged OUTRAGED if anyone tells him that his Don Juan complex is pathological.

5. "Bass" cross referenced to "Rebels without a cause" further cross referenced to "Multiculturalism" - I live on the NW side of Chicago, and the bass car stereo has become 'weaponized' and is at epidemic proportions. I'm living in a house allegedly worth $400,000 plus, and I feel like a live in ghetto. If it were up to me, I'd issue a shoot to kill order for bass stereo enforcement.

OK, enough. Time to endure some zero karma ratings.

Right you are. You'll be burning about 30% more E85. But that doesn't mean the CAFE ratings are 30% lower. Get this: they roughly DOUBLE the EPA ratings - or at least the rating the NHTSA uses to asses fines. It means, for the makers CAFE average, a Chevy Tahoe that gets 15mpg on gas, and 11mpg on ethanol is credited with getting about 30mpg - see how that works? No wonder GM wants us to "Go Yellow."

Toyota's in on it too. Next year their mega sized Tundra will be E85 capable, and it actually gets worse gas mileage than domestic pickups.

You can have kind of all the theories you want, and while you're busy trying to guide the world in the direction you think it should go, well gosh darn it, it just makes another orbit around the sun, just like normal. Now, as far as the course of human events is concerned, well, sometimes the politicians get a little lucky and get to crow in the papers about inventing the internet, or singlehandedly stopping global warming, or being the deciderer or whatever, and then pretty much everybody claps politely, and goes back to what they were doing before the speech. Life is what it is, people are who they are, and not much has really changed in the last several hundred years save the number of people walking around, and of course small improvements in the general level of technology etc. Now, there's more stupid people, and you get to find out what kind of mistakes they made even faster than ever before. What fun! My change theory is,
we're going to globally end up eating ourselves out of house and home, and it'll be Soylent Green or something like that before it's all over and done with, or maybe there'll be some new unstoppable mega-plague, and we'll get to start over...

One obstacle is that, while the people are to the left of politicians, and while I think the new Congress has done a lot right, such as putting the war up to a vote, Congress still has as low an approval rating as Bush.  Wish we could do something to turn around this usual distrust in government with a capital G, since the GOP always mobilizes it to the usual ends.

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Two comments: Some (possibly significant) percentage of the "wrong track" people think the US is on the wrong track in terms of morals (too lax on sexual issues), crudeness, ungodliness etc. That is part of why high wrong track goes back so far. It has been pushed up by defecting conservatives and indies becoming dissatisfied with the GOP. I don;t disagree with the overall point, but I think thsi explains why Bush got reelected with the high wrong track numbers--some of those folks thought (at least then) that he was on the way to fixing things.

Second, one of the big problems mobilizing people is helping them see that gov't can work and can help solve their problems. This is something that ordinary (non-political) folk have lost over the course of my lifetime (64+ years) as the Depression and WWII generations leave the scene and the steady drumbeat of "government is the problem not the solution" has increased (until recently).

As with defense/security issues, Dems need to demonstrate by action and example that gov't can work in the right hands. Reorient the debate toward ordinary people. Propose to find a way to have reasonable health care for all and improve education, provide for disaster and global warming and have a fair tax system. Replace ideology with reason and results. It can be done.

Let's find common ground instead of staking out our little duchies.

And I'm sure "common ground" would just happen to be essentially the same old straight-, white-, Christian-, and male-, and money-dominated mono-culture. No thanks. I prefer lots of little duchies over one huge imperial state.

Very well put.  A return to competence, while again not sexy, would be awfully appealing right about now.

The bold claims that the public is to the Left of Washington politicians are interesting but what do they mean? To the Left of Bush that is hardly a dynamic claim. If it means that Americans would like various benefits provided by the Federal Government as long as they are paid by other people there is no doubt that this true.

Both the Left and the Right share a mythical view of this country. Outside of the Depression there has never been a large stomach for Americans giving up their income to provide benefits for others. What has been very successful are universal social insurance programs.

Most Americans see government as neither the cause of all problems nor their solutions.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Two simple themes: Fairness and Long Term Results.

Fairness consolidates many progressive ideals - funding education, product safety, civil liberties, voting rights, habeas corpus, progressive tax policy - into a bite-size package. Not everyone wants to talk about the long term benefits of a progressive income tax structure, for example, but most people can rally around fair taxation. By presenting a definition of a fair policy on a given issue, Democrats can build a coalition of voters and interest groups who want fairness.

Long Term Results focuses on our desired outcomes rather than more common, short-term compromises. Federal policies are often started in the executive branch, eventually requiring legislation. That legislation generally concludes with a set of compromises based on the interests represented along the way. But these compromises, in a progressive or conservative agenda, will separate the end results from the original intent. Look at gas taxes and the CAFE standards - politicians are terrified of more aggressive policies to reduce oil consumption and pollution. But everyone can agree that our oil consumption and greenhouse-gas production are serious problems. The Long Term Results of improved air quality and reduced dependence on foreign oil are overwhelmingly popular. As a side benefit, domestic auto manufacturers will be forced to make more efficient cars and trucks, making them more competitive in the marketplace. Repeated references to these desirable Long Term Results is a good way to counter short-term thinking and renew support when conflicts arise.

Another example - capital gains tax cuts - can be fit nicely into both categories. Capital gains taxes are fair, promoting income and wealth equality. Long Term Results include more equitable income distribution and proportional taxation for wealthy individuals (i.e. no representation without taxation).

These themes also fit nicely with criticisms of Republican policies - energy subsidies, domestic surveillance, cronyism, limiting funding for social programs, privatizing Social Security, etc. - which promote unfairness and short-term benefits.

And most Americans would be right.  But if you add health care reform, as I would, to the social insurance agenda, you'd be advocating a large and important change--one that has both a social (hth care as basic human right) and economic (more efficient provision) rationale.

I am going to take a guess here and say that you are likely over 40 years old. This is not meant as an insult, but these concerns over cultural unity and the proliferation of Taco Time and Cinco de Mayo somehow destroying America is just not a concern over people of my generation.

I grew up in a town 95% white and very conservative. Explicit racism was shunned, but the general idea tolerated if you phrased it in cultural terms. But once I hit the outside society concerns about racial-mixing, cultural contamination, and who someone decided to have sex with just lost their concern.

If you look at any poll these kinds of cultural issues just are not a major concern of people under 40. We can debate the reasons why but if you want to know why the political evangelicals are frantic to get a constitutional amendment against gay marriage now check out how those polls are going.

Maybe everyone will suddenly find their inner nativist as they get older.... but I doubt it.

Bearpaw,

The thing is, we're talking about what people might vote for - what would bring them together. If it's 'male' - well that's already a loser if you ignore, literally most of the population. I personally think Nancy Pelosi is the best thing to happen to America in about fifty years - she is an emblem of Democratic party fairness and decency.

When you want to be the mainstream party with term after term of ruling majority, you can't say "Hey we're the party for the misfits!" That's defining yourself as a minority party - as the losing party - right from the getgo.

Rejecting 'multiculturalism' also means that Christians don't get to sequester themselves in their little insular world either, just as "La Raza" might convinced to ease up a little. So many of the 'liberal' causes of multiculturalism go way, way beyond the absurd. Think about Jesse Jackson complaining about not enough black TV stars - Jeez buddy, that's the least of your worries.

I think Democrats could appeal to traditional GOP voters who vote on culture, but it would have to be sincere - it would have to center around the values of being a good citizen and a good neighbor - communitarian values that we really believe in.

I'm under 40.

It's not about banning salsa, it's about appealling to a segment of voters. It's about being the party of America, not the gay party, not the left handed red head party.


I think also that if, economically, things became more fair and we actually DID reward hard work, some of the class differences and animosites would melt away - taking care of themselves.

When you're talking about winning elections, you need to appeal to everyone on some level - being "the good neighbor" party might just do that.

Second thought on this as well....

The attempts to politicize nativist concerns against 'outsiders' has a long and sordid history in the US. Almost every single immigrant group into the US has faced these types of attacks and desperate political groups (i.e. modern Republicans) are quick to latch onto as a last resort.

Look, the US could somehow survive the entrance of massive numbers of Irish-Scots, Italians, Bulgarians, Poles, Swedes, Germans, Japanese, Chinese, Vietnamese and every other group you can imagine.

I think we can manage to survive the Mexicans. Maybe even if the show up in souped-up bass-banging Buicks.

America is strong and we should not live in fear of the almighty taco.

Somebody get this guy a hot bowl of soup.

Ok, nothing is universal. It was a guess. But I find your comment on rewarding hard work attached to a conversation on immigration and Mexicans a bit of a problem.

Does anyone in the US work harder than Mexican immigrants? I mean can you be serious? Making such broad generalizations is a fool's game, but if we have to make one I would say all the transient Mexican laborers I know work much harder than most any good red-blooded American.

To try and salvage some common ground here though, I agree that positioning the Democratic party as one, to use Edwards phrasing, that rewards work over wealth is incredibly smart and good policy to boot.

Frankly, right-wing attempts to divide the working middle-class along racial and cultural lines is a strategy that stretches back to Jim Crow. The most successful thing the Southerners have done is to convince lower- and middle-class whites, blacks and other minorities that they are natural enemies.

You are absolutely right that rewarding work is important. I am just afraid by what you have said here that you are falling into racial/cultural stereotypes that are designed to have you concerned with anything but rewarding work.

Nindid:

One other thing - 'values' are a moving target. When I was twenty five and slathering myself with mayonaise as my 'performance art' yeah, I probably didn't care much about whether the guy living next door to me was driving down my property value by letting his lawn go to hell and keeping a pit bull.

People change with time - you literally have to change to grow as a person. I guarantee you will see some things differently in ten years.

It doesn't mean I embrace anti miscegenation laws or Jim Crow, but it might mean that I think blacks should consider themselves lucky to attend school, and their leaders (Reverand/Rep Meeks here in IL) shouldn't moan and complain that they don't get great teachers when the little darlings threaten to kill them.

"Multiculturalism" -- when it's not being redefined by the echo chamber -- means having communitarian values that accept that your neighbors might not look or act like you. And beyond that, it means that having neighbors that don't look or act like you can be a good thing, for you and them and for everybody's kids.

What preceded multiculturalism in most places was not some oh-so-happy mix of lots of different people, but a society in which there was one dominate culture and "toleration" meant that people who didn't fit that culture usually didn't get attacked as long as they "knew their place".

I grew up in that. I prefer here and now -- I'm less likely to get beat up, and the food's a lot more interesting.


that's shocking stuff! using ethanol almost sounds like an interest only subprime loan! I can see why I'm a libertarian, the government just doesn't help solve the problem.

To boldly go...

I would agree with this to a point, but we need to be careful not to let the right-wingers off on the deficiencies in their ideology. Almost every problem that has arisen in the Bush administration and under Republican congressional control is not a result of incompetence, but rather in their ideas.

They really believed that a bankrupted government that didn't do anything except reward its loyal supporters is better than a government funded and ready to help its citizens. They really thought that the international problems could all be solved with more 'resolve,' torture, and curtailing constitutional rights of Americans.

This isn't incompetence, its their ideology. If you don't think the government can do any good you don't have a problem putting a horse lawyer in charge of FEMA or a second-rate property lawyer as Attorney General.

We need to point that out I think.

Elvis - A bit of a check to see where we are... why do you think the 'little darlings' behave that way?

Do you think anyone else with a different complexion would behave similar under similar circumstances? If not, you are awfully close to racism. If so, then maybe we can start to agree on what is wrong and what can be done to fix it.

I'm married to someone who is in part, 'Mexican' - what I'm talking about is a two way street where we don't turn Chicago into Mexico City.

Besides, I've seen plenty of 'white' guys with the bass thing going. I'm not sure if you deal with it much, but Bass is a real assault on the senses - perhaps you're wealthy enough not to have to live near minorities - or the people you live near are all affluent.

I'm talking about finding areas where people can come together - to be 'good neighbors' and not just a bunch of cultures that really, really hate each other.

I think you could argue that actually if we made immigrants greater stakeholders they would be more eager to embrace the values of their new country.

I don't want to be part of the "gay party", I want to be part of a party that honestly believes in and works for "equal treatment under the law". That's a nice, solid, traditional American value, even though it has occasional ramifications that make some people irrationally nervous.

I grew up in a small town annexed out of the middle of the Wind River Indian reservation. Maybe I'm just speaking as someone who was 'priviledged.' Yet we often attended mass on the reservation. There were some inter racial tensions, although most Indian violence was intramural "Hatfield and McCoy" type ongoing feuds.

Let me be specific though: My next door neighbor is Salvadoran and he's like the world's best neighbor. It is for him that I weed and mow and fix the gutter. If I'm going to do that - if I'm going (gasp) 'conform' I think I have a reasonable expectation that others respond in kind. This sense of the debt each of us owes to his neighbor - that's the essence of being 'communitarian' - that's a civic virtue that could mobilize voters - you know, the ones who pay water bills and real estate taxes.

Much more succinct then my post. Well-said....

Nin, I'm afraid you are feeding into exactly the kind of '60's mentality about 'causes' where every outrage gets to be excused because of 400 years of slavery.

Not all smart ass, foul mouthed jerks are 'caused' to be that way becasue of 'the legacy of slavery.'

If past sins are an excuse to threaten teachers - literally driving them away from black schools - well then why don't the Chinese do it? You should read the history of the way the Chinese were jerked around in the 19th Century US, but do they use that as an exuces to be 15year old Marlon Brandos?

The bold claims that the public is to the Left of Washington politicians are interesting but what do they mean? To the Left of Bush that is hardly a dynamic claim.

You conflated two things here. "To the Left of Washington" is not the same things as "To the Left of Bush". That wasn't even true when Congress was Republican-controlled.

Outside of the Depression there has never been a large stomach for Americans giving up their income to provide benefits for others. What has been very successful are universal social insurance programs.

Like a single-payer health plan could be.

Americans have also been largely supportive of the government getting involved in programs that benefit all of us. Public school systems, for instance, or the interstate highway system. If some folks weren't intentionally muddying the water, it'd be clear that things like expanded college-finance programs and better mass-transit funding would be similarly beneficial to us all.

Exactly - lets have Universalist values. I totally agree with that.

I agree that "fairness" should be the economic theme, particularly when it comes to taxes.

1) I think we need to undo the Clinton administration's capital gains tax cut. It only helps very wealthy investors who have substantial stock holdings outside of a 401-k, IRA or other retirement account.

If your money is in one of those retirement accounts, you wiill not get the special capital gain tax cut when you retire, sell stocks, and take gains. You will pay the ordinary tax rate (the same rate you pay on your salary) on every penny you take out of your retirement account. (There is nothing to be done about this; the government couldn't afford to have tax-deferred acocounts otherwise.)

Since most middle-class and even upper-middle Americans have the lion's share of their savings in retirement acounts, they don't gain from the capital gains cut. Many probably don't realize this, but I think if we explainly it clearly, they will realize that the capital gains tax cut is a cut for the rich.

It's interesting that Robert Rubin was the one person in the Cllinton administration who was strongly against the capital gains tax cut, and said so, very clearly, to Barron's. (This made both Barron's and Wall Street quite unhappy.)

(An aside--A tax break on dividends, on the other hand is not such a bad idea. People who invest for dividends aren't trying to strike it rich; they're investing sanely, for long term growth. And companies should be encouraged to distribute dividends --which help re-distribute wealth--rather than using the money to fund executive stock options, or plowing it into misguided mergers, etc.)

2) I think many/ most people understand that Bush's tax cuts mainly benefited the rich, so rolling them back could be done under the banner of "fairness."

I noticed you didn't answer the question. Let me phrase it slightly differently. Why do you think these kids behave the way they do?

You seem to think it is a defining trait somehow and not just your everyday random percentage of idiots, loud-mouths and jerks which is universal.

Incidentally, I know very well how the Chinese were treated in the 19th century. But does this really help your case? Were the Chinese enslaved and forcibly imported to the tune of half a million? Did an entire sub-culture of the US devote itself to the political, social and economic subjugation of the Chinese up until only 40 years ago?

I am not saying the historical reality of centuries of slavery, changed only by the very recent phenomenon of liberal equality under the law, accounts for every cultural difference or bit of bad behavior, but are you saying it is completely irrelevant? You can pretend all this did not happen or that it was somehow all washed away in 1968, but I don't think these massive historical realties can be simply discounted as an excuse.

For me, the biggest problem across America is the breakdown of the families. This is not some moral problem though, but rather economic. How many families can afford to have one parent work and one stay home with the kids? Massive poverty and even lower-middle class struggles lead to all sorts of problems we see in society.

To get back to the point of this thread, if we do actually reward work and begin to actively speak to the massive pressures on working families, I think we might have something. Even if along the way you still find time to complain about the music kids listen to these days.

Excellent. If you'd like to support equal treatment under the law, here's a link to a good organization that could use some help.

Emphasize the message (and put it in practice in legislation) of being the party that rewards playing by the rules and responsibility. That means penalize those who get rich off exploiting illegals instead of hiring legal immigrants and Americans, those who outsource American jobs and those who avoid/evade taxes by stashing their money in the Caymans. I'm sick of businessman big and small who think they're above the law because they've put together a roofing company, a couple of car dealerships, or a medical practice.

Another point. Senator Conrad is debating some of those points right now on CSPAN with Gregg. Conrad is great but he lauded the cooperation and comity of Gregg and his staff in creating this budget and then Gregg stands up and starts ridiculing him and calling his budget the "Land of Oz". Made Conrad look like a fool for complimenting him. We've got to start bitchslapping these clowns. For far too long our guys have just ignored the lies and insults. That looks weak. It's been said before, stand up and defend yourselves or nobody else is going to believe you can stand up and defend them.

Nin,

That's a very good point - some of the problems are caused by a unsupervised kids who roam free from 3 to 7pm. That's an area where 'culture' dovetails with 'economics' in a very concrete way.

I think this 'pro family' idea is a great one.

Are you unfamiliar with the 'bass' epidemic? Do you live in an affluent, all white area where it's not shoved down your throat? I'd like to know, because from your belittling, condescending tone, it sounds like you haven't been introduced to it.

There were laws passed and I call the police with tag numbers whenever I can. Yesterday one of these audio assaults was particularly acute - felt like grabbing a hammer and knocking out the SOB's windsheild - it was like a wave - a tsunami - I ran out to the street...

Alas. It was 'da bomb' bass but it was actually so loud IT WAS ON THE NEXT BLOCK.

If your 'culture' is assaulting my senses, then my 'culture' is assaulting your senses by burning crosses on your lawn. I mean where does this end?

Yes,
If you look at opinion polls, people want higher CAFE standards - what do they get? Ethanol snake oil.

Something like 2/3 of voters support Universal Health care - even if taxes go up - so that's...that's what we um...have...right?

Do you think there was this hue and cry from the public to have more draconian bankruptcy laws? Of course not. Deleware, home of the usurer, got Biden on the case, and whammo - now you pay for "debt counseling." The great defender of states rights, the Supreme Court, recently ruled that some states laws on usury wouldn't block out of state companies in pro-usury Deleware or South Dakota from exploiting the people in their states.

Hydrocarbon fuels get their energy from oxidizing carbon. So, switching to a fuel containing less carbon per gallon must necessarily require the use of more fuel per mile. The only exception to this that I know of is a fuel that gets much of its energy from oxidizing hydrogen, such as methane or pure hydrogen. But the density of those fuels is much lower than carbon based fuels, so, again more gallons of fuel per mile are needed.

If anyone believes that Bush or pretty near any politician is advocating measures that reduce the amount of fuel to be sold, I have a bridge to sell them.

Hoppy in Sacramento

Here's my mental picture of the electoral process.

Wild herds roam about the land.

Cowboys (politicians) cut out as many from the herds as possible and then corral them into fenced areas (this is called gerrymandering districts) where they are sorted, rated, and branded (this is called polling).

"Polling" has more than one definition with the alternate definition probably being just as relevant.

Then the cowpokes go about displaying their political hides (or bulls) in their intramural play-offs to get ready for the big rodeo.

This is the part where it becomes more of a beauty pageant than a serious appraisal of where we are as a country and what needs to be done.

Once ensconced in their Ivory Towers in Washington,D.C., they go about their business unhampered by any feeling of duty to the country. They've got their "constituents" neatly penned and primed to bleat out answers to pollsters, who really believe they're learning something of value from pinging the points in the constellation of "ranches" of citizenry.

Bushies stampede the herds to cover their tracks leading away from the scenes of their crimes against our country -- most notably, their looting of the treasury.

From cradle to grave, we're invited to join the Big Race to Nowhere. As long as the race is more important than the journey, we'll keep getting the same results.

I believe there is a tremendous amount of unemployed AMERICAN intellectual capital that has been deliberately side-lined in favor of promoting the profit margins for the few. Bill Gates wants to bring in more workers from abroad based on the ridiculous and UNPROVEN assumption that Americans aren't as competent in the math and sciences as those from India. Anyone out there testing this assumption? NOPE. Yet politicians will slop this nonsense up without critically reviewing the premises.

If you are serious about finding a new paradigm, you will have to get serious about challenging a good deal of the frivolous assumptions upon which these candidates have pegged their careers.

As for the rest of us, we will have to quit acting like cattle and more like citizens if we want to be taken seriously.

Ok, I get it. You have an issue with bass. But lets work out areas of agreement without making too broad of generalizations based on noise complaints. I have no doubt that if someone was rattling my windows day and night with any kind of noise I would be upset. Lets leave any racial or social elements out of it and work towards other areas of agreement.

To summarize on all of this -

We seem to agree that universal, communitarian principles should apply and that economic issues, not racial ones, are at the root of most of the problems we have talked about.

If that is the case, it would seem a pro-family economic push along with a justice and equality for all set of policies and ideals would work to set the stage ideologically, politically and rhetorically for real change. Yes?

Of course, all this is very top down, and for any progressive agenda to have a chance, it’s got to be met by bottom-up demand, and that means serious grassroots (and netroots) organizing.
I'm not sure I agree. There is a certain romantic fantasy that has circulated around The Left for many, many decades that Big Changes could occur if only the untapped political might of 'the masses' could be galvanized into raw political power. History actually shows that this is largely untrue. Look at the big changes that occurred in the Soviet Union a couple of decades ago. Most intellectuals in the West were looking for 'bottom-up' change, but when change came, it was actually 'top-down.'

The only reason why I believe an opportunity for Transformational Change---as John Edwards calls it---now exists is because the Press finally became disillusioned with The Republican Promise at about the time of Katrina. That debacle wrapped around the debacle of the Iraq War finally did it. This is very, very important because it is the press that always determines who takes the White House. (Remember Cronkite and the Viet Nam War). The Democrats need to remember that The Press is always the target audience that really matters.

With this in mind, I think the Dems need to understand that the 'left-leaning centrist' paradigm is no longer the best approach, politically. The press has become frustrated with the Republican solution; the majority no longer identify with them. They are now open to a new sense of direction that they can invest their identities in. Caution is not their biggest concern; having a vision they can get excited about is far more important. I believe Edwards is right that they are ready to "feel patriotic about something other than war."

If the Dems can focus their attention on pointing out to the [upper-middle-class and upper-class] members of the press how they will benefit from a new Democratic Agenda, they will not only be able to win Congress and the White House in a big way in 2008, they will also have the political capital to drive transformational change down the throats of the Republican opposition. The Republicans told them that they would benefit from tax cuts and they believed it. Now, the Democrats should be able to point out how the money from tax increases will benefit them as a consequence of how the money is spent.

If the Dems can wriggle themselves away from the 'centrist' paradigm and recognize the big opportunity they now have, both the press and mainstream Americans will be able to proudly identify with the achievements that an enlightened government would be able to provide in their names once it is able to get the funding it needs.

Comrade-in-chief with keyboard,

I too could use a little help, and not just because this thread has taken some meanders powerful enough to make me dizzy.

  1. As you surmised, I was not surprised by the historically low right track numbers and historically high wrong track numbers.
  2. I did go troll those polls as you suggested--not an easy task for someone who takes off his shoes to count to twenty.  I was quite surprised at what seemed to me to be a quite narrow range, in most of them.  For example, if I'm reading correctly, the highest "satisfied" rate in the Pew Center poll was 58%.  The highest in Bloomberg was 65%-two months in 2001 with 60% the month before, and these three high months bracketed by two periods where the "satisfied" rate was a mere 44%.  I wondered if a lot of couples bought The Joy of Sex in those three months, and then realized that those immediately followed 9/11, and there was probably a lot of reactive stiff upper lip behavior accounting for the "right direction" sentiments.

The rest of the polls are largely the same.  Rarely in the last 10 years has even 50 per cent of the country indicated a distinctly positive view on the country's direction.  Any theories why?  Are we congenital whiners or what?  

aMike

I'm trying to think about what needs to happen to move policy closer to where most people may well be already.

I think that the federal reserve was created to protect us from sudden changes and that sort of economic manipulation is a very difficult layer to surmount.

The downside of "being protected" is, seemingly, that the economy has all this management that impedes change because power is taken away from the people-- for better or worse.

It's been very interesting to watch GOP candidate Ron Paul because his clarity of presentation makes him a great teacher and, even if I'm only partly libertarian, I can really see why structures like the fed can impede progress.

You talk about "progressiveness" and I'd say perahaps, getting rid of the fed would both force and allow people to make progress? although it's a scary proposition to "remove protections."

Wouldn't it be interesting if "capitol holders" felt as threatened as labor does now, once again?

Another "Ron Paul" idea is to get rid of the IRS and, at first thought, that sounded pretty crazy to me but then the states would get more power over resources and the federal government would have to "beg from the states" rather than the other way around. it seems like the fed gave the federal government a lot of "purse string power" over the states.

so, in my mind, making progress might mean making political adjustments so democracy is from the people rather than from the federal government and it's fed filled, illusionary bottomless purse.

this sounds unsurmountable, but isn't latin america doing this with chavez getting out of the world bank and IMF and setting up a latin american bank? I was wondering if wolfie was forced out because of such defections and uprisings?

To boldly go...

You're right in the sense that anti-gov't ideology leads to lack of oversight, stewardship, investment, or any real effort to get it right. 

Clinton, eg, (and I'm not saying he was perfect) when staffing agencies like FEMA, seemed to think 'who would do a good job dealing with large scale emergencies' and lo and behold, FEMA worked really quite well under his leadership.

The Bushies are brilliant, insightful, and incredibly detailed when it comes to getting elected, but appear clueless re governing, in this sense just noted.

Those are very interesting points.  When I wrote that, I was thinking about the six (I think) state minimum wage increases that passed in the last election, many of which I believe were largely grassroots initiatives at first.

 

Wasn't the Gallup poll, which went back to ealry 80s, at 73% wrong track, highest on record? 

Look, it's probably a mistake to read too much into even a bunch of polls pointing in the same direction.  But let's face it--whatever our congenital tendencies may be, there is a consensus that big things--war, budgets, enviro--are being badly mishandled.

I hate when politicians talk about 'the American people,' and I shouldn't talk in monolitic terms, but I'm pretty sure these polls are telling us something and pretty sure it's this:

There is deep, untapped demand for good federal government. 

Granted, that means different things to different people and granted, some of us don't trust gov't or politicians to get it right, but there it is.

Great stuff--simple, clear, and resonant.

Great points, Maggie, but wasn't the Clinton cap gains cut tiny compared to the Bush one?  Let's roll that one back first.  And I like CTJ's ideas on this--treat K gains and dividend income the same as regular income under the AMT.

Hydrocarbon fuels get their energy from oxidizing carbon. So, switching to a fuel containing less carbon per gallon must necessarily require the use of more fuel per mile. The only exception to this that I know of is a fuel that gets much of its energy from oxidizing hydrogen, such as methane or pure hydrogen. But the density of those fuels is much lower than carbon based fuels, so, again more gallons of fuel per mile are needed.

Meaning nothing whatever except all you reactionaries calling yourselves progressives are not real good at math. :-)

Methane recovered from manure and converted to natural gas or even used as a fuel for buses or autos actually helps the environment. The more you burn the better the polar bears do. :-)

Sierra Club reactionaries are plumb against such liberal ideas because like Hindus they want a better life for cows and a poorer life for untouchables.

The secret to a bountiful and secure future is not restricting growth and impoverishing the population but increasing wise use of available energy. The supply is abundant but largely untapped. Intelligence is obviously less abundant but scarce supplies are even more underutilized.

Best, Terry

in my mind, making progress might mean making political adjustments so democracy is from the people rather than from the federal government and it's fed filled, illusionary bottomless purse.

this sounds unsurmountable, but isn't latin america doing this with chavez getting out of the world bank and IMF and setting up a latin american bank?

Lots a' luck.

About the only good thing this bunghead is doing is mucking up the development of Venezuela's huge petroleum resources. Venezuela's Orinoco tar sands have potential far greater than all the estimated Arab reserves.

While Chavez is entreating Nicaragua, the 2nd poorest country in the Western hemisphere after Haiti, to mortgage its future to Venezuelan oil, geothermal development that promises to make Nicaragua energy independent is stalled by Ortega's Sandinistas apparently listening up to the South American bully.

DISCLAIMER: I have a small interest in the most aggressive developer of geothermal resources in Nicaragua. Timely purchases of stock have been helpful for speculators like myself but delays are not so helpful to the impoverished Nicaraguans.

Best, Terry

If you look at opinion polls, people want higher CAFE standards - what do they get? Ethanol snake oil.

Could you kindly explain to us liberals what you reactionary progressives have against turning pizza boxes and orange peelings into ethanol with the use of landfill gases for warming the vats?

Do you then hate polar bears so much?

Best, Terry

Rarely in the last 10 years has even 50 per cent of the country indicated a distinctly positive view on the country's direction. Any theories why? Are we congenital whiners or what?

Realists.

The gulf between working classes and the wealthy has become a chasm that has not been matched since the last era of reactionary rulers in the 1920's.

Need I tell anyone how that ended?

Best, Terry

in Nicaragua, why would they want you, a foreigner, to take money out of their country? that can only drive down their wealth.

I think that chavez is being smart and building schools, etc..., in his country and keeping control of resources.

his development process might take a little longer but, in the long run, he isn't owned by foreigners like you and his country has the dignity of standing on its own feet.

Cuba, who the US government doesn't trade with, apparently has a vaccine for cancer!

hugo chavez sees this and sees that even isolated countries can outperform an empire!

in my mind, they don't need your stinkin investment!

To boldly go...

Yes and no - I think the 2004 election proved that culture can sometimes trump economic interests.

I took the meaning of the Bernstein post to mean: How do you secure a lasting progressive era of rule. In a way, I committed the sin I usually warn others against - guessing at the motives of GOP voters. Whenever you guess what people are 'really' thinking - especially those you don't agree with - it's easy to commit an error.

If we're talking about ways to split off SOME GOP voters and establish long term progressive rule, maybe it's going to sound 'cynical' because we're tailoring a party message to gain power. You're not going to get the Bush dead enders or Pioneer mega rich, but I still think there is a big chunk of voters concerned with things like crassness and filth in culture - violence in schools - perhaps a sense that discipline and rectitude are threatened by over-the-top liberals playing devils advocate and/or excusing reprehensible behaviour if it is conducted by a 'victim' of 400 years of evil evil evil evil evil evil white men.

But I'm reminded of all the hay Clinton made by denouncing 'Sistah Souljah' in '92. I think that really helped him with some voters who thought that all hell was breaking lose after the Rodney King riots.

I just read a review of a Spinoza biography. The theme was that Spinoza, famously agnostic and 'non jewish' thought states needed a kind of Civic Religion because falling back on religious factionalism was so problematic.

So the idea isn't to ban salsa - it's not about negating anyone's cultural background, but instead supplying something novel that would capture the imagination of a majority of VOTERS. That's a tall order of course. It would mean moving the Democrats away from this idea of: "OK here's the gays, here's the blacks, here's the unions - maybe we cobble together a victory."

Possible slogans:

The Good Neighbor Party
Democrats mean Discipline
Republic of Mutual Respect
The Mutual Respect Majority
The Growing Garden Party
Desperation means Separation
Civility, not Servility
Respecting Strength by Strengthening Respect.

KingElvis manages to grasp at straw, but he also shows the power of GOP spin to rule the world. First, where in goodness name did this idea of the Democrats as the party of secularism and gay marriage come from? And what are those alleged "values" that turned things around anyhow? As far as I know, no one in 2004 mentioned gay marriage, except insinuations of insidious plots if Democrats won. Even out here in the netroots, as we imagine ourselves, EJ Graff's posts don't generally stir up huge positive responses. I recall John Kerry's show of attending church and now lots of talk of values from everyone, but Clinton and Obama especially and, I'm even willing to admit, sincerely and probably effectively. 

Second, let's face it: the left won the culture wars. Judging by polls, the GOP intolerance exists mostly to mobilize turnout among the base, but statistically is not a match with most American opinions. I don't know how we can pander to that base. It also depended on Rove's ability to capitalize on the base illegally, by, say, making sure which districts got voting machines and had registration claims denied in an election. Meanwhile, while politically Clinton certainly does well by her claims to make abortion safe, legal, and minimal, it doesn't reach the GOP base either (because minimal means making condoms available and thus not punishing women for sex), and it'd be political suicide for a Democratic candidate not to stick up for abortion rights. 

Third, what would cause the Democrats to campaign on right-wing values if they sincerely believe in tolerance and abortion rights? Elvis is advocating either hypocrisy or recruiting Lieberman to run. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

They're not turning water into wine, they're turning Farm Lobby muscle and Iowa Caucus deference into a giveaway to auto manufacturers

"Hey, instead of increasing efficiency, lets DECREASE fuel mileage 30%, but actually give automakers CAFE credits to DOUBLE the mileage rating of the vehicle on gas (15mpg on gas only doubles to 30mpg, but on E85 your getting 11mpg, so it's more like tripling the 'real' mileage for "CAFE magic land" fuel economy credits).

And yes, I hate bears.

Democrats as the party of secularism and gay marriage come from

I think secularism == freedom of religion and seperation of church and state. I think that the NyTimes recently noted that "reglious organizations" raked in $318 million dollars last year and employ lobbyists. So the charge of "secularism" is probably a way to defend religious pork.

As far as "gay marriage" goes, I think that's also a "keyword" to protect "regligious pork." The cartel known as the "religous right" seems to use "gay marriage" as a wedge issue since it ensures their pork payments. i.e. when the constituency becomes agitated and calls their congressman, the congressman probably pay the instigators off to get them to back off.

To boldly go...

Re: Cuba, who the US government doesn't trade with, apparently has a vaccine for cancer!

If this were true we would all have it and Cuba would be getting rich off the proceeds. Just because the US doesn't trade with Cuba doesn't mean the country is hermetically sealed. Plenty of other countries do trade wih Cuba after all.

Re: The theme was that Spinoza, famously agnostic and 'non jewish' ...

Spinoza's belief was pantheistic, He identified God with the cosmos. He was of course ethnically Jewish.

I responded to Nindid today in the middle of the thread, and I think part of your answer is there, but I wanted to respond to your quite legitimate points.

I'm not proposing turning the GOP/Bush dead ender 'base' around to our side, but rather to split off a sizeable chunk of voters who MIGHT be voting for the GOP because they see it as a 'mainstream' party.

I don't want to turn this into some kind of focus group for marketing mavens, but building a party platform on basic civic principles could attract - let's say a more 'uptight' voter.

So you have the principle of 'good neighbors' - that could extend to foreign policy in matters of war and peace, but also in environmental cooperation.

You have a principle of fair play that extends to consumer rights and a return to sanity in the credit industry. You have a sense of public decency so that parents can keep their children safe from filth - and that 'adult' activities are safely sequestered.

You have a principle of mutual respect that brings people together. It means Bill Maher doesn't get to call anyone who's ever skinned a deer a murderous cracker, just as it means Bill O Reilly doesn't get to call Mexican immigrants potential terrorists (that one is a real riot) and filthy wetbacks.

Spinoza was not a practicing Jew, and caught a lot of hell because of it. Of course he was 'jewish.' The book actually was a compare/contrast between Spinoza and Liebniz, who met Spinoza a few years before Spinoza died. I think the idea was that their ideas were similar but that Spinoza was more a Socrates figure - 'decadent' as Nietzsche might say or a kind of ascetic hermit, while Leibniz was more of an Aristotle, a man with plenty of wordly power, wealth and influence.

in Nicaragua, why would they want you, a foreigner, to take money out of their country? that can only drive down their wealth.

What wealth?

You think that Nicaragua's geothermal resources are of huge benefit to Nicaraguan's poor while undeveloped?

Capital (both monetary and intellectual) will be required to tap those vast resources. Capital must flow in rather than out.

Goethermal development in our country lags badly though oddly the U.S. is the world's largest producer of electricity from geothermal sources despite vast ignorance and even active opposition from opponents. Canadians are a primary source of funding while their own development is zilch. Go figure. It is a Canadian company that is making the main effort to develop Nicaragua's geothermal resources and an Israeli company that has revived a geothermal power plant that had greatly deteriorated under government neglect and abuse in the past.

Your hero Chavez BTW would like to drain some more funds out of Nicaragua for his dreams of empire. Not all Nicaraguans are delighted at the prospect of being poorer but Chavez could make them wiser - and warmer with more greenhouse gases.

Best, Terry

yes, I hate bears.

You are in luck. It is probably not only polar bears that will be exterminated by your plans to warm up the atmosphere.

Best, Terry

I think I hear Obama stress some of these themes, yet he somehow manages to do it while genuinely tipping his hat to groups who feel marginalized. 

He seems to get both: the need to appeal broadly based on civility and true civic values, and the need to signal non-mainstream groups that you understand their plight.

Yeah, it's a tightrope.

You want to project respect for authority without endorsing authoritarianism.


did you read economic hitman? yes, capital flows in but then the tide reverses...

To boldly go...

I laud JB for sending the policy wonk cat among the pigeons -- provocative, imaginative, ingenious. But as I read through the comments -- leftists vs. rightists; Dems vs. Repubs; extremists vs. centrists -- I was struck by the caricatures each side of the semantic differential uses to portray the other. On the other hand, I was also struck by the efforts in this discussion to establish the communitarian approach to issues.

My first thought is that the labels we use -- to describe ourselves, to describe our proverbial others -- are woefully inadequate. I suspect part of the problem is the emoticon approach to language. When time is short, and your boss is expecting you to accomplish 72 different tasks in a brief working day, we are all forced to use short-hand.

But who's defining the short-hand terms? That depends. And once terminology falls prey to circumstance-dependency, terms no longer provide the common linguistic ground that allows people on either side of a debate to understand what the opponent is saying. So, instead of exchanging ideas, we transact with each other through the use of the verbal equivalent of non-directional random bass sonorities that could come from anywhere.

As a progressive -- I would describe my "progressive position" as one which enables the most people to experience a gratifying quality of life -- I like to think that such gratification doesn't have to depend on the suffering of others. To put it another way, my gain doesn't necessarily have to equal someone's loss.

yes, capital flows in but then the tide reverses...

Obviously the only reason for investing in developing a project like geothermal power production in Nicaragua or anyplace else is to make a profit.

It is no different when Canadians or Israelis invest in developing America's geothermal resources that Americans are loathe to do than when the same furriners invest in developing Nicaragua's geothermal resource.

The end result is that America and Nicaragua have more green power, the foreign devils have more money and polar bears have more ice. Mining heat is considerably different from extractive industries that may leave nothing behind except an environmental wasteland.

Having your ideological lust against capitalism satisfied with continued subservience of Nicas to Ticas and extermination of polar bears is a rather steep price to pay wouldn't even you and hitman admit?

Best, Terry

The notion that "we're all in this together" was a theme of my last book, as opposed to "you're on your own" (YOYO economics)--the direction policy has been heading for the past few decades, and especially in the privatization frenzy of the Bush years.

Last night, I turned my kids on to one of my favorite movies--Ingmar Bergman's version of 'Tthe Magic Flute.'  It's a great kids story, though I had to read them all the subtitles which definitely detracts.  But there's a beautiful theme of common humanity that Bergman somehows imbues the production with, starting with all these shots of faces in the audience during the overture.

So, one answer to the question I posed: if we listen to more Mozart, everything will work out fine!

 

The success of (near) future progressive ideas hinges squarely on the success of the existing Democratic majority. If they continue to allow themselves to be compromised by the Republican minority and White house, the American people will see them as ineffective and deserving of the label "weak". Regardless of the number of issues and the complexity, in 2008 people will listen to whatever lie the Republican challengers come up with if they promise action instead of ongoing debate that results only in business as usual.
Right now progressives are feeling a sense of vindication about how wrong the opposition was over the Iraq war. But Democrats falsely believe this means support for themselves. Division between the white house and Democrats will have no lasting value if it results in anything short of change. Progressive ideas future is in the hands of Democrats and rather than seeing this, they are posturing for themselves. But short of ending the war and opposing Bush steadfastly, the Democrats will lose the people who most actively supported them into a majority in 2006.
If the Democrats lose the left, progressive ideas will be lost with them. Opinion polls on the war will not translate into Democratic support if the Democrats cannot affect a change in Iraq. Opinion polls on Congress will not translate into who voters support if being handed the mantle in 2006 didn't make a difference.
This rule applies now and will apply as far into the future as we can hope to look. "He who has the biggest cahoonas wins." If our representatives don't demonstrate their prowess now, our ideas will lose out with them.

Having your ideological lust against capitalism...

obivously, you haven't read my posts on this list. I support capitolism absolutely and that's different than supporting the theft of resources from other countries.

... extermination of polar bears is a rather steep price to pay wouldn't even you and hitman admit?

as you know, the united states uses more energy, per capita, than any other nation. since we're producing everything in china, these days, they'll take that lead along with the industrial pollution.

I've seen what's happening in Africa with their oil and other resources and "so called capitolists" love to economically rape those people over and over again.

for example, the US wants to force Africa to grow genetic modified crops so "investors" can make money every year from the sale of seed.

geothermal is great but let the Nicaragian people fully own the economy. As you noted, they're poor and don't have money to give to "outside investors."

why not make it truly non-profit? as long as non-profit doesn't mean raising salaries, etc..., to ensure no profit.

wrapping stuff up in pretty packaging only fools some people!

To boldly go...

I've seen what's happening in Africa with their oil and other resources

Have you bothered studying the development of geothermal power in Kenya as opposed to oil in Nigeria. Big difference.

geothermal is great but let the Nicaragian people fully own the economy. As you noted, they're poor and don't have money to give to "outside investors."

And Nicaraguans will stay poor and dependent on predators like Chavez if you do not allow them to develop their geothermal resources. The U.S. would be poorer without Canadian and Israeli investment in its geothermal resources though it is obviously far more capable. Fortunately Nicaraguans are more intelligent than certain gringos like yourself who think they know best what Nicaraguans should do.

Best, Terry

i'll just have to let you believe you're helping!

honestly, I think chavez is great for latin america.

the nicarguans can be like chavez who is developing his own oil technologies and, if they do that, and there is money to be made in geothermal, they'll be the masters instead of slaves to some foreign invester.

wether israeli or canadian investors in the US are helpful is beyond me.

in my mind, conservation is the best thing we can do and that doesn't require any investment and that's why business folks are trying to change the laws and make people pay more for less.


To boldly go...

What an interesting discussion. If I'm reading the tea leaves here correctly, most would opt for some "fundamental changes" in both domestic and foreign policy. While I share the same sentiment, based on our history, absent some energizing event or circumstance, that's not likely to happen.

Take the mundane issue of railroad safety, recently outlined on one of the History Channel's various clones (forget which one). Even though it eventually proved economically advantageous to them, rail barons adamantly refused to pay for such basic safety items as telegraphs to avoid collisions on single-track lines, air brakes to avoid runaways, and so on, until they were forced by "public outrage", as expressed in the press of the day and resulting political demagoguery, to modify their behavior.

And, of course, it took the disaster of the Depression and the fear of revolution to create even the modest social safety net in place today.

As a political entity, America seems to operate on a principal of collective inertia, occasionally stampeding itself, based on a perceived danger, into making those fundamental changes, rather than applying the wisdom of experts. Sometimes the outcomes are good, sometimes not. Witness the effective loss of civil liberties and rejection of international law based on post 9/11 hysteria. That pushback should start with demonization of Republicans in general and the Bush administration in particular is instructive, regardless of one's personal political perspective.

So, say more.

What's an agenda that you think would be of a magnitude to get people's attention in the sense you raise?

How about: a) point out the damage of Bushonomics, the YOYO philosophy, and ignoring good gov't, b) hth care reform, and c) out of Iraq with a plan for counter-terror?

As America becomes an increasingly complex organism -- 300 million people speaking hundreds of different languages, still hording at the coasts but beginning to spread into formerly Scandinavian territories; a formerly manufacturing- and agribusiness-based economy where health care now accounts for almost 1/5 of all economic activity -- I think SamThornton above is kind of right, but not completely. It's not a matter of collective inertia; it's that the synapses haven't yet fully made all their connections with all the various acupuncture points of the American body politic. We're more like the toddler these days who's just gone boom to the floor. The howl of pain only comes eventually and only when we feel and realize we've been hurt.

The good thing, to extend the biological metaphors a tad more, is that unlike the proverbial frogs in the pot of water set on the kitchen stove to boil, we've started shouting before it's gone too late.

A testimony to the stealth of the Reepubs is that it took us five years to feel the change in temperature and a sixth to start hopping.

For policy starters, I'd like to see the ultimate anti-surge in Iraq and then assemble a constitutional convention-scale gathering to address and resolve health care with single-payer as the goal.

Re: As America becomes an increasingly complex organism -- 300 million people speaking hundreds of different languages, still hording at the coasts but beginning to spread into formerly Scandinavian territories

Huh? What foremrly Scandinavian territiories? The Swedes did own Delaware very briefly 400 years ago. Or are you talking about the UP of Michigan?
As for the number of languages, even counting moribund Native American tongues you will barely break 100 for the United States. English predominates far and away, with Spanish a somewhat distant second.

I suppose it may be partly why I chose my userid to be CtrlAltDel, but I intuit that the Country is ripe to reboot.

That said, what does "starting over" mean? I'm not really sure myself, but I think it means that just about anything and everything could be on the table.

Take the issue of global warming for instance. I think the Country is ready to go headstrong on this issue. After all, we are at a race with time on this one. Perhaps it is just a matter of educating the public on the urgency, as Al Gore has done an exceptional job doing. Democratic candidates want 80 percent CO2 reduction in 40 years, from 2010 to 2050. I think 2050 would be a day late and a dollar short myself - that is 42 years away. The warming took place in the last 25 to 27 years or so, one degree warmer based on NASA's average global surface air temperature records. 40 years could very well bring another one degree rise. Why not go for broke and target 80 percent CO2 reduction in 20 years? That should be enough time for everyone to buy a clean car and to make changes wherever we can (which in my opinion 80 percent reduction seems to obviously imply that fossil fuels will be out for most intents and purposes.) For more detail on my thoughts on CO2 reductions see my blog.

Why not go for broke in all areas?

JPF311:

re: Languages: The Boston Public Library caters to over 140 different languages in their collection, because -- or so the chief librarian told me -- they have to.

As for "formerly Scandinavian territories", read Quad Cities, portions of Minnesota, and beyond. Now the regions included immigres from Laos and Cambodia as well as Sen. Paul Coleman.

Had I referred to Bohemian outposts, I would, of course, have been talking about Iowa and certain corners of Nebraska.

If it's any comfort, English is also one of the predominant languages in India as well.

Re: languages

Ethnologue (see: http://www.ethnologue.com/show_country.asp?name=USA) lists 162 still living languages spoken in the United States, more than half of them barely surviving Native tongues (Navaho is the only native language that is really flourishing in this country). If you include dead languages, the total bumps up to 238. If you only include languages with at least 1000 active speakers the total is 48.

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