Turkey’s Misunderstood Moderate Muslims
The constitutional amendment that would lead to direct elections of the Turkish president, replacing the current election by parliament, is in the interest of the United States. This course is best followed despite the fact that direct elections are likely to lead to a head of state who is an observant Muslim.
The parliamentary election of an observant Muslim, Abdullah Gul, was recently annulled by the Turkish high court following a brazen ultimatum from the military. The military insists on secular heads of state, making a mockery of the much-vaunted Turkish democracy.
Mr. Gul is not some kind of a maverick or rabble-rousing mullah, not even an Islamist. He currently serves as Turkey’s foreign minister. Neither he nor his party, the Justice and Development Party (AKP), has worked to insert religious beliefs into public policy in the four years since the party came into power. Not a single law has been enacted that violates the strongly secular Turkish constitution. True, Mr. Gul’s wife wears a headscarf, but so do 55 percent of all Turkish women, and she is not up for election. Moreover, nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of Turks believe that it is wrong to ban such headgear.
There is no need to deny that the prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, leader of the AKP party, did initially support criminalizing adultery, but he quickly relented. He also favors creating alcohol-free zones. One should note that several states in America still criminalize adultery, with penalties ranging from fines to prison sentences, and the United States long had dry states. Yet no one in his right mind would call for the Pentagon to protect the U.S. Constitution’s establishment clause by threatening a coup if such religious measures were not rescinded, not to mention deny a president-elect the White House because he plans to enact faith-based initiatives. Stephen Kinzer, a former Istanbul correspondent for The New York Times, put it well when he said that the "so-called ‘Islamist’" AKP is "extremely moderate by worldwide standards", and its members would be "ostracized as infidels" if they were to be transplanted to Afghanistan or Iran.(1)
Importantly, the Turkish majority favors a moderate Islamic society and is no longer enamored with a dominantly secular one. (After all, secularism was imposed on Turkey, in the first place, by a fierce autocrat and the military.) When the AKP won an outright majority of seats in Parliament in 2002, it became the first non-secular Turkish party to have done so in 15 years, signaling a significant religious attachment among the Turkish people at large, despite eighty years of state-imposed secularism. Denying the majority a political expression is likely to alienate these voters who favor a moderate Islamic government, pushing them toward the extremists.
Most importantly: the same change of strategy must be applied to much of the Muslim world. Large segments of it will not be satisfied with secularism; to counter Islamists it is best to support the moderate Muslims found in droves in nations such as Indonesia, Bangladesh and Malaysia, rather than merely secular parties. Just as Social Democrats were often a better antidote to Communists than the conservatives, so the texts and leaders of nonviolent, moderate religious parties are the most promising way to curb Islamists. Indeed moderate religious parties are found as key participants in numerous democratic societies in Europe and in Israel.
President Reagan used to say that God should not be kept out of the classroom—as if a bunch of educators could prevent his presence. Politicians should take note: they cannot keep God out of politics, either. The only choice they have is which of His messages they will object to if sought by the voters: those that sanctify suicide bombers and car bombs—the God of the terrorists—or those that call for humility, modesty, teaching of the scriptures and non violence? Those who call for jihad as a holy war to kill all the infidels, or those who see jihad as a spiritual journey of self improvement?
Amitai Etzioni is professor of sociology and international relations at The George Washington University. This article draws on his new book, Security First: For a Moral, Muscular Foreign Policy, just published by Yale University Press.
(This piece originally appeared in the National Interest Online)
Response to Comments:
The criticism that I have not responded to comments is a fair one. I will try to be more responsive. However, I will not respond to comments that constitute personal attacks and to those who on the face of it did on read my original text. And I much prefer to deal with people who do not hide behind aliases.
Several of the comments imply that democracy is fine as long as the Turks do not elect someone the particular responder considers undesirable. Of course democracy means that we must accept the voice of the people, especially those who will have to live with the consequences of their vote. I myself believe that if the candidate clearly plans to destroy democracy, they should not be accommodated. But there are no indications that Mr. Gul plans to undermine Turkish democracy, while on the face of it, those who block him, are the generals!
Who is a moderate Muslims? I define them as those who are opposed to the use of violence against their own people and others under all but very exceptional circumstances, such as clear and present danger. In line with Just War theory. (For more see Part III of Security First on illiberal moderates.)












Unfortunately, it is not a good move from an institutional design perspective. I must admit that I don't know the full scope of the powers of the Turkish president, but generally, it would be a bad idea to confer independent democratic legitimacy on an office that could obstruct the governing of the parliament. Moves such as this need to be given special scrutiny in multiparty systems such as Turkey since opposition groups may have a difficult time overcoming a head of state that is supported by a single party. While it might be in the interest of the United States, it is not clear that it is in the interest of Turkey. Turks should be careful before voting for this change.
May 15, 2007 11:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just as the slimmest margin of Americans should have been more careful before reappointing Dubya in '04.
I don't mean this as a snark; but, let's face it, voter bases can be manipulated regardless of the traditional political environment.
May 15, 2007 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not that Etzioni ever interacts with us here, but he's being misleading yet again. Those recent massive demonstrations show real popular concern for having religion forced on people, as well as about an appointed office that would consolidate two leading offices within that one party's perspectives. I realize that the ruling party's conduct is more moderate and complex than they may fear. Yet this clearly isn't a matter of a military imposition of secularism on a democracy.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
May 15, 2007 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
With the exception of the hypocritical acknowledgment of religion by most recent presidents the advanced countries have had secular leaders for the past half century (or more).
It is one thing to attend religious services and proclaim that one follows certain dogmatic ideological beliefs, but it is another to belong to an explicitly sectarian political party. This is the danger in Turkey. The fact that a party hasn't acted on its theological beliefs yet proves nothing. They may have been holding back until they win political power, it won't be the first time something like this has happened.
Being devout and belong to a religious party are two different things. One is personal the other political. Look at the mischief that has happened in this country over the past seven years as a series of preferred religious viewpoints have been infiltrated into government.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
May 15, 2007 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is THE issue in all countries with Muslim majorities. To date, the response has been to favor democracy as long as the "right" candidate wins, meaning a secular candidate. A religious party win in Algeria was nullified. Religious parties are stifled or worse in several other countries including Tunisia, Egypt, Syria, and of course Turkey. Until we can accept that a religious party can win an election and govern, democracy in the Muslim world will remain a joke.
Needles to say, this is also the central issue in Iraq. I maintain that we "lost" the war the day national elections returned a majority to religious parties. Every day we stay increases their following.
May 15, 2007 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder what Professor Etzioni would do if he were the European Union because I think that's the big question. If you're the EU and you're thinking about bringing Turkey in, and Turkey's government strays from the secular, then you are fundamentally altering the culture of Europe by creating a huge and powerful Islamic voice.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
May 15, 2007 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Duncan C. Kinder
http://www.billingsgatereport.net
What exactly is a "moderate Muslim"?
Can a Wahabbi be "moderate"? A Salafist? What role do Sufis play in "moderate Islam"?
Are there David Thoreau - type hippie Muslim dropouts? What is "moderate Islam's" view toward science? Can "moderate Muslims" be old-fashioned, neo-Ottoman type of guys who, nevertheless are relatively low-key and passive?
In short, does not the term "moderate Muslim" gloss over quite a lot and involve a lot of wishful thinking on the part of those who use it?
May 16, 2007 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
That is indeed the rub and it is indeed influencing what is happening in Turkey as well, from what I read. While it's fine to talk theoretically about democracy and adhering to this or that tradition in Turkey, in "real life" right now you have a secular E.U. struggling mightily with all kinds of questions about Islam, whether you consider those questions fairly pointed at religion or you do not. Professor Etzioni tries to make the argument that people are not looking at the complexity--well, I think he himself is looking at it too simplistically and too theoretically by not throwing the current E.U. into the equation.
May 16, 2007 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Every term glosses over quite a lot, but that's not the point. You do realize that there are Sunni Muslims who are not Wahabis or Salafists, right? And you realize that Turks aren't Wahabis or Salafists?
What is your point anyway? Do you think there can't be "moderate Muslims"?
May 16, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
The party in question in Turkey--the AKP--claims that it is modeled on the Christian Democrats, and they are common throughout Europe. I have to question to what degree this issue actually calls into question the secularism of Turkey. Many European countries do not see the Christian Democrats as a threat to secularism--hell, several European countries still have established religions. So, why should the AKP in Turkey present a problem for the EU?
This is Turkey's problem. Not the U.S.'s problem or the EU's problem. Turkey needs to handle it alone.
May 16, 2007 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Professor:
thanks for putting a "Response to Comments" in your original post. You should probably be aware, though, that with the way most people use the software system here, they might not see it. It gets tagged as having an "update" on the trackers that we use to follow threads that we have been on, but it's not clear that you have responded. To be clear, using your own account as an example, the way many see if there is continued conversation here is to see if there are new comments on a thread they written on, or a reply to their own comments.
May 16, 2007 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Duncan C. Kinder
http://www.billingsgatereport.net
I am well aware that actually most Sunnis are neither Wahabis or Salafists ( as my question about the Sufis indicated, BTW.)
While most Turks are either secularist Islam, following Kemal Atatürk or Sufic, you might be interested in researching, for example, Great Eastern Islamic Raiders' Front, a Turkish, salafic, but concedely non-moderate organization. You will find salafists, ( who are not necessarily radical, in any Muslim country. )
My grasp of the English language is sufficient that had I intended to state that there were no "moderate" Muslims, I would have done so. I did not.
My point, rather, is that there is great risk of presupposing that those Muslims whom we deem "moderate" conform to some fuzzy-wuzzy preconception we might have of them rather than seeking to understand them for what they are.
May 16, 2007 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well Whoopee!
It seems your grasp of the English language is not sufficient for you to realize that we have to use our words to describe the world.
May 16, 2007 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Usually I have no patience for Mr. Etzioni, but this time he hits it.
Two articles: One on Turkey and one on (one can only hope) the future of
Europe.
I've developed a real appreciation for the hijab recently. Watching a Polish convert in my neighborhood, I realized: you can be devout as a nun, and still get laid. That's a logic.
May 16, 2007 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
The professor writes, "And I much prefer to deal with people who do not hide behind aliases."
But, awhile back he started a thread about how we should use our real names and then he posted in that thread that he saw where we're coming from. Given that you admitted your previous error, professor... what's the problem?
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
May 17, 2007 7:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just an observation.
While it's not always true, there does seem to be a tendency for there to be a downward trend in comments from cogent to tit-for-tat exchanges that often have little or nothing to do with the topic(s) the original poster discusses. Part of this, at least, seems to be linked to perceived or real "unfairness" at some level; part to the very human tendency to engage in syncretic conversational exchanges.
Either way, does anyone else find it distracting, worthwhile, useful, whatnot?
May 17, 2007 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Professor Etzioni in replies to comments added a repeat of his thesis, that the opposition, on the face of it, is the generals. What I was trying to get at is that this is a distortion. We know that the post will be put to a vote in the future. We know that an appointment process, which was withdrawn, isn't necessarily the will of the people. We know that there has been more than large demonstration in a nation with strong feelings on both sides, on the side that Professor Etzioni associates with an anti-democratic, military takeover. Something, in sum, is not telling us the whole truth here. (He also doesn't both replying to the other main substantive comments, about the EU, but those weren't mine.)
George Bush, unlike Gul, won the popular vote, yet we thought of the demonstrations against the war as a sign of a divided nation and competing aspects of the democratic process. Why is Professor Etzioni so eager to reduce that to a military coup? Would he call those of us who didn't join in praise of Bush after his election anti-democratic?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
May 17, 2007 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Glad to see your reasoned post, Professor, and I agree with it.
"Secularism" in Turkey is much different from the separation of church and state that we associate in America with that term. The army vets sermons out there. If Americans woke up to find the army doing that out here while threatening to topple another elected government, like the Turkish military has done 4 times since 1960, there'd be little doubt as to how weak our democratic institutions actually were.
Here's a sharp blog post that puts some of the innuendo and slanderous allegations -- that Erdogan or Gul are trying to foist "Islamism" on government -- to rest. Sure, they might be religious conservatives and millions may be demonstrating against Erdogan and the AKP, but the party has repeatedly expressed no interest in turning Turkey into a fundamentalist state.
Still, Erdogan is a threat to the status quo and if his move is successful, the military could find itself marginalized in Turkish politics. The point is such a change REQUIRES popular will to achieve. So we should expect resistance to his moves at modernizing democracy, including demonstrations and lots of heat from the elites.
But Erdogan is doing exactly the right thing by putting up Gul's candidacy to a popular vote.
There's simply no better appeal than to go directly to the people and ask them to decide.
May 17, 2007 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink