Why Jews Envy The Irish
Tuesday, May 9, 2007 was a great day for the Irish. It was not so great for Israelis and Palestinians.
On Tuesday, the conflict over Ireland, which began in the 12th century (and in which 3500 people have been killed since 1966), ended when ultra-hard-line Protestant leader Reverend Ian Paisley joined former senior IRA commander Martin McGuinness in a power-sharing Catholic-Protestant unity government. In the words of the BBC, it was a "moment of such improbability that it sets a new benchmark against which the future will judge unlikely events still to come” – like the signing of a peace treaty between Israelis and Palestinians.
For a time, of course, it appeared that Israelis and Palestinians would end their conflict before Irish Catholics and Protestants. It was in 1993 that Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and PLO leader Yasir Arafat signed the Oslo agreement on the White House lawn. But Rabin was assassinated in 1995 and, after that tragedy, neither side fully observed the agreement although it did, nevertheless, succeed in dramatically reducing the violence – which skyrocketed after Oslo collapsed in the fall of 2000.
The Irish equivalent of Oslo was the Good Friday agreement of 1998 which laid the groundwork for the power-sharing arrangement that was implemented on Tuesday.
Like Oslo, the Good Friday agreement hit snag after snag, with both sides caught violating its terms (just two months after Good Friday, 29 people were killed and 200 injured in an attack by an IRA splinter group in the city of Omagh, Northern Ireland designed to scuttle the peace process). But none of the major players on either side was assassinated and each setback was followed by intensive efforts to resuscitate the agreement.
Another difference worth noting is that while Oslo was signed by moderates in the Israeli and Palestinian camps, Tuesday’s Irish peacemakers were hard-liners, known for their intense animosity toward the other side. Protestant Paisley had famously said, “If an IRA man comes to a Protestant home and my men are there they will kill that IRA man. Yes sir.” Catholic McGuinness once said, “I am prepared to go to jail. I would rather die than disrupt or destroy my code of honor to the IRA.”
This was not so much the center embracing the center as the extremes embracing the extremes (not embracing, actually, but agreeing to live in peace).
On Tuesday, it was Paisley who said, “A time to love and a time to hate. A time of war and a time of peace. From the depths of my heart I believe Northern Ireland has come to a time of peace,” while McGuinness said, “To Ian Paisley, I want to wish you all the best as we step forward toward the greatest yet most exciting challenge of our lives.”
The gaps that divided Irish Catholics and Protestants until Tuesday were every bit as wide as those dividing Israelis and Palestinians. Like Israelis and Palestinians, the two sides were fighting over one piece of land (although the Northern Irish could not simply divide it between them as Israelis and Palestinians can and will). The religious animosity was as intense as that between Jews and Muslims. And the 800 year old Irish conflict was some 740 years more ancient than the six decades old Israeli-Palestinian conflict. So why did the Good Friday Agreement succeed while Oslo collapsed?
The most significant reason is the perseverance of some critical outsiders. The governments of Prime Minister Bertie Ahearn of the Irish Republic and Tony Blair of the United Kingdom made securing peace in Northern Ireland a top priority. Both leaders intervened strenuously every time there was a set-back. Blair enlisted President Clinton to help and Clinton appointed former Senate Majority Leader, George Mitchell, as his Special Envoy to Northern Ireland. Mitchell played a critical role in keeping the process alive at its darkest moments. Additionally, leading Irish-American politicians like Sen. Edward Kennedy weighed in to keep the two sides talking.
In fact, it was Clinton who kicked off the Northern Ireland peace process in 1994 (three years before Blair became Prime Minister) by issuing the Sinn Fein leader, Gerry Adams, a visa to come to the United States. Clinton's bold action enraged the John Major government and Irish hardliners. They understood that Clinton was determined to use his influence to force compromise and broker a conflict. They were right.
There are additional reasons for the success of the Good Friday agreement and yesterday I asked an expert what they were. I called John J. Cullinane, a Boston based computer entrepreneur (the company he founded became the first publicly traded software company) and philanthropist. Cullinane, an Irish Catholic, has been involved in the Northern Ireland peace process from the beginning; his particular emphasis is job creation which he sees as essential to conflict resolution in economically hard hit areas.
I asked Cullinane what those of us active in advancing the Israeli-Palestinian peace process can learn from the Irish experience. His response came in a ten-point e-mail a few minutes later.
1. Getting any group of people to give up any power, whatsoever, is extraordinarily difficult, virtually impossible.
2. Doing so requires the full time effort and influence of world political leaders, other stakeholders, diasporas etc., using every possible opportunity, because the antagonists can't, or won't, do it themselves.
3. Governments can only do so much such as negotiate cease fires, arrange meetings, and organize conferences, so they need good ideas from the private sector that they can support.
4. Business leaders in the area must get involved and use their influence to promote peace and not leave things to the extremists from both sides of the conflict. G7, a group of seven business organizations which was formed in Northern Ireland to do exactly this, is a perfect example.
5. The diasporas of both sides of the conflict have to help promote peace and economic development in a coordinated fashion. Communicating the sense that both diasporas are working together is critical. The Friends of Belfast is a good example.
6. Only the private sector can create the all-important peace dividend of jobs and economic development.
7. Even the prospect of peace can set in motion a great economic revival in a depressed area.
8. The sooner most people feel that they are better off, the easier it will be for the politicians to negotiate an agreement. It’s remarkable how quickly political leaders can agree once it suits them to do so.
9. There will always be those who will try to disrupt any progress towards peace with violent acts, or question the motives of the other side, but those promoting peace can't let these acts, or views, deter them.
10. If the conflict can be resolved in Northern Ireland, every conflict is resolvable if the respective leaders want to, or are helped to do so. This obviously includes the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Cullinane's points make sense. However, there is one critical difference between the two conflicts. In the case of Northern Ireland, once the decision to pursue peace was made, the constituency for continued conflict started disappearing not only in Ireland but in the diaspora as well. Irish Americans wanted President Clinton to put his weight behind the peace process. They applauded Ted Kennedy, Pat Moynihan and other Irish-American politicians for helping end the Irish “troubles.” Those Irish-American groups that thrived on the conflict either changed course or shriveled away.
That never happened after Oslo. The mainstream pro-Israel community here was ambivalent about Oslo right from the start. Almost immediately groups sprang up to "monitor" the Oslo process and point to its flaws. Pro-Israel speakers and spokespeople were able to bring crowds to their feet by spouting the tired old pre-Oslo rhetoric.
And, contrary to the Irish-American support for politicians who backed the peace process, pro-Israel groups here deem the most extreme and virulent Palestinian-bashers as “staunch friends of Israel” rather than as people who contribute to Israel’s problems. Many politicians (although in ever diminishing numbers) believe that the best way to be pro-Israel is to be anti-Palestinian and anti-peace.
Fortunately the situation is changing, even though powerful institutions continue their fight to preserve the status quo. But their message is growing stale and fewer politicians are paying attention. And even those who are will tell you privately that they are eager to pursue peaceful alternatives but are constrained by campaign considerations.
That is why we have a long way to go before we can celebrate the kind of event the Irish did on Tuesday. And it is also why a great day for the Irish was just another ordinary day for Israelis and Palestinians. Ordinary, and bleak.
Yesterday a pregnant Palestinian woman lost her six month old baby when a random shot fired by Israeli soldiers struck her while she was lying in her bed in the Al Ein refugee camp in Nablus. And a six-year-old Israeli boy was badly injured when he jumped from the window of his home after going into shock due to one of three Kassam rockets that landed in Sderot. The beat goes on.
***************************************************************************
But here is some good news. According to the Forward, "The Center for American Progress is set to launch the Middle East Bulletin, which will be arriving in subscribers’ inboxes beginning next week. It aims to take on Daily Alert, published by the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations and prepared by a right-wing think tank in Israel." The Center is one of the most influential think tanks in Washington and its new bulletin will surely have a positive impact. You can get a free subscription here.


Comments (177)
Great piece. Does the fact that the extremists made peace in Ireland mean we should look forward to Netanyahu making peace with Hamas?
May 11, 2007 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ, you've identified what you think the role of the American Jewish diaspora should be. Who are the partners in the Arab diaspora committed to reigning in the Palestinians? There are a number of regimes (Jordan, Egypt and the Saudis) that have dipped a toe in the water here, but what real committments are they willing to make to end the conflict? And who is the Arab equivalent to the IPF, willing to condemn (rather than explan) their own side's violence without ceding the justice of their position?
<br>
On a related note, MJ is starting to convince me, dafka, to worry far less about an increasingly likely second term for Bibi.
May 11, 2007 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israelis and Palestinians will live in peace in less than 400 years it took the Irish.
It's about time get of the jackass of "peace in a day." Two peoples living in a very small land with very long histories with a wide context of religious fanaticism and intolerance do not get to peace just because an American wants them too.
Tying up this conflict with Iraq, e.g. James Baker (f..k them they don't vote for us) and Blair (let's be nice to the Arabs) doesn't help much.
May 11, 2007 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The IPF equivalent is the American Task Force on Palestine, an increasingly effective lobby. Another is the Arab American Institute
which also lobbies for the two-state solution and is increasingly being heard.
May 11, 2007 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not only did the economic success of the Republic of Ireland act as a lure for the north but Great Britain could threaten to take back direct control of Northern Ireland. Perhaps the British should offer to take back their Mandated territory.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
May 11, 2007 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not understand the fascination this author and this website has with Jews and Israel. That is just another religion of many in this country. That is just another country of many in this world. We do not need constant updates on Jews in Israel, especially considering that like much of the middle east, nothing ever actually changes there.
Glad to see the author finally branching out and focusing on different religions and countries. Please don't stop with Ireland and the Catholics and Protestants. For example, I haven't seen any recent stories on Norway recently. You could write about them. Or, you could write about Lutherans, those guys don't get many articles. Or, you could write about atheists. There's about nine times as many atheists as Jews in the US alone, and about a billion more atheists than Jews worldwide, but Jews get many more articles. How about you balance that out.
May 11, 2007 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Xopher, Norway and its problems (such as they are) does not affect the national security of Americans.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict does. So does the entire Middle East. That's the difference and that is why the American media will give more space to the Middle East than to any other region outside of this country.
May 11, 2007 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's another bit of common sense wisdom from a former negotiator involved in "the Troubles". Rt. Hon. Michael Ancram, MP is a Tory and was with Blair on the invasion of Iraq.
His lecture is titled "Dancing with Wolves: the importanceof talking to your enemies." and as a member of the Conflicts Forum, he has actually talked to the opposition, including Hamas and Hezbollah. He champions "exploratory dialogue" without preconditions:
Ancram's bullet points:
# First, conflict and insurgency can be contained by military action; it cannot be defeated by it.
# Second, negotiation towards a settlement of conflict nearly always needs to be preceded by informal dialogue.
# Third, dialogue which is exploratory and non-committal can often make more progress than seeking commitments.
# Fourth, undeliverable preconditions are an end rather than beginning to dialogue.
# Fifth, exploratory dialogue should be as multilateral as possible to seek out potential areas of common ground.
# Sixth, low profile dialogue is more likely to succeed than that carried on in the bright spotlight of international publicity.
# Seventh, it is a better use of your time to talk to your enemies than your friends."
[snip]
Re Israel
"None of this however is worth a candle if at the end of the day Israel is not prepared for reasons of principle to build reasonably swiftly on the outcomes of such explorations. It will not be easy for Israel to engage with those who have wrought such personal destruction upon them. But then it was not easy for me as a government minister to sit in private conversation let alone formal negotiation with the man who sanctioned the assassination of my best friend in politics.
I believe that there are others of us who can initiate such exploration. What we must ask of the Israelis is that they do not seek to derail it, and that if it shows potential for progress they will in the peaceful interests of their people be prepared to engage. Israel, somewhat like the Ulster Unionists, has too often been the reluctant player in terms of exploratory dialogue. Many of her senior thinkers are now however thinking differently."
http://conflictsforum.org/2007/dancing-with-wolves-the-importance-of-talking-to-your-enemies/
It's imperative that American involvement in the ME undergo a drastic recalibration and hopefully, the hard slogging of MJ and others involved in changing the status quo will show some concrete gains when 2009 rolls around. Until then, the Elliot Abram's school of peace-making-through-death-and-destruction will prevail. Those Israeli "senior thinkers" Ancram says are "thinking differently" need the determind support of their counterparts within the American disapora.
As aside on this lecture, Ancram also sounds an alarm that echoes warnings I've been making on this blog:
"The position with Hezbollah is a little different. However in their case it is even clearer with the growing Salafist threats to them in Lebanon that they also are a bulwark against the attempts of Al Qaeda to spread its influence within the region. It is deeply concerning to hear that there are parties who may be encouraging the Salafists to undermine the power of Hezbollah. They are playing with fire."
He also notes that Hamas performs a similiar function in countering AQ in the West Bank and Gaza.
May 11, 2007 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict does not effect US national security at all. The Palestinians could stop fighting and it wouldn't help the US in the least. Israel could fall to the Arab states and the US would not be hurt even slightly. In fact, the US would probably be better off since the Arab nations would have less reason to hate us.
But, that's neither here nor there. The fact is, this focus on reporting the minutiae of this religion and this nation above all others is completely unwarranted.
The reason the middle east effects the US so much has nothing to do with Israel and everything to do with oil. Your reason is not sufficient enough to focus on Israel above everything else, especially since we don't get oil from them.
Other than oil, the real reason that the American media focuses on the middle east is because of our wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. In the media, Israel is a boring side note to more important national and world affairs since nothing ever actually changes there. There's no need for the constant updates. That is just another religion of many in this country. That is just another country of many in this world.
May 11, 2007 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Xopher: you strike me as something of a bigot. And you are woefully ignorant of geopolitics. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict harms this country's interests worldwide. I suspect that you are just bothered by Jews. Sorry, that is what it sounds like.
May 11, 2007 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, I was wondering when that was going to come out. Pray tell, what exactly was it I said or implied that was bigoted? That Judaism is the same as any other religion? Or that Israel is the same as any other country? That we shouldn't treat one religion or one country better than another? Sorry, I don't see it.
When someone goes around saying that everyone is the same, that does not qualify for the term "bigot".
However, by being "intolerant of those who differ", I could correctly level the term of bigot at you.
May 11, 2007 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
"However, there is one critical difference between the two conflicts. In the case of Northern Ireland, once the decision to pursue peace was made, .... Irish Americans wanted President Clinton to put his weight behind the peace process.
.....
"That never happened after Oslo."
Really? In MJ history book Clinton didn't spend any time to help peace in ME .
May 11, 2007 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rosenberg states that "In the case of Northern Ireland, once the decision to pursue peace was made, the constituency for continued conflict started disappearing not only in Ireland but in the diaspora as well."
then goes on to show that jewish groups were "ambivalent" to Oslo and that groups were established to "monitor" and point out flaws in the Oslo agreements.
Rosenberg doesn't claim jewish opposition to Oslo. (He also doesn't mention little things like unilateral withdrawl from Lebanon and intensive negotiations being pushed by President Clinton, but without any push at all from arab allies of the palestinians.
But OK! THat was israeli reaction. Palestinian reaction? Rosenberg doesn't even bother to say. Guess that in Rosenberg's mind, the reactions of the palestinians was irrelevant. Why am I not surprised. In Rosenberg's mind it is somehow always israel's fault.
But Rosenberg is correct that the Irish and everyone who contributed to the settlement are to be congratulated and the rest of us can only hope and pray that israelis and the palestinians are able to accomplish something similar.
Shabbat Shalom, mj. for the paletinians, for the israelis, for all of us.
May 11, 2007 10:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rosenberg states that "In the case of Northern Ireland, once the decision to pursue peace was made, the constituency for continued conflict started disappearing not only in Ireland but in the diaspora as well."
then goes on to show that jewish groups were "ambivalent" to Oslo and that groups were established to "monitor" and point out flaws in the Oslo agreements.
Rosenberg doesn't claim jewish opposition to Oslo. (He also doesn't mention little things like unilateral withdrawl from Lebanon and intensive negotiations being pushed by President Clinton, but without any push at all from arab allies of the palestinians.
But OK! THat was israeli reaction. Palestinian reaction? Rosenberg doesn't even bother to say. Guess that in Rosenberg's mind, the reactions of the palestinians was irrelevant. Why am I not surprised. In Rosenberg's mind it is somehow always israel's fault.
But Rosenberg is correct that the Irish and everyone who contributed to the settlement are to be congratulated and the rest of us can only hope and pray that israelis and the palestinians are able to accomplish something similar.
Shabbat Shalom, mj. for the paletinians, for the israelis, for all of us.
May 11, 2007 10:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe it is time that it is to go back to square one and reinforced to ALL parties in the Israeli-Palestinian dispute that;
A) A Palestinian state will be established.
and
B) That Israel has a right to exist.
Start over from there...and let nothing stop, or even interrupt, the process. That will take outside leadership to make it work. And the time has long since past when the US should have stepped up and showed that leadership...time for America to do so and finally make a full commitment to lead until the dispute is resolved, regardless of which party is in power.
May 11, 2007 11:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh M.J. You are a good and kind man. I read your posts sometimes just to experience the dauntless and inexhaustible energy of your effort to find peace for the people of Israel/Palestine. Most of the time the substance of your writing is too erudite for my meager knowledge of that troubling subject but that doesn’t inhibit my admiration for your commitment and determination. You are an example to us all.
But looking to the Irish for answers may be a bridge too far. There is a very old joke that says about Ireland that “all their songs are sad and all their wars are merry.” So here we are, ten minutes after the sectarians agree to a “final” (?) peace arrangement and they are already issuing ten point e-mails on how to solve internecine conflicts. A young colleen once said to me about the gift of gab “It doesn’t surprise me that we can talk so well. What surprises me is how many people believe what we say.”
My ancestors fled Ireland around the time Abraham Lincoln was starting his law practice. So maybe you should just leave a note for your great grandson that if the Arabs and Israelis are still fighting that there might be an occasion to look at how the Irish made their peace. Four hundred years ago the Spanish were making conversos of your Jewish ancestors, and Shakespeare was writing his thirty-eight plays in all of which there was only one Irish character (the sea captain MacMorris in Henry V), perhaps because the Irish were at war with the English for independence even then. By this measure the Arab/Israeli conflict is more quarrel than war. Be happy you have as small a conflict to resolve as you do. You are doing god’s work but you are not saddled with the misfortunes of Job.
May 11, 2007 11:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not understand the fascination this author and this website has with Jews and Israel.
Are you serious? The ME is a horribly destabilized region and that has resulted in global destabilization. And the root cause of that of the trouble is the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian dispute. As horrific as the conflict between the Protestants and Catholics in Northern Ireland was its global impact pales in comparison to the conflict being talked about here. The whole world needs to refocus on trying to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian dispute...not only (and, imo, most importantly) for the Israelis and Palestinians...but for the sake of the world. And it should be discussed more, not less!!!!
May 12, 2007 12:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Demonstrating powerful evidence, we Irish are not never very good at math either. :-)
It is little wonder Mr. Rosenberg and the experts he consulted missed a key event that paved the way to a possible end to the centuries-old "Troubles" but few Irish should.
When Clinton invited Gerry Adams to the White House, the shock to the English and probably even the politicians in Eire made possible progress nearly impossible previously.
Of course it was the luck of the Irish to have such a "hardliner" as Adams.
Best, Terry
May 12, 2007 12:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd just like to note that one American President chose diplomacy and one American President chose war.
Clinton helped in Ireland, and he called others to help.
Clinton was close to some accord with Israel too, but the Republicans wanted him to fail.
If they had wanted him to succeed, they would have sent him, GHW Bush, Jimmy Carter, Joe Lieberman -- whomever it took -- to keep the talks going, even after GW Bush was elected.
No, they had their own way THEY were going to govern. So they fired Richard Clarke and ended up with 9/11. And it's been downhill ever since.
Bush embraced being a war president. Unfortunately, I think there was a time when the nation embraced being a warrior nation as well.
Hpoefully we'll all learn to embrace peace after this miserable fiasco.
May 12, 2007 3:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
To Terry and Freespeak. You are so right. I left out the Adams visa and Clinton. I went back and fixed the piece.
My apologies and thanks.
May 12, 2007 5:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mark, I know what you mean about Xopher, but in his/her defense, I'll simply quote Emily Post:
A bore is said to be “one who talks about himself when you want to talk about yourself!” which is superficially true enough, but a bore might more accurately be described as one who is interested in what does not interest you, and insists that you share his enthusiasm, in spite of your disinclination. To the bore life holds no dullness; every subject is of unending delight. A story told for the thousandth time has not lost its thrill; every tiresome detail is held up and turned about as a morsel of delectableness; to him each pea in a pod differs from another with the entrancing variety that artists find in tropical sunsets.
I have to admit that I sometimes find this endless turning over of Israeli and Palestinian peas a bit tiresome, too.
That said, MJ's posts are often interesting (this one included) and the comments can be entertaining to read . . . .
May 12, 2007 5:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Who is going to keep order in Gaza? US?
May 12, 2007 6:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
It hardly rates an apology to forget the Adams visit to the White House. I am humbled by same.
I have made no secret of my animosity towards Bill Clinton but that one act was a magnificent contribution towards peace.
I am totally incapable even in old age of being able to correlate the hostility of my father and uncles to the cause of Irish unification with the North. As young men in the rural south of Ireland they were all members of the IRA as were any able-bodied males in the area according to them. The ancient anger at the English and tales of depredations by the Black and Tan were yet omnipresent. Irish rebel songs and tales were as much part of growing up as [ugh] oatmeal.
At the same time an aunt who would never have been called on was insistent that "the Crown" was the fault of "the Troubles."
There is always a crazy patchwork of emotions and illogic in any conflict that the outsider seldom sees.
Good to listen up occasionally and to let people talk.
Best, Terry
May 12, 2007 6:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think your posts are partially correct. There are those, especially on the American Left, who delude themsevles the if the Israeli-Palestinian issue would be resolved all else in the Middle East would also be resolved. This resolution of the Palestinian-Israeli issue also tends to involved Israel effective putting its existence at risk to the applause of the the real bigots.
However, as the slaughter between Sunni and Shia in Iraq, the invasions of Kuwait and Iraq by Iran, the near civil wars between Fatah and Hamas and Hezbollah and much the rest of Lebanon all demonstrate Israel is an excuse not a cause of these problems.
As for the focus on Jews. The neo-Cons are for the most part Jewish. AIPAC is seen to have all the secret power that has in the past been attributed to Jews in in general. Since many at this site want to see Israel surrender and blame Israel for the Arabs own moral failings it is a nice way to be an anti-Semite to go after the neo-Cons and AIPAC. Your pointing this out violates the unwritten rule of the real bigots.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
May 12, 2007 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Terry, I'm Scots-Irish. Yeah, I understand every word.
In addition, we lived in Greece for a few years and we LOVE the Greek people. But if you begin to talk to them about a teeny-tiny little piece of land called Cypress? Whew.
I still don't REALLY understand, because I didn't live the history. But first trusting that "Greek People" are trustworthy, I at least developed compassion, instead of thinking any one side was completely right or wrong.
Cheers to peace!
May 12, 2007 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here's where I come from on this--
The King of Jordan just came to the US a few weeks ago with *ONE* message:
Solve the fight over land between Israel and Palestine in a way that is seen as just to moderate Arab nations like ours, and the problems in the Middle East will begin to be resolved.
Don't do that, and they will never be resolved.
OK, I'm not saying I know anything.
I'm just saying if we can't listen to the King of Jordan for friendly advice, who in the world (literally) CAN we listen to?
May 12, 2007 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't about "keeping order". It is about leading the way to find a solution so no one has to worry about keeping order in Gaza or anywhere else. And just like in Northern Ireland there will be parties who do not want to see peace achieved but the process of resolving the dispute cannot be derailed by those parties. It isn't going to be easy, just like Northern Ireland wasn't easy. But just because there is no "silver bullet" available to end the impasse quickly it doesn't mean it isn't worth doing.
May 12, 2007 7:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Daniel A. Greenbaum writes:
“As for the focus on Jews. The neo-Cons are for the most part Jewish. AIPAC is seen to have all the secret power that has in the past been attributed to Jews in in general. Since many at this site want to see Israel surrender and blame Israel for the Arabs own moral failings it is a nice way to be an anti-Semite to go after the neo-Cons and AIPAC. Your pointing this out violates the unwritten rule of the real bigots.”
How do we talk about these things in a civil, candid, and un-stilted manner? Daniel can, but many cannot.
How do we open our political discourse to recognize, in the same breath, that American Jews are central to most domestic progressive movement, important in Peace Now, and also central to the neo-conservative disaster of the past decade?
Daniel sets up the question nicely.
One of the villains of the peace, as far as the neocon dimension goes, is Allan Bloom.
I studied with Bloom and lived at Telluride when Bloom was den-mother to Wolfowitz and a gaggle of 20 year old neo-cons-to-be. Bloom could never resist linking his Platonic enlightened despotism ideas to Jewish history.
His acolytes were mostly Jewish and he encouraged a sense of their belonging to an elite club within an elite club. Never mind that the major liberal and left student organizations at Cornell were also predominately Jewish, Bloom encouraged the notion that his followers were twice-chosen.
I recall the tempest at TPM not so long ago when the Walt/Mearsheimer paper appeared. Those who found an iota of legitimacy in the paper were savaged as racists. Those who criticized the paper were blasted as Israeli lackeys.
There should be space for a calm discussion of the issues that flow from Daniel Greenbaum’s observation that “The neo-Cons are for the most part Jewish. AIPAC is seen to have all the secret power that has in the past been attributed to Jews in in general.”
I suppose it will happen in time. We do seem to have reached the point where one can write that Trotsky was Jewish without being seen either to indict Judaism with the “sin” of Communism or, conversely, to taint Communism with the “sin” of Zionism.
I hope that the era of civil discussion on this subject comes sooner rather than later.
Professor John Stuart Blackton
May 12, 2007 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Blackton,
There is no reason people cannot feel free to say whatever they like about AIPAC, the neocons, whatever. AIPAC claims 100,000 members. There are a few hundred neocons (tops).
There are six million American Jews. They are overwhelmingly liberal, Democratic, anti (Iraq and Iran) war and despise everything the Feiths, Wurmsers and Perles believe in. Criticism of a particular organization or ideological bent of some Jews is by no means anti-semitic although Alan Dershowitz and those of that ilk will always use that charge to silence debate. No one should be intimidated. Say what you will about AIPAC, neocons or, I don't know, the synagogue down the block whose parking lot too big or whatever. It is only anti-semitism when the criticism is of "the Jews"
as if Richard Perle (God forbid) in anyway speaks for us.
May 12, 2007 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
alright, I don't even know if you are serious, but I'll bite. Point by point...
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict does effect US national security, if anything does. You could just as easily say that nothing overseas effects US security and we can dismantle our army since we are at peace with Canada and Mexico.
On the other hand, the US has vital interests around the world (stability for trade, oil, not allowing small situations to turn into big ones that are much harder to stop later, like WWII, ethical concerns). To protect these interests, it is vital that we have friends and allies around the world. Some parts of the world its easy to have friends with (Europe). Other parts of the world have countries that are hostile or may become hostile to our interests (Iran, China, Russia) and the countries that are our friends in those parts of the world need a bit of extra help and protection (Taiwan, Poland, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait). In Israel's case, our help and support is complicated by the Israel-Palestine conflict, so the conflict has clear national security implications for the US.
Second, Israel is a fairly powerful country and right now its an ally. Its not going away, but if its not our ally, it will be someone else's. Not Iran, but possibly China. Chinese-Israeli military agreements would give China a new and big edge in weapons, which could threaten Taiwan or force Japan to militarize. This could impact US-Chinese relations, and since we are now very dependent on China economically it could sink us into recession (not that we're not going there anyway). It could also lead to war in Asia, which we would surely get sucked into.
Additionally, you said, "Israel could fall to the Arab states ", but, setting morality aside, Israel cannot fall to the Arab states. Its shown that time and again. You may wish Israel was wiped from the map, but since its not going anywhere, then any increase in chances for war just destabilizes the region, and since its our troops that will have to re-stabilize it to protect world oil resources, then that does impact our national security.
You said, "the US would probably be better off [if Israel were to fall] since the Arab nations would have less reason to hate us."... again, setting morality and also US domestic politics aside, Israel isn't going down without a fight, and it would not be a pushover like Iraq (not that Iraq turned out to be much of a pushover), so you're essentially talking about a regional war fought between nuclear powers that makes anything since WWII look like a minor skirmish. Since our entire national security strategy - including creating the UN -- is predicated on preventing war and international stability to promote trade and improve people's lives (including our own), how is this advancing our national security interests?
All of the countries we do get oil from care deeply about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Its their region. Next you're going to be telling me that we shouldn't be caring about Taiwan because we're not in Asia and its not a world power. We don't care about Israel and Taiwan because they are world powers, we care about them because other world powers care about them. Again, this is setting aside morality and our own personal interest in Israel. Not only is Norway not a world power, no world power cares about Norway (no offense Norwegians, I had a lovely 48 hours in your country once). Its not strategically important.
Let's set national security and the government aside. The reason the MEDIA focuses on Israel is because because over half the world cares deeply about Israel. The media is out to sell newspapers and get television viewers. If nobody cared about Israel, they wouldn't cover it. Afghanistan and Iraq are tactically important right now, but in the greater scheme of history they are far less important. People have been fighting over Israel for thousands of years longer than Northern Ireland, or pretty much anyplace else, except perhaps a few spots in India or China. Remember, Al Queda is fighting for the Caliphate and the Arabs are still pissed about the Crusades. You do know where the Crusades occurred, right?
I'm going to guess you are not very religious, because otherwise you wouldn't even ask these questions. However, the 2 1/2 or so billion Christians, Muslims, and Jews in the world who are religious are tremendously vested in Israel. There are parts of the world where the only reading material they have have is the Bible/Koran and the only place they know significantly about other than their own country is Israel. 2 1/2 billion people is a lot of newspapers to sell, and that is why the media will always care about Israel more than Norway.
Lastly, lets talk US domestic politics. One of the great strengths of the US is our immigrant population, which lets us have close ties to countries all over the world. The US regularly leverages this, for instance by sending Congressmen of a certain heritage to talk to governments of various countries. It makes other countries feel connected to and comfortable with us. Its why we rock at international trade. Its why even now most foreigners say they hate Bush and our government but they still love the American people.
The flip side of that, though, is that we have to care about countries around the world. The reason we were so helpful and so invested in Northern Ireland is because there is a huge Irish Catholic community in the US. All US politicians are always going to prioritize Irish issues because Irish-Americans care about Ireland, and in a representative democracy, the representatives in theory at least care about what the people care about.
Similarly, Jews vote around 80% Democrat and have the ability to influence Democratic primaries in several key states - CA, NY, FL - and thats setting aside the fundraising issue. So Democratic politicians are always going to support Israel.
Evengelical Christians make up probably 30% or so of the Republican party and Israel is a deeply important issue to them. So, likewise, all Republican politicians are always going to support Israel.
Since politicians are actively engaged and spending time on Israel, a lot of news occurs about Israel - speeches, etc. - that the media then covers. That's why you hear about it in your media (in addition to them wanting to sell papers to all those people who just directly care about Israel).
Lastly, you said, "Israel is a boring side note to more important national and world affairs since nothing ever actually changes there. "
Things do change in Israel. Just slowly. Very slowly. One of the things many foreigners tend to hate most about Americans is how short term all our policies and thinking is. Its a definite disadvantage we put ourselves at. Probably the shining example of this is Bush, who seems almost clinically incapable of thinking things through. Since things change slowly for better and for worse in Israel, if we're not actively engaged for each slow change, then one morning we may wind up with either WWIII or peace on earth, and shouldn't we be caring about or paying attention to the outcome of that choice?
May 12, 2007 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
terry,
"Irish rebel songs and tales were as much part of growing up as [ugh] oatmeal."
Hey, I'm an old man and I still like oatmeal.
and this:
"There was a wild colonial boy, Jack Duggan was his name.
He was born and raised in Ireland in a place called Castlemaine.
He was his father's only son, his mother's pride and joy,
And dearly did his parents love the wild colonial boy......."
I remember as a wee lad going to the butcher shop for Mrs.McKenna, our neighbor, to buy tripe for her pepper pot soup. And her Potato Soup was better than having an orgasm.
By the way, I'm German/Irish.
May 12, 2007 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
terry hallinano says:
"Demonstrating powerful evidence, we Irish are not never very good at math either. :-)"
Terry, being Irish, shouldn't the "o" at the end of your screen name be in the front? :-)
May 12, 2007 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
.> [1] You could just as easily say that nothing
> overseas effects US security and we can
> dismantle our army since we are at peace with
> Canada and Mexico.
.> [2] On the other hand, the US has vital
> interests around the world (stability for trade,
> oil, not allowing small situations to turn into
> big ones that are much harder to stop later,
> like WWII, ethical concerns). To protect these
> interests, it is vital that we have friends and
> allies around the world.
(To me this makes more sense if we read paragraph 2 first, then paragraph 1)
Your statement in paragraph 1 is interesting, and it may or may not be correct. However, it is also a self-perpetuating, self-feeding meme - and something that should be /openly and honestly discussed/, not just assumed.
Personally I think if the US just walked away from the oil regions of the Middle East that we might feel pain for 5-10 years, but after that would would be vastly better off for the next 300. However, since your meme [1] is self-perpetuating we can't even discuss that option in Presidental campaigns.
sPh
May 12, 2007 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am sorry to be the one to break this to you, but the two are mutually exclusive.
I know it sounds nice, it sounds like a reasonable compromise, but it can never work. The Palestinians were offered an independent Palestinian state on two occassions, in 1947 and 2000. Each time they (or at least their leaders, it is questionable how much of a role public opinion really plays in their society) rejected it and went to war, and both times they were defeated. The rise of Islamic political movements like HAMAS and the demise of "secular" Arab nationalism pushes away even further any possibility of a compromise.
Any Israeli withdrawals will simply lead to more interal strife and bloodshed among the Palestinians and more attacks against Israel.
Read the following article from the (Leftist) Ha'aretz newspaper:
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/857308.html
May 12, 2007 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Quote:
# First, conflict and insurgency can be contained by military action; it cannot be defeated by it.
This is totally untrue. Many "conflicts and insurgencies" have been defeated totally. Examples (1) The Malay insurgency of the 1950's. The British supressed it.
(2) Peru : Sendero Luminoso and Tupac Amaru groups led extremely bloody insurgencies that that country. The Sendero Luminoso was called the "Khmer Rouge of Latin America". They were defeated.
(3) The "Dirty War" in Argentina totally destroyed the quasi-Peronist Montonero and Trotskyite ERP Leftist terrorist groups. Unfortunately, the government and Right used bloody counter terror that involved massive violations of human rights and war crimes, but it worked.
(4) The British basically defeated the IRA in Northern Ireland leading the IRA to give up its armed struggle to reunite Ireland. It is true that they did get some political payoffs, but their main struggle completely failed.
(5) Nigeria defeated the Biafra uprising.
There are numerous other examples. Obviously there are also insurgencies that have succeeded. I am not saying that they can't succeed, but it is untrue that they can't be defeated, either.
May 12, 2007 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I beg to differ. No one ever thought that the Protestants and Catholics could share power in Northern Ireland either...and at the forefront of that sentiment were the supporters of the "no compromise" position on both sides.
And just like what was done in Ireland the people on both sides who say it will never happen must be told they have no choice but to make it happen...and eventually it will. The only question is how long will it take?
And just like with the Irish example both sides in the Israeli-Palestinian dispute have shown they are incapable of resolving this on their own so it is going to take outside parties to get involved...including, but not limited to, the US, the Saudis and the Jordanians.
May 12, 2007 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
" It is about leading the way to find a solution so no one has to worry about keeping order in Gaza or anywhere else. "
Good luck.
Why don't you start with anywhere else and show the way? Iraq for example, or Sudan or Haiti?
Northern Ireland is such a good example of how impossible taks is. There were no outside powers trying munipulate conflict. Both sides were Chistians . There was no lawlessness like in Gaza....
May 12, 2007 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Professor Blackton, I think you're creating an opposition that doesn't exist in any sort of meaningful equivalence on MJ's threads when you equate "anti-semites" on one hand and "vicious protectors of Israel" on the other. I simply don't see the alleged anti-Semitism coming from the liberals and lefties who criticize Israel here on this blog.
Since I've started reading MJ's blog plosts, I tend to see a lot of cogent, hard-hitting and deserved criticism of Israel and the US relationship with Israel on one side and knee-jerk insinuations of anti-Semitism and--even more--a sort of cowardly questioning-the-motives-of those-who-criticize on the other side. It's interesting that the Israel First crowd has a marked tendency to immediately go toward psychological motivation rather than deal in the empirical and the rational spheres. Perhaps playing psycho-analyst and questioning intentions is an effective way of diverting attention from the cold, empirical root of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: the ongoing, daily brutalization and de-humanization of the Palestinians. I think it's clear to any objective, thinking observer that the Palestinians have become the ultimate Other the past several decades.
May 12, 2007 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
"There are six million American Jews. They are overwhelmingly liberal, Democratic, anti (Iraq and Iran) war and despise everything the Feiths, Wurmsers and Perles believe in." -- MJ Rosenberg
As usual you overstate the case, Mr. Rosenberg in your zeal to war on the neo-cons. Yes, a majority of American Jews are liberals and oppose Bush's policy in Iraq (though they don't support Kucinich's either.)
Four of the things that Feith and Perle believe in are (i) that it is in America's national interest that Israel be strong militarily and economically, (ii) that it is in America's national interest that American economic and military aid to Israel not be reduced from current levels; (iii) that it is in America's national interest that Israel not be pressured into making dangerous territorial concessions to Hamas, Hezbollah and Assad; and (iv) that it is in America's national interest that Iran be prevented from obtaining nuclear weapons, by any means necessary.
Please show us ONE credible poll of the American Jewish community that indicates even one million, let alone six million, American Jews despise those four positions.
Does Russ Feingold despise those four positions? Does Barbara Boxer? Does Barney Frank? Does Jerry Nadler? Does Nita Lowey? Not only can't you show us a single credible poll of American Jews to that effect; you can't name one Jewish member of the House and Senate who despises those four things that Feith and Perle and Wolfowitz and Wurmser believe in.
May 12, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, you really went off the deep end there.
Let me address my feelings about this with an analogy. Your love for Israel is like a parent's love of their child. A parent may love their baby so much that they want to go tell every other adult every single detail about their baby nonstop without end.
In this analogy, I am like that other adult, childless in this case. Yes, I like and can appreciate your child. But, I am sick of you constantly bringing up how great and important your baby is during every single conversation you can possibly fit him in. My saying this does not mean I hate your baby - that is a complete knee-jerk reaction on your part that is totally unwarranted and actually makes you look bigoted. There is a whole world of other children out there, which I also like and appreciate. Maybe, for once, we could talk about them without bringing your baby into it. For example, we could possibly talk about the nice Irish child without bringing up your own baby.
I don't necessarily want to hear the gratuitous details of every fight your baby has on the playground with some of the other children in your neighborhood. No, that doesn't mean that I want to see your baby bullied. And no, I don't want to see your baby bully the other children. I would prefer that everyone live together happily in peace. However, if that is not possible, I don't care to keep reliving every, single, small detail over decade upon decade of fights. It gets old after a while since no real progress occurs. I'd be more than happy to just get the substantial updates, like when the bullying actually stops.
Israel is first and foremost your baby, not mine, and therefore of great importance only to you. The things I say are from my point of view and have nothing to do with whether I like your baby or not. What happens to your child has absolutely no effect on me and my future. I'll still get everything I want regardless of what happens to your baby.
I suggest you gain some perspective and stop thinking everything is about you and your baby Israel.
May 12, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ Writes: "No one should be intimidated. Say what you will about AIPAC, neocons or, I don't know, the synagogue down the block whose parking lot too big or whatever. It is only anti-semitism when the criticism is of "the Jews"as if Richard Perle (God forbid) in anyway speaks for us."
You are, indeed, a voice of civil discourse, Mr Rosenberg. I would wish just two things in this regard:
**** That most bloggers were are sensible, temperate, and judicious as you are on this matter; and
****That the unpleasant minority (both anti-semites, on the one hand, and angy protectors-of-Israel-at-all costs, on the other) who write un-civilly on this and other blogs, would be met by the steely, cold silence that they deserve.
So often ---even here at TPM, although less fequently in the posts following your essays ---- a single post from one of these ugly voices brings out a plethora of rants and raves from all quarters that destroys any semblance of discussion.
I must confess that, when I bump into Mr Perle in my neighborhood, some less-than-civil thoughts pass through my mind. But I leave them there and settle for mumbling a somewhat unenthusiastic "Good morning, Richard".
Professor John Stuart Blackton
May 12, 2007 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
A Conservative Brit MP directly involved with the negotiations doesn't seem to believe that the IRA was defeated. Go figure.
Your examples are localized and geographically limited. The ME is another matter altogether and insurgencies are spreading far beyond the borders of states in the region.
Nasrallah's posters now hang on the walls of buildings in Muslim villages in rural India.
If you want to defeat the Palestinian/Hezbollah insurgencies, you can if you are willing to commit genocide. However, the blowback would put Israel's very existance at risk. For real.
May 12, 2007 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bullshit. The middle east has been unstable since the dawn of history. Any sort of destabilizing effect on the world today has nothing to do with Israel and everything to do with oil, which does not come from Israel. The Saudis, Iran, Iraq, etc are fine taking our money regardless of whether or not they are happy with what happens in Israel.
The Israeli-Palestinian dispute is not the cause of the problems in the region, but an effect. Other effects include Saddam Hussein invading Kuwait, Iran invading its neighbors, the Sunni/Shia violence, and the rest of the violence in the area throughout history.
At the core of the instability is a group of religious fanatics who have lived there since the dawn of history. They certainly didn't like another religion coming into their area. But, they would still be nutty and self-destructive regardless of whether or not the Jewish religion was re-introduced in the area to feed their fanaticism.
The media focus on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict does more to flame the fires than douse them. Were all the religious fanatics in the region to calm down or stop their religious rhetoric, that would allow great strides to be made toward peace, similar to what happened in Europe. That certainly can not happen with constant media attention.
May 12, 2007 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Since I've started reading MJ's blog plosts, I tend to see a lot of cogent, hard-hitting and deserved criticism of Israel and the US relationship with Israel on one side and knee-jerk insinuations"
It's very interesting. Anything we don't agree with is "knee-jerk insinuations", demagogy and so on. If you listen to Rush Limbaugh, he would use exactly the same word to describe liberals.
Before we start giving our prescription how to resolve complex conflict abroad, why don't we start with being a little bit more open minded here
"It's interesting that the Israel First crowd has a marked tendency to immediately go toward psychological motivation rather than deal in the empirical and the rational spheres."
You don't even notice that rather than deal in the empirical and the rational spheres you question patriotism of people with whom you disagree.
May 12, 2007 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I doubt MJ or anyone else would disagree that Congresspeople are intimidated into silence on this issue by Aipac and its threats. Feingold is the one on your list who forcefully opposes the occupation. The others do privately but, NOT to their credit, are too scared of Aipac to speak up. I think that is the subtext in the writings here of MJ and Daniel Levy both. Probably 10 Democrats in Congress are neocon thugs like Perle and Feith. The rest are legally bribed into submission. And everybody knows it. And they all admit it in private. That's a fact, bub.
The whole Congress looks and votes like they hate gun control too. It's just that they fear the NRA. Although I have to admit there are probably a couple hundred real gun nuts in both parties who don't need the NRA to keep them in line. There arent enough Israel firsters to fill a closet in the Longworth House Office Building.
May 12, 2007 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
The way they defeated the colonialists in this country you think?
Best, Terry
May 12, 2007 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think EVERYBODY here is missing the big picture when it comes to Israel's fate! As both a historian and a descendant of 4,500 years of Hebrew culture, I see the future of the Jewish people in Israel as something much more important than the "Irish troubles" of a mere four hundred years.
Historically, there have been many, many concerted efforts to anihalate the Jewish peoples from the face of the earth. These recorded events include plots by the Persians in the 4th Century B.C.E. The Romans in 70 A.C.E.--when they wiped out the City of David and scattered Jewish people out from Judea, re-naming the land Palestine after the Latin word for Philistines, Judea's greatest pagan enemies who lived aroung the city of Gaza. There were also attempted obliteration by the Roman Catholic Church many times, including the Grand Inquisitions, issued by the Pope himself, when tens of thousands of Jews died. And countless pograms in Russia and Eastern Europe where millions were killed, raped and plundered over centuries. And of course the Nazi Holocaust where 2/3 of all Jews on earth were gassed to death and creamated in Germany's "Final Solution" eugenics program. This occured only six years before I was born and I lost many relatives to this latest orgy of anti-Semitism and genocide.
Now today, I see newspaper articles where the leaders of the PA, Hamas, Hezbullah, and even legitimate heads of nations like Iran and Syria are publically denouncing Israel's right to exist as a nation and calling for her destruction and that all Jews be murdered and thrown into the sea! Is this somerthing new in the history of my people? Of course NOT. Why do people today ignore these calls for genocide against Isreal or try to minimalize them? After three millinea of attempts at destruction of a people, is anybody suprised that they are still trying to ethnically cleanse us from the earth today?
PLEASE WAKE UP AND SMELL THE COFFEE AMERICA I know you are a bright and well educated people. According to the pew Foundation, 85% of American Jews are registered Democrats and over 60% declare themselves as liberal or progressive (including myself). We have always been solid supporters of the party, and the Democratic party has almost always stood behind Israel. Why stop now?
May 12, 2007 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, when last I looked, there were as many or more Jews in the US than in Israel. While I in no way am in favor of such, if Israel were obliterated, it would not be genocide of the Jewish people. It would be a democide of those who support the Zionist point of view, just as wiping out various Hasidic areas would be a different democide.
Are Hamas and Hezbollah calling for the killing of all Jews, or only those in Israel? There's quite a bit of ethnic cleansing in this world, and the Israelis are the least likely to be cleansed of whom I can imagine. I have more sympathy for the Fur.
As far as equating enemy calls for the obliteration of Israel to the Holocaust, I regard that as the exhaust of a fast-moving male bovine. I am an American. If some organization tried to kill Americans who happened to be Jewish or Catholic or Muslim or Wiccan, I'd fight to defend them. Israeli citizens are not Americans, and I see them as having no more claim on American defense than the citizens of most other countries -- and considerably less than those of countries without one of the most powerful militaries in the world. Sorry, I'm not going to fight to protect a country quite able to take care of itself, and, with actions in Lebanon and elsewhere, I would support the US drastically cutting back on military aid to Israel until Israel is willing to abide by the conditions of sale.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 12, 2007 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dan Tanna is way overwrought. The Democratic party is not abandoning Israel. If, God forbid, Israel is destroyed it will be thanks to the people who perpetuated what is now a 40 year occupation of the West Bank.
Just accept the Saudi plan, fer chrissake. It's the hardliners in Israel and the idiot Aipac guys bribing Congress who will destroy Israel.
Wake up. It's the occupation, stupid.
May 12, 2007 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I find most discussions involving foreign affairs to be sort of kabuki dances. The operating concept in such discussions really is what is in the self-interest of our nation, pure and simple. But that is too crass to admit. Instead, what is interjected are --at best--tangential subjects such as what is the just thing to do, or what is fair...etc, in short: ethics.
The result of this "changing of the subject" is that discussions generally degenerate into heated shouting matches that are a lot of hot air.
The professor is right that these tirades are totally fruitless and turn our little discussion forum into a circus.
It is also almost always the usual suspects.
Now you can say that either they simply don't know any better or they are obfuscators
If I understand MJ's position correctly, it is in our and Israel's best interest not to continue in this maximalist course and I agree.
But there is another deeper concern I have. It is un-natural for one power to identify its national self-interests with that of another so strongly as the US has identified its self-interests with those of Israel.
Realist orthodoxy forbids it. Yet it seems that this is where we are with US foreign policy as it regards Israel.
For different reasons, it is neither in our or Israel's self-interest in the long run to have this synchronic approach to our respective foreign policies.
May 12, 2007 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well said. There is no question that Israel contributes much to the world, positively and negatively. Historically, the US and the UK, even more than the UK and Canada, have had a "special relationship", but a relationship with much reciprocity. I simply don't see the same sort of reciprocity with Israel.
The argument that Israel must be prepared for holocaust at any moment ignores a vast difference in military power between Jews under the Third Reich, and Israelis versus any plausible opponent, including Iran. I can recreate the numbers, but Israel will have, for any future I can project, an overwhelming second-strike deterrent against Iran. I don't see Iran as suicidal, although possibly interested in mutual assured destruction. Even then, Israel's nuclear advantage is sufficiently great that I don't see Iran gaining anything approaching parity.
It is not a criticism of Israel to call it the Zionist state. I reject, however, that it is the definitive Jewish state. Should there be a threat against Jewish citizens of the United States, that is a threat to all Americans.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
May 12, 2007 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that for some quirky reason Israel is an important domestic issue in USA, but I fail to see why Israel is more strategically important to us than Mongolia.
"Second, Mongolia is a huge country, and if it is not our ally... what if they would ally with China? ... critical to the security of our supplies of cashmere and pashmina, and shortage of these essencial materials could throw us into a recession as the spouses of Wall Street financiers would grow disconsolate, financiers would grow distracted (or disconsolate, if female), our capital markets would grow erratic .... recession ... riots in the streets ... ".
Not to mention that our foreign policy is pissing off Russia, which in turn may well enter an aliance with both Iran and China, resulting in rather dramatic improvement in the armaments of both and what? We do not care!!! And with a good reason!!! At the end of the day, the high-falutin strategic importance issues do not matter much.
Another comment: not only things do change slowly in Israel, it is very unclear if they change in a desirable direction, and if our influence does any good.
May 12, 2007 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
"At the core of the instability is a group of religious fanatics who have lived there since the dawn of history..."
Jews? Followers of Marduk and Ishtar appeared earlier, but they do not seem to cause any instability lately. Philistines? Egyptians? I am stumped.
May 12, 2007 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
More salient is the fact that OUTSIDERS have very slim chances of defeating an insurgency. Argentinians defeating Argentinians, Peruvians defeating Peruvians etc. are different stories altogether. British DID NOT defeat the insurgency in Malaya (or in Kenya etc.): "With the independence of Malaya under Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman on August 31, 1957, the insurrection lost its rationale as a war of colonial liberation. The last serious resistance from MRLA guerrillas ended with a surrender in the Telok Anson marsh area in 1958. The remaining MRLA forces fled to the Thai border and further east."
May 12, 2007 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, we get it. And no, we don't need the history lesson. We already know everything you mentioned.
You too quickly dismiss the lessons of Europe. There you have a whole set of nations who used to hate each other just as bad as any individual nation hates Israel. After millennia of warfare, competition, and strife, Europe has come together in harmony. You could stand to learn something from them.
These calls to action only adds flame to the fire. Making people rabid for your cause actually hurts you and makes your plight that much worse. You should be pushing for less self-righteous religious propaganda from all sides.
The cure for religious fanaticism is less religious fanaticism, not more.
May 12, 2007 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I'm not going to fight to protect a country.."
I don't think aqnybody ask you to do this.
May 12, 2007 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Just accept the Saudi plan"
What does "accept" mean?
Is there document that Iarael should sign?
May 12, 2007 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Although I do think the Israeli-Palestinian issue has a more important bearing on US interests than Xopher admits, I have to say that I share Xopher's gut reaction to the tedium and needlessness of the Daily Israel Reflection. Israel, Israel, Israel, Israel ... is that the only other country in the world? One would think so based on the exhorbitant amount of space devoted to it on this site.
It would be one thing if the discussions of Israel were only one part of a wide-ranging consideration at TPM Cafe of many equally significant global affairs issues. But as we know, the rest of the world seems, quite mysteriously, to have almost totally vanished from the site. Aside from the endless and redundant dissections of the foibles of our 51st state, the front page content here now appears to be about 99.5% devoted to US domestic policy and US electoral politics, with some blogospheric meta-analysis thrown in about the phenomenon of the blogosphere itself, about whether blogging is better than marching, etc.
I know that others don't all share my particular interests, and maybe the new introverted, domestic wonkery format really grabs a lot of readers. But for me, TPM Cafe has turned into a sort of flat earth society meeting, where all the rest of non-Americo-Israeli humanity has apparently fallen of the world's edge. I find increasingly less reason to vist the site, and fewer posts on which I am moved to comment. I also don't think the management has been either forthcoming or entirely honest with us about what is going on here.
May 12, 2007 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
"a historian and a descendant of 4,500 years of Hebrew culture"
As a historian, can you tell what was this culture doing 4,500 years ago? Preparing for the flood?
"And countless pogroms in Russia and Eastern Europe where millions were killed, raped and plundered over centuries"
Quite a contrast to what was happening to Jews in USA and North America. Please enlighten us when those millions were ravaged (Holocaust is listed separatedly). And why Jews lived "in Russia and Eastern Europe" for centuries to begin with.
And what is this 70 A.C.E. date? After common era? An era that did not start yet? And what plots of Persians in 4th century B.C.E.? Persian kings were actually friendly toward Jews.
With similar accuracy Dan Tanna quotes "leaders of the PA, Hamas, Hezbullah, and even legitimate heads of nations like Iran and Syria are publically denouncing Israel's right to exist as a nation and calling for her destruction and that all Jews be murdered and thrown into the sea".
A historian should strive better to stay close to the recorded facts.
On a lighter note, in 1945 Communist took power in Poland and history books started to use p.n.e. abbreviation -- before our era. A matematician, Hugo Steinhaus, quipped "those who say "our era" should say "your era". Several years later Israel introduced "common era" which perhaps should be "their era".
Back to the serious case: Dan Tanna managed to distort every single aspect of Jewish history (down to Holocaust, when 1/2 of Jews perished, not 2/3), as well as the present. This distortion leads to paranoia, and paranoia leads to irrational policies. Rational policies, however, would be much better for Israel (and USA and everybody else).
May 12, 2007 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me understand what you are saying. Since 6 million out of 7 million Jews in Europe were murdered in the Holocaust, but it didn't affect North America, it WASN"T genocide?
How do you justify President Franklin D Roosevelt sending MILLIONS of American boys to shed their blood fighting for the liberation of Frenchmen, Dutch, Belgians and for the defense of Englishmen?
As Davai pointed out: No one is asking you to fight for Israel. That is why many of us in Israel strongly oppose the introduction of foreign forces to "straighten out the Palestinians" which would be seen a "protecting Israel", in addition to Bush's false claim that he is "protecting Israel" by pursuing his Iraqi fiasco. And if you resent giving aid to Israel, I pointed out in another thread that the US would be doing Israel a favor if it cut off its financial aid...Israel doesn't need it, it damages the Israeli economy and is given for political purposes.
May 13, 2007 1:01 AM | Reply |