Public Opinion Supports Bold Progressive Leadership
We've been tracking impressive new progressive legislation, from environmental to voting rights to family leave to budget reform laws in states across the country.
But are these gains just a temporary reaction against the failures of national leadership, or are they based on a solid foundation of changes in public opinion?
In fact, a major multi-decade study of public opinion published just in the last few weeks by the Pew Research Center emphasizes that current political changes are matched by a strengthening of progressive values in the public. The study, Trends in Political Values and Core Attitudes: 1987-2007, shows that not only have there been important shifts in the last couple of years, but more importantly, there are long-term trends over the past few decades that have created opportunities for progressive leaders to deliver bold programs that take on the cynicism that affects too many Americans.
The Public Backlash Against Corporate Excess
The change in political winds is driven partly by the sense in the public that corporate profits and rising economic inequality are out of control. A few key points:
- 76% of the public believe that too much power is concentrated in the hands of a few corporations.
- Nearly two-thirds (65%) say corporate profits are too high, up from 59% in 2003; the intensity against these excess corporate profits is the highest in twenty years of polling.
- Just 38% feel that corporations strike a fair balance between profits and the public interest, again the lowest percentage in twenty years.
While Americans still believe that a strong business sector is important for the strength of the country, they increasingly feel corporate power is undermining other values that they care about, such as a fair opportunity for all.
Fear of rising inequality is pervasive. Nearly three-quarters (73%) of the public agree with this statement: “Today it’s really true that the rich get richer while the poor get poorer.” The percentage holding this view has risen eight points just since 2002.
With rising inequality, 68% of Americans believe "labor unions are necessary to protect the working person" with 79% of those making less than $30,000 per year endorsing the need for stronger unions as a counterweight to corporate power.
Endorsing Strong Environmental ProtectionThe other part of the public backlash is condemnation of corporate pollution of the environment. ExxonMobil scores the most unfavorable ratings of any corporation in Pew's poll and an overwhelming majority (83%) of the public supports stricter laws and regulations to protect the environment.
Rejecting the oil industry's mantra of opening more land for drilling, 69% of the public endorses the position that “we should put more emphasis on fuel conservation than on developing new oil supplies.” Americans recognize that artificially cheap fossil fuels have consequences and 60% would "be willing to pay higher prices in order to protect the environment," a sentiment that shows that, properly presented, there is a public appetite for increased gas taxes or carbon taxes to encourage conservation.
The environmental movement as a group receives some of the highest favorability ratings of any political group, with 63% approving of it, compared to only 45% approving of the "Christian conservative movement" and 52% approving of the National Rifle Association (NRA).
Health Care & Restoring the Safety Net
Despite the YOYO (You're On Your Own) ideology promoted by the right-wing, 69% of Americans now believe that government has a responsibility "to take care of people who can't take care of themselves" - an increase in support for a strong safety net from 61% as recently as 2002.
Similarly, 69% say the government should guarantee "every citizen enough to eat and a place to sleep," up from 63% in 2002 and the highest it has been since 1991. This belief in a hand-up for those in need trumps even fears of deficit spending: 54% of the public believes, "The government should help more needy people even if it means going deeper in debt," compared to just 41% who endorsed that statement back in 1994.
Health Care for All: 26% of Americans say there has been a time in the last 12 months when they have been unable to afford necessary health care for themselves or a family member. Support for extending health care to all Americans trumps any tax-phobia: 66% of Americans favor "the government guaranteeing health insurance for all citizens, even if it means raising taxes."
With some governors and legislatures stepping up to support revenue increases to pay for extending health care to the uninsured, there is clearly a super-majority in support of their actions.
Race and ImmigrationDespite the right-wing attempts to play the race card to divide the American electorate, there is less and less racial fear for them to tap.
As recently as 1987, only 48% of the public believed that it was okay for blacks and whites to date. Today, 83% approve of inter-racial dating, a gigantic decline in personal prejudice.
However, most Americans believe that racial discrimination in the workplace is very much alive-- only a third of the public believes discrimination against blacks is rare. While the public is divided over "racial preferences," 70% of the public support some form of "affirmative action programs to help blacks, women and other minorities to get better jobs and education," a significant increase since 1995 when only 58% of the public supported affirmative action to deal with discrimination.
On immigration, while the public does think better border controls are needed, a plurality (48%) reject building the fence on the Mexican border, while 59% support the more progressive approach of allowing undocumented immigrants who have been here a few years to gain legal status with the possibility of American citizenship.
The Decline of the Social Issues "Wedge" CardWhile Americans remain overwhelmingly a religious people, with 83% saying they never doubt the existence of God, those religious beliefs are yielding less conservative social policies in the public sphere. A few examples:
- In 1987, 51% of the public supported firing teachers who are known to be homosexual; just 28% now support that view.
- In 1987, 43% of the public believed "AIDS might be God's punishment for immoral sexual behavior," but just 23% now agree with that statement.
- Where less that 29% of the public in 1987 completely disagreed with the statement that "Women should return to their traditional roles in society," 51% of the public now completely rejects that statement, and 75% of Americans now reject the idea that women should be confined to traditional roles.
Abortion is still an intense issue for people, but a 56% majority opposes making it more difficult for a woman to get an abortion, while only 35% favor more abortion restrictions. Back in 1985, 47% of the public favored restricting abortion rights, so this is again a significant change in values over the last two decades.
One reason we see the right-wing hyperventilating over gay marriage is that it's about the last card they have to play. Appeals to racism and even most forms of anti-gay prejudice don't register with much of the voting public, so the right-wing has to continually trot out gay marriage like a one-trick pony.
The Progressive Challenge: Public CynicismHowever, while the public wants active government for everything from strengthening labor rights to protecting the environment to ending racial discrimination to providing health care for all, they are now deeply cynical about the ability of government to deliver on those needs.
With Bush and his corporate cronies taking a wrecking ball to government and demonstrating massive incompetence, from Iraq to cleaning up after hurricane Katrina, the result has been a significant increase just since 2002 in the percentage of the public that believes things run by government are "inefficient and wasteful." While the public wants what government delivers, 62% worry about the waste and corruption they have too often seen demonstrated.
Similarly, we have seen a decline since 2002, from 55% down to 45%, in the percentage of the public that believes that "government is really run for the benefit of all the people."
While sometimes merited, that cynicism by the public is often the largest obstacle to progressive success. It's a good reason for legislators to take the steps-- ethics reforms, public financing of elections, greater disclosure of tax and budget benefits for corporations -- to help overcome the skepticism that many Americans have in our democracy.
The Future Looks BrightPossibly the most hopeful message from the Pew polls is that public opinion in the future is likely to continue trending in the progressive direction, since young people are distinctly more progressive than their parents. For example:
- Young people hold a more favorable view of government; they are far less prone to see government as inefficient.
- Younger generations are more socially liberal than older ones; those 18-29 are the one age group that supports (56%) gay marriage.
- 94% of those born since 1977 approve of interracial dating.
The biggest problem is that young people don't vote in as large numbers, but tools like Election Day Registration and Vote-by-Mail can help bring these progressive youth out to vote -- a gift to progressives if they take advantage of it.
What the Pew Poll shows is that there is a hunger for smart, progressive leadership to deliver on the desire of the American people for a more fair economy and greater social justice. Leaders may face cynicism that they can succeed, but if they take the bold steps needed, they can be confident that theirs is a deep well of public support for their actions.













I'm for that, having diverse energy sources instead of being solely dependent on petroleum imports can only benefit our country, and so will having all 50 states as well as the entire country running balanced budgets, with full public accountability and oversight, which will help prevent and preclude the future existence of a lot of problems that have arisen due to a lack of that public oversight. Runaway energy consumption, runaway debt, pollution, the list goes on, there's a lot of problems that need to be directly and authoritatively addressed on the Senate floor, as well as in the state capitols.
Lots of work to be done...
April 24, 2007 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, Nathan, for posting this. I've loved the Pew Research Center since I discovered it. The questions they ask probe the heart of the culture and they're asked in a way (MHO) which doesn't skew the answers.
I suppose I also love the site because it gives me some hope that the heart of the country is sound, even if the political leadership is currently disconnected from it. Seeing what significant majorities favor progressive causes has caused me to toy with a little idea for some time.
Would I be willing to see my taxes increase by 5% in exchange for being allowed to direct where 10% of them went? I think I would. And other Pew research has indicated that people are willing to pay more for programs they respect and value.
aMike
April 24, 2007 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Americans tend to be very practical and rather fickle. Franklin Roosevelt ran for President on a platform that he was going to balance the budget. In his first inaugural speech he made the most remarkable promise any President has ever made. His administration was going to try things to get the country out of the Depression. If they did not work they would try other things.
what the Pew poll seems to show is that Americans want to see their lives and lives of fellow Americans made more secure and improved. Unlike ideologues on the Right and Left they don't care so much who does what as they do that it works.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 24, 2007 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder how much the dissatisfaction will continue once the war ends and Bush is gone. It's true that a charismatic leader could seize the moment and probably push through a progressive agenda, but we seem to be short of them right now.
Every single candidate (with the possible exception of Kucinich) is stuck in the mode of tweaking things around the edges. A bit of change to tax policy here, a little adjustment to health insurance there and maybe some slight improvement in the ability of labor to organize, but that's about it.
As long as campaigns quote how much money they raised rather than how many people they have attracted the process can't change. Everyone is beholding to the same business interests since that's where the money comes from. And they need the money because the only way to reach the disinterested voter is through (expensive) TV.
The public may be ahead of the politicians, but we have no effective progressive leadership. I'm stumped.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
April 24, 2007 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
These numbers are great, and help shoot down the argument we hear over and over again (even here at TPMCafe) that the country has "moved to the right," or the country is "basically conservative."
If ya can't outlaw abortion in SD, ya can't outlaw it.
Our obligation is to define the liberty of all, not to mandate our own moral code. -- SCOTUS that was...
April 24, 2007 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Nathan and thanks for the link to the important PEW report.
To me after decades of a climate of deregulation the excesses are are coming to bite us back.
So we will swing to more regulation under the dems. Then excessive regulation will some day bite us back also.
We need to flatten out the amplitude of the wild swings but that is very hard to do.
Also we need to perceive risks properly because of the huge flows of dollars that result from of our correct or incorrect perception of risk. The recent epitome of gross misperception of risk was WMDs in Iraq which cost us dearly.
Right now we need much more reining in of big business and increased budgets for the regulatory agencies
The progressives, of which I view myself as one, day has indeed arrived. Enjoy it while it lasts which is not forever?
Dr. Rick Lippin
Southampton, Pa
http://medicalcrises.blogspot.com
April 24, 2007 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've just learned where I fit on the political spectrum and how much I really know about current events, all thanks to Pew's website. It's fun, if time consuming. :)
April 24, 2007 8:01 PM | Reply | Permalink