Biden's Straight-Talk To John McCain
Joe Biden has an important oped today, "The Real Surge Story," that really goes after Senator John McCain's continued embrace of military deployments in Iraq.
From Biden's piece:
If the president's plan won't work, what will? History suggests only four other ways to keep together a country riven by sectarian strife:We allow or help one side to win, which would require years of horrific bloodletting.
We perpetuate the occupation, which is impossible politically and practically.We promote the return of a dictator, who is not on the horizon but whose emergence would be the cruelest of ironies.
Or we help Iraq make the transition to a decentralized, federal system, as called for in its constitution, where each major group has local control over the fabric of its daily life, including security, education, religion and marriage.
Making federalism work for all Iraqis is a strategy that can still succeed and allow our troops to leave responsibly. It's a strategy I have been promoting for a year.
I cannot guarantee that my plan for Iraq will work. But I can guarantee that the course we're on -- the course that a man I admire, John McCain, urges us to continue -- is a road to nowhere.
Biden's assessment is quite bleak but realistic.
But what is really odd about John McCain's position is that he used to believe that a post-invasion deployment force needed to be around the 300,000 troop level that General Shinseki suggested. Zbigniew Brzezinski, who opposes what he has called an "colonial crusade in a post-colonial world", said that an occupation deployment of more than 500,000 troops could have some impact on the current situation -- just to take the counter-point for a moment.
McCain is spending his political capital endorsing a minor surge in troop levels and endorsing sleight-of-hand incremental changes in the duration of deployment terms. He's staking his political future on a level of US force in Iraq -- even if you agreed with his general position -- that he never believed was enough to begin with.
-- Steve Clemons is Senior Fellow and Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation and publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note















J. McCutchen
The Iraqi Parliament just blew up and another bomb sent a major bridge and several cars into the Tigris
John McCain
Post traumatic stress disordered*
*I didn't stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night
April 12, 2007 7:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
~
Cocky aggressive A-4 pilots were never known for their ability to recognize the handle from the spade end on a shovel, let alone stop digging their hole deeper.
~OGD~
April 12, 2007 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Start a phased withdrawal of the troops immediately and the only change concerning the USA will be our troops stop dying and getting maimed for life, we stop throwing $8 billion a month down a rat hole, and we stop the grand theft of American tax dollars.
Let them fight it out among themselves....or.....join the "always wrong on Iraq gang", the "6 more monthers"...and stay and die.
April 12, 2007 7:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
It would seem that Biden's solution is to order everyone to come to terms. That's not unlike what we've been doing for years, and it's mere rhetoric. Of course, a hawk like Steve will leave out an option or two, such as Edwards's plan for withdrawal coupled with military protection of neighboring states, encouraging the more modest goals of containment and internationalism. It's scary how far to the right these "liberal" hawks have gone since their alleged Cold War roots and in furtherance of their most militarist cold war rhetoric that containment is apparently now in their eyes little more than appeasement.
At least Biden won't promise his plan will work either. Where's his Plan B?
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
April 12, 2007 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
It isn’t really about John McCain, is it? McCain has simply cornered himself politically and has no option but to support the surge (the only game in town conidering his pro-war position). I think Biden just used his op-ed to make a case for a loose federal system, which many have been claiming as the only feasible solution since the constitution was forced on Iraq. I have never been convinced that a partition would lead to greater regional conflict. So what if Turkey or the Saudis don’t like it. They are not going to like what happens if it isn’t done. The Sunnis may be afraid of losing out in the deal but oil revenues and local power can be negotiated and they too should fear the alternative more (all out civil war).
One has to be suspicious of the administration’s motives for not considering any realistic exit strategy. We gave Iran a cohort when we invaded and nothing we do will change that. I may be wearing my tin foil hat, but withdrawing our troops also takes away opportunities for attacking Iran since our forces would not be poised on their border and there would be no incidences of Iranian involvement in attacking our troops to prompt retaliation.
April 12, 2007 8:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Option 5 - we get the hell out and let a regional group with some credibility among the Iraqis help the Iraqis stabilze their situation.
Tom
April 12, 2007 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Recognize 'facts on the ground'
1. The Kurds already have their own flag. They already are calling themselves Kurdistan. They like the US and there are no insurgents and security problem there.
Build on the stability/success of Kurds by crerting something similar for the south of the country for Shiites.
McCain shares Bush's pathology of "not losing" at any costs. His seemingly masochistic stance is based on a personal sense of being a good soldier, while Bush is tied to a much more arrogant, sadistic, selfish, ruling class sense of entitlement. He is a 'king' with a right to poor people's son's lives and limbs. He thinks he has every right to throw soldiers on the fire to protect his noble legacy.
McCain's throwing himself on the fire as a noble gesture. I believe he's feeling his mortality. Listen to his speeches - his voice sounds old and haggard. He's in his twilight and wants to go down as a 'winner' and not a victim of America's enemies as he was in Vietnam.
McCain desperately needs to maintain the war for the maintenance of his psyche.
April 12, 2007 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
These would be the same Kurds who occupy a landlocked sliver of land bordering three implacably hostile countries, one of which has already launched artillary shells and threatens armed raids and punitive actions across the border in defiance of the United States?
The same Kurds currently engaged in Ethnic cleansing, purges and local genocidal actions, in order to secure their claim to oil?
Okay, sure.
And we're going to go to the Shiites and say "Hey, you thought you'd have the whole country? Ha! Tell you what, we'll give you 1/3 the territory so you can have your own little rump microstate from a country where you used to be the absolute majority.
I don't see why they wouldn't go for it...
April 12, 2007 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmmm. Will federalism work?
Nah. The Kurds don't want Federalism, they want their own country!
The Shiites don't want Federalism. They want it all!!!
The Kurds won't get it, they're landlocked and screwed.
The Shiites have 65% of the population, and they've got powerful allies. They'll get it.
April 12, 2007 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
When Senators "Bloviatin' " Joe Biden and Mad Dog John McCain convert to Islam, start speaking Arabic, and move themselves and their families to Baghdad, then I'll give a damn what they say Iraq needs or doesn't need. Until then, what Iraqis in their right minds would take the advice of two senile American Senators who let a dyslexic dwarf chimpanzee like Deputy Dubya Bush make monkeys out of them? What inane and insufferable arrogance from two fatuous fools who apparently never heard of Lyndon "Gulf of Tonkin" Johnson and Richard "Peace With Horror" Nixon!
April 12, 2007 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly, we have no power/authority to get these three to agree to anything, each has their own interests and Bush has his.
Our choices in Iraq are either leave or stay indefinitely. Any caveats to pulling out are simply saying that if we pull out, things that are already happening in Iraq will happen in Iraq.
April 13, 2007 3:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
pontificate pontificate pontificate, babble babble babble, bloviate bloviate bloviate,
surge, honk, honk....
plan, babble babble....
we have to, bleat bleat....
6 more months....screech, screech....
While you're doing all your bloviating, they're still dying and being maimed for life.
After all that's said and done, after all the bullshit has been spewed, it always comes down to this; we have two choices; leave, or stay and die.
April 13, 2007 4:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
What do we do when they start fighting over who owns Kirkuk?
April 13, 2007 6:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
In my opinion it does not much matter at this point who says what about the Iraq debacle. The establishment have seen to it that at least four giant military enclaves have been built (now being completed) in Iraq and they have closed the bases in the United States that troops slated for assignment in the Middle East would have been quartered in. This has been in the planning long before the first tank crossed the Iraqi borders. We are in Iraq( the Middle East) to stay for the foreseeable future and our oligarchs don't give a damned what the general public thinks and have seen to it that the framework for a police state exists(the Patriot Acts and associated home land security structures {why didn’t they go all the way and call it Fatherland?}) to be used against a rebellious population. The forces behind Bush Inc. have indeed crossed the Rubicon; they cannot and will not turn back.
That, ladies and germs, is how it is and it is going to take some real heroics on the part of the general population to make any significant changes to this growing fascist state. I don't think the 2007 American citizenry is up to the challenge. Perhaps after they have been reduced to crushing poverty and before they forget what they once had these currently sheepish couch-potato people will be ready to make the sacrifices necessary to regain their economic and social freedoms.
"Governmments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed."
Thomas Jefferson
April 13, 2007 6:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Shiites have Iran, but Sunis have Syria. A majority doesn't necessarily mean power either. Look at Ruwanda.
April 13, 2007 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
SeeDee
It does make one start to wonder, BVZ, and, then, we have Halliburton and who knows who else locating head-quarters in the neighboring states and the whole show under the umbrella of a huge American Embassy which, effectively insures that the profits from the area's resources are funnelled into the coffers of those Bush Inc. favorites.
No matter how much U.S. tax-payer money it takes to maintain the protection for those favored corporations, nor, more importantly, how much American blood is required.
April 13, 2007 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Sunis have Syria"
Uhm, first things first: So what? Syria has no oil, no substantial economic or political resources, no significant allies, no nothing. Who cares about Syria?
Secondly: Syria is majority Sunni, but its ruled by the Allawites, who are a Shiite minority population.
Third: The Shiites are 65% of Iraq.
Fourth: The Shiites have Iran? Both in terms of a political government that is a Shiite theocracy, and a majority (90%) Shiite community. The Shiite Iranians also have 70 million people, gajillion barrels of oil and natural gas, a long border with Iraq and half the Persian gulf coastline.
Fifth: Saudi Arabia is Sunni, except for the part with the oil, which is where the Shiite minority is. Saudi Arabia has 30 million people and its an unstable monarchy.
Bad news all day long.
April 14, 2007 1:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
You don't have to wonder. Read Chalmers Johnson's trilogy.
Tom
April 14, 2007 6:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
A brief review here.
"Governments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed."
Thomas Jefferson
April 14, 2007 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I happen to agree 100% with Biden on the proposal of a federation--my suggestion would be four regions, with Baghdad itself being the fourth, federal entity.
It doesn't matter now, though; our ability to direct an outcome is gone, and the Shiites have locked onto power.
The surge was a well-crafted piece of politico-military tactics; its greatest virtue was that it couldn't be stopped. And so it has not. The debate must inevitably resolve around the consensus position rapidly emerging:
1) end to combat operations before November, 2008;
2) general withdrawal in progress by January, 2009.
The Republican party will support this series of developments; almost any other would doom them in the elections.
The Democratic candidates can live with this outcome, in that it will leave them a relatively free hand. I trust Carl Levin & Co. to come up with the proper language through the appropriations process to sufficiently tie the Bushite hands down the road 12 months or so.
They can take advantage of this freedom both now, in terms of proposing policies unlikely to come to pass as per Sen. Biden (in this case, because of Bushite blockheadedness), and later, in having the ability to choose between four options: go back in (for some reason I can't imagine but would involve specific Al Qaeda cells), pull further back, remain at a low level, or get the hell outta Dalmiya.
America Coming Together
see http://chinshihtang.blogspot.com
April 15, 2007 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink