News and Morning Open Thread
We got another interesting guest for you this week.
Starting tomorrow, Democratic Leadership Council Chair Harold Ford, Jr. will join us to discuss the DLC's policy plans for the 2008 primary. I'm expecting a lively discussion.
Predictions?
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Predictions?
He'll dodge questions and not face up to the failures of the DLC to advance the progressive cause.
April 2, 2007 7:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
The DLC is simply Republican lite.
April 2, 2007 7:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
He won't even dodge questions. It will simply be hit-and-run posting, putting up a post each day, and never responding to any of us.
Prove us wrong, Mr. Ford.
Here's his view on Iraq, from an interview he did last week with the Washington Times:
So, at the very least, he is completely out of touch with the will of the American people. What he thinks "Americans want" does not hold up in any poll. He's about as out of touch as former President Bush and the scanner at the supermarket.
Most American don't "want to win" -- most Americans have realized, we have already *lost*.
But that's the least. Because what he's really doing here is misrepresenting the Democratic position on withdrawal, doing the same kind of lying that Bush and Joe Lieberman do, saying Democrats want an immediate, "premature" withdrawal, which evokes the kind of imagery we saw in the last days of Vietnam.
Perhaps Ford could make his argument without associating the majority of the Democratic Party -- both in Congress and especially us in the rank-and-file -- with Saigon?
The bottom line is this: Ford and the DLC agree with George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, that a withdrawal from Iraq is the wrong thing to do. George W. Bush and Dick Cheney have been wrong about EVERYTHING that has to do with Iraq, from the reasons we got in, to the manner in which it is being run.
Is there any reason to believe that Bush and Cheney -- and Ford -- are right about when we should get out of Iraq?
I'm no foreign policy expert. Just a guy with a computer. But my money's on whatever plan is the exact *opposite* of whatever Bush and Cheney tell us is the right thing to do.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly, cscs, it won't be a discussion or anything resembling it. Ford will throw out some popular generalities without ever talking about anything specific. It'll be the sort of stuff that is intended to make us feel good and placate people, but that is ultimately meaningless.
Does anyone else feel like you have to be a starfucker to enjoy these sorts of guests?
April 2, 2007 7:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I predict that no one will care what he actually says, as the letters DLC are like waving a red flag in front of a bull around here.
Noel
April 2, 2007 7:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why do I think that I'm going to need the word "internecine" before the week is out?
April 2, 2007 7:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gotta read Booman's DLC primer post - amazing!
Hillary and the DLC
April 2, 2007 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
and why would that be? maybe as in right-wing talking points it is just "DLC derangement syndrome" and it should be ignored along with the more familiar "Bush derangement syndrome". proper people do not contract these illnesses. they are illnesses of the dirty unwashed left.
April 2, 2007 8:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
I was reluctant to say this at first, but what the hell....I never trusted Ford, I always saw him as self serving. I did want him to win that Senate seat, but only because he's a Dem. and it would have helped grab the majority.
April 2, 2007 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since the DLC are the Democrats that help Democrats from being seen as enslaved to the looney Left Ford should have interesting this to say at the Cafe.
I predict will be insulted and rudely treated and he will have some interesting and challenging answers for his detractors.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 2, 2007 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
My prediction? Disrespect. The DLC was specifically founded to take control of the Democratic Party away from the dirty grassroots, and I see no evidence that they have changed their way of thinking.
sPh
April 2, 2007 9:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that, yes, some people will be shrill or rude (e.g. "looney Left"), and I also find it distasteful. TPM's no Kos, but it's still the internet.
But I'll bet dollars to donuts Ford doesn't mix it up in the comments, or even address them in subsequent posts. Get ready for the press release remixes, folks.
April 2, 2007 9:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly cscs! I call it the George Costanza theory.
Whatever George Bush's instincts tell him to do, we should do the opposite. Read all about it:
http://tinyurl.com/2d3lq3
April 2, 2007 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
And "looney left" isn't insulting?
It is to me.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since the Washington Times article claiming that Ford has "split with Democrats" on Iraq by opposing the supplemental bill's language on withdrawal has already been mentioned in this thread, and was also the subject of fiery posts at DKos and MyDD, folks should be aware that Ford put out a statement Friday disputing the article and making it clear he would have voted for the bill had he been in the Senate. This was just mischief-making by the WaTimes, and shouldn't be credited here.
April 2, 2007 9:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
if you have nothing to say and no answers to questions and arguments raised, you follow the Bush talking points and try to marginalize by name calling. We all recall how the serious center ridiculed all anti-war positions as stupid and disloyal. Greenbaum likes to shovel that shit.
April 2, 2007 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
.> I agree that, yes, some people will
> be shrill or rude (e.g. "looney Left"),
> and I also find it distasteful. TPM's
> no Kos, but it's still the internet.
I would love to sound like Duncan Black (Atrios) here, but I am nowhere near that good a writer. Still, I will give it a shot.
There has long been an assumption among the Washington DC insiders (of all parties) that they represent a superior class that gives instruction to the lesser classes and that brooks no disagreement with their Pronouncements. Many of the guest posters here over the last 12 months have taken that attitude in their writings. When their _ideas_ have been seriously and sharply criticized, they have responded by classifying such disagreement from the peons as "abusive" or "vituperative". Whereas I would say they are simply being exposed to the light of strong analysis for the first time since they left the college dorm - and they don't like it.
Are there some obnoxious posters here (as at Kos, and MyDD, and..)? Sure. Are there some obnoxious people in life who need to be politely ignored? Yes. But ignoring the substantial thoughtful criticism that has been posted here is obnoxious as well.
sPh
April 2, 2007 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I predict Ford will post an edited version of the speech that Andrew has linked to this post. You have to read through it a bit to get past the thank yous and shout outs. But my guess is that Ford's first paragraph will be:
As we think about the moment we find ourselves today and we think about the past six years, we all have our criticisms of this administration. We can all point to specific things and broader things, but the primary construct is that we have missed an enormous set of opportunities over the last six years to lead this nation and provide a new example for moderation, democracy, for freedom and for liberty here at home and abroad. There are many, many fingers that can be pointed probably not far from here in the same direction down at 16th and Penn. But the challenge of our party and throughout our history has always been not to blame, not to point fingers, even when the fingers should be pointed at ourselves, but to figure out answers and to develop solutions.
I would suggest we all read that speech from that point forward so that we can find specific points on which to question or challenge Ford, or ask for clarification.
April 2, 2007 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh yeah, the looney left was correct when it came to the war. I forgot that... :-)
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmm, interesting, Ed. Thanks.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I assume what he means is that, while he would not have favored the inclusion of withdrwal timetables in the bill, and would have argued against them, he would nevertheless have stuck with his party and voted for the bill in its current form with the withdrawal timetables included, if that's the bill that the entire caucus had settled on. Is this right?
Ford's "Plan B" contains some good ideas - especially the proposal to "launch a robust diplomatic push to build regional and international support for stabilizing Iraq." However, as I understand the proposal, Ford opposed withdrawal deadlines, specific benchmark dates and timetables, or a troop readiness certification process.
April 2, 2007 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can think of lots of reasons: all best kept to myself. <grin>
aMike
April 2, 2007 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
cscs, could I ask you to clarify what you mean by the "last days of Vietnam"? The reason I ask is that people often have different ideas about the withdrawal date to which they refer. The first is the withdrawal of American combat troops in 1972-1973. The second is the overrunning of South Vietnam, and the scenes of helicopter evacuation of noncombatant US personnel and some South Vietnamese.
I see a withdrawal, in the short term, as being more like the first: pull out US combat forces, leaving troops to train and support Iraqis. In South Vietnam, the central government, between 1972 and 1975, still did not gain widespread popular support.
1975 was a conventional invasion led by North Vietnamese armored forces. The South Vietnamese strategy of "light at the top (i.e., northern area of I Corps) and heavy at the bottom (i.e., III Corps around Saigon and IV Corps in the Delta)" was disastrous, for forces with the ability and firepower of the Southern military.
Had US forces been present in 1975, they could have stopped the physical invasion, but there was no indication that they could have done much about the political problems.
Can US trainers make a meaningful difference in Iraq? I don't know, and the withdrawal/defunding proposals are vague on the extent to which training and support can continue. Training Iraqi forces to provide basic security is essential to any national government there, but it is also an open question if a consensus national government can develop in time.
Thomas Barnett proposes an intermediate strategy of pulling some combat forces out, leaving some in Kurdistan, and providing Special Forces and conventional trainers in the rest of Iraq.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
April 2, 2007 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if anyone will ask him "What have you learned from your loss?". And if anyone does, whether he'll have an interesting answer.
aMike
April 2, 2007 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I meant the scenes of craziness during the fall of Saigon, helicopters and all, which is the typical image we have of America "losing" in Vietnam.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is from the article that Ford links to in his release to prove the Washington Times misrepresented him.
Note the Lieberman talking points--"precipitous withdrawal"--for example. Who exactly has proposed that? But the real problem is not that all the bad things he talks about will come about. Those bad things have all come about.
Here's his "Plan B"
Bulletpoint 1 is the current "strategy." It's failed so completely that additional troops were brought in. And things are still getting worse.
Bulletpoint 2 is the current strategy, as soon as bulletpoint 1 is accomplished. Note that this is the position taken by all three leading presidential candidates, although he leaves out "force protection." It's hard to see how this is consistent with any significant reduction in force.
Bulletpoint 3 is Foreign Policy magazine bafflegab.
Bulletpoint 4 requires a new administration to implement.
The plan is, for the foreseeable future, permanent occupation until the US is forced out as in vietnam. There is no iraqi defense force--no air, no armor and no logistical tail. If the US leaves, any of the four adjacent countries, Turkey, Syria, Iran and Saudi Arabia can waltz in. The US is the de facto government. If the US leaves, there is no telling what will happen.
The catastrophic nature of the situation leaves politicians unable to move. And so the war will just go on and on, in the face of greater and greater opposition, because US interests are not being served here.
The only not catastrophic solution is to sit down in a room with those four bordering countries and come up with a joint security arrangement, and then withdraw. That's not possible until 2009, or the replacement of the president and vice president by republican realists. Withdrawing over the next year is the only hope we have of those countries recognizing that this is a tarpit that they have to agree not to enter--on their own. The US has lost all claim to being an honest broker, having betrayed everyone at one time or another.
But it would be nice to stop with the bullshit, and discuss what's going to be done with those permanent bases, what is the plan for an Iraqi defense force, and what constitutes a completed mission.
April 2, 2007 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
From Ford's speech:
But isn't the party ALREADY more than that?
Basically, what Ford's saying is, the Democratic party has no ideas, and that's where I and the DLC come in.
OK, so, maybe there are people in this country that still think that (See: 30% Bush Republicans), but most polls now show even on Nat'l Security, Dems are favored by a majority. And polls show people thinks Dems are either doing enough, or should be doing even more to reign in Bush's Iraq policy. And even if you disagree with the idea of withdrawal, it's certainly an "idea," isn't it?
So I'm not sure of the purpose of perpetuating this myth of the Dems as a weak, single-minded no-ideas anti-war party?
Dissent Protects Democracy.
April 2, 2007 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
As they and Mcgovern were about Vietnam. As soon as we give in to thinking of war critics as the "loony left", we set ourselves up to be victimized by the military-industrial complex's next Vietnam/Iraq/War on Terror type crap.
Tom
April 2, 2007 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
" Can US trainers make a meaningful difference in Iraq? I don't know,..."
I do. No, they can't.
Tom
April 2, 2007 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I guess I wasn't clear, but I mean that the phrase "looney left" was an example of rudeness or shrillness. In any case, I agree with you, and would urge Ford and subsequent guests to accept that some posters will be rude, and to simply ignore them rather than using their abusiveness as an excuse to dodge legitiate criticism.
April 2, 2007 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
What makes you so sure? By Iraq, I also include a fallback position to Kurdistan.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
April 2, 2007 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
The DLC are the Democrats that help Democrats to be enslaved by
the boys in the corporate boardrooms.
The Republicans give us "trickle down economics", the DLC gives us "trickle down democratic benefits", either way, its trickle down.
You won't find any Paul Wellstones in the DLC; I'll take the looney left any day.
April 2, 2007 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll take the looney left and pass on the "Always wrong on Iraq Gang" and the "6 more monthers."
April 2, 2007 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
unfortunately, there are self-styled centrists who have a very high regard for themselves, and not so much else to offer the discussion, who make a point of using some of the smear and brand tactics that Bush and DLC have used for years, to avoid the substantial discussion that the Iraq catastrophe requires. As recently as 2005, I think the washington Post was editorializing with all the pomposity and gravitas that the "center/neocon" nexus can muster to pontificate that while "some may describe the Iraq war as a debacle" they do not see it that way. The "center" seems to define "success" as the reification of their own thought as warped as that may be and as catastrophic as the consequences may be. were it not for the dead and wounded, the hopes smashed, the future tarnished, we could have a new production of the theater of the absurd.
April 2, 2007 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
After all that has happened there is no way American personnel can be effective with any Iraqis except, I would agree, the Kurds.
Tom
April 2, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's examine Mr. Ford's comment;
Former Rep. Harold E. Ford Jr., the new chairman of the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC), yesterday said he does not agree with efforts by Congress to set a deadline for U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq.
"I think most Americans want to win, they don't want to see us leave early, and if we leave prematurely, we may create a broader set of conflicts and invite a bigger problem in that region than before leaving," Mr. Ford said.
But, win what, "the war on terror"? Is Mr. Ford endorsing the Bush false claim that Bush went into Iraq to fight terror? Or did Bush go into Iraq to gain control of Iraq's oil and thereby the Middle-East as well?
There was less terror against the U.S. from Iraq under Saddam!
Is Mr. Ford so clueless to believe that this war against the U.S. in Iraq can actually be "won"?
This is politics as usual, nothing more. And if it's the Democrats plan to stay in Iraq, we might as well stay with (Heaven forbid!) the Republicans.
You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.
April 2, 2007 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Round here he's known as Harold the Ho. His campaign slogan was "A New Generation of Liebership." We're so sick of him and his family, we could spit.
Memphis, TN
April 2, 2007 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thought I'd supply a link to Harold's campaign poster.
April 2, 2007 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
If this is the thread to suggest future invitees, here are some of my suggestions:
1. Bill McKibben (has new book out "Deep Economy")
2. James Kunstler (also has new writings out)
3. Herman Daly (started the ecological economics movement 40 years ago)
4. Bob Costanza (worked with Daly, now heads ecology institute)
5. Bob Altemeyer (psychologist who has worked on defining the right wing authoritarian personality type, his new book is online and free: The Authoritarians)
The first four all deal with the hot potato that none of our politicians will touch (including Gore), the finiteness of the planet's resources and the need to consume at a sustainable rate. Altemeyer deals with why the neo-cons have been successful in seizing power and gaining so many unquestioning followers.
What we don't need is more pols spinning variations on the current talking points - even liberal ones.
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
April 2, 2007 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lamar Alexander (R-TN) is up for reelection in 2008. Methinks the former Congressman is positioning himself for a run at that seat.
April 2, 2007 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent recommendations. I hope TPM will see them here. Josh said to e-mail recommendations for guests to 'talk@talkingpointsmemo.com'. Perhaps you could shoot them off an e-mail?
April 2, 2007 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink