Saudi Plan: Israel, Just Say YES
This has been a disappointing week for those of us who believe that continuation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict threatens the survival of Israel, American interests in the Middle East, and the ability of the Palestinian people to achieve an independent state.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's visit to the region, and her meetings with Israeli and Palestinian leaders, did not achieve everything she wanted.
She succeeded in persuading Prime Minister Olmert and President Abbas to hold bi-weekly meetings that will focus on confidence building measures such as stopping the Kassam rocket fire, ending the arms smuggling and easing the movement of the Palestinians and the border crossings. That is important. And at a press conference following her meetings she again discussed the need for both sides to explore the "political horizon," making clear that she remains eager to see a Palestinian state established by 2009.
I can't say precisely what I expected from Rice's round of meetings except to say that I expected more than this and so, clearly, did she. If media reports are correct, she wanted to announce a series of tangible steps to bridge the gaps between Israelis and Palestinians on final status issues. Apparently, Olmert dug in his heels and Rice backed off.
Something is wrong here. The American Secretary of State should not back off because one or both sides in a conflict that endangers US interests refuses to play ball. In Northern Ireland this week, Reverend Ian Paisley, long-time head of the most hard-line Protestant faction and Gerry Adams, head of Sinn Fein (the IRA's political wing) agreed to share power in a new Northern Ireland government. At the signing ceremony, the two could hardly look at each other and they would not shake hands. But they agreed to end the ancient war between the two sides, one in which thousands have died in acts of war and terrorism over several centuries.
The person who brought them together was Tony Blair, the British Prime Minister. Although Blair is ostensibly on the Protestant side (it is the Protestants who want Northern Ireland to remain part of the United Kingdom while the Catholics want to be united with the Irish Republic), Blair played the role of honest broker and produced a deal.
Largely thanks to him, in the years since the Good Friday agreement of 1998 (which ended stage 1 of the Irish peace process) violence has ended and the growth of the Northern Ireland economy has been lifted from depression to the very top of European economies. None of that would have happened if Blair had accepted "no" for an answer at any point over the last decade.
He will leave office this spring and his best legacy is peace in Northern Ireland. Not bad at all. This is a model President Bush and Secretary of State Rice should look to. It's time for the United States to play the role of honest broker. And it's time for the pro-Israel community in this country to stop pretending that those who work to thwart US peace efforts are friends of Israel. They are not.
They are champions of a hopeless status quo. This week Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), the Ranking Republican on the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, announced that she is seeking co-sponsors on legislation amending the Palestinian sanctions law with provisions identical to those which were wisely rejected by the Senate last year. The bill, according to Ros-Lehtinen’s staff, is designed to “counter attempts by Rice/ State to deal with unity govt and send assistance to non-Hamas members of unity govt” [sic]. This is an example of an approach to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that would accomplish nothing except to prevent progress toward its resolution. The Ros-Lehtinen aide even admits that her goal is to subvert Rice!
But true friends of Israel want to see its people living in peace, able to focus on building an economy that would rival the "Asian Tigers" like Singapore and Hong Kong and able to eradicate the growing gulf between rich and poor that grows ever larger as chances for peace diminish.
Coincidentally, the Rice visit took place during the same week that the Arab summit began in Riyadh. As expected, the Arab League re-stated its commitment to its proposal for full peace and normalization with Israel.
David Ben-Gurion would think he was dreaming. After 60 years, the Arab states (every one of them) and the PLO, are offering Israel full normalization of relations in exchange for territorial withdrawal and a solution to the refugee problem.
But if Ben-Gurion saw how the Israeli government was responding, his dream would turn into a nightmare. Because it is understandably put off by the initiative's language on refugees, the Israeli government is avoiding any embrace of the plan. Although the Saudis say that if Israel agrees to talk about the plan, they are prepared to amend the particulars, the Olmert government is saying, essentially, that it can’t accept the plan, even in principle, because it objects to certain parts of it.
The government's argument does not hold water. It is true that the plan calls for "a just solution to the Palestinian refugee problem to be agreed upon in accordance with UN General Assembly Resolution 194" which is a non-starter for Israel. That is because Resolution 194 would give the 1948 refugees the choice of returning to their homes or accepting compensation; Israel has always maintained, and rightly, that allowing the return of the refugees to Israel proper (rather than to a West Bank/Gaza Palestinian state) would turn Israel into a bi-national rather than a Jewish state.
But so what. The Arab League plan expressly says that any deal on refugees would have "to be agreed upon" by Arabs and Israelis. What is so threatening about that? If Israel objected, as it would, a compromise formula would have to be worked out. In fact, Israelis and Palestinians were on the brink of reaching agreement on refugees back in 2000. The Israeli and Arab positions are eminently bridgeable.
And that's the point. No one is going to dictate the terms of the Arab League Initiative to Israel. It is simply a proposal which its authors are asking Israel to consider.
A Saudi government spokesman said yesterday, “What we’re saying is accept the principle of land for peace as the basis for negotiations and we can work out the details.” Another Saudi analyst Jamal Khashoggi told the Washington Post that the Saudi position is “What the Palestinians accept, we accept. For example, if they accept the right of return for some of the refugees and compensation for the others, we will accept that. Same thing applies to the Lebanese and the Syrians. Even, for example, if the Syrians decide to split the Golan with the Israelis, it's a Syrian decision. We will consider that a peace agreement," said Khashoggi, a former adviser to the previous Saudi ambassador to the United States.
But Israel’s response has been to try to finesse the whole initiative, seemingly hoping it will go away. Olmert said, “There are interesting ideas there, and we are ready to hold discussions and hear from the Saudis about their approach and to tell them about ours.” That is a start. But why not simply accept the initiative with the stated understanding that its specific terms have to be amended?
That is what Israel probably must do if it is not to repeat its tragic error of 1971 when President Sadat offered peace negotiations in exchange for a two mile pullback from the Suez Canal. Although the Nixon Administration pushed Israel to say yes, the Golda Meir government ignored Sadat's offer (with the vociferous support of the pro-Israel community here which warned Nixon not to "pressure" Israel). The result: a war with Egypt two years later that cost 3000 Israeli lives and not just two miles of Sinai but every last inch of it.
It was the worst disaster in Israel's history and it could have been avoided if Israel had simply agreed – as America wanted it to – to accept Sadat’s offer to negotiate. It is hard to imagine that any friend of Israel wants a repeat of that history.
A Ha'aretz editorial on Wednesday said it best: "A realistic government would rush to embrace this willingness for recognition and reconciliation, expressing reservations for what it does not accept and seeking dialogue on the regional level."
If America is truly Israel's friend, Secretary Rice should encourage the Olmert government to welcome the Saudi initiative and start negotiating over its terms. The pro-Israel community should offer its strong support and so should Congress. We should not sit back, as we did in 2002, and let the moment pass. Not long ago, it was commonly said that the Arabs would never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity. Now it's being said about the Israeli government. Opportunity is knocking, Israel. Seize it.
In the 12 hours since this was written Olmert has apparently rejected the Saudi plan.


If a Martian landed on earth and ignored all that has been said but, instead, paid attention only to what has been done, she would come to the obvious conclusion:
o Israel is America's enemy.
o Iran is its best friend.
For 5 years now, the US has been constantly weakening Israel and strengthening Iran.
Even a Martian can see that.
March 30, 2007 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Now she feels Colin Powell's pain. This sort of thing happened repeatedly during Powell's tenure albeit in a much more embarrassing fashion as Powell stated his objectives much more clearly. Intramural maneuverings of a US administration led by a weak president with strong subordinates with close ties to the hard right in Israel.
March 30, 2007 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're failing to mention what the commenter above points out: Rice's attempts have been repeatedly sabotaged from within the administration, primarily by Cheney. I'm sure Olmert recognizes this weakness, and is deliberately exploiting it. There's no way to address a problem as intractable as this one when the emissary (Rice) doesn't have the full backing of the administration.
March 30, 2007 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ wrote:
"It is true that Israel could not accept the plan's language on refugees. After all, it calls for "a just solution to the Palestinian refugee problem to be agreed upon in accordance with UN General Assembly Resolution 194" which is a non-starter for Israel."
Right, MJ. Who would ever expect Israel to accept a "just" solution to the Palestininian refugee problem it created. Certainly not us Jews, whose sages said "Righteousness, righteousness you must pursue." Certainly not Israelis, of whom many were refugees. How many MJ units of time must pass until we see these magical two states?
If now is not the time to insist on a "just solution to the refugee problem", even if it leads to a binational state, then when?
Also, how do you make that nifty colored box around quotes from the original article in your comment? Please use only the King's English in your answer. I am an avowed technophobe.
March 30, 2007 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/843867.html
Israel's position with regard to the peace process with the Palestinians is founded upon fundamental principles, the most central of which is the existence of two nation-states, with each state addressing the national aspirations of its own people - Israel for the Jewish people and Palestine for the Palestinian people - and with both states coexisting in peace, free from the threat of terrorism and violence. For this purpose, a direct dialogue between Israel and the Palestinians is necessary." The statement added: "Israel also believes that moderate Arab states can fill a positive role by encouraging regional cooperation, and supporting the Israel-Palestinian track. A dialogue between these states and Israel can contribute to this end."
Deputy Premier Shimon Peres called on the Arab states "to sit together with Israel and achieve an agreement, as we did with Egypt and Jordan. Unilateral declarations, in which each side presents its positions, will not achieve anything," Peres said.
I’ll trust Peres wisdom over MJ wisdom every time.
March 30, 2007 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the guy sabotaging everything is Elliot Abrams, who is the NSC guy in charge of the Middle East. I guess that job will someday go to Scooter Libby. Abrams is a convicted felon (lying to Congress) who was pardoned by the first Bush. As a felon, he cannot be confirmed by the Senate so Bush 43 put him in an unconfirmed spot at NSC where he can pursue Israel's interests.
Once Scooter is pardoned, he can do the same in some future GOP/Likud administration.
March 30, 2007 11:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sez Davai:
"Deputy Premier Shimon Peres called on the Arab states "to sit together with Israel and achieve an agreement, as we did with Egypt and Jordan. Unilateral declarations, in which each side presents its positions, will not achieve anything," Peres said.
I’ll trust Peres wisdom over MJ wisdom every time."
Ofcourse you do. Peres is Israeli. MJ is American whose prime concern is the interests of the country he lives in. What's your prime concern, Davai?
March 30, 2007 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everyone is scared of Iran, the only regime in the Middle East at risk of being toppled by moderates rather than reactionaries.
It would be amusing if it weren't so pathetic.
March 30, 2007 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If now is not the time to insist on a "just solution to the refugee problem", even if it leads to a binational state, then when?"
Never, just forget about this.
There no conflict in a world was ever resolved on basis of words such as just, fair, entitlement.
These words can’t help resolve any conflict, only to start or prolong conflict.
March 30, 2007 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
noblessoblige: Your take is right on the money, as the Saudi Initiative offers an incredible opportunity for Israel to achieve some of it's stated goals, namely, a countering of Iranian influence in the area and a broad peace with Muslim nations. It also would co-opt the influence of Hamas, as it would be the moderates who would be seen throughout the Arab world as the ones who were responsible for finally achieving the creation of a Palestinian state, something that would undoubtedly eclipse the appeal of groups like Hamas.
I can't imagine a better oportunity for Israel, but it doesn't sound as if there is any serious consideration of the plan by Israeli leaders (although, just as for Condi's efforts, there is lip service being paid to it). Perhaps they're waiting for Netanyahu to be elected. Netanyahu will surely tell them there's no need for compromise, and will continue the expansion of the settlements. If so, the opportunity for peace will be lost forever.
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
March 30, 2007 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ is American whose prime concern is the interests of the country he lives in”
Sure, but he claims to be “true friends of Israel” and he wrote his comments in his capacity of a true friend of Israel.
I trust Peres’ judgment what’s is best interest of Israel over MJ judgment what is in the best interest of Israel any time.
“What's your prime concern, Davai?”
The same as yours, our families. :-)
March 30, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ--you allude to the e-mail from Ros-Lehtinen telling of her plans to thwart Secretary Rice. Here is the e-mail. I work on the Hill and received it.
-----Original Message-----
From: Poblete, Yleem
Sent: Thursday, March 29, 2007 9:23 AM
Subject: PATA Amendments Act of 2007-
REMINDER: Ms. Ros-Lehtinen will be introducing the attached today.
Please let Gene Gurevich or Alan Goldsmith know if your Member will
co-sponsor.
Thanks,
Yleem.
Yleem D.S. Poblete, PhD
Minority Staff Director
House Committee on Foreign Affairs
Hon. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, Ranking Member
B-360 Rayburn Building
Washington, D.C. 20515
(202) 226-8GOP (8467)
(202) 226-7269 (FAX)
-----Original Message-----
From: Poblete, Yleem
Sent: Monday, March 26, 2007 2:24 PM
To:
Subject: PATA Amendments Act of 2007-
To counter attempts by Rice/ State to deal with unity govt and send
assistance to non-Hamas members of unity govt. We sqw how well the
bifurcated approach worked with Lebanon, we can't let this happen with PA.
The attached takes current law and brings it to the threshold of the
House-passed PATA bill, minus exceptions for Abu Mazen security, etc. We
just have exception for ME peace process.
We raised shoulds to shalls.
Please advise if your bosses will co-sponsor.
>
March 30, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Use blockquote. as in,
LEFT blockquote RIGHT
text here ...
LEFT /blockquote RIGHT
where LEFT is
and RIGHT is >
March 30, 2007 11:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ha'aretz reports,
Either The Lobby's, um, "tentacles" reach all the way to Europe, or perhaps AIPAC isn't all we are led to understand them to be.
March 30, 2007 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wordie,
Statement by the Foreign Ministry in coordination with the Prime Minister's Bureau --March 30, 2007 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
This really is an excellent example of why the Saudi Peace Plan is a breath of fresh air. It will remove the debate from the sphere of U.S. politician's AIPAC-influenced actions such as this.
At this point, the Saudi plan may be the only way a peace agreement will ever be achieved, but the plan has the added advantange of also providing the moderate Arabs the prestige in the Muslim world of solving the intractable conflict and paving the way to the Palestinians obtaining their own state. Such an outcome, even if U.S. politicians such as Ros-Lehtinen are completely unable to see it, is very much in the interests of not only the direct parties to the conflict, the Palestinians and Israelis, but also the U.S. Do we not wish to undercut the influence of radical Islam?
Know your enemy well, for in the end that is who you become. ~~Old Chinese Proverb
March 30, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ,
How? In the final communique from the Arab League summit, the delegations agreed, among other things to,
We recognize these contacts targeted by the Arab League's proposed working groups as the Quartet for Middle East Peace. But what about Israel? We are supposed to condemn Israel for apparently finessing the initiative, while the Arab League delegations leave Riyadh with a plan to enter into dialogue with... the Quartet?
This is being sold as an Arab League initiative. The Arab establishment needs to initiate negotiations with Israel. Russia, not so much.
PS: If one wants to downrate this comment, fine. But can we at least deal with the overarching concern expressed herein?
March 30, 2007 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think anyone here has said that AIPAC operations stretch to Europe? However, that doesn't mean there aren't lobbies like AIPAC in Europe, maybe even working with AIPAC to represent Israel's interests. E.g. in the UK there's the Labour Friends of Israel and Conservative Friends of Israel. They don't seem to have the same influence as AIPAC, but nonetheless they do have some influence. Currently, that influence is under attack in the UK, the Jewish community is not v. happy.
Downing Street backing Levy amid fears he might ‘implode’
March 30, 2007 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
So Isreal runs a test case and pulls out of Gaza. How did that workout? More rockets packed with ball bearings fired at civilians. Hamas apparently isn't on the same page with those other Arab states.
This is the same old game where those that are not actively killing Jews at the moment provide political cover for those that are.
The sons of the prophet are noble and bold,
and quite unaccustomed to fear.
But the bravest by far in the ranks of the Shah
was Abdul Abulbul Amir
March 30, 2007 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only thing threatening the Palestinian people is their unfortunate position as the indigenous inhabitants of the land the Zionists wanted to steal.
Growing up Zionist, this point was made to me over and over.
March 30, 2007 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Rosenberg felt that the existence of only the Palestinians...
Ho-kay, let me put it this way: If the Zionist position, that the Jews must have a land of their own, run as a "Jewish State", is true, then Hitler was quite correct in wanting to rid Germany of them.
I am a Jew. The idea of living in a "Jewish state" is the most disgusting excuse for pseudo religious tyranny I have ever heard.
If Judaism supplied the foundation for an armed and sovereign state we would have had one all along.
Judaism is just a religion, a perfectly good religion (I sure like it). To pretend it provides either the need or the equip[ment to run a state is pure fantasy, it would be hysterical if it did not have such tragic consequences for so many people.
One of its worst consequences is the fact that Judaism, due to Zionism, is now no more than the handmaiden, or rather the eunuch, of US policy.
March 30, 2007 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, what's your point?
There is a strong Jewish state of Israel, getting stronger and stronger every day, with one of the best High tech in the world,
with one of the strongest (according to Howard) army in the world, with vibrant (but not perfect) democracy.
There is NOTHING you can do about this. So, stop whinning, get a life.
March 30, 2007 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Davai sez: re the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
"There is NOTHING you can do about this. So, stop whinning, get a life."
Too bad the thousands of Israelis and Palestinians killed since Oslo ended cannot get a life. Each of them had one. But the conflict Davai loves so much cost them their lives.
He, ofcourse, came here. He has a life. How nice for him!
March 30, 2007 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's OK, davai. We need Naturei Karta around to understand the progress of modernity from the Middle Ages.
March 30, 2007 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Weinberg,
davai was obviously referring to the reestablishment of Jewish national self-determination in the state of Israel (and something tells me you already knew that).
March 30, 2007 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zionista says he/she is a progressive Zionist. Davai is a rightwing nutcase. But you band together with Greenbaum and Brad. All you guys. So cute, the clannishness in this day and age.
So pre-haskalah.
March 30, 2007 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
My impression is that attention is now being shifted to an Israeli "red line" about the right of return with Olmert insisting that not a single refugee will return.
Not so long ago that would have been taken for granted and the "red lines" being highlighted would be about Jerusalem and major settlements.
The message I got was that the Israeli government is (silently) letting people know to prepare themselves for accepting that the 1967 borders will be the basis for negotiations.
Presumably at least a few weeks have to elapse between such a significant silence and officially starting to say it aloud. It wasn't all that long ago since Olmert first announced that some major settlements might have to be discussed at all.
During that period people can get themselves used to going on and on about the absolute unreasonableness of the Palestinian right of return.
At the same time they can chat to each other about how the silence about 1967 borders is a clever tactical move so as to block negotiations on grounds that look more reasonable to world opinion but not being unnecessarily insulting to world opinion by repeating rudely that Israel has red lines about Jerusalem and major settlements. All that matters is that progress is blocked.
Then there has to be at least a few weeks of starting to officially say it aloud, but obscurely, as a possibility that might conceivably be necessary to get peace with the Arabs in order to unite against Iran. This will require louder and more hysterical shouting about Iran.
This process enables all but the most completely delusional to at least be resigned about it when it turns out that Israel does have to accept a return to its 1967 borders as the basis for negotiations - as has been obvious to anyone not slightly delusional for decades now.
Given the significant numbers of Israelis who are at least slightly delusional it is highly desirable that they be delusional about Iran rather than about their immediate neighbors and at least resigned to the prospect when the Israeli government does announce that it really is going to have to withdraw from the Palestinian occupied territories and accepts the 1967 borders as the basis for negotiations.
That is when negotiations about such more difficult matters as the right of return can commence.
Otherwise the overall process would take longer as delusional people do have the capacity to disrupt it - as has been repeatedly made obvious .
Needless to say similar processes are going on among Palestinians.
I see no reason for "disappointment" about the very significant silences this week.
March 30, 2007 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
davai
I am not clear what you actually object to. Obviously Israel is not going to agree to take masses of Palestinians into Israel. Had the Palestinians, Egyptians and Jordanians not attacked Israel, and Jordan not taken the West Bank in 1948 many of the refugees would not now exist.
However, the Clinton Plan laid out a pretty clever approach to the refugees. Wouldn't the best bet for Israel be to meet with the King and announce a willingness to negotiate with Hamas?
Can Hamas agree to such a negotiation? I doubt it. If they do Israel need not negotiate itself into non-existence. If a Palestinian State results and missiles or other attacks are made on Israel then the IDF and especially the IAF can take care of it.
Israel would be much better off out of the the West Bank with a mediocre deal than waiting for the perfect deal. Just because many don't care how many Israelis die so they can feel better doesn't mean it is good for Israel's welbeing to hold on to the territories.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
March 30, 2007 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
You seem to be right.
March 30, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zionista
Your efforts are impressive but he anti-Semites here are absolutely phobic about AIPAC which is the acceptable way to talk about the power of Jews.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
March 30, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Daniel,
But I hesitate to throw around the "antisemite" thing too easily. While there are antisemitic implications to some, if not many, characterizations of Israel and Zionism that are much too casually tossed about, I remain unconvinced that there has ever been any more than a small handful of genuine antisemites that visit here.
March 30, 2007 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
And a gut shabbes to you too, Reb Weinberg!
March 30, 2007 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Weinberg,
Check your ratings. lockean doesn't like either of us, Mark. Go figure! Sometimes clannishness is thrust upon you.
March 30, 2007 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you.
There is nothing you can do about
"The idea of living in a "Jewish state" is the most disgusting excuse for pseudo religious tyranny I have ever heard"
or
"WHAT IS THE NETUREI KARTA?
Neturei Karta opposed the establishment of and retain all opposition to the existence of the so-called "State of Israel"!"
It's a mute point.
March 30, 2007 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I am not clear what you actually object to"
I'm object to MJ style and tone of absolute certainness of what Israel should do in response to Arab initiative. There is a game of precondition traps is going on and Israel should be very careful in playing this game.
I don’t have a personal opinion of what’s the best response. I just want people to have more humidity and not pretend that they know the TRUTH.
Being born in a totalitarian state, from my childhood I have very strong allergy to people who know the TRUTH. MJ is one of the people who knows the TRUTH.
March 30, 2007 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
" Davai is a rightwing nutcase. "
Yes, to summarize my humble rightwing nutcase opinions:
1. MJ is not a prophet.
2. AIPAC is not the root of all problems in the world.
3. Critics of Israel are not holy martyrs; therefore it’s OK to criticize them.
5. Israel is here to stay.
6. The fence is going to be a new borders and all Israeli citizen should be moved from the rest of West Bank.
7. After that Israel still might have to maintain control of West Bank for some time because there is no better alternative.
8. The right of return is a mute point.
9. I don’t care about fairness, because life is not fair.
March 30, 2007 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
A zissen pesach to you, Reb Zionista. (You can translate in case that am haaretz Bradthe Dad makes an appearance.
March 30, 2007 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, the Gaza test case was a fail