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States Tried to Stop Subprime Bubble- but the Feds Shut them Down

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Here is the real scandal of the subprime bubble that tanked Wall Street last week-- and is why 2.2 mllion subprime borrower face foreclosure on their homes.

State governments actually passed a range of anti-predatory lending laws to stop ripoffs by subprime lenders, but as we discuss over at Progress States today, Bush's White House legally worked to shut down many of those state efforts. More below the fold:

With millions of families facing these exploitive lending practices, the question is why the government didn't act to stop it? The answer is that the states did act-- but the federal government, backed by campaign contributions from predatory lenders, shut them down and helped create this mortgage crisis.

Back in 1994, Congress did pass the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act to protect homeowners. The law was meant to be the floor for protection: states could go above and beyond the protections offered in the Act and since then, over 30 states have passed laws offering more protection than the federal Act.

Bush Administration Preempts State Laws: However, state and local efforts have been pre-empted by the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). The OCC, in particular, has promoted a theory of "field preemption" that would preempt all state laws and insulate national banks and their operating subsidiaries from virtually all state regulation. This effectively destroys any state's ability to regulate the business activities of all banks. The OCC preempted Georgia's Fair Lending Act, which had offered protection against predatory lending, including outlawing extreme prepayment fees or penalties, unreasonable monthly payments, and increased interest rates after default.

This was followed by the OCC preempting the New Jersey Home Ownership Security Act, which prohibited abusive lending practices and challenges to other state laws have followed. Adding to the attack on state authority, some in Congress proposed laws to further preempt state authority over mortgage lending. One of the chief sponsors of the preemption bill was Congressman Bob Ney, who was convicted of bribery for his role in the Abramoff scandal.

Courts and Preemption: The courts have largely backed this federal preemption of state authority, with federal courts striking down predatory lending laws in a number of states. After the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals struck down state banking laws in Michigan, the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case and will be making a ruling soon on whether some parts of state regulation will survive preemption.

Yet whatever the courts decide now, the damage has been done. During the critical period of the recent housing bubble, as speculation and predatory lending ran riot, state regulators were so involved in defending their laws in court that their effectiveness was undermined and the costs are being borne by some of the most vulnerable borrowers in the market.

Monetary Policy as "Regressive Tax": What made the problem most acute for these subprime borrowers is that when the Federal reserve hiked interest rates, most borrowers could refinance to long-term loans whose rates have barely moved in the past three years. People with poor credit, however, absorbed the brunt of the shift, since their contracts usually hiked their mortgage rates in tandem with the Federal Reserve rate hikes-- and either their contracts or their bad credit prevented them from escaping these mortgages as their monthly payments skyrocketed. As Business Week wrote just a week ago, "About $265 billion worth of subprime loans are scheduled to have their rates adjusted upward in 2007...Many stretched homeowners may soon be paying 11% or 12% on their mortgages, while everyone else can get 30-year fixed-rate loans at a little over 6%...In effect, monetary policy is turning into a regressive tax."

The new Congress seems more willing to grapple with the predatory lending problem, with Congressman Barney Frank from Massachusetts saying he would introduce legislation to restrict subprime lending. But while the Federal government may be trying to help the situation now, the debacle of recent years is a lesson in why federal preemption of state laws is often a recipe for disaster. While minimum federal standards are often needed, states are usually aware more quickly of problems appearing locally that need additional regulation, such as the explosion of predatory lending. We should remember in coming years that by tying the hands of state governments, federal regulators made a bad problem far, far worse.


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I can't help but wonder how a restriction on subprime lending would play out, Nathan. On one hand, it'd protect people but on the other -- it might prevent people from getting mortgages and buying homes in the first place and that might well make people very angry.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

Sub-prime is not always what it seems.

"2.2 mllion subprime borrower face foreclosure on their homes"

This makes it look like 2.2 million owner occupiers are at risk. Maybe yes, but probably no.

Not all sub-prime loan are predatory. Some are and the papers are running with the anecdotes. And not all the rest are from lending to people with bad credit. Some are of course, then the question becomes whether the income can service the loan. People in 3/27 and 2/28 are not all fools doomed to be trapped by a reset. In many markets in many places it makes sense to leverage yourself into owner occupied and make the bet that over a two to three year period your appreciation and improved credit (from making house payments) will get you into a conventional loan prior to the reset. You just have to make sure they don't slip in some huge pre-payment penalty (lenders who combine ARMs and big pre-payments are pushing the limits of predatory lending hard).

Anyway there are hundreds of scenarios where the borrowers particular financial circumstances combined with the local market makes sub-prime the way to go. That is not every sub-prime borrower is a potential victim.

But my real point is that a large, as yet undetermined part of sub-prime is speculators. Not every loan that is underwritten as being "owner occupied" is actually on an owner occupied house. Plenty of people who get "stated income/stated assets" do so not because their actual income and assets wouldn't qualify them. They may in fact have high incomes and live in big houses already, going 'stated/stated' gets them a loan for a rental that otherwise they couldn't get. Lenders like the security they get from "owner occupied", and speculative borrowers are happy to tell some white lies, and some gray lies, and even some black lies to get them to write the loan.

Lenders have practically unlimited tools to actually determine your income and assets should they chose. They know the score. They get money for writing loans. If you can qualify under the guidelines for that particular program generally you get the loan. The actual risk is shifted elsewhere in the system.

The mortgage industry is dying to make this story about poor people losing houses rather than Morgan Stearn and Wells Fargo (two huge players in different parts of sub-prime).

Real estate investors found they could use sub-prime aggressively, and every participant in the transaction made money on the way up. Somebody is going to be holding the bag. But it is not at all clear that most of that burden falls on owner occupied housing.

That's the narrative they want. 'Subprime borrower as victim to be protected'. Not 'Subprime borrower in conspiracy with mortgage originators and mortgage lenders to commit mortgage fraud' which in a lot of cases is the real scenario.

Sit in a mortgage office like I did for the last nine months just listening to the dialog between loan originators and loan reps. These people are not naive, much of this is just an elaborate game to get around underwriting standards that limit the amounts you can borrow for investment real estate.

How much of sub-prime is actually investor as opposed to owner occupied? Hard to know for sure. But certainly an important question to ask going forward.

Re: Not 'Subprime borrower in conspiracy with mortgage originators and mortgage lenders to commit mortgage fraud' which in a lot of cases is the real scenario.

If they are in cahoots commiting fraud together, who is their victim? Each other? So the lender loses a bunch of money and the borrower loses his home. If they're fraudsters then they both got what they deserved and the rest of us can avert our eyes and go on our way.

Re: But my real point is that a large, as yet undetermined part of sub-prime is speculators. Not every loan that is underwritten as being "owner occupied" is actually on an owner occupied house.

Here there may be a real problem which requires an urgent solution. Most likely the speculators have placed renters in these houses pending the (now unlikely) flip sale. But renters have no protection in the event of a foreclosure (including a tax foreclosure). Not only can they evicted but they will lose their security deposit. Since they are guiltless of any wrong doing, we should extend the usual protections to them when rental property changes hands and require any foreclosure agency, whether a private lender or a government, to honor the terms of their lease through its term. This would actually be beneficial to the forecloser too: they get income off the property and they have someone occupying it doing at least some level of maintenace.

Quite often, in financial deals, both sides think they're getting the better of the other. Heck, though how it works. Both seller and buyer think they're in the right.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

Doesen't anybody believe in state's rights anymore?

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