Two market failures
If you are a renter, home buyer or potential seller, or merely an investor—be sure to read this Sunday’s New York Times front page story about the unraveling of the mortgage bubble. The New York Times points out that despite soothing reassurances from those who formed the bubble, the major shake-up in the housing market is yet to come. In the past, in such situations, the free market advocates -- rushed to the government to bail them out. This is what happened during the Savings and Loan debacle, to framers who are still heavily subsidized, and to Chrysler among others. Most recently various airlines tried to stick the public with their under-funded pension plans. If the banks and builders succeed, taxpayers will cover the losses caused by wild speculation in the real estate market.
The Sunday Washington Post front page features a report about a fight between free market ideologues at the Department of Commerce and the military and State Department realists in Baghdad. Ever since the U.S. occupation of Iraq in 2003, the occupation authority has maintained the monthly handout every Iraqi had been getting under the Saddam Hussein regime. These handouts include a staple supplies such as wheat, sugar, salt, and soap and detergent. They cost the public about $4 billion a year. Commerce ideologues, most of whom have never been to Iraq, hold that only the poor should get such handouts, and even they should best be given cash instead. Many economists would agree with them. However those familiar with Iraq hold that the result would be major social unrest—about the last thing the country needs. Just another example where the free market theory falls down.
Update: Rarely have my predictions come true so quickly (those that come true). Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT) just announced that he would seek billions of taxpayers’ dollars to bail out irresponsible borrowers and reckless lenders.
(Crosspost with Amitai Etzioni Notes)












the "free market" and the "subsized market" beliefs seem to lead to the same thing since insurance is about spreading (socializing) risk. There is unity, but not uniformity, however, in the implementation.
the housing bubble, for example, has driven up assessments and, therefore, people are paying more in taxes, w/o a vote, simply because they float higher along with the assessments and, therefore, the rich and the poor are both targets.
the stock market has been boiling and some of that froth will eventually, I think, come back into the housing market and stablize it and keep the inflationary economy rolling, hopefully helping both the poor and the rich.
your last comments were interesting because "what do we do with those folks who don't rise with the tide?"
in general, however, I've come to appreciate the idea of avoiding classism-- specifically, seperating policy from philanthropy, because good policy is good policy!
I suppose that policy makers have seen that forgivness (less rigid law) is much more powerful than holding grudges (jailtime) since a lot of people were happy about "getting rich" off their neighbor's immorality.
while I could never butcher a chicken, my father could and I enjoyed eating it!
March 13, 2007 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops. Sorry for the double.
The sons of the prophet are noble and bold,
and quite unaccustomed to fear.
But the bravest by far in the ranks of the Shah
was Abdul Abulbul Amir
March 13, 2007 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Misplaced comment ... Sorry.
~OGD~
March 13, 2007 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
The following comment is but a wee tiny tip o' the proverbial iceberg
How regressive of them... Eh?
But don't look over here: The Federal Reserve's actions of printing more green ... oops... mutli-colored backs is the most tyrannical and regressive form of tax... Ever since 1971 ...
~OGD~
March 13, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
How regressive of them... Eh?
I don't really know, what do you think? if someone, on the lower income scale gets a load of cash from equity, before they're swamped with usary and taxes, then they certainly get a windfall.
wether the windfall is worth anything, as you note, that's another nice question.
March 13, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Almost any Iraqis who by this point aren't poor, must be doing something illegal, so how would anyone know who was and who wasn't. My sense is that there is no Iraqi economy worth mentioning any more and anyone not in Kurdistan or Basra who tries to buy or sell anything more than once in a while will probably be blown up trying.
I know this is an exaggeration, but when they explode the vegetable markets and the street of poets and booksellers why would anyone venture out in Baghdad unless they would starve otherwise. And now the U.S. has driven away the only real protection the majority Shiites had and my suspicion is that it is partly because Sadr's party might have voted against privatizing the oil.
If I am driven to smelling quasi-paranoid plots, I can only imagine how Iraqis must feel by this point.
global citizen
March 13, 2007 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
the housing bubble, for example, has driven up assessments and, therefore, people are paying more in taxes . . . . mcs
Where did this odd idea come from?
Except to governments permitted to run deficits (US of A) taxes billed equal anticipated budget expenses. "People" pay higher taxes if budgets go up; lower if they go down. Assessments have nothing to do with the matter.
March 13, 2007 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
The mortgage market is unregulated! What are you smoking?
The sons of the prophet are noble and bold,
and quite unaccustomed to fear.
But the bravest by far in the ranks of the Shah
was Abdul Abulbul Amir
March 13, 2007 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
here, in minnesota, not only have property taxes gone up automatically, but the state legislature also decided to build a baseball studium for the twins without using a referendum.
these policies are out of wack with "no taxation without representation!" and, as you know, if these tax increases weren't "automatic," then the politicians would be forced to go on record, defend their spending habits and perhaps ask for more.
in general, I don't think that budgets justify themselves...
it will be interesting to see how the spring housing market goes because I, for one, didn't buy last year because the additional taxes would have been more than my rent!
as in many places, "property tax relief" is on the lips of the politicians but I doubt they'll want to give anything back because bigger budgets justify bigger budgets!
since you are unware of this issue, I included one such reference below:
The property tax gap: homeowners now struggle to understand the discrepancy between assessed value and market value
and one of the quotes in this piece is:
so, perhaps, governments will have to downsize if it's determined that assessed values aren't close to market values.
for progressives, and in relation to the original post, the issue is that companies have been pushing their tax burden (read local infrastructure development) onto local residents just like the airlines want the public to pay their pensions.
if automatic assessments were placed on businesses, they'd leave town just like Wal-Mart has done more than once!
March 13, 2007 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess you're one of those confused homeowners.
Again, taxes billed and collected relate to budgets, not to assessments. As long as all taxpayers/homeowners are assessed at the same ratio of assessed value to fair market value, the fact that the assessment ratio is more or less than 100% of fair market value means nothing.
March 13, 2007 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
America-is it immune to increased social unrest when the real estate bubble /housing/ATM machine breaks and the huge war debt begin to bite? FRG Bies on the collapse of subprime lending (the mortgage 'business' based on lending money to folks unable to pay it back)
What we're seeing in this narrow segment is the beginning of the wave,'' Bies said. ``This is not the end, this is the beginning.''
March 13, 2007 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that you're saying that property taxes are charged based on a budget and I'm saying that budget planners make bigger budgets because they rely on automatic assessments to fund bigger budgets.
I've seen lots of articles which say: "these numbers are based on rising assessments and/or an increase in population."
Businesses routinely challenge their assessments to lower their taxes but homeowners typically don't and I expect this to change, at least in Minneapolis,because the businesses shifted their tax loads onto residential property owners and now their property values are falling.
Several school referendums failed in Minnesota because tax payers felt like they were already paying enough.... and now that property values are falling, people feel poorer and less motivated to fund the pork and/or the infrastructure that businesses want provided on the cheap by local governments.
March 13, 2007 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amitai Etzioni writes
“If the banks and builders succeed, taxpayers will cover the losses caused by wild speculation in the real estate market.”
Maybe it’s time to bring on the WINDFALL PROFITS TAX?
The economy was in good shape, until the fear and exploitation by the oil companies, and the refineries, gouging the middle class, at every opportunity.
Look at current gas prices, and then tell me how the middle class and below, can keep it’s head above water. Where’s the Government we've paid for, to rein in this monopolistic enterprise?
When chemicals and materials necessary for builders goes up, the price increase is passed on. When the truckers prices go up, so do groceries. Shrink wrap, Climate control, utility costs increase. name anything not affected by Petroleum.
There will always be those who are on the border of financial trouble. Those who hope that the eonomy will improve and wages will increase. In that event, having bought a home, with the anticipation of increased earnings, will make the home affordable.
But No, at the first sign of economic growth, companies like Exxon Mobil, are the first in line to utilize the principle of charge the consumer, at what ever the market will bear. Free enterprise?
So maybe if these companies who reported record profits, were taxed a Windfall Profits Tax and apply those revenues to the crises.
It also doesn’t help, that the War is taking to much treasure, spending towards goals that increase debt, that in turn, raises interest rates, that affect the working class.
So no wonder foreclosures are up, the people have no money left.
March 14, 2007 4:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
So no wonder foreclosures are up, the people have no money left.
I call it: "failed pyramid scheme." The "next sucker" sees the writing on the wall and doesn't bite!
March 14, 2007 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink