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Moving on to globalization’s central political question

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Nathan Newman’s comment gives us some traction that might move this conversation out of the tiresome rut that defines globalization as an issue of free trade vs. protectionism. The central questions are: what rules should guide the global social contract and what is the politics that could get us there?

The first question should not be in much dispute among American progressives. The integrating global market ought to have the same sort of social protections that we want in a domestic market economy. Labor rights, social safety nets, environmental standards, etc. Of course, we should distinguish between rights and standards. Every worker in every country should have the right to join an independent trade union to bargain collectively. But standards, i.e., the minimum wage, would obviously be a function of that nation’s level of development.

But it’s all pie in the sky without a political strategy.

To get one, we have to start with the understanding of how formidable are the obstacles to a decent global society. Nationalism is the strongest secular political sentiment in the world. And now we have the global investor class organized into the Party of Davos (feel free to coin a better label) – absolutely opposed to anything that smells like social regulation -- dominating the global institutions and much of the domestic politics of the most important countries. That’s why we have so little to show for 25 years of trying to get labor rights into the rules of the international economy.

A global social contract will only come about when we have a global political movement to support it. Such a movement would require shared consciousness among the world’s working people (the vast majority in every country) that they have more in common with each other than they do with the global capitalists who happen to share their nationality. Today, many in the trade union movement are making a valiant effort to generate that common consciousness. But it is an agonizingly slow process, further hobbled by that natural tendency for those fighting global capital to use nationalism to rally their troops. Moreover, trade unions represent only a fraction of the global labor force.

My proposal for developing a cross-border movement to support a social contract in North America is not a brief for stopping that effort. (Nor is it the solution for the US trade deficit. For that, see my paper at http://www.sharedprosperity.org/bp179.html.) I’m simply suggesting we open up another front in the battle for a global social contract.

In the current world of six and a half billion people and 200 countries, full of religious and ethnic hatred, the task of developing shared consciousness among ordinary people seems impossible. But if we think about it as a step-by–step, the odds get better. The European Union is furthest ahead. Yes, one step backward for two steps forward and plenty of problems, but slowly a sense of European identity is being developed – particularly among the young – and the European progressives are developing a social agenda and forcing parts of it into the law. There are similar nascent efforts in the cone of South America, in Africa and Southeast Asia. I think we need a North American progressive movement for its own sake (as we blog, the continent is becoming more and more integrated under NAFTA’s reactionary framework.) But a serious effort on this continent, involving Americans, would also reinforce and inspire progressives in other regions as well.

Yes, to some degree this implies regional economic blocs. Global purists may think this would be a step backward. I think it would be a step forward.


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So should we have a developed nations club which the less-developed can join by providing such rights? I think that would be a good idea. The political benefits of such an imposition to the populations of those countries would come much more quickly than the economic benefits of industrialization and without the attendant costs to the poorer or even average people of the richer countries. Reforming the WTO or creating an institution to enforce such a thing, though, is a radical proposition.

One of the reasons I think the global elite supported Bush at first despite his obvious incompetence is that he was obviously going to weaken the US by putting it in great debt. Though the US has been the linchpin of globalization, it is also, for that reason, the vulnerability. If the progressives came to power in the US, the IMF could not simply hold the economy hostage as it does to third world countries. At least that has been the case; we may be sailing into different waters now. If nations cannot control their own economic policies, the institution of the nation state has been eviscerated. Although the nation state is highly imperfect in its best manifestations, to the extent that large-scale democracy exists in the world, that is where you can find it.

Thomas Barnett has suggested something along these lines, calling the developed nations the "connected core", and the problem of empowering less developed countries to join it "system administration".

A single worldwide solution may not fly, especially when dealing with nations like China, that consider themselves dominant in some areas while outsiders see deficiencies in human rights, etc. There are, however, some interesting efforts at the continental (NEPAD) and regional level in Africa (e.g., ECOWAS). The African Union and NEPAD definitely think in regional terms. These organizations are not panaceas and have their critics, but I see more consensus on this sort of "connection" in Africa than East Asia.

East Asia, of course, does have some highly connected states. There often is a conflict between Western values and cultural values there --we see Singapore as authoritarian, but there is a high level of popular agreement, perhaps due to Confucian value systems.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Thanks for the info. I'll look into those things.

Dude, your soviet rhetoric is wearing thin. This is a really uninteresting post from Faux.

I can see that a developed nations club would improve developing nations labor standards ,perhaps the only thing that would .The economic advantages to each developing nation of low wages and standards (as with the advantages of slavery to the South ) are such that those "ing" countries will change only when the benefit of change outweighs that of the status quo.

But it's beyond my competence to guess
whether such a devnat club is feasible.
Such are the built-in incentives for each devnat country to protect trading relationships that play to its particular economic circumstances-in particular varying import needs as a function of their varying ecomonies- as to increase the odds of cheating or simply abstaining. .

It seems like the European Union at least shows that it can be done. This gets back to the problem that it's hard for ordinary people, fed a steady diet of nationalism from the elites' Cable TV and Newspapers, to form a political movement across borders. That it would be regional though, makes it much more palatable and practicable, and it's pretty hard to accuse Americans linking up with Canadians or Mexicans of 'treason.'

Progressive ideas don't come from elites, so labor is going to have to come up with the ideas and framework for this.

Economics are not the only motivator. The more disconnected and disaffected a society, the more anger will build and extremists aim against the countries they feel are keeping them down.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

The concept of regional economic blocks is why I (very, very mistakenly) supported NAFTA when it came up in the 90s. You can't expect to go from nation-state to global state in one swell foop. The union-state is the emerging political organization of the world (well, it's been emerging for 250 years, but it's still emerging), and that has to be the next step.

Although I like the idea of the devnet club, I differ from most progressives in that I oppose world government. The two great totalitarianisms of the 20th century were both dedicated to uniting the world under single rule, and both were defeated by pressure from with. There is no alternative to a world government by definition, and I don't think that centralization of power will resist abuse in the long run, even if founded on legitimate ideals (most religions and political movements are founded on legitimate ideals and become abusive in power in direct proportion to the power they accrue).

Re; One of the reasons I think the global elite supported Bush at first despite his obvious incompetence is that he was obviously going to weaken the US by putting it in great debt.

Why would the global elite want to weaken the US? They need the US to be A) global cop B) consummer of last resort and C) Provider of a stable reserve currency.

One thing these discussions seem to assume is that the elite is all-knowing and hyper-competent; therefore anything that is happening in the world must be serving some deep, dark, hidden purpose. But what if the global elite is no brighter, and no less mistake-prone, than the rest of us? What if the results of the policies they are following are not at all what they want and are in fact a cluster-event of the first magnitude? It's happened before, you know: see the run-up to WWI.

Mr. Faux writes:

The integrating global market ought to have the same sort of social protections that we want in a domestic market economy. Labor rights, social safety nets, environmental standards, etc. Of course, we should distinguish between rights and standards. Every worker in every country should have the right to join an independent trade union to bargain collectively. But standards, i.e., the minimum wage, would obviously be a function of that nation’s level of development.

But it’s all pie in the sky without a political strategy.

I'm having a deja vu all over again moment.  A competent labor historian needs to tackle this one, and a competent cultural geographer could assist.  The more I look at the globalization argument the more I'm reminded of the internal decline of the Labor Movement in the United States, which I mark with the passage of the Taft Hartley Act in 1947This tool, combined with an embedded racism which made it difficult for working class whites and blacks to see common interests in the south, started the flight of industry from high-wage, Unionized states in the north to low wage, industrializing states in the south. 

Tax policies also incentivized moving factories from states with a strong commitment to the idea of the "common wealth" (i.e., Northern States) to states captivated by the State's Rights Ideology as a tool to protected institutionalized segregation. 

What we see now, MHO, is nothing more than a continuation of the movement which emptied the mills of Massachusetts in the last half of the twentieth century, then began emptying the mills of the Carolinas, and now proceeding to put workers of Latin America, hardly out of poverty themselves, under pressure from places with even lower standards of labor rights. 

To say this is simply the product of irresistible market forces is to forget there ever was a man named Jack Abramoff or a place known as the Northern Marianas.

aMike

Another deja vu all over again was in an NPR program, starting with the American worker who had lost his assembly job to Mexico, the Mexican worker who was just making it into the middle class before his job went to China, and the Chinese official furious that the Vietnamese had taken work from China.

Before long, the Vietnamese will be mad at the penguins, when the work shifts ultimately far south.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Are you saying firms relocating from the Northeast to Tennessee & the Carolinas and eventually off shore has nothing to do with "market" forces?

I can understand not wanting to use the thread reply option, with the problem of ever-narrowing margins. If you don't want to use it, could you indicate to whom you are replying?

Thanks.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

My bad.

Not you, amike.

Not in the least.

What I'm saying is that the "market forces" are not "free," and never have been, and that capital has always been freer than labor.  I'm also saying that the very concept "market forces" implies that people don't make these decisions, but some sort of demigod forces these decisions upon people.  The concept "market forces" lets a quantifiable number of real live people (a relatively small number of real live people) escape the moral responsibility of the decisions they make.  I'm no more convinced of this argument than I was when Geraldine used to say "The Devil Made Me Do It". 

The Wagner Act marked the high point of the political influence of the labor movement, and it took not much more than a decade for money from the pockets of real people, allied to the Republican Party,  to begin to dilute that influence. This was not an impersonal "market force".  This was money politics. 

The greatest example of the political nature of markets is the legal fiction that corporations are "persons," and it is quite easy to pinpoint the corruption behind that decision. 

aMike

What I'm saying is that the "market forces" are not "free," and never have been, and that capital has always been freer than labor.

You aren't making any sense to me. Regardless of the relative mobility of capital & labor, you seem to be saying that the decision of a firm to relocate to somewhere where costs are cheaper & profits larger, or for that matter, a laborer switching jobs or moving somewhere where he can earn is not "market forces" at work. Quite the contrary.

I'm also saying that the very concept "market forces" implies that people don't make these decisions, but some sort of demigod forces these decisions upon people.

Well then you would be incorrect. If Store A is selling milk for 5 dollarw a Gallon and storbe B for 3 dollars a gallon, you're correct that the devil is not "forcing" me to buy from the 3 dollar a gallon store. You would be incorrect in stating the resulting preference of many consumers purchasing more and more milk from store B and less so from store A is not the work of market forces in action.

First of all, I do believe there is *some* degree of meritocracy in the modern, to which Bush stands as an exception. I think ivy league graduates with advanced degrees are at least a bit more intelligent and knowledgeable in most cases than the average person. That certainly does not mean crediting them with superhuman intelligence, but there are limits to the degree of stupidity that is consistent with their position.

Second, I also did not say everything was going as the elite intended. I said the elite supported Bush early on despite his obvious ineptitude and fiscally irresponsible intentions. That the Clinton surplus represented excess taxation was a 2000 Repub talking point, so the fiscal irresponsibility was effectively announced beforehand. That Bush was an idiot was also obvious, to the extent that grassroots Republicans of intelligence that I knew did not bother to deny it, but rather attempted to downplay its importance.

As for why the global elite would want to weaken the US, as I stated, it is because dependence on the US is a potential point of failure; it is a vulnerability. Asserting that globalism cannot continue in the face of a weakening US flies in the face of the actual experience of the Bush years. The US has declined, and globalization has continued apace. Now, you may or may not agree that that is an adequate reason, but I did state it and to reply as though I did not betrays either intellectual dishonesty or extremely poor reading skills (or possibly both).

The problem here is that "market forces" is an abstraction that covers many that are in fact human decisions. It is a way of abstracting human conduct and applying to it a metaphor ("forces") drawn from the inanimate world with its attendant lack or moral accountability. Your contention that decisions such as these are market forces, and the other view that they are moral choices, are both correct. I

Re: The US has declined, and globalization has continued apace.

How much has the US really declined? In economic terms, not in reputation, which Bush has obviously dragged through the mud in Iraq. Yes, we had a recession and no, our economy is not entirely golden, but all in all the US remains the Big Boy of the world economic system, the Global Consummer that keeps everyone else humming.

Here's two examples:

Q. 1

You aren't making any sense to me. Regardless of the relative mobility of capital & labor, you seem to be saying that the decision of a firm to relocate to somewhere where costs are cheaper & profits larger, or for that matter, a laborer switching jobs or moving somewhere where he can earn is not "market forces" at work. Quite the contrary.

Example 1:  If I've fully depreciated the investment in plant and machinery (the rate of depreciation being a political decision) and I receive an incentive to relocate (say tax forgiveness for up to fifty years--another political decision) I may actually have little cost to relocate production and no incentive to upgrade production where the factory is located.  I may not have to relocate personally at all.  The company headquarters stays where it is, and I stay in my suburb with my familiar associates.  As a worker, I may have neither the personal resources or the substantive knowledge to follow the work elsewhere, and even if I do, my network, of friends, family, and institutions (churches, schools, clubs, organizations) will be irretrievably disrupted if I do.  I'm not a cog in my community, even if my employer treats me as a cog in the machine of productivity.  Moving investments from place to place costs the commission of the trade and now takes the time for one computer to connect to another computer.  The pressure on managers to boost profits to protect stock value responds to this speed, and even conservative economists are concerned that short-range profit pressures lead to decisions which have long-term negative consequences for the organizations.   For example, profitable newspapers close overseas bureaus because the "market" tells them, through declining share prices, that they are not profitable enough.  Consumers of news be damned...the product is weakened.

Q. 2. 

Well then you would be incorrect. If Store A is selling milk for 5 dollarw a Gallon and storbe B for 3 dollars a gallon, you're correct that the devil is not "forcing" me to buy from the 3 dollar a gallon store. You would be incorrect in stating the resulting preference of many consumers purchasing more and more milk from store B and less so from store A is not the work of market forces in action.

Example 2:  I rather think this hypothetical isn't reasonable in the context of my argument, and may not be reasonable in any context.  In any specific location the difference in price of milk is measured in cents, not dollars, and besides milk is often used as a "loss leader" to attract purchasers into a store in the first place.  If milk sells for 5 dollars a gallon in Maine and 3 dollars a gallon in Nebraska, I'm not going to go to Nebraska to buy milk.  In my own community I make a moral choice and spend more on items rather than shop Wal*mart.  But the context of my argument had to do with the financial market and finance corporate capitalism, not the local dairy mart.  One would think that the observation about relatively few persons made that clear, but I guess it didn't. 

aMike

Yes , among the population .In the couple of decades preceding 1914 there was a Russian "economic miracle" , but Oct 1917 happened anyway.

But I guess I think that Adam Smith has at least convinced the political class that what counts is economic results -until Lenin steps on to the platform at the Finland Station.

Traditional worker relocation is part of a larger issue, even completely within the US. For example, to recruit specialized talent, US companies traditionally helped with relocation, often with not just expenses but with assistance in finding new homes, moving, etc. I experienced firms that would even fly out the spouse to see the community before I made a final decision.

While relocation hasn't totally disappeared, in large part, it's one of those things largely gone through the constant pressure of cost-cutting to increase profitability. As you have mentioned, a quite profitable site may be closed because the financial markets don't see it as profitable enough.

Especially when the workforce is not full of hard-to-replace skills, there can be strong incentives to businesses to relocate. This goes beyond sunk costs of services in the existing area, but literally to changes in law, such as South Dakota effectively abandoning usury laws to attract credit card operations.

Another approach, used in technical fields, is to move to an area that has very few engineers of a given specialty, and very low demand for them. From that limited demand, a "prevailing wage" is determined, for which citizens cannot afford to relocate -- houses, etc., all being factors. Now, with a shortage of the desired skill and a low prevailing wage, the employer often can get a pile of H1B visas, and pay a salary good enough for people that don't plan to bring a family and will live in a crowded apartment for a few years.

This isn't just a matter of being nice to the existing US worker base, but of losing the skills here, and disincentivizing students to learn the given field.

There are legitimate reasons for H1B's, but some of the gaming I've described needs to be fixed. Also, another check and balance on employers would be to lengthen the time that an H1B worker has to find a new job, and keep the visa, if the worker leaves the original sponsor. Right now, the sponsor has leverage akin to the principal of an indentured servant. If the H1B visa holder is recruited and can go immediately to a new job, they may be OK, but an employer can discharge them suddenly,perhaps due to demands, and they have a matter of a couple of weeks before their visa expires.

Ideally, I'd like to see a tax or fee on H1B applications that goes to subsidize US education in the specific fields that the employer can't seem to find qualified citizens.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Yippee. On the _aggregate_ numbers we're doing fine. In specific, we suck. Basically, all the growth in this past decade has gone into the pockets of the top 10%.

If a tree falls in the woods, does it make a sound?

If GDP doubles, but 90% of the populace gets nothing or loses position, does it matter at all?

Thanks, Howard,

I've learned a little something here.  The side I'd like to see discussed someplace, though it is only tangential to this thread, is the social cost of economic dislocations.   I'm thinking of the work of persons like Roy Oldenburg (The Great Good Place) and Robert Putnam (Better Together, Bowling Alone).  Even if all the economic costs of relocation were fully absorbed, a life of high physical mobility leaves its own scars.  There have been some very good studies of this relating to the toll on children of military families and what happens to their ability to form intimate, trusting friendships. 

Probably the most extreme case I've ever seen of this in one of my own classes was a student from a military family who had lived in 17 communities in 21 years.  I gather this was abnormal even by military standards (this was about 1988-89), and I don't know why the family was transferred so often, but the student said she had no fixed memories of a peer group of friends.  She said she had no peer group, and that the college dorm, where she'd been living for three years, was the longest she'd lived in one place ever.  She hoped that the residential college would lead to at least some life-long friendships. 

The studies to which I refer above mark that communities bear the scars of this kind of too high mobility, too.  Persons who know they'll be moving in 1-2 years are less involved in local politics and less willing to vote for such things as capital improvement bonds when they know that the project funded, whether a new school or library, or an upgrade to local amenities like sidewalks, is likely not to be completed before they move to a new community.  The reasoning is logical, I guess.  Why tax myself for an amenity I'll never get to use?

aMike

From my own experience, not just frequent relocation, but too frequent business travel is destructive. I was working for a consulting firm that branched into giving hands-on seminars for a networking vendor, which was, at the time, extremely lucrative.

Originally, instructors were working consultants who had real-world experience kept current and contributing to their teaching. The margins were better on teaching, and most, but not all, the firms involved in the seminars began to insist that their consultants teach at least 75% of the time. Given 5-day seminars that often required several hours of setting up a lab on the Sunday before the Monday start, this often meant Sunday-through-Friday travel, or even grabbing Saturday if flight connections were poor.

This was a major factor in breaking up my marriage, as well as making it awfully hard to eat properly, exercise, etc. While I recognize this was a highly compensated specialty, the drive to maximize profits led to it burning out people. There was a constant cost-cutting drive, again to maximize profit. Too many people see constant business travel as pleasant, but it's not. Some of the worst was giving 3 or more short seminars a week -- in that context, first class seating was sometimes the only way to keep one's back from going out. Originally, that was deemed a reasonable business expense, but that went away.

Again to cut costs and optimize profits, the instructor/consultant jobs were changed to contractors, and benefits went away. We were expected to provide our own laptops and other equipment necesary to the work.

So, compensate the stress and lack of rest with breakup of relationships.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

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