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"Al-Qaeda functions on the basis that they think they can break our will."

So says the Vice President. But isn't it more likely that Al-Qaeda intends to draw the United States into unending battles that drain our treasury, weaken our military, distract our foreign policy, and yet never reverse our willingness to go on fighting. It's the American will to fight without end and arguably without judgment or flexibility that Al-Qaeda is counting on, isn't it? Dealt with as a small, criminal, despicable, subhuman gang, Al-Qaeda has minimal stature in geopolitics. Elevated into a titanic global opponent by the rhetoric of a contest of national will, Al-Qaeda is lifted to a level of prominence, and probably fund-raising and recruiting, that it could not reach on its own. That's the contrary view to the Vice President.


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When you don't have the eight-foot tall Russian bogie man out there as an excuse to fund the complex, you got to make due with what's left over.

Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Dick Cheney functions on the basis that he thinks he can continue to scare us into following his will.

"Triumph of the Will". Where did I hear that?

Mind you, even Cheney might look better if in something produced by Leni Riefenstahl. Genius is genius, and she had it.

I'm not sure what she could have done with GWB's critical insight.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

That strikes me as the sane, not contrary, view. But these are not sane times. We were a much saner country -- we clearly understood what our goals and interests were and acted accordingly -- when the threat of nuclear annihilation loomed over us.


In times of peace, the wise man prepares for war. -- Horace

The blade itself incites to violence. -- Homer

But isn't it more likely that Al-Qaeda intends to draw the United States into unending battles that drain our treasury, weaken our military, distract our foreign policy, and yet never reverse our willingness to go on fighting. It's the American will to fight without end and arguably without judgment or flexibility that Al-Qaeda is counting on, isn't it?
Exactly what James Fallows said last September (my post about it here:
Documents captured after 9/11 showed that bin Laden hoped to provoke the United States into an invasion and occupation that would entail all the complications that have arisen in Iraq....Bin Laden also hoped that such an entrapment would drain the United States financially. Many al-Qaeda documents refer to the importance of sapping American economic strength as a step toward reducing America’s ability to throw its weight around in the Middle East.
This is the reality that Cheney and the other wingnuts will never, ever grasp...because deep down, they believe anything can be accomplished with enough swagger and aggressive posturing.

If Democrats had any sense for the jugular at all, they would be calling on Bush to force Cheney to resign.

Imagine the argument a Democrat could make in support of such a proposition:

1. Bush is an incompetent moron, but Cheney is actually crazy.

2. Crazy Cheney is the best friend Al Quaeda has in U.S. politics.
-- various supporting examples, including outing a CIA agent and corruption of the Iraqi Reconstruction

3. Crazy Cheney as V-P makes Bush an prime Al Quaeda target, and puts the U.S. at grave risk of accident or disease striking Bush down.

4. Therefore, the security of the country demands Cheney's immediate resignation.

Such calls are great opportunities to call attention to all the idiocy of Bush's foreign policy.

Of course, as soon as Democrats start calling for Cheney's ouster, it makes it more difficult for Bush to fire Cheney. This is good for the Democrats, because Bush's best remaining play would be to oust Cheney, blame Cheney for everything and then make Hagel V-P and Republican crown prince.

All Hail, MiniPax!!

Alphonse ( Al ) Kada
Iranians are fighting the Americans in Iraq so they don't have to fight them on the streets of Tehran

True. So what would be wrong with a nuclear armed Iran? Or even a renewed belligerence on the part of a nuclear armed Russia? Hey, if that's what it takes to keep the muzzle on Dick, let's do it!

Documents captured after 9/11 showed that bin Laden hoped to provoke the United States into an invasion and occupation

Anyone paying attention during the 90s knew that. Ayman al-Zawahiri (Al Qaida's theoretician) made no secret of his "far-enemy" strategy. The evolution of this strategy during the 80s was quite well know within the CIA but was one of those analytic nuances that politicians shy away from.

What other lesson could they have taken from the Soviet/Afghan war?

Reed, you hit the bull's eye squarely in the center with this short post.

It's (so damned) easy to get hung up on the lies going into Iraq, the incompetence conducting the occupation, etc, etc. The real issue is our response to 9/11. It hasn't worked. That is the discussion that America desparately needs. And pointing out that Mr. binLaden has made a chump out of Mr. Cheney is the right place to begin.

Every item in Reed's list is well taken.  I'd only add another motive in prodding America to act: polarizing the world, radicalizing Islam, and thus recruiting for the cause. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Duh.

J. McCutchen

We've been functioning just as they anticipated.


That's why US NIE tells us that AlQaeda Intl is back and why the Taliban are set for more gains when the snows melt in the Hindu Kush in the next few weeks and why, ominously, Pakistan with its nuclear weapons may be vulnerable

why in a word George Bush and Dick Cheney have spent nearly $1 Trillion of your grandchildren's money and accomplished precisely nothing, actually less than nothing

Despite the differences between red- and blue-state America, we find more in common with each other than with conservative Muslims in a gender-segregated Saudi Arabia or a religiously intolerant Iran.

An Alabama hunter and a Harvard professor, for all their likely political disagreements, share a commitment to the Constitution, freedom of the individual, the equality of women and tolerance of different religions.

Head-to-toe burqas and honor killings for most of us are more offensive than rap music or "Brokeback Mountain."

Why do our provocateurs serially fault their own country in a time of war?

Such perversity earns instant attention. Consider the understandable uproar over Sen. John Kerry's recent characterization of America as a "pariah."

Evocation of 9/11 can also energize an otherwise moribund political agenda. And blaming us rather than jihadists offers the easy — but false — option of winning the war by just making changes at home, rather than doing the hard work of defeating Islamists abroad.

But worst of all, too many Americans embrace only their fantasy of a perfect United States, rather than the good America we actually have.

Mr. Hundt, a little off topic here, but you are infinitely closer to the actual governing process than I ever will be. How long do we have to wait before the Senate Democratic Majority begins to hold hearings on the corruption, lies, deception, mismanagement of the Bush thugs? I thought a majority could do this? What am I missing?

Not to say that the rhetoric doesn't paint it differently sometimes, but this is essentially a debate about strategy, and between opposed notions of the best way to minimize the threat of a given enemy to the United States.

If you ask me, debates about strategy are almost always a good thing - when you are in a situation where there isn't room for debate, you are generally in a very bad situation. 

Forget Cheney, the reality is that we are in a rare period in American political history, in which the battlefield alone will determine the next election, perhaps not seen since 1864.

Cheney's demeanor, Bush's lies, the economy, scandal, social issues, domestic spending, jobs, all these usual criteria and more pale in comparison to what happens in Iraq, where a few thousand brave American soldiers will determine our collective future.

Hillary can only await the result.

When you think about the power used for bad causes, the money paid off to enrich undeserving friends, the pure evil wielded without any pangs of consience; there is not person on this planet scarier than the big Dick Cheney. He has personally done more harm against our country than Osama ever dreamed of.


Jan Knaus

You mean that Osama is smarter that Dubya? Who'd a thunk it?

Maybe it's because Osama actually reads books and Dubya doesn't. Oh, well, It's just a thought.

Would anyone like to speculate about the outcome of an Osama-Dubya chess game?


Jan Knaus

GWB has books of his very own. Unfortunately, due to the pressures of office, he has not finished coloring them.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Perhaps all originating from a Nietschean "Wille zur Macht" only at the level of banality.

Having been born in Newark, New Jersey, I have always held the proper Nietzchean observation is "that which does not destroy us makes me the stranger". Out of toxic waste cometh Alexander Portnoy.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Can we agree that because they can doesn't necessarily mean that they should? Should skewering members of the Bush administration for their gross mismanagement be the focus of the Democratic Party's energies when there are so many other problems with this country that needs fixing?

Hasn't enough time been wasted already trying to get those non-binding resolutions through Congress?

Nyah, nyah! Dick made more money than you did too! Is there a single person on this planet who thinks Dick is where he is for any other purpose?

Hoppy in Sacramento

Cheney's demeanor, Bush's lies, the economy, scandal, social issues, domestic spending, jobs, all these usual criteria and more pale in comparison to what happens in Iraq, where a few thousand brave American soldiers will determine our collective future.
Really? How are they going to do that? Do you really think they will get ticked off enough, those not converted to casualties, to stage an insurrection when they finally get to come home?

Hoppy in Sacramento

No, not nearly enough time has been spent trying to get the facts about this administration out where they can be seen.

This Congress cannot begin to solve the problems facing this country as long as Bush is president. Don't forget, just because Bush hasn't used the veto doesn't mean he can't or won't. And, there aren't nearly enough votes in the Senate to override a Bush veto. The most productive thing this Congress can do is to lift up the curtain around the Bush administration and let people see what's back there.

Hoppy in Sacramento

Kiwi Dude,

The Harvard prof and hunter have different interpretations of the Constitution (separate but equal? right to life?)differing definitions of "freedom" ,(free-market?) differing ideas of "equality for women" (equal pay? equal child rearing roles?)and differing ideas of "religious tolerance" (gay marriage, burquas, Pagan worship?) Your dream of unity is just a lack of faith in politics and the necessity of tension.

as for "the hard work of defeating Islamists abroad" are we going to kill them all or win hearts and minds? just curious.

... But isn't it more likely that Al-Qaeda intends to draw the United States into unending battles that drain our treasury, weaken our military, distract our foreign policy, and yet never reverse our willingness to go on fighting. It's the American will to fight without end and arguably without judgment or flexibility that Al-Qaeda is counting on, isn't it?

Um ... no. All one has to do is read any of the many communiques issued by al-Qaeda leaders and propagandists over the past several years to see exactly what they want. The message is quite consistent, direct and widely shared. Haven't you ever read these missives Reed?

It's very simple: they want us to leave. Now, which specific place they want us to leave most depends on which leader is speaking. Sometimes it is Iraq they want us to leave; sometimes it is the land of the two holy places. More often and more gnerally it is the whole land of Islam - the lands which have traditionally been ruled by Muslim peoples. They want us out ... it's not so hard to understand.

The only thing they didn't count on, perhaps, is that American don't read and don't pay attention. There is no ingenious rope-a-dope stategy, no secret long-term plan. It's more simple and obvious than that. They assume that if you kill a bunch of people, and then send a note or tape to the countrymen of those people and say, "get the hell out of my country", then eventually the people you send the note to will say, "yeah, it's not worth it. Let's get the hell out of there." The only thing they didn't count on, perhaps, is that American don't read and don't pay attention. No matter how many notes they send, a lot od Americans remain in the dark. It must be a bit mysitifying to them that no matter how many times they tell us precisely what they want, a number of American "thinkers" will run around bitting their fingernails and say "What does al Qaeda want."

Where both Cheney and some liberals like you seem to agree, Reed, is in your common assumption that since al Qaeda and its spinoffs are so damned evil and "subhuman", then whatever al Qaeda wants, we should do the exact opposite. Cheney thinks they want us to leave, and so argues we should stay. Some of the administration opponents have developed the oh-so-clever line that al Qaeda really wants us to stay and spend ourselves to death, and so we should leave.

Maybe you're both wrong. They want us to leave, now, and we should leave.

America's will is NOT based on the oleaginous machinations and imperialist predatory designs of the fascist warmongers and profiteer in the Bush government underhanded, deceptive, abusive, FAILING policies and activities in Iraq.

And if the fascist warmonger and profiteers masquarading as the VP has such intimate knowledge of al Quaida's intentions and operatins, - where in the unholy hell is bin Laden, Omar, or Zawhari. Ignore this pathological liar, and fascist warmonger and profiteer. Cheney does not represent, speak for, or server the best interests of the American people. Cheney's only concern is engoring his off sheet accounts and funnelling billion the peoples dollars into the oil, energy, and private military oligrachs Cheney and the Bush Crime Family are beholden to and connected with. A pox on Dick Cheney.

Lastly, what do Americans care about what jihadists mass murders think, say, or threaten. If those sexually repressed, perverted, malignant mass murderers imagine they have any influence in America (outside the fascist confines of the Bush government) then let them show their faces, stand and deliver. The days of jihadists freaks with box cutters defeating the entire United States Government are over. Americans will crush these cavemen faster than you can say neverendingwar, - and the only fear in American streets is the result and product of the disinformation naked lies pimped by the facsist warmongers and profiteers in the Bush government.

Every decent American should raise their voice and demand the resignation of the fascist Dick Cheney for proselytizing such horrid nonesense, slime, and naked lies.

If the VP has some proof to back up his terrorist proclomations the Rustert, Blitzer, Hannity, Matthews, and all the complicit parrots in the socalled MSM must demand that the VP intimate information be presented to the American people in the light of day.

If not, - then the fascist warmonger and profiteer masquarading as the VP is exposed as a pathological liar, a rebrobate, a disinformation warrior, and a treasonous traitor, and betrayer of every American citizen and every principle and law upon which the nation is based.

Americans must demand that Dick Cheny put up, or shut up, and quit this feeble attempt to terrorize the American people into supporting his fascist, imperialist predatory marauding of Iraqi oil, and wanton profiteering from the war, occupation, and bloody, costly, deceptive, abusive, FAILING nationbuilding enterprize in Iraq.

Americans are NOT afraid of al Quaida, no matter how vehemently, or pathetically the fascists warmongers and profiteers in the Bush government try to convince the complicit parrots in the MSM to the contrary.

"Deliver us from evil!"

It may also be important to ponder that the wish to get the holy places of Islam cleansed from infidels is widely shared, that what often is labeled as al-Qaeda ideology, extremist views or terrorist demands to a certain extent is shared by mainstream Arabs (and also mainstream Muslims around the world). The connection to generic anti-imperialism currents also oughtn't be underestimated.

The way the occupation of Iraq has been (mis-) handled, it's not surprising if the locals there want all and every foreigner to disappear. That, however, doesn't relieve the occupation forces of responsibility for the security of the civilians. Also if they leave, the blame for detoriating security will rightfully fall on the former occupants. It's their duty to ensure intensely promote stabile conditions and security.

/Tuomas

You oppose non-binding resolutions, so would support articles of impeachment?

To answer your question, the Congress should spend most of its time unraveling the trail of deceit and treachery that led the US into this quagmire, expose every element of corruption, and prosecute all who participated, most especially the leadership.

You sound like Nixon--it's damaging the country to "wallow in Watergate." Well, the depth of the crimes against the US perpetrated by Cheney have not even begun to be revealed--and you say, "oh, there are so may more important things to be done." Hell, no!

Of course, it's Cheney himself who is sapping the will of the American people to oppose al-Qaeda. That's why they love him and Bush so much. Osama even made an election eve statement to help Bush in 2004!

Cheney and Bush are far greater enemies to our way of life and core values than Osama and al-Zarqawi could ever have hoped to be. They praise Allah every day for giving them Cheney and Bush!

plainest guy, I strongly disagree with you. I understand your point of view, but I am really surprised you do not realize that one cannot just move ahead to deal with "new" problems without shedding public light on the process, methods, deceptions, lies that has led to such utter disaster. In the absence of such investigations, the Republican's standard method of operation, namely find a point of attack and use their unlimited financial resources and their easy access and manipulation of the press and their domination of talk radio to skewer and neuter any "new" policy and render it stillborn or deformed. Don't you see that public inquiries into Iraq and Iran policy might have a retardant effect on the war plans of Bush towards Iran?

If your thinking is indeed generally accepted, and that NOT holding Senate investigations is a deliberate policy of the Democratic Party, my anger and outrage at the Democrats would be very great.

One last point: oversight over the Bush administration and its disastrous policies at least in foreign policy but in other spheres as well is a constitutional obligation of the Congress, not something they "can" pick and choose to do for (your or their perceived) political gain. That is one big reason so many of us were upset with the preceding Republican Congress. You are suggesting more of the same (as far as oversight is concerned).

The soldiers will determine the election by either succeeding in Iraq, and proving Bush right, or failing, and vindicating congress.

Hillary's future, and Pelosi's for that matter, depend on the results in Iraq. The soldiers better not accomplish their mission in the next several months or the course of the 2008 elections will swing wildly.

No resolutions from congress will matter. We can only pray for the result we desire.

Opposing failed strategies that work against the long-term interests of the United States and serve those of the Islamists is a long way from "blaming us rather than the jihadists."

"You're either with us or agin' us" has its uses as a campaign slogan for an administration that would drive this country off a cliff in the name of protecting it, but it's a poor prescription for pragmatic national policy.

It's very simple: they want us to leave.

It is not that simple. The idea that the "far enemy" must be struck now developed amongst groups who insisted upon the primary importance of the "near enemy". Fawaz A. Gerges focuses upon this element in his book "The Far Enemy" where he speaks of the importance of Mohammed Abd al-Salam Faraj:

If Qutb provided an overarching intellectual architecture for the contemporary jihadist movement, Mohammed Abd al-Salam Faraj (who coordinated the 1981 assassination of President Sadat and was the ideologue of the Jihad Group, which later evolved into Tanzim al-Jihad (widely known as Egyptian Islamic Jihad) translated the meanings of jihad into operational terms. While Qutb produced an ideological manifesto, Faraj was an activist who preached jihad in local mosques, recruited jihadis, and plotted underground to overthrow the regime along lines similar to those of the Islamic revolution in Iran. Faraj, whose colleagues describe him as a fiery and charismatic orator, defined jihad in a small booklet titled “al-Faridah al-Ghaibah,” or “Absent (or Forgotten) Duty,” which became the bible and operational manual of all Egyptian jihadis in the 1980s and 1990s, including the two leading organizations – Jihad and its much bigger sister, al-Jama’a al-Islamiya.

Several points are worth highlighting about this critical document. To begin, the title of Faraj’s booklet refers to the jihad duty, which is no longer observed and is even contested and denied by some ulema. He aimed at reviving jihad by reminding Muslims of the significance of this concept to the establishment of an Islamic government, to which all Muslims are obliged to strive. Here Faraj presented a new idea: that jihad was the way to establish an Islamic state, while the classical conception of jihad required the existence of an Islamic authority to do so. Next, Faraj makes the case for jihad as a personal, not just collective, duty because now the near enemy (Muslim rulers) occupies the country. Historically, the classical view held that jihad was a collective duty that could be activated only if outside enemies threatened or invaded Muslim lands. But Faraj turned the classical view on its head and asserted that present-day Muslim rulers, particularly Egyptians, forsake their religion by not applying the Shariah and by taking unbelievers as their allies: “The rulers of these days are apostate. They have been brought up at the tables of colonialism, no matter whether of the crusading, the communist, or the Zionist variety. They are Muslim only in name, even if they pray, fast, and pretend that they are Muslims.” Therefore, waging jihad against these apostates is a personal duty of every Muslim who is capable of fighting, until the former repent or get killed.

The importance of Faraj’s operational dictum does not lie in defining jihad as an individual and permanent obligation and refuting the classical view regarding the collective and defensive nature of jihad. Qutb and others had already made that argument very eloquently and powerfully. Rather, Faraj posited a new paradigm, assigning a much higher priority to jihad against the near enemy than against the far enemy. According to Faraj, a young activist who came from a middle-class family and who graduated from Cairo University with a degree in electrical engineering, not even liberating Jerusalem (the occupied Palestinian capital and the most important place for Muslims after Mecca and Medina in Saudi Arabia) takes precedence over the struggle against local infidels. Why? Faraj advances three arguments in support of his position. First, “fighting the near enemy must take priority over that of the far enemy.” Second, liberating Jerusalem must be waged under the banner of Islam, not the internal impious leadership, lest the impious leaders be the main beneficiary of such a victory. And finally, the colonial presence in Muslim lands is the fault of these Muslim rulers. Faraj concludes by saying that jihad’s first and foremost priority must be to replace these infidel rulers with a comprehensive Islamic system. Any other external agenda would be a waste of time, Faraj said.

There was considerable debate inside Al-Qaeda about whether attacking the U.S. would help or hinder the primary goal of defeating the near enemy. The die has been cast but the game is not simple.

I don't understand why the Dems aren't using the Al Qaeda topic against the Administration a little more forcefully. Every sentence they utter should begin with the words "Now that Al Qaeda has regrouped in Pakistan..."

Like:

"Now that Al Qaeda has regrouped in Pakistan, I think we need to focus a little harder on alternate energy production."

Or:

"Now that Al Qaeda has regrouped in Pakistan, perhaps this Administration will realize that we need to do everything we can to preserve our military for the fight that may come."

Or:

"Now that Al Qaeda has regrouped in Pakistan, it is hard to believe that this has all been the result of just basic incompetence..."

And so on.

The fact that this administration has basically let Al Qaeda off the mat ought to be political dynamite. It is also an terrible failure, one that will harm world security for years to come.

Laura, you are correct about America being blamed if Iraq descends into chaos. Democrats are walking a minefield here, because if they force the troops home early and there is a bloodbath in Iraq -- they will be blamed in the next election. The ghosts of Vietnam still loom over the party. They've got to be very careful of not overplaying a hand here.

The author gives Al Qaeda way too much credit. These people are too indeologically blinded to form the kind of cunning plan he describes. I don't believe Bin Laden had any idea his actions would lead to the fall of the Taliban. His speech following 9/11 indicated that he believed thousands of Muslims would come rushing to join his cause. He trusted Allah to save him. He also vastly overestimated the impact of a single attack on the WTC. Sure, it caused a few days of disruption, but the stock market is hitting record highs.

As much as people like to say Americans are culturally ignorant, we don't come close to the levels of cultural ignorance subscribed to by the Bin Laden's of the world. They don't know anything about the West, or our values and our willingness to defend those values. This leads to dangerous underestimations, which led to 9/11.

Indeed, it is not simple, when there is still disagreement, even among Islamist scholars and activists. Sudan has a fascinating such character named Hassan al-Turabi. With this man, who can make the Borgias and Machiavelli look like characters out of The Dukes of Hazzard, I use fascinating in several senses of the word, including the deadly fascination with which snakes are claimed to hypnotize birds (they really don't, but it's a good image).
al-Turabi is variously heading political parties, being speaker of the parliament, or in Sudanese jail. While he usually allies with some opponents of the main Islamist leadership, in the best Ferengi tradition, he occasionally builds coalitions just to keep everyone confused.

While the Sudanese Islamists are brutal to Africans, for whatever cultural reasons, the leadership "ins" don't tend to kill the "outs". They may put them in comfortable jails with outside communications.

This contradictory man has made controversial rulings on Islamic thought. Many believe that he believes, once Islamic government is in place, of a fairly liberal interpretation of Sharia. For example, he is perfectly willing to have non-Muslims live under Islamic rule. Getting that government into place is another matter.

Let me say, before I get much further, that al-Turabi was al-Qaeda's sponsor in Sudan. The 9/11 Commission Report is probably accurate in suggesting al-Qaeda operations in Sudan shut down by 1998, for that was the time al-Turabi was again jailed.

Since he apparently cannot survive without controversy, he also disputes theology with bin Laden. He has been reported to have argued against the strict interpretations of ObL, arguing that arts and music should be permissible under Islamic rule. He also speaks for the rights of women and their integration into society. At various times, he has been said to be for and against and neutral about women wearng the headscarf. I might note that while Sudanese Arab women do wear a head-to-foot garment, it is often brightly colored and form-fitting.

At a 1994 30-nation conference in Khartoum, he


... called on Christians and Muslims to form a coalition to offer an alternative model of society and to suggest a new political world order...

At the end of the above conference, President Omar al-Bashir of Sudan announced the revocation of the Missionary Act of 1962. This Act, whose official title is the Foreign Missionary Societies Act, subjects public Christian activities to close government supervision. It forbids the construction of churches without government permits, and requires missionary groups to obtain a licence to proselytize (the licences specify a limited geographical area where the groups may
operate). It also requires foreign missionaries to obtain special permits, which have in practice been hard to obtain and easy to lose.


One of his most controversial ideas is that waging external jihad can replace the Hajj obligation of the Five Pillars. This actually traces back to the Sudanese Madhi Wars of the late 19th Century.

At various times, he was allied simultaneously with Saddam and Saddam's Kurdish opposition. He has denied, but there are many reports, that he is allied with the anti-Bashir forces in Darfur; this is not anti-Islamic but opposed to the dominant National Islamic Front.

So his contradictions include wanting worldwide jihad, but a much more flexible Islamist world once that succeeds. And people say that the jihadis are simple? Trust me that when you read his words -- and he's apparently fluent in English and fascinated journalists such as Milton Viorst -- you will periodically stop, wonder, and go back to other references.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

As Benjamin Franklin (I think) said: Any hobby you have to feed will eventually consume you.

We are at the being consumed stage.

Non-binding resolutions may be only symbolic, but I believe that straightforward investigations of the quagmire (and other violations of Constitutional principles, statutes, and ethics) should begin, but not be framed as hearings on impeachment. As the truth comes out, I believe support will build; impeachment hearings can begin when the support is obvious.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

I think this is nonsense. The fact that Vietnam descended into totalitarianism after we left didn't hurt the Democratic Party's national security credentials at the time. After all, Carter was elected in 1976, after South Vietnam fell. What really hurt the Democratic Party, and allowed the Republicans to revive the Dolchstosslegende, was the Iranian hostage crisis and Carter's inability to handle it properly. Another fact you aren't considering is that Vietnam was, in large part, fought under a Democratic administration (LBJ's) and with Democratic support. Thus, it was easy for Republicans later to blame Democrats for fighting it and losing. On the other hand, Iraq is pretty clearly Bush's war and a Republican war. It will be a lot harder to pin the failure on the Democratic Party this time - especially since we're already looking out for such smears.

The "surge" will fail, not due to any failure on the part of our troops, but simply because the insurgents will melt away in Baghdad, and re-surface elsewhere where our troops are thinner. It's what insurgents do; it's classic guerilla warfare. You don't fight your opponent where he's strong, you fight him where he's weak. In two years there will still be fighting in Iraq. Whether we will still be there is the only question.

Part of the reason the stock market is hitting new highs is the devaluation of the dollar. Simple indicators such as the DOW really don't tell the whole story either. I think the basic point of the post is valid - the notion that Al Quaeda wants to "break our will" is ludicrous. Not only because that statement is essentially meaningless but because it ignores the one thing that terrorists do understand. Namely that the only way to influence or defeat a large power is to sap its strength through a multitude of incidents which provoke a larger response than is reasonable. That fact has been known since at least Roman times and is working as well in Iraq as it did against the Soviets in Afghanistan.

How on Earth will anyone know that success has been achieved? What was the objective?

global citizen

I hate to break it to you but the U.S. is pretty much fighting on the more Islamist side in Iraq. And, at the same time, advancing the strength of Al Qaeda throughout the world.

global citizen

Funny you should bring this up ... "a hunter and a Harvard professor, for all their likely political disagreements, share a commitment to the Constitution, freedom of the individual, the equality of women and tolerance of different religions."

It is really comical. I can think of one hunter (you know -- the one who shot his friend in the face while trying to shoot birds with clipped wings -- that one!) who pisses on the Constitution on a daily basis! Then there's freedom of the individual (read Habeas Corpus, spying on Americans, etc) the equality of women (unless they are, you know -- lesbians, with the exeption of his daughter, of course), and tolerance of different beliefs in any way shape or form! Yep, you are surely unintentionally joking about our "other-piorities" hunting VP!

And this:

"Why do our provocateurs serially fault their own country in a time of war?

Such perversity earns instant attention. Consider the understandable uproar over Sen. John Kerry's recent characterization of America as a "pariah."

You sound more like the big Dick Cheney every time you post. He says Nancy Pelosi is helping AlQaida, and you say John Kerry is a provocateur for speaking the truth about our perception in the world thanks to this regime's horrible actions.

This war was not started for the sake of our country. It is a huge mistake, and we will not know the complete cost for years.

Stop trying to carry this regime's water by saying that speaking the truth is unpatriotic (and before you respond that you did not use that particular word, I will remind you that you DID use the words "war provacateurs," which is worse than unpatriotic).

If you believe that evoking 911 to get people on board for something that has NOTHING to do with this pre-emptive, illegal, and fatal war; then I want to say to you that you are a part of the problem -- not a part of the solution.

Jan Knaus

If you listen to the Democratic dialogue, the cutting off of funding is very relevant. It's the nuclear option the Democrats used before, and it has haunted them. They're very careful not to phrase their position in that way. Steny Hoyer emphatically declared it's not an option at all. Right or wrong, Republicans will figure out a way to blame Democrats if they push too hard for a withdrawl.

A convenient simplification of some of Mao's theories on guerilla warfare is "when the enemy is strong, we retreat (or build strength; when the enemy is weak, we attack." Further, given the current preoccupation with timetables for short-term victory, remember the title of Mao's book of concepts, On Protracted War.

Given that Iraq is more an urban insurgency than Mao's marches through the Chinese farmland, also consider Marighella's Minimanual for the Urban Guerilla. These various references show that insurgencies, in general, do not lend themselves to quick solutions.

To the extent that US involvement can measurably improve the capability of Iraqi security forces to protect the population, something may be accomplished. It is futile, however, to surge American troops with the primary intent of pacifying and holding areas, because after we leave and have not prepared Iraqis, there is nothing to continue holding.

I speak of a period of months, not years, to prepare Iraqis, and decide if there is enough of an Iraqi, rather than a provincial or ethnic/religious, identity that national-level security forces can work. There is nothing that will prevent civil war, but appropriate forces can reduce it -- if appropriate forces are possible.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Although the definition is imprecise, I would suggest that success is achieved when Baghdad is as safe and secure and experiences the same number of murders as Watts on a Saturday night in July.

Exactly. But why is this so slow to develop? Is this a deliberate decision to avoid investigatory oversight, or is the slowness which I perceive just the normal Congressional pace? Can't this be accelerated. After all, Iran is a crisis currently unfolding, right?

To some extent, it is the normal Congressional pace, complicated by at least some attempts to get bipartisan consensus. I'm afraid there isn't yet a crisis mode in Congress.

There are various procedural and customary steps to be followed in hearings. I don't have a copy handy of either the general Jefferson's Rules or specific committee procedures. In general, the Rules Commitee has to assign each matter to a committee, at least a general description of the hearing goals and a preliminary list of witnesses has to be written and agreed-to by the bipartisan committee, then the witnesses need to be notified and presumably given preparation time, then the hearing starts. Realistically, this will take a couple of weeks. Congress is not set up to react like a military command post. Yes, it could be accelerated, but, at some point, opponents could raise parliamentary objections.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Mr. Hundt,

While there is an element of truth in your statement:

Elevated into a titanic global opponent by the rhetoric of a contest of national will, Al-Qaeda is lifted to a level of prominence, and probably fund-raising and recruiting, that it could not reach on its own.

I don't think it represents the diametrically opposite position from Cheney's statement:"Al-Qaeda functions on the basis that they think they can break our will.".

The rhetoric Cheney employs uses the logic of tribes more than it embraces a national identity. Christopher Coker more clearly expresses what a "national" will looks like when he said:

Unethical practices will not make good the problems that the US military is currently experiencing, any more than a guerre revolutionnaire helped the French in Algeria. The problem is one of political will, and the latter-not a relaxing of ethical constraints- is what ‘cultural ruthlessness’ surely means.

Cheney doesn't have to be "correct" about Al-Qaeda's motivations, he only needs to maintain a monopoly on the potential and grounds for war. Where he needs to be challenged is the assumption he makes that the attacks against the US is an affaire de honneur.

The notion that our response 'put Al-Qaeda on the map' is a misrepresentation. Al-Qaeda put itself on the map by successfully striking us. What Cheney is expressing is that only big people could have done us so much harm. The shame of being struck by little people would be too much to bear. Cheney feels compelled to shore up his feelings of unworthiness by raising the spectre of Al-Qaeda as a legitimate explanation for his failure.

Taking the diametrically opposite point of view is not a matter of trivializing the people who attacked us. I stand with DanK's in his objection to the use of words like "subhuman". Treating the group as criminals doesn't require such a qualification.

If exploring what Al-Qaeda's "real" strategy is considered important, then it seems to me that two big problems should be acknowledged from the get go.

The book I refer to upthread by Fawaz A. Gerges, starts with criticizing how little of an account the 9/11 Commission is able to give of the central policy making that went on before the nine eleven attack. We just get a view of the tactical elements. For all the talk about these plot hatchers, 5 and a half years doesn't appear to be enough time to reveal their actual process.

The second problem is one that entangles the administration's narrative along with many who struggle against it: How does Al-Qaeda actually function?

Much emphasis is given now to how Al-Qaeda once again has "command and control" in Pakistan/Afghanistan. Some consideration should be given to those who question this model. Russ Marion & Mary Uhl-Bien write:

As a result,, al-Qaeda represents a highly adaptive learning organization that, in many ways, keep one step ahead of the more sophisticated and developed western nation that it opposes. In as sense, it is like bacteria that manage to work around the best efforts to to eradicate them. This is important to understand, because the use of traditional leadership pardigms to view al-Qaeda may result in inappropriate reactions and responses. Complexity perspectives tell us that going after al-Qaeda's top leadership would not be enough to take care of the problem, and might even create a catalyst to further energize the system. While bin Laden is a charismatic leader (Eggen&Dobbs, 2002) he did not make himself so central to the al-Qaeda network that innovation is restricted to his vision or movement would die with his demise.
Instead, the present anlysis shows that al-Qaeda is the product of interaction capital and is not the brainchild of an individual. Its strength does not reside in its leaders, although its leader tags were important to development and fitness. Its strength resides in its complexity. This highlighted by the quote at beginning of this article (from al-Qaeda apologist Saad Al-Fahih):

If bin Laden was not there, you would have another bin Laden. You would have another name, with the same character, with the same role, of bin Laden now. That's why we call it a phenomena [sic] not a person

And the Oscar goes to - Kiwi - for playing Victor Davis Hanson's sock puppet.

Word for word.


War does not determine who is right - only who is left. Bertrand Russell

Kiwi has done this before. How about at least some quotation marks Herr von Huber?

Domestically, it may be perceived as Bush's war, but internationally that train left long ago. It is and will remain the America's war. Supported by a substantial, influential and important share of the opposition in Congress and by most of the national mass media.

/Tuomas

First of all, the support for impeachment is obvious now. 57% of the American people want the Bush presidency to end today, according to a Gallup last week.

Second of all, whatever happened to leadership? The national Dems run a great risk of expiring as a party because of their unwillingness to make even the most trivial move until they're convinced it's "safe" politically.

Sometimes, the greatest risk lies in not taking any risk at all. As much as I despise Cheney and the neocons, at least they're willing to do what they believe in, however stupid and heinous it is.

Not having the exact Gallup poll questions, was it framed as just having the Presidency end and a new President come in, as from an election win? Did it consider a long period that variously might look like a primary, or indeed impeachment?

I'd be very interested if the poll actually framed "ending" in terms of impeachment, which may be perceived as a messy problem paralyzing the nation. You may well be right, but I'd like to see specific polling data.

Yes, there is an issue of leadership. Again, things not being perfect, I believe it was necessary to make initial gestures to GWB, but now that he has essentially slapped those away both on Iraq and healthcare, the Democratic leadership can move ahead. If the support is there for impeachment, let it happen, but it may be necessary to build support in voters that are not activists.

A reason to have the specific hearings, even if impeachment moves forward quickly, is that some of the Administration perversions of the Executive Branch may not come out in an impeachment-focused hearing. One area that is important but probably not impeachment-level is the politicization of government science and the suppression of inconvenient results. Another area, more relevant to impeachment but needing to be examined, in detail, in executive session, is warrantless surveillance and the possible need for FISA changes. Another area, again at the impeachment level, is reexamining the War Powers Resolution, military activities of recent administration, and the proper role of Congress vis-a-vis military action that is not a reaction to an immediate threat.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Cheney is a disaster but I don't see what you think is the alternative. Al-Qaeda wants a fanatical Sunni Islam realm from at least the Gulf to Afghanistan. The failure to send adequate American forces into Tora Bora seems to be the biggest disaster.

Bin Laden killed 200 people at American Embassies and about 3,000 Americans before we removed Saddem. We may not be able to fight Al-Qaeda in a conventional war do you think we can stand aside and wait to see what else they do?

Daniel A. Greenbaum

I'm missing your point about the connection between removing Saddam and al-Qaeda. Removing Saddam certainly did not prevent, among other incidents, the 2004 Madrid and 2005 London bombings. Both of these incidents had what has come to be an al-Qaeda signature: multiple, near-simultaneous attacks.

Agreed about Tora Bora, a failure which, I believe, was caused partially by diversion of CENTCOM attention and resources to the Iraq plan. Afghanistan, and areas in Pakistan, remain potential al-Qaeda havens that need attention. The spread of Islamist terror in Africa needs attention.


We may not be able to fight Al-Qaeda in a conventional war do you think we can stand aside and wait to see what else they do?

And your proposal is what?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

From your post above: No resolutions from congress will matter. We can only pray for the result we desire.

Well, that's fascinating, but...if the nation ten years from now finds itself in the same situation in Iraq that it finds itself in now, or in other words the same situation that it found itself in 3 years ago, will Kiwi von Huber still be spouting empty slogans like "We can only pray for the result we desire?" If your answer is yes, how about 20 years from now? 30 years? And if you are able-bodied, of military age and not a veteran or currently in the military, don't your options include a whole lot more than just "praying?"

You caviling about the poll is specious. I'm sure you could phrase a question about impeachment that lowers the 57% number somewhat. The point is, most people want them out.

The specific articles of impeachment are legalistic technicalities, and there are numerous grounds--the lies and deception that they engaged in to promote the Iraq war are plenty; Bush's assertion on several occasions that he would enforce only those parts of laws he wanted, even as he was signing them into law, is a nice one, too; Cheney's conspiracy to expose a covert CIA agent is plenty all by itself.

Lacking the 60 votes in the Senate necessary for removal, it's probable that the best strategy for doing the public's will is to use the impeachment proceeding and the development of criminal charges as a lever to force Bush and Cheney's resignations--a kind of plea bargain that calls for them to give up their "public service."

I'd hate to see them cheat the jailer, but one has to think of what's best for the country.

By the way, that Santayana quote is not only hackneyed, it's clearly false. Remembering the past is no guarantee that mistakes won't be repeated, and "forgetting" the past doesn't guarantee that you WILL repeat previous mistakes.

Like most of George's pablum, it sounds better than it is.

Caviling? I asked a straightforward question of clarification, in a forum where discussion is expected. If you consider it caviling to ask how a question was phrased, because I didn't immediately agree with your conclusion, you do realize that you are emulating Cheney's listening to facts and questions that do not meet his preconceptions?

Indeed, the specific articles of impeachment are legal technicalities. Indictments in the criminal justice system, and specialized indictments such as articles of impeachment, are part of a judicial process. Justice, in this country, involves law, which GWB has flouted. Do you prefer that simple will should dictate whatever is to be done?

Make no mistake: I believe that Bush and Cheney have committed impeachable and possibly criminal offenses. I bring up "legalistic technicalities" as a constructive part of a process that the White House has tried to destroy: the rule of law, not opinion, hatred or fear.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Lacking the 60 votes in the Senate necessary for removal, it's probable that the best strategy for doing the public's will is to use the impeachment proceeding and the development of criminal charges as a lever to force Bush and Cheney's resignations--a kind of plea bargain that calls for them to give up their "public service."

Can you imagine that happening, though? Give up power in the face of a challenge from Congress?  Isn't Congress, in their eyes, just another focus group?

I think that Howard is right that there are vital issues that would not come out in impeachment, and that you are right that impeachment wouldn't happen today; the two might conceivably mesh, if a host of hearings exposed the thoroughgoing corruption of the constitution to public scrutiny. 

Cheney is a disaster but I don't see what you think is the alternative.
If you read the whole Fallows piece that I linked to, you'll see what would be a better alternative. Inflating the fight against a particular terrorist organization into some vast global struggle is exactly the wrong way to go; ratcheting down the rhetoric while carrying on effective counter-terrorism operations would make for a much saner strategy.
Al-Qaeda wants a fanatical Sunni Islam realm from at least the Gulf to Afghanistan.
And I want a pony. Neither of us is going to get what we want. It makes no sense to predicate a strategy on the assumption that something that will never ever happen is actually a serious threat.

Relax. "Pray" was just a figure of speech. You can hope, wish, imagine, dream, I don't care.

My point remains the same. If you believe, like the majority of the congress does, that the war in Iraq will result in defeat for the country, you are fully invested in such a defeat, you own it, and you better "hope, wish, imagine, dream etc." it happens.

If our soldiers "win" or are otherwise successful in Iraq, the Democrat party will face decades of landslide defeat at the ballot box.

You haven't addressed your blatant plagarism. Your copied (and unattributed)prose sickens me; you don't even bother with quotation marks. As noted below by seashell:

And the Oscar goes to - Kiwi - for playing Victor Davis Hanson's sock puppet.

The Democratic (it is ignorant of you to mispronounce our name)Party --- unlike the War Party (otherwise known as republicans)--- wants our troops home alive.

 That is what "supporting the troops" really means. You, with your copied talking points continue to push the idea that our young should be cannon fodder for this "oil and money regime."

Do you really think you are making a valid point when you spout talking points that you have cut and pasted without attribution? When your entire "policy" is bankrupt?

You are even dumber than Bush.

The only people "praying" for failure in Iraq are the war profiteers -- the Bush's, the Cheney's,  the Rice's and Wolfowitz's, et al -- who gleefully anticipate the next bloodbath that will add to their bank accounts and power.

OK, ARTAPPRAISER, downrate me (as usual) for my passion against this boob!

Jan Knaus

Assume that is achieved. How, then, does that goal reduce the threat of terrorism to the United States, which was presented as a major justification for the invasion of Iraq? For that matter, how did the Baghdad murder rate under Saddam compare with that of Watts?

Would you care to speculate on the effect on known Jihadis had CENTCOM not been distracted from Afghanistan operations by the ramp-up to Iraq?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Don't you love VDH? Glad you enjoy his work...

Well, you're right that the exact wording might be of interest, but you could have looked it up too, no? My point was that the political risk of impeachment is far less than the Dems fear. Certainly far lower than the Republicans faced when they impeached Clinton, whose approval ratings started in the 50s and increased during the proceedings. Even so, the Repubs were able to "win" the White House after their unpopular impeachment circus.

Naturally, impeachment of Bush and Cheney would have to come after the (promised) investigations had begun unearthing the tale of their criminality.

My point is that the Dems have to adopt a strategy that calls for dislodging these crooks from office. Whether it's successful in the end or not, pursuing it can only help them in 2008. Of course, they probably won't, since they usually just do what the Republicans con them into doing.

As for comparing me with Cheney, I'm both offended and complimented. Cheney is loathesome both as a human being and as a fascist ideologue, but he is extraordinarily effective, never apologizes or admits a mistake, is politically ruthless, and is never cowed by opposition criticism--qualities the Dems would do well to emulate.

The idea that "simple will should dictate whatever is to be done," which you deride me for promoting, is also called democracy. While the majority isn't always right, it really doesn't take much political courage to do what they want.

Can I imagine them resigning? Sure, assuming they are as guilty as we believe. Faced with the choice between penurizing, months or years-long trials, followed by jail time, or a quick chopper trip off the Whiote House lawn, which would you do?

Besdies which, even if the didn't resign, the information dredged up byu preliminary investigations would only help the Dems in 2008.

And the fact is, what else should they be doing? Spending all their time crafting social legislation that Bush will veto anyway? Talk about non-binding resolutions!

Can I imagine them resigning? Sure, assuming they are as guilty as we believe. Faced with the choice between penurizing, months or years-long trials, followed by jail time, or a quick chopper trip off the Whiote House lawn, which would you do?

Besdies which, even if the didn't resign, the information dredged up byu preliminary investigations would only help the Dems in 2008.

And the fact is, what else should they be doing? Spending all their time crafting social legislation that Bush will veto anyway? Talk about non-binding resolutions!

Well, you're right that the exact wording might be of interest, but you could have looked it up too, no?
No, I could not have looked it up, because I was referring to the actual Articles of Impeachment and supporting evidence. They do not yet exist, partially because while we (sometimes only key members of Congress) may know generally of such things as warrantless surveillance, no one has the full detail in order to draft an indictment of what specifically has been violated.
My point is that the Dems have to adopt a strategy that calls for dislodging these crooks from office.
And there we agree. I want the steps to be ironclad, and that will take hearings. Some people in Congress may be implicated.
The idea that "simple will should dictate whatever is to be done," which you deride me for promoting, is also called democracy.
Your observation might be valid if the United States was a pure direct democracy, which it is not. It is a republic, and, while some of the protections, created by the Framers to prevent raping minority rights, have been overtaken by events, some things are deliberately and wisely hard to do. There are reasons there are two houses of Congress and three branches of government. "Simple will" does not contain inherent checks and balances, especially when "simple will" can be driven by sound bites, fear, uncertainty, and doubt. Karl Rove has been very good at creating "simple will", although I hope that there is evidence that is coming to an end, -- Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]

Mr. CVilleDem:

Perhaps you would benefit from setting aside the name-calling for a moment, and considering the thoughts of David Limbaugh. He noted the comments of VP Cheney and observed:

"Precisely what did Dick Cheney -- the public servant who Democrats may, with impunity, stoop to any depths to slander -- say to make House Speaker Nancy Pelosi so indignant? Well, he issued his assessment of the Democrats' legislative proposals to emasculate our current offensive in Iraq.

Cheney said, "Al Qaeda functions on the basis that they think they can break our will … " and cause us to "quit and go home. … That's their fundamental underlying strategy. … If we adopt the Pelosi policy … we will validate the strategy of Al Qaeda. I said it, and I meant it."

What's wrong with that statement? If Cheney believes the Democrats' cut and run policies will benefit Al-Qaeda, doesn't he have an obligation to warn us? Not according to Pelosi, who said Cheney was questioning her patriotism.

Not once did Cheney suggest the Democrats were unpatriotic. He said, "I didn't question her patriotism. I questioned her judgment." Likewise, President Bush recently made clear that he didn't view the Democrats' proposals to withdraw from Iraq unpatriotic.

But if accusing your political opponents of playing into the enemy's hands constitutes an attack on their patriotism, the Democrats' hands are hardly clean either.

How many times have we heard Democrats say that President Bush's policies in Iraq are the best terrorist recruitment tool we could have possibly given to Osama bin Laden?

Have you ever heard President Bush whine that Democrats were questioning his patriotism? No, perhaps because Bush is quite secure about his own patriotism."

Excellent analysis of VP Cheney's observations. Don't you agree?

Your responses to my point of view are angry and filled with namecalling. Why is that?

To employ as your rebuttal the statement that I am "...dumber than Bush..." fails the elementary test of Debate 101.

Does that suggest that you are "smart?" Am I suuposed to be insulted when your best argument in reponse to mine is that the President of the United States and I share the same intelligence level?

Can you imagine using that technique in any educated discourse, basic college debate class or law school moot court challenge?

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