Clinton, Edwards, Obama & The War
In his column Monday, Paul Krugman explains why Senator Clinton's refusal to admit that her vote authorizing the war was a mistake is such a huge deal.
"For the last six years we have been ruled by men who are pathologically incapable of owning up to mistakes. And this pathology has had real, disastrous consequences. The situation in Iraq might not be quite so dire — and we might even have succeeded in stabilizing Afghanistan — if Mr. Bush or Vice President Dick Cheney had been willing to admit early on that things weren’t going well or that their handpicked appointees weren’t the right people for the job."
That about says it all.
But I remain confounded as to why Clinton won't admit her mistake. What is it with politicians?
I remember that during Watergate I kept worrying that Nixon would just admit that he was wrong. I worried because I believed that the always forgiving American public would quickly forgive and forget.
Look at JFK and the Bay of Pigs. He said he was sorry and took full responsibility. His ratings went through the roof. Same with Reagan when he finally kinda apologized for Iran-Contra. His popularity didn't skyrocket but his Presidency was saved.
And didn't every one of us just pray that Bush would not apologize for his mishandling of Katrina. With our eyes and hopes on '06, we wanted no apologies to rescue the President.
I cannot remember a single instance in politics in which a candidate has benefited by digging in when they are wrong. That approach is a sure loser. Democratic primary voters are furious about this war and -- I don't care what the polls say -- they will not vote for a candidate who appears not to be. Furious, heart-broken and
taking names. Big time.
I was against the war. I marched against it in Washington. I signed and paid good money for an ad in the New York Times. I wasn't a Senator. I'm a nobody. But I still feel that I did not do enough to stop it. I feel guilty. I expect that anyone who supported this war must, should, feel the same way only much worse.
Obama is in the best position. He was against the war from day one. The articles saying that he ducked controversy while in Springfield have it all wrong. Any state official can duck taking a position on a war because a state legislature has no role to play in foreign policy. Obama came out against the war at the same time Clinton and Edwards voted for it. Their vote was cast in the almost sure knowledge that the war, as disastrous as it was morally and for the national interest, was almost a sure political winner.
With that same knowledge, Obama came out in strong unambiguous opposition. He could have ducked it (like JFK on the McCarthy censure) and no one would have noticed.
Edwards voted wrong but has now put the issue behind him by admitting his mistake. "I was wrong," he says.
As the phrase goes, it takes a big man to admit he was wrong or, at the very least, it takes one who is in touch with Democrats and the American people in 2007-8.
So what gives with Hillary? How will she get through a debate if she sticks to her guns. I know the adage that people admire people who stick to their convictions. But I only admire politicians who stick to convictions I share.
Pat Buchanan sticks to his convictions and I'm not voting for him. I won't even mention Ralph Nader who sticks to his convictions with deadly effect. I sure as hell wouldn't vote for him.
What is Hillary thinking? Why in God's name would anyone not apologize for voting for this war? I am genuinely perplexed.










So as she told us to in New Hampshire the other day we go and support someone else in the primaries.
Tom
February 19, 2007 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, she should have said she made a mistake. Everybody did. Voters would have taken her admission and not missed a beat.
We all felt there were WMDs in Iraq and nobody anticipated the blood letting that's happened there since. An admission of error by Hillary would have killed the issue.
Why didn't her advisors prevail on her to admit it?
Because they are scared to death of Hillary's fury, rage, tantrums, and, ultimately, of being exiled.
So Hillary refused to say "I'm sorry." As a result, she has brought herself no end of woe as she tries to appease her anti-war constituents.
February 19, 2007 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
What perplexes me is how anyone could be perplexed about HRC's calculations here. There was in fact an article in the NYT a day or two ago spelling it out:
and then there's this:
February 19, 2007 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great idea, Hillary. I had already thought of it myself!
Jan Knaus
February 19, 2007 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has ballooned this issue into what it has become. If she had the character to have said, (once she FINALLY realized that her vote WAS a mistake) that it was, it would be over now.
However, she continues to deflect responsibility. As a US Senator, she had the obligation to evaluate the stuff coming from the Bush regime. Plenty of Senators did; other countries (which the Bush regime denigrates) were right all along when we were wrong.
....If she had known then what she knows now (a lame excuse for someone sending thousands of our citizens to war) -- she could have/SHOULD HAVE known so much more, but she was afraid that voting against a military campaign would stifle her chances as a Presidential Candidate in 2008.
Sorry, Hillary, that is how you have played yourself, and that is how I read you. I don't trust you, and I don't think you DESERVE to be President, regardless of your ambition and entitlement. You seem to be a decent enough Senator. Stay there. Keep it up. Take your millions and do something unselfish for this country and donate it to someone who can win.
Jan Knaus
February 19, 2007 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
What makes you think that Hillary has ever held convictions similar to your own? I think people have unfounded ideas of who she should be. Or rather, they think that she's "changed" for the worse now that the presidency is within her grasp. I think she's the same as always, and she's always been somewhat conservative--on another post today someone pointed out that she was once part of the Republican student group at Wellesley. Am I missing a liberal/leftist episode in her past that should lead any of us to believe that she's better on policy and principle than she seems to be?
February 19, 2007 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is one of those things where someone (Rosenberg) is selectively choosing facts to support an opinion they have already reached. Reagan never "apologized" for Iran-Contra, and neither did it ever threaten his presidency. He "took responsibility" for it (just as Hillary has said), fired a few people (scapegoating -- some way of taking responsibility), and moved on. JFK's approval ratings never "shot" anywhere, either during or after Bay of Pigs (which happened April 17 1961):
Kennedy's approval ratings
If it's your opinion Hillary owes people an apology that's fine, but throwing out a bunch of bullshit non-facts to "prove" that it would be good politics for her to apologize is dishonest. If you had studied this topic enough to have an opinion on it worth spouting, you either wouldn't have done it or you would have supported your opinion choosing "facts" that couldn't be debunked after a 5 minute Google search.
In times of peace, the wise man prepares for war. -- Horace
The blade itself incites to violence. -- Homer
February 19, 2007 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
She was President of the group and a Gloldwater Girl, as well.
Kinda like Mitt Romney only in reverse.
February 19, 2007 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm quite suspicious myself of Hillary's liberal credentials. I read recently (sorry, I can't remember where, but a reliable source as I remember) that Hillary is a member of the small (10-15) member Senate prayer breakfast group which meets on a weekly basis in Washington. The other members of the group are mostly hardcore Republican Christian fundamentalists. I'm going to google this and see if I can find info. If it's true, Hillary is far 'different' than what meets the eye.
February 19, 2007 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is simply following her husband's advice: "It is better to be strong and wrong than weak and right."
Bill Clinton was talking about how Republicans win elections even though their ideas are bad. They talk tough, they don't back down, and voters respect that even if they don't agree with their policies. I guess Hillary is thinking that refusing to apologize will make her seem tough, even if she is wrong.
I don't think it's gonna sell. It sure didn't help Lieberman in the Dem primaries in CT.
February 19, 2007 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand the argument that, as a female candidate, Clinton might believe she is under a particularly strong microscope in every area related to national security and military leadership, and might feel she is under a lot of pressure to look "strong and tough", and full of resolve. She doesn't want to admit mistakes because she thinks people will say, "Ah, changing her mind. Isn't it just like a woman?"
Fair enough. But ultimately the problem cuts both ways. If voters come to perceive her as unhealthily inflexible on national security issues for the very reason her advisor cites, then they might begin to say, "Ah, going overboard in the resolve department to prove she can be as strong as a man. Isn't it just like a woman?"
It's a tough bind, and there is no easy way out. But at some point I think she just needs to loosen up a bit, pay more intention to conscience, and do the right thing - and stop hyper-reflexively double and triple calculating every step in terms of how it will appear. Hopefully she will reach a comfort level where she has the confidence to do the right thing, and has some more faith in her capacity to win the public argument and convince voters that it is the right thing.
In the present environment, she should entertain the notion that voters would respond favorably to a message like the following: "I was wrong. I made a mistake. And there will be other mistakes in the future - infallibility is reserved for God and fools. I can't promise that I won't make more mistakes. But I can promise that I will surround myself with courageous, intelligent and independent-minded people who will have the freedom to tell me when I do make a mistake; that I will recognize mistakes quickly; and that I will take prompt steps to correct them. I will not stubbornly persist in my mistakes, and will not dig America into ever deeper holes out of pride and obstinacy."
I think most voters would find this kind of statement quite refreshing. They have had quite enough of stubborn Bush-style "resolve" I think.
I'm a bit worried about the part of the advisor's statement that indicates that Clinton wants to preserve the power of the chief executive so that when she is president herself she will be able to wield that power. That frightens me. The power of the presidency has been growing steadily for over 100 years, with only a couple of brief setbacks, and has reached monstrous new proportions with the Bush administration. I am interested in hearing a presidential candidate tell me how they are planning to undo the Bush usurpations, and return power to the people, and to the people's branch of government - the congress. It sounds to me like Clinton, on the other hand, is determined to continue the drift toward imperial executive omnipotence - and that's a very dangerous thing. And frankly it tends to reinforce people's worst fears about Clinton: that she is a power hungry monster of ambition and manipulation.
February 19, 2007 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
But has she ever really presented herself as more left than she is? I feel like we may have all made this up in our own heads. I used to feel disappointed about her policy decisions--thinking that she was being ultra-calculating--until I realized that I never really had any reason to expect anything else from her. There's no reason to think her unwillingness to apologize is just posturing either. She may very well believe she has no reason to apologize. She's already explained herself, and everyone should move on, as she's told us.
February 19, 2007 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
The information about Hillary's membership in the Senate prayer breakfast group was from The Atlantic. Here's a revealing description from a wikipedia article on the group:
"The Fellowship, which strives to be "invisible," has received media attention for allegedly having behind-the-scenes influence over political leaders. For example, the organization operates a group residence, registered as a church, near the United States Capitol, with space for at least six Congressional representatives to live; Representatives normally do so only while Congress is in session. Prayer groups have met in the Pentagon and at the Department of Defense. Connections to the CIA have also been alleged. The headquarters is a building called Cedars, donated in 1978 from, among others, Tom Phillips, CEO of arms manufacturer Raytheon; and Ken Olsen of Digital Equipment Corporation.
Current Congressional membership of the group is overwhelmingly from the Republican Party. Senators who have been cited as members of the organization include Sam Brownback of Kansas, Don Nickles and James Inhofe of Oklahoma, Charles Grassley of Iowa, Pete Domenici of New Mexico, John Ensign of Nevada, Bill Nelson of Florida, Conrad Burns of Montana and Jim DeMint of South Carolina. A recent article in the Atlantic Monthly noted the membership of Hillary Clinton of New York. Congressmen who have been cited as members include Frank Wolf of Virginia, Joseph Pitts of Pennsylvania, Zach Wamp of Tennessee, and Bart Stupak of Michigan."
February 19, 2007 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Brad makes excellent points. Here might be some other technical points.
The resolution gave the President authority on a wide range of options regarding Iraq. At the time of her vote, she could not have known what the president would do with that resolution in hand.
Arguably, one could have predicted that the President was going to take us to war in Iraq no matter what. I did. I don't think that many could have predicted how he would totally bungle the job.
But the guy you really have to admire is Al Gore who has been consistently right on the larger issues concerning our future.
So here is perhaps what Mrs. Clinton is saying: Given the explosive atmosphere we were in after 9-11, giving George Bush the authority specified in the resolution, was not an unreasonable thing to do AT THE TIME. In retrospect, knowing what we know now about this administration, we would NEVER have given him this authority. Not being clairvoyant, she did not know how events would unfold.
As far as gushing mea culpas like Edwards, I don't think that does us any good in this extremely sensitive time we are in in our foreign affairs.
February 19, 2007 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Precisely. It is even more frightening when you realize that a Yale educated lawyer believes that Congress should have deference to the executive branch. WTF? Not according to the Constitution. Hillary is telling us she is a FEMALE decider. Folks, need to start listening to what she is actually saying, not what they wish to hear. Hillary is telling us that GWBush made a mistake, not her. That is false. What she did was a dereliction of duty. That is her mistake and she needs to OWN IT if she is in it to WIN it.
Frankly, I prefer a person well trained in Constitutional law who believes that our democracy has 3 co-equal branches of goverment and that we need agreessive foreign diplomacy not pre-emptive unitary rule. Obama is looking better every time Hillary addresses this issue. He consistently demonstrates integrity, judgement and leadership on the most important issues of our time.
February 19, 2007 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do think she's under a stronger microscope as a woman candidate for the presidency. But I still wonder, as I mention below, whether any of us have any real reason to believe that she is moving now toward the center or right to get to the presidency? Is there some event I've missed where she presented herself as a candidate of the left and not the center? I ask honestly.
February 19, 2007 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the link to the 'Atlantic' article by Josh Green:
Hillary's Take-Two/Atlantic Monthly
February 19, 2007 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are right on a few key points. One, she has the best democratic strategist alive sleeping next to her every night. OK, he returns her voicemails promptly.
Two, Bill's political team are the most experienced and keenest democratic campaigners there are.
Three, the part you mention about being strong. She is not running for primaries, she is running for the general. She has even let it be known she will skip some early caucuses (cauci?). She also plans to take red states that have not been touched in years, like the Rockies and plains states. Her consultants have conveyed to her she must run to the right of all of her Democratic opponents, at least until the last minute. She is keeping the democratic field as close to the center as possible so she can be prepared for external events to not control her campaign.
Bob Shrum will not be on her campaign and She will be prepared in case, like Kerry OBL releases a video 3 days before the polls open. For those that believe this will be her position in the homestretch, don't take it personal. She gets no national bump for apologizing right now, she gets a great bump in March or even June of 2008, and then she uses it to fire up the engines and go after her Republican opponent full force.
Fourth and Finally, She is a woman. Any one that thinks she hasn't studied the only real life model for her canidacy, Margret Thatcher, is underestimating her husband and his team. Margret Thatcher was not just an advocate of a strong military, She was the Iron Lady. This was a foil to her femininity. She was the strong mother figure protecting her people. The British in their collective memory had a template for this in Queen Victoria and other warrior Queens.
Hillary has to build this from scratch. I am not saying she will emerge as some war monger rambo in a pants suit. I am saying her handlers are telling her to appear as engaged in foreign policy and the potential for the use of force as possible until the position becomes untenable, because you can only flip, you can not flop.
In a campaign against a Republican, especially a strong executive like Rudy or Romney, running in a campaign that revolves around understanding the use of force, she has to appear to be tough, but not foolhardy, and smart but not wonkish. If she gives off a JFK image of being torn between conflicting forces, but making the right decision to disengage in Iraq, she appears as one who is willing to fight, but smart enough to know when not to fight. If she comes across as a kneejerk end the war at all costs candidate, she won't have anything to talk about regarding the defense policy.
February 19, 2007 8:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hoppy in Sacramento
February 19, 2007 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why all the puzzlement?
She's doing as her husband did: stick with the wrong story until the country gets ashamed of its selfimportant hypocritical moralizing and faux standards. Then you make your move.
Personally, I'm sick of all the hypocrisy too.
Her people circulated that she's no fool about Iraq and of course considers her part in the thing a grotesque mistake, long ago. Late 2004, iirc. But there is part of the Party that wants to see her humiliated- and if/when she does as they demand, they'll refuse to flip to her because of Bill.
February 19, 2007 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Clinton believes in her position so why do you expect an apology? That position includes unitary executive, pre-emptive war as determined by the executive, and the aggressive use of American military power. I don't see her as stubborn or rigid--these are her positions and apparently they are firmly held. An apology is not needed.
A lot of elected Democrats voted for this resolution and their criticism for the problems in Iraq are along the lines of "faulty intelligence" and/or "incompetence" (better known as failure to win). If minds have been changed, then politicians can say so...as John Edwards has done.
Now each of us can make a decision on a primary candidate with this knowledge in mind.
February 19, 2007 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"So what gives with Hillary?"
She won't apologize because she thinks the war was a good idea. That's why she's becoming this cycle's Joe Lieberman.
February 19, 2007 8:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that this is a good 'political' strategy, and the strategy was taking shape in October 2002, evidenced by her resolution vote. It's just too bad that Hillary's political strategy came at the cost of so many American and Iraqi lives.
February 19, 2007 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Vienna Summit followed in June, 1961. JFK had his first meeting with Nikita Khrushchev:
“Khrushchev threatened to sign a peace agreement with East Germany that would impinge on Western access to Berlin by turning over control of the access roads and air routes. Kennedy was shocked at the tone and threats made.”
Khrushchev told Kennedy, "Force will be met by force. If the US wants war, that's its problem." "Its up to the US to decide whether there will be war or peace." "The decision to sign a peace treaty is firm and irrevocable, and the Soviet Union will sign it in December if the US refuses an interim agreement." Kennedy replied, "Then, Mr. Chairman, there will be a war. It will be a cold winter."
Nuclear winter? At any rate, a rather chilling exchange.
February 19, 2007 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
She seems certain that hanging tough will get her through this. But there's always the chance that the issue will linger & too many might remain unconvinced. Then she'll be in a real bind because if she later decides she MUST apologize she'll appear no diff. then Kerry in similar circumstances.
I won't forgive her. But then again, I guess she's given up on persuading folks on the Democratic left like me. She thinks the moderates are carry her to victory. Maybe. Or maybe not.
Richard Silverstein
Tikun Olam>
February 19, 2007 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
SeeDee
I wonder if Hillary's adamant refusal to admit her mistake in the 2002 vote (and by any measure, it WAS a mistake), stems from her concern for the views of some of her mega-buck campaign donors?
It is also equally possible that, while she had a non-race for her re-election in '06, she was, after all, contending in New York, where opposition to the Iraq debacle was not as pronounced as it now is.
AIPAC, for instance, does not seem to share the same level of conviction that prevails in much of America regarding the idea that the Iraq war was a BIG mistake.
February 19, 2007 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
All Americans were, and continue being, ruthlessly deceived with regard to the shapeshifting deceptive justifications, the costs, any semblence of accounting, the timeframes and the ultimate objectives of the bloody, costly, noendinsight wayward misadventure in Iraq by the fascist warmongers and profiteers in the Bush govenment.
Democrats have nothing to loose by recognizing this fact, admitting the grievous mistake of voting in support of a facsist president ghoulishly exploiting the horrors and the dead of 9/11 during the nations moment of extreme trauma.
Hillary's refusal to admit to this mistake and take advantage of the factbasedreality most Americans now recognize undermines her credibility and legitimacy as leader of the democratic party, and potential leader of the free world.
In fact, any democratic candidate who is not a vehement opponent of the fascist warmongers and profiteers in the Bush government, and who does not demand a change of course in Iraq, - does not deserve our support, and certainly not our votes.
February 20, 2007 12:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why does anyone think Hillary Clinton believes her vote was a "mistake"?
The vote was a ceding of war powers to the White House. She's a strong lady, and if she gets to the White House, she's going to expect to exercise the full panoply of presidential powers among which war making powers are the most seductive.
Admitting that she made a mistake would be to re-cede presidential powers which have been built up over the past 50+ years back to the Congress, something she'd be loath to do even on her most left-leaning day.
Margaret Thatcher? You ain't seen nothin' yet!
P.S. Didn't notice stlounick's comment, above; he said it better.
February 20, 2007 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, right.
February 20, 2007 3:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
This whole debate is amusing. The Clintons are regularly accused of not actually believing in anything. Now the demand is that Hillary Clinton reverse not what she thinks now, that war in Iraq be ended, but that an action she took four years ago.
The moment Hillary says she made a mistake, if she did it was not in being for getting rid of Saddem in this it is the anti-war Left that is mistaken, but in trusting Bush, she will be denounced for not believing in anything.
Having spent Sunday with a number of womem all politically interested and liberal Democrats it is obvious that only those who do not care if Hillary wins in November or just don't think want her to say she made a mistake. Everyone of them, not all supporters of Clinton, said as a womam if she said she made a mistake she would be pounced upon as weak.
Krugman seems to confuse what Hillary did with her vote and her ability to change policy once it is shone not to be working. This is what Bush has been unwilling to do. The smug insistence on an apology is a rather typical Leftwing and Rightwing juvenlie approach to politics.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
February 20, 2007 4:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
DanielGree thinks apologizing is a mistake. If I hit my neighbor's car and scratched it, I'd apologize. Hill voted for a policy that killed 3200 Americans and destroyed Iraq and thinks that an apoogy would demonstrate weakness.
Bill, in his flexibility and ability to admit mistakes was like Fdr. The missus is Nixon or Lady McBeth.
February 20, 2007 4:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, Ellen, you said it quite well, thanks. I'm not sure I would say that she's seduced by the lure of expanding presidential war powers, but I do think she would be a strong leader and I also think she is guided by her experience inside the White House.
February 20, 2007 5:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
true, but no more so than Obama in terms of minority status. I wonder which 'minority status' is seen as a greater 'handicapp/obstacle' in our society in general.
February 20, 2007 5:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gore is 2 for 2- supported Gulf War I, opposed Gulf War II. Obama is 1 for 1. Clinton and Edwards both were wrong about this war- but only one has had the courage to admit it.
February 20, 2007 5:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dan K: Ever consider becoming a (Democratic) speechwriter? This party could use a few good ones.
February 20, 2007 5:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Imhofe !
February 20, 2007 5:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ask, and it shall be answered.
Question: "If your party nominated a well-qualified Candidate For WH ‘08 who was _, would you vote for that person?"
If _ == black, 94% would vote for that person "anyway". If _ == woman, that number drops to 88%.
What's scarier is some of the other "minority" states listed on that page - especially atheist.
February 20, 2007 5:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, M J Rosenberg, for raising an issue that is almost invariably papered over: the nature of the 'mistake' of the US Iraq invasion: 'as disastrous as it was morally and for the national interest.' Yes! The key problem of the Iraq invasion was that it was wrong,not that some organizational or operational error was committed. If this distinction is not made, then everyone can have his own view of what the 'mistake' was--not enough troops, not enough planning, etc etc, thus paving the way for the next invasion.
If I try to rob a bank, and the robbery goes awry, what was the mistake? That I didn't have enough help robbing the bank? That I didn't plan it out properly? Or that I shouldn't have robbed the bank in the first place?
Iraq was a poor, defenseless country that posed no threat to anyone, above all the US. The invasion was morally like Mussolini's invasion of Ethiopia. That's the 'mistake.'
Unless that's clear, imperialists can argue for a US invasion of Iran--just plan it better, bomb more and use more troops.
So, Mr Rosenberg, you have raised an important point! Thank you!
Peter Miller
February 20, 2007 6:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the part that really gets me, actively embracing the worst parts of Bush's personality. I wonder if after being attacked so viciously by the right for so long, she hasn't gotten some kind of Stockholm Syndrome thing going on where she's adopting the core beliefs of the people who've been attacking her. Nietzsche's "fighting with monsters" and all that.
With her comments about the Congress' due deference to the President, it seems like the unitary executive may really appeal to her. While I've been a little torn between Edwards and Obama (though definitely leaning towards Obama), I've been fairly ambivalent towards Hilary; not particularly supportive, but not particularly hostile. Picking up on Bush's stubbornness and autocratic tendencies definitely raises a lot of worries, though. But if nothing else, she's encouraged at least one person to become more active in the Democratic primaries, if only to help defeat her.
February 20, 2007 6:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
"What is Hillary thinking? Why in God's name would anyone not apologize for voting for this war? I am genuinely perplexed."
Come on. You're better than this.
Hillary's line over the last several months has been that Bush (and Cheney and Rumsfeld) severely messed up the execution of this war. The reason therefore why she isn't apologizing for her vote is because, in terms of her current narrative, she'd be apologizing for something that is not her fault. Which is hardly indefensible or perplexing.
And it has very little to do any feminist psychobabble or AIPAC considerations, and actually does not come across as a famous Clintonian triangulation. It is a simple matter of taking a position at this VERY early stage, that pretty much nobody would disagree with.
She stands to gain nothing by making statements that enable opponents to put labels on her (flip-flopper, anyone), cast her as weak on defense, or anything else that could become an albatross around her neck over the electoral marathon.
Although you may be more favorable to what Edwards and Obama have said to date, that doesn't mean there isn't strategic sense to what Hillary is doing. She may well have to be more forthcoming nearer Primary Time, but she can probably bide her time for now at least. But she's decided to cast herself as the anti-Bush candidate in terms of competence - again, a largely uncontroversial position - and the non-apology is rational in this context.
Edwards and Obama, in contrast, are vying to be the leading anti-Bush philosophy candidate. In a years time or so, we'll see who made the better call.
February 20, 2007 6:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
It would seem she doesn't mind seeming to pander (or just plain pandering)to Bush, the neocons,and the liberal warhawks at DLC. It does not hurt the image that she is trying to project. Admitting the war war wrong, based on false premises (not just false information) would bother her not only in her image but also in her self-image. In many ways, this speaks volumes. It is really the problem for those of us who saw this war was wrong, was going to be a disaster, and begged our leaders not to do it. She is now utterly unconvincing to us on the Iraq war; she worries us about her future policies. Those who feel any Democrat is better than any Republican are wrong; Vietnam was a disaster minted by the Democratic Party.
February 20, 2007 6:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
She is not in Arkansas anymore and she may suffer more serious consequences for her triangulation than she would have when she lived in the South. I hope so. She completely disregarded her obligation to represent the will of the people who elected her, and felt little compunction, about it, apparently. I don't think this was politically wise.
I suppose she is trying to tough it out as people are suggesting above -- and reaching out to the (virtually non-existant in this polarized climate) center outside the Northeast. As a New Yorker, it does make her feel like a carpetbagger.
I could imagine voting for her against, say, Giuliani, probably, but I do think her feet should be held to the fire.
February 20, 2007 6:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
What is Hillary thinking? Why in God's name would anyone not apologize for voting for this war? I am genuinely perplexed.
It could be, ironically, because Edwards continued to support the war for more than a year after HRC. Having more to atone for, a bigger mistake, if you will, he went further. It appears to have worked. Now he appears to be the anti-war candidate and HRC the pro-war.
February 20, 2007 7:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree to a large extent. However, I think all we've seen since the Berlin Wall came down and the USSR imploded has been a continuation of America's Cold War strategy. "Us" versus "them" and "democracy" versus "communism" still continues as "us" versus "them" and "democracy" versus "non-democracy" (or perhaps just not democratic enough).
It's certainly true that we have to continue diligence on the development of nuclear weapons, but are we still stuck in a bi-polar world? Are our only changes to be hard-edged as Bush has been or softer-edged as Senator Clinton would be? Doesn't the underlying strategy have to be re-examined in light of transnational issues like globalization, terrorism and climate change? Do we continue on the road of grading democracies--sending a congratulatory telegram to Venezuela in support of a coup overturning the democratically elected leader comes immediately to mind? Who decides on the form of government each country should have--us or the folks who live there?
Democrats and Republicans supported the Cold War Strategy. If it needs to be changed in light of our world today, then this is a conversation all Americans need to be participating in.
February 20, 2007 7:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary has said that if she knew in 2002 what she knows now, she wouldn't have voted for the resolution. She has explained how she arrived at her decision. I think she considered the possibility that her vote could become an issue sometime in the future. But a mistake? No the vote was not a mistake; she knew full well what the consequences could be. And Hillary certainly shouldn't back away from that vote now and apologize, claiming it was a mistake.
I'm happy to see Hillary finally take the plunge.
For many years I have thought a woman president would see this powerful position in a different light. Too many male politicians wield power like they do weed whackers; no finesse, no second guessing, cut everything down, it'll probably grow back. I think a woman can change this approach and bring some fresh logic to bear on our national problems. Even a woman, like Hillary, who has taken full advantage of every stratagem any male politician would to get ahead. She has learned the lessons of political power well; she looks and sounds like any other high ranking senator. But, still, she is a woman and doesn't always think and react like us great leaders of the universe do. If a woman, such as Hillary, can't view the world with real compassion, not the Bush fake variety, and exercise political power to move humanity forward, then I'll have to admit that power corrupts and there really isn't much difference between men and women. But, I don't believe it. I was raised mostly by woman; I've lived with the same woman for forty six years; I've worked with many different woman, some of them my boss. Women see the world through different eyes and approach problems from a decidedly different perspective. I think it's high time that they have a shot at running things. And for this to happen in my lifetime, it may have to be that demandable woman, Hillary Clinton.
Making it to the White House as president is considered one of the greatest achievements any American can make. So why can't we regard Hillary Rodham Clinton, if she makes it all the way, or just for trying, as possibly the most successful woman in American history?
Just a thought.
February 20, 2007 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary told us in a speech recently:
"The other day the oil companies recorded the highest profits in the history of the world. I want to take those profits. And I want to put them into a strategic energy fund that will begin to fund alternative smart energy, alternatives and technologies that will begin to actually move us toward the direction of independence.”
Notice she didn’t say tax the profits. She just said “take.”
P.J. O'Rourke simply said “Hillary Clinton is Hugo Chavez in a pantsuit.”
He’s right. They are both out to nationalize oil companies for their own personal power. Chavez is just more honest about it and that sort of honesty eludes our would-be Madam President.
By comparison, Chavez accelerated his mad rush toward state control early this year by nationalizing the telecom and electricity industries and taking over four oil production facilities, according to the Los Angeles Times. “We're heading toward socialism, and nothing and no one can prevent it,” Chavez said.
The difference is simply one of power. He has it. She doesn’t … yet.
February 20, 2007 7:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your hitting someone who was no danger to you or anyone else deserves an apology. Getting rid of murderous tyrant was not necessarily a mistake and a policy the U.S. was committed to since 1998. If you read Clinton's speech before her vote you would recognize that she not only counseled against going to war immediately but called for going to the U.N. prior to any attack on Iraq. Clinton has nothing to apologize for and the moment she does her candidacy is over.
Support for leaving Saddem in power or support for Bush's incredible incompetence and elevation of politics over success are what need to be explained if not apologized about not voting to authorize force.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
February 20, 2007 7:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
It was very helpful to me to go back and read her speech at the time of the war resolution vote. Before I read it, it seemed clear that she was digging in; but she clearly stated in the speech that she was trusting Bush not to go to war without a UN mandate. She didn't want to throw up another obstacle in addition to the UN. At the time, Bush was reassuring Congress that he intended to seek UN support, and that the authorization for force was almost a formality.
I didn't trust the president at the time, but HRC did. I think I turned out to be right in retrospect, but I'm not sure, *at that time*, for HRC as a Senator to come out and say, I don't trust you to do what you say you are going to do would have been jumping the gun. And I think she is correct to emphasize that this is Bush's war; he owns it. So I forgive Hillary for this.
But I do agree with others above who say that HRC's "inability" to admit a mistake is troubling. I think she should admit that she mishandled the health care initiative she spearheaded in Bill's first term.
AndI also agree with Erica above that she has really given us no reason to believe that she is liberal in any sense of the word, nor that she would be much more cautious in taking us to war. If she's the candidate against any Republican I can think of at the moment, I would support her, but not in the primary against Obama or Edwards or Kucinich
February 20, 2007 7:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with you in principle. I would love to see what I think the eggheads call a paradigm-shift. My point to MJ, however, is that Hillary's position is not perplexing, provided you recognize that the paradigm-shift might not yet have occurred.
I don't know if you were posting here when the Princeton Project was promoting their "Concert of Democracies"; a hawkish concept that was savaged by TPM Cafe foreign policy regulars. And it was savaged on two fronts - firstly, that it seemed like a bad idea, but secondly, that the promoters were arguing that it was an essential policy limb of a Democratic presidential campaign.
But the point is there are people, smart people, who think the Hillary position with a hawkish foreign policy (listen to her pronouncements vis a vis Iran) is a key to the White House. Personally, I don't agree with them. But I see where they are coming from, and they may yet be proven correct.
I hope they aren't. I want the paradigm-shift. But I'm not perplexed by those who don't.
February 20, 2007 7:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Speaker Pelosi led a significant number of Democrats in the House to vote "no" on this resolution. If we need a tough woman to look up to, we have one in her.
Senator Clinton has defined her position and it is one that predicates her support for this war on "flawed intelligence" and/or competence in waging war. I expect no apology because this is her position and I extend her due respect for stating her reasons.
That does NOT mean that I agree with her underlying philosophy--pre-emptive war is okay and a unitary executive is a dandy thing. I reject her position. That does not make me anti-war, a pacifist, or one who does not appreciate females or want them to lead our country.
February 20, 2007 7:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
SeeDee
nedbalzer: "didn't want to throw up any obstacles other than the UN"...(paraphrasing)
It is a real pity that she (and many others) did NOT raise additional obstacles...enough obstacles, as a matter of fact, that the entire operation would have been replaced by other policies.
Think about the enormity of the error...Enough 'obstacles' to have derailed the neo-cons and oil barons' war plans would mean that we'd have 30,000 LESS dead and wounded Americans, God only knows how many less dead and displaced innocent Iraqi civilians, some $500-Billions less wasted tax-payer money...and so on and on...
Yes, it is a perplexing question why Hillary will not apologize for having been a party to such calamitous policies.
February 20, 2007 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Getting rid of a murderous tyrant and replacing him with an infinitely worse situation is definitely worthy of apologizing for. Iraq was far better off under Saddam, using any indicator you want to choose.
February 20, 2007 8:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well it is indefensible, although not perplexing, and it is her fault. Cheney and Bush did execute the war poorly, however they had no power to execute any war without her granting and ceding them power by casting the vote for AUMF.
This is no different from giving someone the keys to the car, without any restrictions, and then saying the fact that they had an accident is not your fault. Yes, it is. You were the one who gave them the keys.
No matter how you try and twist that it comes down to an error in judgment, period.
You may not be held liable for the accident but you certainly aided and abetted them having access to the vehicle. No different from being the driver for a robber...the law says you are held accountable , for all actions which transpire during the commission of that crime. So if during the execution of the crime there is a murder...you are charged with murder just like those who pulled the trigger, saying you were in the car and you did not kill anyone and that you trusted them to rob the bank without killing folks...simply doesn't cut it.
Now why does the law reason this way? Because they recognize that you have just as much culpability for the robbers being ABLE to execute the crime. The driver could have easily declined to drive. Just as Hillary could have easily declined to cede her CONSTITUTIONAL power to the executive branch.
O it is a strategy, alright. The problem is it is an ineffective strategy because it is glaringly obvious that she made a huge error in judgment.Even if, it makes sense to show resolve. It is just like the strategy to go to war without enough troops to secure the peace. Great strategy but totally ineffective, at the end of the day. Consequently, Hillary is not coming across as more competent than Bush she is effectively emphasizing that she is as much of a unitary executive minded incompetent tyrant as he is when it comes to errors in judgment with her resolve to 'stay the course' despite her error in judgment slapping her right in the face. Petulance does not play well when lives have been wasted.
Her resolve is going to cost her votes just like the AUMF vote cost 3K American lives. Accountability for power is a must.
Her campaign warchest is not big enough to make thinking folks vote for her to have even greater power, when she has failed to be accountable for the power she had as a US Senator.
I do not want an apology from Clinton. I want accountability. By constantly pointing out Bush's mistake she is denying her own complicity. Just like Bill could not have betrayed her trust without her granting it, the same goes for Bush. She is the one with poor judgment and she has now demonstrated that personally as well as professionally. Even the GOP knows that it is crucial to trust yet verify. Both these men had untrustworthy track records that she chose to ignore.
This is why her advisor's are unable to get anywhere with her in private. She knows good and dayum well, that she and she alone is responsible for her error in judgment. More importantly, she knows she would not vote for herself, based on these gross errors in judgment.
I never once ridiculed or harangued her for staying married because I understood that was her personal decision, but when it comes to an entire nation relying on her judgment professionally...nope. She will not dupe me with her, 'it's their mistake' sounds just like what a cheating spouse would say 'it's her, she made me do it' riiiight. The correct response of course is, 'no, you did this'. Hillary it is your fault, that Bush could make the mistake, you EMPOWERED him.
Even if you don't , won't or can't get accountability you do understand power.
February 20, 2007 8:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. I don't recall the Princeton Project discussion although it sounds like it would have been interesting.
I don't believe that Senator Clinton is going out on a limb with a hawkish foreign policy because it has support for all sorts of reasons--one being it is perceived as a good campaign move. But I don't believe that Senator Clinton's position is born from cynicism or political calculation or is a lightly held position. I think she is a bit perplexed by the calls for an apology and I further suspect it will be "written off" as bleating from pacifists and "anti-war" somewhat nutty folks who will not determine the general election results and may not have the numbers to determine the primary.
It may come down to casting a vote in the general election to ensure a win by a Democrat. But we need to have the national conversation focused a bit on our overall post Cold War strategy, whether it is one implemented by the GOP or by Democrats. I desire the shift.
February 20, 2007 8:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure the Kurds would agree.
February 20, 2007 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards had a role but I suspect that Senator Obama has done more to push the "pro war" label on Senator Clinton.
February 20, 2007 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with all your points and just want to add this: If a voter can accept that she HAD to vote for giving Bush the authority to show her chops as a viable female Commander-In-Chief, what would she think she would have to do to win a second term?
After all, if she would not be "strong enough on defense" for the Hannitys and Limbaughs she might not last eight years, which would be her very next goal if she got elected in the first place.
I believe that her judgment was tainted by her personal ambition and, although that could happen with others, she has overtly shown it to me, and so I cannot support her.
Jan Knaus
February 20, 2007 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Aren't two things being conflated here? Isn't admitting the mistake of giving the Bush Administration the power to go to war different than "apologizing" for it?
I could care less if she "apologized."
I cannot figure out why she cannot even come to say her vote was a big mistake, 5 years now after the fact, and 4 years after we saw how unprepared the Bush Administration was. Not to mention we now know the extent of the lies...
Not being able to admit a mistake reminds me exactly of our friend G. W. Bush.
I think we've had enough of "resolute."
Dissent Protects Democracy.
February 20, 2007 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I guess I just dont get it. I am not the least bit interested in any "apologies" from anyone. Edwards apology does not give me any comfort. I have reviewed Hillary's statement at the time of the senate resolution and I am satisfied she felt it was the best way to proceed (to use the threat of force to coerce cooperation) and she does not regret that. I also strongly believe, and would challenge anyone to produce contrary arguments, that a president Hillary would not have undergone this war at that time, maybe at all, certainly not in the manner it was undertaken. And we do face a terrorist enemy and we better realize it and take it seriously. It is said the Japanese fix problems and Americans fix blame. It certainly applies here. No apology litmus tests please. Base your decisions on policies and electability
February 20, 2007 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary won't apologize and I am not holding my breath thinking she will.
As many others have noted already she believes in a strong, borderline aggressive, foreign policy along the lines of what the neocons advocate. Neo-Conservatism was an offshoot of liberalism. She believes in using America's military might, even unilaterally if necessary, to right the wrongs of the world when she believes the wrongs are serious enough to warrant it. Like I said on numerous other threads I reject that philosophy.
And many of her big $$ donors, mainly from AIPAC, want the US government to address the threats to Israel militarily. So she is giving her money supporters what they want to keep the money coming...
She fully believes in democratic nation building even if by force. She is just saying Bush and the Cabal's goals were good but their planning and implementation was fatally flawed...if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it is a duck.
February 20, 2007 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Easy there. Look, I am not looking to defend Hillary's position in substance, far from it. In fact I disagree with it, and Stlounick has touched on an important reason why.
I took issue with the idea that her position was perplexing. I don't think it is, particularly when you analyze the current Hillary narrative. If, like Hillary, you make the argument that you voted for the AUMF in good faith, and you agreed in principle with the plan to invade, then it doesn't strike me as rational to apologize for that vote.
I'm not in fact making a moral judgement here - I'm just saying it doesn't make much logical sense for her to apologize given the stance she has taken.
I find her stance troubling, it may turn out to be politically fatal, but not apologizing at least holds consistently and seamlessly with her focus on Bush's disastrous handling of the war.
February 20, 2007 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Infallability, and the corresponding inflexibility, can be such a heavy cross to bear...I'd hate the pressure of never being able to be wrong. That much (and a predisposition to use the US military in lieu of diplomacy) is what her and the current president have in common.
February 20, 2007 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not terribly interested in an apology from HRC or anyone else who voted for the war. I'm not even that concerned about her stating that her vote was a mistake, except of course in hindsight (and she has said that, I believe). Obviously it would have been better not to have voted for the AUMF, but I can't say that someone who at the time (amidst the bullshit being floated by the Bush administration about WMDs) thought it was the right thing to do was necessarily so wrong that refusal to admit that is disqualifying.
What I can't stand is HRC's suggestion that the vote on the AUMF was not a vote for war -- i.e., that Bush "misused" the authority they gave him. Bullshit. Everyone knew that if they voted for the AUMF (and probably even if they didn't), Bush was going to invade. To say otherwise really reveals that one is either incompetent or a liar.
February 20, 2007 9:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
And please note that Gore was "out of step" with the majority of democrats in both Houses on both of those votes. Unfortunately, his ego is so in check and squared away that he won't run in 2008.
February 20, 2007 9:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thatcher was strong (supposedly compassionate), then she went insane, and then had to be removed, so be careful what you wish for... just sayin'
February 20, 2007 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. Wandered over to MyDD (quote WaPo), and I see even more Bush sound bites:
What a profoundly stupid thing to say.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
February 20, 2007 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look I don't know what Mr. Rosenberg's problem is. David Brooks said that Clinton does not have to apologize or explain.
February 20, 2007 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
We agree, neither do I.
So, not being accountable is Ok with you? You are willing to accept, 'this is my story and I'm sticking to it'....the same line a cheating spouse uses to deflect from their perfidy?
Hillary used her power to benefit her, not the nation. Now I will use my power to benefit the nation, not her, by casting my vote against her candidacy.
February 20, 2007 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
So my grandparents (yup, my grandparents) who are in their 80's knew Bush was lying about Iraq and knew Powell was lying too. They are retired NYC schoolteachers now in Florida. THey marched against the war in Jan 2003 with some other old Jews in Miami. But Hillary couldn't figure it out.
So she's stupid. Or maybe my bubbe and zaydeh are geniuses (which I doubt).
My guess: she's not stupid. She is a calculating, consultant driven fake.
And she's a sure loser.
February 20, 2007 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Totally unbelievable, if your post is actually trying to be serious? With war you can't just switch it off? War is a last resort, people die, you 'create' hatred, if you can't understand that then I'm truly truly concerned the state of our Party with these Hillary love-fest junkies. She gave Bush, Bush of all people a loaded gun with no safety catch... what part of that don't you get... Don't look at her statements, look at the freakin resolution!!
Plus, the terrorists were in Afghanistan not Iraq!! review 2002 and the statements of those that voted against the resolution and were right.
(I think I'm going to have to start doing generic cut-&-past answers with links, coz we certainly have some critters coming out of the woodwork without any critical thinking skills.)
February 20, 2007 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Both you and Jammer make good points as well as questionable ones. Sometimes, as a last resort, war is a necessity. The Congress should debate it most seriously, and, if it decides that military force is required, it should be honest and pass a Declaration of War, rather than a business-as-usual AUMF. The Republican majority of the time rubber-stamped, and the Administration, at best, produced questionable justification that was not seriously examined by Congress.
Yes, Jammer, there is a terrorist problem. It needs to be addressed with the full spectrum of means of extending national policy, including diplomacy, economic measures, public education (foreign cultures and languages), public health, hardening of domestic infrastructure, law enforcement, information operations, foreign aid (skills, not just goods), covert operations, and military force, among other things. Military action will do little about the causes about terrorism, although once certain individuals commit to terror, nothing but death and destruction may be able to stop them. That may be delivered overtly with conventional forces or covertly by special operators.
I opposed the invasion of Iraq in 2003, but supported the invasion of Afghanistan.
GWB is wildly out of Constitutional control. I don't want to create sanctions that will limit a sane president.
I would hate to see HRC as a presidential candidate, not over the war vote, but that I do not see her personality as one that unifies large numbers of people. Like Lyndon Johnson, she probably can be extremely effective in the Senate, with its real-world dealmaking, but the skills and personality that make a great leader in the Senate tend to be at odds with what makes a great President. I don't think that distinction is a bad thing; it is another way to have checks and balances.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
February 20, 2007 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
All politicians construct frames around their positions.
February 20, 2007 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Imagine that - someone took the time to actually read what she said, and then report it.
February 20, 2007 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
hcberkowitz: I agree with almost everything you wrote although I do think she would be a good President and I'll be damned if I vote for a Repub or a spoiler if she is the nominee. I thought we should have outright declared war on Afghanistan for what happened on 9-11: after all, this happened with the aid and support of the Afgani government. And I would like to see us use the old Declaration of War by Congress more often than we seem to want to post WWII and stay away from Presidential action on a unilateral basis. And I agree that the terror war is mainly for special ops, Black ops and forums for negotiations and understanding and the like, and not raw military might.
I guess what I am saying is the heck with an apology, its not worth anything. What matters is what people do, not what they say they might have done in retrospect. And I think we are all so very brave to criticize everyone's war vote today and forget what the climate was like in 2003. I do not forget. The press was almost 100% behind this as were most elected reps. Everyone agreed that it was a good idea to get rid of Saddam. You were a traitor if you argued against it or voted against it, the right wing press was in full display and power. I dont fault anyone who gave W the power to use force with the caveat that all negotiated resolutions and solutions, a strong inspection regime and UN action should first be exhausted, with the threat of force the stick to ensure compliance. I fault W for what he did with that power.
I maintain again, and challenge anyone to argue against it, that a President Hillary would not have invaded Iraq, would not have gone to war there, and would not have left us in the rat hole we find ourselves in.
February 20, 2007 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, it's too bad Hillary learned lessons in her years of public service, and is cautious in what she says and how she says it. It's a shame that after her years in the White House she's learned that no matter what she says the rightwing smear machine can turn it and shoot her with it and because of that she's extremely careful not to give them anymore ammunition than they already have.
I can see the commercials now - Hillary the flip flopper, she was for the war before she voted against it. She's not stupid and she's not going to write the republicans' campaign commercials for them.
February 20, 2007 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll try to be brief - Hillary's line on Iraq at the moment does not seem to leave room for her to apologize for her vote. This strategy might make no sense to you, you might strongly object to it, but that doesn't automatically invalidate the strategy.
And a final point on accountability. I take Hillary's line to be that she is accountable for the fact we went to war, but not for the way the war was conducted. You and I may think this is a bullsh*t distinction, but again, someone who argues this line can't credibly apologize for their vote.
February 20, 2007 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jammer, I prefer more concrete behaviors than what would be a psychological analysis of what Senator Clinton "would have done". Senator Clinton, with all of the pressures on her, cast an "yes" vote for this resolution.
Her "signing statement" for her vote was, "My vote is not, however, a vote for any new doctrine of pre-emption or for unilateralism or for the arrogance of American power or purpose, all of which carry grave dangers for our Nation, the rule of international law, and the peace and security of people throughout the world."
This is very similar to Bush providing "signing statements" when he signs legislation, a practice I find repugnant. I find it no less repugnant when Senator Clinton defends herself today by referring to her own signing statement for this vote.
It was yes/no. She voted yes. As a result she authorized a pre-emptive war, unilateralism cloaked with a very thin coalition, and the arrogant use of American military power with little regard for loss of American and Iraqi blood. The clarity of that yes is simply not erased by her statements at the time, the pressure she was under, or her explanations today.
If you need an example, we can simply look at Speaker Pelosi's leadership at the time--she led a significant number of House Democrats to vote against the resolution. Very clear.
I prefer clarity in a president. Senator Clinton does not have my support in her candidacy.
February 20, 2007 11:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's Iraqi war vote doesn't leave 'the' room, because it is part of the current Iran package. I.E. The continuation plan to regime-change the ME, maybe you need to be reminded that is also part of AIPAC's package too!
Regarding the apology, I agree we have come to the next stage now... What is Hillary's plan to regime change the ME? She obviously doesn't think the vote was a problem, so let's discuss her and AIPAC's national 'regime-change' security strategy?
February 20, 2007 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's it in a nutshell... and that she possibly agreed with her vote, and with '08 in her sights she too wants that "Blank Check".
Her association with AIPAC is pure power hunger and irrationality, the more I see her trying to front her campaign, buy her campaign, the more I see a loose cannon.
February 20, 2007 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well before the invasion, I argued that invading Iraq was strategically irrational: it diverted attention and resources from a real problem, and, even if Saddam did have WMD, he did not present a threat to the US with them. (No, even if he did, I don't believe he'd have provided them from terrorists).
I've said that in my opinion, the attack was unjustified by any real threat. What is your reasoning in declaring it wrong? Kellogg-Briand?
There is a very wide spectrum in which military forces (as distinct from military force) can be used. Eisenhower's 1958 sending troops to Lebanon, at the government's request, was, to me, rational. The troops in 1958 were able to defend themselves, as opposed to the Marines killed in an ill-defined "presence" mission in 1983. Also in 1983, the Grenada operation fell somewhere inbetween: a consensus of countries in the region, but not an immediate threat. The 1965 invasion of the Dominican Republic, which was joined after the fact by multiple countries of the Organization of American States, again is arguable, but had more merit than did Iraq.
Training and development missions not intended to enter combat sometimes do, but training is also a valuable element of foreign policy. No, it does not always lead to human rights abuses. Some critics of human rights abuses after US involvement, even in training, fail to notice that some countries had a bad record of violations before any US involvement, and the violations may have decreased but not disappeared. In other cases, the US involvement made no difference. There are cases where it made the matter worse, and US representatives should have been charged with criminal offenses.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
February 20, 2007 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes! It is what people do, not what they say that counts.
Deeds are far more significant than any words, pre/post the deed.
February 20, 2007 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, that's how Senator Clinton would be portrayed by the GOP in a general election. I can certainly accept that she would cast that vote based on her position as a New York Senator--and one who had been booed at Ground Zero. I can also sympathize with Senator Clinton's caution so the right doesn't have more ammo to use against her.
BUT...now she wants to be President. And I am not from New York and she is not my Senator. She does, however, want to be my President. And I can look for those clear moments that show leadership that is good for America.
Her vote for the Iraq War Resolution is a clear moment....a very simple yes/no. I can examine and understand all of her reasons and then decide if her "yes" vote was good for America. I contend that it was not and I will not support her candidacy in the primary.
February 20, 2007 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jammer, when someone responds to your post; even if they respond negatively, you DON'T down-rate them if you want to be taken seriously. If you want to refute what they say, then do it. But rating a "1" to someone who disagrees with you is a childish way to show your lack of cool.
Jan Knaus
February 20, 2007 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
"President Hillary would not have invaded Iraq, would not have gone to war there, and would not have left us in the rat hole we find ourselves in."
That is what she says too, over and over and over again.
February 20, 2007 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jammer made a perfectly straightforward post, and SandThroughTheE... responded with the insult "Totally unbelievable, if your post is actually trying to be serious?" IMO it is totally unacceptible to insult someone for their ideas, because you don't agree with them. It is SandThroughTheE... who is out of line here, and Jammer's "1" rating was perfectly correct.
February 20, 2007 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
You wrote:
"We all felt there were WMDs in Iraq and nobody anticipated the blood letting that's happened there since. An admission of error by Hillary would have killed the issue."
With respect, I don't know who "we" are but it certainly doesn't include me or the thousands upon thousands who vocally and visibly opposed the war on the streets of every major city in the United States. WE all knew from day one that the whole WMD thing was nothing but a scam. All you had to do was read the newspaper for God's sake and trust the United Nations officials who were clearly saying that there was no evidence to suggest WMD's in Iraq. The UN officials had no ax to grind, were/are the best in their fields and they fiercely did all they could to help this nation avoid Bush's catastrophic invasion. It's just as weird as can be to me when I hear people say or in this case write that they think that everyone in the country bought the same pig in a poke that they did. Well, we didn't.
As far as not anticipating the bloodshed all I can say is there again we did too. We protested in the streets, we did everything we could to get the attention of all you sleepwalkers but you didn't listen to the UN, you didn't listen to France, you didn't listen to us or the millions worldwide who took to the streets protesting this madness and the awful consequences of the illegal invasion of Iraq.
Hillary should have known better than to believe that bunch of criminal thuygs in the White House and she got taken. She ought to say so, just admit it and be done with it, but she has a problem admitting mistakes clearly. It will be her downfall.
February 20, 2007 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because BY NOW, I expected that those posting on this site, to actually have READ the copious amounts of background information on Hillary's misguided, possibly self-interested war vote... That is why I thought it was unbelievable... It's pitiful, that people continue to 'plant' posts that say they have read what the woman said without verifying... sad really really sad...
I expected some AIPAC shills but really I expected a little more analysis, than just I'm sure anyone would have gone to WAR at the time...
and then this:
OK, I actually agreed with going into Afghanistan, still do, however what did that have to do with the War resolution to go into Iraq --- nothing... she just rode along with the Bush crew...
and Jammmer...
"...I voted against the resolution - not because our nation has nothing to fear from Hussein but because I am convinced that the resolution misstates our national priorities in a dangerous way. Right now the most urgent threats to our security are posed by the shadowy networks of international terrorist organizations that have the capabilities to repeat the tragedy of Sept. 11 - not Saddam Hussein."
Graham argued that Saddam posed no immediate threat to U.S. security and that an invasion of Iraq would divert attention and resources from the larger war on terrorism in Afghanistan and other places where al-Qaida had training bases...
February 20, 2007 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, I say it is totally unacceptible to insult someone because you don't agree with them.
Your response is that anybody who supports Hillary Clinton deserves to be insulted.
Please!
February 20, 2007 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, she shouldn't have voted for the war resolution then.
And let's explore her national security plans? To see in fact if she would have left troops in the rat hole?
Coz her DLC think tank, and AIPAC sponsors that she's in bed with certainly didn't want to get out... They wanted more troops.
Grief she's such a fraud...
I hope people at her little chat get-to-togethers will start asking her about her and AIPAC's plans for the ME?
February 20, 2007 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Uh-Oh. I think we've got a "red diaper" grandbaby in the house! :-)
February 20, 2007 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You need to bring evidence to an argument, not I 'feel' she wouldn't have gone to war, or that her statement alone is enough to 'feel' she is qualified for President.
God help us if it all comes down to I 'feel' Hillary would be a good President.
E.g. I want to know who were her 'advisors', think tanks etc who helped her make her decision to vote for that resolution, it certainly wasn't Albright and she's no pacifist.
February 20, 2007 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea that a Senator's speech is equivalent to Bush's "signing statement" is shocking. Senatorial speeches go back to the first Congress. Bills are complex and few Senators agree with every word -- yet they must vote a simple yes or no. The speeches serve to clarify the nuances of the issues.
But Bush has tried to use these "signing statements" to make law, a power the president does not have, and so tries to subvert the Constitution.
So there is really no similarity. I suspect that the real issue here is that you simply do not want to confront Clinton's actual words, you want to deal with her as an (evil) abstraction. At the time she said "This is a very difficult vote. This is probably the hardest decision I have ever had to make" Doesn't that make you cringe?
February 20, 2007 1:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
So what? Just because...
"I maintain again, and challenge anyone to argue against it, that a President Hillary would not have invaded Iraq, would not have gone to war there, and would not have left us in the rat hole we find ourselves in."
Neither would have any sane person! Cheney/Bush had it in for, and designs on Iraq and that is why we invaded. It was not for any other reason.
You could conjure up a list of Democrats AND Republicans three yards long, and none of them would have invaded. That does not make Hillary President material, IMHO.
Jan Knaus
February 20, 2007 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you hiring? :)
February 20, 2007 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have not stated anywhere that Senator Clinton was "evil". I don't cringe at all with the "hardest decision I have ever had to make".
I understand her position quite well. But the buck stops in the Oval Office on a lot of issues. Stay in Iraq or leave? Lob a missile or not? Send the bombers or not? Send special ops to take out that training camp or not?
Very simple decisions with potentially catastropic consequences. Actions simply speak more strongly to me than all the words in the world. In this case, we have an action with all of the explanations surrounding it that one could want. In the end, it was yes/no.
I disagree with the vote.
February 20, 2007 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I believe that her judgment was tainted by her personal ambition"
In Hillary's case I think it is so much more than personal ambition (though that is part of it, of course). I really agree with Dan K above that she is double and triple thinking everything with an eye to how it will look, how it will be interpreted, because she is a woman, and because of how she has been attacked by the right wing.
And she needs to stop! Right away! I don't know how she will come across exactly if she stops, but at least she will be genuine.
I sometimes -- on my more charitable days-- feel terribly sorry for her and relate to her as a woman who is in a setting still very much defined by men, and she is desperately trying to figure out how to act, and it is all made so much worse by all the years of vicious attacks from the right wing. A person would need to be very very comfortable with who they were to get through all this without being made crazy.
(Which makes it all the more interesting to me how comfortable Obama is in his own skin, so to speak. He doesn't appear to be worrying about how he will look, how he will be interpreted.)
Although I relate to Hillary as a woman, and feel bad, and know that as the first woman to have an actual chance of being elected, she is a pioneer and is taking it on the chin for all the rest of us-- still, I am supporting either Obama or Edwards over her. I hate to say that, I remember the goosebumps I got hearing Geraldine Ferraro speak in 1984, hell, even Joe Lieberman as the first Jew on a major party ticket. So I'm sorry not to support Hillary.
But she comes across phony and calculated and uncomfortable with herself, and I don't think those are good qualities in a president (or a candidate!). The comment about what she might do to win a second term is really alarming!
And add to that, she either voted to authorize the war a)because she thought it was politically expedient or b) she believed Bush over the UN weapons inspectors. Either of which shows very bad judgement, as has been demonstrated by subsequent events.
How could I support someone who made that mistake and won't admit it at this late date? Only if all the alternatives were worse.
February 20, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
After reading through all these responses, I wonder if it's too late for HRC to do anything but stick to her position.
The people most outraged by her stand are not going to be altered in their opposition by a recant now.
And, as Bev D points out, she'll be labeled a flip flopper.
I think we do need to get over worrying about what the Pubs will say. These are people (draft dodgers all) who succeeded in labeling a war hero a coward.
They succeeded in making a dunce look more adept than the most brilliant candidate we've had in decades.
They will label Obama a Muslim and convey the N word at every opportunity. They will portray Hillary as a crook (Whitewater) and a ****(ugly word for women.
They will label Edwards a gangster "trial lawyer." Richardson will be Frito Bandito.
It does not matter who we nominate they will lie effectively (hopefully not effectively enough to win), distort, libel, Red-bait, female bait, race-bait, whatever it takes.
So HRC, Obama, and all the rest should just be who they are and not focus on the liars and what they will do to them.
The advantage Hillary has is that they have said it all.
Bottom line: focus your message on primary voters. The candidate who positions now for the post-convention era will never get to that moment. And, if they do, the liars will smear them anyway.
Especially if they nominate McCain.
February 20, 2007 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Again, every Congressmember who voted for the Iraq AUMF is simply unqualified to be President. This is because Congress did far too little, far too late, to gather and to analyze the intelligence on Iraq. Please recall that no one -- including, of course, Bush! -- asked for a National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq until Sen. Durbin's letter on 9/9/2002. The CIA published the NIE on 10/1/2002, and Congress voted on the Iraq AUMF 11 days later.
With so little time available to produce and to analyze the NIE, it was a foregone conclusion (a) that it would be a piece of garbage; and (b) that Congress's examination of it and the surrounding data would be, at best, perfunctory.
Thus, everyone who voted for the AUMF didn't do his or her homework before making one of the most important decisions he or she ever could be asked to make.
That irresponsibility cannot be excused by cries of "Knowing what we know now...," "We were misled," or even "Bush lied to us!" The Constitution gives Congress -- not the President -- the power to declare war. And along with that power comes the responsibility carefully to acquire and thoroughly to analyze the relevant information. Yes, Bush lied, and when he didn't lie, he bungled. But Congress didn't catch him at it, and didn't even make a weak attempt to do so. That's abdication, and everyone involved in it has thereby shown his or her unsuitability to assume the responsibilities of the Presidency.
February 20, 2007 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, please. BOTH my Senators voted against the Iraq War resolution and Paul Wellstone risked his reelection voting against it. Wellstone voted on principle. Clinton voted on expediency already triangulating away from her own party working towards the 2008 general election.
My feeling about Hillary is simple. I simply do not believe her. I believe she is simply trying to mislead us now and I believe she will mislead us if she is elected President. I do not trust her. That's more than enough to keep me from voting for her in 2008.
February 20, 2007 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
HRC and others tried to have it both ways. They figured if Bush invaded and was successful (ala the 1991 Gulf War) they couldn't be tarred as opposing another successful Bush incursion into that area of the world. They also knew that if didn't work they could cover their butts by saying we didn't authorize war we only authorized the threat of force to give Bush more clout in confronting Hussein. The whole thing was a despicable display of moral irresponsibility..
TOM
February 20, 2007 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary has a strategy and Hillary has a line. So did Karl Rove, Dick Cheney and Dubya. What they did not have is TRUTH. Neither does Hillary.
February 20, 2007 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It clearly is no longer a bipolar world. While I disagree with some of Samuel Huntington's conclusions about the need for conflict, his model of eight "clashing civilizations" gives one, perhaps oversimplified, view of polarity. Cross-cultural experience, as with, for example, a Confucian-influenced culture, may make democracy less important than other societal values. I remember a comment by a South Vietnamese ambassador to the US, "Dignity: it is more important to us than your freedom."
One crude division of cultures is into "guilt" and "shame" societies. Western civilization, with subcultural variation, is generally "guilt", where people are expected to have a code of ethics and follow it, even if no one is watching. In a shame culture, one's reputation or "face" is more important than how well one follows abstract principles. Muslim cultures are not consistent here; reputation, to the extent of "honor killings," is present in Arab and some African Muslim cultures, but not in others.
Take an example such as Turkey, where the military has traditionally been the guarantor that the state stays secular, even if the popular will would vote it into being Islamic. Is this democratic but with protection for minorities? A military state? How does this fit with the reforms being undertaken to join the EU?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
February 20, 2007 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the link. The review was a very interesting read.
February 20, 2007 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
You were right, and almost all alone, but hindsight is not wisdom.
Every prominent, elected Democrat argued long and hard for the removal of Iraq's sadistic dictator, not just Hillary. Her husband was also a big advocate of removing him before the "smoking gun was in the form of a mushroom cloud."
Remember all the oration on the Senate floor and from the White House in the 1990s?
It was only when the war became difficult that Hillary determined she had been duped by the wiley Bush...about the same time as the polls shifted.
February 20, 2007 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
For other critical opinion on the work of S. P. Huntington and many links, click here. . .
He may just qualify having the epitaph "The Last W. A. S. P." carved on his tombstone
aMike
February 20, 2007 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
MJ, Your post is wrong on so many levels and self contradictory as well. This is one of the best examples I have seen in some time how the Democrats misread the Republicans, fail to understand their strengths regarding their appeal to voters, mischaracterize their behavior, and then walk off the cliff.
For starters, McCain is more likely to be accepted on the Democrat ticket than the Republican ticket [no sarcasm]. He is not going to win the nomination. Zero chance. If you imagine that his appeal is that he frequently sides with democrats and undercuts Republicans, that might make him appealing to you, but it makes him about as likely to win as Zell Miller winning the Dems nomination.
Regarding Kerry who you claim to have been the most brilliant candidate in decades (or was that Gore you were referring to). Kerry's August 2004 anti-bounce and mis steps were not Karl Rove's invention. In the opinion of the most brilliant people in the Dem party, the Clinton people, by Labor day he had torpedoed his own best chances. The Republicans only capitalized on his errors.
If you look at Rahm Emanuel's and C. Shumer's successful 2006 race, you will see how Kerry could have won. They decided to stop mocking and deriding red state voters and instead attempt to win them over. If thats a hard pill to swallow, that has been the road to victory in '92, '96, 2006. That has been the ONLY road to victory.
The self contradictory part here is Kerry was all about "worrying" about what republicans would say. It was his decision to make the War the central issue of the campaign, not Rove. It was his idea to have his staff use the word Vietnam Hero at the beginning and end of every sentence. His Strategy was a one dimensional "innoculation" strategy. We heard political experts repeating that Kerry is a war hero, so he can be against the war and nobody can question his courage. America didn't care. They were forgetting that the American people didn't care who won a game of "Grandpa, what did you do in the war". America wanted to know who had a clear plan for Defense. He put all his eggs in one basket, oversold the basket and when the basket didn't comfort American's concerns about Security, they turned away. He chose the field of battle and then failed to mount an offensive on that primary issue, because he was worried about what Republicans would say. In brilliance, putting Kerry in the same league as Clinton is laughable. In the next year, I think we will remember why.
The other race card remarks that you made are really disgusting unless you are joking, which I don't think you are. First of all, regardless of our Multicultural ideals, Obama's name and Religious Journey is something Americans will consider not because they hate Muslims, but because they imagine how it will be viewed by the world. Just as some wondered how Misogynistic countries would accept Albright as a Sec. of State, it is something to consider, but in the end Albright was our representative and they have to accept it. Is his name high on anyones list if he is good, of course not. We have Terry Moran of ABC asking if Rudy is white enough, but did anybody ever say that about Dukakis.
Convey the "N" word???? Who has been throwing oreo's at Black Republicans, who calls Clarence Thomas a house boy, Who made comic strips this fall of Condi as a poor black mami? Who put Joe Lieberman in black face? Just saying that makes you complicit with the Race-baiting of the left. No one in the GOP has mentioned his race, but the left keeps on talking about how he cleans up well for the cameras. The left veils their own prejudice by claiming they have to work around the prejudice of others.
Regarding the other candidates you mentioned. Hillary is applying for a job. Hillary's association with scandal deserves scrutiny. If you are voting Democratic, ask your self if another democratic candidate with 4 years of no scandal in their Presidency would be more appealing. Forget what Republicans say in the campaign, how would you feel if Hillary won and bounced from scandal to scandal when you could have had another Democrat. I am not saying she will, but you should be analyzing these issues for your sake, not how they play in Des Moines.
Edwards is a trial lawyer, you're right. Only Journalist and used car salesman ranks below that in popularity. If Americans don't like that is it their unfair bias against shysters or is it something Edwards needs to overcome. Regarding Richardson, I don't know what you mean by Frito Bandito. Does that mean they will make fun of his Mexican heritage or his criminal investigations or what? If you want to say the GOP hates Mexicans, say it. I think recent history would prove you wrong. I don't remember the last administration overflowing with Hispanics outside of Richardson. Regarding his legal issues. Yes, Richardson does have some major skeletons in his closet. He was an unindicted co-conspirator in the Wen Ho Lee case up until a few months ago when it was settled.
He was the leaker that unleashed the media on Lee to have him chained to the floor in schackles in Solitary confinement, because of his Chinese heritage as a scapegoat for the administration. He also mishandled the Taliban when he visited them in Afghanistan at the same time OBL was bombing our embassies. When Dems talk about how "articulate" he is, it makes me wonder if they think he cleans up well too.
Do democrats make mistakes, yes. Are Republicans horrible people to point them out? ...to you yes. Because it makes you angry, and your need to blame somebody leads you to blame Republicans for every mis-step (Karl Rove, Karl Rove, Karl Rove) or call them liars or racists, is doing exactly what you are preaching not to do. You are externalizing all your garbage and defering responsibility.
Bill Clinton, who unlike Kerry was actually Brilliant, realized, Americans have a sensitive radar for a candidate that blames only, but provides no coherent plan to fill the gap. He formulated plans and when he didn't have plans he made them up. When he got in office then he pointed fingers, but as a candidate, he had a plan for everything. Thats why moderates and Independents voted for him.
They voted for him, because they are afraid that Democrats are predictable, anti-wealth building, big government, tax and spend, weak on defense push overs. Bill convinced them that they are not. If you don't like these images they have of Democrats, you can rail against them and blame them on Karl Rove, or engage in the politics of the possible and overcome them. Clinton did. If you didn't think some of these stereotypes of Democrats have stuck, then you wouldn't be running around with your hair on fire that with a small effort Republicans can demonstrate their validity.
One thing Hillary said last week, and she said it on 60 minutes in early '92. If you don't like it don't vote for us. Two thirds of America just loves when she says that. They love it because she is giving whole hearted respect to their power to make the decision and she is saying she is willing to lose to stand by her principles. Unlike your flip flop charcterization, Hillary has only got to flip, not flip flop. The troops have to come home some day. Tony Blair is claiming to have commited troops, acheived a goal, declared victory and now bring them home. Hillary can too. If Dems security platform is so brittle that they aren't capable of withstanding a GOP criticism on that, then they do have a weak image regarding defense.
The far left hate that because they want her to be intimidated enough to adopt all of their positions and they don't want to admit that another election cycle passes and Liberals can't just be Liberals and garner a majority. McGovern is the latest icon to be primped for extreme legacy makeover. Why don't you try it one more time. Just let it all hang out. Just be yourself, fight for every Nader supporter, sidestep Red states, stop pandering to the small town hicks, and just let your candidates be who they are...let your freak flag fly.
If you lose, you can always blame it on Karl Rove and throw Oreo cookies at a person of color who you think betrayed the movement.
February 21, 2007 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't believe everything you read, especially if it is written by Chris Cillizza who constantly tries to tear down Hillary Clinton. The "." quote is accurate, but the context is not. She was replying to a challenge from a young man in the audience who wanted to know why she thought she could deal with terrorists. She didn't mention "Democratic rivals," that's Cillizza's contribution, and there is NO evidence that she was referring to any Democrat. Since Ralph Nader had just announced that he "may" run if Clinton is nominated, I can only assume she was referring to him.
That is a major Republican slime trick, to quote Democratic candidates without mentioning the context. It is easy to make anybody sound bad. We shouldn't do it here.
February 21, 2007 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, then it's a slur on Ralph Nader. Either way it is Bush-like nastiness.
Tom
February 22, 2007 6:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Strong mothers, know that people need to be protected and nurtured. Strong mothers know that no matter how much protection people have they need to be nurtured to feel safe. So they bake cookies. Hillary does not bake cookies.
February 22, 2007 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why is it a slur if that is what Nader believes?
February 22, 2007 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
TJ, Jan here. I just want to say that this is the most interesting and well-thought out post I have read on the subject. Thanks for the insights. I really appreciate it. We obviously don't agree on the Libby/Plame/Wilson issue, but I had written you off as a knee-jerk troll, and I see that there is more to you than what I thought.
Jan Knaus
February 22, 2007 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Getting stuck on a Vietnam meme is indeed problematic, definitely so for Kerry, and, while there are both similiarities and differences to the Iraq situation, not understanding the nuances can be equally problematic.
Even during Vietnam, some realized that certain things would not want to be thought about thirty years hence. For example, I worked on engineering various automated sensors to detect people on jungle trains. One of the most technically promising -- and I am not making this up; it came from the Army Night Vision Lab at Fort Belvoir -- was the scout bedbug. You see, certain species of bedbugs are exquisitely sensitive to human bodies. Someone had found a type that would start shaking and vibrating when a human came within 5 feet. The bug's excitement would trigger a vibration detector, which, in turn, triggered a radio signal with the location of the sensor. The bedbug was likely to be thrown clear of the bomb and shell bursts.
A wise colonel, however, rejected the idea. He said troops would not be willing to work with a device that caused them, when asked "What did you do in the war, daddy?" with "I was a bedbug wrangler."
More seriously, you have some insights into the Democratic potential candidates. Obama has star quality, but is it the kind that endures, like an RFK had? I don't think we know as yet, although we probably had a better handle on RFK's liabilities.
Hillary? I just don't see her as an inclusive leader. The 60 Minutes statement you quote is, however, good positioning.
With Richardson we will have to see; he has positives and negatives. Edwards is also something of an unknown for the top spot.
If you will, all of these, to some extent, are "known unknowns". I have a hunch that the eventual Democratic nominee may not be one of the above, but a governor or senator that comes into the race after the leaders have eaten one another.
You point out, correctly, that the Democratic candidate must be positioned as being a positive alternative, rather than an anti-republican. That's along the lines of what I mentioned in the preceding paragraph. While he has chosen not to run, someone like Mark Warner, who can point to real jobs and wealth growth under his Virginia governorship, and identify his actual role in creating that, has a strong message.
Jim Webb might build from his Virginia base, strong military and executive branch role, and, if he can spin his party change effectively, demonstrate he can work with both parties. Webb's military role, from Annapolis to distinguished combat eventually to Secretary of the Navy, is probably not assailable like Kerry's.
So far, I don't see the far left making as much of a difference in the electoral process as does the far right. Things could get very interesting if there enters a good organizer on the far left, and Nader doesn't become a spoiler.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it" [George Santayana]
February 22, 2007 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why did a majority of Democratic Senators - such as Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Harry Reid, Jay Rockefeller and Chuck Schumer - vote to authorize a war with Iraq on Oct. 11, 2002? And why is this war now George Bush's misfortune and not theirs?
The original fear of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, of course, played a role in their votes - but only a role.
In the 23 writs that authorized force to remove Saddam, senators at the time also cited Iraq's sanctuary and subsidies for terrorists. Then there were Saddam's attempts to assassinate a former United States president; his repression of, and use of weapons of mass destruction against, his own people; and his serial violations of both United Nations and Gulf War agreements.
If paranoia over weapons of mass destruction later proved just that, these other more numerous reasons to remove Saddam remain unassailable. Hillary knows this but won't be able to admit it until she is President.
February 22, 2007 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh dear lord where have you been for the last five years? Please get in touch with reality. Bush's invasion in March 2003 was stupid, insane, irrational, and counter-productive.
Tom
February 22, 2007 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
She may not be allowed to say it now, but Hillary knows the United States must stabilize Iraq and Afghanistan.
The last thing Iran wants is a democratic and prosperous Middle East surrounding its borders. The televised sight of Afghans, Iraqis, Kurds, Lebanese and Turks voting and speaking freely could galvanize Iranian popular opinion that in time might overwhelm the mullahs.
She is right that Americans must conserve energy, gasify coal, diversify fuels, drill more petroleum and invent new energy sources. Only that can collapse the world price of petroleum.
When oil is priced at $60 a barrel, Ahmadinejad is a charismatic Third World benefactor who throws cash to every thug who wants a roadside bomb or shouldered-fired missile — and has plenty of money to buy Pakistani, North Korean or Russian nuclear components.
But when oil is $30 a barrel, Ahmadinejad will be despised by his own masses, who will become enraged as state-subsidized food and gas skyrocket, and scarce Iranian petrodollars are wasted on Hezbollah and Hamas.
Hillary can't satisfy her anti war beliefs now because she knows she may have to deal with Iran and Iraq in a couple of years as Commander in Chief.
February 23, 2007 6:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
"... the United States must stabilize Iraq..."
The US military can stay there for a hundred years and the United States will not stabilize Iraq because our military presence is a destabilizing factor.
Tom
February 23, 2007 7:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would give you a '10' if I could.
February 23, 2007 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
A number of Hollywood types are on record as saying that not only does one not want to be David Geffen’s friend, you sure don’t want to become his enemy. He is said to be one of those creepy, power-crazed billionaires who doesn’t like not getting his way.
Not only did he slam the Clintons by embracing the Illinois senator, but at a fundraiser for Obama recently, he poured gasoline on the fire by saying, “Everybody in politics lies (but the Clintons) do it with such ease it’s troubling.”
He went on to tell Maureen Dowd of the New York Times that Bill Clinton is still having trouble keeping his pants zipped up around flirty women and that Hillary’s candidacy is a train wreck.
It doesn’t take a political policy wonk to imagine what kind of shrieking and gnashing of teeth took place in the Hillary-for-President camp.
It’s highly unlikely that Madame Hillary smiled politely and said something like, “Oh, that darn David Geffen, he’s such a rascal” when she heard his slams. No, a more likely scenario involved plenty of obscenities being hurled and a few lamps hitting some walls.
February 23, 2007 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll settle for a 5.
Tom
February 23, 2007 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Especially given that , generally, the best predictor of future behavior is past behavior. In this case, we all know that Bill has long standing zipper issues, and Hillary would not be married to him if she did not tolerate his 'equal opportunity zipper access'. The question is does the country want to have that in the WH again, even if Hilliary is willing to tolerate it?
I do not think the nation is prudish about her marriage. I think the country sets a higher standard with regard to the behavior of those people who are officially representing the nation.
That one facet does make the candidacy a train wreck.
February 24, 2007 3:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course having a war criminal in the WH right now is not exactly a great thing either.
Tom
February 24, 2007 4:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know, but you go back to 2004 and the vote and I still wonder if it wasn't only the republicans that put the warmonger back!
Mark Crispin Miller had an interesting meeting with Kerry where he was told that those in the upper tier (no doubt Hillary's DLC'er) told him not to challenge the vote.
There was some strange crap going on with that campaign, not least of which the weird 'professional' connection between Carville and Matalin 'lightly' touched on by Woodward?
Trust is not a word that comes to mind with the republican-lites within the Democratic Party.
February 24, 2007 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting point, but how did PM Thatcher "bake cookies"? I'm not being argumentative or facetious, I just cannot think of such an example. (Then again, my knowledge of recent British history is somewhat lacking.)
February 24, 2007 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink