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Half-way-ism Is Not a Philosophy

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Commenting on Senator Schumer's proposals here is as difficult as, let's say, writing an honest review of a terrible novel by a writer whose work you like. What is that saying: “Homer also nods”? That is, even the best have their lapses.

And this is quite a lapse, almost a parody of the Democratic Party's fetish for list-making. One of the low points in the recent history of the Democratic Party was the House Democrats' agenda for the 2004 election, which purported to be a simple message but had no coherent statement of principles behind it and sixty-three individual policy proposals. When the Democrats came out with the “Six for '06” plan last year – nuanced, but at least six clear points of principle -- I thought they had finally learned some discipline. But apparently not everyone got the memo.

Once again, the temptation to gesture favorably toward every interest group and every idea that ever tested well in a focus group, and then to offset every slightly conservative gesture with a slightly liberal one, has proven an unbreakable habit. Occam's Razor was left on the shelf.

Senator Schumer tries to put some order on his catalog with the unifying theme of the "50% solution." But, to be honest, this only makes matters much worse. You might even say, fifty percent worse. Fifty percent is not a guiding principle. Is this what liberals stand for: to make things 50% less bad? Halfway-ism as a principle?

As Senator Obama said, “Now is not the time for half-measures.”

The concept of a 50% reduction in some bad thing is not terrible in itself. It has been effective as a guiding principle for the British Labour Party. Tony Blair and Gordon Brown's goal of cutting child poverty in half has been so powerful that the Conservatives have embraced it themselves. But that is a single variable associated with a 50% goal, a single variable that then has dozens of implications for public policy. In order to reduce child poverty by 50%, one would look at all aspects of the social contract in the U.K., at tax policy, health policy, labor relations, housing, and so forth. And organizing those policies around a single, tangible goal provides a sense of purpose that government often seems to lack. We assume that corporations are more effective than government because they have an obsessive purpose – make a profit – and that giving government such a single purpose would help it be similarly results-oriented. But a business wouldn't be as efficient if it had eleven goals!

And child poverty also uniquely lends itself to the 50% standard. Reducing child poverty by half was at once realistic, and ambitious. If achieved – and the U.K. is getting there – it would be an accomplishment to be proud of.

Most of Senator Schumer's halfway goals don't really lend themselves to that kind of 50% solution. Others have commented on the terrorism section, so I won't talk about that. But take the goal of reducing children's access to internet pornography by 50%. As a parent, I don't want my child to be exposed to pornography, and as a First Amendment civil libertarian, I don't want a lot of restrictions on free expression on the internet. That's a conflict. But the halfway point -- accepting some restrictions as a price for reducing children's exposure to pornography by 50% -- seems the worst of both worlds. I don't want young children to see just half as much porn! And I don't know what a "Schumer Box" is or how it reduces porn, and I'm not sure I want to know.

Some of the specifics in the Schumer agenda completely elude me. For example, he proposes to "encourage localities to reduce property taxes that fund education by 50% by freezing them now." Is it freezing them, or halving them? And what will make up the revenue for schools? This, of course, is the other problem -- we'd all like to freeze taxes, cut taxes, make things tax deductible, etc., but we are in a massive fiscal hole that makes those moves impossible without new revenues. Any Democratic proposal that pretends that these things can all be done without raising taxes is deeply unrealistic -- and what is the point of the 50% solution if it's not realistic?

I don't claim to be an expert in "speaking American," but I'm reasonably confident that it has to involve putting forward a clear vision of what we want our society to look like, knowing that it will take a long time to reach that ideal. But fifty-percentism, in itself, is not a public philosophy.


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I also notice that he's really playing around with this 50% number, at the expense of making sense. For example, he says we should cut illegal immigration in half but increase legal immigration by 50%... That kind of answers nobody's concerns. Cutting illegal immigration by half would still leave a large number of illegal immigrants and folks would still be mad about it while adding half again (or even doubling) the number of legal immigrants wouldn't meet our labor demands. The illegal/legal numbers aren't even connected.

Seems like he's using this 50% number as a marketing tool, not a policy tool.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

I thought that post was really well put, and I'm not even as opposed as destor to marketing tools (at least if there's some policy we're really marketing).

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Thank you. I would like to see politicians cut their use of selling books as a way to stimulate political discussion by at least 50%. Honestly, aren't there more effective methods?

I think Mark put it very well...

I am very concerned that the Senator seems to elevate the importance of electoral success over the importance of good policies.  I am very troubled by what I read from Senator Schumer feeling that good policies are only important as long as they allow the D's to stay in power.  It (what the Senator proposes) all seems very politically expedient to me and runs contrary to good public policy.

And what will make up the revenue for schools?

I noticed two things:

1. Going after tax cheats. This seems to be a staple of Democratic revenue enhancement measures. Every Democrat says they are going to squeeze more revenue out of the existing tax system.

2. The porn tax. Maybe I'm mistaken about the size of the porn industry, but a 25% tax on porn seems like a very large chunk of change - way more than needed for it's professed purpose of tightening up age check technology.

A problem with trying to tax porn is identifying what porn is.  It is easy to identify alcoholic drinks, tobacco based products, gambling, etc., but porn is somewhat, at the least, in the eye of the beholder.  Much of what is mainstream TV today would have been declared to be porn back in 1950.  And, large areas of the country would still declare it to be porn. 

Hoppy in Sacramento

A 25% tax on porn will probably net the government well in the excess of $1B annually Dan...and that is only taking into account US based sites.  I don't think, in any way, that he could tax the foreign based sites.  His 25% tax on adult sites will generate MAJOR amounts of cash for the government while putting many US sites out of business.  And of course the US sites which remain will pass those costs onto the consumer...so the American people (who consume porn), and not the site owners, will be the ones paying the tax when all is said and done.  It won't solve the problem of children gaining access to internet porn and the tax revenues will probably not be used to offset any tax breaks given on a local level.  The $$ will go to the feds and that is where it will stay...

This "tax cheats" argument has probably got to stop, I think. I mean, the IRS claims there's a huge gap but... the IRS would say that, right? I mean, the agency is somewhat motivated to get more funding for itself, after all.

But I rather doubt that the gap is as big as the IRS claims it is. We have an incredibly high filing compliance rate and people who file tend to use accountants or software to do so. How many are outright cheating, do you think?

Of the ones the IRS will be able to identify, how many will be rich and how many will be poor. Of the rich ones, how many will take the IRS to court and beat the agency back?

I'm all for overhauling the tax code, and making it more progressive. But this "close the tax gap" argument just seems like it will empower the IRS to hound people who can least defend themselves.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

Like any "Pigovian" tax, it can't BOTH generate gobs of money and also drive the U.S. sites out of business. It is presumably easy enough to set up an internet site offshore that they would all immediately do so, as the gambling sites do.

I saw something recently that suggested that the colossal estimates of the total cash flow of the porn industry ("bigger than all professional sports and the movie industry put together," or something like that) are all completely made up out of thin air, and the reality is much smaller.

I don't care whether it is consumers or the proprietors of porn sites who pay the tax. I do object, however, to a tax on otherwise protected expression based purely on content.

I'm not sure why 50% is a gimmick. It seems more realistic than pledging to eradicate problems altogether.

Are the UN's Millennium Development Goals ridiculous just because they aim to do things by halves? A lot of countries are on their way to meeting many of these goals, which, to my mind, is a good thing.

The fact that the proportion of people in Bolivia without sustainable access to drinking water will most likely be halved by 2015 seems like a good thing to me.

But maybe I'm just stuck in a philosophy of "fifty-percentism."

Dan K.: "Every Democrat says they are going to squeeze more revenue out of the existing tax system." Good point.  It's sort of the mirror of the GOP claim that they'll pay for something but cutting "inefficiency" in government. On the other hand, there's a small truth hidden in the Schumer lie. Under Bush, the IRS did reduce auditing of the wealthy. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

Absolutely!

And I was a little depressed by the direction  of his "at least" and "up to" here.  Raise legal immigration less... cut illegal immigration more...the end result is less immigration totally, which makes the policy anti-immigrant in toto.  Given the nature of policy decisions about who is elligible...the implication is more well educated and well-trained immigrants (the people not like my grandparents) will be welcomed into our technical meritocracy, but not the poor, but willing immigrants (the people absolutely like my grandparents). 

This is so pernicious--from so many different perspectives--that a long rant is called for-- (by someone else, please).  Let me just say that a policy like this is as much a robbery of a national resource as other forms of exploitation.  What percentage of those educated in the health professions in the Philippines actually work in the Philippines? 

We've come a long way from Emma Lazarus' sentiments.  But then we respect the statue in the abstract and allow the idea it represents to be dishonored by the breaking of them, don't we.

aMike

Well in a traditional "internet" sense you are right Mark...the sites move offshore and avoid having to deal with the tax. 

The thing is that the traditional adult industry (the VHS and DVD videos manufactured for and purchased in stores) is moving to a VOD (Video on Demand) format where they by-pass "stores" and take their product directly to the consumers on the internet.  For a fee customers will be able to view it, d/l it onto their computers and burn their own DVD's.  These US producers of porn are probably not as predisposed to move their whole operation offshore like a traditional site owner would.  And when you look at the the industry as a whole (traditional manufacturers, distributors, reatilers and then the intenet) the industry does about $50B+.  And with VOD looming on the horizon the amount of business the adult industry does on the net is about to go way up...maybe Senator Schumer is paying attention to the trends in the industry.  

And I have as big a problem with specific content being arbitrarily targetted just like you...that is the "big picture" in this whole proposed mess.  What content would be next? 

Politicians are not leaders they are followers. At best they can package up ideas that have come from elsewhere and get them made into useful legislation.

So if the Dems don't have a coherent set of goals it's our fault. The academics, pundits, philosophers and dreamers haven't been putting forth the kinds of ideas that can coalesce into a common theme. Part of the reason is that no politician wants to get ahead of the crowd on the intractable issues of our day. These include over population and declining resources. Both issues imply some sort of social control and/or adjustments to the standard of living, especially among the haves of this world. We, especially in the US, are unprepared to scale back our consumerist lifestyle. Substituting alcohol for gasoline is not a real solution, but nobody wants to say "drive less" or "get a smaller car".

As long as no one wants to see the elephant in the room all that is left are small bore ideas.

--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape

Instead of "freezing property taxes" (which makes no sense since property taxes finance far more than school districts) the smart "solution" would be to enforce property owners payment of taxes. Stop the mass give aways by local and state governments in which businesses get a rebate or ten year abatement on their property taxes at the expense of the school district.

Another idea would be for congress to voluntarily cut back on perks and pensions by 50% every year until congress ceases to be a career choice and once again becomes an honour. They could implement that at once.

Another idea would be to cut by 50% every election the amount of time politicians use to campaign - what a relief THAT would be to Americans.

And taxing it at 25% provides a very hefty incentive to identify as many things as porn as possible.

If substantial portions of the porn industry are offshore, and we tax US porn producers 25%, don't we make it more difficult for American porn producers to remain economically competitive with their foreign counterparts?

And ultimately, aren't we negatively affecting the US balance of trade?

If you ask me, if anyone's porn industry should be advantaged by Federal economic policies, it should be the American porn industry.

Cutting taxes, helping the working class-that's the American way.

It should be the Democratic way, too.


www.fakeconsultant.blogspot.com

With regard to property taxes, once you figure out what is meant by halving and freezing, you still are faced with a basic problem. The price of a house is driven in part by factors that affect the perception of value. However, once the value aspect is determined, the typical buyer goes for the most valuable house he can afford, based primarily on his total monthly cost of ownership. If property taxes are lowered buyers will generally pay more for a given house. Over the long run buyers pay more for the house but less funding is available for Government services. Sounds like something near and dear to the hart of any conservative twit economist.

I agree -- 95% -- with your excellent post. But.

I'm curious about which of the interest groups that comprise the Democratic Party you think should be ignored in favor of a unified message (or can you think of a unified message that will cover everyone? If you can, you left it out of your post). The Republicans have a much more streamlined base: religionists, and the well off. It's very easy under those circumstances to craft broad messages. The Dems have a crazy quilt by comparison. Gays, minorities, women, union members, the poor, just to name a few. In some of these cases, the groups have as many antagonisms as they do commonalities (minorities tend to be socially conservative, for example, but fiscally liberal). The Dems' habit of throwing out lists is a natural result of the structure if the party itself, not necessarily because of any desire to act in accordance with the results of some focus group testing. It would have been better if the comment about "focus groups" or whatever you said was left out entirely. What are the Democrats supposed to do, willfully ignore the polls and focus groups, just to prove they pay no attention to them? Isn't that what Bush has been doing for the past year, and haven't he and his party been crushed for it as a result?


As an aside, the entire Republican message machine of the past 20 or so years has been based on focus group testing done by Luntz and others. All their cute little phrases -- "Paycheck protection," "Culture of life" and so on -- are clearly the result of focus group testing. But somehow it's the Dems who are the "focus group party," aided by comments like the ones in this post.

Tax justice prohibits freezing either assessment or actual taxes.  Inevitably this results in effective income transfer from the relatively poor younger population to the relatively wealthy older population.  Every version of this, including all the tax abatement programs that exist throughout the US do the same thing. 

In the US, the population that is struggling is 30-35 years old and has 1-2 children.  Frozen tax rates and tax abatements for the retired transfer money from those very people to people in there 60s, 70s or older. Regardless of all the complaining, these older people should either pay their taxes or look for relief among their age-peers.  It is immoral to take money away from poor families with children.

the best property tax program is a completely transparent one where every property is appraised at 100% of value with the value updated every year and where all properties of the same class are taxed in the same rate throughout the state. 

Artificial smaller jurisdictions and all manner of ad hoc tax reduction schemes are the bane of tax fairness in the US and should be unconstitutional under the federal equal protection clause.  It is the lack of political courage that prevents the correction of these problems.

Your position on property taxes removes the possibility that a subgroup of citizens within a state might voluntarily choose to increase their property tax.

In Washington State, for example, all mamner of local jurisdictions vote for additional taxes to support cities and counties, school districts, fire districts, and the like.

www.fakeconsultant.blogspot.com

Politicians are not leaders they are followers.

In my opinion, it is only the BAD politicians who are not leaders but followers. If one looks at the good and great politicians in history, one will see they are indeed leaders--those who are themselves capable of guiding a nation and its people forward through times of trouble into times of victory, prosperity and security!

Unfortunately, the academics, pundits and philosophers of whom you speak have historically been more of a drain on society in terms of actively providing sucessful leadership, and I have never read tales of any pundit or philosopher that has risen up bravely and led any nation forward in times of great difficulity or change!

And most certainly I have never read of any great political leader in history that has affected a great change on a nation by leading through a visionary policy of 50% change.

EXAMPLE: Can anybody imagine JFK saying on May 25, 1961, "First, I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, getting 50% closer to landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth."?

Which interest group gets ignored?

If the only consideration is "electability", then you attempt "reverse trauma"-who is the group most unlikely to associate with the Rs no matter what you do, then work back.

Which means...

...Sorry, gay community.


The Rs have similar calculus to perform, and in the end, they might have to tell Christian Conservatives something similar (like, no Roe v. Wade this election when we can use terrorism fear instead.)


www.fakeconsultant.blogspot.com

Right, those are the rich people. They should be willing to tax themselves for the benefit for the state population, not for the benefit of their elite population.

Washington State is the norm. Property tax is unfair, not because of how it affects some special populations, but because by artificially fencing in narrow jurisdictions, the jurisdictions with the greatest wealth can have higher property tax for their own selfish benefit while still keeping their property tax low proportionate to their wealth or their own income. If they were in a much bigger pool, they would find themselves sharing that benefit with people they prefer to exclude, so they would not be able to attain the higher level of services without taxing themselves up to a point where it hurt. - To clarify, I don't especially relish that wealthy hurt, I just don't want them to get off easy when everyone else hurts.

Poor districts simply have to tax themselves a great deal proportionate to their own wealth or income in order to get a much lower level of services. The pool should be expanded to the entire population.

Actually, JFK's 50% solution would be "landing a man on the moon."

I'm sure if we hadn't sweated the second 50% ("and returning him safely to earth"), we could have landed a man on the moon sooner than than we actually did.
:o)

.> I'm sure if we hadn't sweated the
> second 50% ("and returning him
> safely to earth"), we could have
> landed a man on the moon sooner
> than than we actually did.
> :o)

I saw an interesting proposal for exploring Mars a few years ago: one-way trips, which are within our capability today, crewed with 60-something volunteers. As you note, carrying the supplies (esp fuel) to get home is the hard part, but a non-return trip with 5 years' supplies would be feasible. As I get older the thought makes more sense to me. I doubt it would ever fly (so to speak) in today's world, although if you think about it that is exactly what many exploration voyages in the 1400-1600s amounted to.

sPh

LOL...very good post.

But being opposed to the idea of corporate welfare I would be opposed taxpayer subsidies for the US porn industry...not quite as opposed as I am to putting a 25% tax on suppliers, but still opposed. ;)

Well after digesting (and getting the corresponding indigestion) what Senator Schumer said yesterday my take on the Senator's Half-way-ism is, to quote the late FrankZappa, "We are only in it for the money".  It definitely isn't about good policy his proposal's only goals are to keep the D's in power.

Any politician who would propose censorship of protected speech based solely on content is, quite frankly, something I only thought I had to worry about from republican politicos.  Senator Schumer proved me wrong. 

The Senator's cavalier attitude towards protected speech got me to thinking.  Why not put a 25% tax on all campaign contributions to all candidates and their parties?  I know the giving of money has been ruled as "protected speech" under the 1st amendment of the constitution and tax exempt.  But based on the Senator's position on taxing other forms of protected speech I don't see why the contributions to politicos couldn't or shouldn't be taxed...

Thanks to Senator Schumer, sadly, it is time to reconsider my blind support of all Democratic politicians.  He proved they can easily be just as wrong and as potentially dangerous as the republicans.

Libertine; Yep... your analysis just about sums up the state of affairs.

Republicans get the big corporate money, with the democrats getting large chunks of 'PRIVATE' SINGLE-ISSUE money, as well as edging successfully into the CORPORATE campaign financing arena via policies advocated by the DLC.

Kinda makes Obama more and more tempting as a candidate, with his RECENT support of both ethics reform and campaign financing reform.

A Chance To Change The Game

As opposed to the Hoyers, and Feinsteins who just think it fine and dandy to have money DRIVING the system.

And yes I believe our Democratic Party candidate and money 'Gatekeepers' Schumer and the Emanuel have found the current politican AND money love-fest working out quite well for them, and their sponsors.

Now, Feingold I believe he is the REAL DEAL.

Recent developments:

Lobbying Package Stalls in House By Tory Newmyer - Roll Call Staff - January 31, 2007

"Progress on lobbying reform legislation has hit a snag in the House as rank-and-file Democrats raise concerns over the potential reach of the bill."

Wonder which 'rank-and-file' Democrats are raising concerns?

Municipalities -- Good 4 A Merica's "narrow jurisdictions" -- are state created subdivisions of state power, only.

It has always puzzled me why states are permitted, constitutionally, to avoid their duties to treat their citizens equally by interposing these artificial governmental entities between themselves and their citizens.

As I was writing the post I was replaying in my mind the scene from "Amimal House" where the Greek Council is told: "I won't stand here and listen to you run down America!"


www.fakeconsultant.blogspot.com

Local autonomy probably made sense in the 1600s.  The very distance to the state capital would have rendered state administered local fiscal policies unworkable.  The trouble is that the policy, with respect to tax fairness, is outdated.  However, there are all manner of localisms that make reform near impossible.

The principal problem is the golden rule: He who has the gold, rules.  If the state raised all the taxes, the local governments would be forced to conform to state preferences in decisions even more so than they do now.  While that might be good in some sorts of policies, such as public assistance or education, it would likely be counterproductive in other policies such as recreation or library practices.

To the best of  my knowledge, no one has figured out how to raise the money from a very large pool (tax fairness), but to maximize discretion in small pools - very local jurisdictions (local values used in making decisions).  Grantors want to tell grantees what to do.  Central governments prefer categorical grants to block grants, or they use underfunded block grants to force lower levels of government to raise more taxes. Simple grant criteria become complex grant criteria...  It goes on and on.

 

Bump to the top -- to move up over the Friday night spam dumper....

~OGD~

A number of years ago a relatively small city across the bay from San Francisco had probably the best financed schools in the state because it housed a lot of large corporations and had few single-family residences and apartments. That was prior to Prop 13 and god knows what other fancy tax gimmicks let large corporations off the hook as far as paying their fair share of taxes into the local economy.

Bedroom communities where the more affluent lived and where industry didn't exist were constantly strapped for education funds (at the same time as the natives were popping kids by the droves.)

It was a situation where communities with relatively no kids had tons of money to support education while communities with scads of kids had very little money to support their schools.

At the time most of us agreed that "local" control might be a good idea but "local" financial support was screwy.

you should read the book PERFECTLY LEGAL by David Kay Johnston. It is not PEOPLE who cheat the IRS with a large impact, it is corporations. Business partnerships and also large companies have the most opportunities to cheat on taxes, and also the most to profit. The single group that is audited at the highest percentage are the working poor. There is rampant tax cheating, called tax shelters. Companies sell these schemes, and letters saying they think the scheme is legal for tens of millions of dollars. It is not people who can have a mailbox in the Cayman Islands to not pay taxes, and still have the right to vote.

The IRS should be more aggressive in auditing the rich, because I want to know that everybody else is paying their share. Unlike the rich who get their money before it is taxed, the working poor have taxes taken out of their checks upfront. And then they get audited, instead of the people who the government TRUSTS to give us the money back without hiding it. Which they always do.... etc. etc.

PEACE.LOVE.KUCINICH.LOL

I always learn something

from posts around here even when I disagree with them.  In this case, I ran over to the  UN Millennium Goals WebsiteI read all eight of them. Only the first and the seventh of them use the 50% benchmark.  In the case of the seventh, only one of three sections states its goal at the 50% mark

Several of the goals are absolute: For example, Halt and Reverse the spread of HIV/Aids, Malaria and other diseases.   In the case of others, not only are the ends absolute, but the time-lines for the goals vary, as well: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferaably (sic) by 2005, and at all levels by 2015.

So I would suggest that a comparison of Schumer's proposals with the UN Millennial Goals would rather reinforce the sense of gimmickry in them rather than negate it.

aMike

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