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An Informal Diplomatic Surge: Draft Israeli-Syrian Peace Deal Revealed

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As Secretary Rice continues her swing through the Middle East, pointedly avoiding Damascus, Haaretz journalist Akiva Eldar today revealed that two years of informal meetings have produced a draft text for an Israeli-Syrian peace agreement. The full text can be read here and the story here. While neither is as detailed nor dramatic as the Geneva Initiative model Israeli-Palestinian peace treaty, the new text exposed in Haaretz goes another step in demystifying the parameters of a comprehensive Israeli-Arab peace. Also this week, former officials and negotiators from Israel, Syria, Palestine, Lebanon, the Gulf, the US and Europe met in Madrid to mark the 15th anniversary of the conference convened by Jim Baker and the grown-up Bush after the first Iraq war. So the vacuum created by the administration’s dogged insistence on military escalation combined with diplomatic docility continues to be filled by unofficial peace initiatives.

Eldar’s piece in Haaretz details a series of meetings between the former Director-General of Israel’s Foreign Ministry and ex-Ambassador, Alon Liel, and US-based associate of the Syrian leadership, Ibrahim Suleiman, mediated and hosted by European government officials. The talks took place between January 2004 and the summer of 2006. The governments in both Damascus and Jerusalem have denied that the talks received any official blessing. It does seem that this was an exploratory back channel that probably got closer to leadership circles on the Syrian than the Israeli side.

The talks themselves dealt with the four pillars that would need to be addressed in any future Israeli-Syrian negotiation: security, water, normalization and borders. The main innovation in the draft text is the idea of establishing a “park” adjacent to the Lake of Tiberias on what would be the new (old) Syrian side of the border. The park area would guarantee continued Israeli freedom of access to what is the most disputed territorial component of any future border arrangement. Other than that, the paper outlines a border demarcation based on the 1967 lines, the establishment of demilitarized and reduced military presence zones, provisions for early warning stations and international security oversight, water use arrangements, and a timetable for full withdrawal and full peace.

The Israeli media has been abuzz all day with speculation regarding this new peace plan as it follows a period of intense debate on whether Israel should continue to adhere to the American veto of engaging with Damascus or whether Israel should explore the negotiation option that Syrian President Assad has been suggesting. Several senior Israeli ministers have argued in favor of the latter. Re-engaging on the Israeli-Syrian track would of course be in line with the US “New Diplomatic Offensive” recommended by the Baker-Hamilton Iraq Study Group. President Bush’s rejection of such a diplomatic surge almost guarantees the failure of the American mission in Iraq and further undermines US credibility and capacity to lead and build alliances in the broader Middle East.

We have just marked the seventh anniversary since the last Israeli-Syrian political negotiations, hosted by President Clinton at Shepherdstown. Four senators (Dodd, Kerry, Nelson, Specter) recently visited Damascus and heard firsthand of the Syrian willingness to constructively engage on the Iraqi, Lebanese and Palestinian issues. But President Bush seems determined to escalate on the Syrian front, as elsewhere, and to forego diplomatic solutions. If the serious thoughtful diplomatic recommendations of the ISG wise elders and the cautioning of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee against escalation and in favor of diplomacy are in a language that the President does not understand, then maybe he should turn to his own preferred sources – even in the Bible, seven lean years were enough.


8 Comments

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Daniel

Do you believe the deal work out between the Syrian and Israelis can be worked out without the U.S.? Would there be any advantage for important Americans, not affiliated with the Bush Administration, to get involved?

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Turn the telescope around. Can the U.S. refrain from meddling in this deal? Can Syria and Israel work this out without threats and bribes from the U.S.? Can U.S. presidential wannabes find other photo-ops?

I sure hope they can, because neither side will be able to sell this deal to their people if the U.S. soils it.

Exactly. It sounds as if Syria is agreeing to do things that are in the spirit of the Administration's preconditions for talks about Iraq, if not on the Administration's timetable. For viability, this needs to be seen as something principally worked out by Syria and Israel with the help of mediators, rather than something that appears to be giving in to US demands.

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Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

I was a bit unclear. Virtually every deal between the Israelis and the Arabs were created by secret meetings between parties. At the end the end the U.S. "blesses" the deal and helps provide political cover for the deal that has already been agreed to.

A possitive role for the U.S. would not be creating the deal but helping give a spur to the parties to actually sign it.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Is there any other Arab establishment presence in this process?  For example, where does this process fit in with the Arab League "Beirut Plus" idea outlined last fall by King Abdullah of Jordan?

Let's not hold our collective breath, but Ha'aretz is reporting today that Cheney was informed about the participation of the informal Syrian representative and Washington resident Ibrahim Suleiman, and there are signals that the administration may be doing a little growing up on the job --

A document that Dr. Nimrod Novik, a former political advisor to Vice Premier Shimon Peres, disseminated last October to members of the Council for Peace and Security also said that Washington knew about the talks. "While the administration is taking care not to broadcast a U-turn in its approach as long as the president has not given it an explicit green light, the signs of a change in direction are multiplying," Novik wrote.

"During the fighting in Lebanon, former senior [U.S.] officials were authorized to speak with Damascus, within a narrow mandate, while Pentagon and State Department officials support a change in the policy toward Hamas and quote the president in this context."

 

Thanks for the clarification. I'm trying to remember the play "What if they gave a war and nobody came". Fifties, maybe?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

[duplicate; the cat herder slipped and Mr. Clark fell onto the keyboard]

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