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Lunacy, Not Blunders

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"Our Iraqi Mistake. What Was It, Exactly?" asks Jacob Weisberg in Slate, rightly noting that the question has legs because it goes to the unresolved quandary of where American foreign policy goes from here. Weisberg concludes that "even in this mistakenly chosen war, our failure wasn't inevitable. It is the product of blunders made along the way by President Bush and his people—and the blunders they are making still."

It is a helluva puzzle for liberal hawks, whom or what to blame for the ongoing catastrophe, and it is not a question for them alone. But with the word "blunders" Weisberg tries to solve the puzzle without the keystone piece--the formative, fundamental nature of the Bush government and the movement conservatives who brought it to power.


Weisberg struggles his way through an argument to the effect that the U. S. should not succumb to either bogeyman isolationism or prissy realism because, in principle, it is capable of hoisting up its pants and making an occupation work:

nothing that went wrong in Iraq, including the Sunni-Shiite civil whatever, was fated or inevitable. The difference between Kosovo and Iraq isn't between a country that wanted peace and one that didn't. It was a matter of better management and better luck. To assume that American intervention can't work ignores the relative success of recent "wars of choice" in Bosnia and Kosovo (leaving aside the more debatable propositions of Somalia, Haiti, and Panama).

"Better management," "better luck"--the euphemisms miss the essential less-than-betterness of the Bush group. The Bosnia and Kosovo interventions had limited, practical objectives--to stop genocides (sorry, ethnic cleansings) in progress. The men and women who devised these interventions were not millennial game-changers. They did not justify what they did with the idiotic rhetorical claim that the barbarian regime in question "used weapons of mass destruction against its own people," when such use in Iraq, sanctioned by the U. S. at the time, actually preceded the invasion by 15 years. The Clinton administration blundered, too, but like other grown-up non-hallucinators, they learned from their blunders how to correct their thinking--what to do when, you know, stuff happens.

Whatever one might care to argue about the general proposition that all American interventions are doomed to disgrace and disaster, Weisberg commits a cardinal error. He remains trapped in the liberal hawk's naivete about the nature of the reigning government. He does not understand how deeply, how fundamentally, how wildly, zealously irrational is the Bush gang (who, at this moment of "surge," show no signs of having learned a thing).

Whether, in principle, a rational American government could arrange for an occupation that works remains debatable. Afghanistan is the tough test case. Unfortunately, the Bush gang have so botched their military deployments that we won't get to find out how well the Afghan occupation could (or could not) go as long as Bush is in power.

Here's the point: Bush does not commit blunders. He is a walking, strutting, stumbling blunder. He (& Cheney & Rumsfeld, & Co.) did not think out what they were doing in Iraq. They did not perform if-then calculations. They did not think through what was possible and desirable in Iraq--any more than they have reasoned about global warming, disaster planning, Social Security, port security, deficit spending, intelligent design, late-term abortion, "no child left behind," or for that matter, whether to take al-Qaeda seriously before September 11, 2001.

What most liberal hawks don't see (Peter Beinart is an exception) is that the fantasist nature of the Bush gang was evident before March 2003. They are not in the thinking-through game. They are in the hallucinating, fact-bending, reality-canceling game.

No discussion of where to go from here can begin without wrapping the mind around just who is running the country.


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I'd like to recommend a read of Antonia Juhasz' excellent article "The Spoils of War: Oil The U.S.-Middle East Free Trade Area and the Bush Agenda" in the January 3 edition of In These Times. Unfortunately the article is not yet online. She describes the Bush post war plan rather well.

Mr. Gitlin says:

No discussion of where to go from here can begin whether wrapping the mind around just who is running the country.

Once that mind-wrapping has thoroughly and rigorously concluded, is there any honorable course aside from bringing articles of impeachment?  I'm looking forward with all eagerness to congressional oversight. 

aMike

Analogies between American politics in our times and the fascist regimes of the recent past are overdrawn and tendentious, but one thing they genuinely have in common is this fantasist element of political culture. Christian fanaticism and exceptionalist nationalism have fused into a compound as toxic and irrational as anything European cultural revanchism ever produced, even if its contours are not the same and its political power has not (yet) swept all before it. The liberal hawks need to take a close look at the horse they're trying to ride.

the utter inability of the liberal hawks to understand is not, in any significant way, different from the utter inability of the bush administration to understand.

which is why slate is no longer worth reading.

Saddam with a fully functioning chemical and biological weapons program was not a strategic threat to the United States. A better targeted system of sanctions and UN Inspections could have prevented even that. Saddam with an even partially functioning chemical and biological weapons program was a tactical threat to Israel. While he had no real possibility of attacking Israel head on, even a chemical warhead or two in the hands of Hamas would have facilitated a terror attack.

That is the cold reality that liberals, and particularly those liberals that support Israel generally (although not necessarily the policies of the current government), need to confront.

This was a war of choice promoted by a group of Americans (who we can shorthand as PNAC and TNR) that broadly define American national security in ways that include Israeli security. This is not necessarily pernicious, NATO is organized around the same principle of joint security, an attack on one is an attack on all.

But a preemptive attack on a country that had neither attacked you on behalf of another who had been "attacked" if anything by Saddam sending money to families of suicide bombers (and if there were any other overt acts by Iraq against Israel I would like to hear them) would have been an impossible sale, and the Peretzes, Perles, Wolfowitzes and Ledeens of this world understood that.

So they hyped up some existential threat to the United States that never existed, and any number of people who should have known better, and many who probably did know better, went along with the charade.

If people really believe that Israel was under attack by Iraq then you can't quarrel too much with the idea of the US giving assistance to the Israelis for their own self-defense. And we have been doing that for decades with arms aid and intelligence sharing. But trying to extend that to suggest that the US fight foreign wars as a proxy is going a couple thousand bridges too far.

I as sure there are people out there who will regard an accusation againt Peretz, Perle and Ledeen as being more loyal to Israel than the United States is somehow anti-semitic. Well whatever you want to think. What I do know is that they have the blood of 3000 Americans and literally countless (because uncounted Iraqi) on their hands. And don't seem particularly upset by that fact even today. At least none of them are pulling for withdrawal and Ledeen is pushing for extending the war to Iran.

They are in the hallucinating, fact-bending, reality-canceling game.

It's worse than that. They are in the denial of truth for purposes of PR game. The insurgency couldn't be properly dealt with at its outset because military leaders were not permitted to use the word "insurgency." Tactics against guerrilla warriors could not be discussed because "geurilla war" was not allowed to be said. Working out tactics to deal with civil war or a failed state are impeded because those conditions cannot be said to exist.

Or, as the president puts it:

Mr. Bush still insists on talking about victory, even if his own advisers differ about how to define it. “It’s a word the American people understand,” he told members of the Iraq Study Group who came to see him at the White House in November, according to two commission members who attended. “And if I start to change it, it will look like I’m beginning to change my policy.”

It's all about what color lipstick they can put on the pig.

I'll meet you halfway here, Todd. This piece started so optimistically. Finally, I thought, someone will be shifting the debate from the botched occupation of Iraq, to the botched policy that got us there in the first place.

But then you ended off with a round of crowd-pleasing Bush knifing.

I tell you, there's a time and place for directing all the deserved opprobrium at Bush. But when it comes to the question of what was the mistake with respect to Iraq, it is not a simple issue of erroneously trusting Bush to run a something competently.

The whole damn Iraq project was misconceived from the outset. And if you indulge in these laborious diatribes that Bush f*cked this, Bush f*cked that like he always did, you are playing into the liberal hawk/neocon hands. These people need the argument to be framed in these terms. If they are convincing enough that that Bush is the main reason Iraq is falling apart, they have the upperhand in either calling for an escalation, or "staying the course" till we have a set of brains in the White House.

The answer to "Our Iraqi Mistake. What Was It, Exactly?" is simple - we invaded and occupied the country. Anything else about botched occupations is laying the groundwork for justifying an escalation, which rests on the assumption we can still fix Iraq and it is important we do so.

That's the lunacy.

Well what lessons can we draw from Iraq then, Todd? What do the events of the past few years indicate about the future of US foreign policy, and where we should go from here. As I read you, there are hardly any lessons we can draw from Iraq other than:

We should not elect wildly, zealously irrational movement conservatives; and if we do elect these kinds of conservatives, we should avoid military interventions in other countries while they are in office.

Everything else is apparently still on the table. This is depressing. Isn't there anything we have learned that doesn't depend on the weird and anomolous nature of the Bush administration? Are you saying that once the movement conservatives are gone, everything goes back to square one, and none of the debates and tragic events of the past five years will have moved us forward at all?

As far as I can tell, you really don't disagree with Weisberg in any essentials. You just wish he had insisted more on the incorrigible wretchedness of Bush and his government. So that when Weiberg says things could have gone better with better management, your rejoinder is: "Perhaps, but you must recognize that there is no way the Bush administration crazies could ever have performed competently."

Aren't the liberal hawks guilty of anything other than overestimating the capacities of the depolorable Bush administration? Did they display no zealous and irresponsible irrationality of their own?

Uh...I think you completely missed the point of Gitlin's excellent post. Viz.: the reason the occupation was a string of horrific errors was the same reason why we invaded Iraq in the first place, which is that Bush and his crew are crazy idiots. The fact that the occupation was mind-bogglingly screwed up, the fact that the invasion was a crazy idea in the first place, and the fact that the Bush admin is a bunch of fumbling nutcases are all inextricable from each other, and Weisberg's effort to untie them is silly.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

I thought the single stupidest thing I ever heard with regard to Iraq was David Brooks, on the eve of the Sept 2002 authorization, saying that those Democratic Senators who oppsed the war were 'preventing the flowering of Democracy in Iraq." It neatly encapsulated the willful and puerile romanticism underlying the whole project. Not we have Weisberg saying that we could have succeeded in Iraq, we just needed "better luck." Mr Weisberg would actually sound smarter if he announced that hope should have formed a larger part of our plan.

I too noticed this article yesterday. I think Weisberg really goes astray by refusing to seriously consider that going into Iraq was a doomed venture from the start. Clearly, "mistakes were made" in the early months of the occupation that went a long way toward creating the terrible situation we have now. But the simple fact of the matter (and the reason Bush 41 shied away from occupying the country) is that a guerrilla war there in response to our invasion was almost inevitable. The parallel he draws between Iraq and the Balkans in the 1990s is a fallacious one, both in the purpose of the intervention, and insofar as an American military presence means very different things to people in the Middle East vs. people in Kosovo. And history tends to show that guerrilla wars are almost impossible for a distant occupier to win. The guerrillas only have to keep the country destabilized enough to keep the occupiers from declaring victory, while the occupier has to expend enormous resources to, effectively, tread water without any clear end in sight, a situation that becomes economically and politically untenable. So, I think it's very reasonable to argue that our defeat in Iraq would have taken a minor miracle to avoid, even without all the terrible mistakes.

It's funny that Weisberg didn't seem to tease out one 'minor' detail.

The Kosovo intervention was to...

STOP

a war.

The Iraq invasion was to...

START

a war.

How could such smart Jewish writers be so blind to the obvious?

Gitlin seems to be on to something in his observation that Iraq was more about Israel than the US. Often, the arguments about oil imperialism or military bases miss the mark. If you look at the supporters and rationalizers, the Israel issue is front and center.

I think the reason that otherwise brilliant Jewish thinkers seem to have blinders on - or don't show remorse about 600,000 dead - is that they feel the expenditure of blood and treasure on their holy homeland is PIOUS - the hundreds of thousands of dead Iraqis and the trillion US dollars are just those eggs you have to break to make your Israel omelete.

I'm coming to realize that there is a quasi spiritual/emotional connection for Jews that is practically ineffable - even if they weren't disingenuous about saying "Hey, it's not about WMD, it's about Israel," I wonder if they could even communicate exactly WHY the connection is so strong. As a Catholic, I wouldn't care all that much if Italy took over Vatican City or something 'like that.' In fact the lack of suitable analogies is telling - what other 'races' or creeds have this sense of dual citizenship? More importantly, what other group makes defense of the 'motherland' priority number one?

Peace? Oil? Stability? 600,000 dead? Yeah, yeah, yeah...but Israel, Israel is what's really important.

Right, but beside the point.

Under this leadership, going into Iraq was a horrible error - given what we now know about the thorough incompetence and lack of grounding in reality that characterizes them. But under other leadership - even other leadership that made the same intelligence mistakes/fabrications in lead up - a greater display of competence, pragmatism, and reality-grounding post invasion could have resulted in a far better situation in Iraq than we're now seeing. To deny that is to deny that the lack of competence &c. since invasion has been material to the outcome, which is absurd.

There is no original sin common to all-and-only those who would invade a country that dooms all occupations and reconstructions to a current-Iraq-like outcome. Nor is there an original sin that infests all-and-only "conservative" or "hawkish" thinkers. Nor, despite the dismal ranks of the current Republican party, have all conservatives, over all time, been similarly reality-divorced and stumbling - if that had been the case they wouldn't still be with us.

From the outset of this war, it was apparent to me that Bush and Co. were delusional (this was once a minority position, but I have more company now), and that the Iraq war was certain to be a disaster, because delusional people are, by definition, not competent. I had no way of knowing exactly what mistakes they were going to make, but I was certain they would not succeed.

Debates about how non-delusional people would have conducted a policy that was based on delusion are not only utterly pointless--they make as much sense as arguing with a crazy person.

Todd Gitlin is spot on. The central political fact of our time is that we are dealing with a President who is a crazy person. If we don't deal with that fact, we are deluding ourselves.

This was a horrendous decision under any leadership.

Tom

We should not elect wildly, zealously irrational movement conservatives; and if we do elect these kinds of conservatives, we should avoid military interventions in other countries while they are in office.

Aren't the liberal hawks guilty of anything other than overestimating the capacities of the depolorable Bush administration? Did they display no zealous and irresponsible irrationality of their own?

Gitlin isn't as clear as he could be but I see the invisible argument. It is not just the wacko conservative personel that are the problem it is the ideas they advocate and promote. Rejecting the personel is rejecting the ideas.

The irresponsible irrationality of the liberal hawks was not recognizing the reckless nature of the PNAC ideas that demanded the military occupation of Iraq. There was also a big dollop of intellectual narcissism in so much as the Iraq war had to be fought in order to strengthen liberal internationalism. There was this rediculous fear of permanent precedents, the idea that if we turn down an intervention we will turn down all possible future interventions. Rediculous, but I remember that argument being in the forefront of pro war liberal opinion; we need to agree to Iraq to stop the Rawandas of tomorrow. A fear the neo conservatives exploited to the max. The neocons played the liberal intellectual interventionists like violins.

If I were a Weisberg or an Ignatieff I would be mad as hell at being used like this. This seach for a mushy middle by Weisberg tells me that he isn't quite there yet, Bill Kristol still "rules his world". Jacob, leave the abusive boyfriend and come into the light.

You missed my point.

I won't dispute that Bushco are a bunch of fundamentalist goons ("zealously irrational" is a not a bad generalization). And I won't dispute the criticism that is levelled at them for playing their "hallucinating, fact-bending, reality-canceling game".

My problem is that I don't see what relevance this has to the debate of what do with respect to Iraq.

The Iraq invasion was not wrong because Bushco believed in it - that's just a dopy, borderline McCarthyite argument. The plan was conceptually wrong in its own right, not simply because Bush adopted it and he was trusted to execute it competently.

And the bigger issue is this - if you buy into Todd's central argument, that "no discussion of where to go from here can begin without wrapping the mind around just who is running the country", where does that leave you? That we must withdraw from Iraq because we have an lunatic in the White House?

Sorry, but we've got to do better than that. We have to demonstrate the strategic necessity of leaving, and we do that by arguing the strategic blunder of going there in the first place. And that means cornering everyone who supported the invasion in the first place and until they admit it was a terrible idea on its own merits and support an immediate withdrawal. Hanging the failures on Bush might be fun politics, and even a justifiable apportionment of the blame, but I don't what good comes from it.

The lesson from Iraq is not simply - don't trust a moronic administration. There were plenty of eminently sensible people who supported this war, and we all, irrespective of political leanings, need to take on the substantive policy lessons from the debacle.

There is no one reason, in fact there were no reasons at all for going to war. This president has left a trail of misery and death and destruction for no reason whatsoever. Why? Because in his opinion, "wartime presidents are great presidents." This war is about him - even today his sociopathological narcissism is stunning - his refusal to change course, to correct mistakes (or even acknowledge them) is because he is afraid to appear weak, in his own words, "if I change it, it will look like I'm beginning to change my policy." When his staff finally arranged to tell him he needed to change his policy, he left the meeting early, met with General Casey who was carrying out his policy, and came back in "a buoyant mood." This is truly frightening behavior - he leaves one of the most important meetings of his presidential life, and flies off to seek reassurance and reaffirmation of his policy.

When he did reluctantly agree to reassessing his policy, he did so out of fear that he might have to accept The Iraq Study Group's plan, not because he might be wrong or mistaken in his policy. When he finally met with his commanders at the Pentagon, he told them, "What I want to hear from you is how we're going to win...not how we're going to leave." He not only hasn't "reassessed his policy" he doesn't want to hear any views that would contradict his policy.

Of course the logical question to ask this President is what are we supposed to win? We're not at war with the Iraqi people, we're not there to inflict complete and utter humiliating defeat upon those people, we're not there to expand our territory, so what is there to "win?" We're there and we remain there to vindicate and support one man's mistaken view "that a wartime president is a great president."

This war is about him; about who is loyal to him, who supports him, who agrees with him and who serves him. The Iraqi people are meaningless to him - he neither consults them, seeks advice from them or even acknowledges them as human beings with their own right to self-determination.

This is the sorrow and the pity of this war - that one man, incapable of empathy and compassion for his own people, can inflict so much human misery on another people, and with the complicity and submissiveness of others, resolve to inflict more.

Hey, Hitler occupied France with much greater success...for a while.

You do have a point there. Still, consider how murky the motive for invasion was: He made the Bush family (uh, America that is) look weak! So Bush had the vengeance thing clouding his 'competence' before any shots were fired. Then, when the Pentagon wanted to sorta 'cut and run' by installing Chalabi, leaving the Bath party and Army in place and making the ticker tape parade by May 2003, Bush decided, in his new role as Mideast Messiah, that the Shiites were finally going to have their day in the sun (hey Iran is shia too...uh oh).

DeBathification and dismantling the Army? That decision is clearly front and center in the debate about 'management' as opposed to morality of invasion occupation. Well without the Army to provide security and rebuild the country, hmmm...hmmm...who could we think of to do those things? Hey, here's an idea, how about Dick Cheney's company? Here's all your expenses plus 20% Dick.
Oh, and plus there's the little fact that we want to dominate Iraq with OUR army...how are we going to dictate terms to a country with a big, well equipped army? And then they might make us leave someday...we don't want THAT now do we?

So you see, it's hard to unwrap the 'incompetence' from the greedy, self dealing, Messianic, towering hubris that lay in the hearts of these warriors of choice.

The central political fact of our time is that we are dealing with a President who is a crazy person.

Dammit, Danius - you just opened up the insanity defense! Now we'll never get him impeached!

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

The liberal hawks are guilty of pursuing a pipe dream that every other administration, starting with Reagan, rejected. They're guilty of buying into a neo-con fantasy, of pumping up Bush's brayingly false hype. They're guilty of completely underestimating the magnitude of this project,and of enabling the fantasists of this administration to have wild-ass crazy scenarios get taken seriously. They're guilty of uncritically reporting the "evidence" that underlay the pretexts, and of smearing any opposition.

Now their guilty of claiming that even though it turned out worse than any of their own worst scenarios would have projected, they're blaming other people for the execution of the project. If only....then things would have been different. Well, first, you wage the war with the commander in chief who you have in power when you smear the opposition. And, second, the counterfactual blather that people like Jake push out ("450,000 troops") was never possible.

The bailing wire and sticking plaster "Iraq is a grave and growing danger" story was coming apart in March 2003. The inspectors were finding nothing. It was clear that Iraq was no threat. The US had 3 or 4 votes on the security council, including its own, for the invasion. The "ties" to al qaeda had been exposed as entirely false.

Taking the time to put together an occupying force of 450,000 and viable plans for reconstruction would have taken at least a year. An additional year would have meant that the inspectors would have proved their negative. Iraq would have been involved in no terrorist event and the fearmongering would have collapsed under the weight of facts on the ground.

The liberal hawks complicity comes in their joining the neocons in ignoring the evidence gathered from January to March of 2003, which was well on the way to proving that none of Cheney's pretexts were true, and that his stovepiped "intelligence" was wrong.

Without the complicity of the liberal hawks, there could well have been no war. But there could never have been a "successful" war.

Bev,

This is a classic. You ought to send it to a newspaper.

Tom

. . . the . . . reason why we invaded Iraq in the first place . . . is that Bush and his crew are crazy idiots.

Then, how do you explain the enthusiasm, pre-war, of so many "internationalist liberals" and "liberal internationalists" for the policy?

Thanks, Tom.

That's precisely the point.

Afghanistan demonstrated two things. The enormous power of the American military and the ineptitude of the Bush Administration. Bill Kristol's dismissal of the potential problems between Sunni and Shite Iraqis also demonstrated that the intellectual fathers of this war were never honest with themselves let alone with the American people.

As one who might be described as a liberal hawk, though one who knew Bush was not the one to lead us in war nothing said by Todd or anyone else really disproves that getting with of Saddem was always going to be a failure. It was not necessary to allow the weapons caches and hte borders to be open to all. It also was not necessary allow the chaos that ensued that led the Shite militias to call a halt to their being targeted by Sunnis both Al Qaeda and Iraqi.

Almost from the begining the uniformed military was more interested in the post-Saddem Iraq. They tried to bring democratic votes to Iraqis and were thwarted by Bremer. To indulge in a bit of stereotyping it is a bit strange that the Marines were more concerned with the Iraqis enjoying safety and democracy that were either the Defense Department of the State Department. That was not necesary just sade.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Damn.  Where are Zionista, BradtheDad, and Daniel A. Greenbaum when we really need them?

The Iraq invasion was not wrong because Bushco believed in it - that's just a dopy, borderline McCarthyite argument.

No, it's not. The point here becomes more complicated than is easily limned in a blog exchange. But the gist is that in evaluating the trustworthiness of a statement, you have to take into account what you know about the speaker; the meaning of a statement changes depending on who's saying it. We knew the character and competences of the Bush administration by 2002, and we knew that they were, for instance, prone to conflating different actors into a single "threat"; that they were inexperienced with and suspicious of the diversity and complexity of the world outside the US; that they were ideologically opposed to nation-building, and thus lacked competence at it or familiarity with the issues it involved. They were highly skilled within the world of US partisan politics, but that was the limit of their competence. We knew this. We also knew they had a casual attitude towards hard facts; we knew that since the budget debates in the 2000 campaign. The way that the anti-Iraq campaign developed highlighted all of those weaknesses. In the case of the invasion of Afghanistan, because that response seemed so logical and unsurprising after 9/11, it made sense to support the administration. But when they began making highly speculative arguments for launching a new and unrelated war, one's spidey sense really should have started tingling.

We know now that no administration which did not share this administration's combination of ignorance of foreign affairs, overweening hubris, politics-is-everything indifference to facts or to good policymaking, jingoism, and even religiosity would ever have recommended something like the Iraq war, because it was simply an absurd venture. I think that translating "don't trust a moronic administration" into "don't trust a President with very simplistic and ignorant ideas about the world abroad when he recommends launching a hugely risky war for uncertain ends" would cover much of the ground of lessons that need to be learned here. It would, for that matter, embrace LBJ, too -- another master of domestic US politics whose ideas about foreign affairs and war proved dangerously simplistic.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

We know now that no administration which did not share this administration's combination of ignorance of foreign affairs, overweening hubris, politics-is-everything indifference to facts or to good policymaking, jingoism, and even religiosity would ever have recommended something like the Iraq war, because it was simply an absurd venture.

No, we don't know that at all. That suggests that Iraq war II is the only ill conceived war that the US ever engaged in.

And it fails to explain why so many people in the US drank the Kool-Aid.

nothing said by Todd or anyone else really disproves that getting with of Saddem was always going to be a failure. 

The reason we went to Iraq was 9/11 and al-Qaeda.

Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11 and al-Qaeda.

Therefore, a failure. 

Dissent Protects Democracy.

Once the President puts an initiative out there, and it becomes clear the administration is really going to push to make it happen, it becomes "real" and enters the policy debate, often regardless of the basic nuttiness of the idea. It's very hard for even intelligent people to believe that the President and the government of the US may in the most basic sense be completely ignorant and delusional about a life-and-death issue. Here, all the responsibility devolves to the top. GWB abused the authority of his office to make ludicrous proposals a reality. And he surrounded himself with people who had similar tendencies.

On the other hand, it also reveals some unflattering things about many liberal internationalists, notably that they share some of GWB's refusal to consider the world abroad as a wide array of real places which are actually permanently different from the US, and are not subject to quick and easy transformation courtesy of the USMC and USAID.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

I suspect that it was because the crazy idiots convinced the internationalists that they were about to get something for nothing which any con man knows is the essential characteristic of a likely mark.

Daniel is here, but you're right, the others are sorely missed!

The enormous power of the American military and the ineptitude of the Bush Administration.

I just don't get this. It demonstrated that a collaboration of US special forces, in theatre intelligence assets and popular indigenous forces could achieve a limited objective very cheaply.

The US was lucky, imo, that the arab-dominated Taliban was so broadly unpopular. People were glad to see foreign rulers tossed out.

Todd or anyone else really disproves that getting with of Saddem was always going to be a failure. It was not necessary to allow the weapons caches and hte borders to be open to all. It also was not necessary allow the chaos that ensued that led the Shite militias to call a halt to their being targeted by Sunnis both Al Qaeda and Iraqi.

The incompetence of the execution of this operation will be cited as a reason to dismiss it as historical evidence that the US cannot successful conduct wars of imperial occupation.

In point of fact, the US cannot conduct wars of imperial occupation, especially without a draft. The 450,000 troops that comes trippingly to Weisberg's keyboard could not have been raised in the pursuit of an imperial conquest. And the pretexts that Bush raised could not have been sustained while that troop buildup took place.

This war was folly from the outset, as every other administration from Reagan on recognized.

Might I ask you to clarify a point? When you speak of "the war", are you referring specifically to operations in Iraq, or all military operations by the current Administration?

For me, policy debates can get very confusing when I realize criticism of "the war" really refer to the Iraq catastrophe. That fiasco, defying military and cultural history, properly should be considered a campaign, within the Central Command theater of operations, within the broader national security policy/grand strategy of the United States.

To equate the war to Iraq makes it very difficult to evaluate the resources and attention diverted from much more focused operations in Afghanistan and elsewhere.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

What's your point?

You write: "In the case of the invasion of Afghanistan, because that response seemed so logical and unsurprising after 9/11, it made sense to support the administration."

Yet, you take issue with me when I assert: "The Iraq invasion was not wrong because Bushco believed in it [...] The plan was conceptually wrong in its own right".

You can't have it both ways, bud. Either (a) it's acceptable to look at a Bush policy on its merits (which is by your take on Afghanistan), or (b) it's not acceptable because it's a Bush policy (which is your take on Iraq).

You know where I stand. Where do you?

I would add a thought mentioned in Eric Alterman's excellent analysis of Gulf War I in his 1992 book "Sound & Fury." As the U.S. continues to slide farther and farther down in economic, educational, and social welfare standing within the world due to serious, systemic problems, a focus upon the military, and military interventions becomes the "quick and easy" way for elected officials to attempt to assert continued U.S. primacy in the world, and therefore, to assuage and dismiss the significance of our economic, cultural and social decline and backsliding.

This attitude tends to become a self-fulfilling prophesy, since as we divert more and more attention and funds from addressing serious domestic economic and educational problems into military adventurism, those problems get worse and more entrenched, which then makes even more attractive an escapist, "who can we fight now" fixation on the military. There is something very pathological about this, ie. in the classic psychological manner of pointing out the faults in others in order to not acknowledge or address your own faults first.

The rhetorical example of this is the ad hominem attachment of the label "doom and gloom" to anyone who dares even mention that the U.S. might have serious, domestic problems which require serious attention and solutions. This, thanks in part to 9/11, has now morphed into the label of "America hater" to anyone who dares suggest we need to seriously tackle a wide range of domestic economic, educational and social welfare issues. This mindset is more reminiscent of North Korea, which places all of its social capital on being "secure" from outward enemies, while letting its own citizens starve. This also leads to the zero-sum "sacrifice" mindset that external security must come a proportional decline and reduction in domestic welfare security. Once such a zero-sum trade off is considered valid and necessary (which is obviously not true, cf. western Europe), it becomes nearly impossible to tackle domestic issues without getting into a ridiculous argument that by doing so, one is necessarily "dangerously neglecting" external security.

Nations with healthy, domestic conditions are innately stronger and therefore more externally secure than well-armed nations whose internal economies and culture is decaying and falling apart. Hence, I believe, our monstrously disproportional focus of late on some unachievable nirvana of 100 percent external security.

I am a little worried Mr. Howard - that post is a bit close to the neocon/Radical "long war" line of thought - something I would not expect from you.

sPh

I get into seemingly constant battles about equating people of the Jewish religion with the State of Israel or the political theory of Zionism. It is my general belief that the State of Israel often engages, probably for domestic political reasons, in military operations that can be seriously questioned under the proportionality principle in Just War theory. In recent operations in Lebanon, while Israel tightly censored its tactics, some of the operational details that did get out strongly suggest a lack of concern with civilian casualties, and embracing a doctrine of collective punishment.

Nevertheless, I find this post of yours to be attacking Jews in general, including Jews without one iota of loyalty to Israel or belief in Israeli exceptionalism.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

I'm referring to the human misery and suffering we've inflicted on others.

Antonia Juhasz

links to an article similar to, but in my opinion not quite as good, as the article I referenced above. Both are related to your premise.

I fail to understand why no one seems to remember President Bush's speech of early 2003 and how the country rallyed around:

"My fellow Americans:

"As you are all aware, Saddam Husein and his Baathist Party had nothing whatever to do with the attack we suffered on 9/11. And the UN inspections under the direction of Hans Blix and Baradei have confirmed what we in the United States Government have believed for years. Saddam has no WMD weapons, no active WMD development program, and although he doubtlessly would like to have WMDs, we have the ability to monitor his attempts and destroy his capability to employ WMDs if he should ever obtain them.

"But let us never forget that we do have substantial interests in the Middle East, and here, I speak of the oil pumped from the fields of the Saudi, Kuwaiti, and Bahrani kingdoms and emirates. The greatest threat to those resources comes from the energies unleashed by the Shia Revival in Iran and throughout the Persian Gulf area. And Saddam has been the first to frustrate that enthusiasm on our behalf.

"I know that there are some among you who will argue that these uncontroverted facts suggest that we should not invade and depose Saddam, and I want you to know that I respect your right to hold those views -- irresponsible though they be.

"My study, such as it has been, of American history and my chats with Margaret Thatcher, the Caesar of the Falklands, have convinced me that it is only by leading a nation at war that an incumbent can assure his reelection and a President assure himself a place in history.

"As well, my predecessors -- looking to their own reelection hopes -- have, I am told, made a series of promises to a small, inconsequential state in the Middle East, and that state thinks it would be a grand idea if Saddam was "outta dere."

"Upon all these cogent reasonings I am convinced that you will approve my plans for the invasion of Iraq. I intend to send somewhere between 350,000 and 400,000 soldiers and marines and another 100,000 or so Texican contractors. I anticipate that we will be able to accomplish our goal -- a free and independent and democratic Iraq within 5 years or at the most, seven years. There will, of course, be some military casualties and I estimate that the cost of the war will be approximately $3000 to $3500 per American family -- about 1500 gallons of gasoline or 3 years of driving, 2 if you own two cars -- heh, heh.

"And what's all that balanced against ensuring my reelection?"

 

That speech ignited the American people; Bush followed through on hios plan; and although it looks like it may take the full 7 years, success seems likely.

There may be something to the "luck" argument. Other US invasions, Phillipines, Mexico, Cuba, could have worked out differently but for forces beyond complete control.Was Kennedy a bumbling ,incompetent, sociopath devoid of historical knowledge?

As to Bev Ds assertion that "we are not there to conquer territory" I have to think capital penetration, market access, power projection and energy concerns figured into the whole escapade and these are indeed a form of "territory" to the modern corporate state.

I apologize that my question was not responsive to your answer. All misery and suffering? Personally, I am just beginning to recover from an intense allergic reaction to Christmas carols. While I did find one operation on a pinched nerve in my arm, where the surgeon knew me well enough to let me watch, I don't look at hospitals as a place to avoid misery and suffering.

Are you, perhaps, vegan?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

I've posted about my view of a long war, which is based on very different principles than PNAC. If this link doesn't work, it's on the Miscellaneous Politics discussion table.

I regard the broader issue not against a "war on the tactic of terrorism", but on dysfunctional societies that encourage the use of terror and the reduction of freedom. The subcultures of Eric Rudolph and Osama bin Laden both are of this type.

My model, however, comes from public health. We are, for example, tracking H5N1 influenza throughout the world, with excellent cooperation from the most closed of nations. Much drama, fear, uncertainty, and loathing appears in the media about a seemingly imminent replay of the 1918-1920 pandemic.

Only one disease, smallpox (both the Variola major and Variola minor variants) has been eradicated (a technical term in epidemiology) from the world natural environment. I see no reason to believe that human pathogens will not disappear from the earth, and both prevention and mitigation are needed. Nevertheless, if we look at the actual damage done by terrorism, especially in the United States, it is well down the list in causes of morbidity and mortality. I see it as one more thing to be met with preventive methods and treatment. Prevention can look like fixing the societal problems that breed terrorist solutions, and protecting targets. Treatment may well involve killing committed terrorists before they can act.

Iraq was minimally involved in terrorism outside its immediate area. The Taliban and other extremist groups on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border have a much wider scope, as does al-Qaeda.

Yes, there will be a long war, but we have been dealing with a long war with infectious disease for centuries before 9/11.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Well sure, a war can be both ill-conceived and incompetently fought. Many wars are both.

But the converse of what you say is also true -- to argue that other leadership would have resulted in a better outcome is to deny that the decision to invade was a bad idea from the outset; but there are lots of outcomes that could have been better than the one we have, and still be terrible. We will never know whether, long-term, leaving Saddam in place might have been better than any US invasion, especially one under "other [more competent] leadership that made the same intelligence mistakes/fabrications in lead up".

Those of a neocon bent saw in George Bush a self-imposed naivite, a disdain for scholarly pursuits, a distrust of the intellectual - even bragging about such - and a man whose ambition was to create himself, finally, as a man destined for greatness. Capitalizing on the nature of their product, those neocons were able to play Bush like a violin.

A certain unworldliness was even evident in some neocons, who, displaying Trotsky-like thinking, believed that the people of Iraq would welcome their liberators with open arms so planning for any kind of occupation, if one was needed at all, was unnecessary.

The combination of a purposely ignorant but with visions of grandeur president being played by a bunch of idealistic zealots pushing social democracy world-wide was bound to be deadly. (Confirmed zealots who at the same time are as dumb as posts are particularly lethal if given a world stage to play on.)

Just a thought: The Senate must confirm presidential cabinet appointments but no confirmation is required of advisers to those cabinet officials, or the president for that matter. The Dems pushing congressional "oversight" of the Executive should not forget the power of the "behind the scenes" advice givers.

Sorry, but I find Bruce Webb's post pernicious. I'd love every opportunity to slam the Neocons. I'd even go further, saying not just that a better UN inspection program could have kept arms in check, but that the existing ones were going just fine. But while that's only a minor quibble, I can't accept his blaming this all on support for Israel's interests.

There's no reason to think it's true, other than another cockamamie conspiracy theory. We hear of dreams of US domination. We hear of oil motives. We hear of hope to feed Haliburton's coffers. We hear of Bush's Christian crusade. We hear of further revenge against Iraq since not kicking the pants off them enough the previous time, perhaps even as Bush's Oedipal complex, perhaps not. We hear these and more, and we still haven't got to the bottom of the Neocons or other past GOP theories for imperialism, including Kissinger's realism. We certainly haven't really sorted out what's a fantasy and what's a lie with Bush. But I can't account for this version, frankly, short of anti-Semitism.

It gives undo influence to Israel's supporters as remaking America and making a humongous war. It assumes something hateful fo me, as an opponent of Israel's own right-wing policies, that these are Israel's interest. And then it goes further, by making that concern something akin to treason. I think those of us who want peace in the mideast, especially those of us capable of wishing for a Palestinian state soon and a permanent democratic ally in Israel capable of respecting internally agreed boundaries, should be outraged. What those who support hawks in Israel must think, who themselves are often generally Americans, I can only imagine.

I'll add that it's also annoying because wingnuts already tried blaming opposition to their imperialist dreams on anti-Semitism, and that was evil enough a claim. So it's sad that one is now supposed to agree that it's all about the Jews?

John

http://www.haberarts.com/

No, I wouldn't say all human misery and suffering - just that which we've deliberately inflicted.

Au contraire, mental incompetence is a perfect reason to impeach, if the party does not relinquish power.

Would be reasonable to substitute "struggle" in place of "war". although that is the typical translation of "jihad".

Certainly, especially if we'd maintain, in English, the nuanced Islamist distinction between greater/internal and lesser/external jihad.

Of course, changing the name to Struggle On Terrorism might not please GWB with the acronym SOT.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

I have not noticed anyone addressing Scott Ritter's argument that the demonization of Saddam after Kuwait meant he could never be rehabilitated and sanctions ended. Ritter feels a President Gore would have invaded, albeit under differing circumstances. Clinton was trapped by the "evil" designation into accepting no efforts to certify Iraq as weapons-free.

What I would like to see unpacked is the backroom deliberations that led to Sec. State Baker instructing Amb. Glaspie that we had "no position" on the Kuwait dispute. Since this was presented to Saddam as that, instruction by the Secretary, it was a pointed message and not equivocal.

The rapidity with which the demonizing process developed, including PR action by the Rendon Group, argues it was a plan, not a reaction.

Mr. Gitlin, could you explain the nature of your theory of Beinart exceptionalism. I would think your description: "They are not in the thinking-through game. They are in the hallucinating, fact-bending, reality-canceling game." might apply to Beinart as well.
Or were his repulsive attacks on antiwar progressives part of a much nastier, conscious effort to silence the left?

"Au contraire, mental incompetence is a perfect reason to impeach." Hmm, maybe it means that, if impeached, Bush could plead incompetence to stand trial. True, Americans have been executed despite such pleas, but that's often in Texas.

John (with due warning to the irony impaired)

http://www.haberarts.com/

I already explained this. Your (b) is wrong, that is not my take on Iraq. Look, this is really not hard to understand: if an unbiased, knowledgeable adviser with an honest reputation tells you to make an investment which most other people also think is a good idea, it's probably a good investment. If a poorly informed adviser with a reputation for stretching the truth to make a sale advises you to make an investment which most other people agree is a good idea, you should take a look, think it over, and maybe do it despite the source. But if most people think the investment is a BAD idea, and if he or his friends may stand to gain from your investment, then you'd have to be an idiot to jump in headfirst on that investment. And if, as time goes on, you see that second investment is indeed performing poorly, then that should both confirm your decision and confirm your low opinion of the adviser.

It's all tied in together. You can't say, "Giving that felon in the clown suit a billion dollars to corner the world market in frozen concentrated orange juice turned out to be a terrible investment, but a competent commodities trader might have pulled it off." A competent commodities trader would never have tried it, because it's a dumb idea; and you should have KNOWN it was a dumb idea PARTLY because the guy who recommended it was a felon in a clown suit. But that doesn't mean that if a felon in a clown suit recommends you buy an index-linked mutual fund in a successful developing market, you shouldn't take THAT advice seriously.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

And it is my considered opinion that had that feckless, indecisive Moltke not weakened the Schlieffen Plan, Hitler would never have come to power.

HCBerkowitz:

I didn't mean to 'attack' Jews in general or Israelis for that matter. I think I came off harsher than I intended. Also I'm sure it's an incontrovertible fact that the there is a broader spectrum of opinion on Iraq or Isreal within 'Jewery' the world over as well as within Israel than, say, with evangelical Christians or US Catholics.

I was trying to add nuance to the question by noting that there is a unique connection displayed by some Jewish writers to this spiritual homeland. God literally knows Christians have spilt more blood in the name of Jesus - or reclaiming the holy land - than any other religious group. How much savagery has taken place because of God in general? Most of it. Same with family feuds - there's a sense that words can't convey the 'reasons.' In fact 'drive' or 'instinct' are the operative words. You can't really 'reason' with a powerful drive to defend hearth, home and yes, tribe. Israelis are not abstractions - they are like brothers you defend not because they're 'right' but because they're brothers.

What I'm saying is that there is an undeniable spiritual/emotional connection you see in some - not all - Jewish writers/thinkers/pundits with respect to Israel. I'm even furth asserting that this 'bias' is becoming obvious to me, but it's invisible to the writers (hence it's not strictly bias). It's so powerful because it's 'unconscious.'

Hence, Israeli apologists/defenders aren't a bunch of monsters who'll brook any outrage if it might help Israel. On the contrary the 'drive' to defend Israel seems profoundly pious - it's a moral imperative of the very first order. It operates on an instinctual level (defend the group) and a spiritual level (obey God's Law). Maybe it's like the kid who feels compelled to start fights with the kids in the schoolyard who taunt him about his brother's legal problems (that was me once).

There are undoubtedly ways for the Iraq madness to have been handled better, but under no circumstances were we going to get even a Yugoslavian reality: after much pressure, deals with the devil and the like, the Yugoslavs handed over Milosevic to Geneva themselves. Sure, it's tense in Kosovo, but nobody's blowing up the golden dome.

However, the idea that you could turn Iraq into a New England democracy with the 3rd ID and the 101st in full blitzkrieg mode is simply crazy. Crazy people like that come into the capital, fire the entire army and all officials of the former ruling party while doing the most rapid privatization in human history and not securing the weapons dumps. It's the same defective view of human beings that produced the ideology to invade. It just ain't true.

I for one will be glad when this American experiment in Soviet thinking is done for.

And I agree absolutely that this line throughout Slate has taken it off my list of "News" tabs. Between the effete hawks like Weisberg and crazy Chris Hitchens, there's only the occasional Dahlia Lithwick to read.

Maybe it's this simple. George Bush took us to war because he wanted to swing his dick around. Flying onto an aircraft carrier wearing a flightsuit with a codpiece wasn't just a cheap PR stunt--it was the whole point.

"Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11 and al-Qaeda."

I am assuming you mean that there is no reason to believe that Saddam had any knowledge or planning role in the attacks. This is true. You are missing other obvious connections between 9/11 and our invasion of Iraq.

There are two huge ones.

Long view:
Iraq was essentially about attempting to transform the Middle East. We are the "far enemy" for a reason. Saddam was one of many "near enemies" for a reason. Al Qaeda and groups like it aim to topple regional dictators and supplant them with a Sharia state.
They gain support for these ideas and for their greater ideology because the people who live under the yoke of dictatorships (including monarchies and other despotic, repressive regimes) are unsatisfied with the performance of their government to provide them with opportunity, services, hope for a future and a host of other things. These Islamic fundamentalist groups will never go away as long as there are oppressive regimes in the Middle East. Thanks to bin Laden and al Zawahiri, they have merged these oppressive regimes with America as the enemy.
9/11 proves that these groups can attack us on our homeland and inflict heavy casualties. The last time it was a few planes and a few thousand deaths. Next time it could be a bio-weapon and a few hundred thousand. If we wait for things to sort themselves out, we may be too late.

The idea was to spread liberal free market democracy throughout the Middle East, starting with Iraq. This strategy is directly tied to answering the events on 9/11. If Iraq could be lifted up through this transformation, maybe in 10 years a kid from Saudi Arabia would move there to study economics in Mosul or to work in the prosperous shipping industry out of Khor az Zubayr instead of traveling to Somalia to become a Jihadist. I think regardless of the outcome, and regardless of the feelings you have about the war, you can see the logic behind that. I think you can also see how invading Iraq connects to 9/11.

There is also a short view:
One of Bin Laden's issues with America was the fact that we "occupied" the holy land of Saudi Arabia. Why were we there? We were there because Saddam Hussein was a very real threat to Saudi Arabia. The Saudis invited us in to protect them from Saddam. They also had an offer from Bin Laden and his Mujahadeen and they refused his offer. This humiliated him for obvious reasons. In order to free ourselves from the Muslim holy land, we needed first to ensure that it was safe from Saddam. This is another obvious example of how 9/11 and al Qaeda are connected to the Iraq invasion.


Based on that knowledge, you can make the case that Saddam was a bigger cause of 9/11 than Bin Laden. Bin laden may have come up with the idea of toppling the towers, but he didn't do any real planning. Atta was the mastermind behind the actual attack. Saddam's behavior is inextricable from the events on 9/11.

If there really are 600,000 dead, which I doubt, the vast majority of them were killed by Iraqis. Wanting to establish a Western style democracy was about Israel? Israel can defend itself. It looks increasingly that a number of Arab nations are looking to Israel to denfend them too.

The sanctimony fascinates me. Saddem launched a war with Iran that led to about a million deaths. Saddem invaded Kuwait and might have continued on to Saudi Arabia had the U.S. not stopped him. He then slaughtered Iraqi Shites after he was kicked out of Kuwait. He murdered his two sons-in-law and countless opponents and would be opponents.

His sons were being groomed to take his place. They apparently were even more blood thirsty than their father. The French and the Russians were trying to lift the sanctions. Obviously Saddem was not spending the food for oil program money on his people.

The neo-Cons were arrogant and too idealistic. Their expectation that the Iraqis to just turn to democracy on Saddem's fall was absurd. However, they are certainly more idealistic about what people seek than seeking to scapegoating support for Israel. The reliance on Bush was such a fatal flaw as to be mind boggling.

As for Israel. As the world stood by 6 million Jews were murdered. Thus while until I encountered the relentless anti-Israel drivel here I did pay that much attention to Israeli of late. However, the connection to Israel has something to do about knowing that the end of Israel means the murder of more Jews. This is a fairly emotional issue, on this you are correct.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

He murdered his two sons-in-law and countless opponents and would be opponents.

If this is meant to somehow justify, in part, our invasion and occupation of Iraq, I think you're grasping...

Dissent Protects Democracy.

Your comment is not worth a response. These same old arguments are years-old, and completely full of crap. The Paul Wolfowitz playbook was closed out.

Geez, is it me??? I feel like it's 2003 all over again.

I guess that was a response. So there. 

Dissent Protects Democracy.

The "long view" suggests we should have toppled Saudi Arabia's ruling family, since Saudis were the largest group represented among the 9/11 hijackers.

The "short view" is bogus, too, since Saddam never was a threat to Saudi Arabia, and certainly was not after Kuwait. We did not need to be there.

As the theoretical physicist said about one speculative proposal, the theory is "not even wrong". Observe the results.

Thanks for the response Daniel Greenbaum.

I made the observation to reflect what I consider a recent 'discovery' of mine. We can regard most of the victims of violence around the world as 'interchangeable' or generic ciphers of victimhood. We can say ain't it a shame and something should be done.
But when it's Israelis, we abandon the abstractions. If I'm arguing about Israel with a Jewish person, often the tendency is, "You don't understand, what if YOUR brother/father/sister/mother was attacked by a suicide bomber - you wouldn't be so cavalier about it!" Effective rhetoric, but then again, Palestinians have relatives - Iraqis have relatives. What it does reflect is the "personal" nature of the Israel question. You see faces - somebody you know has a relative in Haifa or something.

With other nations it's kinda "aint it a shame - people shouldn't be killed." The same way that you might argue that a criminal should be released because of police mistakes - but not the one who raped your sister - that's 'different.' Because it's personal and not an abstraction.

Fred Kaplan is pretty much on the mark.

Here is the connection between 9/11 and Iraq.

1. Bush was President on 9/11 (thanks to 5 geniuses on the Supreme Court who didn't understand the 14th Amendment).

2. Bush is an idiot.

3. Idiot President Bush invades Iraq because he's an idiot.

That is the connection between 9/11 and Iraq.

Tom

Many of them are crazy idiots also?

Tom

Where is SFC Wallace? Is Sarge for the Surge?

Tom

I supported the Afghan War but how can you look at the Iraq War and separate the disaster there from the Afghan War? Iraq has corrupted both wars and dishonesty and lies are so deep from strategy down to the last penny stolen that you can no longer believe anything about the Afghan War either.

The Iraq war isn't just a tactical blunder, it's a strategic disaster. Since our Al Qaeda enemies appear to be safe and sound living among our Pakistani allies, the whole war from A to Z needs to be rethought. And that's the root cause of the problem anyway. No one did any thinking, just faith based deciding.

Meanwhile, back to the "strategy" of invasion, escalation and tax cuts. Let's call it Operation Let Them Eat Cake.

Please stop conflating "Jews" with "Zionists." I, for one, find that tendentious and pernicious. One can perfectly well and consistently oppose Zionism -- i.e., the ongoing attempt to create an apartheid crusader "Jewish" state in the heart of an Islamic world that utterly rejects it -- without necessarily "oppressing" fellow-American "Jews" (for their supposed "Jewishness") who live in Kansas or Nebraska, let us say. If Zionist Iraelis would move to Kansas and Nebraska tomorrow -- and start paying our taxes instead of demanding lavish (and apparently eternal) subsidies from us -- the "Jewish" question would diasppear from American foreign policy discussions as it properly should.

The issue of interest to many of us non-Jewish, secular, twenty-first century Americans involves separating America's true national interests -- which depend in no way whatsoever upon any sort of "Jewish" state anywhere in the world -- and the interests of a belligerent, expansive foreign country that never existed half-a-century ago and may not exist half-a-century hence. Those who insist on trying to inject notions of Jewish racial and religious "chosen-ness" or "superiority" (vis-a-vis Arabs, Muslims, Persians, or any other form of goyim) into American foreign policy discussions can expect and should receive the strongest possible resistance. So get over it.

Many of us Americans have no interest in Israeli Zionism whatsoever and frankly do not give a shit what happens to Israel. Israel has certainly never done anything for America and, as a matter of fact, resolutely insists on NOT having any sort of treaty of "alliance" with the United States -- precisely for the reason that Israel wants to do whatever it wants in its own interests regardless of how negatively this might impact on America's interests. Fine. But then, Israeli and American Zionists can just quit bitching when Americans feel the same way about our interests. As former Secretary of State James Baker III once said of Israeli interference in America's political system: "Fuck 'em. They didn't vote for us." A lot of Americans feel that way and have every right to feel that way. So get used to it.

Finally, please knock off the pretensions that Israel's right-wing government and its AIPAC supporters in America haven't lobbied and bribed and threatened and schemed in every way possible to goad Sheriff Dick Cheney and Deputy Dubya Bush into invading and dismembering Iraq -- and if possible Iran. None of this excuses the American officials involved. They should suffer impeachment, trial for war crimes, and life imprisonment without possibility of parole. Having said that, the principal architects of America's disastrous lurch into quagmire, death, and near-bankruptcy in Iraq all have long-standing and mutually reciprocal relationships with the Israeli government, especially its worst, right-wing elements. So don't try to pass off the ridiculous canard that Israel had -- and has -- nothing to do with America's predicament in Iraq. Of course, Israel didn't do the invading and dismembering of Iraq. America did that. But Israel certainly did all it could to "help." Many of us Americans know this and will certainly never forget it. Some "ally."

It is next to impossible to separate Zionists and Jews. Just as you can elimiate Israel without killing mass numbers of Jews. It is mainly anti-Semites not Jews who introduce Jewish racial issues into discussions of American foreign policy discussions.

As for Israel never having done anything for America is a nice myth but silly. Whether it is Israelis in the Kurdish area of Iraq or shooting down Soviet pilots in MIGs the Israelis have assisted the United States.

AIPAC is a small group that infects the paranoid delusions of anti-Semities and ironically the Peace Now folks like Rosenberg. If you paid attention to the way the world is going you would note that the Gulf, not the Mediterranean, is the key to U.S. policy. That is the Saudis, you know "Bandar Bush," the Kuwaitis and the like.

Israel has nothing to do with American in Iraq. Cheney is above else a Hobbesian. It wants the U.S. feared. His ineptitude lost the U.S. respect and has it feared in an odd way.

It is nice, has it has always been, to blame the Jews. Jews make up about 2% of the populations. If you believe the Jews control U.S. foreign policy it suggests many things.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

CSCS

I will not begin to defend Bush's dishonesty and failure to prepare the country for what a war would take. My friend Richard, a military historian thought it would take 10 years.

I know it had nothing to do with 9/11 or al-Qaeda. Getting rid a murderous leader like Saddem would have been a good thing anyway. Helping establish a liberal Iraq would have been a general good thing.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

What does it suggest?

Yeah and making everybody in the world a millionaire would have been a general good thing, but I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for it to happen.

Tom

It looks increasingly that a number of Arab nations are looking to Israel to denfend them too. Daniel A. Greenbaum

A true statement but only if you substitute "a number of authoritarian Arab (Sunni) elites" for your inaccurate generalizing phrase.

You might, as well, substitute the words "maintain them in power" for the word "defend."

When I reflect on this war and this world, I am always drawn back to the Project for the New American Century and its 2000 treatise: "Rebuilding America's Defenses." I first read about it in the Sunday Sept. 9, 2003 edition of Scotland's The Guardian. It got very little play in the USA MSM. The article can still be found here: http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1036571,00.html. And the 90-page document here: http://www.newamericancentury.org/publicationsreports.....It is full of names that I didn't recognize at the time but am all too familiar with now: Perle, Kagan, Wolfowitz, Kristol, Libby (Cheney's name is not there, but his wife Lynne's a member of its cousin organization, American Enterprise Institue). Many of the same people affiliated with the document are referenced in Weisberg's piece...... By getting their puppet president in place they managed to control foreign policy. When 9/11 occurred, they were like college upper classmen drooling at the anticipaton of a new crop of freshman girls. .....This one quote from the document, about developing our technological superiority at warfare to solidify America's status as the lone remaining Super Power (a flawed assumption at the outset), is chilling when viewed in the context of 9/11: "Further, the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event -- like a new Pearl Harbor." (Section V: Creating Tomorrow's Dominant Force)...That was publishe less than a year before 9/11. Six years later, it reveals a lot about the world we live in and who is running it....dontcha think?

"we should have toppled Saudi Arabia's ruling family"

That would have been nice to try, but there was less justification. I would have suggested another Central Asian madman-run country like Turkmenistan because the population there is much smaller and we might be able to lock them down with 175,000 troops, but again, on what grounds?
The problem is that of all the places to choose, Iraq was the only one we could really justify by international, traditional means. Regardless of what the U.N. said, we had almost 3 dozen countries in the coalition, so the bet was a smart one.
Saddam violated the treaty from 91 essentially just to prove he could. He was a threat to Kuwait when he tried to invade a second time in 1994, just for the record.
He shot at American aircraft virtually every day that the no-fly zone was enforced and we all know his track record with the anfal, etc. The problem with justification is that with the percentage of dictators and despotic regimes holding powerful seats in the U.N., simply saying, "He's a dictator" doesn't count as justification. That would be like Islamists telling Europe they want to attack America because we are a democracy...oops bad example!

"Saddam never was a threat to Saudi Arabia, and certainly was not after Kuwait"

To say he was no threat to Saudi Arabia is strange. How can you possibly back that up? His intentions for Saudi Oil were not a secret. Do you think the Saudis wanted us there because they got a perverse thrill out of pissing off the radicals in their country? Why on earth would they keep us there when it caused them so much trouble? The answer is obvious, because they couldn't defend themselves as effectively as we could defend them. It isn't hard to understand.

The idea was to spread liberal free market democracy throughout the Middle East, starting with Iraq.

Wars are the last resort for spreading democracy, not the first. Particulary in the armed to the teeth Middle East. Occupation of Iraq has been a boon to Jihad, if you haven't noticed. The torture by US troops in Abu Ghraib was the nail in the coffin for US success.

If Saddam was such a huge threat, how come no country in the region was worried? The war was purely for domestic political jujitsu (vote Oct. 2002), and war profiteering.

Turkey didn't even allow the US to invade from the north. If putting giant pictures of yourself all over walls makes you a threat, then Saddam was a real danger.

A blinkered view of the world.

Ellen are you always such a provoker?

Daniel A. Greenbaum

BBochove:

Beinart had the balls to criticize his prewar posture--see The Good Fight, pp. xii, 152ff. By the way, some of the antiwar left deserved plenty of criticism, and, for the record, I delivered some myself at motherjones.com.

Todd Gitlin

How can it be that we are still talking about this?  What America am I in? This was the most foolish of foolish wars the US has ever engaged in.  Korea was a bright light, by comparison.  Vietnam was a brilliant idea.  What next?  Perhaps we will try to overcome China with conventional warfare?

This war did not have to be.  There was no apparent reason for it.  No one has gained except the privatized suppliers for the military.  EVERYONE else is a loser.  American soldiers lose.  American people lose.  Iraqis lose.  Europeans (who would like a little peace and stability in the world) lose.  Africans lose (so it seems).  The Russians maybe are gaining international stature out of it (ain't that great).  The Afgans lose as the Taliban comes back.  Pakistan seems to be a winner (why do we not consider THEM to be the number one supporter of terrorists in the world?).

There is no debate to have.  This war was the worst idea dreamed up by childish neocons who wanted to demonstrate to the world that we could do whatever we wanted with unilateral bliss.  What we demonstrated instead is that we are a powerless bully, ready to be punished by having our treats (dollar stability) taken away and taunted by even the smallest weenies left in the playground.... 

He does not understand how deeply, how fundamentally, how wildly, zealously irrational is the Bush gang

Good point.

I opposed the Iraq war mainly for this reason.

I did not trust an administration drunk on power and ideology to conduct a successful operation. If we had Eisenhower as president I might have felt differently. But with Bush as commander in chief I felt I could not trust him to carry out a mission that required critical thinking, grasp of detail, complexity. The mission required someone who could juggle a lot of complex issues simultaneously. Someone with a sharp mind. Bush was not that man.

By your argument there was much more justification to unseat the Sauds, since their country was the main source of 9/11 hijackers. By your argument there was zero justification for attacking Turkmenistan, ditto Iraq. Locking down the Turkmen? You must love trouble.

I would have accepted the trouble concomitant with trying to lock down Afghanistan. That would have made it much more likely we would have achieved justice and made a proper, legal example of the great criminal, Osama. (Who?)

There was of course no chance we would attack our oil "friends". Iraq was convenient, not necessary. There was plenty talk of making an example, that Arabs only understand strength, and other comic-book thinking going around at the time. Not mentioned was the desert-culture penchant for revenge. Enjoy the outcome, you asked for it.

What 1994 try are you talking about?

Saddam was no threat to Saudi Arabia in 2003. He was defeated in the first Gulf War & contained by sanctions and had no WMD. It isn't hard to understand.

Tom

a greater display of competence, pragmatism, and reality-grounding post invasion could have resulted in a far better situation

If we put aside the debate (bad idea vs bad execution) it is still clear that the situation did not have to be this bad.

A more competent president would not have spit in the face of long time allies. He would not have presided over Abu Gharib and Gitmo. He would not have deeply divided the country by accusing the opposition party of aiding and abetting the enemy. He would not have allowed rampant war profiteering by his cronies. He would not have cut taxes on  oil companies while borrowing money for the war.  

I can go on and on.

How can you put aside the fact that it is an immoral war?

Not spitting in the face of allies implies taking their advice, which was "don't do it." Flawed from the start.

We would have to have said, "Well, it's not justified, it's far from sure of success, and it will cost a crapload and kill lots of people, but let's do it really well, anyway. BTW, we will raise taxes to pay for it."

I don't see how to sensibly pursue the premise of good execution of a bad idea.

I guess it all depends on whom you ask.  Ask the Shi'is of Iraq:

Immoral occupation?  Yeah, probably.  Immoral war?  Not on your life, buddy! 

Perhaps we should ask the Palestinians about a war with Israel?  Perhaps we should ask the Zapatistas about a war with Mexico?  Maybe we should ask...

WE ARE NOT THE POLICE OF THE WORLD.

When we think we are, we are WRONG.   When we act as if we are, in any respect, we are immoral.  IF a world body agrees to intervene or if we are invited in by the oppressed in the country, we have serious matters to consider.  BUT, when we act unilaterally, we are just a big bully.  Bullies are ALWAYS wrong.

I have the suspicion you're tiptoeing around Hume's "is-ought" problem.

In the event I don't recall the majority of Iraqis asserting that the invasion was "immoral."  Who better to determine the morality of a war than the majority of citizens of the subject of that war?

I wouldn't think I am tiptoeing around Hume's is-ought problem.  Explain yourself.  I am rendering a judgment.  We invaded a sovereign country.  We did it unilaterally.

YOU suppose that benefits always justify acts.  VERY strange.  A murder is no less a murder when it turns out the victim was abusing his wife.  You would have to say maybe not a murder after all.  How does that work?  What if the murder is convicted and punished and only afterward do we find that his victim was deserving (for ancillary reasons)?

The US committed an immoral war.  Some ancillary effects were beneficial.  I am sure that some very deserving people benefited, just as other worthy people have nevertheless suffered.  In meting out the punishment, we might consider the accidental benefits, but that doesn't absolve the act. 

I supported the Afghan War but how can you look at the Iraq War and separate the disaster there from the Afghan War? Iraq has corrupted both wars and dishonesty and lies are so deep from strategy down to the last penny stolen that you can no longer believe anything about the Afghan War either.
There's nothing to separate. Countries generally do not engage in more than one separate war at a time, and the Bush Administration position has always been that Afghanistan and Iraq fall under the same global strategy.
Early operations in Afghanistan had a fairly clear cause-and-effect relationship with dealing with an operational base, as opposed to source of personnel, of al-Qaeda. In the midst of those operations, according to GEN Tommy Franks' (Central Command CO) autobiography, GWB personally contacted him and urged a change in focus to Iraq.
Iraq, in of itself, is not the global strategy of the United States, even for the rather oddly named "Global War against Terror". By any rational military definition, it is a campaign, albeit a major campaign, within a very badly designed grand strategy. I use grand strategy as the extension of national policy by all means, military being one obvious one but also including diplomacy, economics, information operations, law enforcement, foreign training, covert operations, etc. The unclassified "National Security Strategy of the United States" is long on rhetoric and buzzwords and very short on actual and measurable goals.
Unquestionably, the Iraq campaign is the greatest strategic disaster in the history of the United States, with the possible exception of the little unpleasantness between 1861 and 1865. Vietnam took longer and caused more domestic protest than Iraq, but had much less global impact.
Assume, for an unpleasant moment, that GWB stays effectively uncontrolled by Congress until 2008. The incoming President, regardless of party, is still going to be responsible for a national security strategy, hopefully with Congress in a more cooperative role. Islamic fundamentalist terrorism is one of various threats that will exist, with which the US must deal. Sooner or later, a new strategy has to emerge.
It is my hope that the 2006 elections will empower Congress to force even GWB to reexamine and refocus national strategy, and national strategy cannot be Iraq-centric. The effects of the Iraq disaster will be a key part of forming a new strategy, but other factors need to enter any rational restructuring. Minimally, these deal with WMD proliferation, non-national terrorism, rational development in Africa, economic consequences of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and its spinoffs, East Asian trade policy, global public health including warming and pollution as well as diseases, maintaining the national scientific-technical-industrial base, and many other considerations. Defining every movement of the future with respect to Iraq is a guarantee of further bad decisions.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Assuming that an act calls for (moral?) justification, what other than the "benefits" flowing from that act would you suggest as justification thereof?

A lot of people (including myself, sometimes) tend to cut some slack to the attack on Afghanistan on account of the seemingly more direct connection to 9/11. I am not sure we should.

The fact is that the Afghanistan campaign was planned and executed in the usual ham-fisted way: as a war of conquest, with little understanding of and respect for the peoples there, with the usual macho posturing (remember when an offer by the Taliban to detain bin Laden in Kabul in an Afghan court of law was dismissed out of hand? What would have been the chances of special forces nailing him in Kabul rather than in some mountain rathole?), much display of extravagantly costly technology, indiscriminate bombing, etc. Not coincidentally, things are going from bad to worse in Afghanistan too. And the basic truth remains, that we aren't prepared and we don't really intend to stay forever in Afghanistan. These neocolonial enterprises come with built-in obsolescence.

Never let it be said that I will ever underestimate the lunacy of the Administration's foreign policymakers. "Ham-fisted" is a ruefully appropriate term for a Muslim country.

Nevertheless, I can think of few countries whose history makes them less desirable targets for conquest. While there were initial British successes in the first Anglo-Afghan War (1839-1842), there was a single British survivor of a force of 16,500. The second Anglo-Afghan war (1878-1880) was less a matter of actual conquest than an agreement on Afghan foreign relations (neutrality) between Britain and Russia.

The more recent Soviet invasion(1978-1992) was, not unreasonably, called the Vietnam of the USSR, and probably had a significant role on the fall of the former Soviet Union. By any rational standard, it was a Soviet defeat.

If, and I recognize this is a challenge for the current Administration, anyone ever looks at the lessons of history, trying to conquer Afghanistan is high on the list of most absurd ideas. Aside from the historical precedents of defeated great powers, the logistics, the special tactics of high altitude, and the fighting qualities of the natives make it a very, very bad place to have a war.

I don't know how to respond substantively to a phrase such as "macho posturing". No, I do not consider the Taliban offer to try bin Laden as having the slightest legitimacy, given it was offered by a regime recognized by only three other countries, and that would use religious and cultural law not generally accepted.

"Nailing him in Kabul"? Kandahar, not Kabul, was the Taliban center of power, so I'm not sure if that is a serious proposal. "Mountain rathole" also seems rhetorical rather than substantive, given the geography of most of Afghanistan.

No, I don't think anyone wants to stay in Afghanistan. "Neocolonial" is a nice term to throw around that doesn't necessarily mean much.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Not spitting in the face of allies implies taking their advice, which was "don't do it."

There were other options. How about not engaging in name calling?

Bush/Cheney/Rummy and their neocon friends started hurling insults at our long term allies. Old Europe, Surrender monkeys, Irrelevant........

 My point is a less juvenile president would not have gone out of his way to insult our allies.

The French aren't the best of allies; one of my professors of international relations, with tongue in cheek, described diplomacy as the art of arranging that the French become the ally of your enemy.

Nevertheless, when the "surrender monkey" phrase trotted out again, I wish some individual of recognized status responded with one word:


Camerone

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Berkowitz: one of my professors of international relations, with tongue in cheek, described diplomacy as the art of arranging that the French become the ally of your enemy.

SG: 'Da gall', of the man!

SNerd

Le Grande Charles triggered many emotions, but I could never be completely annoyed with him after he and his wife were showered with broken glass after a failed assassination attempt, and he turned to his wife and commented they really would have to learn to shoot straight.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

The "apartheid" critique applies to West Bank settlements, not to Israel proper, where Israeli Arabs are free to live where they like, do as they please, and vote for their parties in government. The phrase "crusader 'Jewish' state" is pretty weird.

If you think your glib references to the possibility that Israel "may not exist fifty years hence" are going to make it easier to decouple Israeli and American interests, you're mistaken. They only get Israel's friends in the US to push all the harder to make sure the US continues to support the state against those who would like to destroy it. If Israel does not face an existential threat, there's a good argument to be made that the US doesn't need to subsidize it, with all the costs that implies to our relations with the Muslim world. If Israel does face an existential threat, then arguing that we should abandon it doesn't make you look so great.

"All governments lie, but disaster lies in wait for countries whose officials smoke the same hashish they give out." - I.F. Stone

This debate is too important.
Do not allow it to be lowered with references to Antisemitism!

So it's sad that one is now supposed to agree that it's all about the Jews?
Nope, but neither should one be supposed to assume it to be axiomatic that Likud-connections are a matter that can not be examined.

It's absolutely not impossible.
Just among my personal friends and acquintances there are about as many Jews who aren't Zionists and non-Jews who are Zionists as there are Zionist Jews.

You make it far too easy.
It wasn't Bush singularily who went to war.
It was virtually the whole nation (a few dissenting voices excepted), particularly the nation's elite, its parliamentarians, its news desk editors, yes all them knowledgable and with authority to judge.

Your final argument reduces to:

Don't listen to an idiot making a bad recommendation. BUT do listen to an idiot if he makes a good recommendation.

Ergo - the onus is on YOU to be able to tell the difference between a GOOD and a BAD recommendation.

That, bud, is exactly my argument. That's why I think it is important not to debate the Iraq debacle in terms of it being a Bush screw-up, but in terms of it being a screw-up in its own right.

I'll say it one last time - the whole Iraq plan was crazy. But it wasn't crazy because it was being executed by a bunch of nuts (which is the wobbly cornerstone of your argument) - and frankly, it was supported by a lot of people I would hardly characterize as nuts.

The policy was simply dreadful. I'll go back to a point I made on another thread: Bush was warned by the Saudis that removing Saddam by force would solve one problem but create five more. That encapsulates part of the strategic lunacy of the policy. And once again, it wasn't crazy because it was a Bush-Cheney-PNAC conception... it was crazy because of its strategic lunacy.

Bundling up the various aspects of the debacle into a "Bush messed everything up" narrative, is simply creating a narrative. It has little substantive value, requires minimal analytical discipline, and avoids putting tough questions to Iraq War Backers who should have known better. Who should have been able to tell a GOOD policy from a BAD one, irrespective of who else was supporting it.

Don't forget Blair, Aznar, Berlusconi, Howard... their governments all backed the war too.

Maybe we should have called it the "Coalition of the Willing Crazy Idiots", and from now on refer to the French as Cheese-eating Sanity Monkeys.

No, the reasons why dozens of other governments, many of them democracies, joined the Coalition may be different, but there is absolutely no reason to suspect mental instability of such a global magnitude.

French foreign policies are no example for other countries, and have never been, but it was a total disaster for Britain and the United States to hand over the popular support and the moral high ground to the French and the Russian presidents, and at the same time "accusing" the French and the German electorates of economic incentives for their "pacifist" conviction.

Anyone who has ever chatted with a real living German or Frenchman wondered what they were smoking in the State Department.

Oops! My last comment was meant to mock the "crazy idiot" argument... obviously didn't work too well...

"What 1994 try are you talking about?"

I don't know how to answer that, all the information I can give in the answer is already in your question. The year was 1994, the countries involved were Kuwait and Iraq and Saddam was in charge of Iraq. Instead of asking me to do your research for you, why don't you try to do it yourself next time. Here's a link to get you started:

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,981630,00.html

He was no threat to Saudi Arabia because the American military was there. You are using circular logic.

Your argument is that the "international community" and the American people (including congress) would have been more likely to support an invasion of Saudi Arabia than Iraq?
I disagree for reasons already stated.

Aside from the support, Saudi Arabia is a much less secular country. Trying to bring democracy there would not seem as promising as it did in Iraq. If we had elections in Saudi Arabia, the Sunni Wahabbi versions of Sadr would dominate the country. Sadr has had surprising success in gaining a minority of seats in the Iraqi government, but the Wahabbists would have an overwhelming majority.
Not to mention that we have a working dialogue with the Saudis and soft power is more likely to work there in getting them to reform their government using linkage and other forms of diplomacy.

Saddam was not a threat to Saudi Arabia at the time of the Kuwait invasion. His dispute was with Kuwait. He would have known how explosive an attack on Saudi Arabia would have been. In contrast, he was told we had no position on Kuwait. The "world-conquering Saddam" was always baloney. It combined an unrealistic view of Saddam as evil genius with an assumption that he was nuts. Neither was true. He was simply a dictator with a reasonable understanding of his strengths and weaknesses. What he did not see, in advance, was the trap we set for him in Kuwait.

One real goal for him was increased port access. This was the purpose of the war against Iran, since he had no chance of conquering the whole country. Kuwait gave him three goals in one--port access, protection of his oil fields, and elimination of a debt payment demand.

 

Getting rid a murderous leader like Saddem would have been a good thing anyway. Helping establish a liberal Iraq would have been a general good thing.

But these statements are made in a vacuum. You're making the same mistake as the neocon architects of this war -- that's the whole point of Gitlin's post.

There are many "general good things" that should happen, and you believe, with respect to Iraq, they could have happened, if only this and that had been done "correctly." It's still an oversimplified pipe dream to believe that if only we had guarded weapons caches, or if only we had sent more troops, that now we'd be spreading freedom across the Middle East.

The entire premise is flawed -- we cannot force freedom and democracy on people, certainly not with Shock And Awe (tm).

You talk about sanctimony, but there's also a kind of sanctimony involved in believing in ponies, thinking/wishing/hoping Paul Wolfowitz's style of freedom-spreading could have actually worked, had we just run the war better.

Dissent Protects Democracy.

"Saddam was not a threat to Saudi Arabia at the time of the Kuwait invasion"

So the Saudi government, the American government and bin Laden's mujahadeen all got together to concoct the threat? How are you justifying these statements? The facts don't back up your case here, Tom.

Why on earth would the Saudis invite us in to protect them, knowing full well that the radical elements of their nation would not be happy about it? They want those people subdued and calm. Inviting us in would only get them angry. If we knew it would make 15 of them so angry that they would join al Qaeda and take flying lessons, maybe we wouldn't have done it. The facts are what they are, Tom.
Saddam was clearly a threat to Saudi Arabia. I don't know if you realize that he launched dozens of SCUD missiles at the country in January of 1991. Luckily for them, our Patriot Missiles shot most of them down and the others landed harmlessly, I believe in the desert.
He also massed troops on the Saudi border and attacked once our offensive began. Luckily, again Americans were there to fight him off.
Unfortunately for the 28 soldiers killed in Al Khobar, Saudi Arabia, he did managed to get one SCUD past our defenses.
Not only was he a "potential" threat, he actively attacked the country. You can't argue with the facts. I didn't invent these events, I am simply reporting them to you.

As you said: "He also massed troops on the Saudi border and attacked once our offensive began."

Operative phrase--"once our offensive began." In order to sway the Saudis we faked up satellite photos about troop movements and hired the Rendon Group to add to the hysteria.

It made sense to attack Kuwait, it made none to continue into Saudi Arabia. Why assume Saddam was stupid? He certainly was provably wily about containing internal opposition. We did not assume he was stupid when we were supporting him against Iraq. He was neither crazy nor stupid, except for believing we had no position on Kuwait. Then again, we lied, so that's expected.

Consequentialism is neither the only, nor the best respected branch of moral reasoning.  I suppose English speakers like it because it has English speaking roots.  But, you don't have to be a go all the way over to revealed truth religion to reject it.  I recommend an introductory ethics text for some alternatives.

No, religion does not cause wars. Look at communists - they killed tens of millions of people, entirely without help from god.

Religion is just a convenient banner for warriors to fly.

Look up the word syllogism and then follow it back to a textbook.  You make no sense at all.

Did we "fake up" the dozens of SCUD missiles too? Did we "fake up" the 28 dead American soldiers?
Come off it, Tom.

Maybe you could say Religion is just an 'excuse.' But darn, there were sure a bunch of wars 'ostensibly' fought over God. Crusades? Inquisition? Considering that Jesus was called "The Prince of Peace," the irony is pretty relentless.

I suppose that it's just particularly galling when people slaughter for God, since they are so concerned with ethics and good conduct.

The primary point I'm trying to make is that Religion is kind of 'pre-rational.' Because it works on an emotional/spiritual plain, the arguments and reasons offered to rationalize its wars are inevitably insincere. The actual cause of hostilities is simply "Don't f**k with my tribe. We and me good, you and them bad."

Well I can think of two French foreign policy decision I agree with - helping us win at Yorktown and opposing Bush's Iraq invasion.


Tom

Link doesn't work.

Tom

Saddam was not a threat to Saudi Arabia in March 2003.

Tom

Tom, seriosuly, I am amazed that you don't want to find out about this on your own. The information is there, I'm not making it up.
The Time article is from Oct. 17th 1994. There are dozens of others because it was a widely reported news story. Take 3 minutes and look for yourself. Google it. It really isn't hard, but you are insisting on making it so.
From now on, you are going to have to do your own research, I don't do research for strangers unless I'm paid.

Here's another one:
http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/VA-news/VA-Pilot/issues/1994/vp941009/10090057.htm

and another one:
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0PBZ/is_2004_May-June/ai_n6123968/pg_5

and another one:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/hammurabi.htm

I finally found it. Assuming what the Kuwait author said is accurate and not more of the babies in the incubators type propaganda I don't think qualifies as a try. Also wasn't Saudi Arabia the country under discussion. Also we're debating the 2003 invasion, not the January 1991 UN approved action.

Tom

"seriosuly" it's been a pleasure learning from such a decent guy.

Tom

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