2006: The Year Pro-Israel Moderates Prevailed in Congress

The past year should be noted as the year the glacier cracked which, in this context, is good news. For the first time in memory, Congress rejected Palestinian-bashing legislation authored and promoted by the status quo wing of the pro-Israel lobby.

Instead, it passed alternative legislation backed by moderate pro-Israel and pro-peace groups (Israel Policy Forum, Americans for Peace Now, American Task Force for Palestine, Churches for Middle East Peace, Brit Tzedek v’Shalom, the Jewish Alliance for Justice and Peace) which favor bold US moves to advance the two-state solution.

It was a David vs. Goliath battle but this time, as in the original, David won.

The saga began in January when Palestinians went to the polls and chose Hamas to lead the Palestinian legislature, one year after the same electorate chose Hamas adversary Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) as President.

Early elections were unnecessary and holding them was a bad idea. Both Abbas and the Israeli government wanted parliamentary elections delayed. But the US government told the Palestinians to go ahead.

Nor did the Palestinians or the United States agree to Israel’s stipulation that only political parties which reject violence, should be allowed to compete. This had been the case in Northern Ireland and in other conflict areas. The Israeli government believed that electing a government controlled by people who endorsed violence was antithetical to the idea of democratic elections.

In the end, Hamas won a plurality. But even that, narrowly. And it would not have won at all if Mahmoud Abbas’s Fatah had run a remotely sophisticated campaign; the Hamas campaign, on the other hand, was state-of-the-art.

It was at this point that Congress stepped in. The ostensible reason for Congressional involvement was to prevent US aid dollars from going to the new Hamas government. It correctly insisted that American taxpayers should not be supporting terrorists or those who support them.

But the real reason Congress took action was because it was pressed, in an election year, to demonstrate that it remained a pro-Israel bastion, even if the definition offered of what constitutes being pro-Israel is far more rigid than that of the Israeli government or Israeli people.

There simply was no need for legislation. As the Bush administration argued, it had all the authority it needed to keep US dollars from going to Hamas, to prevent US contacts with Hamas, and to strictly regulate dealings of any kind between Americans and Hamas.

In fact, existing law barred any and all US assistance to any foreign terrorist organizations even from private citizens. Even if the President had not wanted to turn the screws on Hamas this past year, existing law eliminated any Presidential discretion in the matter, unless he wanted to go to Congress to try to undo the existing anti-terror and anti-terrorist financing laws!

Nevertheless, the House went ahead and produced a draconian bill that would have essentially extended the aid cutoff to include all Palestinians, and not just the Hamas government. It made no distinction between Hamas and the Palestinian people in general and none between President Abbas and the leaders of Hamas.

It was all sticks and no carrots, offering no incentives for Hamas to back away from its rejection of Israel. Moreover, its provisions would remain in effect even if Hamas lost control of the Palestinian Authority. It was not designed to hit Hamas but to inflict pain on all Palestinians: men, women, and children.

Nevertheless, the bill passed although its passage was not quite the smooth sailing its sponsors anticipated. Many Members opposed the bill and a full-court lobbying press was applied to keep them in line.

It is at this point that the glacier cracked. The Senate rejected the House bill and produced its own measure. The Senate Foreign Relations Committee insisted that the bill give the President the discretion to permit aid to meet all of the Palestinians basic human needs.

At every spot where the House bill tried to block aid for regular Palestinian citizens, the Senate opened a loophole. It wanted to punish Hamas. It did not want to punish ordinary Palestinians. And it quite specifically wanted the President to have the discretion to do whatever he considered in America’s best interests. Unlike the House, the Senate seemed not to worry that George W. Bush might suddenly decide to embrace Hamas!

So now there were two very different bills. The House insisted on its bill. The Senate insisted on theirs. Right from the beginning the Senate had the upper hand because most Senators did not really care if the impasse between the two Houses led to the passage of no bill at all. They shared the administration’s view that no new law was necessary.

The House, and the House bill’s proponents, desperately wanted a bill. In that the House bill represented their highest-profile victory of the year, they needed a bill, almost any bill, to become law.

The House caved, passed the Senate bill verbatim, and the bill was signed by President Bush on Dec. 21.

And even here, the moderates prevailed because, in one of his famous signing statements, President Bush said that he did not consider the bill’s provisions to be, in any way, binding.

“My approval of the Act does not constitute my adoption of the statements of policy as U.S. foreign policy.” He went on to add that “such policy statements” as well as other aspects of the bill related to his authority to “conduct the Nation's foreign affairs”, such as diplomatic negotiations, would be considered “advisory.”

In other words, the law essentially remains where it was before Congress decided to jump in 12 months ago. Talk about much ado about nothing.

But not really. The victory of common sense over political grandstanding sets a significant benchmark for the new 110th Congress. The defeat of the House bill demonstrates that House and Senate Members are free to decide key matters of foreign policy on the merits without fear that the roof will cave in. That means that the new Congress need not, must not, be stampeded into supporting ill-conceived pieces of legislation that are designed to score political points and not to advance America’s security or Israel’s.

It also means that the coalition that helped defeat the House bill – pro-Israel groups, church groups, Arab-Americans – are now a fixture on the Congressional scene. One victory won’t take us to the Superbowl. But it’s a start. I hope Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi are paying attention.


Comments (32)

A good sign indeed.  Thanks for your work with IPF that helped make it happen, MJ.  Yasher koach.

Thanks, Zionista! Happy New Year. mj

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Israeli security forces killed 660 Palestinians in 2006 - three times more than in 2005, according to an Israeli human rights group. B'Tselem, which monitors human rights in the occupied territories, said the figure included 141 children. At least 322 had taken no part in hostile acts, the group said. In the same period, the number of deadly Palestinian attacks on Israelis has fallen - 23 Israelis were killed in 2006 compared with 50 last year. The Israeli military renewed ground operations in the Gaza Strip after militants captured an Israeli soldier in a border raid in June. Since June, Israeli troops have killed about 405 Palestinians in Gaza, including 88 children. More than half of the casualties were civilians, B'Tselem said. As of November, 9,075 Palestinians were being held in Israeli jails. This number included 345 minors, it said. Of these, 738 (22 minors) were being detained without trial and without knowing the charges against them, the group said.
JERUSALEM, Dec. 28 — After coordination with Israel and the United States, Egypt has sent weapons and ammunition into the Gaza Strip to forces loyal to the Palestinian Authority president, Mahmoud Abbas of Fatah, Israeli officials said Thursday. Senior Palestinian officials, including Mr. Abbas’s spokesman, Nabil Abu Rudeineh, denied the report. Mr. Abu Rudeineh called it “Israeli propaganda aimed at aggravating the situation between Fatah and Hamas.” But Israeli officials knowledgeable about the shipment confirmed a report in the daily Haaretz that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert had approved the shipment in his meeting Saturday evening with Mr. Abbas.
JERUSALEM, Dec. 26 — For the first time in 10 years, Israel said Tuesday it will build a new Jewish settlement in the occupied West Bank, prompting Palestinian anger and American concern. The announcement, by the defense ministry and settler groups, seems to run counter to the prevailing effort by Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, who has offered a series of gestures to the Palestinians after a meeting with the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, several days ago.
John Berger and 93 other authors, film-makers, musicians and performers call for a cultural boycott of Israel
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"The defeat of the House bill demonstrates that House and Senate Members are free to decide key matters of foreign policy on the merits"

Our long national nightmare of Zionist rule over our country and whole world is finally over.
Mazel Tov!
- Rabbi Yisroel Dovid Weiss

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I don't think the author would share your view about some Zionist conspiracy, Rabbi. I think his point is that AIPAC misrepresents the views of the pro-Israel community. I agree with that. Most pro-Israel people I know, hate AIPAC's obnoxious heavy-handed tactics and oppose their goal of keeping the occupied territories.

But you are wrong if you think there is a Zionist conspiracy. AIPAC is no more representative of Jews or Zionists than Al Qaeda is of Islam and Arabs.

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I don't disagree with you, Mark, but how do those of us who don't share AIPAC's view cut them down to size, so to speak, and let the views of the real pro-Israel community pierce through the fog?

Seems to me that whenever AIPAC is criticized they raise the bloody shirt of antisemitism, and pretty soon the moderate voices in the pro-Israel community close ranks behind them, all the while maintaining that AIPAC doesn't speak for them, while doing nothing to actually dethrone them. I have come to the point where saying "AIPAC doesn't represent me" is not enough.

I'm not impugning your sincerity, Mark, but would like to hear your ideas about how we reduce the influence of AIPAC.

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TiVo, I agree with you. I'm at a loss how to change the situation either. I think the problem is that the AIPAC types are single issue fanatics while people like me have lots of issues: Israel, the war, environment, gay rights, affirmative action, livable wage, etc.
I don't vote or give money based on any single issue. The AIPACers only care about one thing. As a single issue lobby that hands out millions of dollars, it is way more powerful than those groups MJ is writing about.
The irony is that the AIPACers not only harm America, they harm Israel. They lobbied for the Iraq war and look at the damage it has done both countries.
Maybe the AIPAC espionage trial in '07 will force them to register as a foreign agent which would end their influence on the Hill. But I'm sure the fix is in on that score.
One thing we can do is to tell our Democrat politicians that we care about the Middle East as much as the AIPACers do. You think Hillary would be the 100% AIPACer she is, if her Manhattan liberals told her what they think about the Middle East. But they don't. We don't care as much as AIPAC, and that is the sad truth.
You can be so much more effective if you care only about one single issue and not about our country at large.

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I got it.
You and M.J. Rosenberg want the best for Israel and you know what the best for Israel is.
Israeli people don’t know what the best is for them and they elect bad governments. You want bold US moves to force Israeli people to do what’s best for them and not what they, Israeli people, think is best for them.
Obnoxious AIPAC doesn’t play along with your plans. Bad boys!

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I hesitate to point out that with Israel getting half of our foreign aid budget, Americans have a say. If Israel was truly independent i.e. not living on our aid, we wouldn't.
Also, American lives are endangered by the blowback from Israel actions on the West Bank, etc.
Most Israelis would be happy if the US applied pressure to get Israel back to the '67 borders and then guaranteed those borders.
But the Republic of AIPAC would not be happy at all because their role would be over.
In any case, any American whose tax dollars help support Israel has the right to weigh in on this question without fear of AIPAC or anything else.
Believe me, if Israeli taxpayers were supporting Americans, they would not hesitate to weigh in. Would they?

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"Most Israelis would be happy if the US applied pressure to get Israel back to the '67 borders"
How do you know?
"and then guaranteed those borders."
How?
BTW, did you ask Americans if they want to guarantee those borders?
"In any case, any American whose tax dollars help support Israel has the right to weigh in on this question without fear of AIPAC or anything else."
or fear of AIPAC haters who want to silence AIPAC and other supporters of Israel using libels such as
".. the AIPACers not only harm America"
"AIPAC types are single issue fanatics" and so on.

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Come on, Davai! Who in government cares what the American people think? A party was turned out of control in Washington, primarily because the people are sick of the war they started, polls confirm that poplularity of that war is below 25%, and the people who "matter" in Washington still want to send more troops.

Americans may have been willing to provide the muscle to guarantee those borders in the past. They probably are somewhat less willing to do so now. But at least that is a policy and a clear goal, as compared to the insanity that going on now. I think there would be more support for such a position than for what you are advocating.

. . . the real reason Congress took action was because it was pressed, in an election year, to demonstrate that it remained a pro-Israel bastion . . . .

Many Members opposed the bill and a full-court lobbying press was applied to keep them in line. mjrosenberg

It may be noted that the absence of any evidence (names, links, etc.) from which the reader might judge the truthfulness of these statements, assuming the author believes them, makes them mere subjective opinions or beliefs of the author and of little or no value as support for his argument.

I've never suggested I know what is best for Israel. I have suggested that I have an idea what is best for the United States with respect to Israeli use, for example, of US weapons.

For example, Israel was supplied with AN/FSQ-36 and/or AN/FSQ-37 Firefinder radars that, among other things, track rockets back to the source. Normal US direction is to transmit, electronically, the radar coordinates back to a battery of M109A5 howitzers, which, when the target is in a populated area, fire M107 unitary shells in response, fuzed for airburst. These shells do not use cluster munitions and minimize collateral damage, while being quite lethal.

Israel, however, has apparently linked their Firefinders to M270 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), which were sold to Israel with the caveat they be used only against troops in the open. Specifically, Israel asked for emergency supplies of M26 rockets for the MLRS, rockets that carry 644 cluster munitions each and have a dud rate (effectively a minefield) on the order of 10%. M26 rockets have been replaced in the US inventory for several reasons, collateral damage being one of them.

I do believe the US has a better sense of proper employment of the weapons it designs than does Israel, even ignoring conditions of their sale.

Care to snark some more, or deal in substance? Whether Israel knows what is best for it is irrelevant to me; what they do with US weapons decidedly is not.


--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Ellen--I suspect that this is the only issue on the planet earth about which you and your fellow automatons need footnotes before you accept what anyone can see with their own eyes. Like, that there is a powerful rightwing pro-Israel lobby that twists arms to achieve its goals. How do I know that? I don't know. I must have dreamed it.

Are you for the Iraq war? Against it? Do you challenge every obvious fact about it demanding footnotes in oped columns?

Of course you don't.

This is the one issue about which you operate on the basis of pure faith: faith that the facts are WRONG. The Pope is infallible and so is the gospel you get about Israel. You poor thing.


And the beauty part is that when a scholarly presentation is made of the facts by a reporter, academic, you name it, all the robots scream that it's anti-semitic.

So either way, the robots can mindlessly mouth their propaganda.

Sad.

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Sorry to inject some contrary facts into Mr. Rosenberg's celebration of IPF's clout, but on this issue as with the placement of the American Embassy in Jerusalem, it is not surprising that the pro-Presidential discretion forces prevail. The Republican party leadership in both houses was persuaded ON THIS ISSUE to give Bush and Rice more flexibility than some pro-Israel groups wanted. On the big issues like how much aid Israel gets and whether that aid will be at all conditional on the Israeli government making concessions to Hamas, Assad and Hezbollah--the kind of issues the Israel-haters here really care about-- the IPF and Americans for Peace Now are going to have far lesss influence.

The IPF and APN should propose to cut U.S. aid to Israel if its territory doesn't conform to Mr. Rosenberg's map, and then let's count the votes in both houses of Congress to see how much clout they have.

davai,

You want bold US moves to force Israeli people to do what’s best for them and not what they, Israeli people, think is best for them.
Obnoxious AIPAC doesn’t play along with your plans. Bad boys!

Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni:

"The vision is of the State of Israel as a national home for the Jewish people, which provides a solution for the problem of the Jewish refugees, and provides a national expression for each and every Jew, and alongside it a Palestinian state that is the national home of the Palestinian nation, which provides a full and complete solution for the problem of the Palestinian refugees"....

"The behavior of the Palestinians in Gaza after the disengagement creates a major problem. But I believe that, in the final analysis, if a reasonable solution is found for the security issues, most of the Israeli public will support this process"....

As to whether the establishment of a Palestinian state was a possible goal of this government, she said, "I don't like to set timetables...But I see a type of opportunity. On the one hand, we're surrounded by a growing threat and extremism and zealotry. On the other hand, precisely because of this threat, moderate countries and moderate factors in the region understand today that their problem is not Israel."

Later...

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert reacted angrily Thursday to reports about Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni's diplomatic initiative and her meetings with Palestinian leaders.

Livni met Fatah leaders Yasser Abed Rabbo and Salam Fayyad earlier this week and outlined her plan to negotiate with moderate Palestinians and shape the future of the peace process. She advocates an Israeli pullout from the West Bank east of the separation fence and the establishment of a Palestinian state - which would also be the solution to the Palestinian refugee problem - in the evacuated area....

Livni said that she believes it is her duty to examine ideas about the peace process with Palestinian and other Arab leaders, in order to know "what there is to talk about."

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This Sage character believes that the fact that Congress capitulates to AIPAC is proof that Senators and Congressmen/women
believe the bs they are forced to vote for.
AIPAC is as popular with Congress as the forces that rammed through the Terry Schiavo vote.
If it were not for AIPAC funnelling millions into campaigns, AIPAC would have virtually no support in Congress and the pro-peace, pro-American, pro-Israel groups would have 90% support.

But it is not going to happen. Mr. Rosenberg is naive. So long as Congress is on the take, by virtually every special interest including AIPAC, AIPAC wins. Enact public financing of campaigns and AIPAC's case is judged on the merits and loses.

But again. I hope the AIPAC espionage trial in '07 shuts them down. Imagine. Two top employees on trial for espionage and it still dominates. The power of money and nothing else.

Also, the ability to enlist 50,000 dupes, robots and automotons
to its cause.

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Good review and links on AIPAC espionage case:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIPAC_espionage_scandal

Mark Weinberg,

I hesitate to point out that with Israel getting half of our foreign aid budget, Americans have a say.

Whoah, there.  "Half"?  Even the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, an arguably passionate anti-Zionist source, puts it only at a third of US foreign aid budget.The most recent data I could find is a Congressional Research Service report putting it at 12.6% of the 2004 US foreign aid budget, or $2.62 billion of the $20.673-billion total foreign-aid budget that year (see pdf, p. CRS-13, figure 4).Sure, it's alot, and the American people certainly have a say.  But what really is the point of inflating the numbers and exaggerating the percentage of the foreign aid budget?  

The Federation of American Scientists Project on Government Secrecy blog also has good coverage of the AIPAC case.  But, unfortunately, they have no site search feature and you have to sift around for it.

A couple items of particular note, here and here, paint a brutally ironic picture of how rooting for the downfall of the AIPAC defendants is likely to further lead us all to a judicial culture of guilty until proven innocent.

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This thread is getting really ridiculous in your obsessions with AIPAC..
‘If it were not for AIPAC funnelling millions into campaigns, AIPAC would have virtually no support in Congress and the pro-peace, pro-American, pro-Israel groups would have 90% support.”
And then what? AIPAC didn’t not prevent Bill Clinton from offering in 2000 plan . for practically “to get Israel back to the '67 borders”. Moreover his wife won an election in New York state after that.

I'll have to resubscribe with this email, but they do offer Secrecy News as a convenient daily email -- this lets you use your mail agent search tool. Stephen Aftergood is also pretty nice about answering relevant questions; he even has a decent sense of humor.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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Early elections were unnecessary and holding them was a bad idea. Both Abbas and the Israeli government wanted parliamentary elections delayed. But the US government told the Palestinians to go ahead.

Nor did the Palestinians or the United States agree to Israel’s stipulation that only political parties which reject violence, should be allowed to compete.

We are now witnessing supposedly liberal/progressive Zionism. This is the first time I have read about "early elections." Thinking maybe elections were called early, I went to wikipedia:
On January 25, 2006, elections were held for the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC), ... this was the first election to the PLC since 1996 subsequent elections had been repeatedly postponed ...

The first elections since 1996, held in 2006 are early elections? This is a clear indication of MJ Rosenberg's attitude toward democracy in the Middle East.

The Palestinians and US also did not agree to Israel's stipulation that Israel decide which parties can run. This is a progressive? The Republicans stood for unwarranted and illegal invasions. No progressive would "stipulate" or support another country's stipulation that Republicans be barred from participating in elections. Should the Palestinians stipulate that Likud cannot run in Israel. This is another clear indication of Rosenberg's attitude towards democracy.

But why bother, Rosenberg has already explicitly spelled out is attitude towards democracy:

Personally, I never much cared whether Israel's neighbors were democratic so long as they were willing to live in peace with Israel.

Jordan, for instance, is not a democracy in the western sense but it is precisely the kind of neighbor Israel needs. Egypt is not a democracy but is at peace with Israel. A democratic Egypt probably would not be. So let's lay the democratic crusade aside (which, of course, we do anyway if we don't like the choices made by the voters in these various countries).

In practice, Zionism and progressivism, are incompatible concepts, as are advocacy of Zionism and advocacy of democracy. As this becomes clearer, I hope the United States makes the correct choice between the two.
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"US Assistance to Israel, 1949-2006"

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/U.S._Assistance_to_Israel1.html

You might notice that the old claim that a lot of US Aid to Israel is in the form of loans in now inoperative.

As you stated, total aid to Israel in 2005 was $2.63 billion, and amount in line with recent numbers. US aid has recently included payments Israel to evict "settlers" living illegally on Palestinian lands, payments to Israel to release Palestinian prisoners, and of course payments to Israel to bring "Jewish refugees" to Israel from various locales.

Also, from the above URL: "Loan guarantees are not considered foreign aid so the $7.9 billion in guarantees have been excluded * * * . This table also excludes funding for certain other projects the CRS does not consider foreign aid, such as [but not 'limited to'] the $180 million for the research and development of the Arrow missile." God knows what other 'projects' we are funding over there.

These amounts do not reflect US payments to Egypt, which are a couple of billion a year. Nor do these amounts include even the smallest portion of the soon-to-be trillion-dollar cost of the Iraq war, part of whose rationale was, according to the Neo-cons, to improve the strategic position of Israel.

Finally, I would add that if the American people ever have an effective say, based on knowledge of relevant facts, it will be in spite of the efforts of AIPAC, etc., to effectively deny them one.

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Polls show that Americans support Israel in the high 60s. Rosenberg has a very different view of what Israel should do. It has very little support in Israel. If Israel had a more rational election system perhaps he would have more political support but than he does. It is probably reassuring to believe the AIPAC that is rather unimportant to most American Jews, but who support Israel anyway,is a cabal thwarting your correct policy.

Blaming AIPAC is easy. Convincing people that when Hamas says they want to exterminate Israel they just kidding is probably a lot harder.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

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"This Sage character believes that the fact that Congress capitulates to AIPAC is proof that Senators and Congressmen/women
believe the bs they are forced to vote for."--Mark Weinberg


Mr. Weinberg, this Sage character is waiting for you, Mr. Rosenberg, Professor Mears or anyone else to provide any evidence that the Senators and Representatives whose votes reflect agreement with AIPAC's positions privately believe that those positions are "bs". I do not claim that every Member whose votes reflect AIPAC's positions agrees with every action of the Israeli government. I do claim that
absolutely unsupported assertions, like yours, that the vast majority of Senators and Representatives --including most liberal Democrats--consider AIPAC's positions to be no more valid than the tripe presented by Schiavo supporters and that they only vote for those positions because of campaign contributions is nonsense. Nancy Pelosi and Dick Durbin and Barack Obama and Nita Lowey and Jack Reed and Jerry Nadler and Joe Biden and Barney Frank and Ted Kennedy and Charlie Rangel and Evan Bayh and Frank Lautenberg and Chris Dodd--and many others like them who have safe seats--have not voted for those positions year after year because they worry about campaign contributions. Every single one of them would win if not a single supporter of Israel in the world gave to their campaigns.

I'm sorry you cannot accept the truth: The vast majority of Representatives and Senators of both parties--conservative and liberal-- sincerely consider Israel to be (i) a important ally against thugs who would kill Americans any time they could, (ii) in contrast to every Arab country and Iran, a Western democracy that allows for vigorous dissent, values the status of women in society , and at least tolerates gays and lesbians, instead of consigning women, gays and lesbians to a living (and occasionally dying) hell, and (iii) deserving of U.S. support diplomatically, militarily and financially, despite their infrequent disagreements with particular actions of the Israeli governemnt.

Arnold Evans is right. I am not overly concerned about democracy in the Middle East.
I am not Elliot Abrams. I think the neocons are nuts.
I'd like to see a peaceful Middle East but whether it is democratic or not is not my concern.
Along those lines, I think our leading democracy exporting President, Woodrow Wilson, was the second worst President we ever had. He was a big democracy man and a vicious racist!

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You're more than "not overly concerned".  You are hostile to the idea that the Middle East should be democratic.

Whether the Middle East is democratic is your concern.  You say a democratic Egypt would probably not be at peace with Israel, therefore, a democratic Egypt is an outcome to be prevented with any resources at US or Israel's disposal, such as the relationship between US military and intelligence agencies with Egypt's counterparts and the annual bribe. Your concern is that the Middle East be prevented from being democratic.

If the cost of Israel maintaining a Jewish majority is that ten times Israel's population must live in dictatorships with US money and lives committed to maintaining these dictatorships that is acceptable to you.

It is interesting to note that you are on the far-liberal side of contemporary Zionist supporters. From you, Zionism only gets more contemptuous of the rights of Arabs.

Presumably, if you have a solid argument for democracy, it should be universal. Could you share your plans for freeing the downtrodden masses of Singapore?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Arnold, you are right. I think that a democratic Egypt could very well repudiate the peace treaty with Israel leading to war, major Israeli (and potentially American) losses and even the end of the Jewish state.
Sorry, that is too high a price to pay.

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Yes. I kind of figured I was right. :?

So let's spell this out, there are 100 million people in Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia, to name three pro-US/relatively pro-Israel dictatorships.

If the five million or so Jews in Israel lose their majority status, ie the Jewish state ends, that is too high a price to pay for 100 million or so people to have any say in their nations' foreign policy.  Therefore, to ensure that 5 million Jews have the luxury of living in a Jewish state, an acceptable price is that 100 million Arabs live under repressive dictatorships.

While we're here, let's talk about Iraq.  Iraq's voters, like Egypt's voters, are likely to favor Palestinians that you oppose.  A democratic Iraq, combined with Iran would put tremendous pressure on Jordan and would greatly ease Iranian access to Lebanon. 

An independent democratic Iraq would probably fund and sponsor groups like Hamas and Hezbollah independent of Iran.  Like a democratic Egypt, Jordan or Saudi Arabia, a democratic Iraq would certainly not impose the condition that Hamas must recognize Israel to be eligible for assistance.

What is an acceptable price for avoiding that outcome? Another 3000 dead US soldiers whose mission was to ensure that Iraq never becomes independent enough to implement a democratically selected foreign policy?

You are a bona-fide opponent of democracy. Wilson had bad qualities, but among his good qualities is that he believed in democracy.  Washington was a slave-owner as was Jefferson.  But among their good qualities was their commitment to democracy.  You are presenting democracy in the Middle East as a bad thing in itself because it threatens Zionism.

Do you consider yourself either liberal or progressive?  Do you reconcile this by believing that you are a partisan for Israel before you are liberal - or do you consider your opposition to democracy to be a progressive position?

Since you believe democracy for 100 million Arabs should be opposed in favor of Zionism,  it is good and courageous that you say it openly.  It seems most supporters of Israel would prefer to smudge or dodge the subject.  But while you are courageous for expressing your position, the position itself is reprehensible.

Do you consider yourself either liberal or progressive?
Neither. I find them meaningless sound bites. I do have an interest in the geopolitical interest of the United States.
Do you reconcile this by believing that you are a partisan for Israel before you are liberal - or do you consider your opposition to democracy to be a progressive position?
Neither. I am no more a partisan for Israel than I am for most other western-model liberal democracies. If push came to shove, I suppose I'd support Canada and the UK over Israel.
If one believes that the continued existence of the State of Israel is necessary to the geopolitical interests of the United States, the law of the excluded middle suggests that democracy, in states that would have Israel destroyed, is against the US interest. The rational interest of the US is to attempt to find some middle ground, perhaps by very careful limitations of support.
For example, there were indications that Iran was supplying artillery rockets to Hezbollah through Beirut International. The airport thus became a legitimate target, away from populated areas, and if the IDF bombed it to rubble, I would have no major problem. Airports are remarkably easy to repair.
If the US learned that Israel was using, against the terms of sale, M26 MLRS rockets against rocket launchers in populated areas. I would not provide the requested resupply, although I would provide M107 155mm blast-fragmentation warheads fuzed for airburst. I would provide no logistic or information support for operations against the Lebanese civilian electrical grid, which, opposed to the Iraqi Kari system, was not especially dependent on civilian power -- and Hizbollah did not operate it.
International relations are often hard. Sometimes, there are no good choices, only one of the least bad. 100 million Arabs are not likely to leap into Western liberal democracy, so the democracy-nondemocracy argument may not be as strong as say, in Eastern Europe. -- Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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