Bush Weighs More Troops. Isn't It Time for Demonstrations?
I saw the 1979 film, "Hair," last night. I think Milos Forman made one of the most powerful anti-war films ever.
It ends with thousands of kids running to the Ellipse behind the White House ultimately creating a frozen tableau of anti-war youth which, in the film'a last shot, goes from color to black and white.
I was struck by the fade to B&W. I decided that the reason Forman did that was to say to the viewers, watching in 1979, that this film is about history. Going B&W makes the final shot look like the soldiers at Iwo Jima or some other "ancient" moment.
In 1979, of course, the idea that Americans would be sent off to die in pointless wars seemed like history.
Carter had just pardoned the draft-dodgers who had fled to Canada. The lesson of Vietnam had apparently been learned. No more stupid wars.
But here we are in 2007 almost and America is pursuing another lost war, just as pointless, and more destructive of American intersts.
But this time the public says nothing. Republicans like Bush and McCain want more troops (in contrast to Nixon who, when he saw the war was "lost," started bringing them home).
Bush may even get his troops. I can't see the Democrats stopping him and I'm not even sure that they have the authority to.
The results of the election were great. But anyone who believes the Democratic majority will end the war is deluded. Half the caucus still supports it.
A few weeks ago, on a beautiful Saturday, I went over to Walter Reed Army Hospital. The grounds were full of moms and dads pushing their amputee kids around in wheel chairs.
The kids, the soldiers, look like they are recovering from high school football injuries until you notice the missing limbs. They tend to look cheerful, maybe because they are out of Iraq and maybe because it's their job not to make their parents feel more terrible than they do.
I walked over to an officer and said "these boys are so brave. I can't believe the way they joke around with their families."
He pointed to a building across the lawn. "You should see the ones over there. The brain injured. They aren't joking around. It's a nightmare. The kids uou see are the healthy ones, healthy and whole."
Healthy and whole amputees.
It's all relative.
What are we doing? Why aren't we demonstrating against the very idea of more troops in every city and town in America. Why haven't we scheduled a Million Person March on the White House and the new Congress?
At this point, with support for the neocons' war in the 30's, anti-war demonstrations could flatout end any thought of sending over more kids.
Isn't it time?
Can it really be that because there is no draft, we just don't give a damn?












There's something muddled here. On the one hand, it's preaching to teh choir: of course most Americans want out of this war, not to mention a near unanimity in a forum like this one. On the other hand, there's this "we" who are prolonging the war because we don't give a damn.
I keep thinking that the many here who think that if the Democrats shouted more loudly or started impeachment hearings, we'd be out of there just aren't old enough to remember the Vietnam war (which may be why a shlocky film like "Hair" can seem surprisingly fresh). How about Vietnam? It became vastly unpopular. But one forgets that Nixon still kept it going for five years. One can almost forget, too, that his impeachment hearings had nothing to do with whether he lied in prolonging the war (as with his "secret plan to end the war"), whether he committed war crimes by extending the war with bombings in Cambodia, or whether the administratin had defended or covered up atrocities as at My Lai.
Sorry to break the news, but presidents have a lot of power once war gets off the ground. We do have to keep shouting and screaming, and Senator Kennedy has a great quote in the paper today. We can get those investigations of intelligence coverups, cherry picking, and torture going. But will it make Bush do anything different? I doubt it, but at least it will be forever Bush's war, and we'll win more seats in 2008, and it'll be more likely to be known as Bush's war even after he leaves office and we "lose."
The only good knows is that we have a chance here, and also that the escalation isn't as parallel to Vietnam's as one often says. That was pretty much LBJ's hope of gaining ground. Here it's more like Nixon's postponement of any action period in hope someone else would inherit the loss.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 7:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Isn't it time?"
What? Are you completely asleep at the switch?
Some of us have been there all along. Many and varied times and places in between the below. Glad you decided to join us. Will I see you in D.C. this time? Or will you just comfortably "blogiate."
Many of us took to the streets in 2002 when we saw this disaster coming -- at least 6 months before the actual invasion.
2002:
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines02/1027-06.htm
2003: http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/02/15/sprj.irq.protests.main/
2004: http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/meast/03/20/iraq.main/index.html
2005: http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0924-06.htm
Where the hell have YOU been?
Note that its not too late to redeem yourself:
January 27, 2007 March on Washington
see website below for information and details:
www.unitedforpeace.org/calendar.php?caltype=1&bydate=2006-12-22
December 26, 2006 7:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
I think there's another coming up this March and United for Peace and Justice has a possibly more constructive action planned for next month. A Saturday March on Washington (1/27) will be followed by a Monday March on Congressional Offices (1/29)
December 26, 2006 7:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
OOPS.
Should have read. Yes UPFJ in Bushville. I've been going to these marches since August 2002. Now is the time for sure though especially if Bush presses his expected escalation of US war on Iraq
December 26, 2006 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I continue to think that far too many Americans view the Iraq fiasco much like a college football game, where we all have to root for the home team, above all else. Never give up. Never concede the game. That isn't hard to do when no one you know, none of your relatives or friends is threatened with life altering injuries or death. So, I support the reinstatement of the draft. Once there is a draft all of our families and friends are equally threatened - that tends to clarify ones thinking.
Please, lets put our energy into stopping the foolish fiasco in Iraq, not into protecting our own loved ones by opposing a draft.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been to all the demos in DC, I think.
But we need ones like the 1969 Moratorium which were utterly mainstream and endorsed by the Democrats.
December 26, 2006 8:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ps, Haberarts,
I don't think "Hair" was schlocky at all. I think it was a great film. But we're all entitled to our opinions.
December 26, 2006 8:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why aren't we demonstrating against the very idea of more troops in every city and town in America.
I think there are a couple things going on here. First, protesting is something the dirty fucking hippies do. Even within the Democratic party, I get the feeling it's something to be looked down on, it's an association with the dirty hippie wing of the party.
(This, despite the fact that, if you ever go to a protest, you are immediately struck by just how "normal" everyone is, just how far from the dirty hippie stereotype that's out there. But the reality cannot compete with the myth.)
Second, I think we still have a problem of this war not directly touching enough people in our country. It's still a six degrees of separation thing for way too many people -- how many people do you know have been to a military funeral?
Finally, I guess there's a question of just how effective a protest can be in the age of digital hyper-mediated news and politics? The last few protests were turned into one-day media spectacles, to be forgotten the next day when a teacher who had sex with her 16 year old student becomes the lede.
Maybe what we need to do is organize a protest in Second Life. Or create a anti-war video and virally distribute it on YouTube. Not to evoke Baudrillard, but maybe a simulated protest is just as a effective as one in real life these days...?
Dissent Protects Democracy.
December 26, 2006 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure the draft as such is the answer to Congressional responsibility in oversight. A declaration of war is a solemn thing, but they managed to avoid it by calling it an authorization for the use of military force.
Ironically, if a draft were reinstated, a number of active military friends of mine would not re-enlist. For an assortment of reasons, they perceive draftees, at least with traditional service lengths and draft criteria, as a danger to their physical safety.
This view is complex. It was one thing to be a WWII draftee given the perceived national threat and consensus national response, but a very different thing in Vietnam. FTA was on Vietnam shirts, not WWII or even Korea.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you think this is a pointless war, then you are completely detached from reality. This isn't the sixties and the war against islamic fascism isn't Vietnam. In fact the better analogy to our times would be the 1930's rise of nazism threatening the world, and this war is akin to WW2. We essentially are in WW3.
December 26, 2006 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
It is not only pointless. It is counterproductive. It is the Greatest Strategic Disaster in US history.
December 26, 2006 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Surge? Surge against whom? What is the mission?
Surge against Sadr? Against Badr? Take a look at this ARCView/GIS map by province depicting % of Iraqis who trust the government to protect them.
You will see the truth. It's Iran-i-stan baby!!!
That's what Bush hath bought with hundreds of thousands dead and hundreds of billions of your grandchildren's money. Not to worry. Condi sez it is an excellent investment America.
December 26, 2006 8:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
This isn't the sixties and the war against islamic fascism isn't Vietnam.
And just where are we fighting "islamic fascism"?
In Iraq?
Dissent Protects Democracy.
December 26, 2006 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Question: isn't LEL66 a troll, in that this is a progressive site dedicated, among other things, to opposition to the war.
This is not a place to argue WHETHER this is a stupid war but rather one to discuss how the hell American can end it.
December 26, 2006 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
In general, I think demonstrations on national issues have been overtaken by the events of other, especially Internet-based forms of communications. Civil rights demonstrations of the early sixties did have substantial effects, but I tend to think that political organizing and grass-roots efforts, coupled with more widespread electronic news gathering, had swung the pendulum by Vietnam.
Personal touch is an issue. I have friends coming, going, and in the theater. At one point, I might have been going myself for some infrastructure work. Still, I don't know how many people think often about friends on IED disposal duty, or hosing blood out of medical evacuation helicopters.
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Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 8:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Coincidentally, National Public Radio had an interesting interview with James Lawson on Morning Edition this morning.
The transcript is pending, but the interview is available for listening for those interested. Lawson is in his upper 70s, and is serving as distinguished University Professor at Vanderbilt University, from which he was expelled in the 1960s. His Martin Luther King Keynote Address of January 17, 2006 is worth listening to as well. There seem to be no permanent victories in the contest against cruelty, violence, and injustice. Perhaps our greatest mistake in the last 40 years was to believe there would be no more stupid wars.
aMike
December 26, 2006 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
People who gave a damn enough to mobilize a movement about Vietnam were not motivated by the sort of cynical "America First" politics espoused here.
We actually wanted American aggression to be defeated in Vietnam and fully understood that this meant a victory for Vietnam. It was a positive movement looking to a better future.
People who care in that way don't actually look forward to jihadis and death squads winning in Iraq. The enthusiasm here is for ridiculing Bush. It doesn't translate into being serious about organizing demonstrations to promote a defeat for both America and Iraq.
The people who are organizing demonstrations about Iraq are simply not motivated in the same way as the people who organized the Vietnam protests.
December 26, 2006 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll repeat reasons to oppose a draft. (1) I will not send unwilling Americans to die for a cause in which they do not believe. (2) I will definitely not send Americans to die for a cause I do not believe, and my doing so because I do not believe it would be worse still. (3) I would not assassinate Bush to end the war, so why would I assassinate my friends, my neighbors, and my countrymen? (4) Where do we get this idea that a draft prevents war? We had one in pretty much every past war. (5) Public opposition to this war in fact built far, far faster than to the Vietnam War. (6) A larger standing army itself encourages war. The shortage of troops now may be the only thing preventing Bush from a real escalation in Iraq or a frightening, immoral war in Iran. (7) People in power will still never have served, and their children will never serve. (8) It doesn't matter how fast public opposition grows: Bush and his ideologues are the problem.
The first step in imagining fewer wars is to imagine fewer armies.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Referring to "the war" can get misleading about what needs to be discussed. Iraq is a campaign within a theater of operations, a theater that is part of the national security strategy of the United States.
Attacking Iraq was one part of that strategy, and a part I consider extremely ill-advised. There are real, if sometimes overdramatized threats on the national level, and the wisdom of the overall strategy still needs discussion, with Iraq in context as a real but unpleasant part of it.
No, I don't think the site is dedicated to opposition to Iraq operations, or even progressive positions -- if one distinguishes progressive from liberal to left-centrist.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
But this time the public says nothing. Republicans like Bush and McCain want more troops (in contrast to Nixon who, when he saw the war was "lost," started bringing them home).
The public hasn't exactly said nothing. They just put a new party in charge of the Congress, making it quite clear in the process that the war was the key issue informing their votes!
The problem right now is that the new Congress has not been seated and is not in session. Bush is taking advantage of the transitional period to lay out his preferred options, and is trying to take control of the debate at a time when the people lack their voice in Washington. That's why it seems the pro-war, more troops factions still run the debate.
When the new Congress is sworn in, we will still have to deal with McCain, Lieberman, and some of the old guard Democrats who got us into this mess and who still have no good ideas for getting us out other than to go along with a "temporary surge".
But I think we will find that there are a number of new and vigorous voices in Washington, especially in the House, people who were elected on a platform of drawing down troops and bringing the war to an end. And there may be some old voices who were forced to listen during the election, and have had a change of heart about their earlier support for the war. They are not all going to be patsies.
So yes, we need to hold Congress's feet to the fire. But let's at least give them a chance to take their seats and start talking. I'm afraid a bunch of marchers in Washington don't mean much to the Congress. A member of Congress doesn't know which of those people in that mass are her own constituents, and even if they find out, it often turns out that the marchers just represent the usual suspects - groups and constituencies who have opposed the war from the beginning, and who don't carry a lot of political weight in Washington.
I believe a more effective tactic at this point is to organize a broader-based campaign to call and write your Congressional representatives, and to encourage your neighbors to write them, and say "no" to the surge, "no" to troop-level increases and "no" to all of the other desperate tricks designed to stretch the war out indefinitely, and place its terminus beyond a perpetually receding Friedman horizon.
While you're at it, demand that these representatives raise their skeptical antennae, and activate all their resistance to White House propaganda. Many of their predecessors were played for hapless suckers by stories of Nigerian uranium, aluminum tubes, mobile chemical weapons labs and other White House con jobs. The White House is about to embark on the same sort of campaign regarding Iran, to build its case for war. The "surge" is just a stall. Ultimately it knows that the only way to get the public to forget the current war is to distract them with a new war and a new sense of emergency. And it is already asking for the troops to move onto the next stage.
Let Congress know that in campaign 2008, "I was tricked" will not be accepted as an excuse. It is the Congress's job not to get tricked. Even more importantly, it is their job to make sure that our intelligence agencies are doing their jobs, and are not being used as conduits for passing on disinformation to the American public.
December 26, 2006 8:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
and you wrote about which protests? in particular urging others to go? Funny, I don't recall those columns...
Sure, 1969 in Washington. Big. "Mainstream." But endorsed by Democrats? uh... RFK was already dead, so was MLK. Who do you mean? George McGovern? Eugene McCarthy? Both symbols of the left-most part of the Democratic party. Teddy Kennedy and McGovern both associated themselves with the Moratorium by speaking on October 15 proposing that all troops should be withdrawn three years hence... by 1972.
But even before the '69 Moratorium we had to have a Tet offensive didn't we?
"1968 was the bloodiest year of the Vietnam War for the American Army. Approximately 11,000 Americans were killed and 45,000 wounded."
(http://www.vietnamdiary.com/tet_casualties.htm)
Sure. We oughta' wait for that again.
And if we wait for "mainstream" democrats to get on board? well that would be waiting for Hilary Rodham Clinton.... "our front runner" for 2008 and a real peacenik. Or Mr. Lieberman -- sure, he'll be on board soon won't he? Anti-war leadership all the way. Maybe Joe "send more troops" Biden?
Gimme a break.
December 26, 2006 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I'm at it, five more reasons: (9) The threat of death to a family member from a draft matters only if a lot of people die, as in Vietnam or WWII. Horrible as the counts are now, they're tiny by comparison. (10) Most Americans outside of cities like mine already identify with "the troops," hence the "support our troops" line. They're in places with lower-middle-class families that might include enlistees. (11) Any greater cry to "support our troops" (including our families) impedes defunding the war. (12) The papers have finally come around to reporting deaths, as in the awful headline today (deaths exceeding 9/11 toll), so the American awareness of the cost is already high.
Of course, I wish the article today with that headline also rubbed in that Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11, but it'll have to do.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
When it is demonstrated that some membership organization has people in that constituency, communications from "outsiders" get noticed. Whether or not you agree with its positions, take careful note of the National Rifle Association's techniques.
Rather than leaping immediately on an impeachment bandwagon, start more focused investigations reasonably within the scope of Congressional committees. Warrantless surveillance is relevant to Intelligence and Judiciary. Assorted committees touch on Homeland Security, variously in the transportation and domestic disaster relief areas, to say nothing of border security. Financial irregularities in contracting, be they in Baghdad or New Orleans, also contribute to establishing a trend.
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Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
And we must stop the Islamic fascists with their science and technology of death, their V-2 rockets raining on England, their never seen before jet aircraft ravaging our bomber formations, their Wehrmacht invading countries across Europe, their Imperial Army sweeping south towards Australia, their panzer armies in Africa, their Islamic fascist tanks raining death in the steppes of Russia, their Islamic fascist U-boats threatening the freedom of the high seas, their Islamic fascist labor and death camps for inferior races......the similarities are clear to anyone who believes anything and knows nothing.
December 26, 2006 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if most Americans are against the war in Iraq as people here mean the term. There is no doubt that Bush's conduct of the war is despised. Most Americans seem to be skeptical that at this point anything can be done to stop the Iraqis from killing each other so "why throw good money after bad." However, if the "surge", though too late, were to seem to work how fast the polls would reverse? Alternatively, if Iraq were to collapse and it resulted in chaos would Bush and the Republicans get the deserved blame or would those who advocated withdrawal?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 26, 2006 9:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
isn't LEL66 a troll, in that this is a progressive site dedicated, among other things, to opposition to the war.
If you mean that we're all supposed to be on the same page here re: the Iraq War, then, no, LEL66 is not a troll. There's no litmus test re: pro or anti war in terms of being able to contribute to this site.
If, though, you mean that LEL66 is purposely saying things to derail the conversation re: the war, then, yes, that's the definition of a troll.
The problem, obviously, is discerning someone's intentions.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
December 26, 2006 9:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
DWG, you are so fucking confrontational. I didn't write about them because I wasn't at TPM yet.
I don't believe you attended a single demonstration. I don't remember seeing you there.
Get off your high horse.
December 26, 2006 9:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
The enthusiasm here is for ridiculing Bush.
Huh?
Dissent Protects Democracy.
December 26, 2006 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
We did not hate America. The greatest gift that teh GOP's endless money and media control gave to the right was the creation of that lasting spin. Besides, the antiwar protests before the Iraq invasion and at the GOP convention in 2004, while arguably useless, were never tainted successfully even with that spin. (But I think they were useless anyhow and that Howard B.'s focused political agenda is exactly right.)
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
As a minor point, it would surprise the majority of nations in the Tripartite Pact that their goals were aimed at Naziism. Let us assume, however, that we don't oversimplify, and look at the 1930s, assuming one ignored the 1920s. As far as Naziism -- are you talking before or after 1933?
What would have you done, and when, to Japan? How would you have changed the law requiring the Army and Navy to supply serving officers as War and Navy Ministers, which gave the military effective control over forming governments and cabinets? How would you deal with the ritualized disobedience by junior officers, as gekokujo?
What about Italy? As demonstrated by the fall of Mussolini during the active war, they might be more open to changes in rule.
In other words, your analogy is dramatic but doesn't match well to the realities. There are no Islamic armies bluffing at the Sudetenland or making a more credible, still reversible threat to Czechoslovakia.
You also seem to regard war as the only solution, rather than addressing any of the causes leading to formation of imperialistic action potential. The Versailles Treaty contributed to the rise of totalitarianism in Western Europe.
Actually, I'm rather fascinated by your emphasis on war as a fairly general solution. Wasn't there a book espousing such, called My Struggle or something like that?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bush will do exactly what Nixon did with the North Vietnamese 34 years ago today with his Christmas bombing of Hanoi--kill as many Iraquis as ruthlessly as he can-- and there are not anywhere near enough votes in either the House or Senate to impeach/convict or stop funding for the next two years and twenty-five days. .
The greatest gift the antiwar movement gave to LBJ and Nixon was to allow itself to be hijacked by the hate Amerika crowd between November, 1967 and January, 1973. Mr. Arthur Dent on this thread being reflective of exactly that anti-American sentiment. Few people know that the first Mayor Daley, the ogre of the 1968 Chicago Democratic Convention, had actually urged LBJ in private to begin withdrawing U.S. combat troops in 1967. He would not make a public protest, however, because in his mind that would be unpatriotic, given all the perceived crazy radicals who were against the war. There is absolutely no excuse for how the Chicago police behaved during the convention, but the tactics of Hoffman, Rubin and Dellinger, and the Weatherman, did not hasten an end to the war. Instead they made it all too easy for the majority of voters to equate dissent with treason and violence. If 50,000 business leaders in suits and ties had politely dropped off letters to Congressmen and Senators calling for withdrawal in 1968, instead of 50,000 hippies and others the media, however wrongly, lumped together with them marching down Michigan Avenue appearing to want a confrontation with the cops, the war may not have ended any sooner under Johnson, but that police riot would not have happened. And it was that police riot which turned enough voters in crucial Missouri against Hubert Humphrey to give Nixon his electoral victory. Humphrey lost votes when he seemed to side with the police immediately after the convention, and he lost votes when he appeared to incapable of effectively controlling events in Chicago.
Street demonstrations are a complete waste of time, and will be similarly hijacked by those whom many voters consider anti-American. Last spring's experience with the immigration reform marches should have taught people just how counter-productive those demonstrations can be. If you want to stop the war, your time, energies, and resources would be far more effectively spent in financing and executing primaries against any candidate for House, Senate and President who does not publicly commit to a fund cut-off by a date certain in 2009.
December 26, 2006 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
How America Effed Itself
Check out this video "Bomb Saddam" (2003). Today's Viral Video at IraqSlogger tells you all you need to know.
December 26, 2006 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
One of the disturbing this about the way some people here discuss the war is that they seem to blame the Iraqi people for the disaster we inflicted on them.
The horrors there are a direct result of the US invasion.
Previously, there was a terrible regime which killed and tortured dissidents (like dozens of other countries world wide, including regimes we have both supported or installed) but since March 2003, Iraq is a nation in which mass murder is a daily occurence.
Blaming the Iraqis for that is very typically American and utterly wrong.
December 26, 2006 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Sage. While I often disagree with you on other threads, this is a superb analysis.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I get really tired of hearing about all the rationalizations for the lack of demonstrations and other protests of this illegal and immoral invasion and occupation of Iraq. It simply isn't enough to be intellectually opposed to the war. It requires action in opposition. The "establishment" to dust off an old phrase genuinely fears sustained public demonstrations against not only the war, but any number of its ill-conceived policies. Thus, they are well pleased that there has been so little public demonstration of the vast opposition to the war.
In my opinion it matters little what rationale is provided for failing to take part in, encourage, help in organizing, etc... demonstrations in opposition to this war. I view it as a moral obligation to do so whether or not demonstrating actually "does" something to make a difference. How can people live with themselves and essentialy consent to this huge, ongoing war crime without demonstrating when they can in opposition? Having said that, I also believe there is plenty of historical evidence to suggest that such demonstrations do have a very substantial impact on policymakers--but only when they are sustained. The media coverage of major demonstrations will also now be very different than it was pre-war or earlier in the conflict. Chickenhearts that they are, they either downplayed or entirely failed to cover the truly massive and widespread opposition to the war, particularly before the invasion. They just refused to cover it, therefore, the impression that many had was (and remains) that nobody really is too fired up against th war.
The lack of a draft means that young people and their parents feel little or no threat of being asked to lay down their life for no good reason so that eliminates having a built in militant anti-war faction in the population. It does not, however, relieve the rest of us from our responsibility to oppose the war loudly, publicly, so the whole world can see--not once, but time after time. Isn't it the job of responsible, mature citizens to protect the lives and future of our young men and women? I can think of no better way of doing so than to stand firmly and publicly in opposition of putting them in any risk that is not completely necessary for the maintenance of our nation secutity. Nothing about this evil war was necessary at all. It was and is nothing more than a criminal enterprise, in violation of international law and, I would think, US law as the entire thing was based on a pack of known lies.
Repeatedly demonstrating large scale opposition to the war also galvanizes the opposition and helps to expand it which is another political benefit. It heightens the tension between the public and the bloodthirsty, callous adminstration and other supporters of the war and further erodes the position of all the politicians who continue to support the illegal and immoral war in both parties.
Demonstrations make clear that a significant number of Americans DO care and DO oppose this war which is helpful and provides hope to millions around the world who look to us for leadership and whose faith in the decency of Americans has been sorely shaken in the past 6 years. The bottom line is this, at some point in time the American involvement in the criminal destruction of Iraq will come to a halt. Who among us wishes to explain that while it went on we did nothing? No one I would hope. Writing letters or posting on the web is a good thing, but it isn't enough. The demonstration in Washington on 1/27 is a good opportunity for many to show their opposition. For those of us who cannot travel that far we can be on the streets wherever we live. I certainly will be there and with my whole family in tow. Who else will be there? I don't know, but I cannot be silent and it's important to me to be counted among those who were on the street to publicly and visibly demonstrate opposition to the slaughter and destruction our government has caused and continues to cause.
December 26, 2006 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
To me, large demonstrations take time away from things with a better chance of influencing policy. A fairly fundamental problem of large demonstrations is when the organizers put out an umbrella, under which individual groups may come, using the larger theme as a way to promote their own agendas.
Let me offer an example from memory, and I'm really not trying to support or attack either side. In the run-up to the largest Pentagon demonstration in October 1967, the DC Committee to Free Angela Davis endorsed the New Mobilization Committee to End the War in Vietnam, but then went on to claim, at other rallies, that everyone in the antiwar demonstrations supported the Angela Davis protest.
If you feel some need to demonstrate to prove anything, do it locally so the connection to your legislators is very clear. I don't feel validated by participating in demonstrations. It is not important to me to be on the street to show anything in public, and that doesn't take anything away from my goals.
Indeed, in my lower-key communications, I take care with my rhetoric. I'm not sure I'd say as much bloodthirsty as uncaring, but I won't use either of those terms, or other emotional ones, if I'm trying to appeal to someone who has been through all the emotions of campaigning. Frankly, the contempt for the Constitution is the worst part, because it enables everything else.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
goodness. touched a nerve did we? ad hominem will get you no where.
I see -- so you never wrote or published anything anywhere before TPM? That would explain it....
or perhaps AIPAC was never interested in protesting military action?
December 26, 2006 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
DWG, man, you struck a nerve. I've going off to a corner somewhere.
You hurt me, man.
December 26, 2006 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Please define this term: "the war against islamic fascism." Other than republican talking points, which are cirucular and require a genereal igonorance of reality, how can you correctly use "islamic" and "fascim" in the same sentence? What centralized islamic leader are you talking about?
On the other hand, using the "Bush agenda," --of subverting Constitutional protections, flouting valid laws, and trying to build a theocracy in our country-- and "fascism" together make eerie sense.
Jan Knaus
December 26, 2006 10:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Could you please cite an example of this:
One of the disturbing this about the way some people here discuss the war is that they seem to blame the Iraqi people for the disaster we inflicted on them.
Actually, since you make it sound like a trend, maybe 3 examples would be more helpful.
The only "blamed" people I have noticed here are the ones who started the whole shootin' match, ie: Bush, Condi, Cheney, Rumsfeld, and all the other neocons who had influence in the goal of attacking Iraq asap.
Jan Knaus
December 26, 2006 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to be a growing theme for both Democrats and Republicans. I had Gov. Vilsack use it on the Daily Show and Sen. Levin on one of the TV shows. It seems to presume the Iraqis invited us in and they owe it to us to stand-up and let us leave. Thus by us not setting a timetable the Iraqis won't take over in a timely manner.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 26, 2006 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I'll mediate that one. No need for MJ and DWG to go at each other's throats. Obviously emotions run high on this issue, and that is a GOOD thing!
I think MJ's post is extremely important, and it should not degenerate into a foodfight.
Is demonstrating in the streets the right thing to do? Excellent question. I don't know the answer.
My limited experience has disillusioned me a little. The last antiwar demo I was at, there was this banner behind me about saving penguins and right ahead some people were clearly agitated about Haiti. Both worthy causes, but I went there over Iraq, not penguins.
I agree with MJ that action is required: demos? letter campaign? Civil disobedience? Pressuring the new dems in power? I want to hear people's ideas.
One thing I'll say though. People who dismiss Vietnam-era demos as having done nothing to stop the war miss the point. They forced America to confront the morality of its actions and to ask the big questions (What empty talk is that about "freeing" Vietnamese while we keep black people at the back of the bus?)
They made America "grow up." Now we're back to the juvenile era where sheeplike we listen to our president say "Go shopping" and we do.
December 26, 2006 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Application of military force may remove a "problem" but is never the solution. That is what should be protested. We "won" the military phase of the war at which point the military should have disengaged and political/diplomatic efforts should have been our "course to stay" to win in Iraq. Instead of political solutions we got military operations like the one in Fallujah. Until military options like "The Surge" are taken off the table, our troops are withdrawn and all our efforts in Iraq are focused on political/diplomatic solutions there are going to be many more Iraqi civilian casualties (due to the ethnic cleansing/genocide which is occurring) and many more dead, maimed and wounded US military personnel.
I am in favor of reinstituting the draft. For a couple of reasons. First, on principles, I have always felt defense of our country in "war time" should be a "shared sacrifice". But secondly the apathy about the continuing carnage in Iraq shown by many Americans is a direct result of the fact that they don't have loved ones in the line of fire. The defense of this country falls disproportionately on the shoulders of the poor and ethnic minorities. If everyone's children were part of the defense of this country there would be large mass protests in the streets over the Iraq War and it's aftermath.
The American people sent a very clear message in November...it is time to leave Iraq. Whether it is slower and measured or quick, we want to start winding down this war. And a "surge" is not part of that process. Bush can (and will) ignore the mandate of the people because he is a lame duck, has no regard for democratic principles and ignores the fact he is employed by the people. The Congress isn't made up of lame ducks though and if they don't do something they will be replaced by a new bunch of politicos in '08 who will actually do what the people asked them to do...and if getting the will of the people to be heeded means impeachment (or "firing") of the president, so be it.
December 26, 2006 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
"FTA???" "Fly to America?" "Fun,Travel,Adventure?" Howard, I delivered a West Point MacV Major to the Ton Son Nhut airport at the end of his tour (he barely survived 3 chopper crashes in his year in wonderland) and his parting words to me were "The VC are the best friends these people have!" That was 1967, and he wasn't a draftee. Come to think of it, I was the only draftee in my unit, but we all came to share a common idea of bullshit about the war. I just think you can't draw that line in the sand betweem RA and US legitimately.
Out of my basic training company, 99% US, only two of us were sent directly to duty instead of AIT at Fort Ord. I asked the CO why, and his answer really surprised me. "You are too old to be a good grunt." He went on to tell me that the Army learned in Korea the importance of putting teenagers in harms way, because they believed they were immortal. Since the Korean draft targeted older men, even some WWII vets, the CO told me that at any given moment the Army could only deliver a fraction of it's potential fire power, since the old guys were more interested in surviving than fighting. As I recall, I was 23 at the time, and I was too old.
So I ask you, has there been an analysis or study of the percentage of RA v. US in the bodies shipped home from Vietnam? Or the ages of the war dead?
Neoboho
December 26, 2006 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
oleeb, I'm not rationalizing not attending demonstrations: I did attend them, and it sounds like the others here did, too. We're arguing that they failed to build a groundswell for political change. Maybe the same time in 2004 organizing against Rove's legal and illegal suppression of voters would have won.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your CO's point about the role of the grunt tends to be valid in conventional warfare, with some caveats I'll make shortly. You know the story of the young bull and the old bull? It applies -- sometimes, it was the older grunt that had the caution and experience to work with villagers in a situation that didn't call for personal weapons on rock-and-roll. I will give all due credit to the Marines and their Combined Action Platoons, where they'd do things like find out that some 18-year-old had been a 4H-club winner in swine husbandry, and suddenly became a valued advisor to hog farmers in the villages.
Draftees were only part of the Vietnam discipline problems, which certainly involved the rotation policies, officer ticket-punching, drug availability, and perceived lack of support. Some draftees performed brilliantly. I suspect there is such an analysis, but I'd have to research it.
In discussions with active soldiers, especially NCOs, part of their resistance to draftees is that they believe it takes about 18 months for someone to be reasonably effective in a combat or combat support unit. If the draft term stays at 2 years, it introduces constant turnover at 6 months at best, probably less some time for out-processing. They are a little more open to a draft for 3 years or more.
Again while I don't have the documentation, the longer-term training and unit cohesion is allowing smaller forces. I've been told that a Bradley dismount unit would be too small if it contained draftees at a lower level of training. With NTC and JRTC rotations plus MILES on base, the training difference between Vietnam and now is massively different.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let me add something else about demonstrations. People asking us to scream more are treating them as an essential, pragmatic part of the political process. In practice, they're a sign that the political system has broken down, and we're prepared to dedicate years to change it. Think of the civil rights movement. The huge march that everyone remembers, with King's speech, was only part of many years of such mobilization, all this came about because we couldn't work through racist politicians and others, and it didn't bring a final answer. Blacks don't get a fair shake now. It was, in short, part of a process.
Ending the war in Iraq isn't like building that kind of change. It has to be done as quickly as possible, it has to connect to the discontent with Bush that the public feels now, and it has to pay off in new political leadership in the next election. So investigate the politicians you despise and back the ones bringing change.
Arguably, the Internet on the one hand and the centralized media control coupled with astroturf politics on the other have made certain conventional kinds of grassroots politics obsolete, but that's one I'd rather leave open for now.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 26, 2006 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
You write:
One thing I'll say though. People who dismiss Vietnam-era demos as having done nothing to stop the war miss the point. They forced America to confront the morality of its actions
But you start off saying you don't know if demonstrations are the right thing to do. How is it that you can recognize what Vietnam Demos did but have problems with this, equally--if not worse moral debacle? Demonstrations are not the sole ingredient in stopping the war, but they are an important tool. Who cares if someone carries a sign about a penguin? The story and the message is about stopping the war! I cannot get over how people look for reasons not to do what is morally required--at minimum. You could substitute civil rights in the sixties for most of the reasoning why demonstrations might not be a good idea and see more clearly how utterly shameful, form a moral perspective, that sort of argument is. Should Martin Luther King have listened to those who told him not to demonstrate so much or at all an instead just write your congressman or work through the system which produced the moral degeneracy in the first place? Thank God he did not. Those same arguments employed today regarding the war in Iraq are simply arguments for doing nothing in the end because as a practical matter those who equivocate about demonstrations do nothing else of any consequence and only encourage others to do nohting as well.
December 26, 2006 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Therefore, attending one or a handful of demonstrations several years ago was not enough and continued, sustained demonstrations against the war are required. That is something one could and should have known at the time. Without them, we are just playing parlor games from our comfortable perches. Hitting the streets is without question effective and without question a necessary ingredient in bringing the war to a quicker end. There's just no getting around it. If you don't like some of the people who show up then bring more of your kind, if you don't like the organizers then get involved and shape the organization. There's really no excuse for not hitting the streets until the war is brought to a halt.
December 26, 2006 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Martin Luther King did things that were appropriate to the communications and political environment of the early sixties. Things have changed.
When someone coopts my protest to include a penguin -- and I am strongly supportive of penguins -- it does offend me. I've repeatedly brought up the idea of local demonstrations,which typically are more homogeneous about the cause, and you have yet to respond to them.
My morality, about which I am quite comfortable, is different than yours. I suppose I point to some Stoic and Utilitarian influences. When GWB speaks in the name of his concept of morality and deity, I get very nervous, and I am equally nervous when the opposition claims the moral position.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Should there be protests? If there is a "surge" I say yes...but under those circumstances only as part of a larger strategy of impeaching the president, anything less will be "symbolic" and mean nothing. The Americans spoke clearly in November...and ending the Iraq War was their message. In fact a supermajority of Americans want to see this war end. The American people are the employers of our polticians and if they refuse to do what we ask them to they should be removed. A "surge" will run contrary to what the American people showed we wanted at the ballot box and should be responded to with protests calling for impeachment and removal of the president.
December 26, 2006 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Demonstrations that are organized to have minimal disruptive effect on other people are not going to be effective. The big, effective demonstrations disrupted whole cities, causing local police forces to be captured on TV and newsphotos beating up some demonstrators. Also, masses of demonstrators were arrested, held in places like baseball stadiums for processing, again making the news reports and causing middle of the roaders to feel for the demonstrators. A major part of Ghandi and King's non-violent protest playbook was getting into the criminal justice system to force the authorities to mistreat them "on camera". We have nothing like that today except when Cindy Sheehan is active.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Boo!! The Boogie man will get you! Prattling about "Islamic Fascism" is just a hair more realistic than boogie man threats. I wonder why no one was going on about "Christian Fascism" during WWII or even during the IRA activities.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Whether demonstrations will or will not help might depend on the nature of the demonstrations. In the discussions of the Vietnam War era I did not notice mention of the North Vietnamese flags, or the chants of Ho Ho Ho Chi Minh. Perhaps outside of actual demonstrations there was the bombings of the lab in Madison Wisconsin and the brownstone in New York City. The result of this was that some of my high school classmates were beaten by the hardhats down on Wall Street and Nixon created the term Silent Majority.
If there were to be demonstrations now what would be the theme? What would be the political call of them? Get out now? Bush is a fool? Who cares about Iraq? Evil U.S. out of the ME?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 26, 2006 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
If your goal is to disrupt cities, including workers having nothing to do with the policies involved, you've certainly lost any support I have had, and you are certain to get backlash.
What do you do when police have gotten wise to the tactic and avoid mistreatment, just mass arrests for blocking traffic? Certainly in DC, there is experience to do that.
I still don't hear any response to my suggestions of local demonstrations; you keep pushing what comes across as guerilla theater.
I have seen "stop the city" protests in Washington blocking the access of medical personnel to George Washington University Hospital. The sooner such people are in stadiums, the happier I will be; the feeling I have for demonstrators that kept me from working, without knowing if I were involved in humanitarian or even antiwar activity, is utter contempt.
Picket all you want. As soon as you shut down legitimate activities, including the freedom of choice of other citizens, you are no better than Bush telling security forces to keep anti-Bush people out of the camera. You may be worse, because you aren't just going for media opportunities when you try to shut down a city.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
NO, no, no! Now you are confusing the good Christian Fascism with the bad Islamic Fascism. Then, of course, there is the middle of the road Hindu Fascism, Athiest Fascism, Zoroastrian Fascism, et al. Oh, my goodness, I forgot Bhudist Fascism, Shinto Fascism, Naturist Fascism, el al.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you need to look a material such as David Caute's "Year of the Barricades: a Journey through 1968" to get a handle on the "why no protests" question. (Of course there have been protests, but nothing like the magnitude of the late 60s.) Caute enters some interesting terrains - like how the seemingly xenophobic American could be influenced by a seemingly spontaneous international uprising against the status quo. But culture works opaquely, and mass media culture does also.
Here's an opposite anecdote - in 1961 I and a small circle of friends learned that there was going to be a Fair Play for Cuba demonstration in front of the Federal Building in San Francisco. So we showed up, all six of us, but there was no one there. Christ, did we feel vulnerable with our two placards and "Hands Off Cuba" buttons. It was scarey. The SFPD was pretty brutal with demonstrators and it was obvious that the odds were we would be clubbed, being only six in number. Gulp. As we were milling around deciding to wait or leave, we saw an old man walking towards us down Van Ness Avenue, bouncing a tennis ball off the wall of the Federal Building. When he was in earshot, he told us "Don't worry. I remember when they were trying to get that Villa fellow down in Mexico. The couldn't touch him with a ten foot pole!" With that assurance, we all went home.
So there must be some type of Windows in history that support, or even allow, protest movements. And windows that don't necessarily address the specific issues at hand, but arise out of a complex series of events that may not even appear to relate in any way to the issues at hand. It's a question of timing. Caute shows us an overarching perspective of worldwide crises in 1968 - Mexico City, Tokyo, Paris, Chicago, Prague, Berlin, and etc. But crises of what? If you look at each local event, the issues cover a broad range: The SF State demonstrations were over the firing of faculty members and the cry for ethnic studies cirruculum; the Sorbonne students seemed to be advocating anarchism; in Mexico, students seemed to want to use the Olympics as a platform to attack the Dias Ordaz government's intimacy with the CIA; Tokyo students were protesting Vietnam and the US bases in Japan; And of course there was the Soviet invasion of Prague. So what was the "crises" all about. Pomo theorists point to "the collapse of totalizing ideology." Perhaps it was the consequence of the Cold War - people just got fed up with the quasi-ideologies of the National Security State.
One other thing. In the old days protest movement formed, and eventually decayed from internal battles among its leaders over "ownership or the movement." What I noticed as the first anti-Iraq war movements began to mobilize was that they began with ownership battles. I thought that was remarkable. I'm not sure what that means, but I suspect that it does relate in some ways to the questions you are raising.
Neoboho
December 26, 2006 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
As far as I have read, there is no ignorance test to determine if someone is a troll. But, generally speaking, trolls know what they are doing - disrupting debates and aggravating almost all of the debators. The ignorant are just, well, ignorant.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
There are open racists in the Reublican party who advocate cutting off immigration for Muslims yet that doesn't stop Republicans from attending Republican events or espousing their positions. Your argument seems to be essentially that because someone once did some things you personally don't like at some demonstrations many years ago, that no one should demonstrate against this immoral war for fear of someone showing up that might say something that the right wingers won't like and then go howling about it for years as they have things like Vietnamese flags (as though that was a bad thing). And yes, Bush is a fool and a war criminal and yes, the US military needs to get out of the middle east right away amd yes, get out now!
December 26, 2006 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I never suggested not working against the Iraq operation, which is not quite "the war". My arguments are:
There are good and bad tactics, just as there are good and bad strategies. I consider mass demonstrations a bad tactic. I consider the Administration's strategy as a bad one, with mistakes in places beyond Iraq.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or, we can just get a rich Democrat to "investigate" whether Bush is diddling the maid in Crawford, and vote an impeachment based on that. Unfortunately, the latter would be more likely to result in an impeachment.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can and do disbelieve that street demonstrations are a necessary part of the solution. As another poster put it, "screaming more" is not an essential part of a political process. If you believe there is no political process left, we have nothing to discuss.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I felt bad about the NCO's role when I was there. Due to sensitive politics, the butterbars were given much of their duties and authority. I heard the NCO dropout rate was pretty high - some even giving up retirement because they were so pissed-off about having their wings clipped.
I can't argue about your take on combat rediness. When I took the graduation tests at the end of basic, the Sarge who was running us through the bayonet moves told us: "No forget what you've learned. It doesn't work."
Neoboho
December 26, 2006 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry Howard, I have to disagree with both of you. Superb analysis can't be built on a foundation of misreadings of the situation.
The majority will always be against any demonstration, even if it is a street demonstration in favor of motherhood and apple pie. People just don't like uppityness. Demonstrations are effective at forcing people to confront issues and that is always unpleasant.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yup. Forcing a free citizen to confront issues on your timetable is a fine way to get me to oppose the issue. If someone blocks my way, they are committing assault and possibly battery, and I reserve the right to defend myself from a perceived threat.
Maybe that latter attitude comes from doing news coverage of major sixties demonstrations, when, in a role that tried to be objective as possible, I had admittedly radical demonstrators try to beat my head on the wall of the Pentagon.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
While my mother was a weird example of being a WWII Navy chief involuntarily direct-commissioned into the Army, I've mostly dealt with officers until the last few years. Relatives tended either to be privates or senior officers. It's been a revelation to get to know some career NCOs, their knowledge, and their level of commitment. (For that matter, it's been enlightening to know one retired three-star, and see the differences in perspective of a general officer. I only regret that I never met a deceased inlaw, BG Noel Parrish, trainer of the Tuskegee Airmen).
A friend, now in Iraq, is debating whether to extend for a third tour, or go to drill instructor school. Knowing his values, I really which he'd do the latter. He'd be one of the cadre you'd always remember, and ask yourself "what would he do in this situation"?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Howard,
"Ironically, if a draft were reinstated, a number of active military friends of mine would not re-enlist".
American soldiers are being constantly applauded because they have heroically chosen to accept danger as their patriotic duty. They are praised for fighting for us. Wouldn’t such a person, out of their heroic and selfless sense of patriotism, continue to serve when it was even more important to the welfare of our country? I hope you can excuse the bit of sarcasm that was in fact intended in that last sentence. I trust you know that the reasons a person joins up are a bit more complicated than merely choosing to be a soldier out of selfless patriotism, and that the reasons often don’t much relate to that reason at all even though the volunteer is patriotic, but wouldn’t any good soldier honor, and be proud to serve with, a draftee who was there performing just as honorably and bravely as himself.
. "For an assortment of reasons, they perceive draftees, at least with traditional service lengths and draft criteria, as a danger to their physical safety".
In the past I have felt that your characterization of the Vietnam era draftee held a disparagement of him a person who had the necessary qualifications, as a person, to be a soldier, not just one who lacked the training to be as good a soldier as a volunteer. I hope I am mistaken and I feel certain you will correct me if I have been wrong or if you have changed your mind. I agree that a fourteen man rifle squad would be most effective if manned by fourteen battle tested veterans, also much more brutal, but a squad made up of three of those veterans and eleven relatively raw draftees would be much better than a squad made up of only three veterans.
Some countries in the past have arrived at the point where they perceived the need for a bigger army than they could induce to volunteer. Our country could reach such a point
This is a complex issue, no doubt. I am a person who was drafted at age nineteen, given 16 weeks of training, some further training as our unit was formed [something most replacements never got] and then sent to Vietnam as part of a rifle company during the time of our countries biggest commitment of troops. Seven months later I was a buck sergeant squad leader. I was almost completely unqualified for the job, but like they say, someone had to do it. Of course, most of my opinions come from that experience.
The army at that time was overstretched, to say the least, and there were many more draftees around me than there were “volunteers”. The draftees held many “lifers” to be people who could not make it in civilian life and so stayed in the military. When it came down to common sense and an ability to get things done, if you saw a person demonstrate those qualities you were more likely to be looking at a draftee.
As far as how the two groups compared in their response when the SHTF, I never saw a difference as a group. My platoon sergeant was the only person, to my knowledge, that I ever took an order from who had previously served in combat. He was a Korea War a veteran. We were very lucky to have him. Second Lts, as a group, were highly thought of. Captains, including my CO, were often considered to be way more interested in becoming a Major than in us. Nobody that I knew of worried much about winning the war. Any focus at our level was just about surviving the next encounter, which would almost certainly be when we were ambushed, or when someone stepped on a mine. One of the scariest times was when the medivac helicopters would be arriving. Hueys’ characteristic rotor thump would hide the sound of mortars being fired. When you were close to a Huey you couldn’t hear small arms fire. The Hueys were always attractive targets.
The draftees in Vietnam were as good at soldiering as the ones who had joined. The army we had then could not win that war. The army we have now could beat “that” US army but it cannot win in Iraq, so for this type of war an all volunteer army has solved nothing.
The draftees proved they were as good as the volunteers in Vietnam. If it is commonly believed in today’s army that draftees were inferior to volunteers in Vietnam, those believers have bought into a myth that somewhat dishonors those who didn’t want to go but who answered the call. Those who believe the myth did not serve with draftees in Vietnam, the last time draftees were in combat, so where did this myth arise from and why does it stay alive? [If it does]
"FTA was on Vietnam shirts, not WWII or even Korea".
I certainly heard the phrase. I said it many times. The only memorable time I remember seeing it written was on a latrine wall and signed,”Sergeant Berry Sadler”. I don’t know to what extent some soldiers in Vietnam began to refuse orders, and worse, but I think it was a tiny percentage and it happened mostly in later years when the vicious stupidity of staying in that war and being asked to kill while risking your own life became more and more obvious and a person was drafted while possessing that knowledge.
The possibility of stupid actions by people in power, both here and in other countries, could send the world into a great war. The stupid insertion of our army into a war it could not win has greatly diminished its ability to win the kind of war that it could win while at the same time making both kinds of war more likely. We have also largely lost our ability to put up a strong bluff.
You have agreed in the past that our current army is as large as we can build with volunteers under current conditions of incentives and maintaining high standards. Are you confident that events will play out so that we don’t need a bigger army in the near or distant future? How would you fill its ranks?
If a country faces an existential threat and believes it needs a bigger army to deal with it, are there significant historical examples of a country not resorting to the draft to fill its army’s ranks?
If the weight of opinion in this country was that we NEEDED a bigger army, the weight of the population would support it. The drafted soldiers would perform honorably and peer pressure and internal leadership at all levels would almost always take care of those who used dishonorable means to dissent.
A draft is only politically impossible now because everyone knows that we have been stupidly lied into two calamitous wars.
I, personally, would hope that if I was drafted into a war and knew it to be as wrong as I came to believe Vietnam was, or that I always believed Iraq to be, that I would have the courage to say FTA.
December 26, 2006 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me take one of your latter points first, one on which I think we have general agreement.
Yes, if that weight of opinion is present. My major caveat: the draftee term would have to be at least three years, not the traditional two, to deal with the longer training requirements. That's obviously more of a commitment.
Mostly training time, but I do hear specific concerns of active troops, in the current operation, being concerned about serving with draftees -- unless those draftees are equally motivated.
You are going directly to one of the problems. There are no 14 man infantry squads. Light infantry uses 10, and mechanized infantry on a Bradley M2 has 6 (plus 3 that stay with the vehicle). There's no room for a larger dismount squad in the Bradley, which was controversial even in the Army. That said, those 6 men, at a sufficient level of training, can be effective.
Now, it takes several years to get buck sergeant. There's no quick NCO school. Quite a few present troopers feel that the Vietnam practice led to unneeded casualties.
Assuming a reduction of ill-conceived interventions, no, I don't see a need for a hugely larger force. Another 50,000 across the services, yes. Those increments, incidentally, would include a number of specialists (or junior soldiers to backfill specialist slots). Given the areas of deployment, quite a few people will need a year or more of language training -- not practical with two-year draftees that also have boot and MOS training.
Much of it is based on the assumption of a two-year draft tour and the amount of training, as well as the amount of active service and bonding to the culture, that is possible in that time. With 3 or 4 year draft tours, I think you'd find more acceptance among regulars.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why are we fighting the 60s all over again? The last time I checked, it was 2006 and the problem was that our "Decider in Chief" was fighting a reckless and unjustified war in the Middle East. Debating whether or not to take to the streets over Iraq kind of misses the larger point. Iraq is a symptom of what I worry is a much greater problem: the hard right has taken control of this country and won't let go. I think we should be wondering what we should be doing if, after the new Congress takes session and begins to exercise its responsbility of overseeing the executive branch, it gets nothing from Bush but the back of his hand, perhaps to the point it becomes obvious Bush has no respect for the Constituion. I really have a sick feeling that Bush literally thinks he is the Decider and he determines everything. Talk about your Constitutional Crisis then.
December 26, 2006 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you oleeb and I am sorry if I gave the impression that demonstrations are a waste of time. I am not in a position to make that kind of judgment.
I was just reporting that the last 2 demos I went to (NYC and DC) felt more like tailgate parties at a Grateful Dead concert. I was in high school in the late 60s and I remember antiwar protests quite vividly: just night and day.
I just don't get the sense of urgency from the crowds. But maybe it's me.
Today there are many other ways of being active (like this web site) and it's good to hear suggestions.
December 26, 2006 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ahh, that old argument, how well I remember it from '68. Wouldn't want anything like a war to inconvenience anyone, so sorry, please carry on.
'68 was when we shut down my high school in protest, and no, it wasn't because we were being drafted, it was because of......JUSTICE! It was an unjust, immoral war that was being perpetuated, in part, by the very fact that a lot of the people in this country were not being inconvenienced by it. So we forced the issue.
You see, you really cannot seperate your convenient, safe, isolated life from the horrors being done in your name. The connections will be made one way or another. It seems to me better to participate in the most effective and powerful protests you can.
December 26, 2006 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I think you've made a good point. There was something positive to be in favor of. And guess what, we were essentially right. Now, well who CAN be right in this mess?
December 26, 2006 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have heard, so far, zero responses to the idea of having focused local demonstrations. Your comment "we forced the issue" seems to speak of a desire to get media, and to override choice just as much as LBJ.
When you talk about "inconveniencing" people that, for example, are doctors trying to get to work at a hospital, I hope you get really inconvenienced--and lie around in the ER that isn't staffed. Pity, but you got justice. That there was no one to stop your bleeding is a matter of lesser import. After all, you know what is best for everyone else and will force your priorities on them.
Who says I am separating my life from the horrors? I don't see blocking streets as teaching me any more about the issue. They certainly didn't in Vietnam, compared to medical reporting from the battlefield, as well as military reporting that needed hammering on policymakers that things were simply not working.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, this is a different thread, but let me say that no Libertarian arguments have had much sway on me, except one: military draft is slavery.
I am a big believer in government. But before I let government kidnap my children to use them as cannon fodder, I need to be convinced that the alternative is the end of the world as we know it. Since I don't trust government ever to meet that threshold, I oppose the draft.
All your arguments for are very good ones. But mine is overpowering. My argument is this questino: What gives anyone the right to enslave my children?
December 26, 2006 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
hoosier: You forget that many Dems are more or less in agreement with Bush's policy in the middle east. Ok, they want a little more peace process and a little less shock-and-awe, but the Lieberman-Biden-Clinton axis was and still is for this war. So the problem is much larger than "the evil right wing agenda."
Trust me: you ain't gonna see many Truman Democrats join MJ in antiwar protests.
December 26, 2006 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
While it obviously isn't the length of time of a draft, when demonstrators decide to shut down my city and confront what they, unilaterally, decide I should confront, that's also a form of involuntary servitude.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't we start demonstrating our feelings with the Democratic party? Where is our anti-war candidate? As long as we are going to vote for the enablers in both parties no demonstration makes a bit of difference. The American public is already ahead of both parties on this issue.
December 26, 2006 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
To Noblesse Oblige:
I agree you won't see any "Truman Democrats" at anti-war demonstrations. Since Truman Democrats, by definition, are in their mid to late 80's, they aren't my target group for marches.
December 26, 2006 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
To Bluebell:
You are absolutely right. If we had a candidate for President playing the Gene McCarthy, Bobby Kennedy, or George McGovern role, we would be in good shape.
And, unlike the anti-Viet candidates, the anti-Iraq war candidate could be very centrist. It could be John Edwards (of the candidates, the onlr one who is currently unambiguously antiwar).
I suspect that whoever carries the antiwar banner will win the nomination.
The wordgame candidates can't win our primaries. I'm hopeful about Obama but I need to hear more.
December 26, 2006 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Howard,
OK, I'll admit that I may have used provocative language but this:
seems beneath you. It makes it hard to seriously consider your other ideas.I may be starting from a different point than you are and, to tell you the truth, it seems exhausting to repeat the old arguments again, especially since it appears to me that they were settled some time ago. Of course, I may be entirely wrong on that and it may be necessary and useful to do so, I just can't see it now. I'll just quietly lay here bleeding.
December 26, 2006 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I stand by those remarks. There were real problems of staff getting to GW Hospital because demonstrators were "shutting down the streets" over World Bank protests. In other cases, demonstrators did not restrain admittedly radical members that smashed small businesses. Again, I find this sort of demonstration an ego trip rather than a useful means of influencing policy, and it is an evasion of useful means.
Involuntary detention is involuntary detention. If demonstrators block my way--not symbolically in a picket like I can choose to cross--they are, in my mind, no different than police barring public facilities without legal justification.
How do you expect me to respond to being told that I must be forced to confront some issues that demonstrators literally don't know whether I'm immersed in just those issues (but not on the demonstrators' schedule)? As I've said repeatedly, local demonstrations that send a focused message can indeed send useful messages. Large-scale demonstrations that go outside places like the National Mall and try to shut down a city generate absolutely zero sympathy on my part.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Support Rep. Kuchunich's call to cut off all military funding to Iraq except to bring our military personnel home safely.
Tom
December 26, 2006 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Large scale demonstrations are part of the mix. They demonstrate the strength of the anti-war movement, and they re-energize people in the anti-war movement. It takes one day out of my life. I hope to see everyone in Washington, DC on January 27th at the United for Peace and Justice rally. Show the new Congress they better get their butts moving on getting our troops out of Iraq, or we'll move their butts out and replace them with representatives who will get the troops out.
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
"You are going directly to one of the problems. There are no 14 man infantry squads. Light infantry uses 10, and mechanized infantry on a Bradley M2 has 6 (plus 3 that stay with the vehicle). There's no room for a larger dismount squad in the Bradley, which was controversial even in the Army. That said, those 6 men, at a sufficient level of training, can be effective".
Your knowledge of details adds zero to your argument if you don’t actually use that knowledge to address the point. That statement is completely non-responsive to the essence of my point. I could have used any sized unit and looked up the current details of its size or I could, as I did, just go with an approximation that did not alter the meaning of my argument.
I must have been unclear so I’ll say it in a slightly different way. Six trained and experienced men will almost certainly handle a six man job. They will almost certainly fail at a thirty man job. That thirty man job should have thirty well trained and experienced men. If thirty are not available then twenty five less experienced men with some training and led by six qualified people would still have a decent chance at getting the job done.
"Now, it takes several years to get buck sergeant. There's no quick NCO school".
I started seeing what we called instant NCO’s towards the end of my tour. Some were fairly good, others, not so good. I arrived in-country as a PFC.
"There's no quick NCO school".
There will be if we suddenly need some quick NCO’s.
'Quite a few present troopers feel that the Vietnam practice led to unneeded casualties".
No shit.
December 26, 2006 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 26, 2006 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can see your point noblesseoblige. But from where I sit as long as the defense of our country is left to a few there will be some, who not only won't care, but will try to encourage other people's sons and daughters to be used as cannon fodder in stupid wars. If the sacrifice isn't shared the ones who don't share in it won't care of the costs when others are told to make the ultimate sacrifice. And therefore there I see more Iraq Wars in our future.
December 26, 2006 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keep in mind that there is a zero percent change that the "surge" (escalation) will "work".
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would agree they re-energize activists withing whatever their movement would be. I fail to see statistical evidence that they show national strength of a movement, even if they dump several hundred thousand people into DC, given the size of the electorate.
What is the problem with having lots of coordinated local demonstrations, on the same day, which actually lets legislators see local positions? That shows them something.
"We'll move their butts out" really doesn't convey a clear message, unless you propose to try to throw them out physically. With large demonstrations, there's no way for a Member of Congress to see significance to them. Oh, if the demonstrators, before the demonstration, presented petitions or letter-writing, that actually might send a message -- but that doesn't give the same adrenalin rush as a mass demonstration, does it?
Even if I still lived in the DC area, you would not see me at the rally. If asked by friends and neighbors, I'd recommend they not go, and spend the same time in organizing written grass-roots protests or even scheduling discussions at Congressional district events.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
My local group, the Bryn Mawr (PA) Peace Coalition has been organizing local protests and going to large protests against Iraq since February 2003. So have thousands of other groups across the country. These tactics and others such as political pressure on representatives, letters to editors, etc. need to be embraced by more and more Americans. That is how you stop madmen like Bush.
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I support all these things. My objection, in this thread, is to massive, shut-down-everything demonstrations in major cities. At any size demonstration, my criterion is "does it stop the freedom of nonparticipants to go where they will." If yes, it's a problem. If no, it's protected speech.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Howard, I would recommend all of the above. If each American did what he/she is comfortable with doing we could end this war. No one person has to use every tactic, although I like to do them all. If more millions of Americans did more millions of things we definitely can end this war.
PS I mentioned this to Cindy Sheehan before she became prominent. Look at all she has done.
PPS "We''ll move their butts out" is meant to convey the clear message to Congress that those up for re-election in 2008 who do not cut off funding for all military operations in Iraq (except bringing the troops home safely) will be voted out of office.
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hate to see the subject of demonstrations left without adding some more thoughts:
When I was in the pre-Iraq invasion demonstration in San Francisco back in 2003, we had groups from churches, from left wing groups, including the local Communists, from pro-Israel and pro-Palestinian groups, from political candidate supporters groups, from pacifists, and even the obligatory "lets commit vandalism" groups. The message I got from that was the wide spread, across the spectrum opposition to the invasion. None of the groups fought each other in any way, keeping together with their signs and respecting other's signs. The police, who have become far more educated about Constitutional rights since the 60's just watched quietly, except for arresting the few vandals. This was and is a legitimate exercise or our right to public assembly and freedom of speech.
Much of Cesar Chavez's success came from public demonstrations, some of which resulted in grievous bodily harm to demonstrators by police. Since those folks bled, it led the TV newscasts. And, that aroused much more support for Chavez's group, the UFW, than could ever have occurred otherwise.
Back when San Francisco had the double murder of its mayor, George Moscone and a very liberal and gay city supervisor, Harvey Milk, an almost spontaneous demonstration occurred that night. It was a march on City Hall by candle bearing, very quiet people from all walks of life. We were a massive "mob", marching, sometimes singing, but mostly totally silent. By doing that we expressed our determination that never again would such an atrocity be allowed in our city. The right wingers who instigated the murders were silent too, and never really recovered their venomous attitude. Later, when a bungled trial resulted in Dan White, the murderer, being convicted only of manslaughter, most of the same group of marchers committed a violent street demonstration, which the police eventually quelled with excessive force, but once again the message was sent that such perversions of justice would not be allowed again in that city. San Francisco benefitted by those demonstrations.
The desire to be able to live ones life without being bothered by people who object to the obscenities going on today or back in the 60's is not a reason for opposition to street demonstrations. Street demonstrations of a size that are a problem for other citizens only occur when a very serious problem is being addressed, and none of us have an inherent right to remain unbothered by those problems.
I don't agree that demonstrations should be entirely local, aimed at our local representatives. My Congressperson is opposed to Bush's military adventuring. She will vote the way I wish on any bill that involves that misadventure. But, people living in neighboring Congressional districts don't have such an informed Congressperson. Big public demonstrations bring home to them the importance of the issue. Furthermore, if you live in a district where 60+% of the voters support Bush, you really need to see that it is not only OK to be against Bush and his activities, but it is the only honorable way to be, and seeing major public demonstrations on the nightly news does that.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Howard,
I agree, in general, but if we're talking about trying to stop needless killing I'm not sure where Gandhi, Thoreau, and King would have drawn the line about inconveniencing people while respecting them while you're trying influence a loony like Bush while trying to get Congress's attention, etc.
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
... in Rick Santorum's mind?
Tom
December 26, 2006 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Assuming a reduction of ill-conceived interventions, no, I don't see a need for a hugely larger force. Another 50,000 across the services, yes.
Call the number of soldiers in the US Army in 2002 the correct number needed to protect the US. Now, because our army is stressed to the breaking point in Iraq it is not available to respond to other threats to nearly the same extent as before our invasion so we must be vulnerable because of our commitment to Iraq. Otherwise that premise, that we needed that large army of 2002 to protect us, was wrong in the first place.
This logic, it seems to me, could only be wrong if Iraq was, in fact, our only big threat in the world and Iraq is why we needed military expenditures equal to the entire rest of the world.
Either we didn’t need that large army in the first place or we will be at risk until we get out of Iraq and rebuild that large army. Which do you suppose it was/is.
December 26, 2006 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Third alternative: the Army was not of a size to meet the requirements and constraints placed on it for the Iraq mission. In other words, the invasion should not have been attempted given the force size, or, more realistically, the poorly considered requirements of a badly designed occupation.
All manner of units are being refocused into missions demanded by Iraq. I've had assorted reservist friends in, for example, field artillery units, activated and sent to Iraq to guard convoys--a traditional Infantry or Military Police mission. Air Defense indeed may have been overstaffed, but it's again been put on the base and convoy security missions.
To some extent, we are at risk. Even more than the manpower issue is the diversion of resources away from Afghanistan and other foreign campaigns, as well as domestic infrastructure protection.
-
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me try again. You don't have the option of a 14 man squad in a Bradley. Those 6 (plus 3 crew) are expected to do the same job as the 14 man (or smaller) squad in the older M113.
They have more skills that have to be mastered, such as fire direction that used to be a specialist job, and reading the real-time position, logistics, and fire control computer displays. The goal has been to push enough information and information use skills that a squad might take an independent action that previously might have only been made at platoon or company.
If the draft term stays two years, it's much less likely six people will have the necessary proficiency. There's no argument that Bradley squads are on the small side; Stryker squads have nine men and two crew.
Given the complexity of new systems, trying to run them without adequately trained troops -- questionable in two year tours -- may get a lot of people killed.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
“Even more than the manpower issue is the diversion of resources away from Afghanistan and other foreign campaigns,…
In Afganistan that IS primarily a manpower issue.
December 26, 2006 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
It took a combination of a lot of things to turn the government against trying to "win" the Vietnam War which both parties supported originally. That included street demonstrations. Nixon's Vietnamization policy (which didn't work) was an attempt to calm down the public by starting to withdraw American troops. Bush is still in the politics of escalation phase which of course isn't going to do anything except increase casualties. Iraqification (which won't work) suppossedly has already started, but Bush hasn't linked it to actual troop withdrawals yet. He has the rhetoric ("we'll stand down as Iraqis stand up") but not the withdrawals. As the lunacy of the "surge" becomes more apparent the pressure on Bush and Congress to act will become greater.
Mass demonstrations are one way to increase that pressure, but certainly not the only way.
Tom
December 26, 2006 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh dear Lord in heaven. Please take a course in Reality 101 before you come back.
Tom
December 26, 2006 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
What point are you trying to make? It's not obvious to me.
Tom
December 26, 2006 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you attend any public events, such as ball games, or concerts, you are inconvenienced by the "mob" that is there. I assume you go carrying a club so those inconsiderate folks can't get away with inconveniencing you?
I felt just as you do many years ago, and I even supported the Vietnam war for a few years, getting upset about the demonstrations. But, I eventually learned that I was wrong.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. Yes, we (people that organized to stop US aggression against Vietnam) WERE right, while the people wringing their hands about why they are not able to organize anything similar about Iraq believe, as you do, that nobody is right.
I strongly recommend this classic article on The Collapse of the Armed Forces
Its written from the perspective of somebody at least as keen on the US armed forces as hcberkowitz but explains clearly that disruption which went rather beyond inconveniencing people at demonstrations, to include fragging officers was central to "ending" the war.
Its a useful antidote to people imagining that there is any parallel either between Iraq and Vietnam or between the protest movements.
If people here actually believed the jihadis and death squads were fighting to liberate their country from American aggressors they would be organizing that kind of support for them doing so.
But there isn't any way to believe that, so the mass hostility to the war dragging on inconclusively will never translate into a movement determined to end it by victory to the enemy.
December 26, 2006 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
By going to a public event, I have a reasonable idea of the inconvenience level. One might be associated with a symphony, while a soccer game with visiting British hooligans would be another.
I give an informed consent by voluntarily going to that venue. I do not consent to being blocked in a public place.
This has nothing to do with supporting or not supporting Vietnam or any war. It has to do with public disruption. In particular, there is a different between the sort of disruption for which there are sit-ins and public arrests of conscience, the type with mobs in one's face, and the sort complete with vandals uncontrolled by demonstration organizers.
What part of "I do not agree to have my freedom constrained by random people in places where I expect to be able to walk" is failing to communicate?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could you elaborate on what you mean by "keen on armed forces?"
I'm also unclear if you are comparing fragging with domestic demonstrations. Fragging was far more likely to reflect that an incompetent officer was going to get his own people killed, or possibly interfere with illegal activities of troops (e.g., black market) than having anything to do with protesting policies.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Certainly manpower, but also diversion of planning and intelligence staff resources, which I suppose is a manpower resource although specialized. I was thinking more of how Fred Franks, in his autobiography, demanded CENTCOM focus on Iraq while Afghan operations were at a peak. Think of generals' mindshare.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
[delete duplicate]
December 26, 2006 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope, HC, that you aren't in the category of those curmudgeons who get all indignant when you try to give them a flier or pamphlet at the polls.
Half the people act like you are imposing on their precious privacy by handing them the list of teacher supported candidates or whoever.
I'd guess that, once upon a time, Americans appreciated those of both parties who stood out there in the November cold work our democracy.
No more.
But, we aren't a very nice nation anymore.
Someone should write a book: "If America Is So Great, Why is Everybody So Angry."
Canadians, on the other hand.....
December 26, 2006 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
To MJ:
Don't be mean to Rachel!
December 26, 2006 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
- Have people giving out fliers
- Have them in a tightly regulated area, where they are prevented from blocking anyone.
Somehow, I'm not communicating that I am objecting to masses that try to block my entering a street or a building. No, that isn't very nice. Depending on the local rules, it may be assault. It isn't protected speech.Picket in front of that same building or on the sidewalk of that street, and leave access or cheerfully move aside when a non-demonstrator wants to get by, and I'll call that protected speech.
Why is it apparently so hard to distinguish standing witness to blocking access? Your example of well-mannered people cooperating within the polling venue process has little to do with screaming people blocking access to public areas. -- Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your wrote:
"you really need to see that it is not only OK to be against Bush and his activities, but it is the only honorable way to be, and seeing major public demonstrations on the nightly news does that.
I agree with you completely! Well put!
December 26, 2006 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, I agree tht there are good and bad tactics. I do not, however, share your opinion about major public demonstrations. Frankly, my opinion is that you're just flat out wrong about that. If you were to apply the same sort of worry and hand wringing over any tactic you could argue against it. MAjor demonstrations are blunt instruments and can do things that postings on the net cannot do including showing others how many people are against the war enough to show up in the street. All your thoughts amount to doing little or nothing to demonstrate massive public opposition to the war which equals standing by and letting it go on without any serious ojbection. Major public demonstrations literally demonstrate public opposition in a way no other form can. Localized protests don't accomplish much with massive demonstrations which they support. Wingers will always find something to harp about and criticize with big demos--who cares! And they would make it up if a few extremists didn't manage to show up. Think about what you write about backlash in terms of the civil rights movement in the 60's. Forcing the major confrontations with the status quo is the only thing that jolted people out of complacency enough to change the hearts and minds of millions of whites regarding race in America. When it comes to moral issues such as this, counseling moderation in order not to offend is simply advising to oppose just so long as it isn't effective. With all due respect, that just won't do.
December 26, 2006 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Today's environment is not equivalent to the civil rights movement of the sixties and direct comparisons do not work. I didn't propose doing something not to offend. I said that I will oppose, with every resource at my command, activism that tries to shut cities down. I believe such activism serves little but activist egos.
I doubt, however, we have any common ground to discuss. I believe in the political system, flawed as it may be. You apparently don't.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Howard, you are communicating very well. Of course your point is a valid one, and I would not deny that. Another example of a similar problem: My city holds a marathon race once a year. During that race they block off all crossings of the route of the race, preventing people from crossing that street, but there are no other ways to get to the other side, so it shuts down that part of the city until the marathon is over. Also, when a police officer or fireman gets killed on duty the city tends to have an elaborate funeral, attended by thousands, and a long slow funeral procession along a major freeway or two from the church to the graveyard. The last one I recall trapped me so I couldn't drive to where I had an appointment until I was over a half hour late. Both are comparable to what irritates you and both irritate me. So, it isn't that no one understands your position, we do.
We simply have a difference of opinion about which is more important - your and others freedom to pass along or across a street unhindered, or the freedom of others to demonstrate for a cause that is deadly serious.
This is clearly a hot button issue for you. Just as "illegal immigration" is a hot button issue for others, and Palestinian rights is still another hot button issue for still others. I can accept that - no problem.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
*offers hand* nice statement of principles. I like it.
I lived in DC for many years and in the close-in suburbs for many more. It may have been the rather steady diet of blockages -- and, at some level, it was an unwillingness to have my life dictated by either the demonstrators or police. There was a time that I walked, with my detours, perhaps 12 miles each way to get from my apartment to my office, both in the District, as I was not willing to be intimidated.
Let me offer another perspective. Believe me, while I can do a fair bit of construction things, I hate doing house maintenance. Too many cities have found that allowing broken windows and the like to continue signals the start of decline -- and no, I'm not talking about homeowner association "property value" crap. To me, blocking streets -- and yes, I do count marathons if they are during the workweek -- is also an indicator of decline, of lack of respect for residents.
While I don't believe mass demonstrations are especially useful -- and I do think there is a value to local ones -- I also draw a sharp line between protest that blocks access and protest that does not. The former contains an element of intimidation of the man in the street; the latter does not.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I meant that the author of the article, Col. Robert D. Heinl, Jr. was describing the collapse of the US armed forces in Vietnam from a perspective sympathetic to and knowledgeable about the maintenance of strong US armed forces rather than celebrating their collapse.
It is not me, but Col. Heinl writing in the Armed Forces Journal who explained, that fragging was aimed at preventing competent officers from getting their own people killed by forcing them to engage an "enemy" that had publicly announced it would not engage US troops who avoided combat. (Not mentioned in the article but the usual technique was to play transistor radios loudly while "patrolling" the jungle to indicate you weren't looking for any trouble).
As Col. Heinl explains fragging was not an isolated phenomena but related to "combat refusal", mutiny, sabotage etc as part of a broader anti-war movement that consciously engaged in sedition with the aim of ending the war by US defeat.
Here are some excerpts from the article.
In Iraq it is the jihadis and death squads that are massacring the people, not the US troops. You cannot build a serious anti-war movement unless you actually want to defeat your own government and are comfortable with the other side winning. Nobody sane is comfortable about the jihadis and death squads winning in Iraq so nobody capable of doing it is trying to organize a serious anti-war movement, either within the US military or generally.
December 26, 2006 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is not likely to be any "winner" in Iraq. There will be many losers. The longer our troops are there the more likely America will be one of the really big losers.
Hoppy in Sacramento
December 26, 2006 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your remarks eloquently express the difference in mindset I was talking about.
The people who organized to stop the Vietnam war did care. You don't,
If you did support the jihadis and death squads you would be contemptible.
If you thought opposing them was important you would support the war.
But you don't care much either way. So don't kid yourself that you are capable of doing anything more than carping.
That is the answer to M.J. Rosenberg's question.
December 26, 2006 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Should I have thought better of you than assuming you would pose the option either of the jihadis winning or an open-ended American presence? You appear to suggest these are the only possible positions,as opposed to any multinational, multiethnic reduction -- not elimination -- of conflict.
I suppose it's easy to judge from a self-proclaimed lack of knowledge. Don't forget your towel.
-
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't any longer a question of supporting or opposing anyone in Iraq. It is their country and our continued presence only makes matters worse. We, in the form of the US military, cannot do anything to improve, let alone solve, the problems we created there since the invasion. The present horrendous situation is only as a result of an illegal, immoral invasion of Iraq by the United States based on trumped up lies. If our government had not acted illegally there would be no death squads and no jihadis in Iraq. Our government is led by a flat out war criminal and he is supported by the many in Congress who approved of or did nothing to oppose the criminal invasion of Iraq. We have absolutely no moral standing to anything in Iraq other than to leave. We should beg the forgiveness of the Iraqi people for the needless slaughter of thousands of innocent men, women and children in the name of a pack of lies. Withdrawing as soon as we can is not simply the option preferred by a vast majority of Americans, it is also the obvious, common sense, best option available to all involved and the one option with the best chance of ultimately putting an end to the reign of terror being conducted by the jihadis and death squads.
December 26, 2006 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
What if the man in the street is doing the protesting Howard? Inconveniencing those who prefer to go about their lives as though people are not dying in Iraq in great numbers will just have to put up with it. I understand your point, but sometimes people need to be inconvenienced and made to feel uncomfortable. Imagine how inconvenienced the people of Iraq have been since our citizens were so apathetic toward their right not to be invaded under false pretenses?
December 26, 2006 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mass demonstrations generally strike me as an anachronistic throwback to an earlier time in US and European political history, and as based on crude and outdated theories of social change. Many of them produce confused and inept messaging, which is actually harmful to the cause they seek to advance. And only in a few rare cases, I suspect, are they successful in advancing longer term political consequences of the type the organizers ultimately seek.
The chief problem, as I see it, is that such demonstrations tend only to reinforce public preconceptions of the identity of the supporters of the cause in question, and therefore confirm the intended audience - the people whose minds the demonstrators are trying to change - in their established beliefs that the supporters are ultimately a negligible group, even if that group managed to turn out some numbers of members on a given day. The supposed "mass" who demonstrates is not identified in the mind of the target audience as a bunch of "people like me", but assumes an identity which produces more long term enemies than friends among that audience.
Think about the public demonstrations on behalf of Terry Schiavo. If you weren't already a supporter of keeping Schiavo on life support, would such demonstrations have had any appeal to you at all? Weren't the dominant images of those demonstrations only a reinforcement of the perception that the "Save Terry" crowd consisted in the usual bunch of hardline pro-life wingnut extremists, along with its standard cast of praying and blubbering nuns, abortion-clinic "direct action" supporters with their fetus-photo placards, religious authoritarians with a hatred of individual rights and autonomy, and other associated characters? The whole circus only succeeded in stamping the group as a minority, and in dragging down the political fortunes of many of the Republicans who foolishly chose to support them.
Turning to the Iraq war, consider a fence-sitting Democratic or Republican member of Congress. What is more likely to convince them to change their position? The information-poor demonstration that many people on the left who opposed the war all along still oppose the war? Or a demonstration that a substantial number of their middle of the road constituents who once opposed the war no longer do?
The in-your-face tactics of many of the Vietnam-era demonstrations might have forced people to confront some issues they otherwise wouldn't have faced, but they also succeded in helping to generate a cultural divide that bred a legion of permanent political enemies, from Nixon's silent majority, to the Reagan Democrats to Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, who have proceded to work and vote aginst progressive change for a generation, and have brought us Reagan, Bush I, DLC-Democrats and Bush II.
To achieve effective political persuasion, it is necessary to forge some sort of bond of mutual respect between the participants and the intended audience. But instead, modern mass demonstrations often seem to convey only a sense of impotent defiance and contempt, and a celebration of a tragic cultural solidarity of an identity-obsessed minority against many of the very people the demonstrations purportedly seek to persuade. The demonstrations may therfore be useful in building the morale of some of the participants, and in helping them network, but as acts of political theater and communications, they may be worse than inneffective. They may actually be counterproductive.
Certainly there were many serious and thoughtful voices to be found among the students who organized demonstrations agains the Vietnam War. But the serious and thoughtful voices were more often than not overwhelmed by words and images that were unserious, boorish, absurd, ignorant, childish and frivolous. And the enduring cultural memories attached to these demonstrations tend to attach to the latter type of behavior (much to the consternation, I'm sure, of the many serious people who participated in them) since the outlandish and offensive is always more memorable than the serious, rational and respectful.
One legacy of the Vietnam era is that while a majority of Americans were ultimately successfully convinced that the war was unwinable, and therefore persuaded to withdraw their support for the war, the reason they were convinced was in many cases due to the fact that they became convinced that the war lacked sufficient political support, and their perception that Americans lacked the will to achieve a victory that could have been achieved with sufficient dedication. So at bottom they resented the very political reality in which they finally acquiesced. They never felt ownership of their opposition, or fully participated in it emotionally and intellectually. It depressed and alienated them, and was perceived as forced upon them by people they did not like, and they fought back against it in the decades to come.
It is not sufficient only to end the Iraq war. The larger point, it seems to me, is to get a committed majority of Americans to think in a very different way about US interests in the Middle East and wider world, about the people and interets who currently dominate the politics of this country, about the long term consequences of current US policies around the globe, and about the wisdom of a reorientation or overhaul of those policies. Ending the war should be done such a way that it persuades millions of Americans that the critics and skeptics about the war were right all along, and that those who opposed the war often had a clearer vision of contemporary geopolitical realities, and a more enlightened view of the interests of Americans in that contemporary world.
If the Iraq War comes to an end, but the country then launches into a series of foolhardy jingoistic campaigns against Iran, Syria or even bigger fish like Russia and China, in order to recover some vanishing American mojo, or to cure a hated "Iraq syndrome", then the longer term struggle is lost, not won.
Americans must be thoroughly convinced that the architects of the war were not just well-meaning miscalculators, but that they were arrant fools, unAmerican betrayers of the Constitution, and reckless and compromised enemies of the interests of average Americans. They have to be persuaded that ending the Iraq war, and thoroughly overhauling the policies on which it was based, is the American and patriotic thing to do. If there is going to be an enduring cultural struggle in America as a result of this war, and there probably will be, then we want the antiwar side to come out on the right side of the cultural war this time.
December 26, 2006 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see evidence that the man in the street is doing the protesting. In 40 years or so in DC, most demonstrators for national causes came from outside.
In other words, your self-righteousness is such that you can impose yourself on people whom you don't check are supporters or not, but you want to inconvenience them to rub their faces into your point. How is this any more active listening than that of the Bush Administration?
The point about inconveniencing the people of Iraq is irrelevant -- two wrongs don't make a right, and the people of Iraq had no choice. There is no solidarity with the people of Iraq and your rhetorical question fails. Your forcing positions on Americans who might support your ideas, but not your tactics, again gives backlash.
Again, if you think you have a right, beyond peaceful picketing, to inconveniece me and limit my access, you are moving into criminality no matter how high-flown your purpose. Make no mistake I will take every effort to prosecute those that block me, in the interest of keeping the real message focused in spite of adolescent minds throiwing self-righteous tantrums.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 26, 2006 11:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the funny news stories section of the old "National Lampoon" I read an amusing story from Coacalco - a suburb a bit northeast from Mexico City. A local cop had beat up a local driver, and the town went bananas. Literally. I mean the protestors surrounded the mayor's office and invaded, and forced the mayor to eat 20 or so bananas while demanding justice for the abused motorist.
And wouldn't you know it, but about a year after I read that story I found myself in Coacalco, visiting a friend who lived there who had organized a Danzante group of young Nahuatl Indians from various parts of Mexico. I asked him about the Lampoon article, and he said "YES, it happened. I was there." But he added that after the banana torture, they also made him take all his clothes off and go outside his office to greet the demonstraters naked. And, oh yes, the offending policeman was disciplined and the victim motorist got some sort of financial award.
I'd guess that that violates your "rules of engagements" entirely, Howard. But I have no problem with what you are saying, personally. I think that the etiquette of confrontational politics should give a sound address to personal choice and rights, if for no other reason it undermines the righteousness of the issues at hand.
But bananas? I've never figured that one out, even after interviewing an eyewitness.
Neoboho
December 27, 2006 12:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
No one wants to go to demonstrations? Maybe this has something to do with it. The following was originally from AFP on Yahoo News, but they deleted it. I got this excerpt from the Guerilla News Network
http://gnn.tv/headlines/5258/Deadly_Bacteria_Detected_in_US_Capital_During_Anti_War_March
Of course, this was just a natural, but extrememly rare, occurence in Washington, a city known to be overrun with rabbits. Or else the dirty f*cking hippies were rolling in mouse shit before the protest - probably a wiccan thing, don't you know. Forums at the time showed some people from the protest did get sick, but not seriously. Almost as if it were a warning or threat. Yes, I know it says Laura was there. How much you wanna' bet she was not infected? Indeed, It's not clear why the article mentioned Laura.
And then there is the fact that Bush has quietly and dramatically increased his authority to declare martial law in response to "emergencies"
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3652&page=1
(see item 3)
I realize it says that Bush is only supposed to do this in response to an "emergency", but it includes such vagaries as "unlawful combination" and "conspiracy". While the vague language is not entirely new, Bush has shown a elasticity of interpretation that would do any Tarot reader proud. Leahy is calling this a fundamental attack on democracy.
December 27, 2006 1:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mass demonstrations re-energize the committed by helping them to overcome a sense of isolation they may be feeling. They might cause fence sitters to get off their butts. They might cause people who haven't analyzed the situation to start to think. Remember the image of Vietnam protestors was scarred by a media that looked at protestors through a Cold War filter. I remember demonstrating in NYC in April 1967 with over 60,000 others (I have been to many Philadelphia Eagles games and I know what 60,000 looks like). I arrived home to see that the NY Times reported there were 10,000 of us. I listened to Hubert Humphrey on Meet the Press explain that the protestors were "Communists". Thanks so much HHH.
The fact that Americans have been deceived about the real history of Vietnam was a deliberate act of the ruling elite so that the cannon fodder wouldn't complain when George W. Bush came along to con them into his imperialist war. This just shows that we have more work to do in many ways including mass protests. I doesn't mean that mass protests are wrong or ineffective.
Tom
December 27, 2006 5:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Howard,
Maybe, I'm misreading your emotions but you seem a lot more incensed about some non-existent protestor who is blocking your access to somewhere than you do about the ongoing unnecessary loss of life in Iraq.
What am I missing here (or what are you not aware of)?
Tom
December 27, 2006 5:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
LEL66 is at least as on-topic as someone raising the question of whether or not to call Iraq a war. Raising the question of "whether" in a debate about "how" strikes me as completely legitimate. Labelling his post with a troll rating was not in the spirit of open discussion.
December 27, 2006 6:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Point taken, rating changed.
December 27, 2006 7:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
So, another way of looking at what you're saying is that the more people think of the Iraq war as a war against jihadis the less chance there will be of mass protests against the war. It behooves us, therefore, to consider re-casting the popular view of what this war is about in order that the stage can be set for mass action (setting aside the debate, for now, about inconveniencing people who want to go about their business unimpeded).
So the question then becomes: How can this re-casting be done?
It would appear that creative energy should be applied. Yippie. (ahem)
December 27, 2006 7:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I suppose waiting in line is a problem for you too? I mean after all, someone else is blocking you from making whatever transaction you need to make right away.
Maybe there's a somewhat larger societal value in accepting a little inconvenience once in awhile.
December 27, 2006 7:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
In 40 years or so in DC, most demonstrators for national causes came from outside.
I guess forty years living in DC would turn anyone into a curmudgeon. Blame it all on the 'ousiders'. If they had always just let the DC'ers alone, the country would be such a better place.
December 27, 2006 8:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't help but think that the very idea of the defense of our country is mutating as has what our country has become. It's like the George Carlin line (I may have credit wrong) about cheering for pro-sport team uniforms as the members of the team change so often. An anology that can be carried quite far actually.
We are being asked to sacrfice the lives of so many young people and so many Iraqis so that a handful of mega-corporations can make out like bandits and a handful of uber-rich can continue their gluttony. Has "our country" become some conglomerate of corporations just wearing the flag? Yes.
How about a shared sacrifice in health care, education, housing, transportaion, consumption of resources, then we can talk about a draft.
December 27, 2006 8:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Between 1967 and the present, MSM reporting has been driven more by advertising revenue, reporter egos wanting to be Woodward-Berstein, and media conglomerates. Do I understand you to believe that there would be better coverage today?
As a general question, I'd like to hear more quotes from Congressmen who changed their stances as a result of demonstrations, and less who felt their participation in demonstrations was empowering.
Make no mistake that I consider demonstrations that do not disrupt ordinary citizens other than protected speech. Make no mistake that I cosider mass rather than local demonstration a relatively ineffectual form of protest. Make no mistake that I consider "shut down the city" demonstrations to be criminal.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 8:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Before the baracades are climbed perhaps it would be useful to know what the "surge" is meant to be. In Wednesday's Washinton Post Gen. Jack Keane(ret.) and Frederick W. Kagan outline their "surge" proposal.
"Bringing security to Baghdad--the essential precondition for political compromise, national reconciliation and economic development--is possible only with a "surge" of at least 30,000 combat troops lasting 18 months or so. Any other option is likely to fail."
They reject the usefulness of a short stay surge, the idea is seen as dangerous, or one with not enough troops. They also doubt the utility of expecting too many Iraqi troops participating in the "surge".[WashingtonPost.com http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/12/26/AR2006122600773.html]
One might still want to demonstrate against this idea or oppose it in other ways but it is worth knowing what you are against.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 27, 2006 8:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
First, after 40 years or so of dealing with demonstrators, I hardly consider them nonexistent.
Second, I do not believe such a blocking demonstration contributes to policy changes and thus has a sacred right to block me. I specifically want to hear why mass protest that does not block is insufficient to something that uses force or the threat of force.
Third, I think we'd have to talk about which life in Iraq and how it would be affected. I believe lobbying and local demonstrations to be far more important in saving lives.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
You da person!
December 27, 2006 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Waiting in line is often a voluntary act, to which I often have alternatives.
I may, indeed, be inconvenienced by actions by duly authorized officials. I reject completely that an arbitrary demonstrator has the right to inconvenience me, as opposed to the right to noninterfering speech.
Lots of strawmen around this morning; a goat would think it an incredible past. Right now, I hear a lot about demonstrators being able to do what they want, to whoever they want, and expect no consequences.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 8:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Note that I agree with, and will work to implement, much of what you cite -- and I don't see mass demonstrations, especially those that deliberately block movement in a city, productive in reaching those goals.
At some point, each movement has to decide if its goals/strategy are less important than its tactics.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 8:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
December 27, 2006 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
December 27, 2006 8:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
My comments were addressing the question raised by M.J. Rosenberg.
I happen to agree with him that:
My only qualifications would be that it is now quite obvious that Bush will, not "may" get "his" troops and that Democrats have the authority to refuse funding but will in fact approve increased funding. A lot more than half the caucus will vote for it.
Also my agreement that "The results of the election were great" should be understood in the backhanded sense that it requires Democrats to get serious since they will either have to take responsibility for quickly ending the war by cutting the funds or for fighting it by increasing funds. Everyone knows that the quickest way to end a war is accepting defeat.
The Democrat caucus will choose to accept responsibility for the war by increasing funds. This means that the pretence they are Bush's troops will become increasingly silly. They will also be Hilary Clinton's troops, and Nancy Pelosi's.
The question was:
My initial answer above was succinct enough not to need repeating.
The replies so far from Hoppy, Howard and oleeb merely confirm my claim that the sort of people who write and think this way are not the sort of people who organize serious mass movements to defeat their government in war.
For example oleeb writes:
Given that the elected government of Iraq and a commission representing the mainstream of both major parties in the US claim the opposite, one would expect some refutation of their position, particularly when the expectation is, as M.J. Rosenberg points out that the US government, with support from both parties, will in fact increase troop levels.
Does oleeb even pretend to himself that his "obvious common sense" argument is anything but an expression of complete impotence? If he believed what he was saying, and was serious about mobilizing a mass movement against both parties in Congress, wouldn't he be at least attempting to offer evidence in support of his "obvious common sense"?
The Vietnam protest movement did not pretend that withdrawing US troops would not result in a victory for the enemy that US troops were fighting. (Nixon did, we didn't). Nor did we avoid the issue like Hoppy and Howard.
If we had, we could not have mobilized anybody because nobody could have taken anything we said seriously. Governments can get away with spouting completely incoherent nonsense (as Bush does and as Nixon did when pretending that the war was about recovering POWs and withdrawing troops would therefore be peace with honour). But you cannot persuade people to mobilize against their own government by spouting incoherent nonsense.
If you were comfortable with a victory for the jihadis and death squads you would say so.
You can convince each other that it isn't an issue and Howard can probably even convince himself that he replied to the extracts I gave about the different mindset of the Vietnam protest movement. But there is no way you can build a mass movement around convincing yourselves or convincing each other.
You are in fact no more comfortable with the jihadis and death squads winning in Iraq than Bush is.
Nor are you any more convinced that withdrawing as soon as you can would not have that result than Bush is.
So, you are stuck and will remain stuck.
That of course is the subtext of M.J. Rosenberg's odd remark that:
I can't see the Democrats stopping him and I'm not even sure that they have the authority to.
The post was actually not about mobilizing a protest movement but about reconciling yourselves to the fact that you cannot.
December 27, 2006 8:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
What should be the consequence to a demonstrator blocking my path and refusing to move, no police in sight? I can think of times where I was blocked in my way to work at medical facilities.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been among the commenters suspicious of the power of demonstrations to change minds. Maybe I'm just growing cynical as Bush digs into his bunker, after the language of protest in the 1960s has been coopted for fund-raising walks for verious diseases, or after hearing the GOP convention pickets with me shouting "This is what democracy looks like" while feeling in my heart that in practice democracy was going down the tubes. And I leave open whether the tactic will regain pertinence and that I'll change my mind. Good discussion (although I liked Dan K's post best and am actually intrigued by what local demonstrations can do).
But I seriously have to draw the line at Howard B.'s objection. Yes, demonstrators do "have a unilateral right to block my physical freedom." It's in the first amendment.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 27, 2006 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Martin Luther King did things that were appropriate to the communications and political environment of the early sixties. Things have changed.
It's not so much that things have changed, as it is the fact that MLK was trying to change things were entirely local and a part of everyday life where individual behavior made a great deal of difference. The Iraq War, like Vietnam before it, are distant realities which do not involve us on a regular basis and where on our personal, day-to-day behavior is irrelevant.
December 27, 2006 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have repeatedly said that peaceful assembly is protected speech, as is petition. I see no text referring to the right to block access in public places.
As one example, perhaps not the best, of differentiating access from picketing [my emphasis], "The Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances Act -- often abbreviated as FACE or FACEA -- is a United States law protecting reproductive health service facilities and their staff and patients from violent threats, assault, vandalism, and blockade. Despite its name, FACE also provides the same protection to churches and other places of worship, and to their congregants as well. See Court Ruling.
Fred Phelps and his ilk, whenever they crawl out from under a rock, evicted because the worms don't want to associate with them, do not blockage. They are incredibly offensive, and I support every means of limiting their presence. I don't have to like it when someone exercises First Amendment rights and stays the slightest bit within the protected line, but I simply don't see how the Amendment protects blockade. -- Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, absolutely, Howard, one can't block access. Just doesn't seem all that relevant to the whole discussion of demonstrations. Indeed, perhaps it was because it seemed so that I may have misunderstood you to be arguing more broadly that demonstrations are bad things because, after all, the inevitably impede traffic, slow the course of some seeking emergency care, make it take a few minutes longer for someone to get to work, etc. For that matter, I had to allow extra time to get to a train at Penn Station when the GOP were in town at Madison Square Garden, and that wasn't the day of the demonstration against them.
John
http://www.haberarts.com/
December 27, 2006 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think we are converging on the things to which I object. For example, take the Marine Corps Marathon in DC, which blocks bridges and major streets. The route is laid out well in advance, with traffic recommendations of alternate routes. The participants stay in their area.
In contrast are demonstrations where a crowd arrives, fills streets outside an area where a permit was requested (if it was), and demonstrators announce they are blocking all access to a place such as the World Bank -- but also block a number of things in its general areas that have nothing to do with the protests.
The Mall is a fair place for demonstrations; lots of room and visibility, yet lots of alternate routes. When a trucker group staged a protest, however, they consciously parked 18-wheelers to block the alternate routes. Police negotiators worked out a compromise.
So extra time, sure. Face-to-face confrontation and blocking sidewalks with people linking arms and not letting anyone by, no. Conscious efforts to "shut down the city", no.
You will note plenty of ways in which a civil demonstration can happen, and, yes, with fair regulation -- and the courts are there for unfair regulation. My belief that massive demonstrations are not politically useful is separate from my disapproval of especially disruptive demonstrations, to which there is no Constitutional right. The Bush Administration also has no constitutional right to exclude, selectively, people with anti-Bush T-shirts from a parade route; the demonstrators aren't guaranteed TV coverage.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe it does seem to you you that this is...a growing theme for both Democrats and Republicans.
What I questioned was the statement that there is an attitude ON THIS SITE that we blame the Iraqis for this mess. I haven't seen anything like that, and so I asked for examples. The original poster did not respond to my question, and you didn't provide any TPM examples. This is the statement I referred to:
One of the disturbing this about the way some people here discuss the war is that they seem to blame the Iraqi people for the disaster we inflicted on them.
Jan Knaus
December 27, 2006 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
You just don't get it Mr. Dent. It is precisely because our government, including most in both parties, is so out of touch with reality that we need demonstrations and more. The "government" in Iraq is a pathetic puppet organization that cannot stand on its own and has no credibility here or in Iraq. We are the problem in Iraq. That is clear. The only way the Iraqis are going to be able to solve the problems we have created is if we leave them the hell alone and get the hell out of there. If you don't agree fine, but you fool only yourself.
By the way, how the hell would you know anything about me or what kind of person I might be in terms of organizing demonstrations? You don't know a damn thing about me, what I do or how I do it, so why don't you keep your ill-informed personal comments to yourself? In contrast, I can tell very well from what you write and how you write it that you are far more impressed with yourself and your ideas than you ought to be sir.
December 27, 2006 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The other thing that's changed is that there is no Martin Luther King today. Plus, it isn't only that issues need to be local, they need to be specific. You have to demonstrate for some tangible, achievable serious goal. The demonstrations went wrong in the 60's when they devolved into rock fests and drug fests and unserious utopian agendas.
December 27, 2006 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember the vast, vast majority of the protestors weren't doing those things but the corporate controlled media for the most part made it seem that way.
Tom
December 27, 2006 4:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
On one level, you are quite correct, if misguided.
It never crossed my mind to defeat my government in war. It is actively in my mind to change the policies of my government in war, especially when there has been massive, credible feedback, through the electoral process, that the war policy is not acceptable.
Apparently, I want to work within the system and you do not. Apparently, you want to be able to pick and choose laws, much Bush did with intelligence, so you can do the equivalent of "signing statements" to interfere with the rights of citizens because your cause and tactics are so pure. Are you that envious of Bush's attempts to go outside the Constitutional system? So it would seem.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
It never crossed my mind to defeat my government in war.
I think we are in close enough agreement as to why there won't be the sort of demonstrations M.J Rosenberg asked about.
Nobody actually capable of organizing a movement for defeat is comfortable about who would win.
You were on the other side in Vietnam, but those of us who did organize opposition were serious about defeating our government in war. It went well beyond picking and choosing what laws to follow. We were at war and our side won.
Some people here will continue telling anyone who will listen that their government is out of touch with reality, and that any who disagree are only fooling themselves.
A chrous will agree that the elected government of Iraq are pathetic puppets of the US and that problems will disappear when US troops are withdrawn.
But its obviously pretty harmless stuff, intended for comforting each other rahter than for persuading anybody else. The sort of protests it leads to are like those chanting "not in our name" back in 2003 - broad but shallow and impotent.
Deep down people here know that the government of Iraq are not US puppets and that the enemy the US is fighting is not the Iraqi people but fascists, jihadis and death squads killing the Iraqi people.
That can be ignored while talking among yourselves but it cannot be "re-cast" for popular consumption by any amount of "creative energy".
Nobody serious wants to see Iraq and the US defeated by a bunch of fascists and jihadi and death squad medievalists.
So nobody serious is organizing a movement for defeat.
Creative energy only gets applied to such things when one is genuinely comfortable about who would win.
December 27, 2006 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 27, 2006 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't read every post on this site, but this post (from December 5, 2006 at 5:42 pm) seems to me to exemplify the train of thought that Mr. Rosenberg mentioned:
"Unless you believe Arabs to be children there is every reason to believe that the Iraqis created this situation for themselves. A monstrous dictator was deposed. The Iraqis could have used that moment to create a new democratic regime.
Even now it is not necessary for tem to slaughter each other. This is their doing not Americas. The government of Iraq could attempt to govern the whole nation not just sectarian parts of it.
There is no doubt that Bush and Rumsfeld made a hash of their own policy. Whatever chance of success was lost in 2003. However, the Iraqis are responsible for their own behavior."
December 27, 2006 10:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see why we are still over there - does Bush enjoy knowing he's ripping apart families, destroying them and washing their homes in bloodshed and tears?
We haven't gotten ANYTHING done over there and have only made it worse. We aren't even looking for Osama anymore
(it seems - we have kickass technology and intellegent soilders yet we can't find the idiot anywhere... maybe we should also be looking for Bush's brain - as it remains to be seen)
This is the Nowhere War - Bush's War. Part of me believes he's doing this for something - and we'll get some big payoff or something in the end...
Then, the rational side of me says: "Yeah - big payoff = big boom"
Men often hate each other because they fear each other; they fear each other because they don't know each other; they don't know each other because they can not communicate; they can not communicate because they are separated.
December 28, 2006 5:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's doing this for the military-industrial complex. As long as those big contracts keep coming Halliburton is happy.
Tom
December 28, 2006 5:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Very well said and well reasoned. You expertly hide your false premises to arrive at a logical case for xenophobia.
December 28, 2006 5:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
So all can be on the same virtual sheet of paper, what do you consider the false premises?
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 28, 2006 6:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is in reply to Howards's question:
So all can be on the same virtual sheet of paper, what do you consider the false premises [that Mr. Dent uses to reach the conclusion that there will be no effective protests aimed at bringing the troops home]?
I have unindented for the sake of readability.
Most prominent is Mr. Dent's implied premise that the war is winnable and that there is no serious support for the proposition that the war is not winnable. This is manifestly untrue, but necessary for his case.
Calling our enemies "fascists, jihadis and death squads" is another premise that is unsupported, inflammatory, and irrelevant. Regardless of their reliqious motivation, the insurgents could easily sell the case that they are fighting an occupying force and its tame pet government, and that they are just as entitled to their rebellion as the French Resistance was.
There is another implicit assumption in his argument, one that was discredited even by the Right prior to the war: That there is a friendly, religiously tolerant power base in Iraq to assume the reigns sometime in the foreseeable future. I may be mistaken, but I think it was George Will who bemoaned the country's lack of "an Iraqi Thomas Jefferson waiting in the wings." Note that both Sunnis and Shiites are insurgent. The Kurds don't need to be, thus are not. They will in any case likely emerge independent from, and fighting with, the rest of the country in whatever mess resolves this conflict.
Finally, there is his assumption that withdrawing from Iraq is a defeat. In fact, the defeat has been accomplished. In removing our presence, the United States would not be suffering a defeat, it would be admitting one.
December 28, 2006 6:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see "fascists" on the preceding post nor do I consider it accurate for radical Islamists. Death squads and insurgets do seem applicable.
I also agree there is no clear condition that would consitute a US victory. Had the US involved itself with very different goals and forces, there might have been alternatives, but are none now.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 28, 2006 6:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
From the Dent comment to which I replied:
Deep down people here know that the government of Iraq are not US puppets and that the enemy the US is fighting is not the Iraqi people but fascists, jihadis and death squads killing the Iraqi people.
December 28, 2006 6:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, I missed that. Applying "fascist" to the current enemy completely misuses that term.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
December 28, 2006 6:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
[deleted duplicate]
December 28, 2006 7:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
A.D. wrote
In part, I assume as a response to a comment I made, outdented below.Perhaps, even deeper "down" people may realize, that despite the fact that they would not want to see fanatic, religious fundalmentalists to take over the government of Iraq, these "jihadis" (a term I'm not sure is correct here, but I'll use for brevity) are not in fact our enemy. People may, even deeper down, realize that this "war" is not the fictitious war of us, the U.S. of A. against them, the evil jihadis but is in fact a war waged against us, the poor and middle class by our very own government. A war at the behest of the new order of mega-corporations and uber-rich struggling to control the last of the oil, natural gas and means of delivering them. We are being victimized (or will be shortly once the bill becomes due) and thrown to the maw of war on the fields of people we should be in solidarity with.
Creativity needs to be applied to explicate this reality.
December 28, 2006 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don’t understand a lot of this discussion of “demonstrations” and “movements”. This way of looking at the matter strikes out of date and out of touch, a nostalgic misreading of the political present through Vietnam era tintypes.
We are all now bathed in a world of constant talk and debate on the radio, television, op-ed pages and the internet, and the battle for the hearts and minds of Americans takes place there – not in the streets with signs. The battle has already been fought in the omnipresent media, and the skeptical voices have successfully penetrated the citadel once held by the war party and are starting to swarm it.
The politicians in Washington and their mouthpieces in the media have caught the new wave. Most of the true believers have given up, the die-hards look increasingly ridiculous and are now frequently held up to ridicule by the mainstream, and the fence-sitters and moderates have changed sides. The irresistible political thrust is in the direction of getting out. (This is not necessarily a new "progressive" wave - but it is a unified anti-Bush, end-the-war wave.)
Neither of the major parties wants to go into 2008 with the war hanging around the necks of their candidates. They both want out.
The majority of the US governing establishment now wants to get out of Iraq. There is indeed a permanent government in Washington. Bush tried to purge it and defeat it but has failed, and its counteroffensive is now working to wrest control of events back from the incompetent administration. It is winning.
Once the new Congress gets back to Washington, there will be a vigorous rhetorical counteroffensive to Bush’s December media offensive. It has in fact already begun (see Biden). The necessity of getting out is recognized by much the US military and the most politically viable components of the US party establishments.
The majority of the public thinks the war was a mistake and wants to get out, and is now very canny about calls for deeper engagement dressed up as exit strategies. These last gasp political efforts by Bush aren’t going to work. His hand will be forced.
The once politically mighty John McCain has seen his poll numbers tank ever since he proposed his troop increases and victory strategy. The political writing is on the wall, and Washington is hearing it.
The question now is only about the modalities of the exit, and about what rough framework will be left behind on the ground.
The Iraqi government may not be a puppet exactly. But they are largely only a show government, heavily dependent on US support, and extremely weak. Their armed forces are a joke, and Washington is not particularly eager to arm them anyway. They command little support and confidence in Iraq, and all the real power lies outside it or independent of it. The “Iraqi people” are a diverse lot and are pulling in a variety of different directions. And the prominent directions of pull do not pull in the direction leading to the long term viability of the government.
Perhaps it is true that “nobody serious wants to see Iraq and the US defeated by a bunch of fascists and jihadi and death squad medievalists.” But we’re past that stage. In some parts of the country we’re at the stage of “choose your medievalists” to prevent further losses. In other places it is a matter of consolidating the modest gains that have already been made.
The problems in Iraq are increasingly treated along separate tracks, not via a comprehensive strategy for empowering the Iraqi government.
Kurdish home rule in the north is clearly much better for the Kurds than Baathist rule, and in the long run will only be dragged down by attachment to the mess in Baghdad and regions south. Kurdish support for the government is a temporary measure for allying with Shiites who are fighting a common enemy in the insurgency, and will only endure that so long as that remains an issue – if even that long. As Kurds consolidate their hold on the north, and grow confident in their ability to defend themselves, their attachment to the central government will dwindle. Both the US and the Iranians seems to have good relations with Kurdish leaders, and seem to have accepted the reality of some form of Kurdish home rule, and will help the Kurds defend themselves indefinitely against Sunni Arab efforts to regain control of parts of the north. They have a common interest there. The main problem in the north is now a settlement of Turkish-Kurdish disputes. But that problem should be treatable via US diplomacy, and is increasingly an independent diplomatic track unrelated to what is happening in the south.
Shiite rule in the south is also clearly better for the Shiites than rule by Baathists, or by the Sunni Islamists who make up significant parts of the insurgency. The main issue in the south increasingly appears to be the power struggle between the SCIRI Badr Brigades and the Sadrist Mahdi Army. The Iraqi government is not going to solve this problem, except to the extent that one or other of these groups eventually come to dominate that government after their victory on the ground.
Leaving Iraq will require some way of assuring that the Sunni insurgency is not able to mount a new offensive and retake territory it has lost. It ultimately requires putting military power in place to allow the Kurdish and Shiite communities to defend themselves, or tolerating the defense of those communities by outside forces. Apparently some Saudi factions support a strategic shift toward parts the insurgency to destroy Iranian influence in southern Iraq. But it seems to me that this is an absolute political no-go in the US, since there is no way the US military or the American people will sit still for a shift toward the very people who have been most responsible for killing our soldiers for the past few years. Other Saudi factions seem willing to tolerate a modus vivendi with Iran, and are urging the US in this direction. My guess is that is ultimately what is going to happen.
December 28, 2006 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
The paragraph K J Liberal accurately cites makes it difficult for me to comprehend his claim that I "expertly hide" my false premises.
Likewise nothing has been offered in support of the claim that I was making a case for "xenophobia".
I will charitably take both "unkind" remarks as merely being an attempt to emphasize the extent to which KJL rejects my "false" premises in the context of having congratulated me for the presentation of my case (and rated it 4).
If that charitable interpretation is incorrect and they were intended to be serious accusations I can only respond that I see no argument in support of them to reply to.
Most of KJL's post appears to be based on a misapprehension that we are discussing the pros and the cons of the US withdrawing as soon as possible.. I was in fact responding (from the perspective of an opponent of any such withdrawal) to the very specific question posed in M.J. Rosenberg's post.
The two issues do of course overlap, but please note that my quick notes below are still confined to the overlap rather than an attempt to argue my "case" on the wider question in this topic. These notes are in support of my case that a mass protest movement will not emerge capable of forcing a US withdrawal.
1. Disagreements with government policy as to whether the war is winnable or has already been lost are a basis for heated disputes as to policy, including various forms of lawful protest. The extravagent language with which opposition to the US Government's views on that are being expressed conveys the tone of an incipient movement capable of blocking the US Government from ontinuing to act on its own view of the situation, but without the substance. The people who organized the Vietnam protests were not motivated by that belief. It is not very motivational.
2. There is a Sunni (tribalist) insurgency which can and does "easily sell the case that they are fighting an occupying force and its tame pet government, and that they are just as entitled to their rebellion as the French Resistance was." I did not refer to that insurgency in my post.
3. If I had mentioned it I would have pointed out that it can only sell that case to a section of Sunnis unreconciled to losing their dominant social position that dates back hundreds of years. My view is that they are not the main problem and in fact are already shifting towards looking to US troops for protection against Shia death squads and jihadis.
4. The 3 enemies I did mention were fascists, jihadis and (Shia) death squads. If you prefer the less "loaded" term "Baathists" to "fascists" I am happy to oblige. In my view the Baath party was a classical fascist party (openly established on fascist principles in the 1930s in much the same way as Lebanon's Falangists and the Jabotinsky "revisionist" wing of Zionism). I also believe that the term fascist can reasonably (though with much less historical precision) be applied to the Takfiri fanatics (mainly Salafi/Wahabi, not Deobandi as in Afghanistan) that I referred to as "jihadis" and to the Shia sectarian death squads. But that is a side issue, so lets just use "neutral" language - Baathists, jihadis and (Shia) death squads.
5. These 3 enemies are diametrically opposed to each other, which is one reason I am confident the Iraqi government will ultimately defeat all of them. They are all fighting the Iraqi government and the US and they can "win" in the sense of carving off bits of Iraq for themselves, though not in any permanent sense.
6. These are the 3 groups that are responsible for the current grave situation and who benefit from it.
7. An implicit assumption of most people posting here is that they are not the enemy and that the US is in fact fighting some sort of popular insurgency against foreign occupation. If that assumption was correct you would be able to do the educational work to persuade people about it in much the same way that the Vietnam protest movement started with "teach-ins" explaining the truth that America was at war with a popular national liberation movement in Vietnam rather than defending "freedom" against some (external) "Communist aggression". You would then have highly motivated people capable of building a mass protest movement able to block the US government from continuing.
8. But the assumption is just empty talk and sloganeering. Nobody is trying to seriously make that case. If you did start doing the research and educational work in support of it you would quickly discover that it simply does not correspond to reality. This ought to be obvious just from the daily news about terror attacks on civilians (currently running to about 100 per day). That cannot possibly be the work of a popular resistance to foreign occupation. There is no way to spin it and no point trying.
9. That (explicit) assumption that the enemy in Iraq really IS engaged in mass murder of the Iraqi people and that US forces areally ARE fighting people who are doing that is all I needed to make my case that you will not get anyone motivated enough to build a protest movement capable of stopping the US government from continuing to do that.
10. If the US government ever came to the conclusion that the war is unwinnable, or that it is no longer in the interests of the US ruling class to keep fighting it, then of course they would give up.
11. Long before you could build a mass movement convinced of that you would be able to convince the US government to withdraw for the same reason that the mass movement would be demanding it withdraw. But you cannot convince anybody of a proposition that is self-evidently absurd. Anyone can see for themselves that the enemy is attacking the Iraqi people - and that blows the motivation for a mass protest movement right out of the water.
December 28, 2006 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
The war is a public event, and you don't even need a ticket.
I take your point about your personal freedom, and it's one that we all should consider for the reasons you list. However, I think that your argument about your freedom being constrained is a bit thin. Public experience includes inconvenience. What if I were to charge the organizers of my local St. Pat's Day Parade with assault? And I'm not even clear what that particular demonstration is even about.
That you were once permitted from going to work at your hospital job is a powerful anecdote, and any organizers ought to consider how to make their statements in the most peaceful way possible. That said, I think the counter-coup demonstrations a few years ago in Venezuela are a good example of the plasticity of "the political process" that you claim to believe in. We have suffered something akin to a coup in this country. Is there any point at which the ethical choice in a given system becomes direct, disruptive action? Is there a way to measure the inconvenience of the war?
If it can be shown that large demonstrations would bring a quicker end to our involvement in this ongoing catastrophe, that would, to my mind, far outway the ethical problems raised by causing someone to have to walk five blocks out of their way, or even to miss work for a day.
December 28, 2006 9:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, I agree with you about the sentiments in that post. You have a point there!
Jan Knaus
December 28, 2006 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
You make some good points here. I was going to say that I don't feel the need to defend my statements, but apparently I do. So here goes:
Item: As I said and demonstrated, several of your premises were never stated; rather they were implicit. Thus, they were "expertly hidden."
Item: I rated the comment to which I replied a 4 because, well, as I said, it was well-written and well-reasoned, albeit from faulty premises. I don't up- or downgrade comments based on their congruity with my opinions. Well, umm, OK, sometimes.
Item: You needn't bother being charitable in interpreting my characterization. You may assume that I write what I mean. We can discuss my justification off-line if you wish. I do not care to clutter this forum with clever, hair-splitting arguments over definitions.
Item: With regard to my "misapprehension" about whether we were discussing the virtues of withdrawal or the propensity of the American public to demonstrate: In my first paragraph, I wrote that your implied premise requires that there be no serious public support for the proposition that the war is unwinnable, which I find lacking in truthiness. I suppose I might have tacked "and the public perceives and agrees with this point" to each paragraph, but I assumed your ability to read it tacitly. Was I mistaken?
As you point out, your 11-point statement of principles does not belong in this thread. Moreover, it deserves to be a complete topic of its own, not buried three layers and seven indents deep in a wide-ranging discussion. May I suggest you post in that way so that I can explode your arguments closer to the left margin?
I will say this, though. I agree with your conflation of hard-core Baathists with facists. Even if not technically correct, it is morally true.
December 28, 2006 11:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
This part of the thread has a bit of a theological tinge to it.
The Baath Parties of Iraq and Syria were modelled on the facists of Europe. Saddem himself was a great admirer of Stalin. Stalin a totalitarian but not a facist.
Mussolini the expositor of facism elevated the State to the primary position in society. The state was the bring glory and took precendence over the individual. Violence was the means by which glory and success was to be gained by the state.
The Nazis shared with the facists many elements especially the glory of violence. However they replaced the State with the Folk.
The current enemy of the West shares some elements of the facists. In their use of terror and their encouragement of suicide they share the power of violence. They also reduce the significance of the individual. However, to the extent that they look to their interpretation of Islam as their organizing principle they elevate the Believers rather than the state.
Perhaps it would be more useful that this is one more, the last, post WWI movement that glories in the power of violence in order to empower the group.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
December 28, 2006 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm moving from tip of long sub-thread indented too much back to left margin as requested. However as the main post is no longer linked from front page and now extends over 2 pages I'm not promising to keep responding.
Briefly:
1. Daniel Greenberg seems to want to debate Sadaam and Stalin. Too off topic for me.
2. KJL's point seems to be that that a mass protest movement can be based on public support for the proposition that the war is unwinnable or already lost. I have already responded to that cursorily by saying it isn't a very motivating proposition and at greater length by pointing out that the effort put into convincing people of that and mobilizing them to block the government from proceeding with an unwinnable war would be pointless since it would be much easier to persuade the government if that proposition was true. Its the sort of belief that motivates people to write shrill comments in blogs and talk only to people who agree with them that Bush is crazy. It isn't the sort of belief that motivates people to tackle the task of mobilizing mass protests that governments actually have to retreat from. It was the vicious evil of US aggression against Vietnam that motivated people to organize the Vietnam protests. The conclusion that the war was unwinnable was not a cause but a consequence of the determination with which that aggressive war was fought against both by Vietnamese and by protestors. Indignation about Americans risking their lives defending Iraqis from being massacred by fascists, jihadis and death squads just isn't as motivating as indignation about Americans massacring Vietnamese.
3. whatdoIknow writes:
Creativity needs to be applied to explicate this reality.
This caricature illustrates what I mean by shrillness. It isn't the sort of thing written either by people seriously out to overthrow a government or seriously out to block it from waging a war. There is simply no way to "explicate" that sort of "reality". The call for "creativity" in doing so is merely a cover for not being able to convince anybody of anything because of not actually having even attempted to study political issues in any depth at all.
4. Dan K's remarks deserve a more substantive response, but mainly on issues that I am sure will come up in other topics.
On the narrow question I am responding to, of whether a mass protest movement could force a withdrawal as soon as possible Dan seems to be saying that it won't need to because:
There's really not much point us arguing about that. We'll know soon enough. I have stuck my neck out by predicting that Bush will get Congressional approval for increased troop levels, so Dan will be able to say "I told you so" if he doesn't. Will Dan acknowledge that Bush's hand won't be forced if the increased troop levels are approved?
I think the majority of the US establishment always thought it was a mistake to go in and is now convinced it was a disaster. They would certainly like to pull out as quickly as possible. The question is whether they can or whether they will accept that worse disasters would result from doing so.
The Baker Commission seems to be accepted as reflecting the bipartisan consensus of the establishment. If the establishment was in fact going to force Bush's hand its report would have recommended a deadline for withdrawal and minimized the consequences. Instead it explicitly opposed a deadline, emphasized that defeat in Iraq would be disasterous for the US and prepared the way for an immediate small "surge".
To understand why that happened, just take a look at Dan's own discussion of an exit strategy.
After a plausible discussion of Kurdish secession and slightly less plausible discussion of Shia power struggles in the south, Dan gives up entirely concerning the Sunnis:
In other words the US cannot withdraw without a bloodbath in Baghdad or a haven for Baathists and jihadis bent on revenge attacks until the Iraqi government is able to defend itself. That is pretty much what both Bush and Baker are saying.
Ok, I ignored the alternative "or tolerating the defense of those communities by outside forces". But that was me being kind.
The only light Dan sheds on that alternative possibility is this final sentence.
Since it was only "my guess" I will spare you an extended discussion of why the Sunni insurgency and even more so the fascists and jihadis claim to be fighting "Persians" and why Saudi Arabia has publicly threatened to fund their fight against Persians if the US does withdraw.
My point is that the "realists" establishment is now stuck with a new reality that can only be "stabilized" by victory for the elected government in Iraq. There is no way to restore the old reality that they previously declared to be realistic and they are not even advocating doing so any more. So it turned out not to be so realistic and the complete triumph of the establishment over the Bushies turns out to be somewhat pyrrhic as it requires the establishment to consolidate the new reality they opposed.
This is not a promising environment for effective mass protest mobilizations but only for massive confusion.
(I expect it will be especially confusing over Palestine and Iran as focussing Israeli and Congressional attention on Iran may be as central to enabling wtihdrawal from the West Bank as focussing attention on WMDs was to getting the war powers resolution through in 2002).
December 29, 2006 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Subthread continued here
My response to this and other comments too indented below is moved to the left margin at end of second page.
If above link doesn't work try clicking next page (near bottom of this page), then scrolling to end or searching for my name.
December 29, 2006 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your comments here have been very interesting to read! I agree with your point that the political dynamics involved in "winning" and "losing" in Iraq are far more difficult to unravel than they were in Indochina, and that effective protest is more difficult as a result. Also an excellent comment about the establishment realists' Phyrric victory.
Your off-hand dismissal of whatdoIknow's macroeconomic, antimilitarist rejection of war, however, is not convincing. The idea that war benefits the upper classes at the expense of workers has been espoused by progressive thinkers from MLK to Debs to Bakunin to Chomsky to Marx to Thoreau. It is hardly the statement of someone who has not "...attempted to study political issues in any depth at all...". It seems to me that this is in fact one starting point from which any serious discussion of political issues involving war needs to begin, or else we are just living out adolescent hero fantasies. And if you think that other factors outweigh the inherent suffering caused by the decision to continue fighting, then you'll have to have a very convincing argument if you want to win over anyone who has studied history and who has a humanist bone in his body.
Also, please explain your use of the term "fascists" here. Which part of the insurgecy do you think is fascist? Do you think that the U.S. Army is fascist?
One more question: If Iraqis' biggest threat comes from death squads that only we are capable of protecting them from, then why do the overwhelming majority of Iraqis want us to leave?
December 30, 2006 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hi emmons,
Thanks. As mentioned we're on page 2 of a topic that is no longer linked from front page so not much point continuing discussion here. No doubt we'll meet on related issues in other threads so I'll just keep this reply brief.
1. My off-hand dismissal was of both the tone and content of the specific paragraph quoted rather than of "antimilitarist rejection of war" in general.
2. For the point I was making it is sufficient to note that no serious mass movement blocking a war has ever made acceptance of the view that "that war benefits the upper classes at the expense of workers" a:
The starting point has to be concrete analysis of the particular war. Believing that you can do mass mobilization on the principles suggested implies never having actually studied the problem.
3. If we were having an in depth discussion about "antimilitarist rejection of war" I would certainly off handedly dismiss any suggestion that Marx held the view you attribute to him. He was notoriously not a pacifist and supported many wars.
4. In the Vietnam protests plenty of people who started out with humanist, pacifist and anti-militarist principles ended up reaching the conclusion, as a result of their study of both current events and history, that despite the "inherent human suffering caused by the decision to keep fighitng" that was what had to be done until victory was achieved against the US aggressors. We therefore supported the war waged by the by Vietnamese liberation armed forces against the US and puppets. We were "hawks" not "doves" (and we won ;-)
Our arguments were convincing enough for many GIs to actively work for military defeat of the US, including fragging officers.
There are an awful lot of Iraqis convinced that the war they are fighting against the fascists, jihadis and death squads is worth fighting too. US casualties are negligible compared with theirs and they don't have the luxury of thinking about giving up.
5. I explained who I described as "fascist" in point 4 here
6. Many Sunnis still believe they can dominate the Shia and still support Sunni insurgency to force US troops to leave. Overwhelming majority of Sunnis have always wanted US to leave but this is dropping now as a result of Shia death squads. Many Shia believe the US has been pretty useless (primary orientation to "force protection") and should get out of the way and let Shia militia ethnically cleanse the Sunnis so jihadis stop massacring Shia.
7. I'm not going to do detailed analysis of the Baghdad Shia and general survey data. Sufficient to note that Iraqi government does not share the public's view that withdrawal timetable would strengthen the Iraqi government or they would call for it too. Also major factor seems to be continuing public belief that US would stay even when Government does ask them to leave (hence expressed willingness to fight US troops if necessary). That belief is plainly wrong as the US would have no choice but to leave when actually asked to by Iraqi Government let alone faced with attacks from Shia generally.
8. Be very clear that the discussion in US is about whether US should leave despite Iraqi government wanting them to stay. Only a section of Sunnis are fighting the Iraqi government. Overwhelming majority of Iraqis support it and are merely expressing their opinions in response to survey questions rather than making demands for action from the Government. When Iraqi Government asks US to leave there will be no controversy about that in either US or Iraq. The controversy is about leaving when Iraqi Government still asking for help.
December 30, 2006 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two comments:
1. Civil War - "Rich man's war; poor man's fight."
2. Item #4 above - I don't think "plenty is the correct word to describe the amount of Vietnam protestors who started out with pacifist ideals and ending up hoping American soldiers would get killed by Vietnamese. I'd say the phrase "very few " would summarize the reality much more accurately.
Tom
December 30, 2006 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink