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Week of December 3, 2006 - December 9, 2006

Silk, Tea and Opium - Part I

This is an essay on money. I am going to talk about money indirectly, by looking at a previous collision between economic systems, specifically the collision between Europe and China between roughly 1500 and 1900, and how different goods led to different strategies – porcelain, silk and tea were all Chinese goods in 1500, and would be the basis for export, while the Chinese were largely only interested in silver from the outside. This is a situation which is fundamental to political economy – in every chain of trading commodiites

China

If you had alighted on the planet from someplace else, let us say, Neptune, and dispassionately observed the comings and goings of a certain species of bipeds, you would have been able to pick out their unusual ability to organize in very large troops that spanned space and time. If you were of a technological bent, you would have looked at the Chinese troop, and admired their technological prowess, and perhaps picked this troop as the one which was most likely to dominate the planet. The European troop, sickly, short, prone to excess, would have been distant behind others in any ranking. Unfavorable location and cultural chaos, as well as a large dollop of anti-empiricism and predeliction for multigenerational warfare would seem to preclude them from doing much more than holding off the expanding and aggressive Turkish empire, which seemed destined to do for Islamic culture what Alexander the Great had done for classical Greece – create a continental empire and seed it with a militarized version of an intellectually and artistically advanced society.

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President Carter, Israel, Apartheid and The First Amendment

Israel’s Minister of Education, Yuli Tamir, has gotten herself into hot water with the far right by declaring that maps in Israeli textbooks will, from now on, show the Green Line, the armistice line that separated Israel from the West Bank and Gaza Strip before 1967. In other words, the West Bank will not be depicted as part of Israel but rather as territories whose final status remains in dispute which is, of course, nothing more than a reflection of reality.

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Choose sides

Basically, the Baker report says we should align with Sunnis and Kurds; the White House prefers Shiites. The Baker report wants to bring Syria and Saudia Arabia into the pro-Sunni alliance; the White House wants to keep them away from Iraq. Everyone says there were no new ideas in the Baker report and that it was "cover" for the White House to do what it really wanted, but in fact this strategic shift is both a return to the 1980's alignment of interests and a huge change from the present situation. The report doesn't provide cover for anything other than an utter reversal of direction and a repudiation of, among other people, the Secretary of State. Ms. Rice would have to resign if this report's advice were taken. No wonder the President is reacting badly! And no wonder the Congress is perplexed.

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Hard Thinking on Iran -- II

Taking up Rachel's challenge to think hard about about Iran, our America Abroad colleague Michael Levi and I have recently described the present dilemma. Talks are a long shot, but really the only chance to put the brakes on Iran's nuclear program. The current U.S.-EU strategy is to offer talks only if Iran suspends nuclear enrichment. That's a principled position. The problem is it hasn't worked. And going through the UN, the present alternative, has been a diversion, which puts international divisions into bold relief. Levi and I propose instead returning to the transatlantic track; the United States and Europe would agree on targeted sanctions outside the United Nations and, on that basis, the United States would join Europe in agreeing to return to talks. It is not appeasement to talk to Iran, as the ubiquitous James Baker has been saying. And it is a "historically peculiar" idea to view diplomacy and sanctions as mutually exclusive. The trick is in getting the mix right.

Peter Lance's Flawed Triple Cross

I believe that Peter Lance’s new book, TRIPLE CROSS, is a flawed and inaccurate piece of investigative reporting. Not the kind of work one would expect from a five time Emmy award winning reporter. I write this not out of animus towards Peter Lance. I reached this conclusion based on evidence I have that flatly contradicts several of Lance’s claims. Let’s start with a minor issue. Peter Lance presents inaccurate and misleading information about me on page 384 of his book. Lance writes:

He [Johnson] then compounded that mistaken assessment five weeks later with a Times Op-Ed piece entitled “The Declining Terrorist Threat,” describing al Qaeda as a “a loose amalgam of people with a shared ideology, but a very limited direction.”[vi]

Peter is flat out wrong. At no point in that July 2001 op-ed did I write what he says I wrote (here is the link to the op-ed, read it for yourself). At no point did I refer to Al Qaeda in that piece because I was focused on the broader trends in terrorism.

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Our Moral Responsibility in Iraq

Rachel asks a good question: What is our moral responsibility to the Iraqi people? It surely is not insignificant, for their predicament is in large measure our doing. But while recognizing that we bear a lot of responsibility, it isn’t at all clear to me that we can live up to it or that remaining in Iraq is the responsible thing to do.

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Triple Cross: the Book the Ex-Feds Don't Want You to Read

On Sunday, less than two weeks after publication, Triple Cross, my third investigative book on the failure of the FBI and Justice Department on the road to 9/11 hit #4 on amazon.com's terrorism best seller's list. But the book's initial success is causing a pair of ex-Feds to see red. In my Friday blog for The Huffington Post, I noted how Andrew C. McCarthy, a former Asst. U.S. Attorney in the Southern District, had drafted a review of the book for The N.Y. Post.

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Senator Frist departs

You can make a pretty good case that the Presidency is at best a job no human can do truly well. But the Senator Majority Leader is a job that has been performed brilliantly in recent years by at least Tom Daschle, Bob Dole, George Mitchell, and Lyndon Johnson, and everyone has good reason to think Harry Reid can carry it off too. So what happened to Senator Frist? Certainly he was easily smart enough and popular enough with his party's base to do well, and yet he leaves wearing the shroud of disappointment.

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A Question for Debate

Ivo--a question for you... and heck, let's open it up to all of America Abroad, and the rest of our reading community.

If Iraq is a lost cause, and the ISG report is simply a failure to quite face that reality (a similar series of "Wise Men" conferences during the Vietnam War produced very similar results in its first round...) what should our proper response be to the Iraqi people?

I am speaking here both morally, and practically--and the question is meant in a very real spirit of inquiry.

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The ISG’s False Hope

The biggest problem with the ISG report is that it, like much of Washington, buys into the notion that because the consequences of defeat are so dire we should not accept the reality that we have lost. Even as they paint a devastating picture of the disaster that has befallen Iraq, the commissioners insist that we must continue to try to make things work — bring neighbors in, train Iraqis, urge reconciliation — in the hope that the situation there will turn around and get better. But hope, as Colin Powell was fond of saying, is not a strategy. Worse, it offers Americans and Iraqis the false prospect that with a bit more effort, and a change in policy, defeat in Iraq can be avoided.

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The One Indisputable Fact About A President Obama

It is too early to choose up sides in the contest for the Democratic nomination. We don't even know who the candidates are. I'm not convinced Hillary or Obama will run. Except for Bayh and Vilsack, the "second tier" candidates have yet to emerge. And we still don't know if Al Gore will heed the growing call to declare his candidacy.

Things will clarify in a month or two. We can wait.

But one thing can be said.

Barack Obama's possible candidacy offers the real chance that a candidate for President can solve America's longest and deepest problem simply by being elected.

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Bush Grabs the Qualifier

The trouble with compromise language in commission reports is that those who don’t like your recommendations can quote your words right back at you and then ignore what you say. That's exactly what George Bush did yesterday:

... as the report said -- I don't -- got the exact words, but it was along the lines of depending upon conditions, I believe is what the qualifier was. And I thought that made a lot of sense. I've always said we'd like our troops out as fast as possible. I think that's an important goal.

Lameduck Lovefest

What is the lameduck Congress spending time on? Wednesday the majority scheduled a big hearing so that its favorite witnesses could come tell Congress what a success the new bankruptcy amendments have been. Big kisses all around.

But the minority was permitted to invite a few witnesses as well. A judge and a trustee told what it was like from the trenches, and a law professor talked about how the numbers have changed on mortgage foreclosures and credit card defaults. Get the first-hand report from Professor Robert Lawless. The title of his post says it all: Crashing the Credit Industry's Party

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Skinner, the Bush Administration, and Coercive Diplomacy

I had the pleasure of seeing America Abroad's own Bruce Jentleson today, discussing his paper on the uses and limits of coercive diplomacy on countries such as Iran, North Korea, and Libya.

Funniest line of the discussion; "A lot of this comes down to basic psychiatry--how you see human motivation. Unfortunately, the Bush Administration seems to have read only B.F. Skinner, and sees every state as a rat to be shocked."

(okay, so international relations just isn't that funny... I was amused)

Two highlights of the panel:

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A Liberal-Libertarian Coalition?

In this week’s TNR, Cato Institute V.P. Brink Lindsey calls for a new “liberal-libertarian coalition.” In terms of politics, philosophy, or policy the prospects for such an alliance seem dim, but Lindsey’s piece does shed revealing light on the way American politics are evolving, particularly in the way that libertarians seem to be retreating from some of their most cherished political objectives.

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What's Missing from the Housing Debate? Risk.

Commenter JPF311 asks:

Since the vast majority of home owners with mortgages bought their houses some years ago when they were worth considerably less than they are still worth today (even with the soft market and falling prices) where is the crisis here?

 

The problem is that reducing housing costs is a major family option to deal with risk of income loss.

In a normal housing market, you could reduce housing costs by selling the house and downsizing or by refinancing for longer terms (meaning, lower monthly payments). This strategy won't work when homes don't sell and when homeowners can't refinance because prior refi's plus lower sale prices have stripped the equity to the amount of the debt -- or less. (Refi's dry up when equity equals debt since lenders usually want some equity wiggle room when they lend.  This way they don't lose money on a house that brings less than the loan at foreclosure.)

The escape route is cut off, and families that thought they could deal with job loss, death of a wage earner or medical catastrophe by cutting expenses find out the hard way that they're wrong.

The Road to Baghdad Runs Through Jerusalem

MJ’s post has almost said it all, but let’s just recap why the ISG recommendations on the broader Middle East context not only add up to good policy, but why a Dem embrace of these recommendations also makes good politics.

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Baker-Hamilton: Not Enough Political Dimension

Whatever else its strengths, and there are some important ones, among the weaknesses of the Iraq Study Group Report is that it does not deal nearly enough with the political dimension. Its "Internal Approach" section is mostly about the security situation, with some shoulds and oughts re what the Iraqis should do but not the kind of analysis and policy recommendations we need of the political dimension.

A good and serious analysis is by my Duke colleague, Professor Donald Horowitz, in the op-ed page of the Wall Street Journal last Monday (which I can only mention but can't link to from where I am now, hopefully others can)

Don't Let Grinchy Gift Cards Steal Christmas

Just in time for the start of the holiday shopping season, Bankrate.com has released its second annual survey of gift cards (related story). The report covers cards issued by the top 20 retailers as well as the top four credit card issuers.

The report generally finds that, without attention to the fine print, many recipients of these cards won't receive the full value of their gift. Fees abound on these cards, more so on those from credit card issuers than from retailers, with the potential to drastically reduce the value of the cards.

A dispiriting example from Bankrate: "Let's say you want to buy a $25 American Express gift card for a friend. If you call them on the phone, they'll charge you a $7.95 purchase fee, plus a $5.95 fee for shipping it to your friend. And if your friend decides he'd rather have cash, there's a $10 fee for cashing it in, too. You paid almost $39 for your friend to end up with $15."

This Holiday Season, do some research before buying gift cards and keep your gift from ending up 3 sizes too small.

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Baker-Hamilton As Soft Power

Reading the recent posts by Juliette and Ivo I am prompted to think that however much the Baker-Hamilton Report (BHR) is embraced or derided here or abroad, it may be an important expression of soft power.

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Dems: Support Baker's Recommendations on Israel-Palestine!

The Need for Hard Thinking on Iran

Kofi Annan, in a little noticed conversation with Jim Hoagland , mentioned he was deeply concerned that the West was underestimating Iran's resolve to push forward with its nuclear program.

Juliette noticed a similar worry in talking to leaders in the Middle East, who suggested that if Iran continues, they will have to go nuclear as well.

And today, a tiny news item deep inside the Post mentioned the failure of the 6 main powers (including lynchpin Russia) to draft a UN resolution that would have instituted tough sanctions against Iran.

If you weren't worried before, now might be a good time.

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“Subject to Unexpected Developments”

This, of course, is the key phrase in the Baker-Hamilton Report’s recommendation on U.S. combat forces — as in “by the first quarter of 2008, subject to unexpected developments in the security situation on the ground, all combat brigades not necessary for force protection could be out of Iraq.”

So what are the unexpected developments that could mean we should still be there, with all our combat forces, fighting a war?

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Fake Numbers Mute the Sound of the Housing Crash

“The truth is that the official numbers on house prices—the last refuge of soothing information about the real estate market on the coasts—are deeply misleading.” That’s the key point in David Leonhardt’s excellent piece this morning in the NYT. The reality, says Leonhardt, is much worse that the official stats show.

In other words, millions of ordinary, middle class families are in worse shape than the official numbers are reporting. There’s less home equity to fall back on if anything goes wrong.

But the bigger problem is coming up. For every family (and every investor) that took on a “creative” mortgage planning to refinance if they couldn’t make the payments when rates escalated down the line, there will be no refinancing if market values are lower. Instead, the only options will be forced sale or foreclosure. As more families and more investors get caught in that situation, more housing will be listed for sale—and prices will be pushed down even further.

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A Number on Contractor Deaths

A few weeks back (I'm having technical difficulties to link it), I asked whether anyone could figure out how many contractor deaths have occured in the Iraq. As many private companies were leaving the conflict, it seemed an important question. Though the contractors are not the same as combat troops, the DoD is clearly relying on them in ways never before seen, and in exceptionally high numbers.

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If Britain, Why Not the U.S.?

Some readers wonder why, if I believe Britain should give up its nuclear weapons, I do not make a similar case in favor of America doing so. Fair question.

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Baker/Hamilton in Dubai

If there is, of course, anything animating the discussions at the Arab Strategy Forum amongst journalists, policymakers and academics it is, of course, Iran.

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More on UK Nukes

Ivo is right on the mark when he writes that Tony Blair missed a big opportunity to send an important message about the limited utility of nuclear weapons. What's really odd is how the politics of this played out.

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Join a Consumer-Friendly Project

We started this project some time ago, but our inbox was taken over by spam (credit card offers included!).  It's time to revive the effort, so please help out if you can.  We look forward to your emails: 

A few of us here at Warren Reports are collecting credit card contracts for research purposes.   The "contracts" are the fine-print "terms and conditions" that form the cardholder agreements you receive with your credit cards.  Unfortunately, credit card companies are extremely unwilling to provide copies of these cardholder agreements until after a consumer has applied for a card and been accepted for a new line of credit.  (This certainly raises issues about the validity of the contracts, but that's a topic for another day!) We're asking for your help.  Please send us copies of any and all cardholder agreements for your various lines of revolving credit.  These can be major bank cards, store credit cards, etc.  We're also interested in seeing updates to these cardholder agreements, which usually take the form of disclosures about lender-initiated term changes and the related opt-out notices.

You can scan the papers in and email the digital versions (in any standard text or image file format) to: CreditContracts(at)gmail.com. Thanks for your help!  We will periodically re-post this request over the coming weeks.

Congress Needs to Kick Prager Off Holocaust Council

I understand that the Holocaust Memorial Council is not the FCC or the CIA. It is, in fact, a mainly symbolic institution.

But, as the father of two sons who are first generation Americans and whose mother (my wife) was born in a German Displaced Persons camp to Holocaust survivors, I believe that Prager's continued service on the Council is an insult to all of us who care about the legacy of the Shoah.

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Tony Blair’s Missed Opportunity

To no one’s surprise, Tony Blair announced yesterday that Britain will maintain its nuclear deterrent for the indefinite future. “We cannot be sure that a major nuclear threat to our vital interests will not emerge over the longer term,” Blair announced. And so the United Kingdom will commence a modernization program to maintain a nuclear capability it has had for more than half a century. But in reaching this decision, Blair missed a major opportunity to shake up the nuclear status quo.

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Damned If We Do, Damned If We Don’t

As we await the Baker report on Iraq, others are advancing their own “solutions” to the mess in Mesopotamia. Paul Krugman has a must read on pulling out in yesterday’s NY Times. Anthony Zinni, the outspoken retired general who used to head up US forces in the Mideast, is advancing another. Taken together, Krugman, Zinni, and Baker pretty much capture the choices and trade-offs we now face in Iraq.

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Is Wachovia One Bank or Many? Depends on who's asking...

Last week, the Supreme Court heard the case of Watters v. Wachovia Bank (see Jon’s quick take below, legal background here, the Sixth Circuit opinion here, and the transcript of the oral argument here). The Big Nine will decide whether national banks like Wachovia must play by the rules of the states in which they have set up separate corporations to do business. The federal preemption argument sounds pretty dry, but for consumers there is a point. If Wachovia prevails, then our local legislatures will be powerless to protect us from the biggest, savviest predatory lenders. If we want protection, we will have to go to Congress, where the big banks are ready to play hardball.

Look behind the headlines, and you’ll see that Wachovia wants to have their cake and eat it too.

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The Union of Purpose: A Dime's Worth of Difference

It's time for the progressive movement and the Democratic Party to show that it is worth a dime. I mean that exactly – because, you see, there is this guy we put on the dime, because most people believe he was a pretty good President. He presided over a government that included Republicans, conservative southern Democrats, progressives, socialists, communists, industrialists, social radicals and political partisans. There is no politician in the Democratic Party who is as conservative as FDR's Vice President. If the progressive movement and Democratic Party of today can't hold together the coalition of the present, think how badly we would have done with the state of the Democratic Party in 1933.

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Two Steps Forward, One Step Back

In recent years, many cities have enacted strong anti-predatory lending ordinances in the face of state and national inaction.  At least that’s a start, right?  Well, maybe not if state judges have anything to do with it.

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Winners and Losers After John Bolton's Resignation

A former diplomat I greatly respect advised me to avoid dwelling on the John Bolton confirmation and to move on to new policy subjects. He wrote:

steve -- he's resigned. let it go. . .you have other and better causes, and it only makes you appear petty and vindictive to continue to harp on the issue. in your terms, you won... be gracious and move on.
He's absolutely right -- and I have in fact tried to do this a number of times, but the administration was as unwilling to let go of the contest as were those who opposed Bolton's confirmation. I believe in graciousness after political battles involving non-elected officials just as much as genuine elections.

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A post-mortem on John Bolton

Evelyn Leopold, a member of Reuters' team at the United Nations, offered up a quote in an article she wrote on John Bolton's resignation that I think well encapsulates the problem with our now private sector-bound ambassador. It's from Edward Luck, the noted expert on UN affairs who was also my professor at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA):

Several diplomats distinguish between Bolton's work in the 15-nation Security Council and that in the 192-member General Assembly, dominated by developing nations.

"In some ways, he seems to have been more an ambassador to the Security Council than to the United Nations as a whole and I think he has done very well there," said Edward Luck, a Columbia University professor and U.N. expert.

But the problem, Luck said, is his actions in the General Assembly, which is increasingly polarized between developing and developed countries over changes to U.N. management practices, finances and a new human rights body.

"He is very good on preaching on reform but not good at doing it" raising the question of "whether he wants to strengthen it or find excuses for abandoning it," said Luck. [emphasis added]

My contract at the United Nations ended on Friday, apparently just as Mister Ambassador was handing in his regretfully accepted letter of resignation.  I wanted to offer up a moment from my time at the Organization from Bolton's tenure that I think demonstrates very well what Professor Luck was talking about.

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Are Lower Student Loan Rates a Waste of Money?

Over at the aptly named Becker-Posner blog, the two University of Chicago scholars are skeptical of lower student loan rates.

Posner believes that most people who would benefit from a college education already get one. All qualified students should enroll, borrowing if necessary, since "the boost in expected earnings from attending college exceed the cost of the loan."

Similarly, Becker argues that "the increase in the earning advantage from a college education during the past couple of decades was far greater than the increase in tuition." Compared to these higher earnings, even a $20,000 debt is small.

In my view, the average inome of college grads doessn't tell the whole story. College doesn't pay off for many students, particularly dropouts.

It's hard to believe that everyone who would benefit from college is attending when high-income students are eight times more likely to graduate from college than their low-income peers. The disparity remains substantial even among only "qualified" students.

What do Warren Reports readers think? Do college graduates earn enough to easily repay their loans or are college costs a barrier for some students?

BOLTON RESIGNS

CBS News is reporting that Bush has accepted Bolton's resignation. More soon.

Update 1: As far back as two weeks ago, I had heard from a source inside the U.S. Mission that Bolton would not accept the "acting" appointment that has been discussed on this site. I didn't post that info because, in all honesty, I didn't find it credible given how hard he pushed for his initial recess appointment and his recent lobbying on conservative talk shows. Then, on Friday evening, I learned that two independent sources in the U.S. Mission said that Bolton was ready to leave, write a book, and hit the speaking circuit to blast the Bush Administration for abandoning ultra-conservative foreign policy principles. One can safely assume that this is what Bolton now plans to do.

More below the fold.

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A Rhetorical Feeling Redux

I am at the Arab Strategy Forum this week, a bi-annual event in Dubai that brings together a bunch of Arab and American scholars, media folk, and government types to enjoy the weather, shop and discuss the issues of politics, employment, energy, gender, violence, environment and even the role of art in the Arab world.

Two years ago, when I was here, the entire focus was the United States, our folly in Iraq, and the hatred against our policies. It was depressing, if not disconcerting.

This year, something interesting has happened.

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I Have Seen the Future -- You Can't

I have finally been allowed to watch Al Jazeerah in English, as they are broadcasting from the forum in Dubai. No major U.S. cable networks have put Al Jazeerah in their packages.

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States Might Keep Rights Despite Court

The Supremes heard arguments this week on whether Washington bureaucrats can nix state consumer protection laws. Consumers have a poor track record on this issue in lower courts. So there's little reason for hope from the Court.

What one branch taketh away, another may give. Incoming Financial Services Chairman Rep. Barney Frank co-sponsored a predatory mortgage bill a while back, and promises new laws that will ensure former members of the middle class don't lose their homes to unfair lenders on the way down. And, judging from that bill, he will likely make sure that if a state wants to get even tougher, it can.

ADL Slams Dennis Prager's Racist Assault on Keith Ellison

The Anti-Defamation League has condemned far right Jewish radio talk show host Dennis Prager for his racist attack on African-American Muslim Rep-Elect Keith Ellison. The ADL statement is strong and the organization deserves credit for issuing it. I first wrote about Prager's bigoted attack here.

The ADL statement reveals that Prager is a member of the United States Holocaust Council which is an official US government position. He should be forced to resign or face removal. The idea that a bigot sits on a body designed to commemorate victims of genocide is appalling.

It is worth noting that the charter of the Holocaust Council makes specific reference to the homosexual victims of the Holocaust, along with Jews, gypsies, and others. Prager is one of the right's most outspoken gay-bashers. See the council's mission statement to understand how inappropriate Prager is to serve in this position.

Prager on gays here.

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Breach of Faith

Picking up on Ivo’s post, the Rumsfeld memo not only is rubbish as policy, it shows us yet again and ever so graphically the deep and cynical breach of faith with American democracy that is what has come to define President George W. Bush and his administration. It was what Katrina was what most fundamentally about, as Jed Horne titled his book. And it’s what the politics of Iraq have been about and continue to be about.

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Protecting the Military? Just “Junk” Says Bush Court Nominee

On Friday, the American Bar Association hosted a conference in Washington on national security.  Among the speakers was Scott Stucky, General Counsel of the Senate Committee on Armed Services and President Bush’s nominee to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces.  When the subject of the amendment to the Defense Authorization Bill that protected military families from payday lenders, according to someone in the audience, Stucky dismissed it as “junk.”

 

The Department of Defense had asked Congress to cap interest rates to military families at 36%, effectively outlawing the 400% loans and other high priced lending practices that the military said “undermine military readiness, harms the morale of troops and their families, and add to the cost of fielding an all-volunteer fighting force.” Sorry, Mr. Stucky, but this isn't just “junk.” 

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An Agnew/Safire Stab-in-the-Back Award Nominee

On the Weekly Standard website, Michael Novak bids for the Agnew/Safire Stab-in-the-Back Award: "The weakest link in the ability of the United States to sustain military operations overseas...is the U.S. media. They are Islamists' best friends."

"Experience shows that the mainstream press of the United States is alienated from the U.S. military," he adds, the embeddedness program having slipped completely out of his head. "In addition, the American press is extremely vulnerable to anti-U.S. propaganda."

Where is Judy Miller now that we really need her?

First as farce, then as cartoon.

When Father Didn't Know Best

Bettina Aptheker's engrossing memoir, "Intimate Politics: How I Grew Up Red, Fought for Free Speech and Became a Feminist Rebel
" is about breaking free -- emotionally, politically and intellectually -- from her father, Herbert Aptheker, the most famous Marxist historian in the United States, whose 1943 book "American Negro Slave Revolts" shattered the image of happy, complacent slaves.

It has also angered a few unreconstructed Marxist historians and scholars who still don't understand that incest is a crime, not simply an embarassing blemish on an otherwise significant career.

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The Morning Story of Stephen Hadley

As Stephen Hadley squared his shoulders, smiled fixedly, condescendingly, during his morning appearance on Meet the Press, signaling firmness as he cut and ran from the latterly censorious wisdom of Tim Russert, as he explained unhesitatingly that his employer is always on top of things, I found myself thinking of Elizabeth Kolbert’s nice piece in the cur