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Oh no not the populists

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From L.Uchitelle, NYTimes:

With the Democrats having won a majority in Congress, and disquiet over globalization growing, a party faction that has been powerless — the economic populists — is emerging and strongly promoting an alternative to Rubinomics.

The populists argue that the national income has flowed disproportionately into corporate coffers and the nation’s wealthiest households, and that the imbalance has grown worse in recent years. They want to rethink America’s role in the global economy. They would intervene in markets and regulate them much more than the Rubinites would. For a start, they would declare a moratorium on new trade agreements until clauses were included that would, for example, restrict layoffs and protect incomes.

But once "they" are labelled "populists" the policy debate is prejudiced against them. Once they are labelled 'regulators" they have to carry another albatross. Once they are designated as against free trade, still another burden must be borne.

It's hard enough just to be described as anti-Rubinite, when Secretary Rubin was the most successful at his job of anyone since Alexander Hamilton.

The problem is that the secret of Secretary Rubin's success was, as described in his own memoir, the combination of incisive analysis, flexible response, and constant focus on taking the risk out of complex situations. De-risking the American Dream now does not require an immediate leap to higher income taxes or sudden slashing of federal spending in order to obtain in an instant a balanced budget, as it did in 1993. Today it requires instead a restructuring of the economy to accomplish two goals: first, energy, the sine qua non of economic progress, should be home-grown and non-carbon emitting, and, second, the economy should see at least ten percent more businesses started every year than the current rate (about 600,000 out of the total of 6 million). Restructuring is the historical echo of populism, to be sure, but opposing free trade and disparaging other positive features of modern understanding of economics are not part of the necessary 21st century reiteration of 19th century populism. A profoundly different energy industry and a rapid expansion of firm creation, however, are the ways to respond to climate change and energy insecurity on the one hand and the rise of Chinese entrepreneurship on the other. (See "In China's Shadow.")

The necessary starting point for the essential restructuring is a break-up of the vertically and horizontally consolidated energy sector. The new structure should encourage start-up's from generation to distribution. It should use public finance, both locally and nationally, to promote new non-carbon sources and methods of energy conversion. It should depend upon market techniques, technological advance, and entrepreneurship to create a restructured energy sector and millions of new jobs in new firms in that sector. This is not inconsistent with the core principle of Rubinomics -- risk reduction coupled with private sector investment; yet it is also consistent with the overall thrust of any truly populist, or people-oriented, program, which is a different structure for the creation of a high and rising standard of living. Progressivism differs in that it emphasizes management by elites, typically composed of private-public sector allies; this is not what we need to tap the wellsprings of creative destruction that in turn will produce a structurally different and rapidly growing economy.


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It's not that we economic populists oppose globalization of "free trade," but that we simply want to extend the national victories of the late 19th and 20th centuries -- work-place safety rules, minimum wages, environmental regulations, labor union organization rights, etc -- to the international arena.

Why is that so difficult to understand?

Let's compete on a relatively equal footing as opposed to using international law to destroy those victories of the last 100 years and spark a race to the bottom.

In Joseph Stiglitz's new book "Making Globalization Work" he acknowledges that there was never any "free trade" during the past forty years of globalization. A similar discussion can be found in William Easterly's book "The White Man's Burden". Since both of them were economists at the World Bank they have unique insights.

The game was rigged from the start to promote export of those things the west (and especially the US) has to offer: consulting services, financial services, and heavy equipment and to slight those areas which the developing world can offer - agriculture.

The trade talks are now stalled since the US will not lower subsidies on cotton, grain and other bulk exports. "Free trade" was as much smoke and mirrors as "trickle down". The rest of the world has caught on to the trade scam, but the trickle down still has supporters in US policy circles.

--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape

Leave it to a east coast elitist to rail against those who oppose something as grotesque and unfair as the "free" trade agreements.

For starters we don't have "Free" Trade. We have a rigged system that benefits the multinationals that wrote the treaties and third kleptocrats who work with the multinations.

What it does in third world nations is nothing short of inhuman. Those treaties don't protect rights of the people nor the environment. Both are brutalized by "free" trade.

And it hasn't helped the American worker either. In fact its cost this country 3 million + well paid jobs and gutted our manufacturing and technological sectors. Hell we can't even clothe ourselves anymore.
Not to mention causing the middle-class to shrink at alarming rate.

Thanks to "free" trade our nation went from one with a strong and vibrant economy with strong manufacturing and technological sectors to one with a feeble "service based" econonmy and drowning in debt and trade imbalances all in little over a decade.

And yet somehow people like Mr. Hundt laud this disaster as progress and condemn those who want to change it for the better. With friends like Hundt the American people don't need enemies.

Stigliz's arguments about freetrade is exactly contrary to those most often made here or by Lou Dobbs or Byron Dorgin. His problem is not with freetrade as a benefit for the poorest of countries. His argument is that the United States, Japan and Europe have contructed trade agreements that protect their industries and their farmers at the expense of poorer countries.

He would like to see the gradual liberalization of Third World economies, especially their banking systems so capital is attracted into the countries without causing a collapse of their banks. At the same time he argues for the lowering of barriers in developed world.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

This is true. In his latest book "Making Globalization work" he adovcates Developed countries opening their markets "without reciprocity" so developing countries can have access to them, meanwhile their markets will gradually be phased toward liberalization rather than all at once. For someone considered the intellectual boogie man of free trade, he's surprisingly pro trade. Much moreso than the trade reactionaries that sometimes champion his work.

Stiglitz has become a lot less dogmatic since he left government and the World Bank. Perhaps now that he isn't being paid to repeat the conventional wisdom he can be more realistic.

I think William Easterly is a more interesting case. He was also an economist at the World Bank and has now written two books on how the foreign aid policies of the west have worked to make things worse in developing countries.

The problem with authors like this is that they fall short when making suggestions on how to change things. They do a good job on analyzing the problem and setting new goals. What they don't do is explain how to overcome the status quo, especially when those setting the agenda have all the money and political influence.

We do not have workable international organizations which can make countries behave. This ranges from the UN to the WTO to the EU. So without a discussion of how to affect change it is all still just political pablum.

 

--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape

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