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Behaving Like A Superpower in Iraq

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One critical dilemma we confront in Iraq is the burden of our status as the Superpower. All people in the region--Sunnis, Shia, Kurds, and Persians--assume that we have a secret plan that we are pursuing unilaterally. The majority of these folks cannot accept that the sectarian violence unleashed in Iraq is a consequence of U.S. incompetence. They assume that the rising sectarian violence is something we want because we are a Superpower. By virtue of our status as a Superpower it is inconceivable that we would allow such violence unless it suited our "hidden" purposes.

The fact that Baghdad still suffers from chronic shortages of electricity, polluted water, broken sewers, and incompetent police is viewed by many in the region as prima facie evidence that we are deliberately and purposefully dismantling every vestige of what was the most secular Arab state in the Middle East. How could it be otherwise? We are a Superpower and a superpower, like any super hero, can do anything it wants.

The picture gets more complicated when viewed thru the sectarian lens of the various groups.

The Iraqi Sunnis by and large believe we are working in concert with the Shia to destroy the Sunni people. The notion that the Shia are the majority of the population is irrelevant. As the Sunni know, the Shia are incapable of governing or organizing without the support and direction of the Superpower.

The Shia keep waiting for the other shoe to drop because they know, in their heart of hearts, that we do not want them to control Iraq. They know we have designated their Iranian benefactors as part of the Axis of Evil and they read and hear news reports that the United States, perhaps with Israel acting as proxy, is going to attack Iran. Remember, we are the Superpower. Nothing happens, good or bad, without us pulling the strings behind the scenes.

The United States officials know who are the key actors among the Iraqi Sunni and Shia. The situation may be too far gone to salvage anything resembling victory, but we must try. The following must be our short to middle term objectives:

  • We must publicly declare we have no intention to occupy Iraq and should renounce any claim to maintain permanent bases in Iraq with the following exceptions:

We will maintain one base in Baghdad, which will serve as the principle location for training a genuinely integrated Iraqi military. We must try to form a force that is not organized by geographic or sectarian loyalties. We must commit to support that force in its operations to make clear that it is not going to favor one religious faction over another. We may also want to consider having one base within each of the major ethnic regions of Iraq. However, our ultimate objective to disengage militaryily must be made clear to all sides.

  • We must restore public services in Baghdad to pre-war levels. Electricity must be available to all of Baghdad's residents 24-7. They must have clean water and functioning sewage systems. We must use whatever resources are required to accomplish these tasks. If we do so we can begin to counter the widespread belief that we are actually trying to impoverish the people of Iraq.
  • We must transfer the power now exercised in Iraq by the U.S. Ambassador and U.S. troops to a recognized international authority. The United States cannot and should not be the face of power in Iraq. If we are then we will also bear the blame for allowing the sectarian strife to escalate and for permitting social and sanitary infrastructure to collapse.
  • We must pursue public diplomacy with both Syria and Iran. Saber rattling has gotten us nowhere. We are not in a position to destroy or occupy either of those countries. A crazy fantasy is not a substitute for pragmatic policy.

The bottomline for us is that our use of military force is not going to win us the hearts and minds of the various Iraqi sects. Our current tactics are aggravating longstanding grudges and vendettas and creating new enemies in the process.

The neocons, and their ilk, continue to rattle sabers and beat their chest like an impotent gorilla. But their threats are empty. They are not pressing their sons and daughters to enlist in their "glorious 21st century" crusade. They want to stay safe at home in the United States and encourage the sons and daughters of other folks to make this ultimate sacrifice.

The choices we make in the coming months will help determine whether or not we are worthy of the moniker, "Superpower". We cannot quell the sectarian civil war overnight. But, we must try to show that we can improve the delivery of public services to the Iraqi people on a non-sectarian basis. If we can do that we can help erase the impression that our hidden plan is to humiliate and occupy the Arab people. Otherwise we will continue to be caught in the middle of a civil war that we are unable stop. That's not super.


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I disagree. We are the new Crusaders, we are hated, we are corrupt, we murder and torture. Whatever we build, someone there will destroy, because, we are their evil ones. Get out, leave no troops or fortresses behind, apologize, pay reparatons, get out ASAP. This will save lives and money, anything else delays the inevitable. If we had Arab allies willing to go in, we wouldn't be in this position, they're not going to go in now.

Iran and Syria will not play ball with Bush, the Devil, so don't expect that to happen even if we tried. Get out, our boys and girls are getting killed for no reason, for an illegal war. This story doesn't have a good ending, the editors have rejected it and its premise, start over. Get out now, please, we're murdering and getting murdered.

Finally, what would you want if your kid was fighting in Iraq today?

 The real fantasy is to believe that a "good" outcome is possible from an illegal invasion and overthrow of a government, followed by allowing the looting and plunder that we allowed, followed by our using the money meant to be used to rebuild Iraq to feather the nests of favored political friends, followed by condoning, if not ordering the torture of at least hundreds of Iraqis, and the bombing of civilian housing.  It would be exceedingly difficult to imagine a scenario where we could have done more harm in a more harmful way in Iraq.  There is no light at the end of this tunnel.

As tpmmal pointed out, we need to make amends by setting up massive reparations funds for Iraq, to be administered by an international body with impecable credentials, such as Heifer International.  The one absolute rule for administering those funds is that no American can benefit from them in any way. 

Hoppy in Sacramento

I have to agree with hoppy and tpmmal. Worse than that, I have to agree with your cartoon Shias and Sunnis. I simply don't see the difference between their idea "that we are deliberately and purposefully dismantling every vestige of what was the most secular Arab state in the Middle East" and the Bush-neocon idea of dismantling said vestiges because some set of magical free-market enterprises is going to emerge from nowhere and take their place.

We have a moron (Bush) and a guy who needs his meds changed (Cheney) in the loop. Until those two losers are out of the loop there is nothing sensible that the USA will be able to do, regardless of our military power.

Tom

Bush will stay the course as he knows no other and doesn't care about the death and chaos. Things are only going to get worse.

Bush still thinks he can isolate Iran when all he is doing is isolating and weakening the United States. An administration that creates more obstacles for medicaid benefits to babies born in the USA certainly doesn't give a damn about Iraqis.

There are too many inconsistencies and contradictions within your commentary to take it seriously. As to the specifics of your post, with regard to America being perceived as an all powerful super power whose every action must be intended and never accidental or an example of abject failure, there's probably a bit of that sense among the people in the Middle East. But I think that's true only in a superficial sense of blaming others for problems and looking for the easiest basis for that blame. Remember, these are the same people that effectively destroyed the world's other, prior, super power. So they're not that impressed with the term or the use of "shock and awe."

I can't help but remember when Reagan sent the battleship New Jersey to patrol off the coast of Lebanon. The local papers in New York repeatedly proclaimed that the New Jersey could fire "Volkswagen" sized shells more than twenty miles. Considering that Lebanon of the day was being riddled with explosions from trucks filled with high explosives, I could only wonder at the inanity of the purported sense of might of the Reagan super power. Needless to mention, it was a truck bomb that humbled Reagan's mighty military. The battleship New Jersey and the rest of the American military presence quickly departed from Lebanon and the pages of American newspapers (ignoring the Grenada "wag the dog" raid).

So any impression that an American "super power" is so "super" doesn't hold that much validity.

The underlying theme, without any need for super power status, that some of the events of Iraq of the last few years have been intentional rather than unforeseen or unanticipated, has more validity. But if Iraq were a chess game, the American policy of "stay the course" would have resulted in a stalemate due to repeated moves and positions - or more accurately, an American loss. There really isn't much basis to think that, if America is playing some military chess, that they are anything but rank beginners who just learned that the horse thing moves in an "L" pattern.

Both blind and keenly sighted hate is there in abundance and with that the easy acceptance of any "logic" that might demonize those both worthy and unworthy of demonization. "Super power" is an irrelevant aside other than in the sense of a bully trying to take what it wants and becoming abusive, or more abusive, when the taking becomes difficult.

..................................................
"We must publicly declare we have no intention to occupy Iraq and should renounce any claim to maintain permanent bases in Iraq.."

"We will maintain one base in Baghdad .."

"We may also want to consider having one base within each of the major ethnic regions of Iraq."

...

"We must transfer the power now exercised in Iraq by the U.S. Ambassador and U.S. troops to a recognized international authority. The United States cannot and should not be the face of power in Iraq."
..................................................

I don't think there's much consistency in the above quotes. They almost seem to be the standard line from the Bush group. All nice and sweet but with escape clauses viewed through the barrel of an assault weapon. Adding to the questionable veracity within the quotes is the lack of any declaration that America has no intention to, in any way, take control of Iraq's natural resources and wealth from the Iraqi people. That we, or the international community, with our support, won't allow any such transfer of wealth without full indications of a strong, stable and supported Iraqi government making those decisions independently.

We went into Iraq for the oil. It was never about democracy. It was never about weapons of mass destruction, real or imaginary. It was about oil. Bush himself actually made that clear just recently when he warned about Iraq's oil wealth falling into the hands of terrahists. Gone was any concern about a lack of democracy and freedom. Oil was the primary focus, now and then. The ownership and control of Iraq's wealth must be determined by the Iraqis, without guns pointed at them, or at least American or American controlled guns. It seems without doubt that guns will determine Iraq's future so that's unavoidable.

If we keep bases in Iraq it'll be because that's where the oil is and that's where the rest of the Middle East oil wealth is. We won't be keeping American troops there to ensure a democratic nation. It's about oil, not people or democracy. Oil. Oil. Oil. Troops. Troops. Troops. It was when American troops were seen only guarding Iraq's oil industry at the start of the lawlessness that the insurgency began. A people that had lived their entire lives under repressive propaganda couldn't be swayed by any ersatz Fox News from seeing the obvious. And Iraq is an NRA paradise.

Your call for America to provide for adequate living conditions including sanitary conditions and utilities seems noble, almost as if it were an answer to the old question given to Miss America contestants. At this point the insurgents see anything useful done by the Americans as bad - just as the Republicans saw the Clinton Democratic Party attempt to bring national health care to Americans as bad. War is just another form of propaganda. Protection money is for protection after all. It's that quaint phrase I've seen fairly often lately. Whoever has the "monopoly on violence" rules or .. serves and protects.

For a "mere" half a trillion dollars, all the US has shown is its incapacity to control a nation of 27 million people. (Or if the Lancet numbers are right, it's now closer to 26.)

Imperialism is not what it used to be.

Funny how the US likes to define superpower by the length of one's penis and not by one's ability to actually do something with it.

I am unconvinced that America can put Humpty...er, Iraq....back together again. The egg has broken into three pieces, vaguely resembling the three Ottoman provinces that Winston Churcill cobbled together into a country called Iraq. Churchill also said that creating Iraq was one of his biggest mistakes.

Perhaps America should reflect on that and pursue a different course.

"Remember, these are the same people that effectively destroyed the world's other, prior, super power. So they're not that impressed with the term or the use of "shock and awe."

The above isn't true.  Iraq did not destroy the USSR's power.  That was  Afghanistan.  Except for that, it was an excellent comment.

Hoppy in Sacramento

Bush is going to compromise his position...he is gonna "declare victory and run". 

With Daddy's people, Baker...Casey...et al, now in place can we expect to see more multilateral foreign policy?  I find it intruiging that the suggestion that we engage Syria and Iran in direct talks about Iraq.  On one hand it makes sense because a destabilized Iraq isn't in the best interest of her neighbors.  But, in terms of diplomatic protocol, don't you have to recognize another government before having "official" talks with them?

In my mind the only slim chance we have for a decent resolution is by regional diplomacy.  And who thought, 2 years ago in the throes of "stay the course", that regional diplomacy would be seriously discussed as an option.  It tells me how truly f'd up the Iraq occupation has become. I didn't think it could get any worse, a year ago.  But it has and on the present course it has the potential to get much worse.  Time for a big "course correction"...

It seems you're whacking the bloated horse pretty good. The rationales and conflicts of interest within this Iraq occupation are well-established. That administration and policy doesn't translate into saying the United States is not a superpower.

I think what we are seeing is not an incapable superpower, but a superpower tempted into an imperial relationship with the world is not consistent with the way the country is wired: to uphold constitutional liberty and rebublican democracy.

It's funny. Sun Tzu also wrote that there are times when generals must be able to refuse a sovereign order to attack when attacking will not bring victory, waste troops, or will divert energy from victory.

Whether Syria and Iran will play ball may depend on what America has to offer.

One may suspect the American willingness to substantial concessions to be the weak point, not Syrian or Persian stubbornness.

The next stop for the superpower is apparently to go grovelling to Iran and Syria.

Don't know if you caught anything of Blair's moronically predictable speech yesterday, which could frankly be summed as his saying: Iran, play ball in the region or else, by golly, we'll give you a hard time. Maybe there are some truly, clinically dumb people on this planet who were taken in by Blair, who found his bluster credible. In fact, if there's anyone out there who couldn't interpret Blair's speech as providing cover to Bush ahead of the Baker Commission recommendations, they need to go into rehab.

I've said it before, and I'll say it again - if there is any hope for Iraq, and if we can help deliver it, then we need a complete change of political leadership at home. Because otherwise, any plan to "change course" is frankly damaged goods given the wholly tarnished reputations of our leaders who got Iraq into this mess in the first place.

Too many people will believe that Jim Baker and Robert Gates are there first and foremost to cover Bush's ass. And Blair's transparently self-serving torrent of hot air last night will do nothing to dispel those impressions.

Actually, it was the mujahaddin (sp) with the financial support of the Saudis and the Americans that created a Vietnam in Afghanistan for the Soviets. US support for this was Zbigniew Brezinksi's idea. The book, The Looming Tower, explains this in detail. Now Bush has put us in a position where Osama ( one of the main financial backers of the mujahaddin in Afghanistan) can be involved in the humbling of the USA along with the USSR. Can our next President be someone who is well-informed rather than an idiot?

Tom

Sen. Biden is suggesting that we negotiate a federalist system with a weak central government and three strong provinces. Each of the individual areas would have a great deal of autonomy.

It seems that the 21st century definition of what a super power is is pretty muddled. Some sort of admixture of old style imperialism, 20th century cold warriorism, bullyism, and who-knows-what-Bushism. It sure isn't any kind of public works miracle worker though.

I think the Dems need to bypass the President and set up an Iraq Summit with all the major players, the insurgent leaders, the militia leaders and the surrounding countries whether Bush likes it or not.

And they should start working on it right NOW. There's no time to waste.

Sen. Biden has talked about trying to create something like the Dayton accords, which helped resolve the Bosnia situation.

The Dems should recruit Wes Clark, who negotiated the Dayton Accords, and Anthony Zinni, who has experience in the Middle East and saw the Iraq disaster coming, to help lead the Summit.

There might be other people too that others might suggest.

The bottom line is that we need to find some kind of peaceful resolution to this.

Setting a deadline for withdrawal from Sunni and Shia areas is step one because that is the thing that will most convince the Iraqis that we don't intend to stay forever. I think we can stay in the Kurdish area for much longer, maybe even have a base there, because the Kurds are friendly toward us.

Granted if the Dems do this, they will be accused of overstepping Congress' bounds and interfering in the President's foreign policy. And of course, that will be true. But lives are on the line and the President isn't doing anything or listening.

At the same time, Dems are being set up to take the fall for this. If we're still in Iraq two years from now, they'll say see the Dems didn't know what to do anymore than we did. If we leave and Iraq falls into chaos, they'll say we lost Iraq.

I've read some interesting proposals by people - some military but not all - qualified by study of and extensive experience in the Middle East.

They agree that the size of the country and the lack of adequate boots on the ground make it impossible to deal with the problems the way we're (not) dealing with them. They suggest that we must concentrate all our troops and rebuilding efforts in one location at a time - the most densely populated area first. Basically forget the rest of the country. When the area is stabilized and rebuilding is well on its way, we move some, but not all of our troops to the next location - don't repeat the Fallujah disaster.

This strategy will present a positive face to the Iraqi people, sort of serve as a model and will reduce insurgent activity simply because of the intense troop concentration.

It's the only plan I've read that makes as much sense as anything will to end the slaughter and begin rebuilding.

My cousin who has spoken to numerous Arabs has found most of them believe the United States can accomplish anything it chooses. Thus the reason for the belief the American can dictate to Israel and the belief that all that has gone wrong in Iraq was deliberate. She has a friend, a professor in Jordan who spends a fair amount of this time trying to convince people that the United States has just been inept.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Under the cover of the Baker group, Bush will tuck tail and scurry out of Iraq. He will say, "Mission Accomplished" again. Bush's legacy will be one of utter failure. He will spend the next two years trying to change that fact. He will fail, again.

This is what happens when you elect a dumbass to be the president. Particularly one who is an ideologue, an ideologue without any actual ideas.

"...the United States can accomplish anything it chooses." It is possible to think of it thus: It doesn't make linguistic sense to talk about a "war" if there is no possibility for losing it. The US Air Force with conventional weapons would reduce every Iraqi city to rubble within a few months.

In that light, the Arab belief is not without basis. Isn't it known and don't we flex our muscles from it that America is the most powerful country the world has ever known? And then we're surprised when people believe it?

"... the United States can accomplish anything it chooses." Remember the title of William Fulbright's book The Arrogance of Power? It's sad to see that the arrogance of power lives on in spite of the US experience in Vietnam & Iraq, the Soviet experience in Afghanistan, and the French experience in Vietnam and Algeria.

The old line from "Where Have all the Flowers Gone" still applies, "... when will they ever learn? ..."

Tom

The U.S. CAN impose it's will on Israel. Bush I did it and forced the Israelis to sign an agreement not to build more settlements in the occupied territories and froze their loan guarantees until they complied. It worked. The right-wing and Israeli lobby howled, but they caved.

If that seems like ancient history now it's that successive administrations have lacked the political will to do it.

But, they could if they had the guts to stand up to the American people and say "this is in our interest and in the interest of peace and in the interest of the Israeli people. Supporting Israel doesn't mean blindly supporting everything their government does. I'm President of the U.S. and I took this action in the interests of peace because it's the right thing to do and the right thing for America."

The American people would support a President who stood up and told the truth like that.

Of course, not Shrub, but an honest President.

"Where Have all the Flowers Gone" seems so dated now, even rather wimpy. It's decade, so disparaged now, was when we said make love, not war, gave each other the peace sign - never the Churchill victory sign - ..."when will they ever learn?" indeed.

The entire Iraq nightmare is one created of a lie. Any child, by the time he or she reaches adulthood, knows that is a recipe for disaster. And that about sums up the intelligence and maturity of our president. He is a lying screw up. And if he has his way he'll see to it that more of our young men and women die for nothing before we are able to get the hell out of Iraq. The only reason for us to be there now is so Bush can save face. The only reason. The proper place for him is in jail. How we tolerate this liar who has caused so many to die and leave him in the oval office is a disgrace.

Lies are pretty common in foreign policy.
Diplomats often say they can't lie, and one I know better uses to continue with "that's the privilege of their masters".

But Machiavellic lies are by many considered truly harmful for Democracy, as for instance in Hungary.

Can we, by the way, know that saving face is the only reason for staying in Iraq? Maybe there is something else we try to save?

OK. Bush is trying to save his butt.

Tom

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