Should the 2008-ers Lend a Hand?
What do you think? There are Democratic House candidates out there right now who might go down to defeat on November 7th because they couldn't scrounge up a few tens of thousands of dollars to run one good TV ad buy in the final stretch. Meanwhile there are heavy-hitters who want the presidential nomintion in 2008 sitting on multi-million dollar warchests. Some of them are even raising money for those warchests right now.
I agree with those who say that political money is not a zero-sum game. But in the very short-term that's a lot of money that could be injected into these races right now.
What do you think should happen?

















It's worth noting that John Edwards has been directly raising money for '06 candidates this year rather than raising money for himself.
October 17, 2006 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
The worst of the worst is Sen Evan Bayh of Indiana. His stinginess deserves a special award.
October 17, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought that Bayh had presidential ambitions? Both Edwards and Clark have been going around helping candidates.
October 17, 2006 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is easy to overstate the amount of money sitting around in Leadership PACs. Here are the Q2 2006 totals. There's really not a huge amount of money sitting around. Warner will probably spend a lot of his money electing web and challenging Frank Wolf and Thelma Drake.
Now, Bayh, Biden, Dodd, and HRC are sitting on their Senate warchests, but they can't realistically spend to zero. I do think Bayh has been particulary stingy—he's sitting on $10M with no real threat of losing ... ever. And Hillary could perhaps be a bit more generous since she can raise money hand over fist. But there's not a ton to complain about, as long as members are meeting their fundraising dues.
October 17, 2006 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
In case he wants to run again, Jimmy Carter has been campaigning a lot for one long shot and even enlisted the family. It is true Jack Carter is his son but aren't family values a good thing? :-)
I just watched a debate between Carter and Ensign. Jack Carter is - different. No pleasantries. No words - well not many.
True political junkies should see one extraordinary performance.
Thanks for mentioning what John Kerry has been doing. I hadn't voted for the awful Democratic candidates selected for me for decades. Even the horrors of a Ronald Reagan or the Bushes were not sufficiently enticing. But I did vote for Kerry, despite my distaste solely because of the Swiftboating. I can't help but appreciate what Kerry is doing now and glad somebody mentioned Edwards. I believe Feingold, my one preferred candidate, has been active too but none appear to have begun to match Kerry.
Possibly I could be enticed to vote for Kerry for the right reasons instead of all the wrong ones.
Best, Terry
October 17, 2006 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to know what Joe Lieberman is doing for Democratic House candidates.
October 17, 2006 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
We should also look at '06 candidates who have their seats secured.
Bill Nelson has over $12M cash on hand. Hillary Clinton has over $22M. Neither have much to worry about in '06. It would be nice to see both of them make even more generous donations to candidates who acually need the money.
October 17, 2006 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Democrats win this cycle the chances of the various 2008 candidates are enhanced. Working for candidates now means more money in the system later. It also means you have earned friendships that will be invaluable in a run for President. Folks might be surprised when Kerry emerges as the candidate of the elected Democrats because of all the chits he is earning now.
Ron Byers
October 17, 2006 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
General Clark has been doing some campaigning for candidates I have donated to, like Charlie Brown.
I respect that. These are people who Rahm has not helped at all.
October 17, 2006 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see Kerry, Edwards, Clark and Murtha everywhere. And despite favoring Edwards, and dismayed by Kerry's one significant gaffe (slow response to Swiftboaters), I would not be at all upset with him as the nominee in 2008.
He won every debate and outpolled - in total voters - Clinton's two races, Gore's and Dukakis' and was the first Dem to outpoll Reagan's record showing.
I'll take Edwards, Kerry or Dean over Hilary, whose candidacy would have me considering a Third Party choice.
Kevin Hayden
October 17, 2006 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman is a democrat?
October 17, 2006 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who would expect the Democrats (who fiddled while Bush conned the country into a war in Iraq and while our right to habeas corpus is being ceded to the moron-in-chief) to do anything right now?
Tom
October 17, 2006 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senate:
Hillary has Cash Available as of 08/23/2006: $22,162,694. Her $374k in candidate contributions all appear to be to other Senate candidates and the DSCC.
Bayh has Cash Available as of 09/30/2006: $10,578,491. He also has the joint INDIANA DEMOCRATIC CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY COMMITTEE that has raised and contributed money (hard to tell how much).
Kerry has Cash Available as of 09/30/2006: $13,807,188. His $3.9M in direct candidate contributions has gone to the DCCC ($500k), the DNC, and Friends of John Kerry (some of this may be related to 2004).
Biden has Cash Available as of 06/30/2006: $3,267,834. He has made about $90k in contribs from his PAC.
Dodd has Cash Available as of 09/30/2006: $1,855,961. He gave $6500 directly and about $215k from his PAC.
Leadership PACs (the second-to-last number is current cash on hand):
Democratic Prospects - Federal PACs
Candidate Name (PAC Name); Total Receipts YTD (2005); Total Disbursements YTD (2005); Cash on Hand YTD (2005)
BAYH (All America PAC) $1,297,315.28
($1,551,430.49) $813,626.44
($1,115,122.53) $1,303,341.20
($819,652.36)
BIDEN (Unite Our States PAC) $532,591.05
($547,127.89) $311,236.78
($306,460.26) $462,021.90
($240,667.63)
CLARK (WesPAC - Securing America's Future) $269,374.88
($383,318.03) $300,240.64
($476,557.21) $17,064.60
($47,930.36)
CLINTON (HILL PAC) $912,161.22
($1,268,856.00) $926,644.43
($1,280,452.91) $57,072.59
($71,555.80)
DODD (CHRIS PAC) $525,351.05
($562,156.90) $202,144.29
($455,607.19) $507,144.82
($183,938.06)
EDWARDS (One America Committee, 1stQ, 2ndQ) $893,923.15 + $427,500.
($1,250,019.66 + $36,100.) $629,527.75 + $226,796.
($1,227,346.60 + $437.) $295,434.58
($23,039.18)
FEINGOLD (Progressive Patriots Fund) $956,834.84
($595,238.33) $959,822.41
($306,119.15) $286,131.61
($289,119.18)
KERRY (Keeping America's Promise, Inc.) $2,193,179.06
($2,208,460.69) $2,034,815.40
($1,720,601.93) $646,222.42
($487,858.76)
VILSACK (Heartland PAC: 1stQ, 2ndQ) $716,082.
($977,481.) $1,026,468.
($496,722.)
WARNER (Forward Together PAC) $4,866,807.48
($3,357,589.75) $3,187,707.33
($865,062.09) $4,171,627.81
($2,492,527.66)
(Above table does not show debts and obligations.)
October 17, 2006 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's true of at least Clark and Kerry as well, I believe.
October 17, 2006 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's a misleading article in your link. Brown isn't really a longshot against Doolittle!
October 17, 2006 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Get real. Hillary is far better than Bush, and a third party vote is just a vote for the GOP, just like a vote for Nader was the same as not voting and then complaining about Bush for the last 6 years.
October 17, 2006 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've seen Obama campaigning quite a bit around the country. And he has a new book out. I know he's dismissed talk of running in 08, but I don't think anyone's counted him out. [I personally disagree with all the claims that more seasoning would be a good thing, as I think the longer time you spend in the senate the more it hurts in a presidential campaign.]
I can see 08 contenders thinking they would rather run against a republican monopoly, but I think they ought to look at spending money to get people elected now as a reasonable investment, because once elected those favor-owers will be much more able to raise money in 2 years than those out of power.
October 17, 2006 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry that table didn't post more clearly.
Other than all of these FEC reports, we can also 1) ask Rahm Emanuel and the DCCC to publicize how much these guys have raised and given to House candidates, 2) ask them directly how much they've raised and given.
If enough bloggers/netroots denizens make it clear that the amount of Congressional fundraising done by 2008 presidential candidates will be an issue for the Dem primaries, I think some additional disbursements will quickly be forthcoming.
With Mark Warner out of the race, I, for one, am looking for a new candidate to support. Give me a reason, folks.
October 17, 2006 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I'm sorry ohiomeister thinks this is a 2, but I am sick and tired of namby-pamby Democrats. Where is the Democratic outrage over Bush taking away habeas corpus?
Tom
October 17, 2006 6:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
If it's true that 10 or 20 grand would help win a seat, than it's really inexusable for Hillary or Bayh or anyone else to sit on an 08 war chest while seats slip by in 06.
Hopefully, primary voters will remember this a couple years from now.
Dissent Protects Democracy.
October 17, 2006 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is obvious to me that most democratic politicians couldn't care less about the party as a whole so why should the big money guys share the wealth?
6 years of GOP machiavellian strategy and BS running our nation into the ground along with 655,000 Iraqis and the Democratic Party hasn't even learned how to play together as well as their enemy does. At least Kerry is doing his part, not that it matters when I don't see all the party lined up to fight Diebold machines or corporate media bias (or even public media bias).
I'm still trying to figure out if the party is just throwing all these fights or if there are even fights at all.
How are Hillary and Lieberman still in the party?
I didn't forget that were it not for the GOP self-destructing all on their own we wouldn't even be talking about any of this.
October 17, 2006 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I took it back, but I just don't think it's productive to sit around and complain. I'm certainly outraged!
October 17, 2006 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
He was back when I donated to his campaign. Of course, that was like three centuries ago, also known as August 05, 2006.
October 17, 2006 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I recall reading in the last 3-4 days that HRC has cut her stash from $22 million to about $15 million, but can't find a reference to this. This news article says she has given $2 million to the DSCC. This one gives a bit more detail, and also refers to the DCCC.
October 17, 2006 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Im writing from Puerto Rico, where our lone representative in Congress doesn't get to vote. It is a glorified visitors pass. Shared by Guam, the Virgin Islands, you know, the colonies.
But what we do have are political donations by our "Comissioner Resident" Luis Fortuño's PAC. He styles himself as a Republican, and he is a member of that party, but he doesn't run as a republican. He runs as a part of the pro-US statehood party (long story). BUT he sure gives and gets like a republican. And that's what the Republicans are up to, moving the money around through out of the way places. It is a pyramid-scheme operation. It's as corrupt as the party that Fortuño belongs to and ,puf, thats saying something.
So those 8ers out there, should get on the road and work the phone lines, work the radio, work the street, work the crowds, cuz now's the time, but if we are worried about chits being called in later, the transfer of funds is, uh, a slippery slope?
And also, not just the 8ers should be out there working the phone lines, working the radio etc. but all of them, cuz, well lets hope they show us why.
October 17, 2006 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I put together the following list of candidates that I think the online netroots community should support in these final three weeks before the election, based on two criteria:
1) the closeness of the race in public polls, and
2) the relatively low financial stakes of the contest (thereby making it a lot easier to influence the race with a pool of relatively small individual donations).
The following races feature candidates with less than $500,000 combined in cash on hand, listed from least combined cash on hand to most. For each candidate, I list cash raised this quarter and then cash on hand, and at the end I put in parentheses the total cash on hand for both candidates and the latest poll result from TPM Election Central:
1) CO-05:
Dem Jay Fawcett: $146,657; $106,317
GOPer Doug Lamborn: $286,214; $92,706 ($199,023, poll 37%-37%)
2) FL-13:
GOPer Vern Buchanan: $1,124,647; $134,533
Dem Christine Jennings: $429,921; $65,431 ($199,464, poll 44%-47%)
3) OH-18:
GOPer Joy Padgett: $504,978; $256,487
Dem Zack Space: $419,283; $146,678 ($403,165, poll 41%-48%)
4) NV-02:
GOPer Dean Heller: $383,766; $279,655
Dem Jill Derby: $340,849; $183,635 ($436,290, poll 45%-42%)
5) WI-08:
GOPer John Gard: $186,282; $284,884
Dem Steve Kagen: $381,665; $160,432 ($445,316, poll 46%-48%)
6) OH-02:
Dem Victorai Wulsin: $376,337; $263,471
GOP Rep. Jean Schmidt: $332,863; $224,358 ($487,829, poll 48%-45%)
Note that most of the races are within a few points according to the most recent poll.
Any interest in spreading the word and making this group the six candidates that the Netroots will support in the final 21 days leading up to November 7???
(Not to mention that if one Dem 2008 presidential candidate spread $1M around these 6 candidates, it would likely have a huge effect!)
October 17, 2006 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. They can't be outraged since many of them said they wouldn't fight it so they could look tough on terrorism.
This whole thing looks like a good cop/bad cop routine.
October 17, 2006 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Try this information on for size which was posted at dailykos by Casey Morris:
October 17, 2006 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh c'mon, give him time. He only decided on Monday this week that he wants the Democrats to win a Majority in the House. You couldn't expect him to contribute money before he made up his mind on that!
October 17, 2006 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll take Edwards, Kerry or Dean over Hilary, whose candidacy would have me considering a Third Party choice.
Agree on preferring the first 3. based on their electability . It's academic whether she's qualified for the job to which she can't get elected . Joe Lunchpail will vote against her. Maybe Mrs. L as well.
Disagree that her candidacy is a reason to repeat the Nader caper.Nothing is.
October 17, 2006 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is out campaigning for as many Dems as he can. He is also drawing far bigger crowds, than Clark, Kerry, or Edwards.
October 17, 2006 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't there something wrong with the process when all people look at is how much money is available to spend on elections? Have we given up even a pretext of choosing people because of their positions on the issues?
Does $$$ = votes now?
PS. Take a look at how much money Schumer has in his war chest and he isn't even running for anything. The whole system stinks...
--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape
October 17, 2006 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with you, Kevin, in that I prefer several others over Hilary.
I disagree, however, when you say Kerry made just one significant gaffe (ie. the failure to respond to the swiftboaters). More significant to me was his failure to stand up for himself -- and for us -- in Ohio, despite pretty clear evidence that there was something rotten indeed going on there. In my mind, this... calculated retreat? ...is very hard to forget or forgive. For that reason, I'd be much less enthusiastic about a Kerry candidacy in 2008.
And I agree with you, too, ohiomeister, when you say that Hilary would be better than Bush. But Hilary won't be running against Bush. I'm not saying I'd vote for any Repbulican (I definitely won't), but I would not be enthusiastic about Hilary. I'm sorry, she (and Kerry, for that matter) represent to me what is wrong with the Democratic party. Everybody's triangulating all the time, with one wet finger in the wind.
I'm much more impressed by real principle, as demonstrated by Russ Feingold. At this point, among any names being seriously floated, I feel most strongly about Senator Feingold. He'll get my primary dollars (as Kerry did in '04 -- let's hope I can pick a real winner for a change this time).
-- ARG
October 17, 2006 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hasn't there always been some sort of arraingement that if you wanted to win the party's nomination, you had to fundraise for other canidates to get their endorsement and ground troops?
This seems as obvious as anything, the GOP has been winning not because of TV but GOTV.
October 17, 2006 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Holy cow, this is Sen Kerry's schedule so far for October. He had seven events last Sunday? The man's going to be pretty tired if he keeps this up for three more weeks.
Rock on, John Kerry! This is how it's done!
http://www.johnkerry.com/election06/ontheroad/
Tuesday, October 17, 2006
Time City State Event
Noon
CDT Iowa City IA Fundraiser for Iowa candidate
2:00 p.m.
CDT Cedar Rapids IA Linn County Democratic events
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
Time City State Event
12:30 p.m.
EDT MI Dedication of Michigan Law Enforcement Memorial
3:00 p.m.
EDT Flint MI Rally with Michigan candidates
Friday, October 20, 2006
Time City State Event
9:00 a.m.
EDT SC Charleston and East Bay Counties Breakfast
11:00 a.m.
EDT Orangeburg SC GOTV Rally at SC State College Campus
3:30 p.m.
EDT SC Meeting with local elected official
Monday, October 16, 2006
Time City State Event
Noon
EDT Boston MA 10th Annual Women's Health and Environment Conference
Sunday, October 15, 2006
Time City State Event
9:00 a.m.
EDT John Kerry on Fox News Sunday
11:30 a.m.
EDT Alexandria VA Fundraiser for Councilman Rob Krupika
1:45 p.m.
EDT Landover MD Fundraiser for Cardin for Senate
3:00 p.m.
EDT Upper Marlboro MD Minority Business Owners Meeting with Congressmen Cardin and Wynn
4:30 p.m.
EDT Baltimore MD Vets tour with Cardin and Cummings
5:00 p.m.
EDT Bethesda MD Montgomery County rally with Congressmen Cardin and van Hollen
7:00 p.m.
EDT Baltimore MD Ben Cardin Fundraiser
Saturday, October 14, 2006
Time City State Event
11:15 a.m.
EDT Lewiston ME House & Senate Caucus Fundraiser
1:00 p.m.
EDT Lewiston ME Lewiston Veterans Event with Congressman Michaud
2:30 p.m.
EDT Westbrook ME Firefighters Event with Congressman Tom Allen and Gov. Baldacci
4:00 p.m.
EDT Scarborough ME Baldacci Fundraiser
Friday, October 13, 2006
Time City State Event
4:45 p.m.
EDT NH Meet up with New Hampshire Supporters
6:30 p.m.
EDT Manchester NH New Hampshire Jefferson Jackson Dinner
Wednesday, October 11, 2006
Time City State Event
12:00 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Lunch Meeting with African-American Leader
1:30 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Meeting with blogger
2:00 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Meeting with Nevada GLBT Community Leader
Tuesday, October 10, 2006
Time City State Event
9:30 a.m.
PDT NV Press Conference Call Defending Iraq War Vet Patrick Murphy (PA) Against Smears of his Military Record
10:00 a.m.
PDT Boulder City NV Event with Veterans & Elizabeth Carter
3:00 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Labor Leaders
6:00 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Tessa Hafen Young Professionals Fundraiser
8:00 p.m.
PDT Las Vegas NV Dina Titus Fundraiser
Sunday, October 8, 2006
Time City State Event
5:45 p.m.
CDT Emmetsburg IA Five County Democratic Rally with Iowa Candidates
Wednesday, October 4, 2006
Time City State Event
11:30 a.m.
EDT Pelham NH Meet and Greet with NH State Senate Candidate Beth Roth and NH Seniors
1:00 p.m.
EDT Salem NH Luncheon Fundraiser for NH State Senate Candidate Beth Roth
Tuesday, October 3, 2006
Time City State Event
9:30 a.m.
EDT Columbus OH Coordinated Campaign/State Party Breakfast
10:15 a.m.
EDT Columbus OH Early Vote event at Parish Center with Mayor Coleman
11:30 a.m.
EDT Columbus OH GOTV Rally with the College Democrats at Ohio State
1:00 p.m.
EDT Columbus OH Mary Jo Kilroy Fundraiser
Monday, October 2, 2006
Time City State Event
10:30 a.m.
CDT Ames IA Iowa State University Students Political Action Week (PAW) Event
October 17, 2006 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Folks in Iowa like Obama, they are turning out in the thousands for him. Edwards is not having the same crowd appeal, but make no mistake he is working hard and establishing himself with different groups. Iowans are encouraging Obama to run.
October 17, 2006 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is so great, ohiomeister. My contribution (not counting the money) to your effort is the website called Act Blue, which is an online clearinghouse for Democratic action.
The best part is the House candidates are listed by state and and we can make secure contributions to them without having to go to each individual campaign site. I sent some money a few months ago through Act Blue and received a thank you the next day from the candidate.
And the address is:
Act Blue-US House Candidates
Now if we could only get Josh to front page your research.
"...it was not always a given that the United States and America would have a close relationship." GWB, 6/29/06
October 17, 2006 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Given the early date set for the NJ primary, and HRC's position at one end of NJ, I'd think it would be both good politics as well as a great help to the party for her to help directly in the eastern PA House races where there are real chances to pick up seats that can stay Democratic for quite a long time.
October 17, 2006 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since the new Democratic House will immediately launch a hopeless impeachment effort (hopeless because it will never, ever get 67 votes in the Senate), which will give the GOP a terrific platform for driving home Dem weakness on security issues, paving the way for President McCain or Giuliani's landslide win (running on both security and not being Bush at the same time), it's clear that the best use of any Dem candidate's money would be to prop up Republicans in tight races and forestall the Democratic takeover of the House.
Don't think it hasn't crossed Bill & Hill's hive-mind....
October 17, 2006 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe someone mentioned this already, but Hillary emptied her war chest of $9 MILLION to Senate and House candidates this quarter:
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2006/10/hillary_clinton_2.html
-- Bruno and The Professor: Dynamic Talk Radio
October 17, 2006 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry's been raising money for Democratic Candidates all year. This isn't some new phenomena for him, he was actually raising money for Democratic candidates last year too.
The Boston Globe reported recently: "Over the last two years, the Kerry campaign operation generated more than $10 million for various party committees and 179 candidates for the US House, Senate, state and local offices in 42 states, according to tallies kept by his staff."
How powerful is Kerry’s email list? Cillizza on the WaPo reports:
"So far this cycle Kerry has raised $6 million for candidates via the Internet alone; he has raised $13.5 million total for candidates and campaign committees.Just before the Sept. 30 filing deadline, Kerry sent an e-mail appeal to his list on behalf of several Democratic Senate candidates — former Navy Secretary Jim Webb (Va.), state Sen. Jon Tester (Mont.), Rep. Ben Cardin (Md.) and former state Attorney General Sheldon Whitehouse (R.I.). It raised $400,000 for the four candidates in just 72 hours.
In this cycle Kerry has raised $100,000 or more online for 11 Democratic candidates: Sens. Maria Cantwell (Wash.), Bill Nelson (Fla.) and Robert Byrd (W.Va.), Reps. Sherrod Brown (Ohio) and Harold Ford Jr. (Tenn.), Missouri state Auditor Claire McCaskill, Hennepin County Attorney Amy Klobuchar (Minn.), Webb, Iraq war veterans Tammy Duckworth (Ill.’s 6th District) and Patrick Murphy (Pa.’s 8th District) and retired Admiral Joe Sestak (Pa.’s 7th District)."
If I am not mistaken all of the money raised for candidates directly listed in his fundraising pitches via email goes to the invidual candidates themselves. The money donted to his "KAP 2006 Fight Back Fund" gets dispersed to other candidates.
Today Kerry led a drive to raise money for the The Patriot Project to put ads on the radio in the last 2 weeks before the election. Among Kerry's most noteworthy grassroots fundraising efforts via his email list was money raised for Tammy Duckworth back in March when he raised 1/4 million for Duckworth and other Veterans in 24 hours.
The man is working his tail off to put Dems into office this cycle and more power to him. We need every penny we can get to fight the republican cash machine.
October 17, 2006 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary didn't quite empty her war chest... per Hotline "As she stepped up her campaign activity and lent several of her fundraisers to other Democrats, she took in $3.8 million. Her cash on hand dropped from $22M to $15M, the result of the transfers, heavy spending on television ads and the cost of her campaign apparatus."
October 17, 2006 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
""Sometimes the cards ain't worth a dime unless you lay them down""
Truckin 1970 Garcis/Weir/Hunter
I think the 2008'ers could always do more. Wes Clark has worked hard, as has Senator Kerry. The rest of the pack? I lack Information.
As for what could be done and where money can be found? The Oregon delegation is so gerrymandered that they all have extra cash. Particularly Bluminhuier, (Misspelled, I live in Bend, have never had a Democratic Congressman) who is planing a Senate run in 08, and Defazio. Darcy Burner in Wa 08 needs help, she is close. Perhaps a little pressure from Senator Wyden, might free up some targeted cash for the Northwest.
What about a little help from the Rock and Roll crowd. Mickey Hart has a big roledex. Those old rockers, have too much cash. Bob Weir has a great skills, his birthday was yesterday, he starts a tour this week easy to get a hold of. Perhaps a call to Cameron Sears, the Dead's manager, you could get some cash ideas from him. It is time to raise the bet,
""Sometimes the cards ain't worth a dime unless you lay them down""
October 17, 2006 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
I'd like to plug CA-11
Richard Pombo is a toxic waste dump, a Love Canal, an Alaxkan Oil Spill class disaster for the environment.
McNerney his D opponent has recently moved into a slight MOE lead 48-46 after trailing by double digit margins for most of the year. He's begun to attract funds and has a strong GOTV contingent from NoCali Envrionmental Groups. Money could make a real difference here..
3d Q Report
- Jerry McNerney raised $714,552, spent $542,326 and had $323,798 on hand with $154,296 of debt.
- Richard Pombo raised $938,573, spent $738,133, and had $1,139,535 on hand with $90,904 in debt.
October 18, 2006 1:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
The sad part of your comment GWDirka will come later. When we get back Congress we'll pat each other on the back and think we won it. We will not have won it. We will have found it lying out in the corn field, upside down with the wheels still spinning and the lights still on and Republicans stumbling around in the dust trying to sober up. That's not winning!!
We'll actually think we are "on the right track", when the truth is we don't even know where the road is at that the car was on before it met the edge of the corn field. All we know is that the Republicans aren't on it, and we'll think that we must be - they elected us, right? I fear getting the Congress back will give new insight into the meaning of the saying "can't win for losing".
October 18, 2006 1:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Charles Cook related a confernce call in which James Carville suggested that the DNC take out a 5,000,000 loan and put money in the next 20-30 most competitive races.
Cook would go for 10 Million and give 500K to 20 second tier most deserving.
The GOP $$ edge shuuldn't be as signficant this year, ditto their 72 Hour GOTV, but they're dropping hundreds of thousands into House and Senate races for major negative ad buys and candidates who cannot afford to respond, are likely to suffer
Then there's always a heavy hitter fold on strength poker game. The Wire's Mayor Royce recommends for last weeks "walkarond money"
October 18, 2006 1:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
in the washington post this morning harold meyerson has an opinion article titled "what would democrats do" the article should be on the headlines of every major newspaper,t.v. station and website.if the american people are not satisfied with that program as opposed to the current program in place,well then they are just fickle.meyerson states the commonsense programs that would begin to get america back to its senses,give hope to average americans and it encompass` real programs,not wedge issues.thank you,peace bj.
October 18, 2006 1:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
My wife took me to see Al Franken in Santa Rosa for our anniversary. He suggested that since we have "safe" seats here in California, we should send money to tight races in other states. In general, I don't like mucking in other states' affairs. And I got really angry with McCain when he appeared in TV ads supporting our sad Governor's special election measures.
But maybe it's the right thing to do this time. It seems like there's a lot more at stake.
October 18, 2006 2:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
"That's true of at least Clark and Kerry as well, I believe."
Not Kerry. Kerry is sitting on $13m, as you note elsewhere in this thread.
This is the money that he heisted from the '04 campaign. He's holding onto that money for the '08 campaign rather than contributing it for '06.
Compare Kerry's CoH to Edwards' CoH.
October 18, 2006 2:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Now that we have the facts, can we move this along now?"
Sure, if you can explain why Kerry is maintaining such a large kitty of Cash on Hand for his own '08 race rather than using it for the Party in '06.
And sure, if you can explain why Kerry heisted $15m from the '04 Presidential campaign rather than using it to beat George Bush.
October 18, 2006 2:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The man is working his tail off to put Dems into office this cycle"
Then why are Kerry and Hillary both holding more than $10m in cash for their own '08 races rather than using that money to help the Party in '06?
October 18, 2006 2:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If it's true that 10 or 20 grand would help win a seat, than it's really inexusable for Hillary or Bayh or anyone else to sit on an 08 war chest while seats slip by in 06."
Hillary, Bayh, and Kerry will all exit the '06 elections with more than $10m lying unspent in their bank accounts.
Inexcusable? You bet.
"Hopefully, primary voters will remember this a couple years from now."
Maybe, maybe not. Note all the unchallenged Kerry spam on this thread trying to make excuses for his hoarding.
October 18, 2006 2:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Precisely. I lurk around this site and see people* (if you consider think tank personnel people) actually rehashing various angles of the Iraq conflict and other horrendous acts instigated by the neocon plague and wonder what the hell happened. There is clearly a moral high ground to be taken, a clear way to plan and fight the appeal to ignorance mode of combat the GOP/Corporate America has adopted but there is no gameplan other than "cower in the corner until you get an opportunity to exploit some defect to large for the GOP to conceal". It is totally pathetic. When was the last time you saw a prominently displayed Howard Dean quote? Where's the Dem appeal to christians with a conscience? Didn't Kuo pretty much point to another GOP defect?
I refuse to believe these people are really that stupid. I think they share a common agenda on a certain level and do not want to rock the boat. I think a Democratic Congress and a Democratic President will keep troops in Iraq with a different excuse. I think Cheney won't see a day of jail time for his Haliburton fraud. I think the majority of these guys are hacks funded largely by some of the same corporations and businessmen that fund the GOP.
When was the last time legislation was passed that truly changed the lives of Americans in a positive truly meaningful way? I have to go back to the 70's but I'm not as learned as I would like to be in the realm of Political Science so maybe I am overlooking something.
People seem to forget that this is a nation that had the Army bomb and machine gun women and children to satisfy coal mine owners. I'd like to be optimistic about the true intentions of the Democratic Party and its elected members but I find it difficult. King George just raped our nation and planet for 6 years, spit on the constitution, threw out monopoly provisions, said "God Bless the environment" and tossed it out the window,let leaders of industry have oversight over their own businesses, put a corrupt VETERINARIAN over the FDA, killed hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqi people and these people have no game plan except to wait around like a pack of hyenas until they see the lion come up lame and then pounce.
The Democratic Party lacks courage, leadership, insight and hope. The GOP pretends to have these attributes and the people run to them. Their confidence is real but their ideology is a lie. When will these people show some confidence or courage and not leave the poor and middle class who built this nation on the side of the road to fend for themselves?
This party can't even pretend to care in unison.
Sorry bout that. I'm off the soapbox.
Im really sorry about all that, its not like numerous administration appointees and staff have been arrested, convicted and implicated in a large lobbying bribery scheme. They didnt really have any opening to attack before the outting of a well known to be closeted republican chasing pages.
Its not like there was a Nebraska Credit Union run by a prominent Republican used to launder Iran-Contra Money and sell Boy's Town 12yr olds to DC politicians that Dems could tie this Foley stuff into.
Don't you have to pretty much not try at all to not cast the GOP as Caligula's party? They sold themselves as the "Jesus Guys" and want war and torture. Does George have to shoot heroin at a Rose Garden press conference before people will start a serious criticism of his every move? Come to think of it he might have shot up before that last one. He makes Gerald Ford look like Einstein. "When everyone at the table is playing the same cards ..." ?????? He dismisses anything with no explanation and the press take it at face value and I don't see anyone calling him out on it in the Party. I see the few left leaning pundits there are jump on him but where is the united front?
A house divided against itself cannot stand.
October 18, 2006 3:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah why was it Kerry didn't spend that cash on Florida again? I missed that explanation.
Wasn't Kerry's campaign slogan "Born To Lose"?
October 18, 2006 3:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the defeatist stuff I have been hearing alot lately. Who likes to back a loser? Lose to win? More like can't win for losing. Hit em where it hurts everytime, all the time and maybe you wont need to worry about looking weak. BTW why are dems supposed to appear weak on terror all the time? Because they haven't put a swastika on the donkey? Get a good organization going with a clear message and there is no need to take any losses.
October 18, 2006 3:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary hasn't given a fraction of what Kerry has, and she has MUCH more money than he does. When Hillary has matched Kerry's donations of $13 million to candidates, THEN you can start questioning him. But the pressure needs to be on Hillary who has even greedily fundraised FOR HERSELF in other states like Washington -- why didn't she raise money for Maria Cantwell instead? I am just very disappointed with the Clintons -- why is it always about them instead of our team -- the Democratic Party?
October 18, 2006 5:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're wrong about the House. I was listening to Rep. Bobby Scott (VA-03) on the radio the other day, and he said they will open hearings in the House to ASK QUESTIONS. They want to know what happened in Iraq, what went wrong, what the goal is there, etc. They will not have impeachment hearings; I just seriously doubt that. And I think people are largely underestimating Mrs. Pelosi; no, she's not the best talking head on TV, but behind the scenes she is very good.
October 18, 2006 5:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wes Clark has chosen to have donations go directly to candidates through his Act Blue page rather than take the money in and dole it out.
He also takes a dim view of 2008 candidates who fund raise for themselves before November 7th. A friend of mine overhead him say, they are "doing a disservice" to the people running in 2006.
As for boots on the ground, I doubt any 2008 aspirant can beat Clark in that area. And, may I say, all this while earning a living. No traveling around the country on the taxpayers' dime, for him.
He truly is the most selfless Dem out there....probably, in part, because he is not a career politician.
;)
"Nothing is more American; nothing is more patriotic; than speaking out, questioning authority and holding your leaders accountable."....Wes Clark
October 18, 2006 5:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bayh has trained and sent campaign operatives to higher and lower tier House races -- some that haven't even gotten attention from the DCCC.
October 18, 2006 5:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry has GIVEN $13 million to candidates, far more than Edwards or even Hillary. From the above list, he has an additional $13 million on hand. There's no way you're going to get away with that comment, and act like Edwards has given more. The facts aren't there to support your notion.
October 18, 2006 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben Nelson, HRC, and Kennedy should send some money to New Jersey, Maryland, and Tennessee. I understand they've already sent some money back to the DSCC.
October 18, 2006 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, Clark and others were sticking their necks out for longshot candidates long before there were 60 competitive races in this cycle.
October 18, 2006 5:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, to make it clear, Kerry has given or raised $13 million for various candidates. So not only has Kerry used funds on hand, he has been excellent at raising new funds for candidates. Petey -- I see your Kerry bashing comments throughout this entire thread. I suppose this has nothing to do with the fact that Edwards' fundraising is largely dwarfed by Kerry's, so you're left with nothing better to do than bring up the same old tired complaints about Kerry leftover from the '04 electoral loss, now does it?
October 18, 2006 6:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems like everyone is encouraging Obama to run.
October 18, 2006 6:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is indeed a rock star, and I'm thrilled with him being one of our party's best surrogates. However, he is not ready for the presidency -- I strongly believe we need someone with impeccable foreign policy credentials to be our commander in chief. I hope that Obama will continue to gain experience, and some day run for president, but '08 is too early.
October 18, 2006 6:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
October 18, 2006 6:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would need to see one full term plus one re-election as governor of Illinois before I would take Obama seriously. A committement to not slagging off liberal Democrats wouldn't hurt either.
sPh
October 18, 2006 6:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Pelosi has said there will be no impeachment hearings. That would just let Republican Senators and Congressmen off the hook for their lack of oversight over the last 6 years.
October 18, 2006 7:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
A few bucks from someone with a large war chest could make the difference between minority and majority.
October 18, 2006 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry's been phenomenal and has been consistently so during the previous cycle as well. He'll be in Michigan today raising money for democratic candidates here (I'm not back in RI until after the winter holidays as my daughter wanted me with her after her dad passed away).
I don't think using a mailing list from a previous cammpaign is something that should be looked down upon.. the DNC maintains such a list.. the whinging on about that smacks of sour grapes.
At any rate, Kerry has maintained my support and quite honestly, as he hasn't lowered himself by kowtowing to Markos of DK trolling, that adds further to his cred in my not so humble estimation.
October 18, 2006 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Even post-9/11 I still think foreign policy credentials are WAY overrated. We need someone who is motivational and a good speaker with a good life story, someone with whom average people can relate (think Carter, Clinton, and this is also how Bush is viewed by the other side, although it seems farcical).
Obama is ready. He's only going to get less ready by taking more votes that can be misconstrued in the future and making more speeches in the Senate.
October 18, 2006 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some Republicans really seem worried about hearings and investigations, all of which might lead some to think that they are necessary.
Regardless, you probably know the old theory about incumbents and their advantages. The advantages to winning the 06 mid terms, while looking towards 08, are no doubt higher than losing for the Democrats.
And that has probably crossed Mr. Rove's overworked mind...
"...it was not always a given that the United States and America would have a close relationship." GWB, 6/29/06
October 18, 2006 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry has given money from his PACs as well as gone around to lots of fundraisers that raise money that gets donated directly to the candidates and asking his email list to donate money directly to lots of different candidates, which you can see listed at his website, johnkerry.com.
It's hard to compare his donations to others b/c of the advantages of having a big email list left over from his presidential campaign that he can use to ask for donations, having lots of leftover cash, and having a high rate of name recognition.
I don't begrudge him anything, including a second shot at the Dem nomination and the presidency, and I supported him happily in 2004 (but don't think he can win in 2008), but if he did decide right now to cancel his plans to run again and donate most of his Cash on Hand to close House races, we'd have to agree to name him Democratic Politician of the Year/Decade/Century.
No other Dem politician would show that amount of altruism either, so like I said earlier, it's hard to compare directly.
October 18, 2006 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm saying that the Oct. 2 AP article is misleading. He may have looked like a longshot earlier in the cycle, but he didn't by then!
October 18, 2006 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am not making excuses for anyone, I'm just saying that it would be altruistic and magnanimous, and those qualities aren't necessarily common among politicians of any stripe.
I also think it's understandable from their perspective. I'm sure they think they worked hard to raise all that money, and every one of them is definitely going to need every last dollar they can raise to win the Dem nomination and beat the GOP candidate in 2008.
October 18, 2006 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I write to dispel the "conventional wisdom" Josh Marshall posted on his site:
This just is typical "circular firing-squad" logic. The conventional wisdom for some Dems has to be "let the Republicansrun America into the ground for another 2 years and I'll ride into the WH in 20008." But is that really true?
Remember that the Republican candidate in 2008 will very probably be McCain and he will run as a total OUTSIDER, against both Bush and the Republican Congress (once he gets the nomination that is).
His message will be that "it's a new day and a clean broom." He'll be supported by most of the media which will suddenly discover that they love "bi-partisanship" now that Democrats are in a position to fight back, i.e. it's o.k. for Republicans to fight dirty and do outrageous things to hold onto power, but not Dems.
The election that Democrats want to be a referrendm on the Bush years won't be, any more than there was any payback for the Repubicans' impeachment efforts. It will all be "There's no point in arguing about how we got to this point, it's all Bush's fault, but he's gone, we need to focus on what are we going to do now."
Meanwhile McCain is going to run against the Democrats in Congress, whether they are in control or not.
So, if the Dems take control of Congress it will be no disadvantage they wouldn't have anyway, and if they lose it will simply mean 2 more years of Bush running the country further into the ground.
Probably the Democrats would be best advised to run a Western or Mid-western Governor rather than any Senator.
Just because it's easy to see that the Republicans will attack the Democratic controlled congress, no matter what it does, it's tougher to see that they will ANYWAY even if the Dem's AREN'T in control.
If the Dems manage to lose the mantra will be "Dems can't run anything. They're pusillanimous and weak, why would you trust them with running the country."
October 18, 2006 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent. Feel free to copy, distribute, publicize, and promote as far and wide as possible. I cross-posted on Daily Kos last night, but they didn't promote it there either.
Ah, well. I'm giving it a shot.
Also, Zach Space in Ohio may actually be pretty safe, so we could leave him off and just promote the catchier-sounding Final Five!
October 18, 2006 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Right, Edwards even pays for the plane ticket, rental car and hotel all himself. He's just there to lend his star power. During one visit with Webb, he raised $65,000. http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB116035088278886311-PG2T_G1GMvCy_DsPeJyR0tU1CwU_20071008.html?mod=blogs
October 18, 2006 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Kerry kept cash on hand in case there was a recount, like Florida 2000, in which Gore had no cash and had to fundraise.
October 18, 2006 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
The uniqueness of what Edwards is doing was profiled in The National Journal in July.
"Edwards has rejected the age-old practice of pouring political action committee cash into early battleground states of the presidential caucus and primary season. Instead, the former Senator is mostly spending his money on trying to help other candidates and party committees raise cash, jetting around the nation to try to draw attention to those campaigns -- and, in the process, draw attention to himself."
"Aides to Edwards said this approach is far more beneficial to candidates and state and local committees than simply cutting a $5,000 or $10,000 check from One America’s downtown Washington, D.C., headquarters.">
Unfortunately it's subscriber only, but the highlights are at: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/7/25/75229/4154 and http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/03/30/edwards_tries_different_approach.html
October 18, 2006 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards Travels for 2006 Candidates
Jim Webb on 26 September: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/9/28/14159/8287 Ned Lamont on 17 August: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/8/18/14458/3309 Heath Shuler (NC-11) on 22 August: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/8/24/84530/8735Larry Kissell (NC-8) last week: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/16/82913/245
Deval Patrick (Mass-Gov) on 30 August: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/9/1/8815/41137etc, etc, etc, etc. For the full list: http://oneamericacommittee.com/
Nick Lampson--TXPatty Wetterling-MNMaria Cantrell-WABruce Braley-IADave Loebsack-IAIt'll include:
Leonard Boswell-IAPatricia Madrid (Elizabeth did that one)-NMAmy Klutchobar (sp)-MNJohn Cranley-OHSherrod Brown-OHMary Jo Kilroy-OHRep Spratt --SCBill Nelson-FLand for dozens of state-wide candidates: http://oneamericacommittee.com/action/raise-the-states/
October 18, 2006 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think he is ready. If George W. Bush can serve 2 terms as governor and have the most incompetent, corrupt and totally dysfunctional administration in the history of America....then Obama is more than ready.
I do not beleive this is essential. and may in fact be a hindrance. A America's reputation abroad is not going to be restored by electing a politician in who is beholden to corporate interests. What America needs is an intelligent leader with the capacity to not only reason but who has the leadership skills to build consensus, that is the issue here. Who do you think, would fit your 'impeccable foreign policy credentials'?
America needs bright new and bold leadership. Obama's time is now. There is a reason he is drawing massive crowds. Americans are hungering for a leader to take us out of this polarized morass and Obama speaks to that need.. He represents the precise democratic priniciples and ideals this country stands for. His face abroad, his consumate diplomacy and track record of success is a liiving embodiment of what America is and the world will recognize that.
Obama is the face of America in the new millieneum...he is the Anerican child that the Civil War and Civil Rights era has melded to move this country forward on a different path. He represents what America wants to achieve globally and he knows how to articulate the angst of those differences and bring disparate thoughts, experiences and aspirations together as a viable force for progress.
Those who look for the same ol things in leadership are missing the boat. The era for those criteria is gone. The generations who lead us to this point have no idea how to get this country back on track, it is their ideas which brought us to this point in history. America has to move forward and change in leadership style,thinking and willingness to blaze a new path is needed. The baby boomer generation had their chance. We had Clinton and Bush.
It is time to think progressively when it comes to leadership. No more Vietnam era leaders. We need leaders who understand the world we live in today, who understand that the military is voluntary, who understand that the thinking which brought us to this point will not carry us out of it.
October 18, 2006 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rove's mind may be overworked but his ethics are underworked.
Tom
October 18, 2006 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. He understands how this country is not working politically. He does not need to get bogged down in the quagmire of paritsianship that has created the state of polarization and moral morass that threatens to destroy our democracy.
Here is how he phrases it in his book Audacity of Hope:Thoughts on Reclaiming America:
There are many problems facing this nation including health care, social security, and national security among others. Obama speaks of these problems, as they need to be addressed not by partisan politics but by engaging in positive debate and through compromise.
He takes to task the so-called “compassionate conservativism” of George W. Bush and calls it what it is: absolutism. The current administration has the mind-set of you are with us or against us repeated in countless speeches. This absolutism extends to other Republican leaders such as Newt Gingrich and Tom Delay as well as the Christian right who he says is trying to “march toward the New Jerusalem.”
But he does not just stop at criticizing the Republican leadership as he says, Democrats are “confused” and “become the party of reaction” in light of the conservatives stronghold on all three branches of government and Democrats inability to combat it.
For those who clamor for 'more experience and foreign policy expertise...I say; how has it come to waiting for the scandal to break in our favor; instead of being proactive from the beginning we have been a party that has reacted to Republican advances and rhetoric. McCain exemplifies this as well. He embraces Bush despite having been a POW.
Barack also states, “I am convinced that whenever we exaggerate or demonize, oversimplify or overstate our case, we lose. Whenever we dumb down the political debate, we lose.”
The paradigm has shifted in terms of world and American politics... Obama is the only one talking about taking America on a new course and who has the intelligence to explain to the American public what they are experiencing, why it is not working and most importantly how we can move forward.
Obama has such charisma that he will meet with all those Talking Radio heads and go on all their shows and talk to their audience...he will find common ground with that sector of the electorate. Obama will also go to those evangelical churches and stand next to Dobson, Falwell and those other 'white religious leaders' and address their congregations on faith ...they TOO will find they can meet Obama where he is at on faith. Obama is awesome, he has no preconceived boundaries about religion, race, ethnicity or immigration. His bkgrd is melding of all those things and that is why he is drawing thousands. He speaks to the hearts of Americans across the spectrum of Americana.
Obama gains nothing by spending more time in the Senate, as he said...no body there is listening, anyway.
October 18, 2006 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Barack Obama is doing the same thing. He also has an entire book of ideas about how to reclaim American. Edwards has no more foreign policy expertise than Obama. Politicians with political aspirations, see no need to spend a lot of time in the Senate...it is not beneficial or politically astute to remain there. McCain and Kerry both represent how being long-standing Senators is an impediment to leading this country.
October 18, 2006 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Colleen Rawley needs to be on your list Ohiomeister.
She is the FBI agent who was the whistleblower for 911 Zacarria pilot training in MN that was not listened to.
She has refused to pander to get campaign donations, is so straight forward it makes you think you are sitting in the backyard listening to a family member, she doesn't dress up and is not PC in her language. She is just an everyday person trying hard to change the system. She will be a good person to elect in terms of principled representation, she is not necessarily a consensus builder but we need people who stand on principle. More people like that would have kept us out of Iraq.
October 18, 2006 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Investigations typically preceed impeachment hearings. You have to get the facts before you can proceed...thus Questions and queries are essential to the process. First we uncover evidence then we prosecute.
October 18, 2006 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ha! That is one of the great things about being female...they have no problems changing their mind based on the facts at hand. Unlike the male psyche, change does not represent defeat or indecision. Females understand that it represents cogent analysis and discernment. Rangel and Conyers will both see to their being impeachement hearings in the House for sure.
October 18, 2006 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
The truly overworked organ of Mr.Rove's is responsible for him being nicknamed 'turdblossom'.
October 18, 2006 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
His only prayer to win the Dem nomination is to raise a ton of money and be the centrist/common sense candidate. He's going to need every penny to compete.
Still, he could give some money to moderate candidates, esp. around IA/NH/NV/SC, whose endorsements could come in mighty handy in the future.
October 18, 2006 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
thanks that's the first explanation I heard about that.
October 18, 2006 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Other parties litigated the Ohio results and lost. I don't think it would have made any difference if Kerry didn't concede, other than wasting a lot of money. The end result would have been the same. Gore fought to the end in Florida, as he should have, but in the end, that didn't do any good either.
Hillary would be tons better than any GOP candidate in 2008, certainly far better than torturee to torture apologizer John McCain or Mitt (I was pro-choice before I was pro-life) Romney, their top two candidates.
Plus, she has one essential trait -- a willingness to hit back and hit back hard. Did you see what her people did to McCain over his N. Korea comments? It's in Maureen Dowd's column.
Privately, Hillary’s camp was not overly upset by the McCain swipe because it suspected he was doing the bidding of the White House and that he ended up, as one adviser put it, “looking similar to the way he did on those captive tapes from Hanoi, where he recited the names of his crew mates.”
http://select.nytimes.com/2006/10/14/opinion/14dowd.html?n=Top%2fOpinion%2fEditorials%20and%20Op%2dEd%2fOp%2dEd%2fColumnists
Ouch!!! That's a Rove-level put-down. Take his strengths (honorable, served, POW) and turn them against him. And we're a full two years from the election! They aren't going to back down, they aren't going to be afraid, they are going to be vicious and they are going to go for the jugular, and that's definitely a highly necessary trait in presidential politics that has been lacking in the last two Dem nominees.
Clinton's people later apologized and disavowed the comment, but they got it out there. I doubt McCain will be challenging Clinton's foreign policy directly without thinking long and hard the next time.
October 18, 2006 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think it's nearly so simple.
What's better, real outrage followed by largely symbolic opposition since we don't have the numbers and then election losses, or winning the election and then going back and fixing this mess?
Yes, of course they should fight for what's right, but sometimes the choices really are that stark.
October 18, 2006 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
How much Cash on Hand and what are the latest public polls?
I'm not choosing on substance, purely on affordability and close polls. Lots of great candidates out there that deserve support!
October 18, 2006 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, he is expriencing the same thing Powell did. Powell declined. I think Obama is going to toss his hat in the ring. His baggage is out there in his first book already..unlike Powell, whose wife, Alma,who was not emotionally stable enough for him to run
The Obama's represent the new face of leadership for this country and the fact that they are faces of color will not go unnoticed around the globe in those countries where America has been a tyrant. Obama will restore America's global goodwill and his bkgrd will motivate people around the world. People who met Obama in college knew he was destined for greatness. He is and America will be proud.
BTW did anyone hear Cris matthews' comment on Hardball expressing skepticism on Obama running as well as George Wills comment on This Week?
Wills claimed that Obama's running would depend on whether Ford won in the TN senate race. He thought that Obama was sensitive to his stature as the only AA in the Senate and would only run if Ford won. I think that is a complete fallacy and meaningless.
Matthew's pondered how can this country not have an AA in the Senate for hundreds of years and yet be contemplating an AA President. I thought that was somewhat racist and exrtemely naive from a political and historical perspective. It was racist in the sense of saying how can this country change it's views so rapidly on race and thus in a backhanded way it encourages racism as a reason not to vote for Obama as President.
Secondly, it dismisses how history and politicals are all about seizing the moment. It is the confluence of events and the times. The rise of new leadership is seldom anticipated or discerned by those looking for traditional criteria, such as experience. It is new ideas and innovative thinking coupled with visionary stragies that seize the moment.
Time and time again history shows us that leaders are born not out of political experience but with character that enables them to have the courage of conviction combined with leadership and oratorical skills. Think Lincoln, FDR, Kennedy, Eisenhower. Clinton.etc.
October 18, 2006 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good man. If he demurs during the election campaign he undermines his drawcard appeal at fundraisers and campaign stops. So whether he runs or not, I want him to not rule it out for the next three weeks.
October 18, 2006 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK Mr. Kerry, you didn't use it. Now can I have my $200 back, I really gave it for Edwards anyway.
October 18, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can appreciate your sentiment about letting others decide their own elections, but a) the other side won't be doing that. Republican donors will happily cross state lines, and big corporations will give to anyone they think will help them out regardless of location. and b) Perhaps your own district is decided but there are close races in CA, look into Charlie Brown in the CA 4th and Jerry McNerney in the CA 11th as ways to help effect national change at a relatively local level.
October 18, 2006 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Petey, markg8, ohiomeister, and global citizen for the low ratings, based on political disagreement in violation of the guidelines for the site, and thus demonstrating the uselessness and built-in bias of the rating system here.
October 18, 2006 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Typical Democratic weasel actions, then. Too timid to either have an impeachment or not have one, so they'll have a gutless half-impeachment. "I voted for impeachment before I voted against it."
If you shoot at the king, you better kill him.
October 18, 2006 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
While some of this praise may go a little over the top, I agree with the jist, being: "Obama doesn't need to spend more time in the Senate and charisma wins presidential elections." JFK was an inexperienced idealist when he won. LBJ only won b/c he was an incumbent. Nixon is not anyone I would pattern anything after, and Ford never won. Carter won as an inexperienced Christian who was more ethical and honest than the watergate residue. Reagan won as an inexperienced but charismatic and bold thinking idealist. Bush senior won because he was following a popular president and he was running against Dukakis, not an easy pattern to follow. Clinton won as an inexperienced but smart empathizer, who understood people and was optimistic (and had a little help from Perot). Bush "won" as an inexperienced but charismatic "regular" guy, who conned the electorate and cheated the first time, and played up people's fears and cheated the second time.
Obama can pick any of these inexperienced president's patterns (except Bush, he'll have a hard time with the good ol' boy routine), and in fact has aspects of all of them.
Perhaps it would be better if presidents were chosen solely on experience and expertise, but it's not done that way.
October 18, 2006 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I gave your comment low ratings not out of political disagreement but b/c you are simply wrong on the facts. There isn't going to be any impeachment, barring the discovery of another Watergate-level crime.
How many times does Nancy Pelosi have to tell you? It would be pointless anyway b/c not enough people would vote to impeach when it came down to it.
October 18, 2006 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has very little cash and is running behind due to the incumbent Sabo being well-liked. It is a tough race. I do not know how to go about finding out the specific amount. I believe it is less than 100K.
October 18, 2006 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand that GOP supporters do not beleive in due process under the law...which is why Bush just signed away the right to habeas corpus. Maybe, when some of them are arrested and detained they will understand the importance of due process. Which demands evidence before you detain a person inperpetuity by classifying them as an 'enemy combatant'. I guess you know that law pertains to USA citizens not just foreigners, right?
The biggest liberal 'weasel' in the world is a GOP law and order/social conservative who has just been arrested.
October 18, 2006 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll take that bet. Steak dinner if judiciary doesn't launch an impeachment inquiry.
It is interesting that you claim I can be wrong on the facts about events in the future.
October 18, 2006 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
The counter attack on McCain was perfectly positioned, his mental stability is his weak spot.
I suppose Hillary has sharpened her talents for hitting below the belt by years of practicing on Bill. But the way she cut McCain off was a masterpiece.
Kerry knew for 30 years that the Swiftboaters would come after him, that's an old running feud. But he wasn't prepared for it. If he'd responded the way Hillary did to McCain, he'd be in the WH today, in fact he'd deserve to be there if he'd been half the "man" Hillary is.
October 18, 2006 4:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hellooooo? McCain won that round and put Hillary on notice (I note that you ignored McCain's cutting response-- "I don't expect either Clinton to know much about Vietnam"). And she came out looking cheap and shrewish.
Remember, this is old territory for McCain. Here's Time on his first Senate race:
"Listen, pal," he replied to a challenge to his status as an Arizonan. "I spent 22 years in the Navy. My father was in the Navy. My grandfather was in the Navy. We in the military service tend to move a lot. I wish I could have had the luxury, like you, of growing up and living and spending my entire life in a place like the First District of Arizona, but I was doing other things. As a matter of fact, when I think about it now, the place I lived longest in my life was Hanoi." The issue didn't come up much after that.
October 18, 2006 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
It isn't possible to be "wrong on the facts" when discussing a possible future event. Your rationalization is incorrect, and while I am not in agreement with the OP's posts your downrating is not justified.
sPh
October 18, 2006 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mgmax, if Democrats are so 'weasly' and the Republicans are so ? Well, you haven't actually said anything about Republicans character or judged their attempts at governing, so why are you so hung up on impeachment inquiries?
If they are so much better in government than the Democrats, as you seem to think, why worry?
"...it was not always a given that the United States and America would have a close relationship." GWB, 6/29/06
October 18, 2006 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nah. It is one of her strategic strengths. She was the one who told Bill in his first presidential campaign that he had to rebut those rumors about his womanizing or folks would think they were true. She is the one who told Bill, 'strong and wrong beats weak and right'. Folks underestimate Hiliary. Bill has always said she is more methodoical and organized than he is. I was happy to hear Hilliary cut McCain off.
McCain, deserved that type of response as well, after voting for the torture bill...the rebuttal served a dual purpose...to remind folks not only was he tortured and voted for it, but that much of what he says nowadays has just as much credibility as those Hanoi tapes.
awesome move!
October 19, 2006 3:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the corrupt, stupid Republicans in Congress richly deserve a beating, and will almost certainly get one. (Yes, although you'd never know it from the official posters on this site, some people think beyond the purely partisan advantage for their side and actually have underlying principles.)
Nevertheless, I think the impending impeachment hearings under the nutty John Conyers are a disaster on nearly evety level. They cannot succeed (they will never get 67 Senate votes) and if they did, of course, they would simply elevate Dick Cheney to the presidency. They will almost certainly backfire on the Dems, giving the GOP a national security platform (which will hugely benefit GOP candidates who aren't in the administration).
But the worst thing about them is that they will represent the fourth time in a row that a two-term president has faced impeachment due to the pent-up frustrations of the opposition party. It has become a permanent feature of our politics. That's disastrous for our political system and will certainly weigh on the mind of any future president responding to a terror attack--how far do I dare go before it causes trouble for me? If you liked Sandy Berger advising Clinton not to kill Bin Laden for legalistic reasons, get ready for lots more of that.
I strongly opposed Clinton's impeachment on this basis (check my past posts for an example on the record circa 1998) and my principles haven't changed. The founders expressly set "high crimes and misdemeanors," not maladminstration or the change in political winds, as the standard to discourage impeachment taken up lightly or routinely. For 200 years, their views held.
October 19, 2006 5:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is nothing nutty about Conyers, he is executing the rights of the citizernry under the Consitution by exercising the accountability the Congress is required to exert under the Constitutional 3 branch system of this democracy. Guilty people always find it disasterous to be investigated.
Yes. They can succeed in restoring faith in our democracy and letting all presidential aspirants know that decieving Congress and sending American citizens to fight in unjustified wars will not be tolerated. History will record how Congress finally did what the GOP congress failed to do. Hold the Executive Branch accountable for their treasonous acts against this country. Dick Cheney can be impeached as well.
It will only backfire with unpatriotic and uninformed citizens as it will clearly demonstrate that not only did the GOP corruptive power extend to treaonous acts against this country at the highest levels but to covering up child predators as well to maintain their majority.
Who cares how many times it represents? There is no sin in righting wrongs repeatedly. The issue is no one has the right to destroy our country by suspending the civil rights of the citizens and committing acts of treason against this country by lieing to Congress and the citizens. They certainly do not have the right to not act to protect this country when warned by the FBI and CIA of an impending attack.
This is flawed reasoning. It will not be disastrous for the political system it will renew faith in our democracy and restore equilibrium to the 3 branches of government. No president has the right to be a tyrant and responding to national threats does not necessitate resorting to that. Bush has never once done anything to protect this country, he has simply stripped the treasure of 300B dollars to secure oil fields for private corporations and multinational resource pirates with the lives of US citizens under the auspices of a war on terror. So, yes any President who thinks he has some executive power to engage in such acts, should think twice.
Well Bush has engaged in high crimes and misdemeanors. Clinton did not...he simply had a blowjob. That is a huge differnce. The high bar our founder set does not mean it can not be implemented when warranted. The Bush administration definitely needs to be prosecuted to the fullest extent of our consitutional powers and hopefully they cannot buy the Supreme Court off, this time..like they did to be put in power against the voting will of the electrorate.
October 19, 2006 6:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your post demonstrates my points perfectly-- fantasies of impeachment are becoming the standard recourse of the frustrated out of power party, with the practical consequences brushed aside as if they didn't matter in the slightest.
One might also note that (given that three of the four attempts at impeachment were by Democrats against Republican presidents) that this is yet another example of the Democratic party trying to achieve by judicial means what they can't achieve by democratic ones. Which is one of the main reasons the Democratic party has been in such a weakened state over the last 30 years, of course. (Truly ironic that you then invoke "the voting will of the electorate"-- in the course of stating why it should be overturned by a partisan majority in Congress.)
October 19, 2006 6:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't forget you have company in that other colony, Washington, D.C.
October 19, 2006 6:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mgmax, one half of my question is answered with your description of the corrupt Congressional Republicans. Thank you.
But what about Bush? Do you think his 'actions' are legal and based on the "common good" for all Americans? And if not, should he be held accountable?
"...it was not always a given that the United States and America would have a close relationship." GWB, 6/29/06
October 19, 2006 7:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
But what about Bush? Do you think his 'actions' are legal and based on the "common good" for all Americans?
Yes.
Without going down a checklist of every single decision, Bush, as the president of the United States, has acted within a reasonable interpretation of his powers under the Constitution, the War Powers act, the specific acts of Congress and the history and traditions of the American presidency since Harry Truman. (One can question the legality of some of the ways he has, as president, used his power to wage war, but only if one also questions similar acts by nearly every president from Truman to Johnson to Nixon to Clinton. If Congress wants to take back some of its historical power over the president's ability to wage war, it needs to do so in a more forceful and definitive manner than suddenly being shocked, shocked to notice what's been going on since the late 40s.)
You may disagree that invading Iraq was a good idea; but Congress voted for it and the claim that they did so based on false intelligence is simply refuted by the language of the resolution itself, which is by no means limited to the desire to find WMD.
You may disagree that Bush has the power to listen to conversations originating between al-Qaeda operatives in this country and those elsewhere, or with his contention that habeas corpus does not apply to terrorists captured in battle, or with the use of rough interrogation techniques which some might consider torture; but the mere fact of your disagreement does not make them illegal, and impeaching someone for something still being litigated, and which they stand a reasonable chance of winning, is rather like hanging someone for the murder of someone who seems to be well on the way to recovery.
And finally, the dog that didn't bark, the fact that we've gone five years now without any significant terror attack in our own country, affords Bush a presumption of effectiveness which should make one think carefully about his policies and what alternatives might have been more effective.
If Congress chooses to criminalize Bush's exercise of power, rather than deal with the difficult underlying questions of how you fight the sort of war he's fighting, it will only expose its own lack of seriousness as well as significantly weakening the presidency in ways that will almost certainly backfire on both parties in the future.
October 19, 2006 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is a term error in your post. Impeachment is not criminalization. It is simply removal from office. That the Constitution mentions treason, etc. does not mean a criminal charge follows inevitably. Then again, an executive maintaining that he does not have to follow laws as passed is easily characterized as a high crime, or at least intent to commit crime.
Clinton's impeachment was a huge embarrassment for the US, but a proceeding on the topic of who makes law and who executes it sounds fundamental and worthwhile.
That dog didn't bark for the history of the country, and five years is a definitive sample? Nobody knows how to prevent terrorism, but action against Al Qaeda was a good start, and not much disputed. The dispute is over everything else.
October 19, 2006 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
"There is a term error in your post. Impeachment is not criminalization. It is simply removal from office."
It is removal from office for "high crimes and misdeameanors." Impeaching Bush would, by definition, be declaring some example of his exercise of powers a criminal act, subject-- as Nixon and Clinton were, and as Reagan aides in Iran-Contra were-- to subsequent criminal prosecution.
And anyway, to get especially picky, it's conviction in the Senate, rather than impeachment by the House, that results in removal from office, as both Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton could attest.
"That dog didn't bark for the history of the country, and five years is a definitive sample?"
That dog barked every couple of years starting in the 1980s, we just didn't hear it until 2001. Major attacks against the US included the first bombing of the WTC in 1993, the Khobar Towers in 1996, the embassy bombing in 1998, the Cole attack in 2000, and 9/11 in 2001, making this the longest period without an al-Qaeda attack on US facilities outside a war zone in al-Qaeda's history. (One could also add the foiled Bojinka and Y2K plots.) I know lots of people dismiss this history. That's part of why I prefer not to trust those people with national security.
October 19, 2006 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Right about the dog; I attempted to edit that but had some access issue and put it off. If you include actions against US interests on foreign soil things have not been quiet since 9/11.
Conviction in the Senate carries no further sanction beyond removal from office..
Given that Congress' power to remove an official is beyond review, no definitions of impeachable crimes have any weight. As Gerald Ford put it, an impeachable offense is whatever Congress says it is. Most people miss this crucial point, I feel: the power to impeach is the only truly Supreme Power.
October 19, 2006 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
IMNSHO John Conyers is one of the best people in the House of Representatives. Hopefully, he will lead the impeachment of both Bush and Cheney for lieing us into a war.
Tom
October 19, 2006 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can't be serious with this post.
Tom
October 19, 2006 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not going to happen. Nancy Pelosi said so! See post above!
October 19, 2006 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I bow to your superior reasoning.
October 19, 2006 12:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fair enough, Pamela. In fairness, I didn't say she emptied it completely, I said she emptied it of $9M.
But that's splitting hairs. My overall point was that she's giving a lot of cash, and based on the comments here, doesn't seem to be getting much credit for it.
-- Bruno and The Professor: Dynamic Talk Radio
October 19, 2006 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is the silliest thread I have read in a while. We have races to win people.
If individual Presidental "candidates" choose to hold on to their war chests in the face of this unbelievable opportunity, the party regulars will remember and will "reward" them for their lack of vision in the 2008 primary season.
Right now we have races to win. Get back to work.
Ron Byers
October 19, 2006 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which is why I like Conyers more than Pelosi.
Tom
October 19, 2006 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Petey -- I see your Kerry bashing comments throughout this entire thread. I suppose this has nothing to do with the fact that Edwards' fundraising is largely dwarfed by Kerry's"
Edwards' '06 fundraising is dwarfed by Kerry, Bayh, and Hillary because Edwards has not been fundraising for his personal accounts in '06, unlike the other 3 candidates I named.
This was done specifically to avoid soaking up money needed for the '06 races. Instead of building up CoH for the '08 race, Edwards has been directly fundraising for Congressional candidates, without the money going into Edwards' coffers.
And believe you me, that "old tired compaint" of Kerry stealing the '04 Presidential donations to fund his future enterprises will always be a fresh bloody shirt to wave. Kerry's behavior was morally and politically indefensible. As the story continues to be told, Kerry will rightly take a hit among partisan Democrats. You can try to spin it, but it is unspinable.
October 19, 2006 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I think Kerry kept cash on hand in case there was a recount, like Florida 2000, in which Gore had no cash and had to fundraise."
Both Gore and Bush had zero problems fundraising for the '00 recount. And there is significant legal thought that the money wouldn't have been transferable to any '04 recount anyway.
In reality, Kerry heisted those Democratic donations to fund future personal endeavors of his own.
Kerry's decision was sleazy to the max. Totally unacceptable. It should not be forgotten.
October 19, 2006 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I may be an anomaly here. I truly do not know if I would prefer possible '08-ers to give over to mid-termers or hold it to battle against the GOP machine on the 2008 Presidential race.
It is certainly true that the battleground races are needed if we Dems are to retake either the Senate or the House (or both—one can hope). These races are close, but hopefully the majority of Americans have had enough of Republican lies, scams and partisan shenanigans. I can also hope that the polling places will have enough honest monitors to guard against rigging, voter-intimidation, and all the other tools the GOP's Election-Pick-Pocket-Patrol will try to use.
It is also a given that the GOP sleaze machine will use their richness and vast resources to undermine every aspect of the Democrats' 2008 White House ticket. They will certainly use their 527 gangs to mount less-than-true ads, and certainly we can expect the Republicans to continue using tactics like Rove's "whispering campaigns" to spread enough lie-manure to raise a healthy crop of doubt across the entire field of candidates in all the races.
So, that brings me to my dilemma: do I want to take money from the 2008 Hope Chest to use now and hope there will be enough left over (or replaced) to wage a 2-year battle for the White House, or put the power of personality to work instead ( Bill Clinton, Barak Obama, John Kerry, Al Gore—my pref to head the 2008 ticket, et al) and save the money to start the fight for the big one on a solid foundation?
October 20, 2006 6:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
A compromise--2008-ers should loan money for current races to maximize a win. Money could be paid back over the next 2 years.
October 20, 2006 7:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've read that claims Kerry doesn't have that much in his war chest, that the money has gone between giving to candidates and paying off campaign '04 debt.
That said, I don't want a strong candidate, who is to this day the candidate, a majority of Americans wish had become president in '04 (a larger majority than actually voted for him back then), a candidate whose projections of what would happen if Bush retook the presidency, has been proven correct time and time again. Who had and still has a plan to heal our country, all across the board.
That's what interests me, not the propaanda put forward by the payola-grubbers of the Daily Kos scam, or a radical leftist extreme out of touch with average Americans.
October 20, 2006 7:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Big deal. Not like Hillary could have gotten drafted. What Bill was doing has nothing to do with her. McCain is on notice. No one else has come close to doing that. Certainly not Obama when McCain ginned up his fake disagreement with Barack on lobbying reform.
October 25, 2006 8:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Was wondering the same thing regarding Hillary the other day.
March 26, 2007 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink