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Flooding and Ignorance

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In a recent column in the Chicago Tribune, Clarence Page basically blamed the problems with rebuilding in New Orleans on mayor Ray Nagin. This is a fairly common assertion, and depends on a contrast with Mississippi’s supposedly spectacular pace, as with Tony Blankley’s assertion that it is all because Mississippi’s leadership is “honest” (ha!) while Louisiana’s is “notoriously corrupt and incompetent” (I refuse to link to him). Nagin has been a very handy scapegoat, which is one of the reasons rich white Republicans in Louisiana worked so hard to get him re-elected.

This is just silly. What happened in Mississippi (hurricane) and what happened in New Orleans (unprecedented flood) is beyond apples to oranges (maybe apples to manatees?). Moreover, the people making the assertions show a depressing ignorance of the basic facts of the issue.

I was going to go into the comparison issue more, but Markus at the Wet Bank has handled this admirably. I’ll just mention one point. According to NPR, there has been 7.5 billion allotted to Louisiana for housing assistance. Number of checks actually cut to Louisiana: two.

So let’s move on to the ignorance part. Page decries Nagin’s unwillingness to just write off low-lying areas:

“Neighborhoods that are lowest-lying or most isolated may receive few rebuilding resources, if any. In big jeopardy, for example, is the Lower Ninth Ward, home of such artists as Fats Domino. He, too, was trapped by the storm.”

How are we to take this seriously? If you look at this map of the elevations in New Orleans, Lower Ninth Ward is not on particularly low ground. It’s higher than, say, the upper 9th, or Lakeview, or Broadmoor, or all of East New Orleans. The Jackson Barracks, staging point for the Guard, endured massive immediate flooding despite being above sea level and never ever having flooded before. Land elevation was often less a variable in level of flooding than proximity to levee breaches.

Better yet, look at the Bucktown part of Metairie. It’s in the upper left corner of the map, right across the 17th street canal from Lakeview and West End. Notice that it is no higher in elevation than the destroyed neighborhoods next to it. It’s pretty low land; much lower land than the famed Lower Ninth.

So what happened in Bucktown? Click on any area of this map to see the estimated max flooding, it never get above three feet. People with ground floors more than a few feet off the ground (precious few, alas) got no damage at all. Better yet, look at the 14th picture in this sequence (the whole sequence is quite informative) to see an overhead shot with the canal in the middle. Now Metairie’s situation was not itself ideal because we did not have the pumps working after the storm. But the whole damn city was up and running at latest by the new year. Some flooding happened, but enough of the city was stable enough to absorb it. (This leaves aside the Jefferson flooding that came up into the country club area).

There is only one major variable at work here. The levees on the Metairie side of the 17th St Canal did not fail.


4 Comments

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I don't know how Clarence Page got into this discussion (NOLA v. Mis'sippi).

His point is a simple one:  Nagin won the mayoralty election by delaying all attempts to map a post-Katrina city footprint.  And he has yet to do so.  Page says that it's time to be "telling voters [not only] what they can have but what they can't have."

Do you disagree?  And if so, why?

Since I have not taken the pledge not to respond to you (you are addicted to cleverness but not devoid of insight):

Page is wrong on a number of levels. Read Rosemary's "Slow Dancing" post again. Slowing things down in that respect might be as important as getting things done. Many of the neighborhoods have come up with their own plans, and this piecemeal approach may well be the best thing for the city if it is to keep from losing everything that's worth keeping. The magnitude of the task is underestimated by know-nothings such as Page (who thinks the lower 9th can't rebuild -- his opinion has little meaning). Cutting people off at this point may well be premature.

Since I have not taken the pledge not to respond to you  .  .  .  .

Your problem, Boyd, is you lack self-discipline.  :-)

But to the issue -- timely, since the national discussion on the anniversary of the destruction of a major city appears to have come and gone in one day.

A slow hand is fine, but are you plumping for a planned or organic rebuilding?  And if willing to "slow things down" why are you all complaining about the tardiness of government rebuilding actions?

 

I was shocked at how impressed I was by Peggy Wilson's comments about not taking planning too far at Rising Tise. Frankly, I was thrown for a loop--now I see that they were wholly lifted from the Rosemary James article. Thing is, afterwards nobody seemed to be sure where the idea that N.O. need a unified plan came from. Some thought that it was a condition set by the LRA, others thought it was set by Washington, most weren't sure. I thought that Bush somehow insisted on both market solutions and a government plan, but I'm not sure.

Not really germane, but I can't understand why all the mention of local Republican efforts to re-elect Nagin don't mention Jeff Crouere's frequent reminders that Bush all but endorsed Nagin. If a former officer of a Republican group that attacked Landrieu used his position as a TV analyst and commentator on the state's most widely-quoted political website to say that Bush's apperance with Nagin could be taken as an endorsement, it's noteworthy. Once or twice it's legitimate analysis, repeatedly it's a reminder.

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