Why Bush Needs Lieberman
For the Democratic Party the Lieberman problem is a serious one. After his primary loss he has become the de facto Republican candidate, virtually endorsed by Bush, Cheney and RNC chairman Ken Mehlman, who have withdrawn support from the actual Republican candidate in the race. Lieberman can only win by securing almost all the Republican votes. His campaign must pull Republican votes to the polls, courtesy of the national GOP on which his ambition has become dependent. That can have a drastically negative effect on the Democratic campaigns in the three Connecticut congressional districts where Republican representatives are at risk. Those three seats comprise 1/5 of the total number of 15 that Democrats need to gain the House. Out of necessity Lieberman has become an active obstacle to Democratic victory and one of the key bulwarks for protecting Bush's one-party rule essential for remaining unaccountable for the rest of his presidency. For Bush, that is the importance of Lieberman.















The deep schism in the Democratic Party is between those who want to be "That Other Republcan Party" and those who want the Democratic Party to stand for a different agenda. As blunt as this may sound, Lieberman as a problem was created by the Democratic leadership, which wants to have its cake and eat it too on the subject of Connecticut. By not telling Lieberman to pull out when he lost, or else, this has pushed the problem from the Senate - where the seat is a virtual safe seat for the Democratic leadership - over to the house, where it puts a hard kink in the strategy of cleaving northern moderate Republicans - who are not pro-war as a group - over to the Democrats.
Stirling Newberry http://www.bopnews.com
August 18, 2006 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
This only confirms my belief that the Dems, and I assume Reps, are out for their personal gain, namely staying in office, and to hell with the party. It wouldn't happen if the party provided the bulk of their campaign funding, which it obviously doesn't. The point is, money talks, money buys seats, principles are a thing of the past.
August 18, 2006 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
You may be right about the conclusion you have drawn; however, when is the last time the Democrats told anyone for any reason to"do_____, or else?" They simply do not know how.
August 18, 2006 3:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
His campaign must pull Republican votes to the polls, courtesy of the national GOP on which his ambition has become dependent. That can have a drastically negative effect on the Democratic campaigns in the three Connecticut congressional districts where Republican representatives are at risk. Those three seats comprise 1/5 of the total number of 15 that Democrats need to gain the House.
The GOP in CT represents less than 20% of the electorate. If the dems can't motivate their base to get out and support Lamont then as the old saying goes "Houston we have a problem".
CT voter totals (roughly)
Ind: 800,000+
Dem: 700,000+
Rep: 300,000+
The numeric advantage the dems have over the republicans in CT is staggering. If those dems come out and support Lamont not only does Lamont win I am betting 2 of the 3 GOP representatives lose too. Or are there fears that the dems will not have the unity to support Lamont like the repugs will have the unity to support Lieberman? It comes out to GOTV efforts and if the dems can't parlay a HUGE numeric advantage (see breakdown above) in the voter roles into victory don't blame the GOP or Lieberman. I am from CT and all I have to say is...Connecticut democrats lets see what you are made of...all you need is to get your voters out to the polls!!!!
August 18, 2006 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is kind of ironic, but by being so spineless in regards to former Democrat Joe Lieberman, party leadership is just reinforcing the Republican talking points about Democrats being wimps. What I think the smart course of action is for the Democrats to do whatever it takes to turn Joe into as an official Republican candidate as possible. As a quasi-democrat, Joe is a tough opponent. As a Republican, he is a sure looser. If we can get Joe to commit to voting for Bill Frist as Majority leader or to promise to vote with the Republicans again for the next Supreme Court nomination, he is toast.
To pursue this "we got balls" strategy, Democrat leadership should remove Joe from every one of his committee assignments, and in a press conference with as many Democrats as possible, publicly rebuke him for leaving the party and promise not to allow him to sit on any committees in the next Senate. Privately, they should make it clear to any big donors or fellow Dem's that they will be punished for helping tired o'l Joe. If we are lucky, He will go on a tirade and jump whole-heartedly into the waiting arms of Uncle Karl and Joe's very close friend boy George.
I really fail to see the wisdom of the try-not-to-tick off Joe strategy being pursued by most of the Democratic caucus- If the Senate is so closely divided that Joe's vote really matters, he is going to stab you in the back anyways. Or is this only obvious to me?
August 18, 2006 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Part of the equation is how many of those democrats andDem-leaning independents follow Lieberman, lemming-like, to the other column. 'd expect those GOP candidates to do everything they can to align themselves w/ Lieberman (what choice do they haqve?) and Lieberman to join them in attacking the Sharpton-Waters-Lackson-Sheehan-Antisemite Democratic party.
August 18, 2006 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
And all the CT dems have to do is make this a referendum on Bush. Mehlman, Bush, Cheney and Rove are trying to do that...they are doing the dems and Lamont a favor. Bush's approval ratings are below 30% in CT...make it about Bush and get the people out to the polls. Take the gloves off and plain and simple a vote for Joe Lieberman is a vote for George Bush...the dems need to play rough. If this about Bush the CT voters will reject Lieberman in a New York minute...
August 18, 2006 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Instead, we've got folks like Biden slobbering all over the Sunday pundit shows telling everybody what a swell guy Joe is.
Joe may have been a good guy once, but no more. The inflation of his ego is also sapping the life out of any message the Democrats want to send this fall. Not that they have a message. My Senate candidate seems to hope no one will notice she's a Democrat and she won't touch the war issue with a ten foot pole.
August 18, 2006 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I had not thought of it that way, but of course Lieberman has defaulted on any committee seats he holds. The Senate Democratic leadership needs to immediately remove him from all committees. Of course Biden supports Lieberman - both are captive to their corporate donors. But, if Lieberman is shunned by the Democrats in the Senate, the Connecticut voters should get the message.
Hoppy in Sacramento
August 18, 2006 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
While my personal inclination is to go after Lieberman hammer and tongs, I actually think the correct position for Lamont to take is to enunciate a liberal, left of center program, as far as energy, education, health care, social security, environment, the judiciary, terri schaivo, tax cuts for the wealthy, religion in politics, stem cell research and of course iraq and force Lieberman to actually define himself IN THIS RACE. Is he for increased spending to improve health care, infrastructure, education or not. As he is forced to be specific I think the present fudging of his positions between right leaning Dems and the Republicans create tension among the amalgam which is his base at present. His support is mutually contradictory and is waiting for enough pressure to be forced apart.
August 18, 2006 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman is a chump. Lamont may or may not beat him. The Dems need 51 seats in the Senate to control it, a thing that will be very hard to get, whichever one of these takes CT. Could people think about states like Montana and Virginia where the Republican is really really really dispicable and might, through their own efforts, make themselves defeatable?
If it's good for me it must be Good 4 A MericaAugust 18, 2006 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
VLaszlo...normally I would like the nuanced issues type campaign. In fact I was all in favor of it earlier in the primary process. But that was before the GOP made this into a referendum on Bush. The voters of CT have a rare opportunity. The nation and the world is watching this race in terms of approval or disapproval of the policies of George Bush. The GOP has made it into that...and Joe Lieberman has not distanced himself from Bush. Blunt force needs to be applied in this race. Nuance is out the window. CT can send a message to the country and the world...frame it that way!!! Liberals and progressives in CT are salivating about being able to send this message...if Joe represents Bush...George must go!!!!
August 18, 2006 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stephen
Well to quote that famous American President the Democrats should say to Lieberman; "Joe, you are either for us or against us." There is much more at stake than Lieberman's Senate career, it's the Senate that is at issue and whether or not it will provide oversight on this run-away administration Certainly, Joe won't do it, especially now.
August 18, 2006 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would like to see former President Clinton endorse the Democratic candidate, Ned Lamont.
If anyone can appeal to the blue collar Democrats that Lamont needs to win this race, it's him.
His failure to do so could hurt Hillary with Democratic primary voters if and when she runs for president.
August 18, 2006 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good points. May I humbly remind everyone that Virginia has got its second Democratic governor in a row???? Why is that?
Because the republican governors totally sucked at everything they did! Even the repeal of the car tax didn't help them, and most citizens realize that it just hurt the localities they live in.
Webb is looking stronger and stronger against George Allen, who stupidly showed his stripes the other day. There are plenty of people who agree with his xenophobic, bullying tendencies, but if enough people read excerpts from George's sister's book it may doom him to the scrap-heap of "sons of famous fathers" which is the only distinction he truly deserves.
All that said, my own family is full of Bush-loving, "death tax-hating," "family-values-asserting" (?) voters. Out of 5, there are 2 of us who are Democrats. I'd love to say Virginia has seen the light, but I'm not so sure.
Jan Knaus
August 18, 2006 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Libertine. I agree that this race is possibly the key race in the entire 2006 cycle. It has already had reverberations across the entire political spectrum and it has transformed the Democrats (maybe even despite themselves) into a party that actually stands for something. That is why the GOP is frantic to brand the Democrats as equivalent to terrorists. I do not think it will be successful; this war is too far gone. Having marginalized and quarantined the opposition for so long, I think the release will be that much more intense. I know we in opposition feel that way. Now you may be right about really going after Bush/Lieberman; I am not certain; but probably both approaches bring something to the table.
August 18, 2006 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
The point raised by Libertine on party registration numbers is interesting, but the numbers need to be corrected. Connecticut party registration figures as of 2004 are available on the CT Secretary of State's site here, and are
R - 438,554 (22.0%)
D - 670,356 (33.7%)
minor - 4,465 (0.2%)
unaffiliated - 876,538 (44.0%)
The numerical advantage held by Democrats is large, but not overwhelming. Imagine that voters show total party loyalty, and Lieberman is counted as a Republican. To win, Lamont needs to pick up 38% or more of unaffiliated voters. If Schlesinger stays in and pulls 5% of the total vote, then Lamont just needs 32% of unaffiliated voters. Based on current polling he doesn’t have them now, and he also doesn't have all the Democrats. But these do seem to be very reachable goals. One first step would be to drive home the fact that Lieberman is in many ways a Republican.
August 18, 2006 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I totally disagree with dinsdale. I think Lieberman is holding more cards here than people want to admit. We have this assymetric problem precisely because there is no credible Republican in the race...so they will vote by a VERY different set of rules than they do normally. Repubs don't care what he does, they're gonna vote for him out of default. That means he can stay 1 inch to the right of Lamont on the campaign trail and sweep up almost every single Republican vote PLUS a good chunk of Dems. I sure hope that numerical advantage is as significant as claimed.
At the moment this guy is 10+ points ahead in the polls and as such he has first dibs on a very valuable vote for SML in his hip pocket. I feel like once he's won the election, he basically isn't accountable to anyone so I don't trust a damn single pledge he makes about how he'll vote.
Look no further than Jim Jeffords for a test case - he was elected as a Republican in November 2000 and flopped in June of 2001. Why then? He felt slighted, he was pissed. He figured it was his last term anyway. And if not, he was 5.5 years away from any voter accountability. (ASIDE: I went to a John Cornyn event in 2002 where Bush spoke, and the 3 bogeymen they mentioned on several occasions were Ted Kennedy, Hillary Clinton, and Jim Jeffords.... The guy had been a solid Republican legislator for 30 freaking years and in an instant he was on par with Ted Kennedy.)
My point is that Joe has alot of similarities with Jim J. Joe knows if he wins this is probably his last term in the Senate because of the animus that's been created around him, regardless of how it happens in November. He knows that solidly 1/3 to 1/2 of Democrats are already done with him no matter WHAT he does going forward. So tell me again exactly how far you want to push this guy?
You really want Clinton to humiliate him? You really want Reid to immediately revoke all his priviledges?
Oh, and one more thing. You know why Jeffords voted for Daschle instead of Lott? Because he was offered a committee chairmanship (obviously there was more to the story, but still...)So in spite of what Lieberman has SAID about voting for Democratic chairs, i submit to you he has very little to lose and alot to gain if he were to choose....to be 'pushed' into reneging on his pledge in mid 2007.
Sure, he'll SAY all the right things now to keep the maximum Dem votes.... But in 8 months it will be "After some soul searching I have concluded that Senator Reid and I just don't see eye to eye on enough issues....etc" Voters would have to wait till 2012(!) to hold him accountable, if they got to at all.
Oh and one more diabolical thing - he can do all this contingent upon the outcome of the November races. He can play each side to his advantage behind the scenes between now and November, name his price if you will. If the Dems pick up 8 Senate seats? He keeps his mouth shut, keeps him pledge in 2007, is still a good 'independent Democrat'. Dems pick up just 5 or 6? Suddenly his vote becomes reallllly important.
So the remedy for this is for Lamont to run a brilliant campaign, turn that poll deficit into a lead like he did before, and give the fence-sitters a dose of courage....But if he looks like the Senator-presumptive, I just don't see bullying him is the right tactic. I'm sorry to sound like all those spineless Dem leaders, but this situation really has me worried. Imagine Lieberman wins and the Dems triumph with 6 Senate wins, then the heartbreak of Lieberman switching his vote because he was treated so shabbily by his colleagues.
August 18, 2006 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a Connecticut voter, (a ’left nutmegger’ so to speak), I really think it is more nuanced than ’a referendum on Bush. ‘ It seems to me it is a desire for change. A rejection of the status quo.
THAT is why this race is close. Lots of folk do not want to go from the frying pan into the fire.
Just imagine for a moment, that it is really that simple. Can you imagine anything more chilling to both the dems and the reps?
If my little state pulls this off, if we send Lieberman packing,NO ONE, not a one of them, will be safe.
This is about people power, and both Dems and Reps are spinning it. We have a tough row to hoe.
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August 18, 2006 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is aboIut a lot more than that.
I believe narrowing it will hand Joe a win.
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August 18, 2006 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just so. The fact that Lieberman is, in reality, mostly a progressive Democrat is why this race is so very important.
It is not simply a rejection of the present administration, it is a rejection of the degradation of our system of governance. Along the lines of the turn of the last century.
Send Ned Lamont money. He will not be supported by the status quo.
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August 18, 2006 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
On the importance of the Connecticut race: one interesting marker is the fact that the London airline bombing scare came right after Lamont's win. As it becomes more and more likely that the police moved prematurely (under pressure from the US), it is hard not to conclude that some people are clearly rattled by Lamont's win and are scared of public discussion of the reasons for it.
Part of the reason for continuing low voter turnout in this country is a general apathy, a feeling that nothing ever changes. It seems that part of the political class are scared out of their pants that this apathetic indifference might change. Think of it as a fear of the "rule of the mob."
August 18, 2006 11:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't you realize that we've torn down the hated Joe Lieberman statue? Mission Accomplished!
When Sidney Blumenthal points out that there is no plan for winning the peace, that following the CT primary hawks has produced a situation where the Democrats' strategic position has been weakened, he must hate the Democratic troops.
We must redouble our efforts to win the war for CT Senate. Sure it'll mean moving attention and resources away from conflicts in other states. But CT is now the central front in the National War on GOPControl. Of course, folks are going to say that CT only became a front in that war because we unwisely started a battle there when the troops were needed elsewhere. But those folks don't understand that we have to fight the GOP in CT so we don't have to fight them in MT, VA, or TN.
I know there are voices out there claiming CT has become a quagmire for Democrats, that the CT primary hawks were wrong in every single one of the strategic assumptions underlying their preventative war. But who are you going to believe - the CT primary hawks who claim they are keeping the Democratic Party strong, or your own lying eyes?
The case for moving the central front in the November war to CT was an absolute slam dunk. I think the CT primary hawks are all deserving of receiving the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
August 19, 2006 1:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, by all means we should pander to Holy Joe then! Or...maybe we should remember that this he is supposed to serve us, and not the other way around.
Joe Lieberman is a loose cannon. The only way to rid ourselves of this problem is to throw him overboard. He would be approximately as valuable to the Democratic caucus in the next six years as Jim Trafficant was back in the day. At some point a person is so detrimental to the party as a whole that you have to kick him out.
The precedent was set under Taft's leadership of the GOP in the 50s. If Joe Lieberman is not running as a Democrat (and he's not), then he's not a Democrat.
August 19, 2006 4:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
YOU ARE ABSOLUTELY RIGHT, SSDAGGER!
Lieberman can--and will if he is pushed-- just say that he can do more for his Ct. constituents as a committee chair in a GOP-led Senate, and the plurality of voters that elected him will surely agree with him. All you Joe-haters can feel as righteous as you want in pressing Dem. leaders to throw him overboard, but come January Lieberman will have the last laugh on you.
August 19, 2006 4:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is also a contradiction in the idea that somehow a race between Lieberman and someone to his left is going to energize Republicans and conservative leaning independents and get them out to the polls in such numbers that Lieberman will have coattails for Republicans to grab onto in other races.
There may be tactical reasons for Republicans to vote for Lieberman, but those are not the sort of reasons that would highly motivate someone who disagrees with Lieberman on most issues to get to the polls and vote for a "Independent Democrat".
I suppose that any Republicans who are still strongly in favor of Bush's war could be motivated to get to the polls to support Lieberman, but those are the sort of dead enders who would turn out anyway and support all Republican candidates.
Fred in Vermont
August 19, 2006 4:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Dinsdale Jerk,
Steve Rattner and other big Democratic donors to Joe would just love being threatened by you and your ilk. At your hoped-for grand press conference where you would have Lieberman expelled, do not expect to see Sherrod Brown, Claire McCaskil, Menendez, Tester, Pedersen, or the now vulnerable Senator Maria Cantwell--all of whom are dependent on those donors. The last thing they want is an internecine war over Joe Lieberman.
IF YOU AIN'T ON KARL ROVE'S PAYROLL YOU SHOULD BE!
If you believe Lamont is better, support him. Why can't people who aim to profess democratic values let the 85% of Connecticut voters who didn't vote yet decide if Lieberman should be their Senator.FUCKING HYPOCRITES
August 19, 2006 4:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Alas I fear your delicious irony is lost on all the Joe-haters here, petey.
August 19, 2006 4:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rick, unless you live in Ct. Joe Lieberman took no oath to serve you one bit. He sure as hell did not undertake to serve a bunch of netnuts who apoligize for terrorists and those who would destroy Israel.
August 19, 2006 4:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just watch, as Joe's numbers stay up, in October Democratic House candidate (CT-4)Diane Farrell will suddenly find it inconvenient to be seen in the same frame with your boy from the Round Hill Country Club, as will the Democratic candidates running against Simmons and Johnson for their House seats in Connecticut.
Your friend Lamont is the best thing that could happen to Chris Shays, Rob Simmons, and Nancy Johnson. You happy now?
In 1972 I saw that happen with tens of Connecticut Democratic candidates for lower offices who wouldn't admit to being on the same ticket as that perceived acid, amnesty and abortion lover from South Dakota. Guess which Democratic candidate that year did not abandon George McGovern? Joe Lieberman.
August 19, 2006 4:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just watch, as Joe's numbers stay up, in October Democratic House candidate (CT-4)Diane Farrell will suddenly find it inconvenient to be seen in the same frame with your boy from the Round Hill Country Club, as will the Democratic candidates running against Simmons and Johnson for their House seats in Connecticut.
Your friend Lamont is the best thing that could happen to Chris Shays, Rob Simmons, and Nancy Johnson. You happy now?
In 1972 I saw that happen with tens of Connecticut Democratic candidates for lower offices who wouldn't admit to being on the same ticket as that perceived acid, amnesty and abortion lover from South Dakota. Guess which Democratic candidate that year did not abandon George McGovern? Joe Lieberman.
August 19, 2006 4:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the clarification on the numbers Sam. Even with the correction of my numbers I still stick by what I said. The reason is the independents (myself being one) are more liberal as a group then conservative. If the dems support Lamont and the repugs support Lieberman the indies will decide this contest. Judging by the results in the '04 presidential race the indies overwhelmingly rejected Bush. So if this race is about "supporting" the POTUS or not Lamont should win easily...contingent on whether the dems support their primary winner as solidly as the repugs seem to be supporting the incumbent.
August 19, 2006 5:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is very winnable for Lamont. Maybe I oversimplified workerbee but that is what this race looks like it will boil down to and if it does I think Lamont's chances look good...that is if he plays his hand right.
August 19, 2006 5:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
That was cute. But let's get real here -- the war that counts hasn't even been fought yet.
There is only one reason really, whether you are a Democrat, Republican or Independent, to vote for Joe - to maintain the status quo.
Right now, how many voters in Connecticut, other than fanatical Republicans and Bush supporters, are really enthusiastic about doing that?
Democrats appear to be better than Republicans, at least as demonstrated by most recent administrations, at anticipating future problems that COULD arise from present actions. This is a great talent to have in governing. But it also has its downside. Mainly, the tendency to focus on what COULD happen tomorrow to the detriment of doing what MUST be done today.
In this instance what Lamont and the Democrats must do is over-come the only real deficit Lamont has against Lieberman, the same deficit that any "change" candidate starts out with; people don't know Lamont and therefore aren't -- yet --ready to trust him.
He's a good candidate. Poised, confident, rather amazingly gaffe-resistant. In terms of domestic issues and blue state values, he's unlikely to be any worse, and promises to be better, than the incumbent. In terms of the one big issue of the day -- the Iraq war -- he promises the one thing people seem to want; change. He is the only person in the race offering a hope of the one thing that matters most now, and will matter even more in the future, in that matter; accountability.
The only question is, does he have the time needed to become known to, make an impression on, and gain the trust of, the broader Connecticut electorate? To over-come Lieberman's natural advantage as the well-known incumbent?
The polls as they stand today demonstrate little more than the value of incumbency -- and Republican opposition to Lamont. That is not the same thing as enthusiasm for Lieberman.
Lieberman's status will erode as the campaign goes on and more and more people -- Democrats and Independents who feel at least some uneasiness with the status quo -- begin to feel more comfortable with Lamont.
Whether it will erode enough by the election day is the question. Doing everything possible to make sure it does is the answer.
Wasting time and sapping energies speculating about the dire consequences IF Lieberman wins does nothing at all, in fact works against, doing what needs to be done to ensure Lamont's (very plausible) victory.
August 19, 2006 5:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Very good post petey...one of the better ones in terms of style I have seen.
But as far as CT gos it is what it is. I don't hate Joe in fact I like my senator. I agree with you that there are, nationally, many other races that need to be addressed also. But again CT is now what it is. If it is about Joe and Georgie and the GOP is framing it as such it will be a huge victory for the RNC if Lieberman wins in CT. I didn't want to be here either, but here we sit. And CT is the state I live in and I will not give Bush a proxy vote by supporting Lieberman.
August 19, 2006 6:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Again I don't disagree workerbee. But whether it is a vote for change or a vote against Bush we in CT can send a message that what is going on in DC is completely unaccpetable. I don't see why the 2 reasons aren't essentially one in the same...
August 19, 2006 6:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everybody's fault but Lieberman's, huh?
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August 19, 2006 6:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Connecticut gets less money per capita in Federal funding than any other state in the Union.
So what exactly has Joe Lieberman been doing for Connecticut in the last 18 years?
Seems he does a lot for the Republicans... Or at least, Ann Coulter, Newt Gingrich, Sean Hannity, George W. Bush, Karl Rove etc. think so...
What's he done for the Democrats, besides throw the 2000 election? Oops, that was another Republican service.
But seriously, what has Lieberman done for Connecticut?
August 19, 2006 6:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Because one message scares the GOP, the other scares them all.
I think that’s the reason some of the Senate Dems are lukewarm to Lamont.
I don’t disagree with you at all Libertine, polls showed a good chunk of Lamont voters voted ‘against Bush,’ but to paraphrase a Connecticut town registrar: People don’t change their party affiliation because they are happy with the status quo.
I believe the backlash has arrived, and I do not trust either party to be helping THAT revolution along.
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August 19, 2006 6:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wait, you and Laszlo are both right. Yes, make it a referendum on Bush. Forget all the noise about the treacherous Lieberman switching sides. No one gives much of a shit about that. But exploit the hell out of it every time he ties himself to Bush. The issue is Bush, not treachery to the Democratic party. To us Democrats these may be one and the same thing. To the voters, not so much.
And by the way, this is not exactly the same as getting out the Democratic base vote, though that should still be done. Lamont should be in a good position to mine the votes of Independents and even Republicans who are sick of Bush.
August 19, 2006 7:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hasn't he? I know Hillary did.
August 19, 2006 7:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Whatever Lieberman's particular fate, I do think that his presence in the race only helps the Republicans in their other races.
To begin with, Lieberman is going to base his campaign on the notion that the Democrats are ruled by a group of fanatics. Not only will he be convincing the large number of people who vote for him that this has some grain of truth in it, whatever their partisan affiliation, but he will in particular be carrying that message to independents, as an indepedent himself.
I just don't see how this message can fail to damage the prospects of other Democrats.
Lieberman really is out just for his Holiness himself. If he inflicts great damage on the Democratic Party more generally, he's just fine with it as long as his sorry ass continues to be able to park itself in the same seat it has occupied in the Senate for too many long years.
What a complete piece of work.
August 19, 2006 7:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, there are a few Bush haters here, and he more than richly deserves that antifan club.
But one of the difference between liberals/progressives and Republicans is that the vast majority of us hate the policies, not the man.
You might not be able to remember this far back, but it was Republicans under the guidance of New Gingrich that took up the hate-mongering and the rhetoric-divorced-from-truth-and morality pioneered by Limbaugh and his ilk.
You may have also forgotten that even before Clinton was inaugurated, the forces within the RNC put together a team to dig dirt on Clinton to spread to the Right Wing Noise Machine.
I hate Bush's policies, but I pity the man. He has been exposed as the greatest failure of a rich man's son to ever walk the stage of American political history. He wasn't going to make the mistakes of his father, and he didn't. He made new ones that--I hope--will never be exceeded in all of American history to come.
And I'm not even taking into account his trampling of the Constitution and democracy he says he's trying to defend and protect.
I would hate to think that after all this time, Hamilton and Adams (lots of irony there)are vindicated and Jefferson and Madison finally beaten by a perfect example of the (un)natural aristocracy.
Bushco delenda est
August 19, 2006 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
from www.altara.blogspot.com:
With many top and influential Republicans supporting the re-election of Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, running as an independent against Democratic candidate Ned Lamont, it behooves Democratic leaders to wake up and give strong support to Mr. Lamont. Republicans, from the President on down, have abandoned the Republican candidate, Alan Schlesinger.
So the Democrats have, in effect, a race against Mr. Lieberman as the Republican candidate. While there has been on site support by John Edwaeds, endorsement by Howard Dean, Russ Feingold and others, and some financial support from Senators Clinton and Kerry, much more needs to be done. We need to have campaign appearances by Democratic big guns, expert consulting, and continuing strong endorsements.
This is a fight against Republicans and the Democrats must play to win. Some may fear the Republican plans use Lamont as evidence of the dangerous leftward drift of the Democratic party, but, really, can they convince anyone that Ned Lamont is a wild-eyed extremist?
Homer Hewitt
August 19, 2006 7:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The issue to a LOT of voters is change.
That is what will motivate people to get out and vote. That is why losing Lieberman will make a large impression on voters elsewhere. It will show that we still can do it, that we still have power.
Americans are apathetic about voting because they do not think they make a difference.
Booting Joe Lieberman will show everyone that they can and do.
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August 19, 2006 7:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been asking this question for weeks, and apparently none of his knee-jerk supporters have an answer, beyond the New London submarine base.
August 19, 2006 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
The longer Joe stays in this race, the more he damages the party and other Democrats. The slower other Dems, like Mark Pryor for example, who is a vice-chair of the DSCC, and organization which is supposedly purposed to electing Democrats to the Senate, are to realize this, the more they damage the party.
Lamont's victory sent a strong message. Unfortunately, not all Dems have pulled their fingers out of their ears yet. One thing they have refused to hear is that Lamont's support, especially among bloggers, and Joe's defeat, was not occcasioned just on his hawkish support for the war and for Bush, although that being the most visible reason it is therefore the one that the pudit class, in its habitually lazy way, chooses to focus on. Among Democrats it was also his ability to dilute the party message and denegrate other Dems, a sad trait which if his disastrous primary campaign in '04 did not fully demonstrate his young independent run has made crystal clear.
For that and so many other reasons, Joe must go. He is a cancer on the party, and not merely because of his positions on policy issues, but because of his willingness, nay, eagerness to give Republicans cover with his loud, whiny, mouth.
The good news is that Lamont will win this. He is a solid, attractive, centrist (did anyone read his Wall Steet Journal op-ed last week?), gaffe-free candidate who will gather more support the more he becomes better known to the nutmeggers in the campaign. The repercussions will not only be bad for Bush and the Republicans, but have the most positive effect on the Party as a whole, sending the clear message that the days of accommodation and triangulation are over, and Dems must get on board or be thrown overboard. Giving the general public the idea that Dems do have a clear message and some degree of backbone will have the most positive effect imaginable on Democratic electoral chances, especially in '08. That's why this race is so important, and that's why Joe is a traitor to the party.
Yes, this race may draw attention and money from other races, but that's Joe's fault, not Lamont's. Nonetheless, it's vital.
August 19, 2006 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely delighted to hear mention of the like of Adams and Hamilton, of Jefferson and Madison.
Faneuil Hall in Boston has a wonderful portrait of Adams glowering at the visitors.
Adams might have been smiling if he had known about Lieberman way back then.
I would be glad to forget the spread and put my bet on the nose for Lamont if I were a gambling man.
Folks might want to get advice from an expert before they do that. Schlesinger is your man on that subject.
August 19, 2006 8:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not to pick a fight with someone I basically agree with, but I would challenge the idea that Lieberman is "mostly a progressive Democrat". Colin McEnroe's Salon article of a couple of weeks ago nicely tracks Lieberman's tactics going all the way back to the Clarence Thomas vote. JoMo used his floor time to criticize Democrats for being so mean to the eminent jurist Thomas, then waited to cast his vote till confirmation was in the bag, voting against Thomas so he could keep his NARAL endorsement, and his place on Bill Bennett's Christmas card list with his rhetoric. The Iraq War has just been the bright light that lets us see the cockroach; and the Alito vote was nothing new. McEnroe, who knows Lieberman personally and professionally, also said (IIRC) that if Lieberman had followed his heart, he would have voted to confirm Alito outright. There's a reason Karl Rove, the man who ordered the "SoreLoserman" signs printed up in 2000, considers JoMo a "personal friend".
But I agree with you that the anti-Lieberman movement is an important fight against the incumbency racket.
August 19, 2006 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
In terms of the one big issue of the day -- the Iraq war --
I shudder when I hear this assertion.
It is a miscalculation and the one issue that if the Democrats focus on it, can cost them the election.
This is the centerpiece and the lynchpin of the GOP strategy, Iraq the proxy for "terrism"..
Americans are truly confused as to the appropriate strategy to disengage here and deal with the broader issue of terrorism.
As such, it stays in Rove's hopper of winning GOP issues.
He merely adds to this confusion the votes from formulaic GOP shit of gay bashing, prolife/stem cell gibberish, guns, fundie Christian ignorance and bigotry and of course the baseline GOP issue of racism, with a salsa chaser now, and voila, the country stays on course to destruction.
I believe the winning Democrat issue is truly "the one big issue".
That is the poll validated conviction that Americans believe the GOP has the country headed in the wrong direction. A question that polls nearly a 70% affirmative response.
This is what Democrats can and must win on.
Rather than become bogged down in issue related debates, Democrats must clearly sieze the issue that the American are screaming at them.
They must convince the Americans that the way to get back "on-track" is to defeat the GOP incumbents across the country. They must break the Congressional majorities.
Americans know this. They need to have it reinforced.
This is why the GOP is desperate to get their candidates to "localize" their races.
Dems cannot fall for that. They must tie all GOP candidates to their most obvious symbol of abject failure, George Bush....
August 19, 2006 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Stephen
Now I know who the Spineless Democrats are: They're the ones that are constantly second-guessing and questioning Lamont and giving hundreds of reason why he could fail. Just remember, losers can find thousands of reasons to fail...winners need only one. Lieberman is a Republican in democratic clothing and those many back-biting democrats who continue to look for reasons that Lamont may fail also add doubt to Lamont's campaign and more importantly his image. Lamont is a winner in every respect. Compare him to Leiberman not only on the issues, but on the character and his track record. He is in successful, intlelligent, well spoken, sincere and at the moment at the heart of the what the Democratic party is all about. Now wake up and support him you democratic doubters; either support Lamont or get the hell out of the way.
August 19, 2006 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I happen to agree Joe isn't a progressive, but a lot of his support is due to that perception.
I was just, in my own sneaky way, taking that type of 'reasoning' off the table in favor of change. I do believe the possibility of real change will motivate not just connecticut voters, but all voters nationally.
I hope we see record turnout.
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August 19, 2006 8:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Libertine
I know that Connecticut is a blue state with a Democratic majority but why does it have so many Republican
Congressmen? Shays is from the Westport area which is one of the more liberal areas I know.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 19, 2006 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
"And CT is the state I live in and I will not give Bush a proxy vote by supporting Lieberman. "
I'd definitely vote Lamont in the general, were I a Nutmegger.
But I would have just as definitely voted Lieberman in the primary for strategic reasons.
The folks who ought to be embarrassed, IMHO, are those CT primary hawk voices in the blogosphere who were the neocons of this particular ill-considered war.
August 19, 2006 9:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Damn good question Daniel...
The GOP politicians in CT tend be RINO. Shays for example is pro-choice, more progressive on the environment then the average repug and generally far more liberal on social issues then many national democrats. Many of the left leaning indies are socially liberal and want fiscal responsibility in DC. That is the reason that GOP politicos like Shays and Rell do very well in CT. But when push comes to shove and the voters are forced to chose between a LW and RW national agenda we will vote LW most all of the time.
August 19, 2006 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Joe Lieberman is symptomatic of America's ultimate political problem: rightwing extremists introducing and nurturing radical, dangerous ideas (which gain popularity thanks to successful marketing), which are then co-opted by spineless Democrats that are looking for votes, thus giving the ideas a bipartisan, "moderate" sheen.
Lieberman supports the war. Many in politics and the blogosphere would like to claim that the war is a "moderate" idea, but in truth, it's well out of the mainstream. However, vote-seeking pseudoDems give cover to those that have hijacked our foreign policy. This makes it much harder to get rid of those policies.
Until the party deals with those who are enabling the neocons and their ilk, we'll continue giving the voting public that "battered wife syndrome" vibe. The Republicans keep doing horrible stuff, and the Democrats keep taking them back anyway.
August 19, 2006 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
If I had been allowed to vote in the primary I would have voted for Lieberman for exactly the reasons you state petey. I couldn't vote in the primary because I am an indie. But this can still be a big victory for all dems petey. It is so very important that all democratic politicos in CT and nationally support the democratic nominee in the CT senate race. Because what got us here is water under the bridge now...
August 19, 2006 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's not that I disagree with many in this thread, it's just that I see a prediction coming true: Lieberman is consuming all the oxygen.
I've said it before, I'll say it again: Lamont is a nearly ideal Democratic candidate -- based, at least, on his stated beliefs and his growing polish and clarity. I started to add: "and Lieberman is a..." But that's the point. Lamont is the guy we should give all our attention to.
Deprive Lieberman of the spotlight, of the air, of inclusion in the discussion, of rant -- of our panicky attention. The fight here is twofold: it's against the status quo of Bush and the Republican Congress, and it's against a Democratic Party leadership which hasn't had, for years, wanted to acknowledge that they're responsible to us. But that means we have to behave responsibly and not spend all our time what-iffing, climbing on chairs in the blogosphere and shouting "eek"!
Kudos to Stephen with all the "n's"!
August 19, 2006 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I want to relate one anecdote about Lieberman/Lamont. So here in Minnesota there is a primary I think on Sept 12 to pick the DFL candidate for the 5th CD a safe Dem seat formerly occupied by Martin Sabo, an invisible, cautious,liberal occupying valuable real estate. Personally I like Keith Ellison the party chosen candidate who has been attacked for unpaid parking tickets and for belonging to the Black Muslims many years ago. But it is a hotly contested race with at least three other "known" candidates. One of the others, is someone named Ember Reichgott-Junge. I do not know her politics well but I was unhappy to learn that she was a leader of the Minnesotans for Lieberman campaign in the 2004 primaries. So I am more than a little dubious about her. But, I recently heard her radio ad attacking the Iraq war and calling for beginning the withdrawal process. Do I know this is prompted by the Lamont victory? No. But something new is in the air.
August 19, 2006 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
frustrating that the Fundie Tribalist Right depends on clueless country-club republicans to keep their majority, and the Shays and the Chaffee and the Biggerts keep deluding themselves that they're "the Party of Lincoln". Historical blasphemy.
I don't get why you would have voted for Lieberman "strategically"?
August 19, 2006 10:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lamont's numbers and support will surely tumble--because of Lieberman's appealing anti-partisan campaign, and because Lamont can't pull in much of the moderate or right vote. And, even more damaging, Lamont, the pacifist-puss, is not seen as strong on security. Do we want a dove or a hawk protecting our homeland. Lamont the dove? No way. Lamont will be faced with the ultimate decision, to quit the race.
August 19, 2006 10:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
We need to expunge from our minds any notion that Joe is getting out of the race. He has no reason to, given the fractured response to him from the national Dems, and he's absolutely shameless about being a turncoat. So he's in this to stay and Lamont supporters need to get over worrying about when Lieberman will drop out and just concentrate on electing Lamont.
It's doable. If Lamont can make this a referendum on Bush, which becomes easier and easier by the day given the latest extensions of "the Kiss", he'll win. We need no message on Lieberman other than that he's Bush's guy.
In 1983, in an election similar in many ways to this one, black folks and liberal Dems uprooted the entrenched Chicago power structure and elected Harold Washington mayor. What was similar was the reaction of the ostensibly Democratic power structure, which by and large switched to the Republican candidate en masse in order to preserve its power. We found, then, that "party loyalty" is a one-way club to be used against dissidents - entrenched power never lets it get in their way when they need to throw it overboard. In order to win, we must get over the outrage over this betrayal and just get out the votes and win.
August 19, 2006 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds like some serious wishful thinking, SeedFreak, but it doesn't sound in the least realistic.
August 19, 2006 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I believe they are remnants of the Rockefeller Republicans. RINOs, perhaps, but moderates to be sure and liberals when they choose to be.
August 19, 2006 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Listen. I'm anti-war. I'm anti any war for any reason but am smart enough to know war is not always avoidable. Axe murderer walks into my house, you ask? I'd still aim for the shoulder or knee or other, um, vulnerable spot which is non-lethal.
I'd disassemble (yeah, George!) the "Department of Defense" putting back together only those parts which have to do with defense.
There are a lot of people who see this differently but who are resolutely opposed to staying in Iraq. But for a few, they are not antiwar. They are in the majority. Six months, year? Outta there. Stop with the lies already. Do the job.
Seems to me Ned Lamont who, as noted elsewhere, is getting clearer and more forceful with every speech and writing, is in a position to be the Democratic candidate who speaks most forcefully about this. As someone who's not antiwar but anti-bungle-and-deception, he's right smack in the middle of the majority which wants a well-thought-out, well-timed pullout beginning at the earliest date possible, along with a clear statement that we will not maintain bases in that country unless, possibly, by international agreement.
While he's taking care of that job, our job is make sure the Democratic Leadership is responsive to the full range of voters in the party or get out. That's the best kind of support we could give our best candidates.
August 19, 2006 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rick, I think you've misinterpreted what I've said...I'm not claiming the committee chairmanship was the driving force behind Jeffords' flip. He was motivated by many other larger factors. But Daschle and Reid threw it in as a sweetener. And it worked, so it could work with Lieberman. At this moment, the Republicans are probably devising ways to make Joe feel very very welcome.
I don't disagree with your assessment - Lieberman is a loose cannon etc. Yes of course HE is supposed to serve us not the other way around. But I don't give a damn on how the guy votes on issues at this point. This whole thing comes down to that vote for Senate Majority Leader and Committee Chairmanships.
I appreciate your wanting to be principled and firm and tell Joe if he's not running as a Dem he's not a Dem etc. But...dude...this is politics. I just feel like you're ignoring the potential consequences.
That sonofab!tch may well win this election. And if he does we need him to vote to put Democrats in the chairs. That above all else. No matter what this is THE most important thing right now. Your plan seems to be to have every Democrat in the country sh!t on him for 10 weeks, and embarrass him and snipe at him and demand that Reid strip him of priveledges, and pronounce how 'detrimental he is to the party' etc.
But what if he wins? After all that abuse...why would he feel any obligation at ALL to vote with the Democrats? Imagine your family kicked you out of your house, wrote you out of the will, told you you weren't invited to the family re-union. Then after all that they call and ask 'hey, would you come over and mow the lawn?'
I'm not saying we pander to him. I'm not saying we endorse him or support him. But to out-and-out alienate him and antagonize him and make a sworn enemy of him...just seems like a terrible idea. I'm just suggesting Lamont run and win on the issues, and that Democrats unabashedly support Lamont not because Joe is the devil, but because Ned is the candidate chosen by CT Dems...we can and should do this all without demonizing or embarassing Leiberman.
August 19, 2006 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
The downrating of the comments of member "Sage" because he supports Lieberman strikes me as pitiful and childish, and almost, but not quite, funny, like little kids shutting your ears to all but what you want to hear. Giving him zeroes will not make his kin disappear--they will still be voting, kids. I hope to heck those really working for Lamont in CT don't think like that, as he's certainly not going to win without getting more of the state's voters than those he got in the primary....he has to figure out what people who may be thinking of voting for Lieberman like about him, and he's not going to do that by telling those people to shut up. Is a perfect example why I am dubious about the possible success of "netactivism;" I've heard tell of much of the same kind of intolerance and closed ears among "deaniacs."
A truly smart political activist for Lamont would, instead of censoring "Sage," ask something like "Sage, explain why you like Lieberman so much...." and then try to point out why Lamont might actually be a better man for him. If you don't convince him, you might convince an undecided lurker reading it.
August 19, 2006 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I appreciate your wanting to be principled and firm and tell Joe if he's not running as a Dem he's not a Dem etc. But...dude...this is politics. I just feel like you're ignoring the potential consequences."
Of course the CT Primary Hawks are ignoring the consequences. They're true believers, just like the neocons were in Iraq.
That's why they dragged us into this CT quagmire in the first place. They simply don't care about the consequences.
August 19, 2006 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I'd still aim for the shoulder or knee or other, um, vulnerable spot which is non-lethal."
Dude, you shoot somebody in the knee or shoulder you have a pretty good chance of severing an artery and having your intruder bleed to death before your eyes. And while you can put a tourniquet on an upper leg (apres knee shot) good luck finding something up stream from that shoulder (tourniquets around necks having unpleasant side effects).
Life is not a cowboy movie. You have two choices, use a gun and shoot the guy chest-high center or don't use a gun. Me I don't own a gun. My little brother owns twenty plus hand guns. But neither of us kids ourselves that when the adrenaline is pumping and you are actually shooting at someone that you can confidently hope to hit someone right where you intend to. Aim at the center of the chest and you might actually hit him somewhere.
I know this was just a rhetorical point but it is just this kind of thinking that got us into Iraq to begin with. "Why we only use precision weapons and only kill bad people!!". No when you bomb or shoot, whether in Iraq or in your own home, accept the fact that people are likely to end up dead. Don't go to war, don't buy a gun and you won't kill anyone. Go to war, shoot someone and chances are good somebody dies.
A couple of decades ago I was trained to patrol a ship and shoot anyone attempting entry into nuclear weapons spaces. Which out at sea meant shooting somebody I knew. And I was prepared to do that. But not even thinking "Dude it will just be a flesh wound".
Don't even buy in, even on a blog comment, that you can perform selective combat like elective surgery.
August 19, 2006 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I couldn't vote in the primary because I am an indie."
Shame on you. Come join the party. The more, the merrier.
Besides, all being an indie gets you is no say in either primary.
August 19, 2006 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your friend Lamont is the best thing that could happen to Chris Shays, Rob Simmons, and Nancy Johnson. You happy now?
You mean Lieberman, no? He's the one running against a Democrat, bringing the GOPs to the polls.
Probably a typo...
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August 19, 2006 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does it occur to anyone that Rove is throwing bait to progressive Democrats to roil the waters and drive us into a frenzy for conservatives to exhibit as our "dangerous obsession with ending the war"?
Lamont is a cool customer and a smart guy. I think he can take care of himself, and might be better positioned against Lieberman if we don't fire-hose money into his campaign. Contribute yes, support, yes, but spend your dollars wisely. Even if Lieberman were to win, would it really be such a grievous loss, one Senate vote. Think smarter, think hearts and minds, and cool it a little with the zeal. It can really turn off JQVoters.
August 19, 2006 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
yeah, anybody who can't engage a reasonable and thoughtful debater like Sage is intolerant and closed-minded. This truly is a sign of how crazy, pitiful and childish the nutroots are if they're not willing to engage a serious debater like Sage, and his arguments in support of Lieberman are surely well thought-out, compelling, and deeply principled. I think a lot of sophisticated and thoughtful lurkers are going to be swayed by arguments like the one he offered here. These are the swing voters we must pursue.
August 19, 2006 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not an ornithologist, but in the US Senate, I think I'd prefer the person who advocated pursuing the people who attacked this country to the one(s) who advocated going after somebody who had nothing to do with those attacks because we were angry and frustrated because we couldn't find the guy who did.
August 19, 2006 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't stop with Bush. The Congress is even more unpopular than Bush is. Run against Congress. Runs against the bums in office. The "throw the bums out" message is the best of all.
August 19, 2006 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like when s/he started a post with "Dear Dinsdale Jerk" and then accused the person of being on Rove's payroll.
S/He's treading on Mary from RI's turf.
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August 19, 2006 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not defending zeros, of course, but maybe you didn't see all of Sage's comments.
I doubt anyone's downrating just "because he supports Lieberman."
I'll uprate comments if unfairly troll-rated, but I find it hard to when the person accuses the "nutroots" of helping terrorists. Not really worth my time there.
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August 19, 2006 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I'll defend zeros:
I think those comments merit a zero. In fact, I'd kinda lean toward zeroing the all-caps rants no matter what the content.
August 19, 2006 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
"cockroach"?!?
whooaaahhh :)
August 19, 2006 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Voters recognize failure when they see it. And, given enough time, they also recognize incompetence.
Most of the people, women especially, voting in November won't be the kind of political junkies -- left, right and center -- posting here. And they won't be ideologues. The finer political points and supposedly informed speculations being presented by all sides in this forum are beside the point for them. They may not know how to get out of Iraq, but they also know that the administration doesn't have a clue about how to do it either. And that knowledge doesn't make them feel very secure. And that's why "security" won't be a very effective strategy for status quo candidates this time around.
This race will depend entirely on how effectively Lamont campaigns. Can he gain the voters trust and make them feel comfortable voting for change?
The Republicans and Lieberman, of course, are and will be doing everything in their power to paint him as weak and untrustworthy.
If he's up to the task of countering that, he'll win.
August 19, 2006 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
With all due respect, I think not.
The trending is fairly clear. As time goes on, Lamont contuinues to gain popularity, while Lieberman continues to lose support.
The fact that Lieberman is ahead by 10 points isn't all that impressive considering he was ahead by 70 points or so several months ago.
Basically every time he opens his mouth he loses dozens of Connecticut voters.
I'm gonna give your post a 4 because I don't think we should silence LIeberman supporters--on ther contrary--I want to hear your rationales. I think I'll take artappraiseres smug and disdainful advice and ask you why ever you support Lieberman. It seems to me that Lamont isn't actually too far off from Joe except that he's not beholden to special interests, and he wants to get us UHC.
Are you merely a fan of the war? Or is it that you are against UHC? I just can't understand why anyone would prefer Lieberman over Lamont. Joe is the epitome of what is wrong with the new "entitlement" crowd, a.k.a. The U.S. Congress.
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August 19, 2006 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not proposing to be the correct-conversation-minder here. However, would you please take care not to restart the flame-wars on this site. Thx. /Tg
August 19, 2006 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
User Rating petey 0
And petey strikes again. Care to explain that one?
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August 19, 2006 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just have a higher tolerance for that stuff. Plus, I think it's better to let everyone see how much of an asshole someone is.
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August 19, 2006 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
now, now, petey, not all of us can care like you do. and the metaphor is soo cute too. I cannot wait to see how the fourth and fifth installment goes.
August 19, 2006 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me understand, is there a problem with me if I hate the man? He is the one with the policies after all. It doesn't consume me and I don't hate him all the time. Just when I think about him and what he has done to the country. So this is wrong?
August 19, 2006 8:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
And here I thought poor Sage could handle the devastation of low ratings. Who knew? He seemed so, so ...self-confident.
August 19, 2006 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Petey I understand you are unhappy with me. I helped create the "quagmire in CT". I know you agree I didn't do anything proscribed by our political system I just did not think strategically the way you do. But you see I do not see things the same as you do (and in your opinion that makes me oh so stupid). You foresaw correctly that Lieberman would run no matter what happened. (Actually i foresaw that too but nevermind.) And that may be bad for the Democratic Party. So why don't you tell Senator Lieberman that he should not do that bercause it might hurt the Democratic Party. After all HE is the one trying first to run as a Democrat and now as a Republican/Independent. Why do you address your frustration at the hundreds of thousands of voters that voted the way they saw the issues? Is it because if you tell Senator Lieberman that he should not endanger the rest of the Democratic Party he might not listen to you or any of the other many people who have told him he should not hurt the Democratic Party? Is it because you see things the way Lieberman does (or close enough) so that he does not bother you on the issues? If not, if it is just because you think it was a bad strategic move to oppose Lieberman and you felt that it was fruitless telling Senator Lieberman to change his positions or get out of the race after he lost, don't you think that it is as fruitless to address your frustrations on the hundreds of thousands in fact millions of Democrats nationwide who supported Lamont (according to the polls some 80% of Democrats nationally were happy with the Lamont victory)...in fact who felt the issues were so important to them that they were willing to risk a "quagmire in CT" to replace Lieberman with someone who represented their views more closely. Now if you like Lieberman, by all means, support him; but if you don't what exactly is the purpose of your rant? What is its strategic purpose? Do you think it helps the Democratic Party? In what way?
August 19, 2006 9:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't get why you would have voted for Lieberman "strategically"?
Fair question...
I just thought the time and effort would have been better spent going after repugs. Plus I did think the possibility that Lieberman would run as a petitioning candidate was real. And if it happened (which it has) it would hurt democratic unity in CT and nationally (which I am not sure of yet). But like I said to petey...right now it is what it is.
August 19, 2006 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I should...I always vote the democratic party as it is, lol. When I was younger and first registered (pre-Reagan) the repugs weren't as completely wrong on the issues as they have become and back then I did vote for some (Oh, the errors of youth). But you are right shame on me. Since '84 I can name the repugs I have voted for on one hand...because since then their policies can't suck enough. So why not get more involved with the party I support...
August 19, 2006 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah there are definitely national ramifications about Lamont getting the nomination, VLaszlo...
It is forcing candidates to more honestly address the war issue and it does have a few repugs, like Shays, scrambling not only in CT but nationally. It seems for the first time since 9/11 the dems are openly and vocally questioning the war and are not hurting in the polls for it. Start of a sea change? Well, November will tell...
August 19, 2006 10:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
It in fact showed for the first time, that running against the war, against a pro-war enabler, despite the risks involved from the "cut and run" charge, which Lieberman didn't hesitate to use and he will use again. That is heady stuff. Shays has observed it well and all of a sudden he is displaying some visible "anti-war" actions (planned hearings?). Yet some people don't see the dynamic; they worry about the "numbers" in opposition rather than the "type and quality". Change is messy, not easy, especially when we are trying to take down as nasty a lot as has ever been seen in this country.
August 20, 2006 6:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
"So why don't you tell Senator Lieberman that he should not do that bercause it might hurt the Democratic Party."
Because he doesn't return my calls.
"Is it because you see things the way Lieberman does (or close enough) so that he does not bother you on the issues?"
I think Lieberman is a douchebag, and thought he was a douchebag even before the Iraq war. I'd vote for Lamont in the general election, were I a Nutmegger.
That said, I think Lieberman has been good on most issues. I expect him to be far less good on most issues over the next 6 years as a result of this crusade.
"what exactly is the purpose of your rant? What is its strategic purpose? Do you think it helps the Democratic Party? In what way?"
I think the CT Primary Hawks who spearheaded our march into this quagmire knew full well the risks of deposing Lieberman, and just didn't care. I thought it was telling that on the night of the primary, Markos wrote that he wasn't going to apologize for the mess that was about to come. In other words, he knew he had something to apologize for.
Folks who claim to strategize for the party, who claim to have a vision for how to accomplish the national goals of the party, have a responsibility to balance risks and benefits that the CT Primary Hawks abandoned. Much as the neocons let America down in their zeal to depose Saddam, the CT Primary Hawks have let the Democratic Party down in their zeal to depose Joe.
Of course, it's certainly possible that the neocons don't even care that Iraq is detrimental to the strategic interests of the U.S. Their goal was to get American boots on the ground in the Middle East, and that goal has been accomplished. Likewise, the CT Primary Hawks may not care that the CT primary is detrimental to the strategic interests of the Democratic Party. Their goal was to intimidate the rest of the party to get a bigger piece of the consultant gravy train in the future, and that goal has likely been accomplished.
"Why do you address your frustration at the hundreds of thousands of voters that voted the way they saw the issues?"
I never blame the voters for anything. The voters, by definition, are always right.
Similarly, I don't blame the U.S. troops for the mess in Iraq.
August 20, 2006 7:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
When I read your post it rang a bell. Artappraiser's dressing-down of those of us who consider Sage to be a troll seems to me to resemble Joe's speech to his co-horts, warning them that criticising Bush while we are at war is a perilous thing to do.
You chose a perfect quote. There are plenty of others. Phrases like "your ilk" and such are givaways.
Jan Knaus
August 20, 2006 7:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gee. Thanks for the helpful tips. I went down to Walgreen's this morning, got a tourniquet, and am trying to figure out how to tie it onto the thingy I hold my six-gun with so I have it close at hand -- to bind up the artery -- when I do my shooting.
August 20, 2006 8:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't it interesting with all the back and forth that Artappraiser finds only the degrading of Sage's ratings worthy of criticism. Not Sage's rants. Save us from partisans masquerading as even-handed.
August 20, 2006 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
User Rating petey 0
Who's the guy with the "petey the ratings abuser" sig?
petey the ratings abuser strikes again.
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August 20, 2006 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, if the "strategic interests" of the Democratic Party is to become the Republican Party, then we have an existential conflict in the party. Lieberman is the classic example. Lieberman would rather become a de facto Republican than lose. Many of us have figured out that this is true of most of the incumbent Democrats.
I did enjoy John Kerry comparing Lieberman to Dick Cheney more than once this morning. Whoever put those words in Kerry's mouth today has a future!
August 20, 2006 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Petey! If I am a troll, George Bush is a genius, and Dick Cheney is a nice guy.
Jan Knaus
August 20, 2006 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. It's also interesting, given all we hear about the crazy, rage-filled left blogosphere driving poor reasonable moderate Holy Joe out of the party, the venom and histrionics seem to come, at least on this site, from the LieberDems. Or I guess now I should say the Connecticuts for Joe, or whatever they call themselves.
August 20, 2006 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Lieberman would rather become a de facto Republican than lose."
There was no terrorism in Iraq before the Americans arrived, but now Iraq really has become a breeding grounds for terrorists. The neocons created a self-fuflilling prophecy.
Lieberman used to vote and campaign mostly as a Democrat, but now he really is campaigning as a Republican, and if re-elected, will likely vote much more like a Republican than he did before. The CT Primary Hawks have created a self-fuflilling prophecy.
August 20, 2006 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
On Iraq, Lieberman was a neocon before anybody knew what a neocon was. He has voted and campaigned with Bush since 2002, some would say since Nov. 6, 2000. If there had been no Ned Lamont, he only would have been more of a Bushite after this election than he was before it. It was only after he lost the primary that Lyin' Joe suddenly decided he was a critic of Bush's conduct of the war.
If you think Joe was such a great Democrat, you should go read Colin McEnroe's Salon.com article of a couple of weeks ago. Joe's been double dealing and having it both ways since the Clarence Thomas vote at least.
The election is three months away. No "prophecy" has been fulfilled. If I were Lieberman, I wouldn't be re-ordering my Senate stationary just yet.
August 20, 2006 10:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If you think Joe was such a great Democrat..."
If you read what I've been saying on this thread, (or what I've ever said on the topic), you'll know that I'm no fan of Joe Lieberman.
Saddamn Hussein was a bad guy, but it was a disastrous strategic move for the US to invade Iraq.
Joe Lieberman is a bad guy, but it was a disastrous strategic move for the Democratic Party to refuse him the nomination.
Sometimes, it just doesn't make strategic sense to take the evildoers out.
We're already starting to see some of the fallout of following the counsel of the CT Primary Hawks, and I strongly suspect the fallout will keep coming and coming and coming...
August 20, 2006 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fallout?
Like Chris Shays holding hearings on Iraq? Like forcing the GOP to make idiots out of themselves and continue to disgust the majority of voters in this country? Like giving people the gumption to get out and demand change, as in the Maryland Edwards race?
That type of change is good, and long overdue. I hear your concerns, as you repeat your dour warnings ad naseum, but they don't change the reality of what the voters want, and are empowered to do, thanks to Ned Lamont, and the so-called "Dem-hawks."
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August 20, 2006 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fallout? You mean the appeasement of Republicans? If Democrats can't stand up to Republicans how are they going to stand up to terrorists? The Republicans have lead us into a foreign policy catastrophy. Democrats should relentlessly remind Americans of that fact. See Steve Chapman in the Chicago Tribune.
Democrats shouldn't enable Lieberman's delusions either. There are no unicorns, Joe. Get a grip on reality.
August 20, 2006 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you read what I've been saying on this thread, (or what I've ever said on the topic), you'll know that I'm no fan of Joe Lieberman.
I'm getting a little tired of this bit of cover for yourself:
"Look at me. I don't like Lieberman either. But, you're all still a bunch of fucking assholes."
Shall I expect a zero from you on this one, too?
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August 20, 2006 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a general principle, I don't think its good to hate. On the other hand, I can understand why some people do hate Bush. It won't take much more to push me into that camp, I'll admit. I probably do hate him, and just don't want to admit it to myself much less other people.
My major point was that we hate his policies, and yes, some of us hate him. But he earned that hate by what he has done. The conservatives hated Clinton and hate people like us a priori based on their conservative/Christian principles/beliefs. Nice bunch of people eh?
Bushco delenda est
August 21, 2006 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I'm getting a little tired of this bit of cover for yourself: "Look at me. I don't like Lieberman either. But, you're all still a bunch of fucking assholes."
A nice echo of the charges that folks who opposed the Iraq war must hold a brief for Saddam Hussein, no?
-----
But, for whatever it's worth, it's not cover. If I really liked Lieberman, I'd fucking say so. If I really thought folks should vote for him over Lamont in the general, I'd say so.
I don't think most folks who share in the anti-Lieberman ethos are assholes. But I do think that there are many prominent and sophisticated voices in the blogosphere who understood full well the detriments to the Democratic Party posed by denying Lieberman the nomination. And those voices acted as CT Primary Hawks anyway, mostly out of craven and greedy motives.
When people claim to lead, but act as mis-leaders instead, they deserve to be called out.
August 22, 2006 6:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
"and the metaphor is soo cute too. I cannot wait to see how the fourth and fifth installment goes."
I think you ended up getting more than four or five installments on this thread.
-----
I'm fascinated by strategery, and thus fascinated by strategic blunders. And if you're interested in strategic blunders, Iraq is a very, very rich story.
When Lamont/Lieberman started gathering steam, it struck me how ironic it was that the CT Primary Hawks were making a blunder that was similar in so many fundamental ways to the blunder the very Iraq Hawks they were standing against had made.
August 22, 2006 6:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thoughtful riposte artappraiser. I care not a whit what the netnuts here think of my comments.
I am a Democrat who disagrees with Joe on how soon we should implement a plan for phased withdrawal, but I still support him because he has done a lot for the people of Ct. for 26 years, because his views are closer to those of the majority of Ct. votrs than Lamont's, and because he has a much better understanding of the foe we face .
August 23, 2006 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, so you like Joe because of his past service. I suppose you also think that people who become incompetent to drive a car due to advanced age or blindness should be allowed to drive anyway because they USED to be good drivers?
As far as Joe having "views closer to the people of Connecticut," that is simply false.
That would be why Joe Lieberman has been continuing to lose popularity in Connecticut since 2004, and continues to lose ground to Ned Lamont, as the recent polls and trends confirm.
It doesn't surprise me a bit that you are misinformed. Please excuse the rest of the posters here if they prefer to deal with reality, rather than hollow rhetoric not based in any fact.
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August 23, 2006 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
To endorse a candidate based upon what they used to do is all well and good if we are going to be living in the past--however, it doesn't work that way--the arrow of time points in only one direction--and that direction is the future.
Lieberman is no longer serving the constituancy that put him in power 18 years ago. Time, and the enticement of weilding more, greater powers from his Senate seat have caused him to abandon his core constituancy. and now I'm afraid his allegience lies four-square with the monied Right.
As has already been stated here, if he were truly the man of the people that he (endlessly) proclaims himself to be, he would have acknowledged his defeat with class, then he would have thrown all his political weight firmly behind Lamont.
Obviously, that's not the case--the Right are counting on Lieberman to win...one need only look at the Republican candidate and the next to nothing support he's getting from the Right. Not so with Joe--he's been contacted numerous times by the Republican's heavy hitters, who offer Joe their support.
Does this seem to you like a man who wants only to serve his Democratic constituancy?
August 23, 2006 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Workerbee, you must live in a differnt Connecticut. Last I looked the same polling outfit that all you Lamont lovers liked so much when it predicted Lamont's victory had Joe Lieberman leading by 12 points among ALL Connecticut voters--85% of whom would be denied the opportunity to vote for Lieberman if he responded to your ridiculous whining that he should leave the race. Are you one of the 97,000 idiots in Florida, or one of the 7500 idiots in New Hampshire, or one of the several thousand idiots in Oregon, who elected George W. Bush by voting for an independent in 2000 named Nader-- a former Democrat who surely was not going to be nominated by the Democratic Party? If so you are not only a jerk, but a hypocrite.
August 23, 2006 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go to Bridgeport, Waterbury, Norwalk, Groton--besides spending six months teaching at Harding h.S. whet the hell has Lamont done for these places in the last 18 years? A lot less than Joe Lieberman did. Of course, Lieberman is getting Republican support, but if that is all the support he is getting why were 20 unions cheering him today? Why have the Democratic Mayor of Waterbury and the Democratic Speaker of the Connecticut House of Representatives vocally been sticking with him? If you think all those people are stupid, you are the reason why we have lost six of the last nine Presiential elections in this country.
August 23, 2006 7:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are still living in the past.
The question is what will Joe do NOW vs. what Lamont will do NOW. Lamont will fight for uhc. He'll fight to stop the slaughter of our best and bravest.
Lieberman is bought and paid for. Lamont isn't.
Go to Meriden and tell those lower middle class, blue collar, salt of the earth folks why you still like Lieberman.
They'll laugh in your face. They'll show you what "Joe has done for them--right here, buddy." You might be able to fool the information poor, but not the blue collar workers.
Joe is for Joe. Period. Has been since 2004.
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August 23, 2006 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
That poll was right. The next time it comes out, no doubt it will reflect the RECENT numbers.
Lamont won. HE is the democratic candidate for the senate.
I live in Middlesex county where I saw 50 lawn signs for Lamont in my small town, alone.
I saw --0-- for Lieberman.
I doubt you live in Connecticut, and furthermore, I doubt that you voted for Kerrry or Gore, like I did.
You are a troll. Period.
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August 23, 2006 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi workerbee--have you noticed the appalling lack of manners coming from those that support Lieberman & the rest of the Republican party?
My question was rhetorical; of course you have...but I am curious as to why there is such an excess of noisome lemon-sucking hags that feel compelled to constantly display to us all the depth of their discourteousness...they act as does the sore loser, odious in their displays of repugnance, when in fact it is they that are in control of the executive & legislative branches of our government.
Shouldn't they therefore be shiney, happy people? Au contraire..it seems they are not.
I'm wondering what would cause them to want to always lash out at civilized, intelligent folk such as yourself? Are they perhaps less than satisfied wallowing in the malodorous slime they've created?
Perhaps residing in such is what causes the dull gray-brackish green colour one sees in the common Salvia Officinalis...which would explain the nasty disposition.
;-)
September 1, 2006 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink