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Not Good For War on Terror

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Although the details of the UK plot to take down 10 U.S.-bound jumbo jets are still sketchy, the administration and its supporters are sure to point to it as more proof that America and the world need to stay the course in their global war on terror. But, of course, it proves no such thing.

At the core of the administrations’ war on terror are two strategies, neither of which appear to be particularly relevant in this particular case. One is the notion that we can best win the war on the offense — that should “fight them over there so we don’t need to fight them over here.” That’s what the Iraq War, and Bush’s support for Israel’s fight against Hizbollah, are all about.

But as far as we know, the plotters in the UK were homegrown — all were British citizens. Taking the offense in this war — by which the administration means using military force — is worse then useless. For who are you going to bomb? Safe houses in High Wycombe or Birmingham?

What appears to have cracked this case is not a war strategy or military offensive, but good intelligence, skilled detective work, and months of careful surveillance — the kind of traditional law enforcement strategies and defensive measures that Bush and his administration have always shunned.

This apparent success also undermines the second core element of the administration’s war on terror — the notion that effective counter-terrorism action requires ignoring established procedures and the rule of law. As the Brits have shown, there is no need to subvert the law, or civic liberties, to conduct effective counter-terrorism operations. And when the UK government found that some laws (e.g., on the duration of detention) might interfere with effective investigations and actions, it has sought to change the law through established parliamentary procedures rather than to ignore it as Bush has been wont to do.

We still live in a very dangerous world, where evil men concoct evil plots aiming to inflict “mass murder on an unimaginable scale.” But that reality should not be mistaken for justifying the ill-conceived strategies Bush has touted to deal with this danger over the past 5 years.


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How more evidence do we need that the so-called "War on Terror" creates terror?

Here's the math: for every division we send to Iraq, we need to train another 1,000 FBI detectives just to take care of the new terrorists the mere presence of that division will spawn.

I completely agree with you. The sham "war of terror" what a joke. It has always been about intelligence and solid investigative police work and not armies lumbering around making more and more radicals. Now, of course, I'm also completely skeptical about any British operation just now. I've shifted to doubting anything said officially by any gov't. This current British plot has lots of really smelly political opportunistic angles to it and leaves me always thinking all our dear leaders are more interested in spin than my or other citizens safety.

If Democrats are smart (sigh...), this will allow them to point out that the War on Terror as imagined by BushCheneyRove & Lieberman is a failure (are you listening, Ned?). The fly-paper "fight them there so we don't have to fight them over there" theory has been disproved, time and again, with hundreds of casualties from Bali to Madrid to London. Thank God this one was stopped, by Intelligence services, not the military.

It's been 5 years since 9/11. Do you feel safer? Do all those mothers out there that now have to TASTE THEIR BABY FORMULA IN FRONT OF TSA EMPLOYEES FEEL SAFER???

Sorry for the caps but I'm so angry and upset by the incompetence and stupidity of this administration I could just about scream. They don't want us to feel safe because we'll start thinking about how much debt we have and how badly walmart treats its workers and their suppliers. We might actually start thinking about global warming or something and stop buying so much gas.

NO! DON'T LOOK OVER THERE! THERE ARE BAD PEOPLE TRYING TO KILL YOU! VOTE FOR US OR YOU WILL DIE AND GO TO HELL!

Sorry, I just can't take this kind of evil hate based initiative anymore. We've got to do something.

Here is the state of aviation security in this country today:

Thursday, August 10th, 2006

---------------------------------------------------

Due to the uncovering of a terrorist plot this morning in Britain to blow up US-bound commercial airliners in mid-air, the US Department of Homeland Security has raised the terror threat level to Orange (High). Because of the Code Orange alert, the Transportation Security Administration has banned certain items from being taken aboard carry-on luggage on


All flights operating in or to the United States:

· all beverages

· shampoo

· suntan lotion

· creams

· toothpaste

· hair gel

· other items of similar consistency


In addition, even greater security measures have been implemented for

All flights between the United States and the United Kingdom:


Nothing may be carried in passengers' pockets. Also, handbags i.e. women’s purses, laptop bags, camera cases and similar items are not allowed for carry on.


Passengers may only take through the airport security checkpoint, in a single (ideally transparent) plastic carrier bag the following items:

· pocket size wallets and pocket size purses plus contents (money, credit cards, identity cards, etc.)

· travel documents essential for the journey (passports and travel tickets)

· prescription medicines and medical items sufficient and essential for the flight (a diabetic kit for example), except in liquid form unless verified as authentic.

· spectacles and sunglasses, without cases

· contact lens holders, without bottles of solution

· for those traveling with an infant: baby food, milk (the contents of each bottle must be tasted by the accompanying passenger) and sanitary items sufficient and essential for the flight (wipes, creams, disposal bags)

· female sanitary items sufficient and essential for the flight, if unboxed

· tissues (unboxed) and/or handkerchiefs

· keys (but no electrical key fobs)

· There will be no liquids or gels allowed to/from the UK. Duty free from the UK will not be allowed, however, duty free onboard will continue.


All UK transiting passengers will be required to check any carry-ons they bring to the airport regardless of origination. For passengers who have already left the US and will be connecting in the UK, they will not be allowed to use the transit area in the UK airports and will be routed back to the ticket counters to check their carry-on luggage.


Because of the increased security, delays of two hours or more are being reported at most major US airports.

Any plot that is foiled is a good thing.  I don't know how much of the credit should be directed to the British instead of the Bush adminstration claiming this is vindication of the US's approach to the GWOT.  Of the 3 latest "foiled terrorist plots" one was broken up by Canadian law enforcement and this one by the British...the 3rd was that lame Miami group who who looking for automatic weapons and grenades among other "conventional" weapons.

 

Kudos to the Brits for doing good law enforcement work to prevent a possible attack on the US...

Bush asked travelers to "be patient and be vigilant" as "we take the steps necessary to protect our people."

Why haven't Bush and Chertoff already taken "the steps"? And where has Lieberman, Ranking Member of the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, been all this time?

 

DR. RICE: Steve, I don't think anybody could have predicted that these people would take an airplane and slam it into the World Trade Center, take another one and slam it into the Pentagon; that they would try to use an airplane as a missile, a hijacked airplane as a missile.

"Taking the offense in this war — by which the administration means using military force — is worse then useless"

This needs modifying...

Taking the offense in this war — by which the administration means using military force against a regime that had practically no linkage at all to Islamic extremists — is stupid and reckless beyond belief.

Please, let us never forget that the Bushpigs used the threat of terrorism as a pretense for invading Iraq. Never forget this fact.

If patriotism is the last vestige of a scoundrel, so is an ineffective and politically motivated war on terror.

Kudos to the Brits indeed who certainly appear to be taking a terrorist threat seriously (as something to be deterrred and prosecuted) vs the administration who uses a terrorist threat as a campaign point.

Much of what I've heard about this came from the BBC this AM, but I get the impression that the US did not know about this until the Brits rounded up their suspects and elevated the security level. Anyone else getting that?

I want everyone to stop and consider for a moment how much of America's resources have been squandered in Iraq and how useful they would have been to fund counter-terrorism operations.

Shameful Republican mismanagement.

from www.altara.blogspot.com:

NEWS ITEM

Aircraft Bomb Plot Thwarted in Britain
The Associated Press

Authorities say they thwarted a terrorist plot to blow up several aircraft mid-flight between the U.S. and Britain using explosives smuggled in hand luggage.


COMMENT

Good thing that we invaded and occupied Iraq, attacking the terrorists over there so that they won't attack us here.

I'd like one of the scientifically competent around here to speculate what was the likely plan given the list of banned items and their containers??

Gee if only there had been a presidential candidate who understood and articulated that the war on terror is about international police work not military action and that money should be directed there instead of to military spending...

Ivo,

And when the UK government found that some laws (e.g., on the duration of detention) might interfere with effective investigations and actions, it has sought to change the law through established parliamentary procedures rather than to ignore it as Bush has been wont to do.

I think it's much less about process than it is about what procedures are finally adopted. After all, many of Hitler's "laws" were introduced legally.

The UK system is quite a bit different from that in the US and so Blair had no option but to have Parliament change the laws. However, that doesn't mean that Blair and Co. aren't engaging in a a systematic reduction of human rights quite similar to Bush. Like Bush, Blair is driven mainly by the faux notion of free and open markets in which personal freedoms are of little importance. Terrorism provides a convenient way of moving that agenda forward. To think that we are in Iraq actually to fight terrorism is surely naive.

Nor are the UK security forces and police above bending the rules at will. Think of the shoot to kill policy in Northern Ireland and then recall recent UK police abuses in which an innocent man was shot to death on the London undergound; another man was shot after police broke into his house in the early hours on evidence that turned out to be entirely without basis. Blair is also pushing an extremely intrusive ID card scheme and using the threat of terrorist acts as the reason.

I really think that comparing favorably the recent record of the UK with that of the US is a stretch too far and is almost entirely irrelevant.

Further, as many Britains think, it is Bush who is calling the shots there as well as in the USA - for example, consider the probably correct rumour that Jack Straw was removed as Foreign Secretary because his constituency in Blackburn contains many Muslims. In other words, actually listening to Muslim views is in itself a fault. Certainly, Straw declaring that an attack on Iran was "nuts" did him no favors with Bush. But, again, terrorism isn't the main agenda. Ask the Lebanese.

The White House says that they actually knew about this for several days in advance of the arrests.

See Discussion Here: http://ezraklein.typepad.com/blog/2006/08/terror_plot.html

They have a history of using Nitroglycerin but given that it's very hard to transport without setting it off it was probably something derived from Acetate (nail polish remover) and Peroxide (Hair bleach) which can provide a pretty powerful explosion if manipulated in certain ways.

I don't think it's that black and white. While Iraq didn't have much to do with terrorism against the US, Afghanistan would need some rather heavily armed police. It's fairly clear that the ELDORADO CANYON raid on Libya started a chain of changes in Khadaffi's behavior.

It's much like the Serenity Prayer: give me the courage to use military force when it's appropriate, the serenity to recognize patient police work is the best approach to a particular situation, and the wisdom to know the difference.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

And virtually every Dem supported the war in Afganistan. I'm not saying do away with the military, just use the correct tools when needed.

In reality I would say that was the only time conventional military warfare was needed in the "War on Terror"

Alas, to too many people in the US, Europe is "over there". As long as there are no attacks on US soil, they think the strategy is working.

I'm amazed whenever I think about how the Bush Admin managed to turn their massive failure to protect the US in 2001 into a long-term political advantage.

It's fairly clear that the ELDORADO CANYON raid on Libya started a chain of changes in Khadaffi's behavior.  hcberkowitz

Sure did; got him to raise the stakes.

Operation Eldorado Canyon (4/15/1986); Pam Am Flight 103 Lockerbie (12/21/1988) 

Bush today: "this nation is at war with Islamic fascists."

Doesn't that sum up the War on Terror?

We're applying conventional and overwhelming military force to combat a tactic, terrorism. But conflate that tactic with an ideology of sorts--militant Islamic fundamentalism--and you're fighting fascists. I'm beginning to think that the 'f' word has joined the company of 'paradigm' 'proactive' or other words you might find in those business success books you find at the airport that are used by people of limited intellect to discribe something they don't understand. The 'f' word is thrown around so carelessly and ubiquitously by the Right and Left to describe things that have nothing to do with fascism yet somehow invoke a reaction, despite that most people alive today were not when there actually were fascist regimes in existence (myself included).

One can study fascism, however, as I have, and identify some key characteristics of it. You could even say that Islamic terrorists like bin Laden exhibit fascist tendencies. But I highly doubt that Bush's foreign policy team have thought long and hard about the application of this label to terrorists. To them it's still WWII and we're fighting a clearly defined enemy. Except this enemy doesn't wear a uniform and fights without honor and therefore we ought to deny him prisoner-of-war status. We're literally fighting against persona non grata. Seems rather abstract for the sort of unambigous action-oriented approach taken by President Bush.

As Daalder points out, this current plot was foiled by good police work, not force. That was obvious to me before and after 9/11, concerning the right approach to combating terrorism. But subtlety is all but dead in these paranoid, event-driven days where strength through unity has replaced principled contemplation. And that's precisely why were fighting a war on terror in theory and participating in a civil war of our own creation in Iraq, in practice.

I think the odds that the British "plot" that was foiled was actually what they are saying it was are about 1 in 10.  Much more likely this is like the Miami terrorist ring that had no money, no plans, no weapons, etc.   But, this does offer Tony Blair a big political boost, and will soon offer the same to Bush.  Anyone who believes a word spoken by our or the British government about "terrorism" is incredibly naive.

Some time back it was suggested that all airline passengers should be required to fly nude, for security reasons.   We get closer and closer and closer to that. 

Hoppy in Sacramento

Come on Ivo. You can do better than this piece of nonsense.

Saying that the Bush administration "shuns" traditional forms of intelligence is absolutely ridiculous and completely without merit.

Our internal intelligence operations are stronger today than they were five years ago. The left continually criticizes the Bush administration for not doing enough, but there have been exactly no Islamic oriented terrorist attacks on the continental United States since 9/11.

I am not in any way implying that we are immune from such an attack, but I am arguing that our respite in attacks is neither good luck nor coincidence. Our people are doing their jobs.

Only someone with a political agenda could use the effective prevention of a massive terrorist attack and call it "Not Good for the War on Terror."

Ivo, I might expect that kind of partisan, spun nonsense from the White House, but not from you.

Gettysburg -- It's not partisan. It's factual. The administration has made a complete mess of the intelligence reform process so that 5 years after 911 no one is sharing information of the most elemental nature. And the reason is simple: they don't take intelligence seriously. They only believe in the mighty sword.  You don't have to take my word for it; take Ron Suskind's or Karen DeYoung's of the Post.

Ivo Daalder

Perhaps we'd be even closer, if they hadn't gone out of business. OTOH, there are charters...

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

 In the 5 years before 9/11 we had exactly zero terrorist attacks on the continental US also. Before we pat ourselves on the back about what a great job we are doing now, it would be wiser to wait several more years.  An event that only rarely, if ever happens cannot be said to have been deterred just because a few years go by without a repeat.  The way to judge how well we are doing is to judge what we are doing.

Hoppy in Sacramento

Ivo,

Perhaps Bush and Cheney do not take intelligence seriously, but that is not terrible considering they do not do the work. I'm happy that the men and women of our intelligence communities DO take their work seriously and work very hard.

Yes, the men and women in the trences (the people Suskind calls "the invisibles") are doing yeoman's work -- and are working against the odds. But my point wasn't about them, but about the fact that the administration would use the discovery of the plot to beat their chests and claiming vindication for their war-on-terror strategy. The discovery of the plot represents no such thing.

Ivo Daalder

Ivo,

Perhaps, but if a plot were to succeed the responsibility would would fall squarely on their shoulders. A sitting president will naturally take credit when something horrible is averted. This is certainly not unique to the Bush administration.

Perhaps this scare will motivate the administration to increase its budgetary alottment to intelligence and defense.

To say that the Bush administration has shunned good intellegence is only accurate if you consider firing and demoting CIA analyst who deliver accurate yet unpopular data to be "shunning".

Or if you consider torturing people until they say whatever you are asking them to say to be poor intellegence practice.

However, if we think that spending 100's of millions of dollars to tap the phones of reporters to be effective intellegence, or 10's of millions of dollars to contract loyal republicans supporters to write reports (ala MZM/Mitchell Wade) then the Administration has done a great job.

To be excited that there have been "exactly zero" attacks in the US since 9/11/2001 begs the question of how many attacks there were before that. . . well, since the World Trade Center bombing occurred in the first month of 1992 there were exactly zero islamic origin terrorist attack in the US. Hrmmm.

The most important single reason that the U.S. is subject to terrorist attacks by Muslim jihadists is because of our support of Israel. That has produced immense hatred of the United States in the Muslim world. Just look at what is happening in Lebanon. The Muslim women and children are being killed by American bombs dropped from American planes. And the whole thing is being financed by American money and supported by the Bush administration and a U.S. Congress that justifies the action. In light of this the desire for revenge on the U.S. by the jihadists is in no way surprising.

Of course, while this is the most important single reason, it is not the only reason. Our unprovoked war of agression on Iraq is another major reason. And the thing that ticked off Osama was that there were Infidel (American) troops stationed in Saudi Arabia, which is the guardian of the Muslim shrines. Leaving U.S. troops stationed in Saudi Arabia after desert storm was over was a major blunder.

I hate to be a total cynic, but I think I might have President Eisenhower on my side in this one.

The lack of subtley is only one reason that we needed a full fledged hot-war. The money being made hand over foot by what Eisenhower subtley termed the military industrial complex has made for a lot of happy stock holders, board members and CEOs.

Shameful Republican mismanagement.

It's only shameful if you are't making money off it. Just think, if you'd had the fore-sight to start a private security firm, invest in oil or weapons, or invest in the appropriate congressional representation you would be rolling in money.
(sarcasm. sorry)

Please, let us never forget that the Bushpigs used the threat of terrorism as a pretense for invading Iraq. Never forget this fact.


And don't forget the mushroom cloud.
But it doesn't stop there. The Bush administration had to fire, demote and discipline people through the intellegence establishment in order get that mushroom cloud story out.
This was no accident of bad intellegence.

Bush's good friends, the Saud family of Saudi Arabia support many, many schools in Islamic countries where people are taught to hate our country, as well as western countries in general.  That can't be helping our image in those countries.  But, to say that any one thing or even a few things explain why Middle Eastern terrorists are willing to die to kill some of us is just not likely to be accurate.  What we can certainly say is that if we truly approached the Middle East in a neutral way, it would have to be beneficial to our country.  And, if we were to treat people who have different religious beliefs with as much kindness as we treat those who believe as we do, that too would have to be beneficial to our country.  Finally, if we were to stop propping up unpopular governments in the Middle East, such as the Saud family, that would be highly likely to benefit our country.  So, I think it is safe to say the Bush administration is striking out.

And, before someone mentions oil:  cheap oil, providing massive profits for US oil companies is not necessarily beneficial to our country, and most likely is detrimental to our future. 

Hoppy in Sacramento

Perhaps, but if a plot were to succeed the responsibility would would fall squarely on their shoulders. A sitting president will naturally take credit when something horrible is averted...

You mean like all the goodwill and mileage that Bush got after 911?  You mean the attack that had been predicted in the PDB that he was told about and then went out to play golf?  This huge disaster ON HIS WATCH -- predicted and possibly preventable -- and all he got was unparalleled power, (and he probably gets a kick-back from the car magnet people as well).  Is THAT what you mean about responsibility falling squarely on his shoulders?  This incompetent, cynical bunch tells their lackeys that THEY are tough on terror and that Democrats are weak.  Well, they convinced enough ignorant people of that, and never took responsibility for any of the things they have done wrong.

If we were not bogged down in this obscene war, we would have billions to spend on security, education, public health, and infrastructure.  We also would not be the number one target of an ever-growing radical enemy.

Oh, and as to those intelligence officers the Cheney administration values so much...Ever hear of Valerie Plame?  I hear she was working on WMD's in Iran.  She isn't any more.

Jan Knaus

As I said, our support for Israel is not the only reason that we are subject to terrorist threats. Yes, Wahabbiism and schools that teach this toxic, evil version of Islam are another reason. But actions do speak louder than words, and bombs dropping on women and children have a more powerful effect on people's minds than the teaching of any mullah.

Incidentally, I do not advocate an anti-Israeli policy. Rather, I advocate a genuinely even handed policy in dealing with the disputes between Israel and the Arab world.

Why haven't Bush and Chertoff already taken "the steps"?

Excellent question. I heard Chertoff tonight say they worked around the clock last night to get the new procedures in place. What I want to know is why the procedures weren't sitting on a shelf and ready to go? Their initation should have been little more than the flipping of a switch: "put security procedures D, E and F into practice at midnight tonight".

Or was this another "no one could have imagined" scenario? Forget it. I don't want to know.


In addition, even greater security measures have been implemented for

All flights between the United States and the United Kingdom:

...

· contact lens holders, without bottles of solution

Do they really open contact lens kits and verify there's no solution inside? I thought there were lenses that need to stay immersed in fluid or they will dry up.

Here is the state of aviation security in this country today:

Thursday, August 10th, 2006

That's the state of passenger security today. You forgot to add

. virtually none of the cargo shipped aboard commercial flights has any inspection at all

Feeling safe?

I highly doubt that Bush's foreign policy team have thought long and hard about the application of this label to terrorists

I'm hopeful that it is the result of somebody in the Bush administration thinking long and hard about how to move perceptions from a "war on terrorism" and "disarming Sadaam" towards a "war on tyranny" that can actually be won.

The term fascism is used very generically and loosely by the left to describe all sorts of opponents of democracy. It is rather less popular on the right, for obvious reasons.

The term "islamo-fascism" has been consciously promoted by Christopher Hitchens and others in the (tiny) pro-war left to resonate with traditional left positions and remind people that the pseudo-left's support for "stability" and hostility to liberating Iraq and insistence on just "fighting terrorists" is directly contrary to those traditions.

In the initial phases of the war on tyranny it was critical to paralyse and confuse the right wing isolationists and the dominant "stability" consensus of the US foreign policy establishment who could have blocked the democratic transformation of the Middle East if they had not been conned into it by pretending the invasion of Iraq was just about WMDs rather than about "region change".

The fact that this paralysed any significant left support for the war didn't matter much.

Hopefully, in giving the pro-war lefts position more space in the public discourse, the Bushies are moving on.

I've noticed some other signs of this, such as publicity for the "Euston Manifesto" in mainstream media.

Too early to tell, but its unwise to assume that introduction of new terminology is done casually, without long and hard thought by somebody.

Remember how consciously and carefully the gradual transition from "disarming Sadaam" to "spreading democracy" was made, while still retaining the overall cognitavely dissonant concept of a "Global War on Terror" that has far more appeal to the right than to the left.

One could almost forget that the entire pre-war mobilization was framed in terms of "disarming Sadaam", so complete has the transition been. It was certainly conscious, even to the extent of deliberately playing down the belated discovery of some chemical munitions to avoid going off message, when those would have been trumpeted as "proof" if they had been found earlier when the message was about WMDs.

Hopefully, the shift towards describing the enemy as "islamic fascists" rather than "islamic fundamentalists" and "islamic terrorists" reflects a conscious re-framing towards a war that can achieve greater support from the left.

According to a Time magazine senior correspondent stationed in Iraq for the last three years, the anger directed at the US, particularly among young Muslim men, is primarily caused by our support of repressive governments in many ME countries. He also said that among that group religion was a minor issue and Bush's referring to them as Islamo-fascists is not only, in their eyes, inappropriate and even strange, it is insulting as they see themselves as freedom-fighters - hardly fascists.

One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.

For those young men willing to become suicide bombers religion is likely to be a major issue. Secular types are not likely to be willing to be suicide bombers.

Too early to tell, but its unwise to assume that introduction of new terminology is done casually, without long and hard thought by somebody.

You're absolutely right, and the Bush administration has been masterful at manipulating imagery, words and ideas.

My point--not very clear in what I wrote--is that the calculation for political purposes to use certain labels demonstrates a crass intellectual dishonesty. I know Bush isn't an intellectual, and many of his staff are likely the same, but they're not all morons. After the first Gulf War then-defense secretary Cheney advised against taking Baghdad and occupying it because he feared the exact situation we are in now in Gulf War II. How did Cheney-the-realist become Cheney-the-neocon? There had to be intellectual dishonesty involved, dissonance, as you rightly pointed out, created by 9/11. But even if 9/11 "changed everything" it didn't change the fact that invasions and occupations of countries with heterogenous and historically antagonistic populations previously held together only by the strong-arm tactics of tyranny will likely descend into bloody civil war without an adequately large pacifying military presence. Cheney knew that in 1991. How come he didn't know it in 2003?

Its the willingness of these people to disregard common sense, reason and expert opinion that leads me to say they make casual connections like terrorists to fascists. Any rhetorical changes that are deliberate are damage control, not necessarily premeditation. Reason was auctioned off to the highest bidder and the winner was the American people.

Yes Cheny changed because of 9/11.

If you are advocating that more troops should be sent to Iraq to assist the freely elected Iraqi government against those attempting to foment civil war, I agree.

It doesn't matter whether you choose to call the enemy fascists or not.

If on the other hand you are merely denouncing Cheney for having changed because of 9/11 and advocating that the US should pull out and not care whether Iraq slides into civil war then no amount of attempting to blame Cheney for not having sent more troops earlier will change the fact that you are selling out a people who want freedom to rule by murderous fascists.

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