John Dickerson's Take on Saudi Ambassador's Warning to Israel and the U.S.
Slate's John Dickerson has published an article, "Turki Dinner: A Revealing Evening with the Saudi Ambassador" that explores both the substance and nuances of Saudi Ambassador to the US Prince Turki Al-Faisal's comments at a dinner I helped organize on Monday evening.
In his piece, Dickerson writes:
The Bush administration has been faulted for not acting quickly enough after the recent violence started, but Prince Turki criticized Bush for not acting to solve the tension long before the recent flare up began.Two months ago, Prince Saud al-Faisal, the Saudi foreign minister, brought a letter to Bush from King Abdullah advocating the steps necessary for implementing Middle East peace. "The president expressed excitement and willingness," said the ambassador, "but, alas, there was no follow through." The inactivity contributed to the current crisis: "The decisions made yesterday bear their bitter fruit today."
The president and his advisers have said that the current violence is helping clarify the choices for all Middle Eastern leaders. When Saudi officials first spoke out against Hezbollah's actions, the Bush team pointed to their remarks as proof that the new Middle East they have promised was coming to life. No longer would the Saudis and other Arab states react with knee-jerk anti-Israeli sentiment; instead, they were speaking out against the extremists.
Monday night, Turki continued to criticize Hezbollah, dismissing their "reckless adventure under the guise of resistance," but the criticism was not the sign of a new worldview. It was almost a rhetorical device, an obligatory sentence that prepared the way for his larger, full-throated condemnation of Israel and, by proxy, its American ally.
He placed the blame for the recent violence not on the extremists but on Israel, which he claimed was engaged in a "war on Lebanon" and a "siege of Palestine." The Israeli "occupation of Palestine and Shebaa is the causus belli of all that is happening today in Lebanon and Palestine," he began. He then went on to belittle Israel's military: "Hezbollah and Hamas have captured three soldiers of the vaunted Israeli army, whose incompetence was clearly displayed by these captures. The same vaunted Israeli army has struck back with surgical accuracy in killing innocent civilians and U.N. observers in Lebanon and Palestine, further demonstrating their ineptness and brutality."
Turki urged a return to the peace plan proposed by Abdullah in 2002 as offering Israel the most comprehensive solution, including an end of hostilities and normalized relations in return for total Israeli withdrawal from Arab occupied territories, including Jerusalem. "The United States must play the role of pacifier and lead the world to peace and not be led by Israel's ambitions," he said, characterizing the Bush administration not just as inactive, but as such a supine thing that it can be led around by Israel.
And remember, Saudi Arabia is our ally.
John Dickerson's characterization of the Saudi Ambassador's comments rings true to the evening -- and the fact is that while Prince Turki did solidly condemn Hezbollah, and while I think his condemnation was more genuine than Dickerson gives credit for, the Ambassador essentially mocked Israel's military and was a bit over the top in his clear disdain for Israel's government -- even giving room for fair criticism of Israel's recent actions.
I found much of what Ambassador Turki said that night useful in the sense that one could see how a regional deal that included the Saudis as partner with Israel and the US -- as well as buffer from less constructive parts of the Middle East -- might be accomplished.
But I part company from the Ambassador on the mockery of the Israeli army and for not at least acknowledging that while Israel's response to the provocations by Hezbollah and militant Hamas members has been dramatically overdone, the fact is that Hezbollah was developing a significant military capacity that was threatening to Israel.
There is something quite worrisome about the fact that Israel has not succeeded in quickly shutting down Hezbollah in a manner somewhat like the Israelis accomplished against three national armies in the Six Days War.
Israel, the Saudis, everyone in the region has been surprised by the quality of Hezbollah's command and control structure and the sophistication of its weapons. An intelligence source of mine reports that Hezbollah hit an Israeli warship with a sophisticated Iranian-made missile -- that strangely was modified to try and appear as if its markings and serial numbers were American made. (This has not been reported in the press, and I hope to have more on this story tomorrow.)
But Israel has a similar problem to the United States facing it now -- no matter what the content of an eventual cease fire arrangement looks like.
The mystique of Israel's superpower status in the region has been somewhat deflated.
The combination of a dramatic, massive response to Hezbollah and Hamas that has in both cases largely failed to either secure the soldiers who were abducted or to quickly incapacitate its enemies have emboldened some foes of Israel who now perceive Israel to be weak. America's perceived weakness is a function of our floundering in Iraq -- and now Israel is facing hard realities of its own that there are limits to the kind of power it has been deploying.
This is a real problem -- because Israeli security is something that does need to be maintained.
Prince Turki acknowledged that Israel had seriously eroded Hezbollah's military capacity -- despite the fact that Hezbollah was enjoying significant political success throughout the Middle East because of the perception of surviving Israel's onslaught. But Israel needs to find a balance between the substantive goal of declawing Hezbollah while at the same time behaving in such a manner that it does not undermine its political position or perception of its power in the region.
Israeli power and the perception of American guarantees of Israel are what compel the Saudis to keep trying to broker some sort of long term deal between the parties in conflict. If Israeli power lessens, and if the US is made to look impotent in the region (which occurred when the promised 48 hour cease fire by Israel was violated as soon as Condi Rice's plane left Israel), that kind of long term peace won't be pursued by the Saudis or any other Arab states.
I am thinking of inviting Israeli Ambassador to the US Daniel Ayalon to speak in my program as I think it's very important to connect with Israel's envoys about what is possible beyond the current conflict.
Stay tuned.
Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog The Washington Note and is Director of the American Strategy Program at the New America Foundation.















The Saudi Ambassador's comments are accurate in many ways but we are not being led around by Israel we are allowing/encouraging Israel to fight a proxy war for us which fits into our regional goals and which dovetails perfectly with Israel's goals vis-a-vis our common enemies.
So the Ambassador is calling us on our proxy war. The US and Israel will only accept regional peace on our terms. So any peace initiative by King Abdullah, who is a moderate and VERY intelligent man (Harvard grad if I am not mistaken), won't go anywhere as long as Bush is in office. Peace? Yes, but only on our's and Israel's terms...because anything else is giving in to "terrorists". Incredibly shortsighted and ill advised because our regional Arab friends are trying to tell us they want to seriously address and help solve the problems in the ME...
August 2, 2006 6:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Libertine
There is no doubt that in reading the Israeli press that there is a sense in Israel that the IDF has let Bush down. It seems if anything there is some distress that the Israel is too dependent on the views of Bush and Rice.
In terms of peace I am not sure why you equate Bush's terms and the Israels. Bush seems to want to see the overthrow of various regimes. Israel would like to live in peace behind secure borders.
When are the Saudis and the other moderate Arabs going to use their clout within the Arab world to deliever the Palestinians to sch a deal?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 7:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
When did the Saudis ever care about the Palestinians, except to use them as a pawn? Palestinian refuges and workers who've lived in Saudi Arabia have been treated very badly.
The Saudis claims of wanting to help or broker something is not likely to benefit the Palestinians, rather it's something that will most likely only profit Saudi Arabia.
August 2, 2006 7:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Israel wants to live in peace, it has a strange way of going to that goal.
Abdullah's plan was rejected out of hand, without a counter-offer --- an alleged proof in a total lack of interest in the peace process.
Instead, Israel has chosen a secutity doctrine that does not seem to be acceptable to anyone living in the close proximity. To wit, neighbors are not allowed to have any weapons -- lest they pose a threat, they can be kidnapped at any time, and they should live in a state of complete blocade, lest they have chances of getting any weapons.
And most of them should live in small plots of land, separated from each other by roads they are not allowed to enter.
As far as more substantial neighbors are concerned, Israeli proxies are busy promoting the idea that we should attack them (Syria, Iran, or, as someone proposed, Syran). Israeli concept of safety is predicated upon a total lack of safety for her neighbor -- not a stable concept, and not a good basis for negotiations. Hence the concept of "unilateralism".
August 2, 2006 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, well, well...it seems that Israel's war with Lebanon under the auspices of fighting the 'terrorist Hezbollah" has resulted in the same egg on the face as America's war with Iraq under the auspices of fighting the 'terroist Al-Q/WMD".
What irony. Two previously highly regarded countries who supposedly had far greater military might have been brought to their knees and humiliated by 'insurgents' and 'homegrown fighters/martyrs".
Neither country now has authority with anyone in the ME and no one in the ME is any longer intimidated by their fighting 'might'
Both countries actions have only served to unite the ME against Israel and America. Both are seen as bullies and their actions have fomented more hate from future generations of Arabs.
What schmucks!
August 2, 2006 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Doesn't Prince Turki have some enormous skeletons in his closet?
Call me Michael Moore, call me a Zionist (for the first time ever!) but one of the frighteningly bizarre things about the last 5 years is the way the Saudis got away without paying any price at all.
August 2, 2006 7:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
So when did the Americans and Israelis start to care about the Palestinians? Do you really think Americans and Israeli attempts to broker something is not to their own advantage?
August 2, 2006 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the leffwing fantasy. Israel has no goal of eliminating Hezbollah but it is hurting it severely. It rain into the Baalbec region shows Hezbollah also can be reached anywhere. Israel is also now launching a much more massive ground offensive.
The idea that Israel has been humilated is amusing but mythical. I don't seen Syria rushing to assist their allies Hezbollah and you will notice that Lebanon cringes while Hezbollah uses it for a sacrificial lamb.
As for how Israel is seen in the ME, who cares. The Arab leaderships have spent 50 years blaming Israel for their failures. Now that the Shiaa pose an actual threat to the Sunni regimes in Saudi Arab, Jordan and Egypt they are caught in a trap of their own devising. Speak the truth and risk being overthrown by their own people, stay silent and allow Israel to do what is necessary without any input from the Arab governments.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Daniel, I'd agree with you that Israel has proven its military can bomb any hospital anywhere in the middle east, at will.
And all those little toddlers in diapers better watch out too. Israel has demonstrated that their soiled underpants are no match for precision guided missiles.
I think we can safely say that Israel will not accept second place when it comes to war crimes. It's first among equals.
You must be so proud.
August 2, 2006 7:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
You concern for the Lebanese is so touching and so phoney. The "hospital" was an Iranian training base. It wasn't bombed it was stormed by commandos. Besides the minor details you got wrong in yoru anti-Israel diatribe you also have your morality backwardd. You want to protect the Lebanese? Have Hezbollah stop firing at Israel and disarm.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
This war has been going on for longer than the 67 and 73 wars and today 190 rockets landed in Israel!
Folks, this is a crippling blow for the IDF, which is showing that it can't protect its own people.
Since Hezbollah would never think of invading Israel, it can be argued that Hezbollah is doing exactly what it wants; and therefore that Tsahal is utterly useless at the moment.
August 2, 2006 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
great way to adress Turki's argument, I guess it is called ad hominem
August 2, 2006 8:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
"As for how Israel is seen in the ME, who cares."
Daniel - I CARE! Do you really think that if the last 50 years were replicated for the next 50 years that in the year 2056 Israel will still exist as a Jewish homeland? I think not. As we have seen from Hezballah, the military technology of the Arabs will continue to improve. WMD technolgy will proliferate and if something is not done to reduce the hatred between Israel and it's neighbors I see nothing that will prevent another holocaust.
Neither you or I want that so something has to change. What we have done for the last 50 years is NOT going to continue to work.
August 2, 2006 8:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Those crazy leftwingers:
The Israeli army does not aim at killing the leader of the radical group Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah, but at liquidating the group itself, the head of the Israeli army's northern command General Udi Adam said in interview with national radio station Kol Israel.
“To kill Hassan Nasrallah is not one of the aims of the ongoing offensive in Lebanon,” the General said. “Nasrallah may continue making statements. What matters is the liquidation of Hezbollah,” he added.
August 2, 2006 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the leffwing fantasy. Israel has no goal of eliminating Hezbollah but it is hurting it severely...The idea that Israel has been humilated is amusing but mythical.
Is it really a fantasy to suggest that Hezbollah has grown more powerful through this conflict? That all they had to do was *not* be eliminated to "prove" that they won?
And I don't see evidence of how Hezbollah is even hurt -- today they fired a record 160 rockets, deeper than ever before into Israel.
The suggestion that a terrorist organization like Hezbollah being "hurt severely" through military force sounds to me a lot like Cheney's talk about the Iraqi insurgency in its last throes.
Next, even if the idea that Israel has been humiliated is mythical, if that's the perception, isn't that all that matters?
It seems to me that, through our own little fiascos in the Middle East the last few years, perceptions certainly matter (Abu G, for example), perhaps more than anything else.
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August 2, 2006 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Piotr,
That's not accurate....
CNN:
The Guardian:
Washington Post:
August 2, 2006 9:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Valdron,
And their blood makes for tasty matzos at Passover, right Valdron?
August 2, 2006 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
But Israel's and the US's goals, independant of one another, more times then not are the same Daniel. I accept in good faith and believe the argument that Israel only wants to live in peace with it's neighbors. Groups like Hezbollah and Hamas are obstacles to that goal. Those obstacles need to be removed or rendered moot before there can be peace in the region. Judging by the Saudi, Jordanian and Egyptian reaction condemning Hezbollah's acts the moderate Arab countries realize that Hezbollah's actions are an obstacle too. But you are right Jordan and Saudi Arabia have not taken a very active role in pushing for a peace initiative up to now. But Israel's actions will make it more difficult for them to assume that role because of the increasing hostility towards Israel within their populations. I will not condemn Israel for defending itself per se. But Israel's devastating attacks on Lebanon right now are are having a very chilling effect on the prospects for peace with their neighbors...and the Bush administration is cheering on/encouraging Israel as all this occurs.
August 2, 2006 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
More fantasy, from the left wing NYT:
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August 2, 2006 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hezbollah may have gotten stronger in the course of the six years since Israel left Lebanon. They haven't gotten stronger since the conflict started. They are firing a lot of missiles but they are not hitting too much.
If "a terrorist organization" can't be hurt then not only will lots of Israelis die but so will lots of Arabs, Europeans and Americans. The American left's proclivity to surrender when things get hard is disconcerting. Fortunately most peoplee don't list.
Israelis are upset at the IDF for not bring more force to bear. It looks like that force is not being applied to Southern Lebanon. The Irony is the people who are so sure that Hezbollah can't be stopped are the same people who whine that Israel is fighting this as a war and not a game of patti-cake.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Amir Peretz the Isaeli defense minister stated clearly they will not wipe out Hezbollah to the last man. Tehy would like to kill Nasrallah. They also going to push Hezbollah back so they can't hit Israel until the International force comes between Israel and Hezbollah. I wonder if that will do in Lebanon for good.
What you don't seem to accept that the U.S. keeps changing what it wants from Israel. The two things that seems to upset the Israelis most is that they have let Bush down and that the IDF did not apply enough force early enough.
Do you think Israel failed to apply enough force?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, or at least it is most important that Israel's neighbors fear Israel.
I think if Israel follows your prescription they will be dead before you know it. The idea that you show weakness and the other side will respond in kind is deadly.
If the Arab world every wants to break the news to their peoples that Israel will not be exterminated and a deal should be worked out then I think Israel should leap at the opportunity.
Olmert has even gone so far as to say that this war in Lebanon encourages him to proceed with his plan to withdraw from the West Bank. The setter groups are going wild. What more to you expect an Israeli government to do?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
August 2, 2006 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
wow. well upwards of 800 lebanese civilians have been killed by israeli bombs and missiles in the last week, and much of their infrastructure reduced to rubble, in a campaign that has been planned by israel for over a year. in view of your prescription for how to prevent further such killings and damages, your argument seems to be that this "response" is not only right and just, but inevitable.
if anti-semitic didn't mean "whatever daniel a greenbaum wants it to mean" i would be inclined to call the argument that israel will necessarily wipe out hundreds of civilians any time it's attacked to be a bit of slur on the country.
August 2, 2006 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
In so far as Hizbullah benefits from unified Arab state criticism of Israel (and the U.S.) and to the extent that it benefits from the unified Muslim response (Sunni support of Shi'a), it is hard to say Hizbullah has not gotten stronger, politically at least, as a result of this conflict.
August 2, 2006 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Whether he did or not is entirely irrelevant to the accuracy of your claim that the belief that Israel's aim was to wipe out Hezbollah was a "leftwing fantasy".
If an Israeli general says that's the aim then to take that statement at face value one does not need to be either leftwing or a fantasist.
You should consider that when a person makes a mistake politely and can admit it, their opinions and judgements are likely to be taken seriously in the future.
But when someone makes repeatedly erroneous, outrageous statements in an aggressive tone, and seems incapable of admitting error, then they increasingly marginalize themselves and can have no complaints should they lapse into being a figure of ridicule.
August 2, 2006 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I look at this mess and I look at the extent to which the US is contributing to it and can only come to one conclusion: Bush really does want "permanent war." He and Condi are standing by, wringing their hands in public, and plying IDF with weaponry on an expedited basis when the red light goes off.
The conflict is turning out very, very badly for Israel. Damned if I can figure out why and how they got themselves into this position, a situation in which they're suffering enormous losses in respect in the international community while Hezbollah (which I'd swear is not the real target) enjoys surges in popularity, even among those who once royally disliked it.
If this is indeed a "proxy" war, then it sure looks like permanent war is the purpose. What's going on behind the scrim while we argue about how many babies, who's guiltiest, who's an anti-Semite?
Just a shot in the dark, but if I were organizing a program, I'd look for a speaker who's a defector from the Project for a New American Century -- if only to remind all of us where much of the madness originates and what may still be driving the US into endless war, whether through total engagement or "by proxy."
August 2, 2006 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Read the ambassador's speech as you posted it over on Huffington, and was struck by two things: (1) The guy is well-educated and speaks fluently in a sophisticated, reasonable way. (2) He destroys the whole illusion by insisting that all Israel has to do for peace is give up Jerusalem!
Now, leaving aside that Saudi Arabia is a dictatorship, and that calling a dictator a "king" in no way excuses the lack of democracy, his suggesting that it is in any way reasonable to expect Israel to surrender Jerusalem shows that everything else he says about wanting peace is insincere. It is tantamount to saying that the only peace the Saudi dictator will accept with Israel is total Arab victory - although being magnanimous the Israelis may be allowed a bantustan on less desirable parts of the territory they currently hold.
Yes, there's delicious irony in his stance. But only a desire for war, not for a just peace, can stand behind such an unrealistic demand.
August 2, 2006 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
so what you are saying is that accusing israel of something which it has admitted doing and apologized for is equivalent to the blood libel?
August 2, 2006 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like a typical Arab government, Turki places all the blame for the collapse of peace on Israel without once stopping to consider how Saudi Arabia's own government had done exactly nothing to foster peace themselves.
The Saudis thought their bogus "peace plan" - announced not through an actual overture to Israel but rather in a leak to Tom Friedman - would actually be taken seriously and get the world to focus their wrath back on Israel, then in a desperate fight to stop a wave of Palestinian suicide bombs. Give credit where credit is due - Israel and the Bush Administration saw through that nonsense and ignores the Saudi "plan".
Any Saudi pronouncement on "peace" with Israel needs to be treated with the contempt it deserves. Until Saudi Arabia does something real and concrete to promote peace, not just propaganda stunts, they can safely be ignored.
August 2, 2006 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let me get this straight. Hezbollah are "not hitting much", but pose mortal danger to Israel and need to be wiped out? Is Hezbollah an existential danger or an ineffective band of outlaws? You can't have it both ways.
August 2, 2006 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
codegen86,
Or, Is Hizbollah a legitimate poltical party in an emerging Lebanese democracy or a private army with its own foreign policy agenda? Apparently Hizbollah can have it both ways.
August 2, 2006 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Apparently Hizbollah can have it both ways.
You are comparing Mr Greenbaum's conflicting statements to those of Hizbollah?
Perhaps we might be allowed to expect higher standards of intellectual rigor from each other than that.
August 2, 2006 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
If "a terrorist organization" can't be hurt then not only will lots of Israelis die but so will lots of Arabs, Europeans and Americans. The American left's proclivity to surrender when things get hard is disconcerting.
Who's surrendering?
To suggest that the tactics we (and Israel) are using to fight terrorists are not working is equal to surrendering?
Straight from Ken Mehlman and the RNC to your mouth?
It seems to me you're oblivious to what's not working with the "war on terror," just as you're oblivious to the importance of preceptions, especially in the Middle East.
I suggest at this point in the game, seeing Iraq and now Lebanon, we start looking for different approach to how to win.
Blowing the shit out of other countries so far isn't working.
No one's suggesting terrorists cannot be stopped, or at least minimized. No one except your straw man, of course.
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August 2, 2006 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
The American left's proclivity to surrender when things get hard is disconcerting.
Not nearly as disconcerting as the American right's proclivity to drop bombs in lieu of a foreign policy...
August 2, 2006 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Olmert has even gone so far as to say that this war in Lebanon encourages him to proceed with his plan to withdraw from the West Bank. The setter groups are going wild. What more to you expect an Israeli government to do?"
Daniel - this point of yours captures the essence of the problem. The settlers represent a state within a state - same as Hezballah(not necessarily moral equivelents but political ones). You advocate that Lebanon disarm Hezballah regardless of the internal consequences. So why should the settlers be any different?
Olmert's withdrawal is worthless and you know it. It's patently unfair and unjust and will not solve one damn thing. These stupid half measures and bargaining to keep one more dunam of land is plain stupid. Either go for peace (a COMPLETE settlement) or stick with war. Israel's choice.
August 2, 2006 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 2, 2006 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I'll bite.
Sure, we can argue over whether Israeli or American tactics are effective. No, saying that military tactics aren't working is not the same thing as surrender.
Fine.
But it's remarkable how few ideas come out of the left when it comes to fighting terrorism. Leftists seem to know what they are against - military action - but not about what they are for, at least when it comes to combatting terrorism. More commonly, they:
August 2, 2006 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps the Saudi's could sell jet fuel and laser guided munitions to Israel while it's bombing Lebanon?
Or perhaps the Saudi's could join the coalition of the willing and send thousands of troops to take the strain off America's occupation of Iraq? I hear that there's lots of vacancies on the C_alit_n _f t_e W___in_.
In the meantime, who exactly is Saudi Arabia invading? Whose land are they dispossessing? Hmmmm.
Okay, all kidding aside. Perhaps Americans in could set their pompous condescension aside and look clearly at what the Saudi's bring to the table.
They are the natural born diplomats and politicians of the Arab world. The Sauds, for one of the first times in modern history, managed to unite a bunch of warring bedouin tribes in an area so chaotic and messed up that no one... not even the Ottoman Turks had ever claimed it. Look at pre-WWI maps, arabia was the last blank spot on Earth. Not only did the Sauds form a coalition, they preserved their independence from Britain. No small accomplishment, compared to the rest of the middle east.
They held that coalition together for over eighty years, outlasting the Soviet Union by whole decades.
They founded OPEC, wielding a pack of oil countries from three continents and as fractious as cats into a coherent organization and made it effective.
They hold two of the holiest cities in the Muslim World and have managed to be fair handed and honest brokers in their administration.
I think that I'd take a Saudi peace plan a lot more seriously than anything that the United States puts out.
August 2, 2006 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Sinn Fein morphed from a terrorist organization into an Irish political party, which still maintianed a terrorist/military wing with its own foreing policy in the IRA.
And Menachem Begin and the Stern Gang morphed into a legitimate Israeli political party, the Freedom Party, while still carrying out low level warfare and terrorist actions against its neighbors.
So yeah, gee whiz, I guess going on historical precedent, Hezbollaha really can have it both ways.
This doesn't deal with the issue of whether Hezbollah's missiles are/are not a genuine existential threat to Israel. That's an either or proposition in which only one can exist.
August 2, 2006 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Israeli press is supposedly concerned about letting Bush down?
Are the "Israeli press" as blind to reality as the dangerous fools in DC who are muttering the following nonsense?:
"In private talks our friends in Washington are angry at us, they are disappointed – particularly in light of the military achievements so far – but they are fighting to the end for us. "Your incompetence will kill us", this sentence is frequently being heard by Israelis in touch with officials at the White House."
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3285050,00.html
Perhaps it's time for Israeli decision makers to take a real measure of just who their "friends" are. Clearly, the buffoons in the WH complaining about Israeli incompetence have a credibility problem when it comes to judging such things, not to mention accepting uncomfortable realities.
Then again, perhaps the friends are admitting they fear that Israel's actions will indeed, kill (more of) "us", especially those of "us" on the frontlines in places like Iraq, for instance.
Nah.
August 2, 2006 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
ROTFL, what are you going to do next, Zionista, ask me when I'm going to stop beating my wife?
Still, I give you points for wit and subtlty, and that's important in this sad old world.
For the record, the blood of non-jewish children is not and has never been used to make matzos for passover, or any other jewish delicacy. This is a vile slur against Jews of uncertain origin but dating back to the middle ages. This particular libel has probably gotten more than a few Jews killed over the centuries. It is popularly disregarded by even the most virulent anti-semites, but remains far too offensive to even be joked about. The modern equivalent of this anti-Jewish libel are the periodic moral panics about "Satannic Ritual Child Abuse" some of which displays an underlying or very covert anti-semitic text.
But the point is, that it's false. It's an ugly falsehood. But it's a falsehood.
On the other hand, Israel has really shot up hospitals and ambulances in this Lebanese campaign. And the attack in Baalbeck was an attack on a hospital. So... go Israel, teach those nurses and X-ray technicians a lesson.
And at Quana thirty six children, including toddlers in soiled underpants were killed by a 'precision' Israeli attack.
These are truths. They are ugly truths. But they're still truths.
August 2, 2006 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
"wiseass" So you feel that you have a right to deliver personal insults to people, Zionista.
It's one thing to crap on or misrepresent a person's views. But it's another thing to shit directly into a person's face. 'Wiseass' is a half step short of calling someone an 'Asshole'. No one has called you an 'Asshole' Zionista, and neither I nor Tom Washere have resorted to personal attacks.
I have to reply to this, because it is clear that you have either misunderstood or misrepresented my original post on this.
If you read, it is very clear that I am not making any reference to Israeli's taking pleasure in the slaughter of children. Nor do I deal with what the Israeli's do or do not desire. Ohmert has apologized for the slaughter of children.
However, on this front, there is a genuine moral question. If you bomb a country, you do risk killing women and children. So the act of bombing a country carries with it the tacit willingness to murder women and children, as a consequence or side effect, if not an actual target. In practical terms, women and children who are killed are just as dead.
In this particular campaign, the evidence is that Israel has hit far more civilian targets than military ones, has killed at least ten times as many civilians and noncombatants as Hezbollah. So there are very legitimate grounds for questioning Israel's actions here.
I note, for the record, that not only was I not making blood libels or suggesting that Israeli's were jerking off to children's corpses. Rather, I was responding sarcastically to a statement by Daniel's boasting about the raid on the Baalback hospital. If Daniel feels that crowing about a hospital attack is a celebration of Israel's military prowess, then I think I'm entitled to mock that. Please note, I was not directing an insult at Daniel's person, I was targeting his words.
Now, to return to the beginning. I'm not going to call you an asshole. But I would ask that you reconsider your posts and perhaps make an effort to treat people who disagree with you with courtesy and thoughtfulness.
And none of this 'he started it' or smart ass 'you first' nonsense. The reality is that the only conduct you can truly control is your own.
August 2, 2006 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nevertheless Daniel A. Greenbaum, every news report I have seen on the Baalbeck facility has described it as a "Hospital". As such, I must take the reports at face value.
Nowhere have I seen any report that claimed that the Baalbeck facility was in current use as an Iranian training base. I am therefore curious about your source for this allegation. Did you make it up yourself?
You are correct that the Baalback facility was attacked by Commandos. However, it was also struck by missiles, and in fact, Israeli missiles seem to have been targeted elsewhere as well, or perhaps gone astray, with the result that several civilians were killed. So I don't think your allegation of 'mistake' on my part holds water. The fact of the matter is that Israel has indeed bombed or directed missiles at ambulances as hospitals. The reports are well documented, photographs and videotape exists as proof.
I don't think I'll bother replying to the personal slurs implicit in your response.
August 2, 2006 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
valdron beat me to the punch, and put it much more eloquently than i could have. i reread his initial post that prompted your comparison with the blood libel, and the context of his remarks seems pretty clear to me. i'm not sure if comparing his remarks to the blood libel was a rhetorical device or if it's genuinely based on the belief that valdron is a really serious anti-semite. if it's a rhetorical device it seems a bit rich for you to call me a wiseass. if you genuinely think he's a really serious anti-semite then you're either not paying attention or you must know a great deal i don't.
August 2, 2006 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee BradtheDad, I would have to say that is a complete misrepresentation and manipulation of view's on the centre and the left.
It appears that you have deliberately distorted a set of views in order to make them more ridiculous and indefensible, and then you have attributed these points to a whole bunch of people you don't like, called 'the left' in order to knock them down and discredit them.
Thanks. That's the best example of the 'straw man' sophistry I've seen lately.
August 2, 2006 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, religion. The libel of blood as a component of matzoh. Matzoh is actually much more like the communion host, so when one considers the Miracle of Transsubstatiation, one gets a fascinating interfaith mixture of doctrine and demonization.
I'm going to go eat a cracker and ponder theology. No, I didn't mean a southern one.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
August 2, 2006 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sophistry, eh?
I challenge you to point me to an article or speech written by a center-left authority that put forward concrete ideas to combat terrorism that doesn't essentially say that the US needs to change its foreign policy or Israel needs to make more concessions.
Maybe one exists, but I can't recall reading it.
The whole approach of the left when it comes to terrorism is to try to "understand" it, rather than fight it. Sure, you don't find too many people objecting to basic law enforcement. We all want to catch the bad guys once they've done something bad. But talk about pre-emptive action, about stopping terrorism before it starts, and the left has no ideas other than to talk about "root causes".
In this way, it is almost identical to the approach to crime that characterized left-wing politics for decades, until Bill Clinton and Tony Blair exorcised that demon. Crime was something to be tolerated, "understood" and the "root causes" of poverty and racism were what mattered. And if there were 2,000 murders a year in New York City, well we could live with that.
August 2, 2006 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
But it's remarkable how few ideas come out of the left when it comes to fighting terrorism.
Maybe that’s because it’s a loaded question. Maybe that’s because fighting terrorism means not spawning terrorism through our actions. The right took over this government with a huge surplus of funds and then goodwill following 9/11 but has squandered both. In my lifetime, I’m sure I will never again see the amazing revelation of the whole world united in sympathy and solidarity with America right after 9/11, though I expect the decline and hatred of us that we’ve engendered since then will continue.
If you take the position that terrorism is not an ideology and all terrorists are not members of the same club with the same grievances and motivations, perhaps pre-emptive invasion and occupation of Muslim states, mass civilian killing and destruction of countries (the entire strategy of destabilizing the M.E.) is not the answer.
In fact, going after the terrorists who have attacked you through intelligence, international cooperation and policing instead of “collective punishment,” might be one idea. Not spending our resources and our children’s resources on some grand neo-con, neo-imperialist agenda or some Judeo-Christian Crusade against the Muslim world to create a new M.E. order might be one idea. Of course when you say fighting terrorism you really mean just fighting, right? [end rant]
August 2, 2006 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, BradtheDad, but I don't think I'll bother. I'm not your monkey.
I do note that here is another example of your sophistry. You've made very specific allegations as to what the 'left' claims.
Your challenge here merely alleges that while the left puts forward concrete ideas to combat terrorism, that these ideas require adjustments to 'foreign policy.'
Gee whiz guy. That's just about meaningless. Any concrete approach to foreign policy... and international terrorism is a foreign policy issue... requires adjustments to foreign policy.
Your reasoning is absolutely circular. And either foolish or dishonest, though I render no opinion there.
August 2, 2006 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel may not enjoy the slaughter of children, but it responds in Rhett Butler mode "Frankly, my dear, I don't give a damn".
And there is Israel's problem and America's problem in the Mideast. Nothing we say or do speaks louder than our callous disregard for their lives and particularly the lives of their children.
August 2, 2006 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fascinating. I've never thought of it that way. I'll have to go and ponder. There may well be an element of projection of an underlying conceptual discomfort.
Or it may simply be a lack of imagination in slurring, the way whites in the south projected their sexual abuse of black slaves as a sexual appetite of black men for white women.
I've always attributed it as an aspect of the near universal social taboo against cannibalism, which tends to cut across history and cultures. European empires, for instance, often brought the charge of cannibalism against the tribes they were seeking to control or displace... against American Indians, particularly those in the areas of South and Latin America, against African tribesmen and even against the Malay and other tribes in Asia. Cannibalism was also a charge levelled against the Kali cult in India.
Interestingly, other cultures employed the same slur. For instance, the American indians had a folkloric monster, the wendigo, who was simply a person who ate other persons... a cannibal. They also denounced far off enemies as 'eaters' of men, or cannibals.
The ancient greeks had no shortage of mythological cannibals, including the cyclopes as represented by polyphemus.
Chinese folklore and medieval politics also depicted foreigners as cannibals. Feudal japanese woodcuts feature acts of cannibalism by Oni or savages.
British folklore, of course gives us Sawney Bean, and American folklore dwells on the Donner party, while 19th century accounts have lurid references to shipwrecked sailors resorting to cannibalism. The clear text or subtext of all of these was that the eating of human flesh wore away or undermined the status of human beings. The cannibal was the vilest and most viscerally repulsive of 'others.'
The libel persists to this day as a kind of social measure of ultimate inhumanity. Idi Amin, despite his many sins being enough to condemn him forever, was accused of cannibalism. Manuel Noriega was rumoured to have been a pseudo-cannibal in having participated in occult human blood drinking rites.
Meanwhile, although they do not indulge themselves, it is seen as ultimate tyranny for a dictator to reduce his oppressed people to such a starving and degraded state that they resort to cannibalism. It's the ultimate human horror. Thus, Stalin is accused of causing cannibalism with the Ukrainian famine of the 20's, Kim II reduces his starving nation to cannibalism in the 90's, the ultimate savagery of the Congolese civil war is demonstrated by the acts of cannibalism of predatory soldiers and brutalized victims.
Cannibalism certainly exists as a real and documented phenomenon, although it represents only a tiny fraction of all the myth and allegations.
Indeed, the wonder of it is that there are so few instances of actual cannibalism. Quite often, people have chosen to starve to death rather than eat each other... as we saw in Ethiopian famines. Archeologists have found numerous barrow sites in greenland where Inuit families slowly starved to death when food supplies failed, rather than turning on or consuming each other.
In our sophisticated society, we can deal with it abstractly. However, even now, there's a chill that goes through us, a visceral queasiness when we read about satanic ceremonies or congolese atrocities. One can only imagine the profound sense of horror and unease that this blood libel gave to European gentiles, and the horrid and irresistably irrational violence and hatred it must have inspired.
August 2, 2006 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
"In private talks our friends in Washington are angry at us, they are disappointed – particularly in light of the military achievements so far – but they are fighting to the end for us. "Your incompetence will kill us", this sentence is frequently being heard by Israelis in touch with officials at the White House."
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3285050,00.html
Talk about the pot calling the kettle black. The White House must really live in a fantasy world if they can complain to the Israeli's about their lebanese military efforts after the USA's "stirling" effort in Iraq.
August 2, 2006 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
When we were confronting China over Korea or over Taiwan or over the madness of their cultural revolution --- did we fight China?
We can't fight 1.5 billion Muslims unless you want to mobilize our entire population and entire economy for total war.
You can't fight a civilization. So far all we've accomplished is muddling the distinction between trained terrorists and the entire civilian populations of countries like Iraq and Lebanon (and more to follow...)
Wishing doesn't make it so, Brad. Yes, we need to understand them because until we do we aren't going to figure out a better alternative and the sad fact may be that there isn't much at all we can do until they have their own cultural revolution and figure out for themselves how to integrate their civilization with the 21st century.
We had grown ups around in the 50's who did NOT fight China and did NOT fight the USSR. We still won. (Well, we HAD won. If we keep squandering our resources they may win in the end after all).
August 2, 2006 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes. Israel is being judged by their actions and not their stated 'intentions'....as well they should be.
August 2, 2006 4:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll throw your straw man right back.
What great ideas to fight terrorism have come from the right?
In fact, the biggest and best idea the right could come up with has proven to be a failure. And they couldn't even do it honestly -- they had to lie us into a war to test it out.
So, what's the right got:
If you can stop your bullshit demonizing the Left for even a second, you could realize that "terrorism" is a hard problem to solve, and no one has a magic bullet answer. The Left doesn't, but certainly neither does the Right.
The point of the post to which you responded was to say that we KNOW what we're doing right now is not working, and we need a new approach. What EXACTLY that approach is, I don't know. My guess is that it involves more international cooperation, more spies, more translators, and more accountants.
None of which are being addressed by the current administration, or any of the bright thinkers (ahem) I've seen on the right.
How about for a start, we have a group in the CIA actually hunting down al-Qaeda? That would be a start...
Have questions about the Cafe? Try here.
August 2, 2006 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
What's that all about? Your guys make the mess and then berate the rest of us for not explaining to you how to clean it up? All of a sudden we're "mommy" who's letting you down? So now we need to insult "mommy" for being smart?
As others have said eloquently, "leftists" wouldn't have gotten themselves into this. See? "Leftists" learn the lessons of history. Lordy I wish "rightists" would do the same.
August 2, 2006 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
removed by author
August 2, 2006 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I challenge you to point me to an article or speech written by a center-left authority that put forward concrete ideas to combat terrorism that doesn't essentially say that the US needs to change its foreign policy or Israel needs to make more concessions.
If the US's changing its foreign policy or Israel's making concessions would work, then maybe those suggestions shouldn't be dismissed out of hand as not being legitimate solutions to the terror problem. What you're really saying is that the solutions the left has proposed are unacceptable to you because you really want war.
August 3, 2006 3:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
What proof do you have that the Saudi plan was bogus? And even if it was a propoganda stunt (something I'm not convinced of, since you haven't offered an iota of evidence), why not use the "stunt" as leverage to force the Saudis to do "something more real and concrete"?
August 3, 2006 4:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
PW,
Brushing aside the neo-Freudian clutter, PW does have a valid point. The approach of Bush-Cheney & Co. has certainly mucked things up on a grand scale. It will take massive brain power and herculean will to clean up their mess, and it is the height of chutzpah to put it on "the left" for not delivering the goods.
That said, an honest and effective approach to history has hardly been any party's strength along the political spectrum. Those who insist that we can fight our way to security remain ignorant of its desperate consequences; while those who propose that concessions from the only non-Arab state in a region dominated by Arab supremacists ignore the lack of results from the concessions that have been made (that is, when the willful ignorance of any concessions at all hasn't dominated the narrative).
August 3, 2006 5:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Purple State,
The proof is in what it lacks. For the Saudi plan and the Beirut Initiative to be taken as genuine peace proposals, there must be a diplomatic track available between adversaries. Instead, it is all backwards, in what amounts to an ultimatum: "Do everything we tell you, then maybe we'll talk."
August 3, 2006 5:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, you mean like when Israel gave back the Sinai and Egypt made peace and signed a peace treaty? That sort of concession? Darn those wiley Egyptians!
What sort of concessions lead to the Jordanians traitorously entering into a peace treaty with Israel, and then sneakily abiding by it?
Or like when Israel gave back the Golan Heights and Syria refused to make peace? Oh wait!!! Israel refuses to give back the Golan heights, and that's why every peace initiative the Syrians make founders.
Hmmmm...
Would Israel withdrawing from the Gaza, but keeping control of its borders, remaining as an occupying power, and turning it into an Indian Reservation for 1.8 million people be considered a concession?
Would Israel building a wall through the middle of the Occupied Territories be considered a concession?
Would Israel deciding it was unilaterally going to annex the parts of the occupied territories it wanted and had illegally settled be a concession?
I dunno, it strikes me that there's a difference between concessions and self serving 'show pieces.'
While its nice to see Zionista's post coming half way towards reality, I think that the journey still isn't quite finished.
But hey, good for you so far.
August 3, 2006 5:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that the Saudis were attempting to open up some kind of diplomatic path. But the very day after Friedman publicized the Saudi's proposal, Daniel Pipes (for one) was on the attack. A huge effort was mounted to discredit the Saudis. I think there was a brief opportunity here to engage the Saudis in a positive way (even if their initial proposal wasn't perfect). Instead, the usual suspects tried to smash whatever potential there might have been. In fact, the reaction to the Saudi proposal isn't unlike the reaction of Arafat to Barak's proposals. Dismiss them completely and give up talking. What good does that do?
Update: Anyone who's interested can find Pipes's article (published Feb 18, 2002, the day after Friedman's article was published) here. Is it a coincidence? I think this was one of the earliest post-9/11 attacks on the Saudis. Before then, it seems to me, that most comments on the Saudis were relatively positive, seeing them as cooperating with the US. But it seems like once they proposed a peace plan, their reputation worsened.
August 3, 2006 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Purple State,
So, what authority does Daniel Pipes have on policy making, besides being just another in a long line of right wing demagogues?
That is a distortion with no basis in fact...
CNN:
The Guardian:
Washington Post:
There is absolutely no risk on the part of the Arab establishment to backing up their rhetoric by opening diplomatic relations with Israel. But without ambassadorial or diplomatic exchange, there is no substance behind the rhetoric of the Saudis or the Beirut Initiative.
August 3, 2006 7:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Israel would like to live in peace behind secure borders. Daniel A. Greenbaum
And the borders being? The Litani River, the Transjordan Hills, and the Suez Canal (well, maybe Kadesh-barnea would be far enough in this direction).
On the other hand with a Maronite Christian Lebanon why not go for the Empire of Solomon?
August 3, 2006 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I vote for foolish.
I do not mean tat BradtheDad is a fool, but here he proposed a liar's paradox. Moreover, it appears to me to be an original argument, hence his own invention.
I would still aplaud untrollish avoidance of the boiler-plate positions, as well as an attempt to clearly state his position (which made the logical fallacy so clear).
I am pretty sure, however, that Brad meant "without retreat from our current priorities in our foreign policy", or some other variation of the boilerplate "... would mean that the terrorists already have won."
Characterization of all insurgent movements across the world as "terrorist" was a very foolish idea, leading to efforts against insurgents in Nepal, agaist opponents of atrocious opponents of Myammar regime etc. Somehow we managed to avoid labelling Sudanese genoside in Darfur as "anti-terrorist activities of the government and its supporters", but we are almost there --- definitely, our diplomats did not offer any concrete solutions for Darfur.
Another issue is a humungous number of military bases we mantain arounf the globe -- financially, a boondogle, politically -- our bases are oftern inflaming the public opinion in most friedly spots, like Japan and Philippines, so one can imagine their impact in not-so-friendly spots.
Another issue is our efforts against governments that we really should not care about, like Chavez and Aristides.
Issue after issue, USA would gain from a healthy retreat from the current manic foreign policy posture.
August 3, 2006 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Under the circumstances, a demand for direct negotiations was a ploy to reject negotiations.
In any case, a few semi-polite phrases about the plan do not constitute a counter-offer. Mind you, I view that as an "alleged proof of the total unwillingness to negotiate". Who knows, perhaps Sharon had something in mind, but surely Bush did not.
August 3, 2006 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
An official statement by an IDF spokesman nearly constitutes the proof to the contrary, so yes, in the light of that statement it is highly improbable that Israel hopes to "liquidate" Hezbollah. Like when IDF claimed that they responded to rocket fire when they demolished a shelter with women and children in Qana. Or when IDF denied that Gaza children were killed on a beach by their artillery (they proposed a "staged explosion"). I truly have a hard time recalling a true statement from IDF.
August 3, 2006 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Blood libel libel, a sister to "you wish another Holocaust" libel.
Perhaps the people who say so managed to whip themselves into such a level of paranoia and hysteria that they believe that. Comming soon: Protocols of the Elders of Wordwide Leftist Conspiracy.
August 3, 2006 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
There may very well be Worldwide Conspiracy forming in cyberspace.
Note this report of an uptick in attacks on Israeli and US websites with participation by hackers having no connections to the "Ummah".
http://www.zone-h.org/content/view/13937/30/
It's a flat world after all.
August 3, 2006 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
piotr,
Good grief....
Exactly what diplomatic channels were opened for Israel by the Arab League?
August 4, 2006 6:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
"When are the Saudis and the other moderate Arabs going to use their clout within the Arab world to deliever the Palestinians to sch a deal?"
That's not for the Saudis to do. That's for the Israelis. The Saudis are not occupiers of Palestinian land. Show me a 'moderate' Israeli who is not a racist.
---
To the person who gave this post a "1" (whom I think is an Israeli):
Do you support a binational state? Do you support a Palestinian right of return? For me, that's the criterion.
Don't make the mistake of thinking I was being offhand or glib.
August 4, 2006 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink