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Immediate Ceasefire in Everyone's Interests

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I just got off the phone with some political folks in Israel, including a former advisor to the Prime Minister, and I thought you might find their take on the current crisis interesting. Basically they claim the Israeli leadership feels like they’ve dug themselves into a terrible mess and would be glad for a face-saving way out. The near universal Israeli public support for the war is dropping slowly but steadily with each new day of rocket attacks (down from 95% to below 80% over the last few days) and the nine Israeli soldiers being killed was a huge shock. While Lebanese civilian casualties don’t get much airtime in Israel, the terrible tragedy in Qana has further affected appetite for the war.

The hawkish military leadership has been dragging civilian leaders into escalation by only offering them one military plan to choose from. The civilian leadership might have secretly appreciated the U.S. to come in and, like a good friend in a schoolyard fight, restrain the Israel response, but the U.S. just egged them on. This is just one more example in a long history of Americans and some Jewish diaspora communities undermining the ability of Israeli moderates to chart a sane course in Middle East peace.

This analysis suggests that the spectacle in Rome of Condi Rice vs. the world might have been disappointing even to some Israeli leaders. This makes sense as Israel appears to lack a realistic endgame in this conflict. There is quite simply no way to forcibly disarm Hezbollah, which is a popularly supported group among Shiite Lebanese who achieved credibility in the Arab world precisely as the resistance to Israeli occupation. Israel couldn’t possibly want another long, drawn out and vicious war of counterinsurgency in Southern Lebanon that would proceed from any occupation, no matter how limited. If the strategy really is just a short bombing campaign to weaken Hezbollah, it seems clear that it is not working, and having quite the opposite long run effect.

So an immediate ceasefire, perhaps with some appropriate face-saving gestures (such as a “victory” in an imminent Israeli ground offensive, may be in nearly everyone’s interests. Everyone, except possibly the Bush Administration, as Josh Marshall suggested in his great post yesterday. We have a global petition website up on this issue at www.CeasefireCampaign.org and I admit to putting a post up to shamelessly plug for it. If you support a ceasefire, please spread the word!


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You may be exactly right. However Ze'ev Schiff Haaretz' military columnist and other columnists and editorial after editorial [Haaretz.com http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/744864.html] in both Haaretz and the Jerusalem Post both suggest that the disenchantment with the military is that it is not aggressive enough. There is a subtle implication both that the civilian leadership is too worried about world opionion and Halutz the first IAF office to head up the IDF has not used the Israeli army either enough or intelligently. As I read the Israeli papers there will be no cease fire until some international force is on the Israel's northern border prepared to keep Hezbollah not only away from the border but prevented from rearming.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

There seem to be differences of opinion as to who is the tail and who is the dog when it comes to Israeli military vs the politicians. Some think that Halutz is dragging the reluctant, inexperienced civilian leadership along, others think that the same politicians have been pushing the military in order to give themselves street cred.

Could be that both viewpoints are true.

None the less, the following OpEd from Yedioth Ahronot reveals that the former peacenik, Amir Peretz, has issued instructions to the IDF that undermine Israeli assertions about taking utmost care with the lives of civilians:

"The most pressing question I have is: Did the government, the army, the political echelon and the media not take to blind cheerleading, a move that served only the enemy?

The question came up when I heard Defense Minister Amir Peretz explain proudly that he had removed limits on the IDF regulating warfare in areas where civilians live alongside Hizbullah soldiers.

I can understand accidentally hurting civilians while fighting a war. But explicit instructions about the civilian population in south Lebanon and the Shiite neighborhoods in Beirut is a rash, fool-hardy action that invited disaster."
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3284260,00.html

There appears to be a concerted effort to confuse people. Israeli goal is to clear civilian population from South Lebanon so that it can go against the Hezbollah fighters and eventually push them in Syria.

This war will end in Syria….
Thanks.

Good cogent views from Zbig on the counter productive consequences from the iron fist approach:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nathan-gardels/beginning-of-the-end-for-_b_26247.html

No mention of the fact that hezbolah brought their missile and rocket launchers into the Qana neighborhood to fire from that location at Israel? Here's an article from the Australian press complete with photos http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,19960056-5006301,00.html

How about some mention of how the European media, those who are virulently anti-Israeli dismiss the Christian neighborhood in Qana as being "swish", referencing the fact that "more high heels are worn in the neighborhood"... when they're making excuses for hezbolah hiding behind innocent civilians. 

Or the fact that Lebanese Christians have been targeted by the Lebanese Muslim population, killed in acts of religious persecution. How about the bombings in Christian areas by hezbolah last summer, and in years past?

Frankly, I'm coming around to the belief that if the Muslim extremists are successful in eliminating Israel, they will next start on annhilating others, starting with Palestinian and Lebanese Christians, and moving on to others around the world. they are so steeped in hatred and prejudice that it seems to know no bounds. Next will be gays, and polytheists, after all the extremists have already named those as the types of people who have no place in the world. Then women who won't convert? The list could go on..

Sorry, but the time has come to end the palaver.. unless the Arab nations are willing to deal fairly and recognize the rights of those who don't think and live like them, to exist, there never will be peace.

If it does, then we're all screwed. Every man jack of us.

As far as I can tell, the first three items you mention are neither here nor there. Who was supposed to mention them and why? No one claimed that Hezbollah are paragons of virtue. Previous posts were discussing Israeli military strategy and internal political dynamics.

It seems rather far-fetched to think that Muslim extremists could eliminate Israel, which has, after all, one of the most powerful militaries on Earth.

Which Arab nations are you referencing? Egypt and Jordan, for example, recognize Israel. Fairness is in the eye of the beholder.

Unfortunately, it's hard to see who will agree to send troops to either border. I don't think anyone else wants to monitor Hezbollah and occupy Lebanon any more than the Israelis do. If no one steps up, perhaps it may again fall to the UN, who can put together some soldiers from developing countries? But Israel hardly seems likely to accept that option, even after a face-saving final ground push to the Litani River.

Supposedly Israel and Syria are communicating, and neither wants to fight each other right now.

...their missile and rocket launchers into the Qana neighborhood to fire from that location at Israel?

If you read your own link (it's very short) you'll find out that the photos are not from Qana but from Wadi Chahrour in the east of Beirut.

And if you look at the photos, you'll see that these are the photos of an anti-aircraft gun.

You don't use anti-aircraft gun to fire at Israel, you use it to fire at Israeli planes that bomb this particular neighborhood.

Enough bullshit, please.

No mention of the fact that hezbolah brought their missile and rocket launchers into the Qana neighborhood to fire from that location at Israel?
From Haaratz:
As the Israel Air Force continues to investigate the air strike, questions have been raised over military accounts of the incident. It now appears that the military had no information on rockets launched from the site of the building, or the presence of Hezbollah men at the time. The Israel Defense Forces had said after the deadly air-strike that many rockets had been launched from Qana. However, it changed its version on Monday. The site was included in an IAF plan to strike at several buildings in proximity to a previous launching site. Similar strikes were carried out in the past. However, there were no rocket launches from Qana on the day of the strike.

Well... for one, we should use our non-partisan powers of observation to see who is spinning what. The US media outlets, can/have/and are currently downplaying Israeli casualties inflicted by Hezbollah militants and rocket fire. We'll hear how the Israeli’s are on the offensive, and the voice of passivism pervades the airwaves with cease-fire cries.

Mary from R.I put the truth out there, as a matter of fact, there have been photos circulated of militia [Hezbollah] in heavily populated areas with RPG's... they are actively using the their own population for an Israeli response litmus test... to [essentially] attempt to sway world opinion that their cause is anything less than benevolent; to which anyone can clearly see this manipulation. Who do they think they are fooling other than ignorant pacifists, who in the end want to be deceived anyhow? They are killing their own by these actions -- there is no hiding it!

You said it abb1! You can sway the truth only to those who need it to be something other than what it is... they'll buy it! But no right thinking person will give you the time of day.

Haaratz, it would do you well to listen the reports from non-open sources... by the time Israel mounted a response to Hezbollah's provocative action, media had pretty much openly ignored the fact that Hezbollah had already launched over 66 150 lbs. rockets in Israel, now they are dropping 250 lbs. [plus] ordinance deeper into the country, their capabilities have been downplayed as usual; but I suppose this is all good to you, huh? All this before Israel mounted their official defensive.

This conflict is a blessing in disguise, who better to take it to these radical Islami-Fascists and make a visible dent in their infrastructure... all we need do is support Israel in her pursuit of these extremists... and back them militarily when we need to. You cannot wage war on a tactic, but you can kill the tacticians. Let Israel take them out.


Sorry... Bush was right, better to fight them there... then to fight them here.

Just too bad we have American citizens without the backbone and where-with-all to be clear on this matter.

One this is for certain, do not be deceived... there will never be peace in the middle-east. But there can be quite with a foot in the ass, let Israel insert shoe into vertical crevice! They know how to fight them better than we do anyhow. They have already effectively neutralized over 75% of their war waging capability, and that accounts [by CIA estimations] for about 50% of their governing effectiveness [influence]... however [this is the reason why platonic democracy sucks] 12 years ago when Israel and Lebanon were at it but withdrawing -- 82% of the Lebanese did not support Hezbollah, now almost the same 82% say they support Hezbollah. Sorry... folks - mob rules are for ignorant fools; no peace... full military occupation until western style economic development can defuse the fascist strangle-hold these war-lords have over their own people. That is the only way you can kill that lie...


Oh, sorry... forgot, the Europeans.

-That Darn Republican

No, it wasn't from the site of the building, but on the streets behind it. Launched rom trucks, and then driven away. These reports came from the Lebanese christians who lived in the neighborhood.

I would be suprised to see a cease fire anytime soon. I just think the whole reason Hezbollah chose this time for the conflict was to grind the Israli military down the same way Iraq has ground down our military. It looks like Israel has fallen right into the trap. The operations they are conducting must be costing a fortune. And now, for the Lebaneese government to survive, someone will have to repair the damage over there. Who will pay for that? Who ever does will then be the new owner of Lebanon. Iran has lots of money.

So the Israelis were bombing some trucks that weren't even there? What's the point of that?

Mary from R.I put the truth out there, as a matter of fact, there have been photos circulated of militia [Hezbollah] in heavily populated areas with RPG's...
Perhaps I am missing something, confused by actual knowledge of the technology. I'll assume these are unmodified RPG-7's. It has a straight-line maximum range of 925 meters, although hitting a specific target at that distance might, indeed, suggest divine intervention. 300 meters is more the practical tactical range, and, against armored vehicles in urban combat, one well might want to be under 100 meters, as long as you allow 10 meters for the fuze to arm.
Precisely how is this an offensive weapon, given the customary attitudes about weaponry in the Middle East?
media had pretty much openly ignored the fact that Hezbollah had already launched over 66 150 lbs. rockets in Israel, now they are dropping 250 lbs. [plus] ordinance deeper into the country, their capabilities have been downplayed as usual; but I suppose this is all good to you, huh? All this before Israel mounted their official defensive.
Minimizing, eh? Do you actually know the damage a rocket of this type will do, or the specific types involved? I hate to be a spelling bigot, but "ordinance" is a legal document. "Ordnance" includes things that go boom.
You mention the Lebanese are killing one another. True enough. Remind me, though...wasn't there some country that did that between 1861 and 1865, and, of course, the regional superpowers intervened?
Now, what are the Israelis using? Certainly, US 155mm howitzers, which have a range of projectiles. One cannot directly compare the weight of this sort of artillery shell to that of a rocket, as the weight of a cannon projectile does not include the propellant, but the weight of a rocket does. A M107 round weighs about 90 pounds. Other munitions for the 155 include Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Weapons (i.e., cluster bomblets), which would be the preferred type to fire against rocket launchers. Preferred, of course, if you don't mind the lingering effects of cluster munitions in civilian areas.
The attacks are from the air, you say? F-16's? Let's see. Common munitions would be a mixture of Mark 82 (500 pound) to Mark 84 (2000 pound) bombs, either unguided or using the Joint Direct Attack Munition precision guidance kit. Maverick missiles, of various forms, are widely used; these are precision guided missiles of several types, but with typically 150-300 pounds of explosive, exclusive of rocket motor or casing. A bit more than the unguided rockets used by Hezbollah, eh?
I hold no sympathy for Hezbollah, but I am impressed on the emotion you bring into your quotes, having the initiative to say their "capabilities have been downplayed". As far as I can tell, you have not even darned Democrat understanding of the capabilities of either side. As far as darned Republican or darned Israeli proportionality...nahhhh. -- Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

The Israeli Army is saying that there were no Hezbollah rockets fired from Qana on the day that they killed the civilians. If they are claiming that they had no knowlege of a Hezbollah presence, and that there were no rockets being fired, their bombing couldn't possibly have been in response to Hezbollah rockets, could it?

And do you see any reason why they would lie about that? You would think that any dishonesty would be going in the opposite direction.

Can you give a source for the reports of the Lebanese Christians that you're citing?

Thanks for the reminder. Lord knows I don't know much about guns, but I could tell on my own that the gun in the first three pix wasn't exactly heavy artillery, let alone a missile launcher. Just didn't know what it was, until you mentioned antiaircraft, which was enough to jog the memory - yeah, I *have* seen them things before. Thanks for clearing that up.

And of course pix 4 and 5 were small arms. BFD.

So let me get this straight. The rockets are driven around in trucks and then launched from trucks, which are then driven away.

Israel knows that the weapons launcher has been removed from the area. They know or have good reason to believe that Hezbollah personnel are no longer in the areas.

So... they decide to shoot up the nearest building full of bystanders???

You might want to think the morality of that little policy over, Mary.

There may be some tactical misunderstandings here. Katyusha is more of a general term for Russian rockets; the original Katyusha was a WWII design, originally a 48-tube truck-mounted 132mm launcher that was intended to be used in mass fires of at least a battalion of 18 trucks. Assume that will devastate unprotected targets in a square kilometer.

While there are a huge number of variants and intermediate forms, the most common fUSSR artillery rocket is the 122mm GRAD, which, while slightly smaller than the original Katyusha, is more effective. In the Red Army, it again was deployed in battalions of 18 truck-mounted 40-tube launchers. There were a few larger launchers, and some smaller ones for air-droppable vehicles used by paratroops.

What is the likely variant here is the single-rocket 9K132 Grad-P variant, which is a simple ramp that can be set up and disassembled quickly. This is intended much more for guerilla-style harrassment -- and, much as people may complain about the "intensity", by regular military standards, this is harrassing fire.

My speculation is that they aren't using dedicated rocket launching trucks, but pickups or other small trucks with a couple of ramps and a supply of the rockets. Realistically, you'd have one or two people set up one or more ramps, then need 2-3 people to position the rocket on each ramp, and back away to avoid the exhaust. Especially if they decided to discard the ramp, they could be in the truck when they push the firing button.

The US Army M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS), more advanced than the GRAD, is a fully tracked armored vehicle, that will be moving 30 seconds after firing. On a modern battlefield, waiting much longer than that means you will die.

The Israelis have one or more versions of the US Firefinder radar, AN/TPS-36 or -37. This radar detects the rocket shortly after it leaves the ramp, and backtracks to compute the launch point while the rocket (or cannon shell) is still in the air. In the US Army, the launcher coordinates are sent electronically to waiting 155mm M109A6 howitzers or M270 MLRS, which, with competent crews, will often have counterfire in the air before the rocket hits. Army artillerymen call their doctrine "shoot and scoot", which is the only way to survive against an enemy with comparable counterbattery (counter-artillery) electronics and weapons.

Typically, the counterfire will use cluster munitions to spread over a wide area, increasing the probability of hitting the enemy rocket launcher or cannon. Iraqi cannon typically fired once and were destroyed within minutes.

Israeli censorship makes it unclear what tactics are being used, which should be extremely obvious to Hezbollah. It is possible they aren't using counterbattery artillery, but instead using fighter-bombers. That would be considered very dubious by the US, because unless the aircraft is close to the launch site, it can't get there as fast as counterbattery, and there's a good chance the enemy can escape.

Fighter-bombers were effective against recognizable Iraqi artillery pieces moving on roads, but they won't know which pickup truck has weapons.

Yes, the US used tactical air extensively against a regular army in 1991, and the Israelis seem to be using it as a primary attack mode. Against systems like 9K132 Grad-P, it's questionable if the aircraft can react fast enough to kill the launcher, and may simply be bombing where the launcher was, not where it is.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

The article shows images of similar situations to provide examples of what Hezbollah are doing.

Here's a video taken by an Israeli aircraft of Hezbollah firing missiles from Qana to hit ground targets in northern Israel http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Pages/MediaPlayer.aspx?MediaUrl=/NR/rdonlyres/11A0342E-ECB3-4F80-A282-D9A853CA48E1/0/qana.wmv&LANGUAGE_NAME=En

And anti-aircraft guns can be used to hit the ground. You can check wikipedia or google on the subject of ground targets anti-aircraft guns, google on katushas as well.. educate yourself instead of concocting frivolous excuses to hide your ignorance. Perhaps it's just that you aren't interested in the truth.. how sincere is your concern for innocent Lebanese people or innocent Palestinians when you have no concern for innocent Israelis.

Where is your anger at those who hide behind hospitals, homes, and schools, putting women and children in harms way all to sacrifice them to fuel their dream of bloody jihad. Where are your concerns for the Israeli women and children in the towns in Northern Israel when 2,500 rockets were rained down upon them? If you can dismiss their lives, then perhaps you are as cavalier about the innocent Lebanese and Palestinians who die in this bloody conflict. Your rationale seems to be that Hebollah, Hamas have the right to slaughter, even their own people. Your support of them is an enabler that will allow them to continue to kill countless more innocent lives.. the only thing that will stop them is for the enabling to stop. They need to see that they are being shown for the cowards and bullies that they truly are. You want to stop the bloodshed, then call them out on it. Decry their hand in the bloodshed.

I'm not saying don't blame Israel for their share in the problem, but rather quit ignoring the very REAL villainy that is going on in the Arab world that is contributing to making this an unsolvable situation.

Here's a video taken by an Israeli aircraft of Hezbollah firing missiles from Qana to hit ground targets in northern Israel [link removed]
Actually, that's a video with so little hard information that no imagery analyst could tell where it is or what is happening, unless it's compared to a known geospatial database, or the video is accompanied by technically trustworthy timing information, altitude of the aircraft, the focal length and imaging rate of the video camera, GPS or equivalent location information that correlates with aircraft speed and altitude, the angle of the camera relative to the ground, and a few other factors.
There is a reason people make careers of imagery interpretation, and the US spends billions a year on imagery collection and interpretation. This indeed might be a picture of GRAD rockets being launched. Without adequate technical detail, it also could be a rehearsal for the Fourth of July in any terrain comparable to that of Lebanon.
I'm not taking political sides, but simply saying that this is very vague. Israel is so tightly censoring what it is doing that there's no public domain corroboration. I'm confident there's US KH-12 or perhaps Global Hawk imagery of much of this, but it isn't being made public.
And anti-aircraft guns can be used to hit the ground.
Any projectile that does not move fast enough to escape Earth's gravitational field, or burns up in the atmosphere, can be used to hit the ground. Excuse me for perhaps dealing with the ballistics of the US M2HB .50 caliber machine gun, on an antiaircraft mount, than the similar Soviet bloc 12.7 machine gun. The very nature of an antiaircraft gun is that it is optimized to shoot in generally straight lines, not indirect parabolas which can go farther.
You can check wikipedia or google on the subject of ground targets anti-aircraft guns, google on katushas as well.. educate yourself ...
Ah, yes. I can check those. I can also check the US Army Field and Technical Manuals, or perhaps the foreign weapons guide from US Army technical intelligence. Educating myself, Mary, would quickly reveal that antiaircraft artillery, the types of which I can explain if needed, is not used to hit distant ground targets that are not in line of sight. One would use weapons intended for indirect fire, such as mortars, howitzers, guns, rockets, or missiles. All have different subcategories and characteristics. Having long ago educated myself, I'm aware that it's quite likely that Hezbollah is not using the WWII 132mm Katyushka [sorry, that is the correct spelling], but much more probably the more recent 122mm GRAD.
instead of concocting frivolous excuses to hide your ignorance.
or, in your case, getting terminology and weapons characteristics flatly wrong. Would you care, for example, to discuss the beaten zone of a M2HB in indirect fire, when it is tactically appropriate, and why it would be silly for Hezbollah to use the Soviet equivalent against Israel?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

I hold no sympathy for Hezbollah

Well, I'll ask you thins: why don't you hold sympathy for Hezbollah? I mean, of course, in this particular situation, not their ideology or other things they may have been involved into.

I think you should and so should every decent person. This conflict is not too complicated, if you know the facts and understand the context.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0801/p09s02-coop.html

http://www.merip.org/mero/mero073106.html

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/objects/pages/PrintArticleEn.jhtml?itemNo=465064

Signed the petition

Sent it on

Thanks for directing me to it 

Mike

Mary - A couple points of contention. First the pictures show an antiquated anti-aircraft gun - a purely defensive weapon.No army in the world would stick their anti-aircraft weapons out in an empty field. Second, this gun in question happens to be in Beruit - far from the fighting. I would hope that you are not advocating Lebanon just lie down and take whatever Israel planes do to them. Have they no right to fight back at all?

Next the issue in Qana. Yes there is a SMALL Christian population on the outskirts of the town but 95% of the town is Shite. The tension between the two sects comes about as a result of the Christians wanting to turn the town into a Christian tourist spot commerating the water into wine miracle that supposedly took place there. The shites and others believe that the miracle took place in Cana, Israel just north of Nazareth (far more likely). So you understand why the majority Shites had no interest in turning their town into a tourist trap.

In Qana Lebanon the IDF has now acknowledged that no Hezballah missles were fired from the town on the day of the bombing. This building was on a long drawn up target list designed to destroy everything in all shite towns and villages.

As to your last paragraph, I don't believe it is Arabs who have been invading other countries trying to change the culture. If you look at the last 100 years its been Western countries invading arab nations and telling the muslims THEY have to change.Even now we are telling Arabs they are not GOOD enough and if they don't do what we want we will smash them like bugs. For the last 100 years it's been Western nations who have not dealt fairly and recognize the rights of others. Until we recognize our mistakes - there will never be peace.

Where are your concerns for the Israeli women and children in the towns in Northern Israel when 2,500 rockets were rained down upon them? If you can dismiss their lives, then perhaps you are as cavalier about the innocent Lebanese and Palestinians who die in this bloody conflict.

To be even-handed in one's approach to civilian casualties one has to recognize that:

a) if Hezbollah is purposely using civilians as human shields that is a war crime; and

b) if Israel recognizing Hezbollah's conduct as such nonetheless takes military action which will lead disproportionately to the deaths of those human shields that is also a war crime.

The law on that is perfectly clear.

Contrary to Mary's intemperate comment, I hear a lot for currency being given to the entirely false notion that Hezbollah's crimes give Israel some kind of carte blance to kill Lebanese civilians.

Further contrary to Mary's intemperate comment, I don't hear a lot of people suggesting that Israeli civilian deaths are legitimised by Israel's conduct.

That's a callous straw man dragged out by those attempting to rationalize their relative disdain for innocent Lebanese versus innocent Israeli lives.

I've noticed many variations on the spelling of the name of the group that Israel is fighting.

So tell me:

Is it Hezbollah or Hezballah or Hizbollah or Hizbolah or ...?

Can I determine on which side of the argument you stand by the way you spell the name?

Thanks for pointing me to this article.  The link didn't seem to work but I found it on the Huffington Post main page without difficulty.  It is a good read, and full of wisdom, mho.  I like this section especially:

[Brzezinski:]When Iraqi Prime Minister (Jawad) al-Maliki recently harshly criticized Israel in the Lebanon conflict, it was an indication of things to come. The notion that the U.S. was going to get a pliant, democratic, stable, pro-American, Israel-loving Iraq is a myth which is rapidly eroding. That is why the U.S. needs to start talking with the Iraqis about the day of our disengagement. We shouldn't leave precipitously. U.S. Ambassador to Iraq (Zalmay) Khalilzad told me that four months would be precipitous. I agree. But we should agree that the U.S. will disengage at some period beyond that.  [emphasis mine]

Many other points worth pondering as well.  Thanks again for adding it to the conversation. 

Mike

I am no expert but I believe the differences result from the fact that there is no precisely agreed standard for the transliteration of Arabic characters into English. (You may have noted the same thing with Gaddaffi, Quadaffi, etc).

Can I determine on which side of the argument you stand by the way you spell the name?

That I wouldn't care to guess.

I hold no sympathy for Hezbollah

Well, I'll ask you thins: why don't you hold sympathy for Hezbollah? I mean, of course, in this particular situation, not their ideology or other things they may have been involved into.


If it helps, I will rephrase this as having no particular sympathy for the positions, as opposed to the civilians, of either Hezbollah or Israel. In geopolitical terms, before I feel sympathetic for a government, I want to know the direct relationship of the dispute to the US.

If the US is to be the world's policeman, then get rid of the UN and any other silly international organization. If it's not, at some point I prioritize about conflicts. For example, I have close friends in Sierra Leone. Assuming that a Middle Eastern border dispute is not likely to escalate to something larger, I am more likely to be concerned with places where I have a personal connection -- as with friends and family threatened by forest fires in British Columbia.

I think you should and so should every decent person. This conflict is not too complicated, if you know the facts and understand the context.

Actually, I understand the context quite well, although there is a depressing lack of hard information on tactics and casualties. What puzzles me is your idea, not sourced, that there is a universal definition of "decency".
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Ha'aretz:

Spain is prepared to contribute a battalion of around 800 troops to a UN force, the El Pais newspaper reported government circles as saying.

The Spanish government of Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero wouldn't make a decision until the parties to the conflict agree to the sending of a UN force and the UN Security Council votes on it, the report said.

According to the newspaper which is close to the government, it is practically certain that such a force would be under French command.

Spanish military experts say the UN force would need between 10,000 and 20,000 troops. A large part of the force would probably come from Europe. It would also be desirable to have an Arab contingent, the report added.

There are alot of flags on the CeasefireCampaign's homepage..., but there is one that is missing (find it here).

Probably not. On the front page of Hizballah's own web site, you will find the name spelled as 'Hezbollah' or 'Hizbullah'.

I personally like the spellings with -allah because it is, after all, "Party of Allah" (if one likes to believe in fairy tales).

As others mentioned, there is no single official method to transcribe Arabic into English. Hence al-Qaeda or al-Qaida, Moqtada or Muktada, Mohammad or Muhammad, and so on and on. None of those variants is somehow more correct than the others.

There may be a link between where the writer is from (US, UK, etc.) and the spelling used, but this is mostly a speculation on my part.

I think you'll find no flags of political parties on the petition website.  If you care enough to be accurate, you'll notice that the picture to which you refer is composed of stock graphics of the flags of the nations, the kind of thing one uses when time is of the essence. 

You will find, should you really care to find it, that the private individuals initiating this campaign represent

 ...a group of friends from around the world who are horrified at what is happening in the Middle East and our leaders’ inaction. We come from several different countries, including Brazil, Germany, Israel, Syria, Lebanon, the UK, Canada, the US, Australia, and Indonesia. [emphasis mine].

And if you really really want to investigate further, you might visit the home page of the not for profit group which sponsors the campaign, Res Publica.  But somehow I think none of this matters to you at all.

aMike

But somehow I think none of this matters to you at all.

Do tell.  By what sylogistic acrobatics do you jump to such a conclusion?