If Lieberman Loses. . .
The Lieberman coffin watch is certainly interesting, but picking up on Josh's question of the day, if Lieberman does lose (the primary, the general, whatever), what will he do next?
I've heard enough rumors about his ambitions, and certainly his total support of Rumsfeld is objectionable, but wouldn't the Bush Administration consider him for something? I mean, it would be a smart political move on their part -- Dems who supported the war and support the President ought, actually, to be Republicans. The Democratic umbrella isn't big enough for the Lieberman types, etc. etc.
Secretary of Defense (I didn't make this up, just have heard it enough to note)? Rumsfeld leaves after the last relevant election for them.
Wouldn't be surprised to see him still around.


Ambassador to Israel.
July 26, 2006 7:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Democrats are truly blowing this issue. Joe Lieberman is one of the best true politicians that this country has and his own party wants him to be defeated.
But I guess in the grand scheme of things the Democrats are a bit dizzy with regard to reality.
July 26, 2006 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lobby for Pharma and AIPAC
July 26, 2006 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Replace Rumsfeld and finish out the Cheney/Bush administration’s War OF Terror
July 26, 2006 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
President Bill Moyers will create a Department of Fair Elections (DFE) and put Joe in charge...The Election Tsar.
Neoboho
July 26, 2006 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can someone help me understand this fixation about Lieberman? I hate Holy Joe as much as the next guy, but why exactly is he worse than... Hillary Clinton?
What did I miss? Didn't both of them support the war to the hilt, and still do? Didn't both of them go to bed with Bush?
OK, HRC didn't tongue W. Maybe not physically but in any other way she did.
Atrios is completely obsessed about Lieberman, but finds Israel's war "too complex"...
Nice to know one has one's priorities straight.
At least Lieberman isn't threatening to become president. Hillary is. And Biden is, too (that jerk).
Anyone who hates Lieberman but loves Hillary/Biden is a power-hungry, hypocritical buffoon.
Or maybe just an antisemite. (I got that idea from Daniel.)
Thus spake noblesseoblige.
July 26, 2006 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
At least Hillary isn't on Fox news all the time trashing Democrats. And she didn't sound like a partisan repub telling all Democrats to shut up and support the President. Lieberman was also on the fence about privatizing social security, I don't think Hillary went anywhere near that territory.
July 27, 2006 2:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wait a minute!! What happened to our large tent? Is this the purge we've been denying?
July 27, 2006 3:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Joe Biden likes Capriotti's, the best Las Vegas deli sandwich shop I've yet to find.
So he can't be THAT bad.
July 27, 2006 4:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, his party loves him -- it's the actual voters in CT that are threatening to show him the door.
That's a little different.
Sheila in CT
July 27, 2006 4:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
You got it exactly.
Same thing he does now, just more honestly.
July 27, 2006 5:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is your name Wittman or From in real life?
Do you work for the DLC or Lieberman?
You sure sound like it.
July 27, 2006 5:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
If he was one of "the best true politicians that his country has," Joe wouldn't have lost touch with his home state and Lamont would be going no where.
No, Joe's sin is forgetting about Connecticut and the needs and wants of the people who sent him to the senate.
By the way, unless they live in CT, bloggers don't get to vote for or against Leiberman, neither does the Democratic party.
Ron Byers
July 27, 2006 5:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why the "obsession"?
Here's a few reasons:
1. No-one expected Lieberman to have this fight.
2. 98% of incumbents in this country get re-elected. When a high profile pol - a former VP candidate - hits the skids, it's news.
3. Lamont-Lieberman presents a choice between a type of candidate many Dems (not just CT) want, and a type of candidate Dems have until recently accepted.
4. Lamont-Lieberman is as good a proxy as there is for Howard Dean versus the DLC.
5. The GOP are running a story-line - with full media complicity - that this is the extremists taking over the Dem Party.
6. Lieberman has threatened to leave the party if he loses.
Many ways to look at it, but bottom line is a Lieberman loss will sent every Beltway watcher back to the drawing board. Res ipsa loquitur.
July 27, 2006 5:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
For the blogosphere, the race epitomizes the DLC vs the grassroots issue.
For the media, there is a story line in a blue state democrat being taken down from the left. it's also given them a hook to hang blogosphere impact stories on.
For CT activists, there's deep dissatisfaction with Lieberman's inattentiveness to the state. That's not opinion. That's what the convention vote said, loud and clear.
Chafee should be nearly as interesting, but the absence of a right wing political blogosphere combined with a weird resistance on the part of the media to portray the Republicans as divided and at war with themselves (despite plenty of evidence to the contrary) has led to that story being left by the wayside. This non-story is especially interesting because at the moment it looks like there is a good chance that the republicans will lose the seat, one way or the other.
Love Joe or hate Joe, he still votes with the Democrats most of the time.
July 27, 2006 6:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll open the book:
Lobbying job: 2/1
Runs as independent: 3/1
Sec State: 6/1
Carlyle Group: 7/1
Sec Def: 8/1
UN Ambassador: 14/1
Social Security privatization cheerleader: 14/1
Iraq Ambassador: 20/1
Veep: 40/1
The official POTUS dog-walker: 1000/1
July 27, 2006 6:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
This comment surprised me:
"Atrios is completely obsessed about Lieberman, but finds Israel's war 'too complex'... Nice to know one has one's priorities straight."
How is it messed up for a progressive political pundit in the U.S. to be focused on a Democratic senate primary? Hell, Atrios could actually have an impact on the debate surrounding the primary -- you're blind if you think liberal bloggers (or congressional Democrats) can have an impact on U.S. foreign policy with Bush running things.
July 27, 2006 7:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm all in favor of Lieberman for SecDef. I'd much rather have Lieberman than Rumsfeld in the Pentagon, and I'd much rather have Lamont than Lieberman in the Senate.
Lieberman may enable Republicans, go wobbly on Social Security at inopportune moments, and generally be an annoying, moralizing, pandering politician, but he can't possibly be as bad for the country as Rumsfeld. Besides, it would bring a progressive voice into Bush's inner circle, and might even help heal the divisions in this country. And that, ultimately, would be a good thing.
July 27, 2006 7:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
The portion of Kayem's post you are referring to is meant to be an anticipation of what the GOP talking points would be upon hiring Lieberman, not something that she believes, or thinks that tDems should believe.
July 27, 2006 7:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman makes the perfect replacement for Rummy, from the Republican point of view. First, he's a Democrat. Second, he's a Democrat. Third, everyone knows now the vultures are returning to roost and feast on the remains of Dubya's foreign and defense policies.
Let Lieberman and his type of Democrat defend the debacle hurtling down the road and then take the blame for the aftermath. Why would any self-respecting Republican want to soil themselves trying to right the disasters the SecDef will be dealing with for Dubya's final two years? No political or financial capital will accrue to any Republican who must deal with Iraq, Iran, North Korea, China, Israel, the Palestinian problems, Syria, nuclear weapons in India and Pakistan, and the imminent collapse of the American military and national fiscal position. I won't even go into all of those sweetheart contracts with the likes of Halliburton and Lockheed-Martin which the SecDef will need to break.
What's really sad is that Lieberman appears too dense to appreciate the poisoned chalice the SecDef's job will be. Sometimes wanting to be a Kewl Kid too much can kill you.
July 27, 2006 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Amen. Anything remotely like a bit of fresh air in the upper regions of the administration can't be a bad thing. We're in a Hail Mary situation right now; why not Lieberman at SecDef? Why not Gilbert Gottfried, or Clifford the Big Red Dog?
Plus, Lieberman's voting record is far from atrocious; it's his willingness to triangulate, loudly, in substance and rhetoric, on hot topics that makes Lieberman a Zell Milleresque figure. If he were inside of a GOP administration, that value would be diminished.
July 27, 2006 8:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rumsfeld is in for the long haul. To fire Rumsfeld would be to admit a complete failure of the Bush Doctrine of pre-emptive war, and Bush is too stubborn to admit this.
Lieberman will be a lobbyist for Big Pharma. After this election, he'll need to hide his increasingly thin skin from the public, but still find a way to immorally fill his pockets as a lobbyist.
So much for his moral streak.
July 27, 2006 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with you, people. With Lieberman, it's personal. Shilling for Bush, questioning the Dems' patriotism, etc. For me it started with that unctuous "Bill, you disappointed me" speech on the floor of the senate.
And it's nice to know it's a chance for the netroots to kick the DLC's butt real good. I mean who could pass up that opportunity?
So, it's our summer blockbuster. We're having fun. Good!
Iraq war, too complex. The Lebanon war, too complex. Health care, c'mon you must be kidding!
So, let's all enjoy the Lamont show and debate Lieberman's retirement plans.
While Hillary heads for the train wreck of her life and McCain prepares his inaugural speech, let's indulge in small pleasures. To replace one Dem by another might seem a bit dull, but here it's personal.
Carpe diem to you all!
July 27, 2006 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
You make sense here. It's just about the the only job in the current administration he could take without burning his bridges with the incoming Democratic administration. Joe would never do anything that killed his future after the 08 election.
Whether Bush would offer it is a different question.
Tom O
July 27, 2006 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why doesn't he do what Wiecker did and run for Governor as an indie?
July 27, 2006 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Can someone help me understand this fixation about Lieberman?"
Yes of course. Joe is beatable this year. Hillary is not. Biden is not even on the ballot. You go hunting where the ducks are.
If a credible progressive candidate with a couple hundred million in the bank had challenged Hillary would the progressive netroots have flooded to him or her? I don't know. What I do know is that it didn't happen, that candidate never came to light. Lamont did.
I am neither a hypocritical buffoon or an anti-semite and I don't think the progressive netroots are particularly hypocritical or anti-semitic either. Power hungry is probably fair, as would be practical. But slurs and name calling are not particularly useful here. Nor are aspersions on other people's political motives.
Charges of anti-semitism are being thrown around rather too freely, it is rather like conservatives who love to call liberals traitors, it says a lot more about the name thrower than the quality of his thinking.
Willie Sutton was once asked why he robbed banks. He replied "that is where the money is". Well in this election cycle the bank for progressive democrats is Connecticut and the money is Lierberman's Senate seat.
It's politics not a pogrom, even if the troops do happen to be called Kossacks. Joe of his own free will got on the wrong side of history in the biggest issue facing this country today. And as a result is going to be taken down if we can. That is the source of the fixation, like it or not.
July 27, 2006 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well stated.
If a credible progressive candidate with a couple hundred million in the bank had challenged Hillary would the progressive netroots have flooded to him or her?
No, because Hillary would never have let it get to the serious stage. She wouldn't have insulted her base and she wouldn't have given such an opponent so much free media. This issue to me--that Lieberman is lo and behold a maladroit politician--just seals the deal why he should go. I'll take a bumbling rookie who is likely to make some honest greenhorn mistakes over an ossified journeyman any day of the week.
July 27, 2006 10:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's most likely he'd wind up as a "fellow" someplace advocating Trojan Horse policy solutions like school vouchers or censorship.
July 27, 2006 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Honestly, I think Joementum will be completely stopped if he loses the primary. I'm thinking the progressive movement has begun the type of party takeover that the conservatives had in the wake of Goldwater's 1964 loss. Should Lieberman lose I think Dems will treat him like toxic waste, and the current GOP leadership requires such a blood oath of loyalty that a former Dem will never be accepted as trustworthy.
No, he'll go into private practice (lobbyist).
July 27, 2006 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
One problem with this question is that it assumes that there is some possibility that Rumsfeld will leave. That's not going to happen. This is the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld administration, and Lieberman replacing Rumsfeld is about as likely as Lieberman replacing Bush or Cheney (before 2009).
July 27, 2006 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
>> Charges of anti-semitism are being thrown around
But this particular one was a joke. Come on, lighten up.
July 27, 2006 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If a credible progressive candidate with a couple hundred million in the bank had challenged Hillary would the progressive netroots have flooded to him or her?"
Hillary is not perceived as pro Bush. Lieberman is.
It is unthinkable that Hillary would appear on Sean Hannity and trash Democrats or she would write an op-ed in the WSJ declaring it treasonous to criticize Bush.
Lieberman's problem is not support for the Iraq war. It is his acting as an apologist for Bush on a number of issues. He has forgotten that he is a Dem senator representing the opposition and he has a responsibility to provide oversight.
Lieberman could have played the hawk role without turning himself into Bush's poodle. He could have, and should have, criticized Bush from the right.
July 27, 2006 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
"What did I miss? Didn't both of them support the war to the hilt,"
No, they didn't.
Read Hillary's speech on the senate floor before the vote. She made it crystal clear she was giving the authorization to Bush to use as a last resort, if Saddam refused inspectors and if Bush was able to get UN authorization and put together a meaningful coalition. She said she hoped the vote would send a signal to Saddam that we were serious and it would make war unnecessary. She said she did not support Bush's pre-emptive doctrine.
Lieberman was for the war well before there was even a vote. His position was identical to Bill Crystals. He drank the neocon cool aide.
July 27, 2006 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Joe Lieberman loses the primary, it will not be by a very big margin. While the Lamont team has had the stronger ground operation to date, the party leaders and union leaders he has aligned to him are in fact able to mount a get out the vote operation. Now that polls tell them they really need to, they will. And Lieberman's campaign has brought in some people to help with that and they're making a concerted final push to change things.
So the primary will be close. So close that if he loses, it will be too hard for him not to run as an independent. He believes that in a state where the largest voter affiliation is independent that he has a good chance of winning as a third candidate.
He also believes that this is an issue of honor and principle; because of that belief, to save face, he has to run in November if he loses. (We can argue that he's delusional in this belief, but for him to press on in the face of the rejection and anger he's seeing, which has blind-sided him, he has to believe that he's running on principle and for the soul of the party.)
Now if he loses in November --he's not a cinch to win because despite current polls showing him in the lead; he'll lose a lot of support in a post primary loss poll-- what will he do next? I think he'll do an Al Gore. He'll step back for a while and tend his psychic wounds. There's no future in stepping into a role in the last two years of the Bush administration. He wouldn't live that down.
He'll take a break, write a book about loss of civility in politics and/or the shrinking tent of the democratic party.
While he's working on the book, he'll find succor with Imus, and maybe as regular contributor on FoxNews in much the way Susan Estrich turns up over and again for them. He'll be a safe-to-air Democrat the way Alan Colmes is a safe-to-air liberal.
After a year, when his book comes out, he'll try to find a role as sage elder on the national scene, speaking for the need for sanity in politics (using his experience in CT as a cautionary tale), urging democrats back to the DLC path. He'll hope for HRC in the White House and some roll in that administration, maybe as UN Ambassador.
July 27, 2006 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wouldn’t that be a first? A Jewish Secretary of Defense! I wonder how Al Jazeera would cover that story?
July 27, 2006 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ron
It has little to do with Connecticut voters and everything to do with the fact that he happens to agree with the president on one or two issues.
Many in the anti-Lieberman crowd pen him as a closet Republican or a Bush cohort. Such abominable statements show the true ignorance of many.
Joe Lieberman is no Republican.
July 27, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is plenty to criticize Lieberman for, but rumors are unfair. Without sources, this is an unfair attack.
July 27, 2006 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're forgetting Harold Brown?
July 27, 2006 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then why does he delight in appearing on Hannity's show on Fox? Why the cloture vote for Samuel Alito, a man who will dedicate himself to stripping away rights from Americans for one or two generations? Why the "short ride to another hospital" comment about emergency contraception? Why the tacit support for Social Security privatization? Why a vote for the big-bank-friendly bankruptcy bill? Why the happy vote for Cheney's blast-from-the-pollutin'-past energy bill?
This is more than one or two issues. If he's not a Republican, he's certainly happily enabling their awful stewardship of this country by continually biting the hands that feed him on his own side of the aisle. His votes do not reflect the values of the Democratic Party, and now he's more than happy to throw the party under the bus to protect his incumbency.
So, by my calculations, he's not a Democrat. By your calculations, he's not a Republican. How about a new label? How do you feel about "Weasel"?
July 27, 2006 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary, like her positions on issues or not, doesn't spend her time attacking her fellow Dems.
And if she ever felt the need to do so, she wouldn't do it in an election year.
July 27, 2006 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Jewish-American_politicians
According to wiki, yes. You are correct -Harold Brown.
July 27, 2006 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman's institutional support will evaporate if he loses the Democratic primary. I have to believe all the unions will endorse Lamont and all the Democratic town committees. Lieberman could fund an Independent campaign but it will increasingly mute his "Lamont is a rich guy" argument to get millions in campaign donations from out of state. Lieberman is toast if he loses the primary. He's going to have the stench of a loser if he can't win the primary and nothing is more repellant in American politics.
I see Lieberman can't pull off the primary win as an 18-year incumbent he's not much of a politician. That doesn't end his career in government but it will end his career as an elected official. There are still plenty of plum jobs Joe Lieberman can get in even a liberal Democratic administration, various cabinet and Ambassador posts.
July 27, 2006 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
jpspencer
I'll take these in order.
1)"Hannity's show on Fox" is a bipartisan program. In fact, the name of the show is "Hannity and Colmes." The premise of the program is that each guest is interviewed for five minutes by rightwinger Sean Hannity, and then five minutes by leftwinger Alan Colmes. Democrats love to bash Fox News but it's very easy to discern who actually watches that networks programming and who merely joins the anti-Fox bandwagon.
2)The cloture vote on Sam Alito is no reason to think Lieberman is not a Democrat. By all odds Alito is very qualified to serve as a Supreme Court justice. Any dissent on this issue lies not with Alito's qualifications but merely partisan division. Your own commentary in which you state Alito is, "a man who will dedicate himself to stripping away rights from Americans for one or two generations," all but prove this. Do you have a crystal ball?
3)The emergency contraception portion of your argument is easily the most ambiguous. Neither you nor I should even attempt to determine where Lieberman's moral stance on that particular issue originates. It could be religious, personal, etc. That is not for us to determine. Your opinion seems to demonsTrate that what he should have done was vote not from his conscience but along party lines.
4)Social Security privitization, like the Alito nomination, has nothing to do with substance and everything to do with partisan affiliation. The privatizing of social security is a plan that was, believe it or not, the brainchild of somebody other than George W. Bush. Famous economists for instance. It was a progressive plan which would have benefited the nation greatly yet almost every Democrat opposed it for partisan reasons and many Republicans got cold feet because of this year's elections.
5)The bankruptcy bill and energy bill are both measures which had noticable levels of bipartisan support. Lieberman was hardly the only Democrat to vote for both of these measures. If you criticize him for his ch