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"Lieberdem" Speaks -- It's Joe's Own Fault

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I probably shouldn’t be so obsessed with the Lieberman-Lamont race, but I can’t help it.

This seems to be the week when the Republican right (Kondracke, Chris Caldwell) has decided to make Joe Lieberman’s cause their own. Which is fine, but their opinion about who should be the Democratic nominee in a state they don’t live in is about as relevant as my opinion about who should be the next president of France. (Anyone interested in my strongly-held opinion on the latter question, the answer is here.)

But at the same time, the actual Democrats supporting Lieberman seemed to have figured out what contributors to TPMCafe and others have been saying for months: Lieberman got himself into this situation,

and every day he makes it worse. The other day, while looking for some of those "savage, internet-based attacks" that Kondracke laments, I came across the blog "Lieberdem," devoted mostly to savage, internet-based attacks on Mr. Lamont and those they call "Nedheads." Lieberdem has two contributors, one being Dan Gerstein, who I recall vaguely from years ago when he, Lieberman, and Bill Bennett were trying to stamp out the threat to America’s families posed by "Melrose Place." (And especially, of course, the show’s single, chaste gay character.) While Gerstein’s contributions to the blog read like a dark-side imitation of David Sirota, his counterpart, Matt Smith, seems a little more grounded. Here’s Smith on Friday:



Joe Lieberman’s campaign has looked as if it has been in a constant state of panic ever since Lamont’s campaign started to look serious. ...Even Lieberman himself has acted like he never saw this coming. Many political observers have noticed it, and so have I.


Ned Lamont has every right to run against Joe Lieberman in the primary, and Democratic voters have every right to support him...


Lieberman simply never saw this coming, and still hasn’t gotten over the initial shock of Lamont’s entry into the race. The initial surprise is somewhat understandable. He’s a three-term Senator with a strong record on nearly all progressive causes who has not faced a serious electoral challenge at home in 18 years. Lieberman realized that most Democrats in his state disagreed with him on the Iraq War, but it probably was hard for Lieberman to imagine that any single issue could fuel a serious intraparty challenge to him.


His campaign staff also seems like they never expected to have to run a real campaign. So at first they seemed to ignore Lamont’s challenge, probably expecting it to fade fast. It didn’t, and Lieberman’s campaign came to realize that Lamont’s challenge was serious. And what they did next is mind-boggling: Instead of reminding the voters of Lieberman’s strong history on progressive causes, their campaign increasingly focused on disqualifying Lamont.


I can’t think of a polite word to describe that strategy. I agree with the general rule that if the incumbent’s campaign can make the election about the challenger, that the incumbent will almost certainly win. But that simply was never going to happen and will never happen in this race. Lieberman is one of the most prominent politicians in the state’s - and indeed in the nation’s - recent history. By contrast, Lamont has no record, and virtually no one had ever heard Ned Lamont’s name before this year. Ned Lamont is a vehicle for opposition to Lieberman; the campaign will never be about him...


The vast majority of voters voting for Lamont were doing so not because they supported Lamont, but because they were against Lieberman. Consequently, any campaign strategy that was designed to damage Lamont in the eyes of voters has always been and will always be doomed to failure. As the Hotline On Call blog asked this weekend "Are negative ads what really what Lieberman needs right now? Aren’t voters looking for a reason to come back to Lieberman?"


They are, and they have plenty of reasons to. Joe Lieberman is hardly out of the mainstream of the Democratic party - one need only look at his voting record to see this - and Lieberman’s long history of fighting for progressive causes cannot seriously be questioned. Iraq is admittedly a big thorn in Lieberman’s side, but less than a quarter of all voters and just 33% of Democrats said Iraq was the top issue for them in this election.


Lieberman clearly can improve if his campaign just reminds voters of how strong he is on the traditional progressive issues of education, the environment, civil rights, choice, worker’s rights, and virtually every other progressive cause that you can think of. Those same Quinnipiac polls still show that a majority of Democrats think he deserves to be re-elected, and the loyalty of his supporters runs deep.


The Quinnipiac polls show, as they always have, that Lieberman would easily dispatch of Lamont in the general election. However, it really should not come to that, and it’s never too late to break bad habits. There are plenty of reasons for Democrats to vote for Lieberman. He and the members of his campaign need to remind voters of what they are, or else be willing to accept a good share of the responsibility if Lieberman loses on August 8.


All very true. Lieberman’s not the first politician, Senators especially, to lose touch with his voters. Senators have a tendency to think that the people who voted for them six years earlier are some kind of loyal base, forgetting that six years is a long time; people move in, move out, turn 18, etc.; and that all those people did six years ago was a 10-second act of expressing a preference for you over your opponent. (Lieberman’s opponent from six years ago is now serving a 37-year prison term for pedophilia, so it wasn’t much of a choice.) It’s one reason Senate races tend to be more competitive, and more often surprising, than House races. Sometimes it catches a Senator totally by surprise right before the election, as in Rudy Boschwitz’s 1990 loss to Paul Wellstone. But Lieberman has had plenty of warning, plenty of opportunity to reestablish his connection with voters. And the first step would have been to acknowledge, as Smith does, that "Lamont has every right to run," and then make his own case.


[UPDATE]: My brief and snide comments about Dan Gerstein above apparently struck some as an insinuation that he is personally homophobic or opposed to gay rights. I have no reason to think that -- I hardly know him -- and did not mean to suggest that. All I meant to say was that Lieberman's partnership with conservatives including Bill Bennett on media brought him into an alliance with people who thought the presence of admirable and openly gay characters in media was a greater concern than violence. I thought at the time that he should be a little more concerned about that difference of motive, a little less eager to find "common ground" that wasn't really common ground at all.


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Can we please stop saying how Lieberman has this liberal voting record? Those tabulations are based mostly on symbolic votes that members of Congress frequently are given the opportunitty to cast but which have no effect on public policy. On the CONTESTED issues that form the basis of the cleavage between the Republican and Democratic Parties, Lieberman's no liberal.

A person who not only voted for the Iraq war but continues to think that everything is going great there and we actually are better off because we got mired down in a civil war than if we had just stayed out is not a liberal.

A person who thinks privatizing Social Security is a negotiable issue is not a liberal.

A person who thinks that allowing a bill to become law that pays off the credit industry at the expense of working Americans is no liberal.

A person who is constantly calling for censorship of the mass media is no liberal.

A person who puts Sam Alito on the Supreme Court is no liberal.

A person who articulates that people ought to accept that Bush is our President for the next 2 1/2 years and not oppose his policies is no liberal.

The point is, Lieberman hides behind his record of phony, symbolic votes for liberal causes. But wheever an issue can allow him to get out in front as the sanctimonious compromiser who bemoans the partisanship in Washington, or allows him to pick up millions of dollars in campaign contributions from big business, he's going to get out there and do it, and sell out liberalism.

"Sell-out", "publicity hound", "sanctimonious hypocrite", and "amoral" are better descriptions of Joe Lieberman than "conservative" or "liberal". But if we have to use the rubric of liberalism and conservativism, Lieberman is a hard right winger on the issues that COUNT. His voting record's a dodge.

Um..
Local headline:

Lamont Ahead of Lieberman
Quinnipiac Poll (full poll not yet on QU website):

Among Likely Primary Voters:

Ned Lamont 51%
Joe Lieberman 47%

Absolutely incredible.

CSPAN junkies visit http://spannerbackup.ipbhost.com

Mark

Surely the Democrats have the internal strength and party-wide solidarity to overcome these evil GOP intrusions.

Right???

That's the key: we're being told things about Lieberman that just aren't true--like that he's been this wonderful progressive for years. Sure, he can claim civil rights activism in his youth, but he's appeared to be in the pocket of big business for years now.

Like you say, he throws a few bones the progressive way, but when it comes to the meat... it goes elsewhere.

I keep hearing that Leiberman has a good record on the enviroment. Can anyone tell me what he did there.

Lieberman clearly can improve if his campaign just reminds voters of how strong he is on the traditional progressive issues of education, the environment, civil rights, choice, worker’s rights, and virtually every other progressive cause that you can think of.


That's just the point. He is NOT strong on education, wanting school vouchers and not calling NCLB an atrocity. By his membership and leadership in the DLC, he has shown that Civil and workers rights are to be relagated to a back burner issue. DLC believes that minimum wage should be abolished, and black rights minimized so as to not disturb Southern voters.

I have copied below Kos' analysis from Dailykos today on the CT Senate race. The big problem with his analysis is that it assumes that the Republicans in CT are really dumb and really weak. Neither of those assumptions is correct. Kos assumes first (at least implicitly) that the Republicans are dumb enough to retain their present US Senate candidate, Schlesinger, who was revealed this week to have bounced checks on payment of gambling debts in Atlantic City. What I am told the Republicans will in fact likely do is wait until after the August 8 primary and if Lamont wins they will replace Schlesinger with a moderate Republican like State Senator John McKinney of Fairfield, who is known because he is the son of popular former US Representative Stewart McKinney and has a very engaging personality.

Second, Kos assumes incorrectly that CT Republicans are really weak and that there are "not enough" of them. Kos ignores conveniently the fact that CT's Republican governor, Jodi Rell, will win election this year with 65-70 percent of the vote and that Republicans will have won the governorship for 4 straight elections (16 years). More importantly, Kos misses entirely the crucial fact that if Lamont is the Democratic nominee, 1/3 of the Democrats will very likely remain loyal to Lieberman and will vote for Lieberman over Lamont in the general election. This 1/3 of the Dems in CT is not liberal and will vote for Lieberman because they agree largely with his positions. They have voted in the past for Nixon, Ford, Reagan, and Bush I. More on point, in 1970, this 1/3 of the Dems voted in the general election for the pro-Vietnam War Senator Tom Dodd, who (like Lieberman) ran as an independent, over the anti-Vietnam War Democratic party candidate Joe Duffy. The result was that with the Democratic vote divided, Republican Lowell Weicker won the Senate seat and remained there for 18 years until he was beaten by Lieberman in 1988.

To illustrate the above consider my family's town of Westport, CT, which although fairly affluent has voted pretty much consistently with the rest of the state over the past three decades for president, senator, governor, and so forth. In the August 8 primary, Lamont will very likely beat Lieberman in Westport by a 60-40 percent margin (or even an greater margin). However, about 1/3 of Westport Dems (and independents) will very likely not shift over to Lamont in the general election. The result will be that in the general election the combined vote for Lamont and Lieberman may exceed the vote for the Republican who replaces Schlesinger, but that the Republican's vote total will exceed the votes for Lamont and Lieberman separately. If John McKinney replaces Schlesinger as the Republican nominee, he may even carry Westport and other Democratic-trending towns and cities because his father was very popular in Fairfield County.

A moderate Republican running against a divided Democratic party will also make it harder for the Democrats to win any of the three closely contested US House seats in CT, which the Dems need to win at least two of to help with their chances on winning controla of the US House.

In sum, Kos and his colleagues do not understand how the Dem party voters in CT function. A significant minority of those voters are blue collar, ethnic voters who are not liberal and who basically agree with Lieberman. They will not vote for Lamont in the general election regardless of how much money Lamont spends. The likely result will be a Republican senator and the demise of whatever chances the Dems have of winning control of the US Senate this year. I do not consider this result worth any potential benefit of getting rid of Lieberman.

--David D.

Kos' analysis:

The challenge for Lamont isn't just to win the primary, which looks increasingly likely, but to crush Lieberman. A small victory, while better than a loss, would fuel Lieberman's claims that the primary was decided by a bunch of people not representative of the state's electorate. A good turnout and a crushing defeat (as in Tester's win in Montana) would send a different signal -- that Lieberman has utterly lost the state's rank and file Democrats.

Given the incredible press a solid Lamont victory would generate, what little support Lieberman had would evaporate. No one wants to back a huge loser. Well, except, perhaps, Connecticut Republicans. But there aren't enough of those and they'd be just as likely to back their candidate in the hopes of stealing a seat in this safe, blue state.

With such a vote of no-confidence hanging over Lieberman's head, party elders would be more motivated to lean on Lieberman heavily to exit the race.

So polls showing the race swinging in Lamont's favor shouldn't be a sign to slack off. It should be a sign to throw Lieberman an anchor. If you have family, friends, or neighbors in Connecticut, help get the word to them about Lamont. It doesn't cost anything. And as always, please help however you can, whether it's volunteering (preferred) or contributing.

Lieberman PROVED his amorality when he sanctimoniously chastized then sitting Democratic President Bill Clinton for a sexual dalliance. That whole Ken Starr witch-hunt was one of the greatest crimes perpetrated by the VAST RIGHT WING CONSPIRACY in the history of the Republic. I knew then that Lieberman was not only amoral, but EVIL.

Kosmo

Then President Bill Clinton said to the American public that, "I did not have sexual relations with that woman."

When staggering evidence suggests that Clinton was lying, is an investigation not warranted?

If not, then I would argue Abramoff and DeLay never should have been investigated either. You don't think those were "witch hunts?"

I suspect that if Lieberman is defeated in the primary, Connecticut will go for a Republican Senator - I agree with David.  Unfortunately if we really do want to take back the US Senate, we can't be sticking to idealogical purity in how we vote.  Lieberman would vote with the Democrats in organizing the Senate, assuming a Democratic majority, but, for sure a Republican from that state wouldn't.  Once the Democrats are in the majority, Lieberman's votes are of far less significance, and his influence would not be great.  Has anyone else ever wondered why Gore chose him to be veep? 

Hoppy in Sacramento

JL's support of the war and the president comes packaged with an implicit support of other odious policies including torture and rendition. That JL would suggest that we should blindly support our president and remain silent in the face of such illegality is chilling. JL should know what happens in societies that choose silence over dissent and honest debate.

I regard the choice of Lieberman for Veep as one of Gore's largest strategic blunders.

The Jewish constituency was well satisfied and did not require a 'token'. There was no shortage of representation and catering to that constituency, not something that other constituencies, blacks, latinos, women or gays could say as easily.

Politically, Gore was a right leaning Democrat and picked a partner who stood well to the right of him, that hardly amounted to balancing the ticket and opened the door to challenges that the Gore/Lieberman ticket was no different, ideologically, than the Republicans.

Lieberman's participation as Vice-Presidential candidate was a series of immense blunders and missteps which arguably dragged down the entire campaign.

There was his demoralizing announcement that he would continue to simultaneously run for Senate while running for VP. This certainly spoke to a lack of faith in the Presidential campaign... nice message.

It also meant that if he won the VP, he would be forced to resign his Senate seat, throwing it to the Republicans and potentially throwing the entire Senate to the Republicans. You will recall that the 1998 - 2000 and 2000 - 2002 Senates were so easily decided that a single vote could shift things either way. Certainly, in broad terms, it was a terrible strategic decision in that light.

Things went from bad to worse. Lieberman opened his game with an attack on Hollywood and California, attacking Democrats and Democrat constituencies in a moralistic crusade which had not previously been an election issue and failed to gain any traction.

He followed this up with a disastrously lackluster debate with Dick Cheney where he actually seemed to grovel.

During the election crisis in Florida, he literally gave the game away with by accepting that illegal and potentially fraudulent military ballots should be counted.

His position with respect to the Clinton impeachment handicapped Gore in relying upon the goodwill generated by and derived from Clinton.

In short, Lieberman brought nothing to the ticket, he was an active handicap, he showed consistently poor judgement and he was a loose cannon doing damage to his campaign and the Democratic party.

A lot of people can be blamed for the Bush fraud of 2000. Katherine Harris, a corrupt Supreme Court, fraudulent election practices, Ralph Nader... But Lieberman is up there. I don't think it is controversial to assert that just about any other candidate would have proven out better and might have changed history.

"I regard the choice of Lieberman for Veep as one of Gore's largest strategic blunders."

It was the mother of all blunders.

Lieberman pick accomplished one thing; it endeared Gore to the DC Media Elite. For about two weeks. And then they went back to trashing him.

Lieberman pick brought back the whole Monica issue and put Gore on the defensive. Dems had been attacking the GOP for going to the extreme with impeachment and Starr as a jihadist. Lieberman pick gave legitimacy to the GOP jihad.

Lieberman sanctimony cost Gore the youth vote. Clinton/Gore had won the youth vote overhwelmingly in 92 and 96. Gore split the youth vote with Bush. Lieberman preaching turned off the young people.

Lieberman did not help with the Jewish vote. Clinton/Gore had won a larger share of the Jewish vote in Florida in 96.

Lieberman pick made the election about "values". Which party is more religious. Which party loves Jesus more. This was GOP territory. The election should have been about keeping the "peace and prosperity".

Lieberman cost Gore states like Arkansas and Tenn. I hate to say this but anti semitism is still a factor, especially in the south. It doesn't show in polls but it is there. A lot of voters, Dem and GOP, will not vote for a Jewish candidate. This is not Lieberman's fault. It is bigotry, but it is a fact.

If Gore had picked Bob Graham he would have easily won Florida. If he had picked Kerry he would have won NH. Either way he would have won the presidency.

Hoppy is exactly right.

"Then President Bill Clinton said to the American public that, "I did not have sexual relations with that woman."

When did he say that? After Starr had set up an entrapment by secretly colluding with the Jones team.

But all that is in the past. Please tell us why Lieberman has no outrage whatsoever for Bush lies and deceptions about far more serious matters, like the Iraq war, illegal wiretapping, war profiteering.

"Connecticut will go for a Republican Senator -"

There is zero chance of the GOP candidate winning in Florida. He has tons of baggage.

The biggest danger is Holy Joe winning as an independent and then alligning himself with the GOP.

Unlikely that a Republican will take the Senate seat regardless. Their campaign is in disarray, their current candidate a joke. If Lamont wins the primary, which seems increasingly likely, it will reinvigorate a broad swath of activists who, together with the party apparatus, will brush the increasingly clueless Lieberman aside as a afterthought, adding to the general momentum for change. Not at cross purposes with the campaign to replace the Republican Congress, rather a sympathetic current.
.

"A moderate Republican running against a divided Democratic party will also make it harder for the Democrats to win any of the three closely contested US House seats in CT,"

Overall, I agree with your analysis. A moderate republican technically can win a 3 way race. Provided the current GOP nominee can be pushed out.

I have to disagree with you about the effect on US House seats. Lieberman is helping the GOP candidates retain their seats, not just in Conn. but across the country. All Shays and Johnson have to say about Iraq is that "my position is identical to Joe Liebermans". A Dem challenger cannot accuse Shays of being a Bush rubber stamp. Lieberman is providing them with cover.

So Gettysburg, I take it that Clinton coming to support Holy Joe isn't doing it for you?
.

Mark –- I agree that Matt Smith's analysis here is quite astute, to the effect that it is fruitless (and stupid) to go negative on Lamont, because Lamont partisans are impervious to that approach. Which of course leads to the conclusion that Joe is finished, considering the lateness of the hour.

This Dan Gerstein person is quite a piece of work. His bio of himself includes this gem:

Gerstein made his mark on Capitol Hill in several ways. He collaborated with Lieberman on his renowned floor statement chastising President Clinton over the Monica Lewinsky matter.
.

Well, as it turns out:

* Whitewater was a joke.

* Travelgate was a joke.

* Vinc Whasisname really did commit suicide and it had nothing to do with the white house.

* Trying to kill Osama Bin Laden wasn't really wagging the dog.

* Just about all the allegations of infidelity wound up unproven and probably false.

* The Arkansas/Medellin cocaine trafficking ring turns out to be just a joke.

* Dozens upon dozens of other allegations amounted to nothing.

Ken Starr's multi-year, 52 million dollar, leaking like a sieve, multi-pronged, wide ranging investigation of the Clinton's turned out to produce nothing more than:

- A single intern who was so hot to trot that she flashed her thong in a semi-public event and carried out a torrid little affair involving mostly oral sex and mutual masturbation.

- All parties to said torrid little affair were freely consenting adults, operating on their own, and the female participant as noted was both sexually aggressive and forward, so there's no issue of coercion or abusive behaviour.

- Said conduct had absolutely no bearing whatsoever on affairs of state in any way shape or form.

- Grounds for impeachment were a false statement as to personal conduct regarding the affair in a separate court proceeding, amounting to a 'perjury trap.'

It's not my goddammed country, I don't got a dog in the fight. But from my perspective as an outsider, its a pretty classic witch hunt.

As for Delay, it's pretty obvious that their misconduct involved misuse and abuse of government and public monies. There was no question that there were legimate grounds for investigation and charges.

Clinton's affair was an exclusively private matter of no significance to anyone but the participants. As such, it was no different than Strom Thurmond's rape of his black maid and subsequent child, or Newt Gingrich's various sexual peccadillos, Henry Hyde's illicit relationship, etc., etc.

You can feel free to take any view you wish of Clinton for having an affair, but it does considerable violence to equate that to the breach of trust and abuse of the law represented by Abramoff and Delay. It's not a tit for tat thing (no pun intended). The two sets of offences are simply not on the same planet, legally, morally, consequentially or ethically.

Midland - Mildly Moderate in the Midwest

Then President Bill Clinton said to the American public that, "I did not have sexual relations with that woman" . . . When staggering evidence suggests that Clinton was lying, is an investigation not warranted?

Given that the suit was a political put-up job and the topic of interest only to people who mistake smears and gossip for political debate, no. The correct answer to the original question should have been "none of your damn business . . ."

Exactly what bizarre logical process the judge in the original Paula Jones case was following has never been properly explained. She later ruled the suit case had no merit, and it was obvious to any non-partisan observer that the entire operation was run solely to embarass the president and force him to talk about his sex life in public. So when the judge threw the Jones case out of court, she scolded the victim of the vendetta--Clinton--and let the criminals--the political operatives who deliberately promoted a bogus civil suit--get away without so much as a fine or a cross word. Further proof of the intellectual rot in our legal system.

If not, then I would argue Abramoff and DeLay never should have been investigated either. You don't think those were "witch hunts?"

Er . . . no. Why on earth would any rational person think that? Or even try to compare the cases?

Just on the basis of the information made public so far, both Delay and Abramoff are spectacularly corrupt, on a scale not seen since the worst days of the Gilded Age, when most senate seats could be had for the right amount of cash.

Just because Tom Delay thinks peddling his votes and influence is moral doesn't make it so. If I owned a corporation and discovered my execs and managers were selling their decisions and power off to outsiders on this scale, they'd be booted out the door in a heartbeat. While the company lawyers figured out whether to hit them with fraud charges or a lawsuit.

Even if some of Abramoff and Delay's machinations and money-making schemes turn out to be barely legal, it doesn't change the fact that, by anyone's standards outside of Texas/Beltway politics, no one in that crowd of Delay's rises to the ethical standards of a crack dealer working a school yard.

Hoppy

This seat is already held by someone who hurts the party more than any republican. He might as well be a republican on all of the votes that matter

Ned is now 10% up in the latest poll for the primary and tied with Lieberman in a 3 way race (40-40-

Get on board with Lamont -this is the best thing that could happen for true progressives

This should scare Hillary and other would be "triangulators" into moving back toward more progressive positions

Well, I'm a glutton for punishment (not to mention downrated comments)- and I support Lieberman, so:

A person who not only voted for the Iraq war but continues to think that everything is going great there and we actually are better off because we got mired down in a civil war than if we had just stayed out is not a liberal.

23 Democrats voted against the AUMF.

A person who thinks that allowing a bill to become law that pays off the credit industry at the expense of working Americans is no liberal.

If you're talking about the Bankruptcy Reform Bill from last April, Lieberman voted against it- along with 24 other Democrats.

A person who puts Sam Alito on the Supreme Court is no liberal.

Lieberman voted against Alito's confirmation. Along with 41 other Democrats. Might want to do your research more thoroughly.

But consider: if "no one who voted for war is a liberal," "no one who voted for the bankruptcy bill is a liberal," and "no one who voted for Alito is a liberal," a little research shows that only 12 Senators voted against all three- meaning there are at most 12 liberals in the Senate.

By your logic, the other 33 Democrats aren't liberals, so they should take a hike. Methinks your standards for ideological purity are a bit too high.

Noel

Right On Mike

Ths is the best thing that could happe to the democratic party. It will effectively end the DLC movement and the rightward drift of the party.

As much as I liked Clinton as a president, he did far more damage to the democratic party than any republican ever did. he gave credence to republican arguments against liberalism. Lieberman does the same. Hillary is trying to continue down that road. This will cause her to rethink that approach.

Lieberman criticized the President for committing adultery but voted against his removal from office, concluding that the whole affair was a non-impeachable offense- what exactly is the problem here?

Noel

23 Democrats voted against the AUMF.

Quite right. 23 Democrats had the courage. Of course, you deliberately ignore the rest of that quote, the "continues to think that everything's going great there". Several of the Democrats that voted for the AUMF were defeated for re-election. Many of the rest have come to acknowledge their error. Not Holy Joe.

Lieberman voted against Alito's confirmation. Along with 41 other Democrats. Might want to do your research more thoroughly.

Might want to do YOUR research more thoroughly, smart guy. Lieberman voted "No" on Alito when everybody knew it wouldn't make any difference, when everybody knew the Republican caucus had the votes to confirm him all by themselves. The vote that mattered was the cloture vote, when Democrats could have stopped Alito if they'd been able to muster 41 votes from within their own caucus. How'd Lieberman vote then, when we really needed his vote, on the one chance we had to stop Alito? He voted for cloture and for the nomination to proceed, of course. One thing you can count on with Joe is that his vote will never, ever be there when we need it.

a little research shows that only 12 Senators voted against all three- meaning there are at most 12 liberals in the Senate.

A pity, isn't it? Looks like we have a lot of work to do to replace them and remake the Senate caucus into one that stands up for Democratic principles. Might as well start with low-hanging fruit like Holy Joe Lieberman.

By your logic, the other 33 Democrats aren't liberals, so they should take a hike.

No, not all of them. Some have support too deep and broad for us to topple. And some are the best we're going to get from their state. Ben Nelson is the best Democrat we can possibly expect from Nebraska. But if we find a Democrat who is too conservative, from a deeply Blue state, one that we can replace with a better Democrat, then we will do so. Hm, are there any Democrats like that around? Conservative, Bush-affiliated Democrats...pro-war Democrats...Democrats from Blue states that we can replace with better Democrats? Democrats facing a primary this year in the face of an anti-Bush wave? Hey, I know? How about Joseph Lieberman, D(kind of)-CT?

Methinks your standards for ideological purity are a bit too high.

And here we have the core of the pro-Lieberman argument: "Vote Lieberman, because you shouldn't want or expect to do any better." No thanks. I'll go with the better Democrat, Ned Lamont.

The "criticized the President for committing adultery" part. And the "call for censure" part.

"Sometimes it catches a Senator totally by surprise right before the election, as in Rudy Boschwitz’s 1990 loss to Paul Wellstone. But Lieberman has had plenty of warning, plenty of opportunity to reestablish his connection with voters."

The Connections to the Wellstone campaign of 1990 go well beyond Boschwitz's seeming surprise when Wellstone's poll numbers went up and up a few weeks before election day.

Let's begin with evidence developed after the election that Joe Lieberman used his influence in DC during the summer-fall of 1990 to keep the DSCC and other progressive funding centers from making any significant donations to Paul Wellstone's campaign -- that is until we were so dynamic a few weeks before election day that not sending a check was an embarassment. Joe was helping his good friend Rudy -- simple as that. In the end, Wellstone spent just over a million dollars to Boschwitz's eleven million, and we won anyhow. Good Organization can top money you know.

Joe had prior knowledge of the "Bad Jew" tactic that was pulled on Paul in the last days of the campaign. Essentially it was about Paul being married for plus thirty years to his high school sweetheart, and having three children -- but Rudy questioned (in a letter to the Jewish Community) the marriage because Sheila was a Baptist. It did not play well in Minnesota, but Joe didn't understand why.

Ned Lamont has a great way to understand all this, because his Advertising is being done by Bill Hillsman, who did our very shoestring ad campaign in 1990 for Wellstone. He was in the middle of it, and had to do an instant ad to respond to the Boschwitz ploy in the weekend before the election. (Have you ever run around selling video of Hillsman campaign ads in State Legislative offices to members and staff so as to raise enough cash to put one of the ads on TV -- We did.)

I should add that DSCC has blacklisted Hillsman from campaigns they support. In 2004 Hillsman was contracted to do Oklahoma's Carlson's ads -- and he was told, no DSCC money if you retain a relationship with Hillsman. Where is that coming from??? Hillsman has a good record of actually winning races. Why the blacklist?

I knew I'd draw you in by mentioning Boschwitz! Thanks -- this adds a bit to the previous exchange. Indeed, the blacklisting of Hillsman, which is discussed in Crashing the Gates, is a significant story. Every campaign talks about running ads that don't look like regular campaign ads, and then they produce the same crap. Only Hillsman produces something really different, really engaging and cool.

noel, vidor has already done the heavy lifting of pointing out the flaws in your anti-purity argument, so there's really only one discussion point left: just what is it about joe lieberman that makes you think he should continue to be in the senate?

well, he picked lieberman to win florida and he won florida.

maybe he would have done better with graham, who is to say? but to call this the mother of all strategic blunders is simply wrong.

i believe the dems have precisely zero chance to win the senate this year anyhow: i'd like to know, david, where you think the races are that will put the dems at 51 seats.

i would be willing to ponder a little longer whether this is the situation for a night of long knives against lieberman if i felt that was a reasonable chance for the dems to win control, but since i don't, i much prefer the lesson: take advantage of a safe seat to talk like a republican and you'll be treated like a republican.

as for your projection as to how the voters will behave in CT in November, maybe you're right, maybe you're wrong. my own guess, as a former resident of the state myself (although not in a long time) is that if it's a close primary and lieberman loses, you may be right, although i suspect he wins the 3-way in that configuration, but if lamont wins big (a longshot, admittedly), then joementum will have precisely the strength it did in the 2004 presidential primaries, and he will not play a 2000 nader role....

I continue to think it's an error to attribute this to a bad tactical campaign on Lieberman's part. I continue to think this is a more fundamental choice he's made.

Think about this Senate campaign as a piece with his '04 Presidential bid. In both campaigns, he's faced an audience at odds with him on Iraq, and his core message has been:

I'm right. Fuck all y'all.

Now, that may not be a winning message, but it's a message.

Again, let's return to the '04 Presidential bid.

When Lieberman finalized the decision to run in 2002, boots still hadn't hit the ground in Iraq, and he must've thought that his uber-hawk position would likely be an asset in the race after the invasion had succeeded.

By late summer / early fall 2003, it was becoming obvious that being an uber-hawk on Iraq would be a fatal impediment to getting the nomination. At that point, Kerry and Edwards made nods toward the anti-war position to keep their bids viable.

Lieberman made a different choice, going with the "I'm right. Fuck all y'all." message, thus transforming his campaign from being semi-viable to being officially quixotic. That's really a choice.

And he's continuing to run the same quixotic campaign for Senate. It's a race with enough home field advantage for him that he could end up winning, but it's not a campaign that's really designed to win.

I think the architecture of his campaign for Lieberman is all about vindication or martyrdom, not about winning or losing the seat.

"I probably shouldn’t be so obsessed with the Lieberman-Lamont race, but I can’t help it."

How can anyone interested in the internal structure of the Democratic party not be obsessed with this race?

It's fascinating stuff.

I wonder how many Americans know Gore won Florida.  Now, that would be a poll I'd be interested in!

And however it turns out, we can start immediately thereafter with "Lessons Learned."

"Every campaign talks about running ads that don't look like regular campaign ads, and then they produce the same crap. Only Hillsman produces something really different, really engaging and cool."

When the campaigns are over -- this would be an excellent topic for discussion, and perhaps even asking Hillsman to post something for discussion -- not just the general theory of political advertising that Hillsman represents -- and for Hillsman it is really simple, if the ad falls in a program break, "can he make it interesting enough that a viewer will wait till it is over before taking the fridge or potty trip." Tiz really high philosophy.

But our party problem is much more profound -- note, I characterize it as a blacklist -- something like the McCarthy era Hollywood Blacklist. We have to deal with the wonderbread nature of all to many of our campaign designs by deconstructing the leverage of the DSCC and the DCCC over message, employment of consultants, employment of communications types, pollsters and I suspect even legal counsel. But we also need to understand that this is also about power -- the power of the DC Political Crowd to force state parties to do this and that -- including pick their candidates.

In fact, this is what the Dean - Schumer fight of recent days is really about. Howard Dean was elected to rebuild state parties -- put the money into state data systems, state level field organizers, state party communications -- and in some places in this country, get the party out of the back pocket of one or another power broker. In the wake of Jimmy Carter's presidency, we found the Georgia party was Bert Lance, his secretary, and a po box. When it is like that -- DC can dictate the candidates, who gets funded, and what kind of assets come into a campaign. When you have a legitimate state party organization that has assets to offer endorsed candidates, then local activists have a reasonable chance of picking candidates and using the party to support issues.

Raw Story has already carried some very interesting materials on the deep connections between lobby interests and DC located campaign assets (polling, consultants, advertising contracts, etc.) I don't think this is at all healthy, and am enough of an old party hack that I'd like to see it made illegal by party rules. Anyhow, the incentive is to keep competition out of the system, and Hillsman's shop is viewed as "competition" by embedded players.

Republicans have a similar corruption, though as one would expect, theirs is privatized. You see a shadow of it in Haley Barbour's pattern of ownership in the New Hampshire phone scam -- and I've found it interesting looking at the vendors that folk caught in Cunningham and Abramoff used for their campaigns, and how specific vendors seem to link to Leader PACS and donations from these, and then common voting patterns on specific issues. Because so few Republican House Members use local district banks, local vendors of campaign services and instead seem to use Republican Identified firms only -- I suspect some other forms of message and finance control other than what we see in Dem Circles. But in fact both forms -- if we can sufficiently detail and describe them -- work to take power and influence away from state party organizations, and bury it in "arrangements" in DC that then decide the character of our politics.

Few people understand that in legal terms, the State Political Parties are the key corporate entities. The DNC, the DSCC and the DCCC are committees, and function as they do because the sponsoring entity (the state party chairs and delegates assembled as the DNC) commission them to so function. We elect no one nationally -- we do elections for electors for President, for the Senate and for House members -- and all of this is in the competence of only the State Parties. We need to move more assets and leverage away from DC "arrangements" and back into the State Parties -- and at the same time demand that the State Parties become much stronger.

Mark -- this is much more than Lieberman/Lamont -- but it is so important that that contest be understood in its vast context. We have a number of very similar contests ahead of us state by state if we are to grow more coherent progressive politics -- and we need to know how it is done.

In fact in 2008 the interesting contest will be between "son of Rudy Boschwitz" and former DFL Mayor of St. Paul, Senator Norm Coleman (who would not be a Senator if a certain plane had not crashed), and our local boy come home to run for the Senate, Al Franken. Al has a new act. Walter Mondale is learning the stand-up trade and the character of Norwegian Straight Man to Al's various characters, some new, some old as they travel the summer party events, do their act, raise money, and introduce Franken to all the party folk. Franken is from a rather unique High School class that produced Norm Orenstein, Tom Friedman and Al Franken, and the inspiration to actually do this (i.e,. come home and run for the Senate) came out of the board of Wellstone Action -- Paul's living memorial that trains progressive candidates and campaign management --on which Molly Ivans, Paul Newman and Mondale serve. Thusfar, it looks like some combination of Old Line DFL, Activist DFL and Wellstonian DFL are good to go with Al Franken in 08. Thus the Mondale-Franken Comedy act that is storming the prairie in Minnesota this summer.

Well, I didn't call Lieberman the 'mother' of strategic blunders, I merely said he was Al Gore's biggest blunder.

If you'd like to put forth some other strategic blunder that turned out to be as consistently damaging in so many ways and at so many points, I'd love to hear it.

Seriously.

The biggest danger is Holy Joe winning as an independent and then alligning himself with the GOP.

I'm OK with the analysis that says Lieberman caused many of the problems that he's now struggling with.  No question he made some tactical blunders etc.

But I ask so what? 

To me, this race is about whether the Democratic party will become an ideological monolith, or whether it can tolerate people within its ranks who follow an independent course.  To read the objections to Joe Lieberman, it seems that what really gets people angry is less about any particular issue - even the Iraq War - than about Joe's perceived sins as a "traitor" who "goes on Fox News to bash other Democrats".  It's this hypocritical stance, by the same people who in fact are pulling out the stops to bash another Democrat, just as they accuse Joe of doing, that really makes me want to go all out for Joe.

It's often said that the GOP would never tolerate someone who is as critical of his own party as Lieberman is of the Democrats. Let's assume that's true, even if it's not.  So the GOP is a model of how Democrats should enforce ideological purity?  This is a good thing?  I don't think so.  Democrats, more than Republicans, need a big-tent approach for the simple reason that the base of the Democrats is smaller and is shrinking. 

Gore's presidential campaign was predicated on separating himself from Bill Clinton, peace and prosperity being a tough record to run on. Lieberman who took the floor of the Senate to denounce Clinton whas a nice way to underline Gore's distance from Clinton.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Valdron, you didn't call it the "mother," but miri11 did, in the comment below yours. i was responding to both. fwiw, i don't think it was a blunder at all, strategic or otherwise.

ellen, i'd guess that 30% or so of americans know that gore was cheated out of florida.

Gettusburg

With all due respect this is the Republican Party's stock in trade. They have run rightwing primary opponents against strong Republican incumbents for years. Arlen Spector is an example of that.

Democrats are just not used to trying to enforce any sort of discipline.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

Correct! As I've said, it was a major tactical blunder. Polls and votes had proven that Clinton's marital problems and pseudo-scandals were not impairing his popularity. Voters correctly perceived these things as a witch hunt. Still, Gore felt the need to divorce himself from Clinton, and this divorce included divorcing Clinton's negatives and positives. You had to take it, or leave it as a whole. Clinton's negatives did not actually transfer to Gore, but he felt he had to cut them loose anyway. In doing so, he sacrificed a major campaign asset.

Having committed himself to this mistake, he compounded it by picking a Veep who turned out to be a disastrous choice.

At this point, I'm starting to notice that there are people on the Cafe who I seem to automatically disagree with. Some of them, like Gettysberg, have their wits about them, and we can strike a few sparks crossing swords. I'm very conscious, when I argue with Gettysberg that I might end up being persuaded and deciding that he's right.

Then there's BradtheDad.

I'm OK with the analysis that says Lieberman caused many of the problems that he's now struggling with. No question he made some tactical blunders etc. But I ask so what?

I have to ask, if we are not going to hold politicians accountable for their errors and blunders and the problems they create, then who do we hold accountable, and for what?

To read the objections to Joe Lieberman, it seems that what really gets people angry is less about any particular issue - even the Iraq War - than about Joe's perceived sins as a "traitor" who "goes on Fox News to bash other Democrats". It's this hypocritical stance, by the same people who in fact are pulling out the stops to bash another Democrat, just as they accuse Joe of doing, that really makes me want to go all out for Joe.

So... its okay for Joe Lieberman to bash other Democrats...

But its not okay for other Democrats to bash Joe?

Joe Lieberman bashing and being incivil to other Democrats and to Democratic is okay...

But its rude to criticize Lieberman for that?

Hmmm...

So, at what point and what sorts of criticism are acceptable to target Joe Lieberman? Or is he sacrosanct and immune from all attack.

I only ask so I know what the rules are.

Does this immunity apply to all Democrats, vis a vis other Democrats? Someone should have told Sister Souljah.

Or does it just apply to 'principled' Democrats on the right, who carry the Republicans water for them?

What's the appropriate position to take with regard to Zell Miller? Is he a good Democrat, a representative of the diversity within the party, the free and lively exchange of views that makes the Democrats such a big tent?

Inquiring minds want to know.

Democrats, more than Republicans, need a big-tent approach for the simple reason that the base of the Democrats is smaller and is shrinking.

Well, yeah, because there are fewer and fewer women every year, and the hispanic population is in steep decline, and the blacks are just vanishing, no one is gay anymore, the poor are but a memory, the middle class is fat and happy and loves the way the Republicans are handling the economy, civil rights are passe etc. etc.

Actually, I think that the real problem with the Democrats is not that their base is shrinking, but that the Democrats tend to consistently abandon their bases or treat them shoddily, while pursuing fictional right wing swing voters.

"Cheated out of Florida"?  SCOTUS, my dear sir, does not cheat.

Do Americans know that Gore won the popular vote -- often accepted under our electoral system as a condition the satisfaction of which puts a state's electors in that winner's column.

Allegedly, Joe supports "education, the environment, civil rights, choice, worker’s rights, and virtually every other progressive cause that you can think of."

In reality, the Alito cloture vote was the biggest opportunity in years to stand up and be counted as favoring these issues, and it will have a lasting effect for up to a generation to come. That alone makes it worth opposing Joe in my book.

He's not a bad guy, he's just a bad Dem. That's why we're trying to get another Dem to replace him, esp. in such a blue state. It's really not that hard to understand. The Northeast should exclusively be represented by Dem Senators. That's why we're making a big push in RI, and ME and NH should always be a big concern as well.

Thank you Howard, the mystery is solved.

While I don't propose to prolong the thread, I think I've more than made my case that Lieberman was a blunder and a handicap. Miri has added substantially to this. And of course in subsequent discussion there was the observation that picking Lieberman amounted to Gore divorcing himself from the legacy and support of a popular President in favour of an unctuous moralizing that had already proveably not gone down well with voters.

If you'd like to argue that Lieberman's vice presidential position wasn't a blunder, I'd be very interested in your arguments as to why the items I noted, or for that matter, which Miri noted, did not actually hurt the Gore campaign, or what positive contributions that Lieberman made to the Gore campaign.

Or perhaps you could discuss what you think are 'actual' blunders by Al Gore which undermined his campaign more than Lieberman did?

Your comments entirely missed my points. If Lamont wins the primary, the Republicans will dump their current inept candidate and replace him with a new candidate who can win -- just like when the NJ Dems replaced Torricelli with Lautenberg and won.

If the GOP replaces Schlesinger with John McKinney as I think it will, Shays will dump his backing of Lieberman and endorse McKinney. McKinney's father was Shays' longtime political mentor in CT. Shays succeeded McKinney's father in the House.

Lieberman votes with the Dems to organize the Senate and with the Dems overall over 90% of the time. A Republican, even a moderate, would be much worse for Dems and all progressives.

Lieberman voted for cloture on the Bankruptcy Reform Bill, then voted against it when he knew that vote was useless.

I've been astounded at how poor a campaign Lieberman has run. From the convention onward, until middle of last week, he has done nothing but drive up Lamont's name recognition and reinforce Lamont's message.

I realize he's in something of a bind--the issues that differntiate him from Lamont are all winners for Lamont--but sheesh. Manipulating the convention so openly, and then not getting the desired result? Declaring himself above the party shortly after the convention? Running incredibly stupid negative ads? And, most of all, not recognizing that there is real dissatisfaction among his constituents, and addressing that dissatisfaction?

Everything he has done has either enhanced Lamont's stature or diminished his own. Unless there's some monumental gaffe by Lamont, I think he's now on a virtuous spiral. His biggest hurdle was being seen as a credible candidate and a possible senator. Lieberman has done quite a bit to help him establish his credentials.

Still, Lieberman's gonna dump a boatload of paid canvassers and media onto the state over the next couple of weeks. That may still be enough. But it's remarkable how quickly the momentum has shifted.

I think it would be worth it to lose the seat to prove a point. Any time the democrats get traction on an issue, Lieberman pulls the rug out from under them. He is an absolute disaster. This will serve as a warning to all would be DLC types that they can vote how they want but they should not go on TV and undercut their fellow democrats, especially if they are taking the GOP position on an issue as Lieberman commonly does.

That is what pisses people off about Lieberman. Half the democratic senators voted for the war but only one is being seriously contested - it's not his support for the war - it's his support for Bush!

And another thing, if it looks like a republican might take the seat, LIEBERMAN should drop out, NOT Lamont!

Tactics and policy positions are all entwined on this one. His trouble is that he has no issues to run on. Any disagreement he has with Lamont breaks in Lamont's favor. So all he can do is run on character--his upright commitment to doing the right thing even when people disagree. And rip Lamont's character.

The trouble with his "principled stance" argument is that his principled stance is on the single most important issue on the table, and is very hard to defend at this point. All he can do is repeat republican talking points, which, of course, reinforces the "Bush's favorite democrat" message.

The trouble with going after Lamont's character is that it raises Lamont's name recognition, which was Lamont's biggest weakness.

But what else was he gonna do? He coulda stayed in DC and just kept his mouth shut. If he'd had an organization in place it CT, that might've worked. I honestly think he believed that blocking Lamont at the convention was all he needed to do to marginalize him. When that backfired, they had no plan B. To make it worse, the disloyalty of the convention-goers made Lieberman angry, and he made some dumb mistakes in anger.

I'm just curious. Has anyone seen a MSM news show approach the Lieberman/Lamont race from a truly neutral point of view, or does it seem that the viewpoint is "why are the crazy Democrats tryint to dump JL?"

The criticisms that Joe Lieberman has made against other Democrats fall into two categories:

  1. A sense that other Democrats are leading the party into a political ditch
  2. A principled difference of opinion on a matter of national importance.

There are those of us who think that the left wing of the Democratic party is what is responsible for the Republican ascendance over the last 30 years.  Particularly in the area of national security, left-wing Democrats are completely out of tune with rest of the population, and that is true despite having been right about Iraq.  These are the people who instinctively are against any American military action, who think that American intervention in other parts of the world amounts to "imperialism" and who do not take the threat of terrorism seriously, particularly its radical Islamic variety.  All the Republican bumbling and incompetence in the world will not matter one bit if these people are allowed to define the Democrats.

What Joe Lieberman represents is the sensible center of responsible national security hawks who care about the Democratic party and will be damned if they'll sit around while the party is hijacked by today's equivalent of the New Left.  The New Left, if you'll recall, was responsible for the McGovern debacle and led the Democrats into the wilderness.

Now its a fair criticism to say that he's gone too far in his hands-off attitude towards President Bush.  There is nothing about criticism of Bush that is incompatible with taking a serious stand on national security. But let's be real about what is going on in the Lieberman-Lamont race.  It's about the viability of being a hawk and a Democrat at the same time.  And no matter much they protest about it being more than that, the leftists who are gunning for Joe Lieberman will interpret a victory against him as a green light to push pacifist, appeasement politics to the center of the party.  The damage to the Democrats in 2008 and beyond will be enormous. 

No question if Joe hadn't made as many mistakes, their efforts would probably have not gained the traction they have.  He certainly gave them more than enough material to work with, often on matters of little consequence.  But the opposition to Lieberman owes its ferocity to the desire of leftists to run a principled hawk and the ideas he represents out of the party.  It's that simple.

"Particularly in the area of national security, left-wing Democrats are completely out of tune with rest of the population, and that is true despite having been right about Iraq. These are the people who instinctively are against any American military action, who think that American intervention in other parts of the world amounts to "imperialism" and who do not take the threat of terrorism seriously, particularly its radical Islamic variety."

This is such a dishonest argument. It is like "some peope" arguments we hear from Bush and FOX "news".

Left-wing Democrats are out of tune? It is Lieberman who is out of tune. 60% of Americans oppose the Iraq war. I wouldn't call it the fringe.

"These are the people" instinctively against military action? Name names. Who are they? Not Dean. Not Gore. Not Lamont. You are constructing straw man arguments.

It is Lieberman and his fellow neocons who do not take terrorism seriously. Their policies that have led to more instability in the middle east, a weakened US military, loss of US prestige and moral authority around the world.

Dems have been marginalized with the help of people like Lieberman who never misses a chance to trash his own party.

Paul Krugman is right when he says in Washington to be considered serious in the area of national security you must have been wrong about Iraq. So Lieberman who was tragically wrong about Iraq is "serious" about national security. Dean, Gore, Feingold and other who were right about Iraq are "unserious".

John King did a very tough interview with Lieberman a day or so after the independent candidacy announcement.

I can stand to be wrong, but the short version of BradtheDad's response is:

1) Lieberman is right.
2) Therefore Lieberman is within his rights to slag other Dems as and when he feels like it.
3) But its not okay to attack Lieberman.
4) Because he's right.
5) People who disagree with Lieberman are baad people because they are lefties, and lefties are wrong.

Oh, and none (or most) of Lieberman's other errors or failings are significant.

I hope I've summarised Brad's case adequately and clearly, but laid it out so that its errors are obvious.

I say in response...

1) Whether he is right or wrong, Lieberman is obliged not to attack fellow Dems.

2) His failure to maintain proper standards of courtesy within his party is legitimate grounds for criticism.

3) Lieberman is out of his gourd and spectacularly wrong on Iraq, and he has been spectacularly or appallingly wrong on many of his other issues of 'principle.'

4) Lefties are not baad people. The problem with the Democratic Party is not the new left, but rather a Liebermanesque right wing that insists on attacking and marginalizing everyone else in the party.

valdron, in the equal interests of not prolonging this thread, let me simply say this: gore won in 2000.

we can talk into the night about things he could have done better, about mistakes he made, and similar matters, but it's hard for me to get carried away about such considerations when gore won the election. indeed, if i were to highlight my list of Gore mistakes, it starts with how he handled Florida after the election....

let me promise that if ever a thread breaks out in which we discuss the 2000 election, i'll be happy to go into greater detail then!

We both know that Gore won in 2000. But that and a dollar gets you a cup of coffee at the Tim Horton's.

The reality was that it was close enough for Bush to cheat his way into the Presidency.

If Gore had won even one additional state, then Florida might not have made the difference. If Gore had won even a few thousand extra votes in Florida, then it wouldn't have been cheatable.

The fact of the matter is, Gore was pulling an anchor with him, and we can admire him for floundering his way to a bare win, but the anchor dragged him down nevertheless, and that allowed the other guy to take the trophy.

valdron, i swear, this is it (or else we are prolonging the thread!).

dwight eisenhower: popular president, good times, no scandals. and yet nixon lost.

yes, i'd have run a different campaign than gore ran, but it's not clear to me what other state he could readily have picked up in lieu of florida, and given the relative performance of gore and kerry in florida, it seems to me that lieberman delivered what he was on the ticket to deliver. maybe bob graham would have been a better choice, maybe someone else would have been, but it's hard for me to see that lieberman was the anchor that gore carried around.

don't get me wrong: i'm on lamont's side here. i just don't agree that lieberman was a "strategic blunder" of any size....

But by defining it as "a major tactical blunder," you imply that Gore chose him cynically. As I opine in a comment in more detail upthread, ever think about the possibility that Gore is more like Lieberman than he is like Clinton? That he's less of a "triangulator" and more of a "take a stand on principles and stick to it, polls be damned" type politician?

What really got me thinking in this vein once again is your use of "unctuous" to describe Lieberman. Many saw Gore in a similar way in the way he acted in the debates with Bush.

that picking Lieberman amounted to Gore divorcing himself from the legacy and support of a popular President in favour of an unctuous moralizing that had already proveably not gone down well with voters.

Yah. From day one, that was part of the Gore campaign. Picking Lieberman just made it clearer to more people.

There is this side of Gore that people tend to forget about: divinity student, tending to frame politics in moral terms, admitted born-again Christian, thinking of public service as sacred trust, infused by a 'noblesse oblige' family history. (All indications I got from what I read is that he was truly upset with Clinton's triangulation and moral relativism, though that's just my personal interpretation of media gossip.) It's entirely possible that he liked Joe Lieberman because of his rigid moral stances and thought he would be a good guy to work with for 4 years.

Just sayin', as an avowed relativist with leftist opinions on social issues who would have been more than happy to have a President Gore, then and now: Gore's no 'classic' liberal and seems to have a tendency to be Lieberman-like on many issues, including often pushing in foreign policy meetings that Bill Clinton go a bit more hawkish on foreign policy than were his druthers. That's not even mentioning some of his wife's crusades on certain social issues in the past.

He may have actually liked Joe Lieberman and actually may have wanted someone like that for his V.P.

It's possible that you are correct.

But I would also argue that a choice of Vice President is a political choice, and that there are often hidden motivations behind it.

The objective is often not to pick someone thoroughly compatible. Historically, compatibility hasn't been much of an issue at all.

Rather, Vice-Presidents are often selected to 'balance' the ticket, to provide for things that the Presidential candidate may be seen to be deficient in.

A perfect example is Dick Cheney supplying the 'gravitas' that George W. Bush lacked.

A lesser example is Clinton/Gore, where Clinton spoke to the left and Gore spoke to the right, it could claim to be a balanced ticket.

Or its done as political deal making, in order to obtain support. Agnew falls under this category. Truman perhaps.

Or there's an effort to appeal to a particular constituency. Thus New Englander Kerry chose a Edwards as a running mate to appeal to the South.

I don't know that any of these things really held for Lieberman. Gore was already right, Lieberman was righter. He didn't balance the ticket, he didn't bring in new constituencies, he didn't make up for Gore's weaknesses, he didn't have any critical leverage.

In short, Lieberman contributed....

Ah, for me, your comment perfectly describes the need for a presidential candidate to "triangulate" in the modern U.S. in order to win. Of course, Gore "triangulated" just enough to win a slim majority nationwide, even with Lieberman.

Whether "sticking to one's principles" and refusing to "triangulate" works in the CT Sentate race, we'll soon see.

But let's be real about what is going on in the Lieberman-Lamont race. It's about the viability of being a hawk and a Democrat at the same time.

BradtheDad and other Lieberman apologists never tire of this one, but it's crap. There are a lot of hawks in the Democratic party whose seats are in no danger whatsoever from primary challengers. That's because their constituents more or less agree with them. Lieberman's constituents don't agree with him. Got it?

Fact is, there is no information stating that Lamont would be a good senator, he has no standing on the issues that would indicate this.. in fact his history shows him tilting republican, and his initial support being from republicans doesn't speak much in his favor. He has been decided upon and marketed in much the same way Dean was.. he wasn't supported because he'd be good for the job.

Lieberman does have a record that shows he does support democratic issues, I don't agree with all the votes he's cast, but if CT was my state, I'd vote for Lieberman rather than another bad character hand picked by neo-leftists who have no interest in all the important issues. The same neo-leftists who decided they wanted to get rid of Lieberman and in fact were decrying him because he made the mistake of talking publically about his personal faith.. not about eradicating the seperation of church and state, or pushing that faith down anyone's throat. I think the Lamontiac-obsessives are motivated by hate for Lieberman, and his faith, and a desire to prove they can take him down more than achieving anything good for the people.

One other thing, I wanted to ask why all the ballyhooing about the latest polling numbers, which aren't CT based, but rather the results of a nationally conducted poll. This doesn't reflect on the race at all, on those who will actually do the voting. Cripes, even FOX news is falling over themselves chortling that Lamont is going to hand that senate seat over to a republican.

Brad

Why exactly Lieberman is in the trouble is not clear to me. It is obvious that here Iraq is the issue. On this issue Lieberman most resembles McCain and Biden but drives many at TPMCafe into opposition.

What is not at all clear if that is the main issue that is working against Lieberman. From Lieberman's priggish attack on Clinton when Clinton needed Democrats, if not to support him to be quiet, his willingness to use government to shape private morals and his willingness too often to bailout Bush are all reasons why Lieberman deserves a slap.

Unfortunately there is not enough distinctions made about these issues. I can image Lieberman losing the primary and still getting re-elected or perhaps letting a Republican into office.

It is too bad there is not enough nuance given to this race.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

"Now its a fair criticism to say that he's gone too far in his hands-off attitude towards President Bush. There is nothing about criticism of Bush that is incompatible with taking a serious stand on national security. But let's be real about what is going on in the Lieberman-Lamont race. It's about the viability of being a hawk and a Democrat at the same time. "

Brad,

The problem is not that he is a hawk! The problem is that he loves to criticize mainstream democrats using GOP/Bush talking points! He provides "democratic" cover for Bush's insane policies! That is why he is facing a serious primary and Hillary is not. Her positions are virtually identical to his on the war, she comes from an even more liberal state. The difference is that she does not go on FOX and criticize fellow democrats who oppose the war and other destructive Bush policies. It's that simple! There is plenty of room in the party, just not for turncoats!

BradtheDad wrote:



Democrats, more than Republicans, need a big-tent approach for the simple reason that the base of the Democrats is smaller and is shrinking.

Actually, what Democrats need to do is inspire voters to believe that the anger, fear, frustration, and hopelessness they feel at the direction this country is heading will find some voice in the Democratic candidates who are asking for their vote.

This election is about the future of the Democratic party to the extent that Joe Lieberman personifies the type of Democratic leader who is deaf to the desperation to be heard and blind to the need to fight for the core values our country and party are supposed to stand for.

If Democratic incumbents continue to act like deaf, dumb, and blind monkeys, then many members of the more-than-sufficient Democratic base -- not to mention Independents and still-sane Republicans -- will probably not bother to cast their votes in November.

If this happens, the tsunami Democrats should ride to victory in November will end up a tepid swell that leaves Republicans in control of Congress and our country in the hands of those who would destoy her.

"He didn't balance the ticket, he didn't bring in new constituencies, he didn't make up for Gore's weaknesses, he didn't have any critical leverage."

Actually it was worse than that. Lieberman pick was interpreted by the media as "balancing" Gore's ethical shortcomings. No, not just Monica but the whole Buddhist Temple thing and Gore's alleged "trouble telling the truth".

In other words Lieberman pick gave validity not just to the Starr jihad but also to GOP charges that Gore had serious ethical problems of his own. It put Gore in a defensive position, as someone with serious ethical lapses who needed Holy Joe to gain amnesty.

Jow will be free.

CSPAN junkies visit http://spannerbackup.ipbhost.com

You leave out one crucial point. Lieberman doesn't have to run as an independent. He could just walk away. Hell, he could even endorse the nominee of his party. Party unity and all that. If the Dems lose Connecticut in a three way vote with Lieberman, shouldn't a committed Dem like you be urging BOTH candidates to support the party's nominee, whoever that may be?

There are certainly many who argue this, and while it probably explains some of the animosity towards Lieberman, it is hardly the whole picture.

While it is true that Lieberman is not the only hawk among Democrats, he is the most vocal. And that matters. He is out there articulating a view of national security policy that is aggressive in its advancement of American interests and is unapologetic about the use of military power. It is this, more than any other single factor, that explains why the left hates him.

Essentially we are talking about the same thing. What you call being a "tunrcoat" I call arguing robustly for his point of view. I also never understood why going on Fox News is such a sin.

I agree that Lieberman has been much too easy on President Bush. Criticism from someone like Lieberman about the way the Iraq War was being run, would have carried weight. It's a mystery to me why he thought he couldn't at least try to give constructive criticism in public. I also agree that Lieberman's protestations that he does not want to be partisan look silly when the GOP and the Bush White House make partisanship into a blood sport. He ends up looking like a chump.

But the question is whether these are firing offenses. I would argue that in almost any other context they would not be. It is only the Iraq War and, more importantly, Lieberman's robust defense of it that can explain the venom being thrown his way. Sure there are other factors at work. But he could have run a tight campaign and done excellent constituency service etc. and there would still be huge anger directed at him.

yes, i'd have run a different campaign than gore ran, but it's not clear to me what other state he could readily have picked up in lieu of florida

Arkansas, had he not made such a point of distancing himself from Clinton.

For the record, I rated this post by Valdron a "2" because it began with a personal attack on another poster. That unnecessarily marred an otherwise thoughtful post.

What planet are you on? The Quinnipac and Rasmussen polls were of CT Democrats.

The Mystery Pollster discusses how tricky polling this race is, in particular identifying likely voters. But these aren't national polls.

What exactly is his "principled position" on Iraq?

The lack of nuance comes from the MSM and the Lieberman campaign. If you've read the pro-Lamont bloggers, you'll have seen a very thoughtful series of points on the role Lieberman has played in enhancing the president's authority to engage in really disastrous policy-making. You'll see points made about Lieberman voting in ways that give him a solid NARAL scorecard while undermining women's reproductive rights. You'll note that the idiotic Homeland Security agency was his idea.

And you'll the Kiss, and the one DemoMan standing ovation at the State of the Union address.

This is not to mention sanctimonious hypocrisy and his clear belief that the Senate seat is his for as long as he wants it.

The nickel version, is here complete with musical accompaniment.

Yes, of course. And this is why Lamont says he'll support Lieberman if Holy Joe wins the primary. All Democrats should support the winner of the primary, and I expect, in the event, they all will.

All, that is, except, um... Lieberman. That man of principle.

The thing that the peacenik wing of the Democratic party never get is that even though they were right about Iraq - in retrospect, it was clearly an ill-conceived idea - they still won't be taken seriously by the vast majority of the electorate when it comes to defending the country. That's because there's a suspicion that when the next time comes, they'll oppose the use of military force again. And the next time. And the next time. And maybe they'll oppose force when it really could do some good.

This is a central reality of American politics. Doves do not win presidential elections. A candidate must be credible on security matters and by credible I mean they must have established, through their votes, their resume, their actions or at the very least their rhetoric, a willingness to engage the military to defend American interests. Bill Clinton understood this. John Kerry paid lip service to it.

Paul Krugman's quote is thus half right. It is true that most of the people considered credible on security were for the Iraq War. But there are some notable exceptions. Al Gore, for example, built up a long history of being the most aggressive, pro-military member of the Clinton cabinet. He can point to dozens of instances where he was willing to engage the military. The fact that he opposed the Iraq War thus would not be a disqualifier, in my opinion. Howard Dean had no such record. So there was nothing to counteract the image of him as a committed peacenik.

Brad,

You have just summarized exactly why progressives want Lieberman out. You do seem to understand for the most part. It's just that you don't think these are firing offenses. Let me elaborate as to why they are.

FOX News is the propoganda outlet for the Bush administration, plain and simple. When Lieberman continually goes on FOX News and buddies up with Hannity et al., he gives their propoganda credence. He should not do that.

When he goes to the smoldering wreck of Iraq and comes back and says, and I am paraphrasing, - "Things are going Great! Any democrat who says otherwise just hates the president and hates America!" He is not only being incredibly dishonest and preventing real change, he is undercutting his fellow dems and giving credence to the bold faced lies of the Bush Administration.

He makes it impossible for his own party to present a coherent message against Bush and the republicans.

Just look who is out supporting him: Hannity, Limbaugh, Barnes, Kondracke, David Brooks, and Bush himself! That should tell you something.

There is nothing wrong with being a hawk if you use military force prudently. The Iraq war is an example of an imprudent use of force. This has made America look weak, not strong. I sense that you are a hawk - If you were an enemy of the US, would you be more afraid of the pre Iraq military or the post- or syn-Iraq military?

it would be worth losing the seat to get him out of there. He is more destructive to the party than Karl Rove.

Raindog

"Lieberman's partnership with conservatives including Bill Bennett..." is Lieberman's prime problem. Cowardice under the guise of "common ground" is still just cowardice. Lieberman is a coward, and a whiny one at that. He thought that a Democrat finding "common ground" with Republicans was "centrist." But in the political environment since 1994, it is "being a tool" for the Republicans. The fact that Republicans are some of his biggest supporters, just proves my point. The Alito cloture vote was a betrayal of all of Lieberman's vaunted "progressivism." He knew he could vote against Alito, and still get Alito on the bench. The cloture vote was the only vote that mattered to Democrats. He stabbed his party and his principles in the back. Lieberman's a coward and I hope he loses to Lamont in November. The Democratic Party doesn't need his kind of "progressivism."

Why use the word peacenik Brad? That sounds like a Rovian frame to me. You use a derogatory frame and then you don't have to take them seriously.

Why err on the side of death and destruction? You'd better be sure that you are right before opening the gates of Hell. The Iraq debacle will go down as one of the biggest if not the biggest blunders we have ever made as a country. There was a lot more we could have done.

Here is how dems should frame it in my opinion - We are for diplomacy, first and foremost and are very reluctant to use American troops to solve the problems of other nations. If we sense that USA is directly threatened, and ALL diplomatic efforts have failed, we will come down with swift, decisive and overwhelming force. Our actions will have a clear exit strategy and we will not be part of long occurpation of countries that do not want us there. Bush and the repulicans have depleted our military and made us look weak- that will not happen under democtratic leadership.

He's already aligned with the GOP

I understand where you are coming from, but I think you wildly overstate the case.  For one thing, Lieberman has never said anything like "those who don't agree hate America."  It is an example of the exaggerated claims against Lieberman and how he is assumed to hold identical views to the Bush Republicans.

What Lieberman has argued is essentially that progress is being made in Iraq and it is incorrect to call it a faliure.  It is also irresponsible to talk of withdrawal given the vital role that American troops play in the country.  Finally, he has also argued that Democrats need to accept that Bush will be in power for a while longer and unity is needed to see our mission through. 

As I've said, I agree this last notion is silly.  At no time and in no American war in the past has there been perfect unity.  Constructive criticism was and is entirely warranted.  I do not understand why Lieberman was not out front leading the responsible hawks to a position of constructive criticism. 

But as much as you say it is about other things, even your argument eventually boils down to: the Iraq war was a mistake; Joe Lieberman energetically defends the war; ergo, Joe Lieberman deserves to go.

Lastly, I do not agree with the notion that Lieberman prevents the party from developing a coherent message.  That problem runs way deeper than that.  Democrats are being torn apart on national security the way the Republicans are on immigration.  There are essentially two irreconcilable positions, passionately held.  Lieberman is not responsible for that and his influence is not so great that if he went away, the problem would disappear.

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