The Trucker Threat

According to both Michael Young in Slate and Nada Bakri in The Beirut Daily Star (not necessarily independent sources since young works at the Daily Star) Israel seems to have decided to start systematically targeting large trucks throughout Lebanon on the grounds that they "might" be carrying missiles.

If true, that hardly seems justifiable. Nor is ordering the mass evacuation of southern Lebanon an adequate substitute for taking measures designed to avoid targeting civilians. "Becoming a refugee" is an extremely large risk factor for death.


Comments (46)

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What's wrong with targeting trucks that look as though they might be carrying missiles? We did a bunch of that ourselves during the Gulf War.

Both reporters said that the trucks fired on looked as though they might be carrying missiles, or were mistaken for that. Nada states that a convoy was fired upon but doesn't describe the looks of the convoy. But these days, I can imagine a convoy looking suspicious.

It wasn't the reporter but a Lebanese official that said the Israelis could be firing on any truck.

I am not saying this is good or bad in anyway, I am just asking what is wrong in and of itself with firing on trucks?

I also have some suspicions that Israel is not in fact firing missiles at just any truck. Missiles are pretty darned expensive, and relatively limited in number. My guess is their is some profile that the truck must fit. That I don't know what that profile is doesn't mean there isn't one.

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I've long argued that what the US and Israel must do before conducting any military operations is to consult with noted military strategists in the liberal blogosphere. Given the length and breadth of their military experience, General Drum and General Yglesias are quite expert at explaining what are and are not legitimate military targets and how best to pursue their strategic objectives. Why their wisdom and expertise remains unsolicited by the clearly inferior civilian and uniformed leaders actually prosecuting the war is beyond me.

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What's wrong with targeting trucks that look as though they might be carrying missiles? We did a bunch of that ourselves during the Gulf War.
Really strange logic. We did it, so it can't be bad?
Both reporters said that the trucks fired on looked as though they might be carrying missiles, or were mistaken for that.
What on earth does this mean? How does a truck "look like" it's carrying missles? Were there missles sticking out the back of it? Was MISSLE TRANSPORT TRUCK printed on the side? Couldn't any convoy "look like" it was carrying missles depending on who's doing the looking (and from what distance)? And isn't it also probable that all kinds of civilain convoys are moving around the south of Lebanon considering that Israel told everyone to get the hell out?
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Yeah, and I've long argued that what the US and Israel must do before conducting any military operations is to check out the Geneva Conventions. I've also long argued that it's the media's responsibility to investigate and document war crimes. Nice attempt at snark, though.

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What Israel is doing is separating the population from Hezbollah. Hezbollah and Hamas hide their assets in civilian populations, friendly and supportive civilian populations it must be said, and then ask for world condemnation of Israel when the inevitable happens. They might be making a mess of Southern Lebanon but what real choice do they have? Hezbollah will not vacate that territory unless made to do so. That's the sad and ugly truth. It's war and in war there are civilian casualties. There are civilian casualties on the Israeli side too. They have made a decision that even though they know they will suffer civilian and military casualties, it is worth it to push Hezbollah off their border. The civilian population inside Lebanon should head for Syria or the north. Is it fair? One needs to leave that question for another time. Right now, Israel is faced with two choices, allow Hezbollah to periodically kidnap and kill their soldiers, fire rockets into their cities and do nothing or to fight. They chose to fight

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One should keep in mind how easy it is to sit here so many miles away from this conflict and criticize it's execution. The military option remains a blunt instrument despite all the smart weapons we've developed. What would you suggest Israel do to prevent the movement of these rockets that keep falling on Israeli cities?

Well, why don't you help enlighten us? Is Hezbollah using the 82 or 132mm Katyusha, or the more modern 122mm GRAD? Truck or single lauchers?

What patterns of launches come from correlating input from AN/TPQ-36 radar? Do the Israeli modified E2s and domestic Phalcon systems offer target intelligence?

I remember, during the Cuban Missile Crisis, a large number of recon photos being shown to the international community? Is Israel presenting evidence? That last is not an accusation but a serious request for information.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

As the slate story explicitly conceeds, and the Daily Star story at least implies, the trucks in question look like they're carrying missles. So it's not a case of Israel targeting every semi in the country on the off chance one of them might have a missle in it. Which is what your post is (deliberately?) worded to imply.

In a war zone, if it looks like a missle launcher, you don't wait for a launch to be sure, you blow it up.

Of what missiles are you speaking? I will be happy to be corrected, but, AFAIK, Hezbollah has been using artillery rockets in the Katyusha family.

There are some smaller and some larger, but the original 180 cm (5.9 ft) long, 13.2 cm (5.2 in) in diameter and weighed 42 kg (92 lb). The Soviets designed 48-tube truck mounted launchers, but my impression is that Hezbollah launches 1 or 2 at time from a simple ramp that one man can carry.

These are not ICBMs. My guess is I could fit a couple of dozen into a station wagon. Yes, if the truck-mounted launchers are spotted, by all means bomb them. Otherwise, every good-sized car is suspect.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

In fact, there have been reports that Hezbollah is now fielding Iranian made Zelzal and Fajar missles.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/iran/zelzal-2.htm

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=720679&contrassID=1&subContrassID=5

Which would explain why they're striking further into Israel, and getting bigger bangs. We're not talking about something you could find the the Estes catalog.

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Evidence? Cheney probably e-mailed them a copy of the trucks that held the biological weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. 50,000 deaths later...

As the bumper ahead of me tonight proclaimed:

"I am against the NEXT war".

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I think you need to keep in mind that Hezbollah didn't start bombing Israel until AFTER Israel had started more or less indiscriminately. This is an outrage.

Nonetheless, even if extensive (though ineffective) bombing of Hezbollah-controlled territory were warranted by the taking of two Israeli soldiers, there is no need to bomb all of Lebanon indiscriminately.

Therefore, to prevent the missles falling on Israeli cities I would suggest:
1)don't go completely overboard when two of your soldiers are kidnapped
2)when you do go overboard and bomb everything in sight, try to keep it confined to the south of the nation, Hezbollah's main base of operation and the source of the real threat to Israel. Also, it would be a good idea not to completely destroy the infrastructure of the entire nation. It would also be good to attempt to differentiate between civilians and combatants, so you wouldn't have to urge civilians in the south to get the hell out, which is both an admission that Israel is doing little to protect civilians and forced migration, which is also a form of genocide.

As I've noted elsewhere, the height of Israel's hypocrisy is evident in the recent attacks on a Lebanese army barracks. Israel claims that it is not making war on Lebanon, but on Hezbollah. Israel has stated that one of its conditions for a cessation of bombing is for the Lebanese army to engage Hezbollah. Why then would Israel deliberately target a Lebanese army barracks, who they say they aren't attacking and who they supposedly want to engage Hezbollah? Eleven Lebanese soldiers died.

http://www.upi.com/InternationalIntelligence/view.php?StoryID=20060718-052333-8797r

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Really strange logic. We did it, so it can't be bad?

Really strange logic. We did it, so it must be bad.

Actually no. Actually during the Gulf War we pretty much paid attention to all those ugly treaties we like to ignore right now.

So yeah, I would think that sending pilots out in a war zone to identify scuds in Western Iraq is very similar to sending out pilots in a war zone to identify missile launchers in Israel.

Sides which, I wasn't making a statement, I was asking a question.

The first missile is indeed a legitimate target. It seems to be about 2/3 side of a single MLRS rocket, used by the US and a number of other countries. In the illustration in the first link, it appears to be on a transporter-launcher truck (not clear if it needs to be erected). Such trucks are clearly legitimate targets, and perhaps even covered trucks of the right dimensions.

Do you know if the launches are at night? If so, there are a number of airborne sensors that could help identify a camouflaged missile.

At any time, if the missile is tracked by AN/TPQ-36 or a more powerful system, the launch point is known within sections. Given the state of the roads and the potential truck speeds, it should be possible to define a reasonable radius in which the launching truck could be moving. That would give loitering fighter-bombers a pretty good idea where to search. Thermal sensors might even identify the truck.

This would be very legitimate targeting, as opposed to electrical plants on one side and undifferentiated large trucks in the middle.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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In war, all sides are wrong, no rules are followed when people get desperate. Israel is blaming the Lebanese government for allowing the rockets to be delivered and stored.Hesbollah, vowing to destroy Israel, was part of the government. Thus, the cross border incident that incited Israeli outrage was government sponsored,or allowed. The first bomb was the inclusion of Hezbollah in the government. Same type of thing in Palestine.

Israel is indefensible against modern military arms--too small--too easy to hit every inch of territory. Every incursion threatens its annihilation, and thus, they nip it as early as possible to prevent importation of better arms. They're reacting to tomorrow more than to today. In their shoes, mightn't you walk the same path?

Also, who can they negotiate with? Not Lebanon, and Hezbollah won't talk to that which it doesn't recognize.

Lastly, a la Bush, if Heabollah is not the Lebanese government, do rules of war apply? And no, I don't favor torture--nor do I agree with all out bombing, I just have questions. And I'm scared. Religious wars are nonsensical--and never ending.

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"What would you suggest Israel do to prevent the movement of these rockets that keep falling on Israeli cities?"

Remove the reason.

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"They might be making a mess of Southern Lebanon but what real choice do they have?"

Here we see the primary talking about: "What real choice do they have?"

Tons. Thousands. This is the only rational answer to a rhetorical question that predefines the only acceptable answer.

The reductio argument to "two choices" - surrender or fight - is another rhetorical ploy.

I don't play this game.

The proper response is that Israel start by removing the reasons for Hizballah to exist which consist of its previous actions and current actions. Release Lebanese prisoners, give up Shebaa Farms, and make a reasonable deal with the Palestinians.

That should hold them for a good several years of negotiations.

Meanwhile, stop killing civilians and fomenting a humanitarian crisis in Lebanon just because you can't protect your troops from a bunch of guerrillas.

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No, the Estes-type rockets are the Qassems - for which Israel believes Gaza must be reduced to rubble.

Also, it's not clear how many of the Iranian missiles are in fact being fielded, if any. Anthony Cordesman is skeptical. Certainly it would seem SOME better missiles are available, I would say.

In any event, the notion of targeting trucks or even convoys absent better intelligence is questionable.

Since we don't know precisely what is being done, we can't say. It's irrelevant anyway (except for Matt's post) since we know hundreds of other entirely illegitimate targets are being hit as well.

Why, then, is Matt or anybody else surprised when the Israelis target ANY truck? It's at least on a par with bombing two (Christian) churches and two hospitals.

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Your first sentence starts out right, then the post goes downhill from there.

1) Israel is wrong for blaming the Lebanese government for anything because the Lebanese government does not control the situation. That wipes out most of Israel's legitimacy in this situation right there.

2) Israel KNOWS this, which TOTALLY removes any concept of legitimacy from anything they say about the situation.

3) "Every incursion threatens its annihilation." This is utterly false in every respect and reflects a complete lack of knowledge of Israel's military superiority and essential complete security absent a nuclear incident - which it risks by having a nuclear arsenal in the first place.

4) "Hezbollah won't talk to that which it doesn't recognize." Neither will Israel. And both statements are wrong because both sides have done exactly that in the past over the exact same situations.

5) "Lastly, a la Bush, if Heabollah is not the Lebanese government, do rules of war apply?" Of course they do, because Israel is not only a government, they are a member of the UN and bound to honor the UN Charter and UN resolutions - which they have ignored for fifty years - oh, except for the ONE UN Resolution calling on Lebanon to disarm Hizballah (which as stated Lebanon cannot do.)

"I just have questions."

Yes - rhetorical questions.

And now you have answers.

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Hey Mr. Glib, well, they appear to be doing just that, so why are you complaining?

It's stupid answers like yours that leave me in my perverse moments cheering Israel on uncritically.

And understanding your posting problems here.

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Can you have rhetorical answers? An enemy that isn't controlled by a government is massing weapons on your border. These weapons are getting sophisticated enough to destroy major population centers, how do you react? That's not rhetorical--that's what's going on. This enemy believes in martyrdom, is well funded, and has a history of destruction. How does "military superiority" help if you don't use it?

In the past, Israel fought government sanctioned armies, and as such, diplomacy had a chance. Now it is fighting a religious movement fighting to the death. Israel was founded by people that were being persecuted to death, so ironically, they are fighting people very much like themselves--paranoid. And that's what scares me.

You gave me no answers. Also, the UN charter recognizes self defense--you don't. I don't want WWIII, neither does Israel, but Hezbollah might, as might enRaptured Bush. His roadmap has led to this--he would have taken the credit if peace broke out, thus, he gets the blame for war.

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In a war zone, if it looks like a missle launcher, you don't wait for a launch to be sure, you blow it up.

I agree. The key problem here is that Israel considers the Christian suburbs of East Beirut, and indeed the whole of Lebanon, to be a war zone. Yet they drew this conclusion in response to attacks by a militia in the border region--attacks that were made without the approval of the Lebanese government. This is a very difficult decision to defend.

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Israel's response goes far beyond "self-defense." Dan Halutz specifically threatened to "turn Lebanon's clock back twenty years." Bombing population centers with no relation to Hezbollah is not self-defense. Bombing a Lebanese army barracks and killing eleven Lebanese soldiers is not self-defense, particularly not when Israel claims that it's not attacking Lebanon (they're attacking Hezbollah), and that they want the Lebanese army to come south and engage Hezbollah. Forcing the mass migration of hundreds of thousands is not self-defense (it's a form of genocide).

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I think you missed the point - by "remove the reason" he means Israel should attempt to address the humanitarian crisis within its own country and try to get along with its neighbors better.

It's stupid answers like yours that leave me in my perverse moments cheering Israel on uncritically.
It's stupid comments like this that make me understand the type of person who cheers on Israel uncritically.
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Have one question. If the Arab countries were bombing the Hell out of Israel's infrastructure and cities because IDF Reserves lived there, would everyone here be just as casual about civilian casualties and it's just what happens in war?

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Really strange logic. We did it, so it must be bad.
Strawwwman. I never said this - I was questioning your logic, and though you may have been "asking a question," the clear implication was that our previous similar actions excused Israel's current ones. I don't buy it.
Actually no. Actually during the Gulf War we pretty much paid attention to all those ugly treaties we like to ignore right now.
Good. Israel isn't. Israel is clearly pursuing a policy of collective punishment, which under the fourth Geneva Convention is a war crime.
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One more question. How is Israel's directive for 300,000 people to move out of southren Lebanon any different from Serbia's actions in Kosovo?

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And what would recommend they could do to effectively defend themselves?

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I think I understood exactly what he said, which is why I called his answer stupid and glib and suggested that Israel was in fact removing the reason by forcefully ejecting the terrorists war criminals in Lebanon, something no one else will do.

Now if you want a more sophisticated shades of grey answer, I am eager to participate, but there is no conversation with Mr. Glib Israel should just unilaterally disarm and do nothing to terrorists that indiscriminately kill its citizens but get along better with everyone.

It's stupid glib answers like Transhumans that make people ask questions of why is Israel being blamed for Hezbulla terrorism and have folks rooting for Israel even if it means many innocent civilians are hurt or killed.

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Really strange logic. We did it, so it can't be bad?

Pot meet kettle. I never said the above.

Israel is clearly pursuing a policy of collective punishment, which under the fourth Geneva Convention is a war crime.

Ooh! Look at mr vejoaronda, prosecutor, judge and jury.

Well I was listening to an actual lawyer that work in that area on NPR today that said all of this required very sophisticated judgements of law based on facts and context that we could not be getting from newspaper reports.

I think that it is arguably self-defense that may or may not be non-proportional depending on context and alternatives.

The attacks may be made without the explicit approval of Lebanon's government, but why would Israel, or anybody else, give a damn whether the government of which Hezbollah is part, and which has tolerated Hezbollah's accumulation of weapons and attacks, bothered to issue a press release saying they thought the attacks were a good idea?

If they didn't want to be held complicit in an act of war, they should have openly admitted to having lost control of part of their country, and either officially abandoned it to Hezbollah, or asked for international aid in reclaiming control.

Having done neither, they're in a piss poor position to complain abut having missles coming back at them.

In an ideal world,


If they didn't want to be held complicit in an act of war, they should have openly admitted to having lost control of part of their country, and either officially abandoned it to Hezbollah, or asked for international aid in reclaiming control.

might be a rational action. Certainly, going to the UN Security Council and requesting an investigation is something they definitely should do.

Declaring that they've lost control of parts of their country, however, could have assorted consquences depending on the local culture and the international relations involved. If the culture of government is that the national leader is a "strongman" and thinks he has any chance of regaining control, he won't make that declaration since it's a guarantee of being overthrown. Alternatively, it might be grounds for other countries to invade, with the stated intention of rescuing their nationals, and some countries, such as France, tend to be very ready on the trigger when doing this.

There is a good discussion, in Henry Kissinger's Essays on American Foreign Policy, about how rulers in some cultures must seem defiant to continue to have any domestic support.

In any case, there remains the doctrine, in general Just War theory and specifically in Article 33 of the Fourth Geneva Convention, that collective punishment is a war crime. If Hezbollah has wildly inaccurate rockets, but Israel has precision guided munitions, it is incumbent on Israel to avoid collateral damage as much as possible, and to retaliate in a proportionate manner.

For example, if Hezbollah is flying in ammunition, it's proportionate response to crater the runways and perhaps leave delayed-action explosions. Runways are relatively easy to fix, but obviously the airport can't be used while the runways are broken. Destroying air traffic control radars would have to be a more considered use of proportionality, since their replacement might take months.

It's extremely hard to establish that attacking the electrical power system will hurt Hezbollah significantly, and also not hurt civilians more than it hurts Hezbollah.

The situation is a mess.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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Check the rest of this thread or any other thread about the current conflict. There's lots they can do, but the main is DON'T BOMB AREAS THAT HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH HEZBOLLAH.

Remember, Hezbollah hadn't fired any rockets at Israel until AFTER Israel had started indiscriminately bombing Lebanon. Israel's initial bombing was the first undue and ineffective escalation.

Even if it was necessary for Israel to bomb Hezbollah, Israel should have at least confined the bombing to the south of Lebanon, which is where the rockets are being fired from.

Oh yeah, and Israeli leadership has admitted that the bombing campaign has little chance of either freeing the Israeli soldiers or destroying Hezbollah. So explain again to me how it's about self-defense? The Israeli campaign is a callous political move by a weak government being run by the military.

If you can think of any way to defend the targeted bombing of a Lebanese army barracks in which 11 soliders died, I'd like to hear it. Keep in mind that Israel claims that 1) it's not attacking Lebanon, but Hezbollah, and 2) it wants the Lebanese army to come south to engage Hezbollah. Oh, also, the unit bombed wasn't even a combat unit.

"Remember, Hezbollah hadn't fired any rockets at Israel until AFTER Israel had started indiscriminately bombing Lebanon. Israel's initial bombing was the first undue and ineffective escalation."

I've got a defective memory, apparently, because I recall it quite differently, with Hezbollah launching their missiles and mortars at Shebaa Farms and Shlomi, and sending a raiding party across the border through a tunnel they'd probably spent years digging, and Israel attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon in response to those attacks.

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By all acounts, Hizballah has not done any serious rocket firing for a year or so, except when Israel violated the Lebanese border with their aircraft, which they do frequently.

News reports today indicate military analysts have pretty much concluded that Israel has been planning this operation for a year, and Hizballah has been planning for the Israeli invasion for the last six years.

In other words, this appears to be a continuation of the events that created Hizballah in the first place.

The only difference is the timing - that appears to be based either on Israel's perception that time for continued support of its program is running out, OR that Israel or the US sees an opportunity to roll up all its enemies by starting a war with Syria and Iran - depending on which analyst you read.

Nasrallah told Israel five months ago that if Israel didn't release Lebanese hostages that Hibzallah would take an Israeli soldier hostage in order to arrange a swap.

So Israel knew this was coming for at least five months - and did nothing to prevent it or open negotiations.

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You're right, there were rockets and mortars fired at Shelomi when the Israel soldiers were attacked (five civilians injured). I still think the bombing of the International airport constitutes an unnecessary escalation, as does the rest of Israel's conduct.

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It's stupid glib answers like Transhumans that make people ask questions of why is Israel being blamed for Hezbulla terrorism and have folks rooting for Israel even if it means many innocent civilians are hurt or killed.
Is this a joke? Do you have any idea how Hezbollah got its start? And again, its really silly to say that Transhuman makes you blindly root for Israel. Does every glib comment you hear force you to lose your critical faculties? Give me a break.
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Tell me, in what context does the forcible relocation of 500,000 civilians constitute self-defense? Seriously, I would love to hear you defend this in any context. I don't need a "lawyer that work in that area on NPR" to tell me that that's wrong. Sorry if I'm not willing to abandon my critical faculties to the biased coverage in the US (and really, this is a no-brainer anyway). Regardless, Israel is now targeting Lebanese television stations with no relation to Hezbollah, so the coverage out of Lebanon will likely get even more one-sided.

And if we're going by expert assessments, I'll take Kofi Annan over "lawyer that work in that area" any day:

"Israel's disproportionate use of force and collective punishment must stop." -UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, 26 July 2006
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And again, its really silly to say that Transhuman makes you blindly root for Israel. Does every glib comment you hear force you to lose your critical faculties? Give me a break.

I think you need better reading skills.

Just say no to 0 ratings. Especially from petey, the ratings spammer.

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Tell me, in what context does the forcible relocation of 500,000 civilians constitute self-defense? Seriously, I would love to hear you defend this in any context.

You want a context? Any context? Now, I am not saying that this is today's context. And I am not saying that this is necessarily the best strategy....

But imagine you're a state with a neighbor that has a non-state actor tossing rockets over your border. Those rockets are inaccurate devices. They are small, portable, and hard to detect. They are not aimed at your military, and they are in fact killing your civilians. Your neighbor is either not able to stop the non-state actor, or is actually encouraging its behavior. The non-state actor hides amongst the civilian population.

This goes on repeatedly, for years.

Do you say, gosh, I can't declare war on the neighbor, they really aren't in control. And gosh, I don't know where these rockets are, and I don't want to hurt the civilians indiscriminately. And do you say, "civilians, get the fuck out of your villages, because we are going to bomb the shit out of them, because frankly, we have a bigger responsibility to our own civilians than to you. So get the fuck out of there."

(Apologies to jhaber for using bad words.)

Seems like self-defense to me.

I don't like it. I don't agree with it.

What I don't like about the current situation is not necessarily the bombing of Hezbollah targets in the middle of a town, nor Israel dropping leaflets telling people to get out. I think that has some justification. I think that blowing up bridges and roads to Beirut, WHILE telling people to leave the south is terribly problematic.

Of course, I also think your comments above show that this conversation is pretty worthless, you seem to find lots of refuge yourself in simplistic and easy statements.

Just say no to 0 ratings. Especially from petey, the ratings spammer.

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To spell it out for Howard, who rated the above post a 1 without including his reasoning or counterargument, I NEVER SAID WHAT IT WAS CLAIMED I SAID.

I said, "in my perverse moments" meaning, that is not what I normally think. And I said, something like "makes people ask" meaning that some people are swayed by that.

So I don't really fit into the claim that I lose my critical thinking when faced with a glib argument. Just that I get annoyed with glib arguments.

So then Mr. Howard Ratings 1 Giver, see how much more interesting a conversation is, than just randomly rating up or down without providing your reasoning?

I realize guys this is controversial, but your ratings should not be based on whether or not you personally approve of the argument.

And instead of downrating, about just uprating, and walking away?


Just say no to 0 ratings. Especially from petey, the ratings spammer.

May I suggest that you read the site's guidelines on ratings, and, if you have trouble understanding them, ask questions? My rating had nothing whatsoever to do with the substance of your argument. It had to do with the clarity and courtesy with which you delivered it, which is the goal of the rating system.

In point of fact, it is not at all unusual not to explain a rating, because, in the interest of avoiding conflict of interest, there is a guideline that if one is directly involved in the discussion, objectivity may be less than perfect.

I downrated you for sarcasm in general, the unintelligible comment about "Just say no to 0 ratings. Especially from petey, the ratings spammer."

My ratings had nothing to do with the substance of your argument, but the style of your delivery. "Stupid glib rating", for example, contributes nothing but petulance to the discussion.

Oh -- precisely what is "instead of downrating, about just uprating, and walking away" supposed to mean? Why should you be uprated?

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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The rockets that Hezbollah are firing are unaimable and only carry a couple hundred pounds of explosives. That isn't to minimize the loss of life that they are causing, or to suggest that Hezbollah firing them is acceptable (it isn't). However, how can they destroy major population centers with them?

They can cause significant destruction if used in the way for which they were designed, saturation of areas. While I don't know the exact model they used, assuming the original BM-13 132mm Katyusha, they carry only 22kg/48 pounds of explosive.

In WWII, the Soviets typically would launch a simultaneous salvo from a battalion of 18 truck-mounted launchers, each launcher with 48 rocket tubes. For this purpose, relative inaccuracy was an advantage rather than a disadvantage, because the 864 rockets would blanket an area of about one square kilometer.

The newer BM-21 GRAD system launches 720 rockets in a volley, and these rockets may be more effective. Nevertheless, this kind of artillery rocket will destroy "soft" targets such as people, trucks, and wooden and some brick building. Other than with a lucky hit, a very lucky hit, they won't hurt a tank or a bunker. Even with commercial concrete buildings, they aren't likely to cause structural collapse.

Newer systems, such as the US M270 MLRS or the Soviet BM-30 Smerch, have greater range and larger rockets. Those missiles may weigh close to a ton, so the Hezbollah technique of launching one or two rocket from a ramp and driving away is simply impossible with these larger battlefield rockets.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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"unaimable" bombs cause terror and are untenable. Hidden amongst the general population, by an accepted faction of the central government, are cause for war. The fact that this was allowed to happen, for as long as the builup took, shows how stupid the "roadmap" was. Add to this the civil war in Iraq, and we have the ingredients for the war to end all wars.

I'd hesitate to call artillery rockets, used in a proper battlefield role, unaimable. For the original role, they are sufficiently accurate to hit a dispersed target, such as an artillery battery or a command post.

Used singly from a launching ramp, yes, they cannot be expected to hit anything much smaller than a square kilometer. Unless you have something against a large urban park, there are no plausible targets in a city for a single area weapon. It would be a different situation if you fired large volleys at things like factories.

OTOH, do realize these particular weapons are not very big and can be smuggled fairly easily. I'd guess I could carry 40 or so in my old Jeep.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

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