Heard Round the World, for a Change
Now that Bush has been caught with his pants down, there's excellent reason, Schadenfreude* aside, for news organizations to circulate the now-infamous video of Bush getting down with Tony Blair about Hizbollah and Israel. As one of Josh’s correspondents just wrote, it has nothing to do with the s-word.
The reason to go public with the excremental footage is that virtually the whole of the Bush era normally takes place under deep cover. It's locked in an undisclosed linguistic location. It's secret. It’s out of bounds. It’s obscured by clouds of talking points. The fact that what goes on backstage is unknown is not considered worthy of notice. Judgments of stupendous weight take place routinely while Washington journalists pretend (or worse, believe) that a reasonable decision-making process is going on backstage in headquarters. Talk about Teflon.
This is why we know virtually nothing about the inside dealings of the Bush White House except for what Ron Suskind has unearthed in his indispensable two books and two articles (on John DiIulio and “reality-based” thinking).
All the evidence adds up: Bush does not reason. He does not sort through alternative analyses or proposals. He seals critics away. He seals his own advisors away. He wings it. Here is what Richard Armitage told Suskind (after leaving office): “There was never any policy process to break, by Condi of anyone else. There was never one from the start. Bush didn’t want one, for whatever reason. One was never started.”
Bush loyalists like to insist that that somebody sensible is in charge. So now it’s a bit harder for them to deny—though, if I have my guess, Bill Kristol & Co. will find a way. How about this, Fred Barnes? The smart stuff goes on backstage. The George-and-Tony video is only boys chawin’ together because they’re so confident they’re on the right track.
*Schadenfreude isn't the right term, actually, now that the Middle East is burning up while Bush mumbles and scarfs down his lunch, but my German fails me.
P. S. Re "partisanship." Some posters are annoyed that I'm sounding partisan. This is like accusing an actor of being a thespian. The question is not whether you're partisan, the question is whether you give rational reasons for your partisanship. Accusers, please note.















Todd
The partisan nonsense you have been spewing is beginning to get old.
Bush has not been "caught with his pants down."
If you are of the belief that this Israeli offensive was not pre-ordained (and years in the making) then I would argue it is you who has been duped.
Indeed, Bush's disinterested neutrality on the matter indicates, to anyone who has the power of observation, that it was not only not a surprise, but was expected.
July 17, 2006 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gettysburg,
Is there still a difference between pre-ordained and expected?
July 17, 2006 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
The scary part about Bush's comment is that he thinks Syria can snap its fingers and order Hezbollah to cool it.
The guy knows squat about the Middle East! And he's in charge. That's the truly scary part.
July 17, 2006 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
WiscIdea
It is not just the President. The White House appears to be staffed by sometimes well-intentioned people who have no clue about any culture other than their own (Texas redux). Experts are ignored, disparaged, and, if they disagree publicly given a swift boat treatment. The Supreme Court is disparaged if it refers to foreign precedents (virtually all of US law is based on "foreign" precedents of one origin or another). The United Nations is delegitimized for incorporating foreign perspectives in discussions (which is, oddly, its mission). Those who point out the administration's mistakes are traitors.July 17, 2006 1:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only thing I wonder about here is that the commentary on Bush's "off mike" comments from the right wing are not exclusively negative. On fark.com, a significant number of posters praised Bush for, once again, his plain talk. And his comments reinforce his thesis that Iran and Syria are the true powers behind Hezbollah, and reinforce the idea that there's no difference between Bush the public "diplomat" and Bush the private one.
Am I the only one to suspect that he knew the mike was open?
July 17, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would say that "years in the making" points toward "pre-ordained". Which means that gettysburg thinks that the current round of slaugher in the Middle East was carefully planned and eagerly awaited by Bush and his Israeli counterparts. And gettysburg thinks that this is a GOOD thing.
The surprising thing is that "friends of Israel" (I put quotes around because most of their opponents wish Israel well) often agree with the claims that oppenents make, and for which other friends of Israel launch accusations of anti-Semitism.
As we see, the claims that pro-Israeli lobby largely controls American foreign policy elicits these reactions:
1. yes! and goodness gracious that they are so effective
2. yes! and this is not right
3. no! whoever says so, must have his head (or at least, his intentions) examined
I would love to see a discussion between representatives of group 1 and 3, as the suspicion of anti-Semitism would be factored out.
July 17, 2006 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kotzwonne?
July 17, 2006 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, maybe I'm missing a trick here but what was wrong with Bush's comments. He is right on Syria and he declared his intention to make a serious diplomatic bid to resolve the problem by having condi go over. Todd, could you please take a moment free from Bush hatred, stop playing partisan politics, and address the substance. Thanks.
July 17, 2006 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pardner, they sure don't understand that lib'rul culture in Austin. Now, they like to say they're workingmen like the wildcatters in Houston, but mebbe more like the money men for the awl bidness in Dallas. Fort Worth is somethin' they'd scrape off their boots, if they knew enough to wear 'em.
They got some value, though, in makin' the Aggies feel int'lectual.
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
July 17, 2006 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whether this Middle East uproar was years in the making, pre-ordained or whatever is neither here nor there. What is significant is that the Iranians have out maneuvered the Bush administration in the Middle East.
There is no question that Hizbullah is a creature of Iran and that Iran is "The Hand That Feeds the Fire". Iran is waging a stealthy war on Israel and the United States and the Bush administration made it possible by invading Iraq and removing the strategic balance to Iranian radicals.
The Bush administration is playing catch-up as fast as they can. The media are silly to give time and attention to Bush's expletive deleted instead of covering the foreign policy shortcomings and miscues (not to mention the failure of the Cheney preemptive war theory) and raise questions about the future U.S. foreign policy.
July 17, 2006 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check today's news -- the "pants down" bit was about the open mic. Bush was indeed caught with his pants down. Unless you agree with ned, below, that it was pre-planned?
PS, what's wrong with partisanship? Is Todd Gitlin, or anyone here, supposed to be non-partisan?
Have questions about the Cafe? Try here.
July 17, 2006 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
yes, you're missing a trick, architect.
the idea that all that has to happen is for syria to tell hezbollah to stop isn't "right."
the idea that bush "declared his intention" isn't true: these were not public remarks.
the substance is that bush has wasted america's moral authority and, in fact, through his manichean rhetoric, has encouraged the israeli reaction. the substance is that the events show a significant risk of spiralling out of control, and yet bush and his team seem unable to come to terms with that.
July 17, 2006 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
"PS, what's wrong with partisanship? Is Todd Gitlin, or anyone here, supposed to be non-partisan?"
there are many things wrong with it in general but I'll confine myself just to this case. Here we have a major crisis in the M East and Todd's immediate reaction is to recycle the same old tired talking points about how bad Bush is. Everyone chimes in and feels good about themselves-- How lucky we are to have a president who is wrong and the root cause of the problem 100% of the time! I didn't vote for him but I get sick and tired of this. Like others on this site, I have family over there and others I know who may be called up. It was refreshing to hear that Bush is thinking of sending Condi and that he understands the role Syria is likely playing. And the response from my side, same old same old. blah, blah, bush is stupid, blah, blah. get a grip. I worry that we're becoming worse than the Clinton haters.
July 17, 2006 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Piotr,
I don't know. I'll hold out to hear from Gettysburg himself on that score. But the reason I ask is that, while appreciating that some corners of common wisdom insist that Israel has "eagerly awaited" a Hizbollah attack on and abduction of Israeli soldiers within their own borders, the historical record seems to suggest otherwise.
For example, Israel had warned of Lebanon's and UNIFIL's non-compliance with 425 and its subsequent resolutions back in November of last year:
Seems a little more like a warning, coupled with an urgent appeal for compliance, than eager anticipation.
July 17, 2006 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
Bush is about to discover - Syria's not a charitable organization
July 17, 2006 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
All true. And did you know that it was the Iranians who fabricated all that false wmd information and fed it to Ahmad Chalabi to give do Dick Cheney to trick the Americans into taking out their worst enemy, Saddam Hussein for them? And by the way, the Iranians have a secret nuclear program supported by North Korea (who they're in bed with) and expect to have a nuclear weapon of their own any minute now? And not only that, but the Iranians shot down and ate all of Santa Claus's reindeer and so now there won't be any Christmas because Santa is in a dungeon in Tehran? And did you know that Jacques Chirac's real name is Mustapha Ali Achmed Khomanalli? And not only that, but Iran has a microship inserted into the penis of each Hezbollah member so they can only get a stiffy when Ahminajad smiles? And he only smiles when he's feeding puppies to wood chippers?
July 17, 2006 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have no idea how much influence Syria (or Iran) have with Hezbollah, though I'm led to believe it's not insignificant. On that score, I'm not sure that what Bush said is entirely stupid (and I could care less if he said 'shit' - shit, I did too).
But my first reaction was that this is another indication that this administration still hasn't lost the old mindset that all significant terrorist organizations must be backed by a state.
July 17, 2006 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
"Disinterested neutrality"? War criminal is more like it. Our Huckster is at it again.
"Disinterested neutrality"? Gettysberg may be pulling our legs or his..no matter.
The Bush/Blair exchange reveals that once again
July 17, 2006 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
July 17, 2006 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
Try again..
Peace Howard
Maybe those cowboys and girls a fixin anutha mixin...
Should finish the other two wars they started...
Top US General: Iraq War 'Just Beginning'
Or maybe a draft, a tax increase, and a nice subsidy for the stiffs paying for energy at 150 bbl sweet crude landed NYC
July 17, 2006 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Crissie
Iran has not out-maneuvered anyone. Nor have they duped anyone. Does it not seem likely that Bush is stepping aside to see if perhaps Israel can get the job done on their own before any serious action is taken against Tehran?
Any substantive Israeli success is unlikely and Bush certainly knows this but in his mind it is certainly worth a try. If and when the Israeli military campaign winds down then you will see what the U.S. and its allies has in store for Iran.
July 17, 2006 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea of the terrorist organization as a free-floating nation (v. nation-state) is scary to all of us. The rules are changing. Bush's problem is that he's still stuck in this old paradigm where the way to solve foreign problems is to roll a tank into some capital and pull down the statute of their leader and voila!- insta-ally!
But, to be fair to both of them, I'm not sure that we're not all reading too much into this small exchange between meetings. Nothing that was said (including the use of the s-word) was really offensive- and in some ways I think it showed him moving AWAY from this paradigm. Last term's Bush may very well of come out in favor of blasting Lebanon on accusations of harboring terrorists and unconditionally supported Israel without the 'civillian' warning.
Or, at any rate, one can dream...
July 17, 2006 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
A Window into All Hat No Cattle Diplomatic Farce
I come away with it just as I did when Olmert went into Gaza. Bush is a puppet on Israel's string Each time Israel has gone bonkers over the past 6 years, Bush has had a visit from the Israeli PM. Had one in May right???July 17, 2006 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jexster
I'm sorry that you failed to see the sarcasm in my "disinterested neutrality" comment.
July 17, 2006 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
Iran is going to have a bomb. Hizbollah, Southern Lebanon. Hamas Palestine. And those southern Iraq oil fields where crude comes out at less than $2/bbl......
A fund for Hamas and Hizbollah..
And Cowboy George..why he's having PM Maliki over to the WH for some fixins and grazins..
Maliki - Dawa Party - Islamist founders of the Party of God
Wonder if God mentioned that in their last conversation???
July 17, 2006 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Architect,
If you don't think that exposing Bush's failures and by extension the Republican Party's failures aren't part of the solution then I am confused.
Do you still have faith in these charlatans?
I mean damn it man, did you see Bill Kristol and Newt Gingrich publicly encourage America to attack Iran and start World War Three on the Sunday talking head circut? How will we avert disaster, unless the American public sees the incompetent warmongers for who they are and has a chance to vote for the sensible party in 2006?
In short, how is it realistic not to be a partizan in 2006?
You seem to forget that people dislike Bush and the Republicans for the substance of their decisions not the Presidents personal style. Although, when the style reflects the poverty of his abilities, it is just and suitible to mock him. In fact it's down right patriotic to do so.
July 17, 2006 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea of the terrorist organization as a free-floating nation (v. nation-state) is scary to all of us.
To tangent, when I read this, my first thought was that we should take solace in the fact that terrorism fits into categories that aren't new, and have been dealt with. Specifically, I thought of the words of an American judge, when he allowed a Paraguayan family to take legal action against the official who tortured their boy to death, suing in the U.S. for violating international law:
When the oceans were effectively beyond the bounds of law, piracy was a sort of nation unto itself. When there was no international consensus around slavery, demand would always meet supply. A major part of the story of the social justice advances made in recent human history has to do with international law, and the diplomatic pressure that groups of nations can exert on others to do the right thing. The point behind hostii humani generis is that certain crimes are so beyond the pale that any nation is obliged to prosecute them - practiced universally, this denies the pirate a port to land, and the slavetrader the profit motive. The same could happen here, if we were moving in a direction of greater consensus and unity among nations, rather than less.
Ah, shit.
July 17, 2006 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
J
What exactly is it that you propose? You cleverly cite how Bush is throwing everything away yet you never propose what you think the proper course of action is...
But then again the entire Democratic Party seems to suffer from this syndrome.
July 17, 2006 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
NO.
July 17, 2006 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
cscs
Let's leave the "caught with his pants down" references to Bill Clinton. I think it's good that everyone heard Bush talking to Blair.
By the way, Blair's response was far more impressive rhetorically than the gaffe Bush committed. When asked about it Blair responded that it was merely a sign of "transparent government."
July 17, 2006 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I seem to recall this same conversation happening twenty years ago, when another president joked about nuclear conflagration.
July 17, 2006 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those stating that Syria can't get Hezbollah to withdraw know this how? Is it because you believe Iran not Syria is the main influence over Hezbollah?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 17, 2006 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortunately, Bush pretty much is the cause of the problem at the time. (And by "Bush," I mean the Bush Administration.)
I'm not sure how anything Bush says could be categorized as "refreshing."
Hasn't this Administration proven their incompetence and cluelessness enough to you?
You're still willing to give them one more shot?
You think anyone on the Republican side is extending an honest, bipartisan hand?
Have questions about the Cafe? Try here.
July 17, 2006 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
What reference can I use for Bush?
Something to do with a pet goat, perhaps?
Everything about Blair is far more impressive than our boy Bush.
Have questions about the Cafe? Try here.
July 17, 2006 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
A thank you for Todd Gitlin
Cheers!
July 17, 2006 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Listen up, people. Your president is talking -- (from today's edition of the Guardian):
``You eight hours? Me too. Russia's a big country and you're a big country. Takes him eight hours to fly home. Not Coke, diet Coke. ... Russia's big and so is China. Yo Blair, what're you doing? Are you leaving,'' Bush said.
----------------
Yo Blair!
Hmm...
PS: God help us. What did we do to deserve this?????
July 17, 2006 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on, Howard, Bush ain't no real Texan. I called the Cowboy Authentication Work-group (COW) in Crawford, and they said as far as they got on authentication was Bush's claim of birthplace: "We sarched and sarched, but couldn't find no Kenny's Bunkhouse in the whole guldern state!" they said.
Neoboho
July 17, 2006 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Personally I think Hezbollah is the main influence over Hezbollah, Daniel. Iran's support of Hezbollah is akin to the US support of the Afghanis during the Soviet occupation - the support is contingent on Iran's interests. Syria is another matter. One Beirut commentator described that relationship as a "loveless marriage that endures because their common interests demand it." It's complex, to say the least, and of course not without guilt.
I haven't been able to connect the dots in a credible way, but my suspicion is that Hezbollas recent attacks are intimately connected with the recent ouster of Syria from Lebanon. If you read the essay linked to above, you'll see that Syria had historically put a lot of restraint on Hezbollah, which quite possibly they are no longer able to do. "Blowback", maybe.
I also suspect that either Iran's or Syria's influence on Hezbollah is reduced vis a vis the Iraq war, which certainly must be inspiring jihadists now. And that was the warning Bush received before he invaded - destabilizing the entire region. It seems to be unfolding before our eyes.
Neoboho
July 17, 2006 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
July 17, 2006 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the get-go, it seems to me, the very fact that terrorists are free-floating meant that we should have responded with multinational police action, starting with 9/11. The biggest mistake has been to haul out the military (not to mention invade the wrong country). Taking the military into Afghanistan as presumed terrorist HQ made some sense. But for a lot of reasons, most of them highly questionable, we continue to regard our military as the solution. I think they've proven not to be.
How about a real international intelligence and policing capability? How about getting rid of these post-Wilsonian, pocket-lining, faux populist, chicken hawks -- I mean like forever, for god's sake. Dump them, and never promote their kind to leadership ever again. Hostii humani generis? Does that describe the Bush administration or what!
July 17, 2006 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's leave the "caught with his pants down" references to Bill Clinton.
Gettysburg, you betray your small mind. Would you really rather have a president who is completely faithful to his Stepford (and formerly alcoholic, and murderous) wife (and is a complete nincompoof as the history, and the future of the world is concerned), or would you rather have one who made the world a safer place, reduced our national deficit etcetera, etcetera, etcetera?
What would you prefer? World domination? By the US The most deserving population in the world? Our president is a pig. Just watch it on TV!
Jan Knaus
July 17, 2006 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jan
At the personal level I like both Clinton and Bush. Clinton was cautious. Bush was bold. Clinton never made a move to anger anyone. Bush has.
Different kinds of leadership; neither particularly great.
July 17, 2006 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with Gettyburg and Brittney Spears. We should just trust Bush. Gettysburg is right to quote Blair in his remark about how transparent our government is, what could illustrate open gov't better than an open mike?
Somewhere in the future all the tens of thousands of dead from the Bush wars will be 'worth it'. When we don't know. I am counting on Gettysburg to tell us when it has been worth it to him, with the specifics detailed enough to justify thousands of Americans having sacrificed their lives.
July 17, 2006 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Froomkin also has this from the Guardian (no commentary necessary):
" The camera is focused elsewhere and it is not clear whom Bush is talking to, but possibly Chinese President Hu Jintao, a guest at the summit.
"Bush: Gotta go home. Got something to do tonight. Go to the airport, get on the airplane and go home. How about you? Where are you going? Home?
"Bush: This is your neighborhood. It doesn't take you long to get home. How long does it take you to get home?
" Reply is inaudible.
"Bush: Eight hours? Me too. Russia's a big country and you're a big country.
" At this point, the president seems to bring someone else into the conversation.
"Bush: It takes him eight hours to fly home.
" He turns his attention to a server.
"Bush : No, Diet Coke, Diet Coke.
" He turns back to whomever he was talking with.
"Bush: It takes him eight hours to fly home. Eight hours. Russia's big and so is China."
July 17, 2006 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
If my only choice is between Iran and Syria, I'll have to give the nod to Iran.
There is far more evidence to support that supposition and before this crisis, I don't recall the Israelis making a huge security issue of the linkage between the two entities. Syria was regulary making diplomatic overatures to Sharon and was always rejected. No doubt Sharon had his tactical reasons for refusing to open a dialogue with Syria, but according to The Forward, it was also American policy that he do so.
Why would this administration stymie rather than support a "roadmap" between Israel and Syria? Weakening Syria even further was/is the goal.
Syria's brand spanking new ambassador to the UN, Dr. Jafar Ja'afari, didn't excuse Hezbollah's actions and stated they were no one's mercenaries. But probably because he's a newbie, he let something slip that gives one pause:
"He also insisted that Israel's "nuclear centers" could eventually be targeted by Hezbollah.
"Nobody wants to talk about [Hezbollah] attacks on those nuclear centers do they? They could have radiation fallout all over the region."
It is unclear what nuclear facilities the Syrian was referring to.
Israel's main nuclear installation is outside the city of Dimona in the Negev desert. The facility, several hundred miles south of the Lebanese border, is well defended from potential attacks.
The Syrian insisted that his government knows of "seven such nuclear centers all over the country." He refused to provide any additional details."
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/ic/2006/7/14/62952.shtml
(This is the only source for this story about the extra nuclear facilities, even though the article says that the Dr spoke with reporters, plural.)
Dark actors playing games, indeed.
Sometimes I think the rest of us are all a just a bunch of silly shmucks arguing over who's moving and holding the Monopoly tokens.
July 17, 2006 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel Lobby Watch
The Cowboy may be All Hat/No Cattle but...
The Wars By Slogans Continue - and no one listens any more
and Ahmadinejad's laughing all the way back from the Martyr's Cemetary
July 17, 2006 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bronto
I have more friends and family members serving in the military (many in Iraq) than most.
Many criticize me for perpetuating the Neocon agenda. I have written serveral times over the past few days how the U.S. will stand to gain enormously from a Middle Eastern war. It would be ideal if Bush was content to let Israel "duke it out" themselves without getting American forces involved in the region further. I think that there is a possibility of that but it's too soon to tell.
The point I wish to make is that the men and women of our armed forces who fight are doing so because they are soldiers. Any soldier who faces an enemy in combat is a hero in my estimation. The black and white ignorance which the Democrats have shown toward the Iraq War (and now the Middle East War) belies the fact that our soldiers are worthy of the same praises as those who fought in any previous war.
In short, even if the war(s) are grounded in economics, that does not mean that our men and women are dying "for no reason." Economics, I'm afraid, is everything these days. We should all get used to that.
Perhaps the current crisis is different because never before has economics been so obviously and patently the true motive of war. That much I grant you. But it is hardly unprecedented. As I have mentioned before, World War I was masked by alliances, Africa, pagentry, and long-standing European rivalries; yet the root cause was economics.
You ask me when I believe these wars will have been "worth it?"
To me, they will have been worth it when the interests of American markets (and those of our allies) are no longer threatened by destabilizing factors such as Hezbollah, Al Qaeda, Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, Hamas, etc.
The idyllic vision of spreading Democracy to these lands is not something which the United States should concern itself with. Bush has been glaringly wrong for even using such arguments in his daily discourse (whether he is actually serious about spreading democracy or not). Even theocratic governments should not be outwardly judged by the United States so long as they do their part to maintain the essential peace.
Of course, this view implicitly implies that a certain degree of conformity is required by these anti-American nations. Yet since the dawn of man the most powerful civilizations have reserved the right to implement its vision in one degree or another over those less fortunate tribes.
Before blasting me as being immoral please take a moment to acknowledge that this is how things have always been; even well before the Biblical era.
Even still the United States (and the West for that matter) has devised a game in which benefits are easily obtained for those who willingly submit to its bylaws. The United Arab Emirates, for example, plays the West's game and in return is without a doubt the safest country in the entire region, not to mention the wealthiest nation, per capita, in the entire world. Saudi Arabia, India, and Jordan are other success stories. Even Pakistan and Egypt have undergone remarkable reformations in the last five years.
Peace is what everyone wants. I will be satisfied when the scattered elements of dissidence are exterminated.
In a household there are rules governed by the parents and older, more powerful siblings. When one or two "bad seeds" take root and wish to defy the rules of the house, action must be taken to rectify this problem.
July 17, 2006 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. As a "values" statement, that sure fits into the America of today.
July 17, 2006 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
PW
It was a values statement but not necessarily a bad one. I am not anti-semitic, anti-Islamic, or anti-Christian. I believe in the Constitution. I also believe every nation has a right to look out for its own best interests so long as they they follow international law. To the letter.
I know Iraq will be used as a reply but technically speaking the war was legal because Saddam Hussein did posess banned weapons, even if they were old.
July 17, 2006 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yikes! It's Gitmo for me; I peed in a shopping center parking lot in 1957.
Neoboho
July 17, 2006 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to agree.
I'm agreeing with Gettysburg! Oh, boy...hell has frozen over.
He's absolutely correct - Bush and Olmert planned this offensive along with Cheney and the neocons and the hardliners in the IDF.
There's little doubt.
Justin Raimondo's current column laments how repetitive it is because he's been predicting this sort of thing for the last year or two - see his list of quotes from previous columns doing so.
This part of his column is particularly apt here, given all the Ivo Daalders and the like telling me that Iran was not going to be attacked because Condi Rice was in charge, that Bush had gone the diplomatic route, or that Bush would do nothing, or that the US wouldn't attack because Iran "could cause trouble in Lebanon":
"Another war, a silent war, is going on in the corridors of power, and the fighting in the Middle East, in an important sense, is merely a reflection of a long, bitter internecine struggle in Washington. Those Republican "realists" we hear so much about – holdovers from the Bush I regime, "realist" policy wonks, and those Republicans who look at the polls – have their champion (or best hope, at any rate) in Condoleezza Rice. Her personal relationship with the president and her elevation to head of the State Department have led several commentators to equate this as a victory for the "realists."
The neoconservative ideologues, who have been the radical vanguard of the War Party all along, certainly believe this, which is why Richard Perle recently took her on in the Washington Post. The Condi faction temporarily gained the upper hand when they came out with a policy on Iran that had been worked on in secret and took the road of negotiation rather than outright military confrontation and "regime change."
The Israeli answer: invade Lebanon, force the issue, and go for the throat. With the Israel lobby going full-bore and the propaganda mills churning, the invasion undermines the Rice faction and puts the issue of regime-change back on the administration's agenda. While that change of regime will, initially, be limited to southern Lebanon, where Hezbollah operates a de facto independent state, it will eventually – the neocons hope – extend to the whole of the country, topple Bashar al-Assad in Syria – and, eventually, spill over into Iran.
Dan Rather said on Chris Matthews' Sunday show that the road is littered with the corpses of those who underestimated Dick Cheney, and the reassertion of the neoconservative voice within this administration – a voice that many thought had been nearly stilled by the grotesque failure of our Iraqi disaster – is a testament to the validity of his thesis.
The neocons' comeback is made possible by the Democrats' complete prostration before the Israeli offensive."
And he's right.
July 17, 2006 8:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
WOW!!!!
As I completed your post I wanted to rock back in my chair, hand close to my face, palm away from me with pinky finger extended to the corner of my mouth, while letting out a loud...
Moohaaa haa haa, MOOHHAAA HAA HAAA.
If it were not for the very unsettling thoughts of Kristol & Gingrich's echoing some of your tendencies your post would be as comical as Dr. Evil. Unfortunately the world will not simple walk out of the theater happily musing over the show after this act.
_________________________________________________________
“I, ..., do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic..."
July 17, 2006 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, as Justin Raimondo points out in the article I reference above, the only country out-witting everybody else appears to be Israel - for the moment.
At least it's clear that Israel has outwitted Condi Rice - she thought she could persuade Bush to go the diplomatic route on Iran.
Israel, the neocons and Dick Cheney showed her how long that was going to last.
Meanwhile, Iran sits back and waits for Israel to bleed itself against Hizballah in Lebanon, while waiting for the US to attack it so it can bleed the US in a guerrilla war for the next ten years.
While neither Hizballah nor Iran can destroy Israel or the US, they can each bleed Israel and the US to the point where the game is no longer worth it.
July 17, 2006 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Technically" the Iraq war was legal? What utter horseshit.
The war was based on lies told by your President to a hysterical public. Your country waged a war of choice and aggression.
Your country has raped and robbed a defenseless nation. You have killed well over a hundred thousand Iraqi's, destroyed infrastructure, violated your promises, dismantled the economy in violation of international law and in service to a corrupt ideology and stole the place blind.
As for your 'soldiers' being heroes... yeah, that guy who raped and murdered a fourteen year old girl was a real hero all right. And his buddies who helped slaughter her family, burn the house and cover it all up, wow, they're heroes too.
The notion that a middle eastern war will be good for America is utterly beneath contempt.
July 17, 2006 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortunately the world will not simple walk out of the theater happily musing over the show after this act.
What "world" are you speaking of? I only know of one and it will do exactly as the United States and Europe tell it to do.
I'm not arguing that as a belief or a wish. I'm arguing that as a reality.
You know it's funny because I was talking to some politically disinterested friends of mine today and they had no idea there was a war going on in the Middle East. One of them had heard something about a missile attack "somewhere" but had no idea where or by whom.
Living in Los Angeles I can tell you that mainstream America is not dearly as dour and pessimistic as most at this website. Indeed, if everyone were to formulate their opinions based on what is written at TPM Cafe they would think that we are on the brink of the Apocalypse.
This "war," like the Iraq War, is a construct. It has been designed not as a means of delivering peace and democracy to a region but to root out terrorists and radicals that threaten certain financial interests.
I'm not yet particularly concerned about the Middle East conflagration because if it were genuinely a true world threat you would see the U.S., Europe, Russia, Japan, China, India, et al. stepping in. This is but a neighborhood spat.
July 17, 2006 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
"He also insisted that Israel's "nuclear centers" could eventually be targeted by Hezbollah.
'Nobody wants to talk about [Hezbollah] attacks on those nuclear centers do they? They could have radiation fallout all over the region.'
It is unclear what nuclear facilities the Syrian was referring to.
Israel's main nuclear installation is outside the city of Dimona in the Negev desert. The facility, several hundred miles south of the Lebanese border, is well defended from potential attacks.
The Syrian insisted that his government knows of 'seven such nuclear centers all over the country." He refused to provide any additional details.'"
This is PRECISELY the point I've been making for months here.
And it's scary that someone in the Middle East state apparatus is now onto it.
What this clearly means is exactly what I said: if terrorists get their hands on an Israeli nuclear weapons (which, however, is contingent on figuring out how to get it to work, which requires technical expertise which may or may not be accessible to Hizballah - although probably is to Iran), Israel is in big trouble.
"The facility, several hundred miles south of the Lebanese border, is well defended from potential attacks."
Military security, as Dick Marcinko and his Red Cell SEAL Team proved in the US, is a joke. Find enough smart terrorists and an Israeli nuclear weapon can be stolen.
"seven such nuclear centers all over the country."
This only reinforces the fact.
As I've said before, the WORST (or second worst) mistake the US, UN and Europe made in the ME was allowing Israel to build nuclear weapons.
Everybody complains that Iran shouldn't have nuclear weapons because "terrorists could get them" - the implication being that a sovereign state would hand their most powerful weapons over to terrorists they do not control, and from whom the blowback of doing so would seal that state's doom.
Nobody bothers to consider the possibility of THEFT of nuclear weapons - and since Israel has 100-400 such weapons, ranging from nuclear mines to nuclear-tipped cruise missiles, it would behoove the US, UN and Europe to start addressing this danger.
July 17, 2006 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me also add that Bush actually something like "I think Condi's going there soon..."
What? You think? Maybe? Are you not sure? HAVE YOU ACTUALLY TRIED TO FORMULATE A PLAN?!
Then we have the madness over forcing Americans to PAY to be evacuated by THEIR OWN GOVERNMENT from a WARZONE. Combined with the thought of this going on for days and no one in charge having the slightest idea how to respond makes me go incandescent with rage.
Since Republicans control this government it makes me want to have rather little to do with them except over the business end of a ballot. When one is drowning one does not add more weight to oneself under the pretext of being fair to the water.
July 17, 2006 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
....I have more friends and family members serving in the military (many in Iraq) than most.
...In short, even if the war(s) are grounded in economics, that does not mean that our men and women are dying "for no reason." Economics, I'm afraid, is everything these days.
....the Iraq War, is a construct. It has been designed not as a means of delivering peace and democracy to a region but to root out terrorists and radicals that threaten certain financial interests.
Do your friends and family in Iraq know they are fighting for 'certain financial interests', or do they believe all the Bush BS about freedom and democracy?
If they don't know the truth do you ever tell them the real reasons? Since you know the truth about the war is that why you don't sign up in the Noble Cause?
If the soldiers knew they were risking their lives to keep the salaries up on Wall Street and at Citibank, would that make them even more of a hero in your mind?
July 17, 2006 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
What "world" are you speaking of? I only know of one and it will do exactly as the United States and Europe tell it to do.
I'm not arguing that as a belief or a wish. I'm arguing that as a reality.
You're not arguing at all, you pathetic twink.
July 17, 2006 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
But for a lot of reasons, most of them highly questionable, we continue to regard our military as the solution. I think they've proven not to be.
That's where the Bush comment was troubling (to reiterate): it would make sense, in a way, if terrorism was necessarily state-supported to use the military to degrade the capacity of the terrorist apparati, and create disincentives to supporting it. But I think it's clear they're often not. So you're right.
July 18, 2006 12:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bronto
From what I have gathered in speaking with my friends and family in the military is that the said goals of the U.S. government are not what the average soldier has on his or her mind most of the time.
As we all know the U.S. military is the most nuanced organizational effort in the world. Everyone in it has their specific responsibilities which must be performed under any and all conditions in times of war.
This is important because when attempting to talk policy with my friends who have served (or are serving) in Iraq, they typically raise and eyebrow and shrug as if they've never given it much thought.
I'm relatively certain they're aware of the intense criticism of the conflict throughout the world...and at home. Yet they are all of a specific breed and when in a combat situation their complete, undivided attention is given to performing their duty.
Another interesting aspect is that they all mention how important the camaraderie between soldiers is. In fact, everyone of my acquaintences has, at one point or another, mentioned a "best friend" or "brother" that they met in the service. The sense of community and teamwork provides a physical and emotional means of accomplishing the work.
So to answer your question, everyone that I know personally in the military either does not know or does not care what the Bush administration says or what their motives might be. The best way I can sum it up is to say that for the soldier whose life is in danger everyday, the game of politics is not their concern. They have a mission and they are there to accomplish it.
July 18, 2006 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Squeaky Rat
I'm a "pathetic twink?"
Does that mean your are of the persuasion that Iran, Syria, Hamas, and Hezbollah will rule the world? If I am a twink for thinking the U.S., Britain, France, Germany, Russia, etc. will still dominate the world well after Bush leaves office, your belief must be the aforesaid scenario.
Or are you one of "those people" who argue that Bush will undo in 8 years what our country has collectively built for the previous 230? I only ask because there are actually people at this site who believe that. And they think Bush and Cheney are delusional...
July 18, 2006 1:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Valdron
You're argument is weak. You use pure qualitative emotion and tired verbage. What's more, moral arguments have no place in politics.
If it is your belief that every American soldier is a murderer/rapist, fine. You are entitled to your opinion. And it is just that, nothing more.
Is rape and murder tragic? Hell yes it is but it occurs in every war. If you have studied history you will know that the Iraq War is, in the grand scheme of things, a very boring military endeavor. It is a bit unique in that it is one of the few historical examples of a pre-emptive strike gestating into a prolonged affair.
Yet when bloggers come along wearing their emotions on their sleeve, like you do, I cannot help but wonder what it is that goes on in your mind?
Of course people dying is a tragedy. Of course the raping and pillaging of women is atrocious and vile. Nobody is suggesting otherwise. Not by a long shot.
But to participate in a worthy and progressive discussion about the issue you must be able to put those issues aside; especially if it is POLICY being discussed. What's more, you must understand how governments operate and WHY.
I appreciate and even respect the argument you made above. It is perhaps true that the mere notion of the U.S. benefiting from a M.E. war is "beneath contempt."
Yet if you were an elected official, or somebody working in government, you would likely sing a different tune; or at least acknowledge the "game" currently being played has agendas and ulterior motives at every turn.
What I'm saying is that no stimulating discourse can be created unless both sides of the debate can get past issues like "Bush lied," "Bush is Cheney's puppet," "The U.S. is torturing prisoners," "U.S. soldiers are raping Iraqi women," etc. I'm NOT saying these issues are unimportant. What I am saying is that discussions revolving those issues do not belong in policy debate. Furthermore, investigations and judicial oversight will eventually bring resolutions to those cases.
Policy debate revolves around cutting out the bullshit and focusing on who's doing what and who stands to gain. Once those questions are answered then you know the true motives behind the policy and you can put together an effort to change things if you so choose. By continuing the qualitative arguments such as "Bush Lied" or "We're Murdering and Raping innocent people" you are getting caught up in the atrocious details of war and are blinded from the actual policy discussion; which is where the power is at.
July 18, 2006 1:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are highlighting the biggest disconnect here, that of strategy and tactics. The average soldier doesn't care so much about why he is stationed in Iraq as much as he is about staying alive, keeping his buddies alive and getting the job of the day done.
What you are mistaking in your friends' attitudes is the way they block this thought of the strategic from their minds to concentrate on the tactics. If they were to think about why, it would distract and depress, and such distractions can be fatal.
To better get an idea of how soldiers think, though, look at how many veterans are running on GOP tickets, and how many are running as Democrats. The vast majority of veterans are against the current occupation of Iraq. It is a costly misadventure that only harms US interests and has crippled our Army.
July 18, 2006 2:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Naah...Dr Evil has more class than Gettysburg and more imagination.
I actually think more like Dr. Evil than Gettysburg. Gettysburg is just another amoral American who doesn't care about anybody else in the world except the US.
Neither do I, except I don't care for the US either. I only care about myself.
What distinguishes me from Gettysburg is that I can see that his attitude ends up destroying the US rather than supporting it. And that makes no sense to me from the point of view of correctness, despite any short term gains the rich here might make from such policies.
July 18, 2006 3:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
"This is important because when attempting to talk policy with my friends who have served (or are serving) in Iraq, they typically raise and eyebrow and shrug as if they've never given it much thought."
Right - as I always say, someone who joins a military and allows himself to be put in harms way by people he doesn't know who have plans he doesn't know for reasons he doesn't know - is an idiot and deserves to get killed.
And that applies whether you're in the US Army, the Chinese Army, the Russian Army, the Israeli Army, the Iranian Army or Hizballah or Al Qaeda.
No sentient entity ever puts himself in harms way for someone else. And I say that as an idiot who joined the US Army in 1967 and got sent to Vietnam. I learned.
July 18, 2006 3:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
That comment by Gitlin about American Jews having a greater sense of Israel in peril than Israelis is quite prescient. OK, now for the other shoe to drop. Now some people may be full of it any way you slice it enough to condemn someone for being partisan, or even for having a viewpoint (eg, of an ex-Left anti Leftist, say) that someone disagrees with. But another level of criticism entirely is when someone (a) never seems to deign to address any of their significant left critics, or, say, challenge Chomsky or Arundhati Roy to a debate about "anti-Americanism", and so forth. Then there are issues of substance "Liberals hope & Leftists sneer" (as a 'shorthand simplification' of course ...). Now that goes beyond merely disagreeing, and saying something that many many other liberals, most of whom never were on the Left so have no past to 'live down' or 'feel guilty about' or whatever, wouldn't quite swallow. There are issues like tagging people as antiAmerican (which even with more justification would be a little creepy), or commenting about Abbie Hoffman in the 60s that his unrealistic expression of optimism (both common then about the strength of the 'revolutionary' forces and very much Abbie's political style, while mine, for example, expresses the 'pessimism of the intellect', as it were, con brio) was due to being 'poor manic-depressive Abbie').
Other examples and issues abound, but one thing is that partisanship, even antiLeft can be argued on the substance, or treated wrong by presumption. The latter is always wrong, no less so when someone does so from a perch of secular advantage, and one should always be open to the former, and to when someone makes an insightful comment even if you criticize them.
I would be interested in a critique of how, in certain circles, the current conflict is treated as if Israel just started an attack out of the blue, while on the other hand, The New York Times and others, even while urging restraint on Israel, suggest that there's something odd about not limiting your targeting to those who did the attacking, and the pattern of retaliating against particular acts and atrocities by going after "them" (the Palestinians or other notions of collective guilt). It does appear that these retaliations come from off-the-shelf plans that were simply waiting for a pretext to be unleashed.
The latter is more than merely disturbing, and the silence about it from liberals is as dismaying as the lack of nuanced discussion of the crisis in Left circles. The latter (eg movement context) have an excuse -- as Gitlin well knows, the thick of a movement is not exactly a great venue for subtle contemplation. But the columnists and commentariat and political figures like Nadler are another matter.
Also, what about reports of Israel using depleted uranium and some claims of chemical warfare? Some would dismiss them out of hand while others assume the claims true.
Here are two articles I'd like to see some liberals answer:
on Israel's agenda:
Former MK and semi-official Sharon biographer Uri Avneri discusses Israel's motives in Lebanon
http://www.zmag.org/content/showarticle.cfm?SectionID=107&ItemID=10584
The Real Aim
by Uri Avnery
July 17, 2006
Gush Shalom
THE REAL aim is to change the regime in Lebanon and to install a puppet government.
That was the aim of Ariel Sharon's invasion of Lebanon in 1982. It failed. But Sharon and his pupils in the military and political leadership have never really given up on it.
As in 1982, the present operation, too, was planned and is being carried out in full coordination with the US.
As then, there is no doubt that it is coordinated with a part of the Lebanese elite.
That's the main thing. Everything else is noise and propaganda.
ON THE eve of the 1982 invasion, Secretary of State Alexander Haig told Ariel Sharon that, before starting it, it was necessary to have a "clear provocation", which would be accepted by the world.
The provocation indeed took place - exactly at the appropriate time - when Abu-Nidal's terror gang tried to assassinate the Israeli ambassador in London. This had no connection with Lebanon, and even less with the PLO (the enemy of Abu-Nidal), but it served its purpose.
This time, the necessary provocation has been provided by the capture of the two Israeli soldiers by Hizbullah. Everyone knows that they cannot be freed except through an exchange of prisoners. But the huge military campaign that has been ready to go for months was sold to the Israeli and international public as a rescue operation.
(Strangely enough, the very same thing happened two weeks earlier in the Gaza Strip. Hamas and its partners captured a soldier, which provided the excuse for a massive operation that had been prepared for a long time and whose aim is to destroy the Palestinian government.)
THE DECLARED aim of the Lebanon operation is to push Hizbullah away from the border, so as to make it impossible for them to capture more soldiers and to launch rockets at Israeli towns. The invasion of the Gaza strip is also officially aimed at getting Ashkelon and Sderot out of the range of the Qassams.
That resembles the 1982 "Operation Peace for Gallilee". Then, the public and the Knesset were told that the aim of the war was to "push the Katyushas 40 km away from the border".
That was a deliberate lie. For 11 months before the war, not a single Katyusha rocket (nor a single shot) had been fired over the border. From the beginning, the aim of the operation was to reach Beirut and install a Quisling dictator. As I have recounted more than once, Sharon himself told me so nine months before the war, and I duly published it at the time, with his consent (but unattributed).
Of course, the present operation also has several secondary aims, which do not include the freeing of the prisoners. Everybody understands that that cannot be achieved by military means. But it is probably possible to destroy some of the thousands of missiles that Hizbullah has accumulated over the years. For this end, the army chiefs are ready to endanger the inhabitants of the Israeli towns that are exposed to the rockets. They believe that that is worthwhile, like an exchange of chess figures.
Another secondary aim is to rehabilitate the "deterrent power" of the army. That is a codeword for the restoration of the army's injured pride that has suffered a severe blow from the daring military actions of Hamas in the south and Hizbullah in the north.
OFFICIALLY, THE Israeli government demands that the Government of Lebanon disarm Hizbullah and remove it from the border region.
That is clearly impossible under the present Lebanese regime, a delicate fabric of ethno-religious communities. The slightest shock can bring the whole structure crashing down and throw the state into total anarchy - especially after the Americans succeeded in driving out the Syrian army, the only element that has for years provided some stability.
The idea of installing a Quisling in Lebanon is nothing new. In 1955, David Ben-Gurion proposed taking a "Christian officer" and installing him as dictator. Moshe Sharet showed that this idea was based on complete ignorance of Lebanese affairs and torpedoed it. But 27 years later, Ariel Sharon tried to put it into effect nevertheless. Bashir Gemayel was indeed installed as president, only to be murdered soon afterwards. His brother, Amin, succeeded him and signed a peace agreement with Israel, but was driven out of office. (The same brother is now publicly supporting the Israeli operation.)
The calculation now is that if the Israeli Air Force rains heavy enough blows on the Lebanese population - paralysing the sea- and airports, destroying the infrastructure, bombarding residential neighborhoods, cutting the Beirut-Damascus highroad etc. - the public will get furious with Hizbullah and pressure the Lebanese government into fulfilling Israel's demands. Since the present government cannot even dream of doing so, a dictatorship will be set up with Israel's support.
That is the military logic. I have my doubts. It can be assumed that most Lebanese will react as any other people on earth would: with fury and hatred towards the invader. That happened in 1982, when the Shiites in the south of Lebanon, until then as docile as a doormat, stood up against the Israeli occupiers and created the Hizbullah, which has become the strongest force in the country. If the Lebanese elite now becomes tainted as collaborators with Israel, it will be swept off the map. (By the way, have the Qassams and Katyushas caused the Israeli population to exert pressure on our government to give up? Quite the contrary.)
The American policy is full of contradictions. President Bush wants "regime change" in the Middle East, but the present Lebanese regime has only recently been set up by under American pressure. In the meantime, Bush has succeeded only in breaking up Iraq and causing a civil war (as foretold here). He may get the same in Lebanon, if he does not stop the Israeli army in time. Moreover, a devastating blow against Hizbullah may arouse fury not only in Iran, but also among the Shiites in Iraq, on whose support all of Bush's plans for a pro-American regime are built.
So what's the answer? Not by accident, Hizbullah has carried out its soldier-snatching raid at a time when the Palestinians are crying out for succor. The Palestinian cause is popular all over the Arab word. By showing that they are a friend in need, when all other Arabs are failing dismally, Hizbullah hopes to increase its popularity. If an Israeli-Palestinian agreement had been achieved by now, Hizbullah would be no more than a local Lebanese phenomenon, irrelevant to our situation.
LESS THAN three months after its formation, the Olmert-Peretz government has succeeded in plunging Israel into a two-front war, whose aims are unrealistic and whose results cannot be foreseen.
If Olmert hopes to be seen as Mister Macho-Macho, a Sharon .. 2, he will be disappointed. The same goes for the desperate attempts of Peretz to be taken seriously as an imposing Mister Security. Everybody understands that this campaign - both in Gaza and in Lebanon - has been planned by the army and dictated by the army. The man who makes the decisions in Israel now is Dan Halutz. It is no accident that the job in Lebanon has been turned over to the Air Force.
The public is not enthusiastic about the war. It is resigned to it, in stoic fatalism, because it is being told that there is no alternative. And indeed, who can be against it? Who does not want to liberate the "kidnapped soldiers"? Who does not want to remove the Katyushas and rehabilitate deterrence? No politician dares to criticize the operation (except the Arab MKs, who are ignored by the Jewish public). In the media, the generals reign supreme, and not only those in uniform. There is almost no former general who is not being invited by the media to comment, explain and justify, all speaking in one voice.
(As an illustration: Israel's most popular TV channel invited me to an interview about the war, after hearing that I had taken part in an anti-war demonstration. I was quite surprised. But not for long - an hour before the broadcast, an apologetic talk-show host called and said that there had been a terrible mistake - they really meant to invite Professor Shlomo Avineri, a former Director General of the Foreign Office who can be counted on to justify any act of the government, whatever it may be, in lofty academic language.)
"Inter arma silent Musae" - when the weapons speak, the muses fall silent. Or, rather: when the guns roar, the brain ceases to function.
AND JUST a small thought: when the State of Israel was founded in the middle of a cruel war, a poster was plastered on the walls: "All the country - a front! All the people - an army!"
58 Years have passed, and the same slogan is still as valid as it was then. What does that say about generations of statesmen and generals?
and about WMDs:
Could someone knowledgeable on the subject or who knows someone knowledgeable check out this report plz? --- cloudy"Israel is now using poison gas and depleted uranium shells on towns in the south of Lebanon. Residents of the small village of Kasarshoba became violently ill, experiencing severe vomiting, after the Israelis hit the village with poison gas. In other cases, underground shelters in southern Lebanon were hit by Israeli depleted uranium shells. Our sources also report that the entire southern suburbs of southern Beirut, with a population of 800,000, have been totally depopulated. Israel has targeted thousands of civilian homes for destruction."Source: http://www.waynemadsenreport.com/
At the end of the day, even on issues (Israel is about the worst case) where the Left is most unreasoning in its response across the board (as opposed to singular assholes like Ward Churchill, any way you slice it), the position of the progressive Left much more closely approximates what I would call "moral reality" than the liberal commentariat, and as I said, where the latter really has no excuses.
July 18, 2006 3:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's that values problem again. Power overrides everything else as motivation. But a purpose of civilization is to make power so widely accessible as to make conflict unnecessary. Cutting out moral and human values makes no sense.
Violence, conflict, war, imbalance of power are bad -- not just bad "emotionally" but indefensible rationally. Still, we have those who embrace them and call them "principled."
If we have to have Gitmos, it's those "principled" people, not excluding Bush and crew, who should be sidelined there. Perhaps Gettysburg is also angling for some downtime under the Cuban sun? Let us muddle along with our silly civilization, our naive hope of progress, our useless peace, quiet, and mutual respect?
July 18, 2006 6:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, I'll bite.
For the record, you used the word 'heroes' to describe American soldiers in Iraq. Heroes is an emotionally charged qualitative term carrying a load of ideological freight that overshadows the fact that the American mission and American soldiers may not be all that heroic.
But I'm also going to take exception to your argument that "Bush lied" is not a relevant consideration.
If you're going to discuss meaningful policy issues, then it strikes me that you have to be able to define the national objectives of the policy or mission.
That is, you have to have some meaningful ways to assess performance. How close is the action coming to the result you want.
To say "technically there were some ancient wmd's in Iraq, so the war was technically legal" is in fact deceptive and dishonest. We can get into that whole front, up and down if you'd like, and canvas the presentation of Iraq as an 'imminent threat', the drumbeating over a nonexistent nuclear program, and various hysterical but false charges ranging from 45 minute launch windows, mobile biological weapons labs, fleets of drone aircraft, aluminum tubes, niger uranium, etc. The point is that when you look at all the allegations made, there were a large number of outright fabrications designed to produce an emotional response. So the shorthand 'Bush lied' is both accurate and important.
Your self serving suggestion that the war was 'technically legal' ignores the actual history leading up to this war, including the refusal of the UN to authorize the use of force in its initial resolution nor in subsequent efforts to obtain a resolution. The 'technically legal' argument is simply evasive nonsense.
Now, let's turn to Iraq as a policy matter. What are the objectives of the United States?
We cannot know for sure, since the original policy objective has been shown to be a misrepresentation. Given that your country has begun with a misrepresentation, then any subsequent stated motive must be viewed skeptically, and with an eye to actual American conduct.
- The stated objective of bringing Democracy to Iraq does not hold up all that well. You will recall that Garner was replaced for wanting to hold elections. Bremer was installed and intended to hold the position for at least seven years. Bremer repealed municipal elections, eliminating a local political class. Bremer only aquiesced to elections as a result of mass public pressure, while attempting to stall these elections with a series of puppet bodies. Finally, the United States aquiesced to elections with poor grace, imposing a 'constitution' or 'Transitional Administrative Law' which the elected body could not alter, and interfering in the content and conduct of the election. In short, bringing Democracy to the Iraqi's does not seem to have been on the Agenda, and the United States has consistently undermined the Iraqi drive for democracy.
By the same token, the atrocities at Abu Ghraib are quantitatively relevant. If the objective was to cease the Saddam Hussein regime's practices of torture and civil rights violations, it must be acknowledged that this has failed. Torture under the American occupation was as widespread as under Saddam's regime, newspapers were shut down, free speech was a discretionary right, and American troops fired into crowds of demonstrators (so much for freedom of association). Notably, the trigger for the degeneration of the Fallujah incident was American troops firing into a crowd demonstrating against the occupation of a children's school as a military command post when the school year was coming up. The allegation made by troops at the time that there were weapons must be regarded as false. The reality is that America brought no liberty, and instances of torture or fatal violence by or under the Americans was far worse than Saddam. So this objective must be regarded as either failed or false. I leave that determination to you.
In another respect, there is a quantitave and qualitative obligation on the part of an occupier to manage their occupation effectively. That is, if you take over a country, you actually have to run it for the benefit of its people and not your own. This is not just a moral obligation, but a principle of international law. The basis of the principle of law is to discourage colonial conquest and the notion of war as a means of enrichment.
Here the American occupation comes under the worst light. Specifically, you come across as incompetent thieves.
Turning to the management of the country, it is worth noting that every measurable quality of life indicator has been disastrous since the American occupation. I will mention only four: Electrical production has for the most part failed to reach the levels seen in the Saddam/Sanctions era, and is dramatically below the countries needs. The health care system is essentially collapsed and remains collapsed. Oil production is consistently below Saddam's levels. Unemployment remains somewhere between 28 and 40%. In short, you've bunged it up completely, and there is a staggering level of incompetence on display.
On the other hand, there is also a staggering level of what may be corruption. Iraqi revenues have been spent wholesale without apparent tracking or auditing, the oil for food monies that the UN handed over to the US are largely unaccounted for. The discrepancies run to the billions of dollars. The notion of untracked, undocumented expenditures in a civil administration as sophisticated as the United States is incredible. One might expect such incompetence out of some third world Banana Republic, from the United States we must assume the possibility of fraud.
More disturbingly, the American administration of Iraq appeared to ideologically be intended to revamp the Iraqi economy, specifically to make it an American colony, and subject to the American market.
This was seen with American political preferences on reconstruction contracts, reserving them not to the most capable party or the lowest bidder, but to politically connected American firms.
This was also seen in TAL provisions directing privatization of state industries, plans to privatize the oil industry, and radical tax and tariff measures. Many of these measures, based in right wing ideology and avarice, have been nothing short of disastrous.
In terms of enhancing America's security, we note that over 2500 American servicemen have died in Iraq. This pales before Iraq casualties of 100,000 to 200,000. Nor is America's security enhanced. Rather, Iraq has become a breeding ground and training ground for terrorism, and more than that, has become a celebrated cause motivating terrorist attacks in other countries.
The destabilization of Iraq continually threatens to spill over into the region, destabilizing other states. Thus the Turks are concerned about Kurdish insurgencies. States like Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Bahrain which have large Shiite minorities (or majorities) are concerned.
It is difficult to discern the actual objectives of the United States, given the web of dishonesty and lies which began the Iraq adventure and pervades its history. On the other hand, it seems clear that by the standards of just about every objective, the American adventure has been a spectacular failure. In short, I can see no light under which the Iraq campaign is defensible.
To defend it under these circumstances seems ill advised. But if you are minded to do so, have at it. However, you are not entitled to just wave a magic wand and say 'its all good.' You sir, are not Tinkerbelle. You are required to make a case, rather than simply assert the obvious justice of your cause... In no small part because that justice is not at all obvious.
Finally, as to whether all American troops are rapists... We know that one is. We also know that his fellow soldiers aided, abetted and worked to conceal. We have seen videotape taken by American news agencies of soldiers executing wounded prisoners. We've seen the photos from Abu Ghraib. We have a multitude of reports of excessive force and questionable judgement.
The reasonable conclusion from the sheer volume of the incidents is that your troops are not heroes. Your troops are poorly trained, not terribly effective and not terribly competent. There seems to be a consistent lack of discipline, among many other attributes. They rely desperately on highly complex and lethal weapons systems which they employ indiscriminately. In short, there are serious reservations with both the quality, the conduct and the overall configuration of American forces.
This of course leaves aside the moral issue of the deployment of these troops... Which I would argue is relevant.
Serbian soldiers who were conducting ethnic cleansing and rape camps in Bosnia, for instance, were just doing their duty, carrying out their orders. Will you consider them heroes? I will not. By the same token, the soldiers engaged in the occupation of Iraq should not be considered heroes.
July 18, 2006 6:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since Hezbollah is financed and armed by Syria and Iran you believe they would just start an unprovoked attack on Israel inside Israel? Since even the Prime Minister of Lebanon nor the Saudis believe I would have to say that seems very unlikely.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 8:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
The sacrifice of the Lebanese by you and Hezbollah is certainly ennobling.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 8:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gettysburg
I do not think it is a matter of either or. Bush is a disaster. He has done nothing competently. Not at home or abroad. It is not clear that he has any conception of governing or accomplishing particular goals. He also, with Cheney's help not only accrued way too much power to the presidency but he has used 9/11 both as a political talking point and as a means to impinge upon the rights as Americans.
What is distressing is that many people here at the Cafe are equally disconnected from reality. There is a lot of wish fulfillment here by people who are so outside the American political mainstream that their views have not chance of ever being adopted in America. I think it is one of the main reasons for the anger directed at the DLC, Hillary Clinton and Biden.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bush wasn't bold he was and incurious and foolish. He also did lie to the American people on numerous accounts. Not on the biological and chemical weapons issues. I have no doubt that he believed Iraq had them. So did Saddem's generals.
However, Bush lied about the connection between the connection between al Qaeda and Iraq. He also sought to gin up the fear by the phony argument that Iraq had any sort of nuclear program.
Worse given what Bush believed and wanted to accomplished he ignored virtually all of the military commanders and what they thought would be needed for the war. Or rather Bush allowed Rumsfeld and Cheney to do what should have been his job. On this issue Bush was not only criminal but lied constantly to the American people.
Had Bush ever level with the public about the needs of the war as a political matter I think he would still have much more support from the public.
What is increasingly silly about the threads at this site is no one seems to believe that the world operates in shades of gray.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the reply. More people in this country had better start thinking about national politics, and what this administration is doing to this country. There are less lethal ways to benefit your financial interests than putting tens of thousands in the Middle East into a graveyard. Endless war and lies and aggression may win elections for a while, but they will destroy America, financially, morally and spiritually in the end.
July 18, 2006 8:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have they? Or did Iran take a page right out of the American foreign policy book, in terms of how America has aided and abetted Israel all these years?
Was there ever any question that America was supplying Israel with arms and nuclear weapons or that Israel is a creature of the USA policy of 1948? Iran is no more waging a stealth war on Israel than the United States has waged a stealth war on Iran and the Palestinians using Israel as their trump card in the ME. It has been known for decades that America controlled the button on Isreel's warheads and nuclear threat. Israel said a long time ago when threaten that the rest of the ME might have the fire (oil) but they had the match (nukes). When has America ever NOT backed Israel, no matter how many atrocities Israel committed in the ME? Our standard refrain has been 'israel has the right to defend herself" has it not, since 1948?
So perhaps, what may need to be re-thught here is whether Israel is simply the tactic being used to de-stabilize the ME for the strategic plan of the USA to gain TOTAL control of the ME by using the nukes they gave Israel for just that purpose to begin with.
That is the only thing that makes sense in terms of why we went to war with Iraq rather than Afghanistan to begin with. It also makes sense as to why we never sent enough troops to 'secure the peace'...that was never America's goal. Complete control of the ME and global control of the oil is the goal.
Nope. America's strategic goals for the ME are moving along right on target...Bush already told us several months ago we were going to attack Iran next. This is nothing but the build-up to us doing precisely that...and Newt Gingrich already said this is WWIII in the ME...Folks need to start listening and understanding the entire ME plan. Bush also said that this ME war would be going on when he left office and that the next administration would have to 'secure the peace'
When America 'secures the peace' there will not be a "jewish only" state any longer...that has been a ~60 year failed experiement. It is not in the best interest of America to be held hostage to that type of foreign policy ever again. What will occur is that Jews and Palestinians will co-exist and all the countries will be renamed.
July 18, 2006 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
“What is distressing is that many people here at the Cafe are equally disconnected from reality”. Gettysburg.
You have attempted to speak reasonably and, presumably, construct a case that will convince a person who has recently stated that the U.S. war in Iraq is the doing of the CEO’s of the oil industry who are in possession of a secret source of energy that will replace oil. They have manipulated the U.S. government which doesn’t even know of this energy source to start this war which will destroy the world’s energy [oil] infrastructure and put these CEO’s and the U.S. in the catbirds seat. He claims that realizing this fact explains everything. When asked for some, any, evidence that this energy source exists he can only say that it is his theory but that it would be easy for such a thing to exist and to be kept secret.
He obviously hasn’t heard that the whole ME situation is just a test put to us by the intergalactic membership committee to determine who gets to be teleported to the planet Nimrod if things get really bad here.
July 18, 2006 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Valdron
Much better. I would begin by saying that no large scale refutation of your claims is necessary because most of what you said is true. Even I, who has supported the war since 2003, openly and willingly admits that the management of the conflict has been atrocious.
Initially it was fairly obvious to me that the so-called "Global War on Terror" was little more than a public relations stunt being employed by the White House. Thankfully, most readers here at TPM were able to see through that smoke screen as well (although a few still make comments based on its tangible existence). In addition, when it became obvious that the WMD arguments would not bear fruit, for reasons of fabricated talking points and universally inaccurate intelligence, a more comprehensive analysis was needed.
By 2004 it was fairly obvious that the war was actually a business endeavor. The first rationale explanation was that it was a power grab on the part of the United States to secure oil contracts for American companies. This, in conjuction with China's growing thirst for crude; as well as a general mistrust of anything Chinese at the Pentagon, led me to believe that it was merely a move to ensure American supply.
While this is most likely true it is hardly the extent of the overall aim of the Iraq War. Though I have entertained the notion (as many others here have) that the Iraq War was deliberately constructed as a tripwire by which the entire region would delve into civil war, I do not have any proof of such a plan. Indeed, given the track record of President Bush's failures I cannot help but think such a large-scale clandestine plan is not something his administration could pull off.
Yet aside from countering Chinese influence it is clear that companies such as Halliburton and Bechtel are cashing in handsomely from this affair; as are, no doubt, many individuals who are easily able to steal reconstruction appropriations for their own personal use given the complete absence of oversight.
Another factor however, which did not become ostensibly clear until around 2005, is the growing evidence that the U.S. not only intends to have a military presence in Iraq for several years, but it envisions haveing a footprint in the entire region for the forseeable future. It is hard to argue that one or several "permanent" military bases are not what the U.S. government has in mind with Iraq.
U.S. military bases in Iraq serve several purposes. First, American forces can ensure oil supply for the remainder of its existence. No longer can the oil rich nations blackmail the west; no longer can terrorists sabotage oil fields and cut supply. At the very least they cannot expect to get away with it scott-free. In addition, permanent U.S. bases in Iraq fits very nicely with America's pro-Israel policy. It surely makes Olmert et al. sleep better at night knowing U.S. forces are there to assist in any danger at the drop of a hat.
Of course, certain aspects of the Iraq War are failures pure and simple. As you say, the spreading of Democracy, improving standards of living, and creating modern infrastructure are things which simply will not happen for several years. The haphazard conduct of the administration on this war makes available the argument that even the spreading of democracy talking points was never a true policy aim.
Yet the interesting aspect of this war, despite its atrocities, mismanagement, and corruption, is that in time the true ulterior motives of the Bush administration might (and likely will) be realized.
The U.S. oil companies will have access to Iraqi oil.
American companies like Halliburton and Bechtel will make millions if not billions of dollars on the reconstruction efforts.
Permanent American military bases most likely will become a reality; thus ensuring an American footprint in the region (which, as we all know, already exists and would continue to be the case even without military bases).
Just for the record, my own theory goes well beyond Bush and Cheney. I am of the belief that Bush AND Dick Cheney are both puppets for the boardmembers of Big Oil and energy. In essence, this administration is run, in my estimation, by the oil and energy conglomerates. It is becoming more and more likely that Bush and Cheney are not only their pawns, but also their whipping boys.
Why else, I ask, has there been such blatant disregard for the well-being of the Iraqi population? Why has there been so much corruption in Iraq?
I would argue that the answer is because the powers that be (Big Oil, et al.) are not particularly concerned with the Iraqi people or their plight. As long as the above mentioned goals get accomplished, they will see the war as having been a success. Meanwhile, they will move on and live their happy lives while Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld are targeted with the heat. Indeed, history will denounce their legacy, not the oilmen who actually dicate the policy. Ah, but this last bit is just my thoughts.
We could extrapolate this debate to the current Israeli offensive (or defensive) war. After all, it is becoming obvious that it is attached to the hip with the Iraq War but this is far too long already.
July 18, 2006 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Damn good post, until you threw in the sweeping generalization at the end.
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July 18, 2006 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
A remarkable post. David Korten author of "When Corporations Rule the World" would find you a kindred spirit. As would Kevin Phillips who having written "American Dynasty", probably has files filled with "military-industrial corporate" information.
For the record, I had considered that George was a "face man" for these corporate types but it hadn't occurred to me that Dick was too, but you could be right.
July 18, 2006 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree. Pakistan is financed and armed by the US, yet continues to cultivate terrorists that serve its political and military interest, while repressing other terrorists who don't. The US financed and armed Afghani jihadist and got bin Laden and the Taliban in return. The argument that Hezbollah is incapable of having its own agenda independent of Syria or Iran has little merit, in my opinion.
Neoboho
July 18, 2006 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Crissie
It's pretty overhelming when considering how many business interests and how much money is truly on the line with Iraq and the Middle East.
Perhaps I'm underestimating the role Cheney plays in all of this but it only makes sense that one man can only have so much say in things. Not only is the Middle East a military venture, it is a business venture in which perhaps hundreds of companies all stand to gain.
This "story" it would seem, has many authors.
But again, that's just my take. If Cheney and Rove alone are responsible for orchestrating all of this, then they are evil incarnate yet mind-blowingly intelligent in self-destructive sort of way.
July 18, 2006 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Valdron,
I hope it was clear to you and others reading my response that I was speaking to you, not about you.
July 18, 2006 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since everywhere I read, and virtually every show I watch including the Prime Minister says that Hezbollah is controlled, influenced by Syria and Iran on what do you base your opinion?
We only recently have started giving money to Musharref and of course we don't want him overthrown. I do not think either Syria or Iran are worried about Hezbollah being overthrown.
When we gave money to the Feydaeen in Afghanistan they did do what we wanted. They fought the Soviet Union. We then totally ignored the country. That is not the case in Lebanon.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cscs
I am sorry you don't agree but having read the site every day since it came on line I increasing find it Bush like but of the left.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
July 18, 2006 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gettysberg, I don't meen to pry, but if the Thorezine isn't doing the job for you, ask your Doctor about Lithium
July 18, 2006 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Eric
Did your mother never teach you that it is impolite to blame others for your own problems?
In this case, your own sense of delusion...
July 18, 2006 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
EXCELLENT piece by Avneri.
However, despite the theory that all this is merely about Lebanon, it is VERY clear based on the loud accusations being thrown by Israel about Iranian involvement (and to a lesser degree, Syria) and the neocons in the US trumpeting the same concept that the REAL goals of Israel and the US neocons at this time is to get the US to attack Iran.
Of course, should that not happen for some reason, Israel may be satisfied for the moment with destroying Lebanon or starting a war with Syria which Israel can handle by itself - which only means that the attack on Iran is still in the cards for later.
July 18, 2006 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I knew a Minnesota native that moved to Texas and loved it. Got to talkin' politics, and he said Bush needed to be in Yale.
I realized I hadn't made my manners, and asked him for his name.
"Yonson."
--
Howard
*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*
July 18, 2006 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I did give you a link yesterday that paints a different picture about Syrian and Iranian controll of Hezbollah. Perhaps you didn't read it.
Pakistan: the point was that Musharref often acts outside the US's best interest, regardless of our support of his dictatorship. For example, if we ordered him to crush L.E.T., which is the prime suspect in the recent Mumbai bombings, he would decline. He doesn't have the power to eradicate L.E.T. for one thing, and another is that L.E.T. is useful to him on projects that the US would never condone.
Again, the essential point is that by virtrue of our support for the Afghan jihadis are we able to control their actions? The answer is obviously "no." But we were happy when they did the thing we wanted them to do, just as Syria and Iran may be happy about what Hezbollah is doing right now.
And that doesn't translate into any sort of "control" to the degree of telephoning Hezbollah and ordering them to "cease and desist."
Neoboho
July 18, 2006 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
RJB
Whether or not the energy sector has an ace in the hole, as I've argued, is not the main point here. U.S. companies stand to gain from a devastated Middle East. Period. Perhaps the average American does not stand to gain, but U.S. industry certainly does.
And nobody has yet answered my question regarding why American oilmen want to see a Middle Eastern war in which the oil industry may very easily be seriously harmed?
This is akin to an ice cream vendor hoping for an energy blackout in which his freezers turn off. Why would he want that?
July 18, 2006 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to disagree with you here, about the "putting yourself in harm's way for someone else". The thing is, that's a very integral part of group survival strategy, in that some members of the herd, the pack, the clan, the whatever will risk their own lives so that the rest of the social group can profit. Nature has hardwired it into us: it's inescapable.
Your own experiences have proven, though, that a certain amount of trust is required, and that that trust needs to be nurtured. Vietnam and the current occupation of Iraq erode that trust, since the risk the soldiers put themselves in was/is unnecessary, and as we now see is not being rewarded. The shameful way the GOP is shortchanging veterans is the real "spitting on our troops".
Transhuman, before you deride the current crop of soldiers, remember how you yourself were duped. They trusted their command, and that trust has been betrayed.
July 18, 2006 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are a few users here that don't see shades of grey. No doubt.
But I think the majority users here are pretty bright, and certainly understand nuance.
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July 19, 2006 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gettysburg, You are probably correct when you conflate the Iraq War and America's economic interests, specifically, Big Oil.
However, I believe that Cheney has much more to do with those interests than you give him credit for. For example, there have been allegations that tie Cheney's 2001 Energy Task Force to the Iraq war. Specifically, a National Security Council document dated Feb. 3, 2001 that ...directed the N.S.C. staff to coöperate fully with the Energy Task Force as it considered the “melding” of two seemingly unrelated areas of policy: “the review of operational policies towards rogue states,” such as Iraq, and “actions regarding the capture of new and existing oil and gas fields.” (Empahsis mine)
The construction of permanent bases in Iraq were also geared toward achieving two goals of American interest: A Middle East military presence and access to big oil. "Think of Iraq as a military base with a very large oil reserve underneath .... You can't ask for better than that."
Big Oil's interests in the Middle East were as much about securing access to oil as they were attempts to block the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and/or China/Russia from further gains in its incursions into the worldwide energy sector. A whole other topic can be focused on who really is winning that game.
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July 19, 2006 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, I mean you're not arguing, Gettysburg. Every post I see from you is simply unsupported, empty declamation: no reasoning, no information, nothing.
July 19, 2006 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink