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Lieberman To Run Even if He Loses the Primary

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Democracy is about voting. It seems however that Joe Lieberman has decided that the electorate is a rubber stamp, to be avoided if it does not deliver the appropriate result. The word from Connecticut is that at a 1PM press conference, Joe Lieberman declared his independence of the voters, and will run in the primary, and regardless of whether he wins or loses the primary, will run again in November.

The power brokers in Washington DC, including Chuck Schumer who has backed an anti-choice Democrat in Pennsylvania, lost a bruising primary in Montana, and is pushing a quixotic challenge to all but nominated Elliot Spitzer in New York - have repeatedly left the option open of backing Lieberman in the fall should he lose the primary. Senator Dodd, running for President, supports Lieberman.

For those who need to know what is most broken about our election system, it is not electronic voting - though the problems with electronic voting machines continue to be documented - nor in vote counting of paper ballots - which alters the results of very close elections. Nor is it even in the systematic disenfranchisement that occurs in various areas of the country - which alters the face of our political landscape in more subtle ways. No, it is the primary system which is broken, because there is where voters should have the most choices about who is to represent them, and, instead, find they have no choices.

Lieberman's move to the "I" column follows a logic which is outlined by Joe Trippi - if a nominee from a party bolts to the independent column, it splits the party, and creates an implied threat: pull out or I will sink the election. This mechanism is the reverse of the protest vote. In a protest vote, ordinary people are so upset with a major party nominee that they are willing to chance throwing the election to the other party to register their displeasure. In the case of Lieberman it is the reverse: Lieberman is so disgusted with the Democratic Party voters, that he is willing to chance throwing the seat to the Republicans in order to hold power.

The irony is that the top down party apparatus, and not the "grass roots activists" are the ones creating third party runs, and creating the structure of end running party voters and primary elections.

- - -

In Lieberman's case the attempt is not far-fetched. With a base of support which is largely in the Republican, and not Democratic, Party, and with the implied "bring home the bacon" vote already supporting him - including major unions - Lieberman could well win the general election by plurality in a three way contest. The response from the political establishment has been muted, but it is expected that the beltway insiders of the Democratic Party are set to back Lieberman, and by doing so, sink any chance they have of making significant gains in the fall. The establishment is set to pour money that could be used in attacking a Republican seat, to put a Senator who strays farthest when it matters most back in his chair.

The response from bloggers such as Chris Bowers has been sharp and immediate:


If the DSCC backs anyone except the Democratic nominee, they better be prepared for real consequences. Do not abandon your own party and break your own rules and then expect the plebs who have been playing by those rules to sit quietly and accept it.

Private comments have been even harsher, with some wanting Howard Dean, Rahm Immanuel and Chuck Schumer to come out and "support the primary system". The primary system is a hard won freedom, which has been opened by a string of Supreme Court cases, and tough floor fights at the national convention. That the voters, and not the donors and hacks, should determine the direction of a party is, at this point, a settled issue. That the Democratic establishment wants to reopen it points to two important facts.

The first is that the Republican hegemony over power is crumbling, and those who have lost election after election waiting for the moment when the money ran dry can smell that their chance to back into the playoffs has arrived.

The second is that the electorate, particularly the politically active electorate, does not want "That Other Republican Party" in power, but a new direction for the country - one that, specifically, does not take us farther into Iraq. It was such a moment the broke the hold on power of the FDR coalition over Vietnam - a disillusioned military, a working class angry at price pressures, and a party establishment that thought it always knew better. If there is any single theme of the Republican Party in the last 6 years it has to be "we ain't wrong, we ain't sorry, and its probably going to happen again". However, the Republican establishment of that moment, without the ideological and popular vigor required, could do little but put a corrupt also ran in the White House with 40% of the vote. Only persistent failure by the Democratic Party led to a permanent shift of power.

As the opposite moment arrives, it is ironic that, just as there were internal wars in the Republican Party which took, more or less, a decade to resolve, that the Democratic Party of today is facing the same bloody process of determining whether it is the party of the powerful, or the party of the people.


19 Comments

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I think that we need to end the "purge" language that's going on about this primary election. Nobody's being purged from the party (Lieberman seems willing to leave on his own, in any event) we're just having an election. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose.

Lieberman's supporters will talk loudly about purges and about what this means for other "moderates," in the party.

But, it's just an election. There's nothing evil about it and there's no need for the Stalnist-style language to describe what's going on.

We really need to control the rhetoric here -- there's a good chance that Lieberman's supporters will try to convey the idea that the party has been hijacked and that will hurt us big time in 2006 and 2008.

Also, it's just not true. We're just having elections. Lieberman's just annoyed that he's been challenged at all.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

Lieberman just purged the voters.


Stirling Newberry http://www.bopnews.com

it's hard not to feel lots and lots of unChristian emotions right now: gloating, glee at another's discomfort, and the desire to grandstand about the power of the blogosphere. a sober review of the numbers (iirc from someplace i was at this morning) suggests that 1) a lamont victory is not yet completely assured and even if he does win 2) there are more registered I voters than either D or R. so if joe gets on the ballot (and just how can he be a "democrat" if he's an independent anyway?) there's a good chance he could still win in the general election, using his own war chest and whatever monies the more foolish in the Dem party may send his way. despite the importance of today's news, it's still the case that many in CT don't have our perspective, and would believe that "joe's taken care of us so far, so who cares what party he belongs to, or doesn't."

My understanding is that Joe has not done such a great job of taking care of his Conneticut constituents. I have heard that Connecticut is among the states with the lowest federal benefits/federal taxes spent ratios in the country. Does anyone have this statistic? Of course, this is not simply Lieberman's responsibility, but he surely plays a role here.

Well, it's not all bad. I'm afraid that I'm not going to like the candidate the national party foists on us in 2008 so we can thank Joe for setting the precedent that an independent Democrat has every right to run independently of the party in the general election. I don't know how this party is going to stay together on the war and it's astronomical cost.

There is indeed a struggle taking place for the soul of the Democratic party, but the struggle goes beyond Democratics. I know many Republicans who are sick and tired of watching the decimation that's occurring in their own party. Lieberman may be (currently) a Democrat, but I think he personifies what is wrong with both parties. Voters are fed up with non-responsive politicians who appear to be owned by lobbyists and corporate interest groups. Voters want to feel proud of the country again. "More of the same" just doesn't cut it anymore on either side of the aisle.

Lieberman wants to win (like everybody in politics) and this new threat is a transparent attempt to get more votes. The math is clear. Some Democrats who might otherwise have chosen Lamont will vote for Lieberman, to prevent a split ballot with a Republican win in November.

So, you Connecticut voters, how do you respond? The Democrat primary vote will be maybe 10% of the November election vote, so it can be easily "captured" by a strong-willed angry sub-group with high motivation. Will a "feel-good" vote for Lamont give the race to the Republican in November? Remember this:

* Lieberman has always won by an enormous landslide among the general electorate, no matter how unpopular he is among the "netroots."

* It was exactly this kind of split ballot that gave us Alfonse D'Amato Senator from 1981 to 1999 from New York, a VERY Democrat state.

* In spite of the caricatures Lieberman is definitely a Democrat on most issues -- actually a strong liberal in voting on education, health care, reproductive rights, labor, tax cuts ...

Lieberman is a Democrat... except when it matters.


Stirling Newberry http://www.bopnews.com

Chuck Schumer is backing an opponent to Spitzer?

Chuck Schumer opposed Tester?

----

I guess it's easier to make your case by making your own facts, Stirling.

Stirling Newberry - Yet another Small Tent Democrat.

Suozzi is backed by Schumer: http://thepoliticker.observer.com/2005/11/chuck-vs-eliot.html

The DSCC backed Morrison. http://qa.dscc.org/2006races/mt/

These are everybodies facts.

Tell me, why are you are liar? Are you paid? Or is it some unhealthy compulsion that you have?


Stirling Newberry http://www.bopnews.com

You cite a 9 month old blind piece as justification that Schumer was opposing Spitzer?

You cite a non-functioning link as justification that Schumer was opposing Tester?

And then you try to censor my comment for taking you to task for making up your own facts in your own thread? Pretty poor blogospheric ethics.

"Tell me, why are you are liar?"

I am not am liar. Why are you are liar?

In case the Republicans left any doubt, we have Senator Lieberman to prove that power corrupts.

This is the act of a man more in love with his own power than anything else.

Based on the apparent sympathy that the D.C. elite seem to have for their old buddy Joe, I'd say Chuck Schumer and Chris Dodd need primary challengers too.

-- 

-- All successful revolutions are the kicking in of a rotten door. (John Kenneth Galbraith) --

Maybe I have my history wrong but didn't Lieberman run simultaneously for Senate and for V.Pres in 2000; wouldn't a Gore-Lieberman victory led to the appointment of a Republican Senator? Was he doing this for the principles he favors in common with Democrats or for himself? How in the world can anyone believe that Lieberman as an independent will support sny Democratic policies. We know he favors tax cuts and is not disinclined towards social security privatization; we know he does not favor using the filibuster to stop the Supreme Court takeover by right-wing fanatics; we know he does not think the credentials of a FEMA head needs congressional review; I personally believe he favors a draft and a much wider war in Iraq. It's time for Joe to go.

I'm surprised about Schumer, so I hope it's indeed mere gossip.  Seems to me that Suozzi's Long Island agenda is the traditional GOP stance in New York state of making property owners feel they belong to the unwashed if they align with the upper class. 

John 

http://www.haberarts.com/

You are exactly right. If he had resigned his Senate seat to run for VP, then another Democrat could (and most likely would) have been elected from the state. But by holding on to it, he guaranteed that the GOP governor would appoint a Republican if Joe became VP. It also demonstrated a lack of confidence in the Gore ticket. Obviously, the only value that really counts with Uncle Joe is staying in power.

Not a very gentlemanly response, particularly from a blog author.

The lust for, coveting power is just as corrupting.. and the extreme left are a perfect example of that.

Re: the Galbraith quote, if you radical lefties want a revolution so badly, why not put your posteriors on the line and man the front lines yourselves, instead of hoping the most powerless be duped into doing the fighting for you. Some of you sit in ivory towers, which have their own rotten doors that need kicking down.

"I'm surprised about Schumer, so I hope it's indeed mere gossip.  Seems to me that Suozzi's Long Island agenda is the traditional GOP stance in New York state of making property owners feel they belong to the unwashed if they align with the upper class."

Schumer is famously psychotic about being the alpha dog among NY Democrats, so it shouldn't be surprising that there is tension between him and Spitzer, just like there is tension between him and Hillary.

But the overwhelming amount of evidence is that Schumer has been supportive of Spitzer's gubernatorial bid.

Stirling is making up his facts to fit his worldview - aka Schumer is supportive of Lieberman, so therefore everything Schumer does is evil...

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