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Old WMD News and Declassification Hypocrisy

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You would think that for something to be considered “news,” it would have to be, well, new. Yet Republicans including Rep. Pete Hoekstra and Senator Rick Santorum are trying to spin a report on degraded pre-1991 WMDs that were found in Iraq as news of the utmost importance – despite the fact that we’ve known about the existence of these rusty canisters for many years.

There is nothing new here. Nothing in this report, classified or otherwise, contradicts the Duelfer Report, which assessed that we would find degraded pre-1991 weaponry in Iraq.

If Colin Powell had gone to the United Nations in February of 2003 and rested the Administration’s case on the fact that Iraq still possessed degraded weapons from before the first Gulf War, he would have been laughed out of the room. No one seriously believes we went to war over the weapons that are now being hyped, so we should treat this diversion with the lack of interest that it deserves.

In fact, David Kay, who led the U.S. team that searched for WMDs in Iraq in 2003 and 2004, called these stockpiles “less toxic than most things that Americans have under their kitchen sink.” And Charles Duelfer, the CIA’s weapon inspector, called them “local hazards,” not WMDs.

The real news here is that this report was essentially declassified on demand. Selective declassification for partisan purposes undermines the integrity, and the safety, of the men and women in the intelligence community.

The intelligence community is supposed to speak truth to power. It’s not the IC’s job to provide political cover for the Republican Party. Those pushing this story are trying to manipulate the facts to get an outcome they want, and we know from recent experience what happens when the intelligence gathering process is politicized.

If the Republicans want hearings, then let’s have hearings. But they should cover the use – and misuse – of all pre-war intelligence, not just this flimsy and cherry-picked report that is much ado about nothing.


48 Comments

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Rep. Harman, as a constituent of yours, Manhattan Beach, perhaps this question won't fall on deaf ears. Is it possible, when on the floor of the House for a Democrat to rise immediately following a floor speech by a Republican and speak directly to what was just said rather than the standard practice of simply delivering her prepared speech. Rebuttal on the evening news or the Sunday talk-shows just doesn't cut it.

I do not disagree that this appears political and selective declassification. Duelfer's term "local hazard" is more accurate than Kay's, as some chemical agents known to be produced by the Iraqis, such as sulfur mustard (dichloroethyl sulfide, agent H or HD):


  1. Probably are not present in any battlefield-significant quantity. One of the reasons that there was relatively little objection to the Chemical Weapons Convention is that even for nerve agents, militarily significant quantities are in tons, and there are precision guided and cluster munitions as or more lethal by weight

  2. Potentially deadly in a local area, requiring skilled handling especially if the shells may be degraded. While G-series nerve agents tend to degrade rather quickly unless extremely pure -- and Iraqi G-agents were not -- H-series mustards are quite stable; there continue to be injuries from H-agents dumped at sea after WWI, or found buried.


Please understand that I am not disgreeing with your basic premise. I make some of these observations given the leak or release of the alleged al-Qaeda cyanide gas plot against New York subways, reported in Time Magazine. From that reporting, back-of-the-envelope chemical calculations suggest that a quantity of cyanide salt would be required such that even New Yorkers, at rush hour, would notice the drums or sacks required.

With the near-hysteria about rather implausible chemical warfare threats, I am extremely concerned about the apparent indifference to the threat of terrorist action, or even accident, to toxic industrial chemicals in production, shipping, or storage. Among the worst industrial accidents in history was the accidental (possibly negligent) release of methyl isothiocyanate at Bhopal, India.

That incident was aggravated by the chemical plant being located in a shantytown that probably had grown up around it, with no effective alarms or emergency response. Estimates vary, but that release caused on the order of 3000 deaths and 100,000 lasting injuries.

The first major chemical attack in WWI, at Ypres, involved chlorine release from tanks transported by rail, rail being needed to provide adequate (multiton) quantities. While the use of chlorine in water purification is being reduced in favor of safer agents, we still have multiton tank cars, sometimes many per train, rolling around on US railroads. There are no regular restrictions on hazardous rail shipments through major cities, with a signficant underground tunnel near the US Capitol, and an overpass, easily sabotaged or at which handheld antitank weapons could be aimed, a couple of blocks south of the National Mall.

It really isn't necessary for terrorists to import or improvise toxic chemicals when the national infrastructure for safe handling is so deficient. This is one of the reasons I'm appalled at the money being spent on a questionable national ballistic missile defense system aimed at a low-probability threat, when critical electrical power and chemical infrastructure (among other systems) are desperately in need of hardening -- hardening that cannot be justified economically by the companies.

As an aside, I am highly supportive of theater ballistic missile systems like the Navy SM-3, the improved Army Patriot PAC-3, and the Air Force airborne laser. These are quite likely to work, and can be employed in theater hot spots worldwide. Unfortunately, TBMD tactics are sufficiently technical that the White House can't use them to trumpet "Star Wars" protection.

Obi-Wan Rove: These aren't the threats you are looking for.

Media: These aren't the threats we are looking for. Move along.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Hey, if Pete and Rick want to go Iraq and dig for WMD gold, I say: "Bon Voyage!!!"

Have questions about the Cafe? Try here.

I agree with the general thrust, but just for the record...

News doesn't have to be new. And it usually isn't. Media around the world reprint and rebroadcast stories run earlier by other sources. Newsweek and Time are "news" magazines even though they're rehashes of stuff that was in the papers a couple weeks earlier. CNN runs the same information sometimes for days.

Sometimes the news is that something isn't new. The administration continually disregards the law is news. The latest abuse is new, but the news isn't just the latest abuse. That Spamalot is playing downtown is news. That people are dying of preventable diseases because they can't afford to prevent them is news.

"News" originally stood for "north, east, west, and south". Not new happenings. Not new information. Not new anything. Just reports from all directions.

Keep on pointing out what matters and what is a charade.

Now back to your Sept 30 2005 post  "View from Iraq," following your trip there. Below is what you wrote back then, where are you now?? 

My message to senior officials was that the US is running out of time to get it right in Iraq and risks losing the hearts and minds of the American public.

I calculate 3 months - culminating with the December 15 election - to persuade the American public that real progress is being made and there is a success strategy in sight.

1.    Get the power on. ...Maximum effort must be made now to secure the power grid and keep it running.

2.    Get the oil out.  Oil exports are lower today than when Saddam was in charge - an enormous missed opportunity to develop resources to pay for Iraq's reconstruction.

3.    Get the government ministries going. ...If a new Iraqi government is to function after December 15, it will have to know how to deliver services and security.

4.    Get Zarqawi.

We can help Iraqis develop a multi-ethnic, pro-democratic government there but these next three months [written in Sept 2005] may be our last shot

Status and your Approach in June 2006???

# 4 is done, but there are questions as to the impact.

As to electricity, oil and functionning government ministries progress is nil or minimal. Setting aside the military departure timetable what about a timetable for electricity, oil and  ministries delivering services??

Hi Irishkg--

Here's what I recently wrote on DailyKos about changing course in Iraq, after the House debate on the GOP's sham "stay-the-course" resolution:

www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/6/20/133327/774

-- Jane

But how many people are actually tuned into the floor speeches?

The idea I had, that may make the news and highlight the lack of debate, would be to just read some book on the floor. I suggest, Jane Austen but that's just because I'm reading a book about her writing.

Greetings Rep. Harman

You should not deny Sen. Santorum and Rep. Hoekstra their moment of spotlight time. We should encourage Sen. Santorum and Rep. Hoekstra to tell us more about these WMDs they found in an old report. So what, the chemical agents in those old shells are no more dangerous than pesticides found on shelfs in Walmart. Let them prattle.

Yes, I would like to hear more inane comments from Sen. Santorum and Rep. Hoekstra. Then we can all watch the both of them sink to new levels of ignominy, to the shock and dismay of their constituents.

How low can the GOP go?

I'm w/ you on redeployment. [My frustration is that this Administration is adamant about no timetable when in fact at some point there has to be a drawdown schedule, we won't depart en masse one night!]

How do you plan to counter what I see as the Administration saying they aren't withdrawing when they are just finessing words?? New rotations will be such that they will "replenish" in decreasing amounts. Voila - never withdrew but the number of troops will go down.

As you speak where is the message to the country that the lack of progress leads you to keep resetting the starting point of what needs to happen in X months. What follows is at least the 2nd starting point but I'll guess is probably the 3rd or more:

[June 2006] "In my view, we have 3 to 6 months to advance 3 main objectives:

  • Helping the new Iraqi government provide electrical power, particularly in Baghdad, and deliver other critical economic and social services to the Iraqi people.
  • Supporting the Iraqi government in its effort to disarm Shiite militias and integrate them into a trained Iraqi national security force.
  • Continuing the process, begun by U.S. Ambassador Khalilzad, of obtaining buy-in from Sunni political leaders.

Thanks for coming to the online forums to talk. Too many guests engage in 1 way "communication."

"News" originally stood for "north, east, west, and south". Not new happenings. Not new information. Not new anything. Just reports from all directions.

No, it did not.  Still doesn't.

Wow...  I think this is NEWS, except Rumsfeld just had the sequence wrong.

This must be what Rumsfeld was talking about in his March 30, 2003 statement:

"We know where they are. They're in the area around Tikrit and Baghdad and east, west, south and north somewhat."

[my emphasis added]

Rep. Pete Hoekstra and Senator Rick Santorum must simply look to help out Rumsfeld here (though a little late).  Rumsfeld probably didn't have time to read the "Army report that described roughly 500 munitions containing 'degraded' mustard or sarin gas, all manufactured before the 1991 gulf war and found scattered through Iraq since 2003."  If Rumsfeld had read it he surely would have defended himself more vigorously when confronted with his, "We know where they are", quote a couple months back.  Right?

Or, maybe this is Snews: Somewhat - North, East, West, South

YEP, just Snews!

_________________________________________________________

“I, ..., do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic..."

Rep. Harman, welcome once again.

I am heartened to see you gaining a new aggressiveness in pursuit of the lies of this Administration. More power to you. You have disappointed us in the past.

Please focus on the fact that Santorum and Hoekstra are not total fools: They are errand-boys, sent out by Karl Rove to accomplish the mission of deflect, distract, and dissemble; and to take away one of our most important established facts about WMD.

In GOP-lingo, sayin it's so after a long enough time makes it so.

1. Please bring up on the floor a point that SecState Rice has been avoiding like the plague: If we are indeed "standing down" as the Iraqis "stand up", WHY in the world are we throwing billions into the construction of military super-bases and the largest US Embassy ever built in Iraq? The TRUTH the Bushies have no intention of giving up their "foothold in the Middle East". They will proceed to let out contracts for security and services to CACI, Halliburton, and their other donors as they replace GI boots with taxpayer-funded private mercenary boots to protect this foothold. It is a totally CORPORATE plan, abetted by the Cheney corporate faction in the White House.

2. "LIE AND DIE". This should be repeated at every possible opportunity, until it becomes as much a part of the "narrative" as the GOPs call it as "Cut and Run".

Thanks for being here.

..."north, east, west, and south"...

Dang... and all this time I thought that's what Rummy responded with when questioned about where the WMDS were located.... Hmmmm...

Now... This damn "Much ado about nothing..." by the Republican Mutt & Jeff clowns is so reminiscent of the story about the mortar shells unearthed at a road building site in southern Iraq in 2004 that were nothing more than leftovers from the '88-'89 Iran/Iraq war... Just one more story to place on the Bullsh!t pile...

Mustard gas found by Iraq weapon hunters

Guardian Unlimited ^ | January 11, 2004 | Paul Harris

Dozens of mortar rounds believed to be armed with mustard gas have been discovered buried in Iraq, Danish troops said yesterday. If confirmed, the find will be the first discovery of chemical munitions in Iraq by coalition forces scouring the country for the weapons of mass destruction used as justification for the US-led invasion. 'All the instruments showed indications of the same type of chemical compound, namely blister gas,' the Danish Army said in a statement on its website. Final test results will be announced within two days. However, the find of a small amount of mortar shells is unlikely...

Great job irshkg ... and it's good to see that Ms. Harman took the time to respond...

As a footnote to her visit back in Sept 2005 -- at the time, collectively as a nation, we had endured the deaths of 1933 honorable members of our US Military...

Unfortunately since that time an additional 601 once vibrant lives have met their fate, bringing the unhappy total to 2534 dead today.

At this rate, one year from today another 772 of our finest may be dead, and the total could balloon to 3006.

I hate to put a human toll on all of this, but let us not forget what the misguided, unlawful tyrannical actions of a few can reap for a generation to come...

As I said back in Sept 2005: This whole fiasco is nothing short of an absolute travesty!

~OGD~

News is from the plural of "new." As in, "here are the new-s."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News#Etymology

OK, Santorum is not a TOTAL fool. However, he is definitely a fool.

Tom

Howard,  Great post, but you could have saved yourself a lot of time by just posting this:

Obi-Wan Rove: These aren't the threats you are looking for.

Media: These aren't the threats we are looking for. Move along.

That really says it all!  But I have a couple of humble additions:

How about Yoda-wannabe-cheney: 

"Certain we are, there are WMD's."  and

"Last throes they are in, the insurgents."

         and a final abomination:

"The Force can be used for good or evil, SO LET'S GO WITH THE EVIL, CAUSE IT IS SO MUCH MORE PROFITABLE FOR US!

Jan Knaus

We are close, but you give me reason to pause.

With cue cards not, Bush words order not in right often put. That is Yoda-Jedi-like.

It's hard to here, but Lord Cheney's pacemaker probably hisses*. Looking at Libby, I can hear him say, "The Force is weak in that one. Let him suffer.

*I have one myself, but it's quiet. My CPAP does sound like Lord Vader.
--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

OK, he is "only" a fool, but he is also a total son-of-a-bitch selfish idiot, and he will never hold office again. His "constituents" are wise to him, and he has no power left. It will be kinda fun finding out how he ends up making a living.

Did someone say "consultant?" "lobbyist?" For either job you have to have access to power. This guy is such a loser, I can't imagine anyone hiring him to intercede on their behalf.

Jan Knaus

FINAL VOTE RESULTS FOR ROLL CALL 455

H J RES 114 - YEA-AND-NAY - 10-Oct-2002 - 3:05 PM

QUESTION: On Passage

BILL TITLE: To Authorize the Use of United States Armed Forces Against Iraq

---- YEAS 296 ---

Hansen
Harman
Hart

======================================

Iraw War Casualties

The Effects of Depleted Uranium on Newborns

Soldiers Who Lost Their Limbs In Iraq

Abu Ghraib

Enjoying Your War Yet? There's Lots More To Come!

Press Release: January 16, 2004

Harman Calls on President to Restore Faith in Intelligence Community in State of the Union Address

Calls 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq a “flawed document”-

“Having studied the 19 volumes of source materials that went into the 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, and having read that NIE carefully, my conclusion is it was a significantly flawed document,”

“I believe that unanswered questions regarding the accuracy and reliability of U.S. intelligence have created a credibility gap and left the nation in a precarious position. The Intelligence Community seems to be in a state of denial and the administration seems to have moved on,” said Harman. “These actions imperil national security.”

Divided Congress debates Iraq war
Senate rejects pullout of troops by year's end

“The weapons weren't there, but American troops still are,” said Rep. Jane Harman, D-Venice. “Our action in Iraq created a failed state and, tragically, our post-war mission, as presently defined, cannot succeed.”
-San Diego Tribune,June 16, 2006

After he loses in November, I'm afraid Bush will appoint him to a cabinet position ala Ashcroft.

Tom

OH, My God! I didn't see that coming! You are probably right! And right after that he will get the Medal of Freedom, (and thus finish the debasement [of that former honor] for all times.)

You are probably right, but I sincerely hope you are wrong on this one.

LET THE BULLSHIT SOAR.............

Jan Knaus

Just to really get your blood pressure up - Stevens passes away and Bush nominates Sansmoron, I mean Santorum, to the US Supreme Court. The Dems, of course, roll over and play dead as usual and AAAARGH! - it's the end of the world.

Tom

Good God, Dave, you've just disloged an old memory...a childhood Walt Kelly moment:

<><>Albert (singing) "Old King Sauerkraut looked out
At his feets uneven
And the snew lay all about..." 

Pogo: "Snew?" 

Albert: "Yeah, what's snew with you?"

Was that I Go Pogo

Neoboho

And he will hang a sign on the door of his Judge's chamber saying Sanctum Santorum

Neoboho

Snewze, then, could be a boring newscast.

I have had dislodged an old story set with a group of doctors in a pub. One is an infectious disease specialist with a superb reputation in tropical diseases, the interns and residents rapt at his words.

Specialist: "And there I was, faced with the worst outbreak of yaws I'd ever seen."

Intern: "Doctor, what's yaws?"

Specialist: "A pint of best bitter, with my thanks."

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

No one seriously believes we went to war over the weapons that are now being hyped, so we should treat this diversion with the lack of interest that it deserves.

Agreed.  So how about not writing about it... 

 

While we're discussing WMD, let me express a pet peeve on the subject, the accepted use of the phrase. For those of us who lived through either WWII, or the Cold War, a WMD is what was dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and their technological decendents. We saw the destruction they caused, and lived with the fear of a nuclear holocaust brought on by politicians whose fear overcame reason. The term WMD came into common use during the Middle East War and spread widely during the Iraq Invasion of Bush II. It is being used to give the horror rightly attributed to nuclear weapons to chemical and biological weapons. That's why we were threatened with a 'mushroom cloud' if we failed to give George Bush the go ahead to attack Iraq. Chemical and biological weapons, while horrible, are not the widespread, weapons of massive destruction that nuclear weapons are. They are largely contained to the much smaller area that a conventional explosive can affect. It was, and is, highly unlikely that Iraq had a real nuclear program, but by attaching the horror of them to the chemical and biological weapons, which were more likely to be found in some fashion, under the umbrella term of WMD, they were able to use a greater fear to start this war. Just another example of misleading the public.

or Santorum Sanitorium

and if John Yoo should return to clerking in the Supreme Court for new Justice Santorum then the sign on the door would be

Yoo's in Santorum Sanitorium

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

Would that Representative Harmon had voted not to give Bush the authority to go to war, then we wouldn't be here now discussing the uses terrorists might put clorox to.

We didn't bring the topic up. Santorum started it -to revive his moribund campaign.Tom

That "total son-of-a-bitch" will easily, if he falls out of the Senate, fall into the arms of K Street and probably command as much as $1,000,000/year in salary. There are around 44,000 of the influence hawkers in DC today - more than double the number in 2000. They easily earn $300,00/year which is 100% more than they earned in 2000. One prominent lobbyist said it all, "Washington has become a profit center." Santorum's recent WMD statement got him on the front page and certainly endeared him to the war-profiteers whose numbers are legion on K Street. He's no fool.

I'm not sure what difference it makes what Republicans say if Democrats don't say anything that would change our course.

Now, if Rep. Harmon could get the endorsed Democrat in my state of Minnesota to speak out strongly against the Iraq War and our continued funding of it, well, THAT would be NEWS.

"In my view, we have 3 to 6 months to advance 3 main objectives:

* Helping the new Iraqi government provide electrical power, particularly in Baghdad, and deliver other critical economic and social services to the Iraqi people.
* Supporting the Iraqi government in its effort to disarm Shiite militias and integrate them into a trained Iraqi national security force.
* Continuing the process, begun by U.S. Ambassador Khalilzad, of obtaining buy-in from Sunni political leaders."

Here is why none of these will be successful - in three or six months or six years:

1) The US has supposedly been "trying" to get electricity for the last three years. What makes you think the US can do it in the next six months? I quote from a 2004 article on the situation:

"According to deputy manager Omair, Iraq has suffered from a shortage of electricity since the 1991 Gulf War during which American pilots bombed power plants. He added that prior to the 1991 war, Iraq was producing 9,500 MW of electricity per day.

"The parts we need come from Italy and Germany," Omair said, "and the security situation has made it more difficult to get these imported."

In addition to sabotage of gas and transmission lines in Iraq, as well a shortage of supplies, the reconstruction problems in Iraq have been underscored by the mass exodus of foreign contractors.

"Bechtel is responsible for the rehabilitation here," Omair explained. "The companies they subcontracted to, Siemens and Babcock, have pulled out their engineers. Without their presence, the Iraqi companies Al-Marjal and United Company, have been unable to do as much work."

Companies that were working on many of the electricity projects include U.S.-based Seimens-Westinghouse, Bechtel, and General Electric, along with two Russian companies, Tekhnopromexport and Inter Energo Servis (IES), according to the Iraqi Ministry of Electricity.

Yet, according to Al-Haris, the acting electricity minister, many of these companies began departing Iraq prior to the invasion in March, 2003 -- well before the most recent round of exits caused by the deteriorating security situation under the U.S. occupation.

"The work in these stations was started during the past regime," Al-Haris said, "but it was stopped before the war when the companies left Iraq, and the work is still stopped." Al-Haris added, "There are tens of trucks stopped on the border of Turkey, Jordan, and Syria, and they cannot enter because of the bad security situation. All the equipment in the trucks is very important to continue our work."

He reported that another problem is the huge consumption of electricity in Iraq and the huge quantity of electrical consumer goods people are buying. He said, "The annual increase of the consumption of the electricity in the entire world is about 3-5 percent, but in Iraq it is 30 percent.""

In other words, Representative Harman, unless you can solve the security situation - which you can't, given the basic nature of the situation - you CANNOT restore electricity to Iraq.

2) How do you "disarm the militia", then give them guns in the "trained national security force"? This in itself makes no sense. Where do you get the notion that the beliefs of a member of a Shia or Sunni or Kurdish militia will be transformed by induction into the national military?

I suggest you read this article by Joe Guthrie in "The American Conservative". It clearly demonstrates that the US is not and has never been training the Iraqi military to be useful to US goals.

3) How do you get buy-in from the Sunnis when the Shia aren't going to allow it until it's clear that the US will pull out and let the Sunni insurgency kill them?

It seems there is some evidence that Zarqawi was handed over to the US by the Sunni insurgency as part of some sort of deal with the Shia government. Stratfor is claiming this, anyway. However, until there are security guarantees for the Sunni by the Shia government - which essentially means the government has to in some manner restrict the actions of the major Shia militias against the Sunnis - it is unlikely that the insurgency will cease.

And certainly the insurgency will NOT cease against US forces until those forces are GONE from Iraq.

And given the permanent military bases the US is building, those US forces will NEVER be gone from Iraq.

In any event, there is little evidence that Khalizad's efforts are in any way useful. What appears to be happening is that the Sunni insurgency believes it has enough clout now - the ability to threaten full-scale civil war - that it can afford to make overtures to the Shia government. This may or may not play out to the advantage of the US in terms of US withdrawal.

I suspect that if the US wishes to hasten its withdrawal, it should make it clear to the Shia government that the US IS going to withdraw by a certain date and that the Shia government had better make a deal with the Sunni FAST if they want to keep breathing after the US leaves. The US should also directly negotiate with the Sunni insurgency on the same basis - "restrain your attacks on the Shia and us AND make a deal with them and we will leave by a certain date".


The primary point of the Santorum "discoveries", however, has been missed - which is that most of these weapons were provided to Saddam Hussein by the Carlyle Group - of which the senior Bush is a member.

The WMD search parties have been described as "janitors" cleaning up after the US involvement in supplying Saddam with WMDs.

I have to disagree partially. A useful reality test is whether a hypothetical weapon, for a given weight, to be an ICBM warhead. Such warheads typically are limited in weight to somewhere between 500 and 2000 pounds per warhead. Not all of that weight, of course, is available to the payload.

US ICBMs had only nuclear warheads, although there were studies of biological designs. The USSR appears to have deployed both nuclear and biological warhead, the latter using agents different than those generally considered good military BW. The Soviet BW warheads were intended more as a superweapon blackmail or even "doomsday machine".

The threat of chemical weapons, especially improvised ones, is generally overstated. Indeed, a good point of reference is the accidental release of methyl isothiocyanate at Bhopal, India. While that caused an estimated 3000 deaths and 100,000 long-term injuries, it still was a release of multiton quantities against totally unprepared civilians. I'm far more concerned against attacks on US industrial chemical facilities than use of chemical weapons, which are generally in the danger range of advanced conventional explosives.

With respect to nuclear weapons, remember that there is a considerable range of yields, as well as delivery methods that considerably modify weapons effects. Hiroshima was hit by a low-to-medium airburst of a weapon somewhere in the 16-20 kiloton (kT) range. At one end of the range, there were subkiloton weapons such as the US W54 tactical device, with a yield of around 0.01 kilotons (10 tons). At the other end, there were weapons such as the Soviet Tsar Bomba, which was detonated with a 58 megaton range and is generally believed yield of 100 MT had it had a third stage (U-238 secondary fission reflector).

There is, incidentally, no theoretical limit to the maximum yield of a multistage thermonuclear weapon. Some recent reports with photographs suggest, but do not confirm, that Tsar Bomba was a set of linked bombs in the 10MT or so range. No one has ever tested a greater than three stage (fission-fusion-fission) bomb, but there's no reason why it couldn't be done -- especially if you were a fan of "Space Opera" style science fiction featuring "planet crackers".

In like manner, however, there is no theoretical maximum to the kill power of a biological weapon. In the safety consensus meetings that established the four existing laboratory biosafety levels, there was some discussion of possible experiments too dangerous to be done on the planet at all. The classic example is to introduce the genetic coding to create Type A botulinus toxin into a strain of Escherichia coli that lives in the intestines of most animals. These bacteria could spread through water, rather than the happily restrictive conditions under which Clostridium botulinum reproduces. While I should doublecheck amphibians, this well might get everything from man through reptiles, although it might or might not get Grover Norquist. Some bacteria have standards.

Burst height has a great deal to do with the area and types of structures a nuclear weapon will affect. Medium airbursts would generally kill the most civilians in a city, where it takes a low airburst, ground burst, or subsurface burst for a hard target such as a buried missile silo. There's something called the Mach Effect that establishes some non-obvious relationships between burst type and kinds of damage. Fallout may well be worse from a device used against a hard target, but the area of blast and heat will be much smaller.

The general rule of military biological weapon selection is that they will not spread from person to person, creating self-sustaining epidemics that can blow back on the group launching the weapon. Even within those constraints, anthrax has the unusual property of long-term contamination of an area, where it's often safe to be in the area attacked by other weapons in weeks. The 1942 British test of anthrax on Gruinard Island left areas potentially lethal until major decontamination in 1984.

It appears that the Soviets worked with weaponizing smallpox and Ebola, which can have massive person-to-person spread. The casualties from such weapons, which could have been released at altitudes where they created a large-scale cloud, could have affected areas certainly in square miles, from a weight feasible to put in an ICBM.

Misleading the public? Depends, I suppose, if one ignores the parts of the public with detailed knowledge of weapon engineering. There's little evidence that Saddam was anywhere close to deliverable nuclear or biological systems, certainly against the US.

--
Howard

*equal opportunity offense to both extremes*

Uhhhh... I think people can go right ahead and keep writing whatever they damn well please... You can try this if it suits ya'....

~OGD~

Don't hold your breath waiting for anything but excuses and rationalizations.

==========================

JANE HARMAN (D-CA)

Top 5 2003-4 Contributors

1 Northrop Grumman
2 Boeing Co
3 K&F Industries
4 Jones, Day et al
5 Blue Dog PAC

==========================

And just for perspective, this is what the products of Rep Harman's top 3 contributors does to a preteen.

Enjoying Your War Yet? There's Lots More Coming!

I believe "was" a member would be accurate. At least on paper, I think Bush, Sr. has left the Carlyle Group for PR reasons. I'm sure he has proxies doing his work there, however.

Tom

Yes, Bush 41 "quit" Carlyle but he still maintains a steady stream of cash from the Savior of the conservative movement, Sun Myung Moon.

Here's a question Rep. Harman.

There is NO doubt Moon has been involved in our nation's negotiations with North Korea at least since Bush 41 gave his blessing to a trip to NK by of one of Moon's fronts, the American Freedom Coalition. Moon named the EXACT same six countries involved today in the 'six way talks' back in the 70s saying God was bringing those six together for the "final battle" and that his group would be involved in that “battle.”

Did the “Intelligence” committee ever look into the role Moon played in supplying launch technology to the North Korteans when members of Moon’s organization middle manned the deal which sent “scrap” submarines to North Korea?

Read some about that here:
http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewPrint&articleId=9868

Moon wants Korea to be the center of the world and is NOT on America's side. He uses America like a toy to reach the world - to help him further his plans to make a unified Korea the Unification Church's sovereign nation. Conservatives foolishly bought into Moon's claim of being anti-communist when, in fact, he also wants democracy replaced.

He has literally called his efforts in the USA, "the natural subjugation of the American government and population." READ THAT QUOTE AGAIN, PLEASE.

Moon has outspent Scaife and anyone on the right propping up, promoting right wing theocratic politics in America. He IS the right's political savior. Without him the hard right does NOT control our government. Can you see anything staring you right in the face? Can anyone?

Why has the government, at least not since the 70s, done anything to expose Sun Myung Moon and his organization's VERY successful efforts to mold our nation's politics? He wanted America to become a HARD right wing, homophobic, theocratic nation and 25 years after conservative leaders got in bed with him, look what we've become.

Talk about your national security issue.

Anything in this article below that might wake people up? Moon has played this nation for a bunch of chumps. He is not even a citizen and we sat back and watched him funnel BILLIONS of dollars, much of which the courts in Japan found the Unification Church swindled from the Japanese, into our political system.

We are truly a blind nation.


Quoting Robert Parry:

http://www.consortiumnews.com/2006/061406.html

Over the past quarter century, South Korean theocrat Sun Myung Moon has been one of the Bush family’s major benefactors – both politically and financially – while enjoying what appears to be protection against federal investigations into evidence that his cult-like organization has functioned as a criminal enterprise.

Indeed, the newest disclosure about Moon funneling money to a Bush family entity bears many of the earmarks of Moon’s business strategy of laundering money through a complex maze of front companies and cut-outs so it can’t be easily followed. In this case, according to an article in the Houston Chronicle, Moon’s Washington Times Foundation gave $1 million to the Greater Houston Community Foundation, which in turn acted as a conduit for donations to the George H.W. Bush Presidential Library.

The Chronicle obtained indirect confirmation that Moon’s money was passing through the Houston foundation to the Bush library from Bush family spokesman Jim McGrath. Asked whether Moon’s $1 million had ended up there, McGrath responded, “We’re in an uncomfortable position. … If a donor doesn’t want to be identified we need to honor their privacy.”

Rep. Harman,

Welcome.

I don’t say this below flippantly; I have studied the subject and the similarities are striking, please pay attention. This is what is happening to our nation and it is HUGE National security issue.

The WMD/Santorum story is just another part of the attack the NYT story – they go hand in hand as most anything you will see from the right since at least when Newt put out the GOPAC memo – which was not meant to sell people on the new right’s views but to manipulate people’s minds.

The right operates exactly like a mind control cult. Their actions, if you look at them as a method of information control - which is a huge mind control technique – they will begin to make sense to you as to what they are doing.

Maybe not the grunts down the line, but the higher ups know that this information on the banks which the NYT reported was already basically "out there" and that their reaction was BS. The right’s leaders know that any jackass knows that terrorists are fully aware we are bugging their phones and watching their bank records.

But that is not the point, the right must keep their cult following under control. Information control is the key. Sure, there are thousands of sources of information out there today, but in fact the right has successfully demonized every one of them except “approved" sources such as FOX, Rush and Moon's Washington Times. They know the NYT may still have a breath of a chance to expose some things; they have to close their cult’s minds to the information.

You know why they call anyone critical of Bush a "Bush hater"? They know we don't have the time or energy to waste "hating" that small, inept man. It is a way for them close the minds of their followers. Call us "haters" or "unhinged" and then they don't don't have to deal the realities of conservative leadership. They can cast off what we say as not worthy. Cults do that kind of thing. Cults use the "we vs. them" thing just like the right. I could go on but let's stick to one part of this, info control.

There is an article out saying one school has cancelled its library’s subscription to the NYT over this. Demonizing the NYT just fits the pattern. Yes, the right for all intents and purposes is under a major form of information control, they have been conditioned to do it to themselves. Moon doesn't call his part in this the "natural subjugation of the American government and population" for nothing; the right is going naturally – believing the whole time they are critical thinking human beings - sadly, they are taking the nation to hell with them.

Anyway, just view what the right does in those terms and it will explain a lot to you.

They stop the cult from believing all but approved sources of info and then they feed the beast.

For instance, when Santorum said they found WMD, most on the left and even most news services said he was full of crap. Many laughed. In fact, he was 100% successful and didn't remotely care what the reality was. Knowing the cult will believe who and what they have been CONDITIONED to believe - all he had to do was feed it to them. Rush and right wing radio does the rest.

The right's cultic leadership is literally to that point; reality is a joke to them, something to be toyed with while controlling their followers. They know they control them and they are now doing it openly. They have a death grip on millions of minds and YES, it is a national security issue - though it is one no one will face. This stuff about the NYT is just like a mop up operation for them - the game is over, America lost.

You can start by reading this, keeping in mind only one distinctive is all you need:

http://www.spiritwatch.org/mincon10.htm

Everyone has great comments and very legitimate concerns/questions. Congressman Hoekstra obtained the original intelligence report from me. Senator Santorum is being a spokesperson for Congressman Weldon. The information about the 500 shells that has been provided to the American public is very misleading. Congressman Hoekstra, Weldon & Senator Santorum are playing politics with national security. I have updated my website explaining more,Note: I was the first civilian Federal Agent in Iraq and since 2003 I have tried to get politicians to stop playing political games with the security of America. You can view a summary of the Intelligence Report I provided to Hoekstra and Weldon on 16 mar 2006. www.davegaubatz.com thanks, Dave Gaubatz, U.S. Federal Agent (retired)

Investigate.... investigate... investigate..

To the last point as Rep. Harman stated above:

If the Republicans want hearings, then let’s have hearings. But they should cover the use – and misuse – of all pre-war intelligence, not just this flimsy and cherry-picked report that is much ado about nothing.

Ah that always sounds so good, and is an easy answer to the already known untenable situation due to the way things are being run in the Republican controlled congress and committees.

Sorta like uhhhh.... what Senate Leader Frist stated on November 7, 2003 that is buried in the Congressional Record: about investigating how the administration used that information (Iraq intelligence) -- That Senator Do-nothing Roberts promised the country that the Senate Intelligence committee would do after the elections in 2004, that has not been done. And it will never be done...

Numerous questions have been raised about what the intelligence community told the Bush administration bout the threat posed by Saddam Hussein and how administration officials used this information in the days leading up to the war with Iraq.

What was the factual basis for the administration's assertion that Iraq attempted to acquire uranium in Niger?

What was the factual basis for the administration's assertion that there were concrete ties between Saddam Hussein and al-Qaida?

What was the factual basis for the administration's assertion that Iraq posed an imminent danger to the United States?

What was the factual basis for the administration's assertion that if we did not act in Iraq, the so-called smoking gun would be a mushroom cloud?

In all the speeches, not one of my colleagues has suggested that these are not legitimate questions for congressional inquiry. That is because each of us recognizes that we need a strong, independent intelligence community to win the war on terrorism.

In order to answer these questions, we need to understand both what intelligence told the administration about these issues and how the administration used that information.

Both issues have important implications for national security, and both issues should be thoroughly examined by Congress.


Congressional Record: November 7, 2003 (Senate) [[Page S14260]]

Now... in relationship to how the administration used that information, over 2 1/2 years later and nada... zip... nothing ...

All of this is starting to sound like a collective bi-partisan butt covering.

~OGD~


Is James Baker still Senior Counsel?

Says it all right there.

It seems to me that rather than spend her time criticising light-weights such as Hoekstra and Santorum, Rep. Harman would be better advised to turn her fire on the House Intelligence Committee Democrats who stayed silent as Bush and his NSA trashed the Fourth Amendment rights of the American people.

Guys the reason Dems and Reps BOTH said Saddam was linked to al Qaeda was because he was.

WMD may be a whole different story and may have been handled improperly but there were certainly links between Saddam and al Qaeda and they were solid.

Please take a look at www.regimeofterror.com for info on the topic that is mainly firsthand and exclusive.

My other blog on intelligence/security matters
www.securitywatchtower.com

Completely baseless. Saddam was on Bin Laden's hit list. They talked briefly in the '90's and it went nowhere. Saddam was not an Islamist; he was a secularist. These are the people in the Muslim world most hated by Bin Laden and Zawahri (sp?).

Check out Lawrence Wright's book The Looming Tower.

Tom

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