More on Walt/Mearsheimer
My coffee house colleage, Matt Yeglesias, suggests that we engage with him on debate on the already heavily-debated topic of the Walt/Mearsheimer paper. I've held back from commenting on this paper so far, but I'm not one to shy away from a debate...
As Matt comments, the paper's scholarship is less than steller. I would be less complimentary-it's really shockingly sloppy. Sources are quoted out of context, people who served in the State Department are lumped together as being more pro-Israel than pro-America, apparently because they are Jewish; and "pro-Israel," is never defined. The scholars quote from several different camps of State Department appointees, some of whom are neo-cons, others who were highly supportive of the Israeli peace camp and the Palestinian peace camp when they tried to shepherd negotiations. There are no nuances in the paper, as others have noticed, and more.
And as others have pointed out, there is not one mention of oil in a paper about U.S. Mideast policy, which really defies believability.
As for the Iraq War, the authors might have noted that the majority of American Jewish opinion was--and is--solidly anti-war. The largest group of affiliated Jews in America, the Reform synagogue movement (representing over 50% of organized Jewry) , passed an anti-war resolution at their last biennial meeting. And, as for Israel, right now, at least, Iran is a much bigger problem than Iraq ever was.
AIPAC is a different matter-and the issue that would be good to examine (by different scholars, please) is how much AIPAC actually represents American Jewish public opinion. It's not as much as AIPAC claims it is, not by a long-shot. It's power is in the perception, not the reality. And, I agree, it's a perception of might.
But, the question that Matt has put on the table is the amount of military support the U.S. gives Israel. The two largest recipients of aid in that region are Israel and Egypt, and that's been the case through Democratic and Republican Administrations. One is a democracy (Israel) and one isn't (Egypt). For the most part, the U.S. has gotten what it needs from Israel and has been able to, in fact, flex its muscles when needed. Witness Bush 1 who pressured the Shamir government to make concessions it didn't want to make and took the consequences among the Israeli electorate.
The problem with this Adminstration is that it's not flexing any muscles--it's not flexing anything at all. You can't push for U.S. interests in a region when you haven't figured out what those interests are. I, for one, believe that it is in the U.S.' interest to force a peaceful settlement, a 2-state solution, between Israel and Palestine. (It's also in Israel's interest--but I want to be clear, I am speaking as an American on behalf of U.S. interests here, and confident that my affection for Israel does not color my ability to promote an argument on behalf of U.S. foreign policy).
But that's not what this Adminstration has tried to do at all. It's tinkered around the margins, and then forced its completely bogus Arab democracy initiative on a reluctant--and weak-- Abu Mazen,(instead of forcing Israel to strengthen Abu Mazen) leaving us with the present mess. To simply reduce U.S. aid to Israel--without a nuanced, engaged policy for the region isn't good for the U.S. It doesn't move anything forward.












The money is a minor, side issue. The largest recipient of US largesse is not Israel or Egypt, but Iraq. And see how both Iraq and the US have "benefited" from that.
The issue is that Israel is currently incapable of looking after its own interests (except in an exceedingly narrow, short term kind of way). A unilateral withdrawal from parts of the West bank and the fencing off of East Jerusalem and the rest in a way that would reduce a Palestinian state to a pathetic collection of Bantustans is good neither for the Palestinians nor for the Israelis.
AIPAC has been a disaster lately (and is largely unrepresentative of US Jewry) but it's been an irrelevant disaster. Without AIPAC, Bush would still be pursuing the same policy, which is to watch from the sidelines the region self-destruct and do nothing. Leadership is more than handing out a check. Right now, the US is irrelevant in the conflict.
Meanwhile what the Iran "crisis" is showing is that time is not on Israel's or America's side. The irony is that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is solvable (think of Taba for the rough contours of a solution), and the US should put huge pressure on all parties to solve it. But wait long enough, and the problem then will be unsolvable. And that's the tragedy.
April 21, 2006 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do have a question about AIPAC which Mearsheimer and Walt don't address at all and that is how does AIPAC get its influence. I do not know of a single person who gives them money and very few who actually agrees with their views.
One of the odder situations is that a few Jewish columnists who regularly write about Israel William Safire, Sidney Zion, Zev Chaffets and to a lesser extent Charles Krautheimer could not criticize the Barak government enough. However, once Sharon came to office it was verboten for American Jews to criticize Israeli governments. Is this because the few rightwing Jews have gravitated to AIPAC and column writing?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 21, 2006 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not know of a single person who gives them money and very few who actually agree with their views.
And yet they have a budget of about $47 million/yr and some 200 employees.
April 21, 2006 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not know of a single person who gives them money and very few who actually agrees with their views.
And yet they have a budget of $47 million/yr and some 200 employees.
April 21, 2006 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whoops, sorry about that.
April 21, 2006 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, remember the time when the goal of the US in the region was to be an "honest broker?" Bush is merely a dishonest breaker.
April 21, 2006 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
We come to the central paradox of the whole matter, and while Daniel and I have jousted over this issue before, I will pause to agree with him that it IS more than of passing interest that many of the more well-known Jewish columnists of, dare I say it, the neocon persuasion, while quick to condemn those Jews and Gentiles who would criticize Likud Israeli governments were not the least bit squeamish about strongly attacking past Labour governments and their peace negotiations.
Where we differ, I guess, is whether we, the majority of Jews who do differ from AIPAC and the "Israel Lobby", have any responsibility to take public action to point out that these people who loudly claim to speak in our name, are not in fact speaking for us. I think we do, and it's important to say so. It's hard to do that when you're busy defending them as victims of antisemitism. Instead, I think we need to be defending M and W from the bogus charge of antisemitism, as Eric Alterman did, while clearly making some of the same criticisms as JoAnn Mort does here.
So while I agree with Ms. Mort and Alterman that there are problems with the Mearshimer/Walt thesis, these could have and should have been discussed without being derailed into the swamp of discussing whether anti-Semitism was the motivating factor behind the paper - which, of course, is a play right out of the AIPAC book. One might legitimately wonder whether Jews who oppose AIPAC are just chicken (afraid of being slammed as self-hating), don't care about it as much as AIPAC does or what.
On the subject of their $47 million annual budget, I don't see a mystery there. I have long suspected that their funding source is overwhelmingly a small group composed of primarily the wealthiest elements of the Jewish community, and from this group, $47 mil is not all that astounding. Additionally, I would expect that this section of the Jewish community has more areas of agreement with the Bush administration than just Israel. There is probably a natural affinity with the rightwing economics of the Bushites as well.
April 21, 2006 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why, "by different scholars, please". Why this continual squeamishness by Jews who DO oppose AIPAC to avoid any link with those who may not phrase the criticisms in exactly the same way. What is wrong with the way that Eric Alterman, writing in The Nation, phrased the issue?
Enough mishigas, please
April 21, 2006 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Why not?
April 21, 2006 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
The Left LOVES to bash Big Oil "No Blood for Oil!" they cry.
Well, I submit this challenge - show me. Show me one instance where Big Oil supported US aid to Israel, US policies on Lebanon, Iraq, or Iran (save the Iran-Iraq War)..
Don't bother, you won't find a damned thing.
No big OilPac Conventions with leading democrats and republicans paying homage. No massive letter writing campaigns..you won't find a damned thing except
a hairball scheme to break OPEC
and
an equally hair-brained scheme to run a pipeline from Basra to Haifa.
Those are pro-Israel policies that the Bush administration and the Israel Lobby pushed and that Big Oil opposed
To refute the M/W thesis, you have to come up with examples where
a) the US acted contrary to the position of the Lobby
and
b) consistent with a position that an anti-Israel group advocated.
The reason you cannot find such is because there are no countervailing, cross-cutting cleavages here.
So take the "sloppy scholarship" nit-picking and deal with the truth of the matter.
If Big Oil's interests were heard and served, Israel wouldn't get a shekel
April 21, 2006 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Matt poses a fundamental question and challenge. The very same challenge that M/W pose
- Why?
April 21, 2006 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
The answer is: The Israel Lobby which just as the Cuba Lobby and the NRA do but on a larger, much larger scale, determines US policy because it operates at the electoral margin without countervailing influence- not big oil not nobody.
April 21, 2006 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
What did Mossad know and when did they know it??
April 22, 2006 1:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
AIPAC Spy Defendants Implicate Condoleezza Rice in New Leak Scandal
April 22, 2006 1:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
The question that must be asked then (and this is similar to the one that M/W ask) is why DOESN'T "Big Oil" provide a countervailing pressure, as to some extent, in previous eras like Bush I and before, it did?
I think the answer is that Big Oil has decided that Israel provides enough in the way of services (intelligence, etc.) to the American imperium in the Middle East (concerned above all with oil) to justify its silence if not its support of AIPAC. Please remember, I'm not talking about American politics in general, and any supposed preference for democracy it may have, but about Big Oil.
This is where the "realist school" theory of M/W begins to break down. They seem to view the US National Interest in the Middle East (again, primarily oil) as better served by staying in the good graces of the oil-producing states. But what if the situation is so screwed up that it actually makes more sense (again from the oil perspective) for the United States to be feared rather than loved?
This policy has served Big Oil well for a number of years. But M/W may still have a point. The time window in which this constellation of forces is able to predominate may not be infinite, and the risk is large for all players, Big Oil, the United States, Israel, the Arab states, that the situation could blow up beyond any hope of repair. That is what appears to be happening, and is one reason why the M/W paper strikes the nerves it does.
April 22, 2006 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is trivial to show that the US position makes every other strategic goal in the region much more difficult to reach. There is at least an argument that the billions of dollars and scores of soldiers lives that the US is sacrificing every month in Iraq would not have been necessary if not for the US position on Israel.
April 22, 2006 7:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
sTiVo,
Here's why. Perhaps the most brilliant aspect of Walt and Mearsheimer's thesis is their preemptive complaint of overplaying the antisemitism card -- effectively innoculating their thesis against any reasonable examination of the antisemitic implications in a thesis that never quite defines its subject, and leaving "The Israel Lobby" to implicate any American Jew interested in a secure Israel with putting Israeli or Jewish interests ahead of US interests (whatever those may be -- Walt and Mearsheimer are conspicuously vague on the notion of genuine US interests as well).
April 22, 2006 7:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Arnold Evans:
If we accept that universal human rights is a valid US foreign policy interest, it can be, and in fact has been argued that national rights precede individual rights. The argument is not a new one, as Hannah Arendt argued in The Origins of Totalitarianism:
Arnold Evans continues:
Further, this does not have to come at the expense of the human rights of Palestinians. Arendt's argument applies as much to the Arabs of the former British Mandate as it does to the Jews.
Arnold Evans continues:
Most of Europe testified to its approval, not only to the refugee status of the Jewish people, but to its pariah status, when 2/3 of European Jewry were erradicated in the space of roughly half a decade in the mid-20th century. If it shall be "the wishes of most people" in a given region that determines US interests, then surely there was and remains a human rights issue concerning the Jews as well as Palestinians that complicates Arnold Evans' casual dismissal of equal national rights for both Jews and Arabs in the former British Mandatory Palestine.
April 22, 2006 8:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
I didnt they were deprived of money, however it would not take too many donors to give that much money. However, knowing a few Jew as I do I know none who give to AIPAC. It might explain why AIPAC seems to be unrepresentative of many American Jews.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 22, 2006 8:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you think American Blacks had a responsiblity to denounce SNCC or Farrahkan? My cousin runs Avodah is not enough oppostion.
With the exception of Krautheimer the columnnists I mentioned are not neo-cons. They are traditional conservatives. Neo-cons are so called because they or their parents were once to the far left and were Democrats as late as the early 1970s. Only the weak attitudes toward the Soviet Union and the Lefts anti-Semitism drove Irving Kristol and Norman Podhoretz, to name the two most prominent, from the Left to the Right.
Mearsheimer and Walt may or may not be personally anti-Semites but their paper is most definitely anti-Semitic.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 22, 2006 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would suggest the real reason Big Oil has not put more pressure on US policy toward Israel is that the Arab Oil countries don't really care about Israel. Israel is no threat to any oil producing country. There is immense suspicion if not downright hostility toward the Palestinians.
No Arab leader has really put themselves out for the Palestinians. After the Iraq invasion of Kuwait both Kuwait and Saudi Arabi Arab cut off funding for the PLO. Jordan certainly does not want to see an ascendent Palestinian state on its borders.
Israel makes for a nice scapegoat for Arab leaders. There are more political rights for Arab citizens of Israel than in Arab countries and great economic wellbeing. If there were rally a Palestinian State which saw political rights and economic growth what Arab ruler would find that a comfort?
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 22, 2006 8:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
The deal Clinton proposed at Taba was for Palestinian refugees to return in unlimited numbers to the Palestinian State. Some small number of Palestinians to be negotiated with Israel would be allowed to move into Israel. The United States would start a large fund to compensate refugees for whom neither solution would be workable.
Zionista to add to your point. Arafat accepted the two state solution in 1988. A million non-Jews vote in Israel. Israel is a multi-ethnic society. That can be said of few Arab States.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 22, 2006 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to see an argument that a 2-state solution, which means the insistence that there be an ethnically Jewish state - even at the expense of the human right of the refugees to return to Israel - which is contrary to the wishes of most of the people of the Middle East, is in the US' interests.
Arnold, some version of the two-state solution is in the US interest, and indeed the global interest, because it is in the interest of all of us to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and promote peace and stability in the Middle East. And the two-state framework is the only one which has half a chance of generating a workable settlement.
I also don't like the idea of a state that is built on structural ethnic uniformity. But the one-state solution is an an unachievable fantasy. Israel is a heavily armed state whose citizens would resist attempt to implement such a solution most strenuously. Not even the United States could implement it. If you think regime change in Iraq was a disater, just imagine the chaos and violence that would accompany any serious effort to pressure nuclear-armed Israel into changing the fundamental character of its state.
Of course there are those who think it is in our "interest" to work strenuously and uncompromisingly to eliminate every political situation which is an affront to our moral and ideological sensibilities. But that is not a reality-based approach to global affairs. The world frequently fails to cooperate with our moral theories, and our capacity to replace the real world with parts of an ideal one is severely limited. Let's not get carried away with neocon-like transformational delusions.
April 22, 2006 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
A fair question, and I'll answer it "no". I've seen far too much of the "denounce Farrakhan" game being played, too often by Jews, and I don't like it.
However Farrakhan has never been in the position of dominating government policy on any issue, unlike AIPAC. And when Jews who claim to oppose AIPAC nevertheless react to attacks on it by rushing to denounce the attackers as anti-Semites, one has to wonder about the depth of their opposition to AIPAC. I'd like to see the majority of Jews who oppose AIPAC do so in a way that makes their opposition matter, rather than ceding the entire field to AIPAC.
April 22, 2006 8:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Which their opponents fell right into by rushing into antisemitism charges against M/W instead of the relatively reasoned arguments you make here. M/W is not the be-all and end-all on this topic by any means, and there are many grounds on which it can be criticized as vague. But trotting out the antisemitism charge at the very beginning, basically ensured that the reasoned discussion of US Middle East policy would not happen - and that's what AIPAC intended. AIPAC wants the discussion to end behind the closed doors of the Bush/Cheney administration.
If M and W are flawed messengers, where were the better messengers all this time?
April 22, 2006 9:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course you're talking about the Arab governments, and not necessarily their people, which is one big reason why the situation is so unstable.
And incidentally, arguing this way makes a mockery of the Bush pro-democracy arguments, since none of the governments you cite was elected.
April 22, 2006 9:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
“Literally, from Israel's birth, as that great Democrat Harry Truman took the courageous step to immediately extend America's hand to recognize the State of Israel...Democrats have done all we can to foster the special, enduring relationship between the two countries. Maintaining Israel's security is a key U.S. national security interest...”
Howard Dean
April 22, 2006 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you guys hate AIPAC so much why don't you get all those anti-AIPAC American Jews-- who you say are a majority-- to support Americans for Peace Now and any other Jewish peace for a piece of paper lobbies--that's right, they are lobbies just like AIPAC-- that want the U.S. to pressure Israel to make territorial concessions that the majority of voters in Israel, who have to live with the consequences, do not want their government to make. You just don't want to admit the reason: AMERICAN JEWS ARE THE MOST LIBERAL WHITE ETHNIC GROUP IN AMERICA, AND THE ONLY WHITE SEGMENT OF THE ELECTORATE THAT HAS STAYED FAITHFUL TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY IN LARGE PERCENTAGES, BUT THE MAJORITY OF AMERICAN JEWS ARE EITHER INDIFFERENT TO ISRAEL'S WEST BANK POLICIES OR SUPPORT THEM, AND ONLY AT MOST 25% OF THEM AGREE WITH YOU THAT ISRAEL SHOULD MAKE PEACE WITH HAMAS-SUPPORTED HOMICIDE BOMBERS. SHOW ME ONE CREDIBLE SURVEY OF AMERICAN JEWS TAKEN SINCE 2000 THAT SAYS OTHERWISE.
April 22, 2006 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"M-W focus on AIPAC and the evangelicals, but they recognize that the Lobby includes most of the political-intellectual class -- at which point the thesis loses much of its content. They also have a highly selective use of evidence (and much of the evidence is assertion). Take, as one example, arms sales to China, which they bring up as undercutting US interests. But they fail to mention that when the US objected, Israel was compelled to back down: under Clinton in 2000, and again in 2005, in this case with the Washington neocon regime going out of its way to humiliate Israel. Without a peep from The Lobby, in either case, though it was a serious blow to Israel. There's a lot more like that. Take the worst crime in Israel's history, its invasion of Lebanon in 1982 with the goal of destroying the secular nationalist PLO and ending its embarrassing calls for political settlement, and imposing a client Maronite regime. The Reagan administration strongly supported the invasion through its worst atrocities, but a few months later (August), when the atrocities were becoming so severe that even NYT Beirut correspondent Thomas Friedman was complaining about them, and they were beginning to harm the US "national interest," Reagan ordered Israel to call off the invasion, then entered to complete the removal of the PLO from Lebanon, an outcome very welcome to both Israel and the US (and consistent with general US opposition to independent nationalism). The outcome was not entirely what the US-Israel wanted, but the relevant observation here is that the Reaganites supported the aggression and atrocities when that stand was conducive to the "national interest," and terminated them when it no longer was (then entering to finish the main job). That's pretty normal.
Another problem that M-W do not address is the role of the energy corporations. They are hardly marginal in US political life -- transparently in the Bush administration, but in fact always. How can they be so impotent in the face of the Lobby? As ME scholar Stephen Zunes has rightly pointed out, "there are far more powerful interests that have a stake in what happens in the Persian Gulf region than does AIPAC [or the Lobby generally], such as the oil companies, the arms industry and other special interests whose lobbying influence and campaign contributions far surpass that of the much-vaunted Zionist lobby and its allied donors to congressional races."
Noam Chomsky
http://www.zmag.org/content/showarticle.cfm?ItemID=9999
WHEN JEW-HATER NOAM CHOMSKY SAYS M-W ARE WRONG HOW CAN ANYBODY BELIEVE THEM?
April 22, 2006 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Currently, Israel is building a security fence - not because it wants to, but because terrorism has forced its hand. The fence is not a barrier to the peace process. No country can negotiate if the other side believes it has no alternatives. The fence will help contain the terrorist onslaught. It will warn other parties in the Middle East that they need to start negotiating - now. But it is not a sustainable substitute for peace.
A strong, democratic State of Israel is the key to the future of the Middle East. For 50 years, Israelis stood side by side with Americans in fighting against communism and terrorism. We forged a unique relationship based on common interests and a common dedication to the principles of democracy. In the aftermath of September 11, and with Israelis facing a fresh campaign of suicide bombings, this relationship is more firmly founded then ever before."
Wesley Clark
April 22, 2006 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I just can't envision Israeli voters voting to commit to a war they will lose rather than to accept refugees so that Israel peacefully and gradually passes the 40% threshold where Zionists believe Israel loses its Jewish character and then passes the 50% threshold years, maybe even a generation after that.
And the fact is that without US support, Israel will eventually lose its war against everybody else in the Middle East. Even Israel's nuclear arsenal does not change that, and Israel cannot maintain a regional nuclear monopoly without US support.
Well, either that or stop funding every political situation which is an affront to our moral and ideologicals sensibilities. Maybe stop invading countries and watching thousands of US soldiers die to advance every political situation that is an affront to out moral and ideological sensibilities.
I don't expect some here to agree that the protection of Israel's ethnic character was an important motivation for the US invasion of Iraq. I will put up a longer post concerning that later today in the discussion tables. For now, I'll just remind everyone of two things:
1 - It was commonly argued at the time that the road to peace with the Palestinians ran through Baghdad, and that when the Palestinians lost Hussein as a patron they would accept a peace with Israel on terms more preferable to the Israelis.
2 - The Saudi Government, the Kuwaiti Government, the Jordanian government, every regional government except Israel's publicly took stances opposed to the war. The populations of every state in the region other than Israel's were also strongly opposed to the war.
*******
Another thing is that I thought the original poster was speaking of interests as conventionally strategically defined, not a moral "interest". I've heard the moral arguments before. Going through them here would not change anyone's mind about anything.
If anyone hasn't seen a discussion of the moral arguments and is interested, ask in a reply and I'll look through the archives and find a link to one where Zionista or Greenbaum or someone and I go back and forth for a couple of dozen posts about the moral aspects of US support for Israel's ethnic character.
I still have not seen the strategic argument, if the original poster did not mean it is in the US strategic interest, but rather the US moral interest to get a two state solution, then I retract my question. I don't need to hear her argument about that.
April 22, 2006 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Geez, sage, where to begin?
Chomsky is, of course, Jewish himself, but let's not quibble over such small points. Let's for the sake of argument accept your premise that he is a Jew-hater. Yet you of all people are quoting him as an authority. We'll pass over that one too.
But since now you're telling us that we can take Chomsky seriously, let's note that he says M-W are "wrong". Ok, that's fine. I even happen to agree with him on these points. However, he doesn't say that they're wrong about everything, and more importantly, he doesn't glide effortlessly from calling them wrong to falsely accusing them of antisemitism.
April 22, 2006 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mearsheimer and Walt may or may not be personally anti-Semites but their paper is most definitely anti-Semitic.
Define anti-Semitic.
April 22, 2006 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well. I guess this clears that up.
April 22, 2006 1:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would say that, looking at the current state of the Middle East, the current prices at the gas pumps and the current profits of the oil companies, it is clear that oil companies have a stake in Middle East instability, not Middle East stability. And Israel, whatever else it is, is not a force for Middle East stability.
April 22, 2006 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The Israeli people not only have the right to defend themselves, they should defend themselves. They have an obligation to defend themselves. We know that the prime minister has made a decision, an historic decision, to unilaterally withdraw from Gaza. It's important for America to participate in helping with that process. Now, if Gaza's being used as a platform for attacking the Israeli people, that has to be stopped. They don't have a partner for peace right now."
John Edwards
April 22, 2006 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't we begin with the indisputable proposition that people like you-- who would like Israelis to make a deal with a government that supports homicide bombers-- constitute, thankfully, a minority in both major parties, and absolutely nothing you do, and nothing you say, will change that for years to come.
April 22, 2006 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
"There are those who contend that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is all about Israel's occupation of the West Bank and Gaza.This is absolute nonsense. In truth, the history of the conflict is not over occupation, and never has been: it is over the fundamental right of Israel to exist."
Nancy Pelosi
April 22, 2006 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I have been critical of some aspects of what the Israeli Government does. People say you cannot criticize another government. That, of course, is not true. People in this body spend most of our time criticizing other governments. It is perfectly legitimate to express points of view. Indeed, the more closely one feels allied to a nation, it seems to me the
more your obligation is to speak out, if there are some differences, in a constructive and helpful way.
But those who are urging Israel to do more have to take due account of the steady, relentless pattern of terrorism of which it is the victim. Look what happened in Spain. Two hundred people were brutally murdered and a government fell, because they think it was an inappropriate reaction in terms of trying to blame people. But would anyone now be pressing the Spanish Government to enter into negotiations with al Qaeda which appears to be the author of this?
When the U.S. was the victim of thousands of murders and, given the population, Israel has seen a comparable number, if not more, murdered by terrorists, none of us here felt that the answer was to go further with negotiations.
I am not opposed to peace negotiations. I think it is very much in Israel's interest. I think the ability to get out of the settlements so that Israel can be a Jewish democratic state, setting an example for the world of how to achieve democratic values in the Middle East, that is very important. So I don't think the peace process ought to be abandoned.
But I do believe it is important to take due note of what we are asking a democratic Nation to do: negotiate peace under difficult circumstances with an entity from which murderist terrorists come, and an entity which does too little to deal with it."
Barney Frank
April 22, 2006 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I want to remind all the folks who oppose AIPAC that you had a great candidate in 2004--Dennis somebody, begins with a K from Ohio, maybe you remember him, oh yeah, Kucinich. Supported by every Democratic Arab-American and Muslim-American group under the sun for publicly criticizing Israel. How many delegates did he get--one, two? Please enlighten me.
April 22, 2006 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
expatjourno2,
As opposed to what?
April 22, 2006 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I know that this has been a tough year for the State of Israel and I want to offer my prayers to Prime Minister Sharon, but I am proud that the partnership between our two countries has never been stronger. We are fortunate to have each other in the fight against terrorism and in advancing our common cause of a lasting peace in the Middle East. Our countries face many of the same challenges—from terrorism and security, to the global economy and increasing trade. We also face many of the same opportunities: to work together across our borders, to form new partnerships, to expand new markets, and to find new ways to help all of our people."
Gov. Bill Richardson
April 22, 2006 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
So it's okay to cite Chomsky when he agrees with you, but puts you outside the pale when he doesn't? OK, Sage, you're right, I can't argue with that.
April 22, 2006 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
expatjourno2,
Check it out....
April 22, 2006 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The money is a minor, side issue
That's never true in politics or in life.
The issue is that Israel is currently incapable of looking after its own interests (except in an exceedingly narrow, short term kind of way)
This is supposed to describe a nation, culture and people that have the most astonishing record of survival in human history
The irony is that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is solvable.
And this about the most intractable conflict in the modern world.
rated 4 by one user
I thought I'd found the depths of liberal stupidity. I see there is no bottom
I
April 22, 2006 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
sTiVo,
Perhaps the problem is not with messengers, but with the message. In other words, maybe the Jews don't control US foreign policy as much as many here want or need to believe.
April 22, 2006 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Arnold Evans,
When you put it like that, it is not so much an argument as it is a conclusision in search of a premise.
April 22, 2006 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Huh?
April 22, 2006 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zionista refers us to a definition of anti-Semitism that contains the following:
This definition is itself anti-Semitic. It attempts to absolve those who support Israeli brutality against Palestinians by declaring that it is anti-Semitic to criticize Israel without simultaneously criticizing China, Russia, and India for their treatment of minority groups. There are many individuals who uncritically support Israel – because it is a Jewish state – who would never dream of supporting equivalent brutality by China, Russia or India.
Rather than slandering as anti-Semites those who oppose the Israeli occupation we should be condemning those morally depraved individuals who blindly support the brutal Israeli treatment of the Palestinians because it is a Jewish state. We would rightly condemn any American who openly supported the Chinese, Russian and Indian treatment of their minority populations. Those who defend Israeli treatment of the Palestinians deserve the same condemnation we would visit on any American who openly supported the Chinese, Russian and Indian treatment of their minority populations.
April 22, 2006 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, Sage, you mean the Lobby's even gotten to Howard Dean? Thanks for the heads up.
April 22, 2006 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know you're just proving M/W's thesis, right?
April 22, 2006 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
A worthless definition. Be very careful how you use it. You'll wind up cheapening the charge of antisemitism to the point where it will lose whatever moral force it ever had.
Antisemitism is reduced to "having a double-standard" with regard to Israel. This makes it almost a tautology. Similarly is one who criticizes blacks in racial incidents but never criticizes the role of whites in those same incidents a racist? How about the Northern Irish Protestants who see Catholic atrocities but not their own side's? Or vice versa? We all know that there are people with glaring double standards on various race questions. And yet we tolerate them as just another example of human imperfection.
But antisemitism is too fraught with other baggage for this strategy to work. To call someone an "antisemite" is practically to say, "someone who would have been a willing accomplice of Hitler". And people go to great pains to avoid being so tagged. There's no longer considered to be any such thing as "garden variety antisemitism". But ultimately, you can't pin the more serious charge on the basis of a mere double standard.
And the more you do it, the more likely someone is to say, "you say I'm an antisemite. I say so what?" That is where all this "new definition of antisemitism" is leading, and it's a bad thing.
April 22, 2006 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
instability, maybe?
April 22, 2006 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait a frigging minute here, zionista. You're heading down the slippery slope again. I haven't said that "the Jews" control US foreign policy. Hell, I'm Jewish, and I sure as hell don't feel in control of US foreign policy.
What I'm complaining about (and what M&W are complaining about), is that AIPAC or the "Israel Lobby" if you will, exerts too much control over US foreigh policy.
I know that AIPAC doesn't speak for all Jews, and all you have to do is say that it does, and you will have people violently objecting that AIPAC doesn't speak for them.
It's your ridiculously broad definition of antisemitism that is leading you astray again.
April 22, 2006 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
AIPAC is definitely an insufficient explanation for pro-Israeli tilt of almost entire American political spectrum, as Sage aptly demonstrated (with trollish zeal, I regret to say, 20 consecutive post make you a troll).
There list of peculiarities of American public opinion is longer: that gasoline taxes are evil, small cars are dangerous, prisons should be plentiful and every prison sentence should be a life sentence, that "are are the most generous nation on Earth". My favorite: 20% of the public thinks that they are in top 1% of earners.
What genuinely puzzles me that as Israel strategic position has an increasingly lopesided character, and as Israel defeated two intifadas in a row and as Israel has zero external constraints in dealing with Palestinians, "friends of Israel" grow more and more paranoid, lobing accusations of anti-Semitism and "objective anti-Semitism left and right (well, mostly left).
Some very serious and quite liberal Jews went on record saying that while Kerry never said a cross word about Israel, he is nevertheless on the left, and the World's left wishes the destruction of Israel, and thus they cannot vote for Kerry. I presume that they were privy to the Protocoles of the Elders of The Left.
April 22, 2006 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still have not seen the strategic argument . ..
Arnold, I do not understand how you can say this. Dan made a reasonable strategic argument, don't you mean that you do not agree with his case?
I think your disagreement relies on some dubious assumptions :"I just can't envision Israeli voters voting to commit to a war . . ." - well, most other observers can. Very easily. "The fact is that without US support, Israel will eventually lose its war against everybody else in the Middle East." - IMHO dubious also. I suggest you look at Martin Van Creveld's Defending Israel - he argues that an Israel that pulled back to the Green Line would be quite defensible, more defensible than now. Concerning the nuclear issue, he notes that some of the areas around Israel where such a war might be fought are ideally suited to use of tactical nuclear weapons with minimal damage to civilians.
April 22, 2006 11:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
force a peaceful settlement
Why think small? Why not force world peace?
April 22, 2006 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agree. An appalling definition and utterly dishonest. The only possible double-standard that might be relevant would be to condemn Israel's brutality towards Palestinians without condemning their terrorist attacks against Israel.
Moreover, and here is where the dishonesty is so transparent, neither China, nor Russia, nor India are considered close allies and the recipients of massive amounts of U.S. aid. Of course a client state subsidized on the U.S. taxpayer dime can expect much more criticism from U.S. taxpayers. I've never heard of an Israel critic who gives China, Russia and India a pass on human rights issues. But having one level of outrage for people you are paying and another standard for peopl you are not paying seems pretty reasonable to me.
April 23, 2006 1:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the charge of anti-Semitism has already gone there. It has been thrown around dishonestly for too long as a tactic by people trying to cut off debate to have any meaning at all anymore.
April 23, 2006 1:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I actually found the definition linked to kind of confusing. Has it been edited since you linked? I don't get the significance of whether it's hyphenated or not, for example.
April 23, 2006 1:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Given that Israel is in conflict with most of the region's governments and hated by all of the region's peoples (other than its own citizens), it's pretty obvious that the region would be a good deal more peaceful if the UN had not brought it into existence in the first place. That, in itself is not necessarily an argument against its existence, only an acknowledgement that Israel's existence has not come without cost.
April 23, 2006 1:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
A strategic case as opposed to a moral case? I didn't see it. I looked again and didn't see it again.
Without US support, Israel cannot maintain its technological military advantage over its neighbors. I do not believe Israel's voters believe Israel could indefinitely defeat opponents that are much more numerous and equal or superior technologically, as Israel's opponents will be eventually without active US efforts to prevent it.
Israel can use tactical nukes without worrying about civilians as long as Israel has a regional nuclear monopoly, which it cannot maintain without US support.
Upon losing US support, Israel may not immediately agree to a peace that does not ensure Israel retains its Jewish character. But as the gap closes between Israel and the other states of the region and then Israel is surpassed militarily I'm reasonably certain Israel's voters would admit the refugees gradually and peacefully rather than fight on to bitter defeat.
April 23, 2006 2:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
You can reach that conclusion only if you believe that all the liberal Democrats have said what I have quoted because they are terrified of the "Lobby" and not because they truly believe in those positions. M/W offer not one scintilla of evidence for that proposition.
April 23, 2006 3:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
"We raise these questions with tremendous sorrow about the turn of events in the region. The Palestinians had a unique opportunity to secure virtually everything they had been seeking from Israel at the negotiating table. For reasons that baffle us, they chose instead to use violence against Israel. That decision comes at a great cost to everyone involved and with no foreseeable benefit. From our perspective, it is time for the US to require that the leadership of the Palestinian Authority speak and act against the continuing violence and terrorism, or face a significant change in our relations with them.
It is also time for those of us in both parties who serve in Congress and in your Administration to restate our commitment to Israel's security and to the uniquely common values and interests which America and Israel share."
Russ Feingold
April 23, 2006 4:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
That article makes some mildly interesting historical and lingusistic points before getting around to its foolish definition of antisemitism in the last paragraph.
The significance of the hyphen is that it implies that there is something called "semitism" which there is not. Antisemitism is simply opposition to the Jews. Then it goes to point to the term's origin in late 19th century Germany, something that I never knew before.
April 23, 2006 4:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
April 23, 2006 4:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not everything changed on 9/11 but this is one thing that did, and it was much commented on in the Israeli press at the time. 9/11 could be used to convince the Americans of the rightness and inevitability of their hard-line position against "the Arabs". And while the blinders have lifted to some extent with regard to the Iraq war, they have not lifted on this issue. AIPAC played a role here, but yes, it doesn't explain everything.
April 23, 2006 4:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I offer Hillary Clinton as evidence. Much maligned by rightwing Jews throughout her husband's presidency for her photo-op with Arafat and her support of the peace process, her switch to down-the-line Likudism as soon as she entered politics in New York state is something that needs to be explained.
Now, I know, you'll attack me for equating "the Lobby" with all Jews. I'm not, actually. I don't think it works that way. No doubt many Jews sincerely despised her previous positions. But many other Jews agreed with the previous politics of Hillary Clinton on the middle east and polls indicate that many oppose the line of AIPAC. And yet, rare indeed is the prominent Jew who will defend such a politician when he or she is falsely accused of antisemitism.
The average Democratic politician cannot afford to spend a lot of time debating as we do here the finer points about what is and what isn't antisemitic. Since they will undoubtedly be hit with such charges should they not kiss the AIPAC ring, they all take the safe course.
This, ultimately is the power AIPAC has. They are well-poised to make such a stink over antisemitism, whether real (as you might say) or imagained (as I might say) as to make political opposition to them unfeasable for a Democrat. It is true that M&W do not supply these details, but I doubt they'd disagree.
April 23, 2006 4:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have to disagree with you here. I think that other black leaders should denounce Farrakhan AND Jewish leaders should denounce AIPAC on practical, if on no other grounds. Maintaining a "united front" is counterproductive because non-blacks and non-Jews are going to think that black and Jews, by their silence, approve of Farrakhan and AIPEC.
This is unfortunate because, in reality, there is a wide range of opinions within both groups. Obscuring that fact reinforces stereotypes, thereby encouraging bigotry, the first step of which is always to feel that one can make general statements about "them," rather than to see each person as an individual who may or may not share characteristics with other members of a given group.
There is also the issue of credibility. Eric Alterman, for example, is more credible to me on Israel-related issues because he expresses opinions he has clearly arrived at independently.
April 23, 2006 5:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Third, while it's fair to call AIPAC obnoxious and even anti-democratic, the same can often be said about, say, the NRA, Big Pharma and other powerful lobbies.
I think that's a great way to look at it. As I see it, AIPAC is a powerful lobby, which, like other powerful lobbies, often advocates things that are good for its cause, narrowly defined, not in the overall interests of the U.S. or the American people as a whole. That's what lobbies do.
April 23, 2006 5:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
the uniquely common values and interests which America and Israel share
Sage, can you clarify what shared values are unique to Israel and the US and not shared with other allies such as Britain, Canada, etc.? This idea that we have some kind of special shared values with Israel different from the values we share with other close allies strikes me as myth.
April 23, 2006 5:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yesterday I was communicating with an experienced American journalist who had been working in Iraq. I had asked him about the pressures American journalists experience to conform to the "official line" concerning 9/11 and the Iraq War. He answered:
"I can only tell you that I have been banned from a major US daily and dropped from a national network for having dared declare the Iraq wmd issue was a lie and for being too critical."
Banned and dropped from a major US daily and from a national network. so, WHO did the banning and the droppng and WHY? When you ban and drop an experienced journalist for expressing divergent views, what is the purpose of your major US daily and your network?
Jo-Ann asks a good question above:
"AIPAC is a different matter-and the issue that would be good to examine (by different scholars, please) is how much AIPAC actually represents American Jewish public opinion."
Here are a few more related questiions:
How much does AIPAC represent the opinion of the MSM - Main Stream Media and how much does the MSM represent the opinion of AIPAC? How much does AIPAC represent the opinions of the Pentagon and the Bush Administratiion and, in fairness, all the Democratic political hopefuls that beat a path to their door?
How much does the Main Stream Media actually represent American Jewish Public opinion? Probably not so much.
We have some major communication problems in this country which cannot be solved by business as usual and our country cannot survive when honest and truthful opinions are banned and dropped from the Main Stream Media for whatever reasons one may care to spin.
April 23, 2006 5:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have several concerns about this AIPAC--Israel -- American uncritical support issue:
First. Why is the issue of Zionism not debated? Why does our national discussion assume that Zionism is a legitimate, even favored, perspective?
Second. Why is it that when one says something critical of Israel or Jewish people one is quickly labeled anti-Semitic? Why is this method of dismissing those who disagree with conventional or orthodox opinion not criticized?
Third. Years ago, one of the writers at Tikkun stated that Jews, as a group, have joined the Protestants as the economic and political elite of the U.S. The first issue discussed in any introductory political science textbook is that economic and political elites define the values by which the rest of us live. Why do we not question the legitimacy of the values that are defined for the rest of us?
Fourth. I think the influence of AIPAC likely comes from three sources: a) the amount of money they can throw at an issue, b) their cleverness and skill in mobilizing alliances and coalitions and presenting that through well orchestrated public relations campaigns, and c) their use of the historical hunger of Jewish people for a homeland to encourage support and legitimacy for this positions. Why are AIPAC’s attempts at manipulating Jewish opinion not questioned by other Jewish organizations? AIPAC presents itself as the voice of Jewish people (all Jewish people), and no one questions that, why?
Fifth. It is said that a more intelligent debate over the Israel/Palestine issue is occurring in Israel than is permitted to occur in the U.S. Was the creation of the State of Israel by the West a colonial invasion of Arab-Muslim lands, or was it the fulfillment of the Zionist dream that western powers have adopted as national policy? Why is the legitimacy of Israel as a nation state not discussed?
Sixth. Why is it assumed that Israel must be economically, politically and militarily dominant in the Middle East in order for it to survive and feel secure? Why the arguments of Israel’s enemies in the Middle East are considered illegitimate, including those of Osama bin Laden?
cadabra
April 23, 2006 6:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, okay. It WOULD be better if other black leaders did denounce Mr. Farrakhan. What I object to is the "denounce him or else we'll denounce you as being as bad as he is" game that is all too common. And it's worse when that comes from mouths of folks who have their own "united front" issues.
So yes, bigotry ought to be denounced. But when it comes to trying to force others (who may have nothing in common with the denouncee other than ethnicity) to denounce, my rule is, let he who is without sin cast the first stone.
April 23, 2006 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
As Matt comments, the paper's scholarship is less than steller. I would be less complimentary-it's really shockingly sloppy.
Jo-Ann, please support this accusation.
You say, for instance, that "sources are quoted out of context," but don't give examples. You say it "defies believability" that a paper "on Mideast policy" doesn't mention oil. But the topic of the paper isn't as broad as "Mideast policy"--it's a much narrower topic, why US support for Israel is so strong. (Oil is mentioned once or twice, by the way.) And you say "As for the Iraq War, the authors might have noted that the majority of American Jewish opinion was--and is--solidly anti-war." In fact, on pages 31-32, the authors say the following:
Although neoconservatives and other Lobby leaders were eager to invade Iraq, the broader American Jewish community was not.153 In fact, Samuel Freedman reported just after the war started that "a compilation of nationwide opinion polls by the Pew Research Center shows that Jews are less supportive of the Iraq war than te population at large, 52% to 62%."154 Thus, it would be wrong to blame the war in Iraq on "Jewish influence." Rather, the war was due in large part to the Lobby’s influence, especially the neoconservatives within it.
Unfortunately, it seems that the criticism of W/M has been every bit as shockingly sloppy as the paper itself is alleged to be.
April 23, 2006 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
If I understand you correctly, I agree with you. The failure to denounce one bad actor doesn't disqualify you from denouncing another. Bad is bad. If AIPAC does something bad, it should have to defend it actions, rather than say, "Never mind that, why aren't you complaining about someone else?"
I mean, just because there are more malignant organizations than AIPAC doesn't mean I find them benign.
April 23, 2006 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
1) Why is the issue of Zionism not debated? As: shall Israel be dismantled? I think that Jews should not be paranoid because this attitude is limited to a fringe, but feel free to correct me.
2) Why critics of Israel are labelled "anti-Semitic"? I disagree with such labelling, but the truth remains that some critics are anti-Semitic, plus, the implication that Israel should be dismantled are so dreadful to Jews (like me) that name-calling is truly a natural reaction.
3) The relevance of that point is obscure as presented.
4) AIPAC may be clever, but the effects of that cleverness can only tilt the public opinion a bit from a position that would emerge naturally. Actually, the fact mention in point 3) explains why we would naturally side with people who are presumed to be similar to our elite against the people who are very different from us.
5) Here you seem to suggest that it is easier to discuss imperialist origins of Israel and its legitimacy as a state in Israel than here, unless you conflate two issues: an intelligent discussion and the discussion of the latter two points.
6) Perhaps because WE think that we must be militarily and economically dominant in order to survive? This is a subtle question: what shall one do if one is dominant? Use this superiority to the hilt and try to make it ever more lopsided, or recognize that there can be too much of a good thing? The latter is damn difficult intelectually and next to impossible politically.
April 23, 2006 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
As I see it, AIPAC is a powerful lobby, which, like other powerful lobbies, often advocates things that are good for its cause, narrowly defined, not in the overall interests of the U.S. or the American people as a whole. That's what lobbies do.
...because if it was in the overall interests of the U.S. or the American people as a whole, there would be no need to lobby for it!
April 23, 2006 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I don't see any moral case in that post, nor did one seem to be intended; I appreciate your posts and you are reasonable and informed, but are you sure you aren't being disingenuous here? Again, I think you are basing your opinions on dubious assumptions, which are not widely held either on the left or the right. Discard them, and the strategic argument is obvious. US military aid is not so terribly important anymore, economic aid is nice - oppression is very expensive - but neither are essential for existence in the present form in the pre67 borders. It's the diplomatic support that is most important in continuing the present policies - It is clear that if the US said very nicely - "accept the 2002 Saudi plan or we won't oppose economic sanctions in the UNSC" - Israel would squawk a bit, but fold. But that is just a pipedream.
Without US support, Israel cannot maintain its technological military advantage over its neighbors. I do not believe Israel's voters believe Israel could indefinitely defeat opponents that are much more numerous and equal or superior technologically, as Israel's opponents will be eventually without active US efforts to prevent it.
Well, I, and I think most observers, strongly disagree, particularly about the first sentence. The way that the opponents would achieve technological parity is if they became modern advanced industrial economies like Israel itself. Before the Iran-Iraq War, Iraq looked to be heading that way - its population was very well educated, by some measures better than Israel even; but now? What you are saying is only true in an unforeseeable very long term.
Israel can use tactical nukes without worrying about civilians as long as Israel has a regional nuclear monopoly, which it cannot maintain without US support.
One of Van Creveld's points, based on the geography, is that the first is not true; and that a nuclear monopoly is not necessary - for of course if an enemy used WMDs against Israeli civilians, its civilians would be subject to MAD too. His general view of the military outlook, after withdrawal from the occupied territories, is something like - "are we dreaming?" - could it be better than this?
Anyway, at present, the refugees really aren't the main issue; most wouldn't return even if they could. Land is. It is pretty clear that if Israel just accepted the 2002 Saudi plan and made an honest effort to help solve refugee problems, it could have its cake (pre 67 Israel) and eat it too (longterm Jewish majority). But nooooo, it prefers policies of awe-inspiring foolishness, in addition to their criminality. Guess it is trying to compete with us for the Earth's dumbest criminal prize. :-)
April 23, 2006 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
That doesn't necessarily follow. I think, for example, that protecting the environment is in the overall interests of the U.S. and the American people, but we still need an environmental lobby to counteract the various industry lobbies.
What AIPAC lobbies for could, theoretically, be in the long-term interests of the U.S. and I'm sure that people who think Israel is a valuable ally instead of an expensive client state think so.
April 23, 2006 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Juan Cole always says beautifully what I (and many others) mean but tend to jumble.
April 23, 2006 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nonsense. Whatever else she is, Hilary Clinton is not as obtuse as you. She understood early on--in the fall of 1999 a year before she was elected-- that if you want to be a Democratic Senator from the one State where Jews account for one-third of the Democratic primary voters, you cannot kiss Arafat's wife and appear to be anti-Israel. The so-called "Lobby" has had absolutely no effect on her for the simple reason that EVERY New York Democrat who runs statewide will always be supportive of virtually every policy implemented by the Government of Israel, and that would be so even if Paul Wolfowitz, Bill Kristol, AIPAC, the Wall Street Journal, Fox News and everybody else that M/W label as part of the so-called "Lobby" had never existed or disappeared tomorrow. It was true when Herbert Lehman was Senator from New York in the 1950's, before AIPAC was formed, and it was true when Bobby Kennedy was Senator from New York in the 1960's before Jews contributed to his campaign, and it was true when Pat Moynihan was Senator from New York in the 1970's and 1980's who didn't bother to, and didn't need to, listen to the so-called "Lobby" because everyone in the so-called "Lobby" was hanging on every word he said; and, if you think that Chuck Schumer is pro-Israel because of the so-called "Lobby" you must have had a lobotomy.
April 23, 2006 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I accept your premise that the the U.S. and Israel do not share a set of unique values, different from those of other democracies. I vehemently reject the premise that they share no values or interests.
April 23, 2006 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am still waiting for someone to remind me how many delegates Kucinich got. Listen up, whether it's Hilary, or Feingold, or Bayh, or Edwards, or Richardson, or Clark, or G-d forbid, Kerry again --NONE OF THEM ARE GOING TO PRESSURE ISRAEL TO MAKE THE KIND OF DANGEROUS CONCESSIONS YOU WANT ISARAEL TO BE FORCED TO MAKE, AND, IF YOU DON'T LIKE THAT, YOU CAN EITHER VOTE FOR NADER-- WHICH WILL MAKE KARL AND HIS FRIENDS VERY HAPPY-- OR MOVE.
April 23, 2006 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're not entirely wrong.
But then again, how does kissing the wife of a visiting dignitary (which is something any First Lady might do), translate into being anti-Israel? Hmm, did she also kiss Rabin's wife? That whole thing is a silly canard.
But let's suppose Hillary was as "obtuse" as me. Suppose she instead said, "Israel deserves peace and security. I supported then, and I support now, peace in the Middle East between Israel and its Arab neighbors as the surest way of delivering that peace and security. If elected, I will continue to work tirelessly to bring that result about." Is that anti-Israel? I don't think so. But the response would have been deafening. She would consider herself lucky to have emerged alive.
Now, the question is, if there was no "Lobby", if Wolfowitz, Kristol, AIPAC, the WSJ and Fox did not exist, is the conclusion that Hillary was anti-Israel one that the Jews of New York would have reached on their own, or is it one that needs to be whipped up by organs like the above. I'm frankly not sure. But the fact that Hillary Clinton bowed to political reality doesn't disprove the power of the Israel Lobby.
Because the Lobby does exist and its implicit threats are real, and every politician knows it.
April 23, 2006 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Five comments
o Walt , Mearshimer have track records as
careful academics. It's up to their critics
to substantiate claims of sloppy work.
o After the Holocaust , the 1947 Zionists were completely justifed in taking over a part of Palestine and the Palestinians were equally justifed in claiming that they
had been agressed upon.
o Almost without exception American Jews would
support action by the US to defend Isreal
if it were in danger of defeat(so btw would I)
o Isreal and the Palestinians are in a war.
As in all wars both sides have people who do bad things , and ones who behave well.
o Many of the above contributions are inadequate because they don't acknowledge the preceding 4 points.
April 24, 2006 2:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
There are actually three definitions, one per word in the "Check it out" comment.
Further, I think it says something that every comment, until sTiVo's, missed the point that antisemitism does not even have a Jewish origin, but originated as an effective rhetorical device for the 19th century propaganda of Wilhelm Marr. Ironically enough, to organize a host culture against a minority based on its perceived "control" of the host nation's socio-political culture. Much like what Walt and Mearsheimer are doing with The Israel Lobby.
April 24, 2006 6:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
sTiVo,
I didn't even mention you.
April 24, 2006 6:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
expatjourno2,
First, let's consider sTiVo's comment upthread:
If we can accept sTiVo's distinction between the governments and the peoples of Israel's neighboring states, then upon what shall we base our certainty on the idea that Israel is the source of instability in the region?
April 24, 2006 6:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's try again. If Israel is the source of instability in the region, what is (or could be) a source of stability?
April 24, 2006 7:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Juan Cole. So beautifully eloquent and clairvoyant....
April 24, 2006 7:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Let the trials begin (and no Lobbyists, it isn't Dreyfuss II!)
April 24, 2006 7:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Zionista...have you edited the link to the definition that you provided, to change where it leads? When I click that link I'm taken to the Wikipedia article on anti-Semitism, that clearly does not contain the material you and the other posters above are referencing; you all appear to be discussing a different article. What definition of anti-Semitism are you discussing?
April 24, 2006 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
AIPAC opposed the sale of advanced jet fighters and air defense systems to Saudi Arabia. It was soundly defeated.
But then again an academic analysis that actually examined in detail AIPAC's successes and failures wouldn't read like a Mosaic Davinci Code.
April 24, 2006 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wordie,
Wow. Surely a good-faith discussion waiting to happen.... But no, Wordie. They link to Wiktionary, Wikipedia, and the Forward, respectively.
******
I marvel at the way any examination of antisemitism and its implications is cited as a means to supress discussion while Zionism is routinely characterized as "racist," "colonial," "imperialist," and Jewish national rights are casually dismissed as illegitimate. It doesn't leave a whole lot left to discuss, does it?
April 24, 2006 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Lobby de rigeur
April 24, 2006 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
April 24, 2006 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Daniel Levy despaired at how constrained (by Lobby Smear) the debate over ME policy was in the US particularly as it relates to Israel, and Daniel's quite rightly dismayed.
Take for instance, the question of talking to Hamas.
Now the reason Israel won't talk to Hamas, the cover they have for stealing Palestinian customs revenue is very simple.
The Israel Lobby precludes debate on US policy in this crucial area. How so you ask?
Take a for instance, say a congressperson, my congresswoman Nancy Pelosi, who dutifully appears at every AIPAC conclave. Now as far as her constituents are concerns, Ms. Pelosi's are probably as pro-Palestinian as they come, outside of some Detroit area constituencies. But you see, here we have the perfect case study of the Lobby's power to influence US policy against our national interest and in this case, against the interest of Ms. Pelosi's constituents. For while the district may be pro-Palestinian, it is not a liver o die, make or break issue for a significant number of voters except those who are pro-Israel. Moreover, if Ms. Pelosi, as a national democratic leader, were ever to represent the views of her constituents faithfully on the issue,....(figure the rest for yourselves)
Thus we have no debate. Israel has no challenge or fear of the US because the US is not an honest broker but a captive of the Israel Lobby.
It isn't that difficult is it? All you have to have is a clear eye and a hide tough enough so that the "anti-Semite" catcalls don't bother you.
April 24, 2006 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I marvel at the way any examination of antisemitism and its implications is cited as a means to supress discussion while Zionism is routinely characterized as "racist," "colonial," "imperialist," and Jewish national rights are casually dismissed as illegitimate. It doesn't leave a whole lot left to discuss, does it?
It's not the examination of antisemitism and its implications that is cited as a means to suppress discussion. It's the charge of antisemitism that is used to suppress discussion.
The examination of antisemitism and its implications is merely used to change the subject.
April 24, 2006 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's been a myriad of links on the many discussion threads on the M/W paper that expose the sloppiness of Mearshmiser and Walt's paper. Its not sufficient to simply have footnotes when those footnotes are overwhelmingly from secondary sources such as newspapers. There is a stunning lack of any analysis of any primary sources.
Moreover, there is no discussion of the high profile battles fought by AIPAC in the past 30 years. You would never know from reading M/W that AIPAC lost in the 1980s and 1990s on two important issues - jet fighter sales to Saudi Arabia and loan guarentees for absorption of ex-Soviet immigrants (which Bush the Elder controversially tied to settlement freezes).
Your quoting one of the CYA graphs that M/W sprinkle throughout their paper. But not far from these sentences, M/W discuss how American Jews have a disproprotionate impact on electorate politics by their geographic concentration and why this is an asset to the Lobby. Earlier, they speak of Jewish journalists at the NY Times (and not just the neocons like Safire) as part of the Lobby despite that paper's opposition to the Iraq War. Ultimately, M & W's disclaimers ring hollow and cannot be taken at face value.
April 24, 2006 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Further, I think it says something that every comment, until sTiVo's, missed the point that antisemitism does not even have a Jewish origin, but originated as an effective rhetorical device for the 19th century propaganda of Wilhelm Marr.
I, for one, did not "miss the point." I ignored it as having no possible relevance to the discussion. It's an interesting etymological curiosity and it is ironic that a word that is now usually wielded by Jews was coined by someone who hated Jews. Nothing more.
April 24, 2006 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Accusing American Jews of putting Israel's interests ahead of America's. Suggesting that American Jews are willing to see Americans shed blood for Israel. Implying that there is some sort of collective guilt that explains the attacks on European Jews by Muslim Arabs because of Israel's treatment of Palestinians. Overarching it all is the suggesting that there is a Jewish cabal that has secretly manipulated Presidents, the Congress, the Media all for purposes that are against America's interests.
That would be how I would define it in the context of Mearsheimer and Walt's Paper.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
April 24, 2006 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with the U.S.-imposed solution fantasy is that it imagines that the U.S. can really impose a solution on the Palestinians. The fact that it has so little leverage over the Palestinians is why Peace Processors constantly focus on pressuring Israel. The levers (foreign aid) are apparent and (contrary to supporters of the Invincible Lobby Theory) have worked in the past - most significantly at Taba where Clinton not only forced Barak to negotiate under fire, but also to cross numerous red lines without any Palestinian reciprocity.
The Bush administration's theory was that a democratic PA would have to be more responsive to its public and this would lead to pressure to moderate diplomatic positions in order to deliver economic development. It was certainly a step forward from the Clinton-era support for Oslo's installation of Arafat as a "Mubarak-lite" dictator who was supposed to keep a lid on terror. But "solving" this problem requires far more than the standard party line of the left - that the US should pressure Israel to evacuate the settlements and turn the other cheek in response to terror.
April 24, 2006 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
April 25, 2006 1:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
I've over 6 Billion good reason the US can act as an honest broker of this conflct without "imposing" anything other than the return of illegally stolen land to its owners.
As far as fantasies and imposed settlements are concerned, don't look now, but that is exactly what Kadima is about to do!
Time for honesty here. Really
April 25, 2006 1:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
sTiVo,
So common, in fact that it's happening right here and now. Walt and Mearsheimer surely do not limit their notion of The Israel Lobby to AIPAC, and flex their accusation, suspicion, denunciation, what have you, by a vague standard of "salience" concerning Israel:
Thus, an estimated 36% of American Jews are cleared of any suspicion of being "part of the Lobby." Perhaps someone could even make a little list...?
April 25, 2006 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
expatjourno2,
This is very intriguing attitude from one who demanded the definition of antisemitism to begin with. Why should we dismiss the definition of antisemitism as defined by the inventor of the term as "nothing more" than "an interesting etymological curiosity," when such context is necessary for any examination of the antisemitic implications in Walt's and Mearsheimer's thesis? (Otherwise, again, why would you even have demanded the definition to begin with?)
April 25, 2006 6:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
mhpine:
The phrase alone is worth a 4.
April 25, 2006 6:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
April 25, 2006 7:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I asked you to define antisemitism because I wanted to know what you meant by antisemitism. I have to know what you mean by antisemitism before I can decide whether to take issue with your charge that Walt and Mearsheimer were being antisemitic.
...such context is necessary for any examination of the antisemitic implications in Walt's and Mearsheimer's thesis.
Ah yes, and have they stopped beating their wives? You are begging the question. What is under examination is not the implications of the antisemitism you so blithely assume to be present but whether Walt and Mearsheimer are being antisemitic at all.
And, no, it's not actually necessary to know what a noted Jew-hater meant when he coined the term a century ago. The meanings of words evolve. The relevant definition is the one being used in this discussion.
In any case, whether Walt and Mearsheimer are being antisemitic or not doesn't tell us whether their argument is valid or not, does it? If they are being antisemitic, it would tell us something about their motivations, just as throwing around a false and inflammatory charge would tell us something about lack of integrity on the part of their critics but not whether their criticisms of the hyposthesis are valid. One tests the truth of a hypothesis with evidence, not investigations into motivations and character.
April 25, 2006 11:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can accept that if the paper is saying all (or even any of that, now that I think about it), it's antisemitic. The definition works for me better than the historical one Zionista linked to. As I understand it, though, it's not talking about American Jews in general but groups like AIPAC, which, while composed largely of Jews and which may report to the Israeli Government, do not by any means represent the views of American Jews in general.
This discussion will be over by the time I get around to reading the original paper, but I promise that I will read it with an open mind and if I see the things you see in it, I'll say to myself, "That Daniel A. Greenbaum was right. What repulsive people Walt and Mearsheimer are."
April 25, 2006 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's useful to view the context of the quote that is bothering you so much Zionista. Here it is:
...We use ‘the Lobby’ as shorthand for the loose coalition of individuals and organisations who actively work to steer US foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction. This is not meant to suggest that ‘the Lobby’ is a unified movement with a central leadership, or that individuals within it do not disagree on certain issues. Not all Jewish Americans are part of the Lobby, because Israel is not a salient issue for many of them. In a 2004 survey, for example, roughly 36 per cent of American Jews said they were either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ emotionally attached to Israel.
Jewish Americans also differ on specific Israeli policies. Many of the key organisations in the Lobby, such as the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and the Conference of Presidents of Major Jewish Organisations, are run by hardliners who generally support the Likud Party’s expansionist policies, including its hostility to the Oslo peace process. The bulk of US Jewry, meanwhile, is more inclined to make concessions to the Palestinians, and a few groups – such as Jewish Voice for Peace – strongly advocate such steps. Despite these differences, moderates and hardliners both favour giving steadfast support to Israel.
It seems that by including the material around the part you quoted, your argument that there is something nefarious about the authors wishing to discuss Jewish support for Israel is weakened.
I think the authors define the "Lobby" fairly well. The term, by the way, is one used to refer to AIPAC by members of Congress, and members of AIPAC itself (are all members of Congress anti-Semitic for using the term? Is AIPAC itself?). The one failing of the authors in this particular section is the one that Joanne pointed out: they never explicitly state what it means to be "pro-Israel" or to "support" Israel. I sense their definition of the former would be closer to "pro-hawkish-Israeli-government-policy" and the latter must refer to "financial and military support," given their statements in other parts of the paper.
It is truly difficult to talk about any of these things, because they seem to require so much qualification and pinning down of the basic terms we use, as to make normal conversation and discussion almost impossible. What does it really mean, for instance, to be a "zionist," or as Joanne pointed out, "pro-Israel"? I'm certain that these terms are being used in very different ways by different people, which hardly leads to effective communication. Yet whose definitions should we use?
Furthermore, the authors only quote somebody else's study regarding the salience of Israel for most Jewish Americans. Are you saying such studies should not be conducted? Are you saying the study must have been anti-Semitic in intent? And then there is yet another issue. Even if 36% of Jewish Americans don't find the issue of Israel salient, that doesn't mean, and the authors do not claim, that the remaining 64% are all part of the Israel Lobby. They made it clear earlier that there is a wide range of Jewish American opinions regarding Israel, even among those for whom Israel is a salient issue.
And finally, using emotionally-laden terms like "accusation, suspicion, denunciation," make it even more difficult to discuss this difficult issue, and don't represent what it was the M&W really said. Again, some excerpts from their paper:
The US form of government offers activists many ways of influencing the policy process. Interest groups can lobby elected representatives and members of the executive branch, make campaign contributions, vote in elections, try to mould public opinion etc. They enjoy a disproportionate amount of influence when they are committed to an issue to which the bulk of the population is indifferent. (emphasis mine) Policymakers will tend to accommodate those who care about the issue, even if their numbers are small, confident that the rest of the population will not penalise them for doing so.
In its basic operations, the Israel Lobby is no different from the farm lobby, steel or textile workers’ unions, or other ethnic lobbies. There is nothing improper about American Jews and their Christian allies attempting to sway US policy: (emphasis mine) the Lobby’s activities are not a conspiracy of the sort depicted in tracts like the Protocols of the Elders of Zion. For the most part, the individuals and groups that comprise it are only doing what other special interest groups do, but doing it very much better. By contrast, pro-Arab interest groups, in so far as they exist at all, are weak, which makes the Israel Lobby’s task even easier.
April 25, 2006 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Joanne...
I've thought a lot about how to reply to your posting. I really have some mixed feelings. For instance, right at the beginning you describe the M&W paper as "heavily-debated," and I would have to disagree with that, as what is primarily debated anytime the paper comes up is not the issues raised by it, but whether or not it is anti-semitic. As another poster mentioned, I would like to know where, specifically, you see the paper as being sloppy, and as someone else said, the paper is not about US mideast policy, but about the ways our policy is skewed in favor of Israeli interests - oil isn't the issue for the purposes of the discussion the authors wish to have.
You also mentioned sources quoted out of context - did you mean the ben Gurion quote? I've read that there are some who dispute that quote. Dershowitz has slammed it in his refutation of the M&W paper. But Juan Cole had some interesting things to say about that in a recent article entitled "Breaking the Silence:"
Further, the authors did note that American Jewish opinion was and is solidly anti-Iraq war, but say that the war was pushed hard by AIPAC, the Israel government, and hawkish pro-Israel elements within the administration. This is well documented. You also seemed to downplay the very real influence that organizations such as AIPAC have over our government's foreign policy when it comes to Israel. As Forbes Magazine consistently lists AIPAC as among the top few lobbying organizations in the US, I hardly think this is primarily a wrong-headed perception on the part of the authors.But, then you went on to note:
And there we find common cause, I think. Although I might quibble with whether Bush has tried anything substantial - as amazing as it may seem, Bush was the first to recognize the idea of a Palestinian state, and actually made some efforts in the direction of peace, pushing UN Resolution 1397, for instance. (As someone who is not at all fond of Bush, to put it lightly, it is difficult for me to acknowlege these things). The problem is that more recently, he has waffled. He's indicated that he might support the unilateral plan, then he said he might not.
Nonetheless, I do agree with you on the rest of your assessment. It is in the interests of both the US and Israel to have peace in the region through a two-state solution, but Bush is not doing enough. And the insistance that the elections take place in January, despite Abu Mazen's hesitations, was clearly short-sighted.
If the Israelis wish for the US to offer continued aid, and that aid ultimately goes to support those policies which are designed to maintain and Jewish ethnic/cultural majority in Israel, then I think it would be entirely reasonable that the US demand that far more territory be returned to the Palestinians, than is currently being contemplated by Israel, as a condition of receiving any more aid. For instance, Israel is demanding that it retain for security purposes territory that international law has made it clear needs to be returned to the Palestinians. I say, if Israel wants to retain Palestinian land for security purposes, then it should be prepared to offer a substantial amount of equally-valued land to the Palestinians in return - not just an equal or lesser amount, as some of the agreements of the past have attempted to do, but a LOT MORE LAND. That's not at all the intent of the Sharon/Olmert unilateral plan. Peace will only happen when both sides feel they have gotten a fair deal. Israel simply must be led to recognize that however much the creation of the state of Israel was just for the Israelis, for the Palestinians it was a deep and continuing injustice. The only nation that could possibly lead Israel to this recognition is the US, but neither Israel or the US government appears to recogize this rather basic fact, and without that recognition, any peace effort is going to fail.
Finally, Joanne, although we disagree about several issues regarding the M&W paper, I do want to say that I really appreciate your efforts to discuss it. And a thanks to TPM Cafe as well, in providing a forum for these discussions to be attempted.
April 25, 2006 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Israel is not the only source of instability in the region. It is one of several. I'd call it an additional source of instability but not necessarily the biggest one.
So I have to take back my comment that the region would be much more peaceful if it didn't exist. Corruption, oppression, dictatorships, Islamic extremism, undereducated populations, high unemployments, maldistribution of wealth. The Arab countries have plenty of problems that have nothing to do with Israel.
A source of stability? I'm stumped. I really am. It looks pretty hopeless.
April 26, 2006 11:40 AM | Reply | Permalink