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Wading A Bit Deeper

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I'm glad to see Anne-Marie Slaughter wading into the fray over the "Israel Lobby" controversy, and at the risk of imperiling everyone's careers I'd like to see if anyone else here at this fine café can be persuaded to wade a bit deeper. As I think pretty much everyone agrees, the Walt/Mearsheimer causal analysis here is pretty oversimplified. We can also agree that their normative analysis of America's Israel policy stems from a realist point-of-view that liberals are disinclined to share (this comes at the end of Anne-Marie's post). Nevertheless, I'm curious as to views on the main policy question here -- granting that liberals are going to want to give Israel a "democracy bonus," is the current American level of aid to Israel really justifiable?

Israel, after all, is hardly the world's only democracy, but it gets substantially more money from the United States than does any other democracy. In pure liberal/idealist terms, wouldn't it make more sense to provide high levels of financial support to poor democracies rather than to a middle-income one? India? Costa Rica? South Africa? There's not a zero-sum foreign aid pool, of course, but it's still worth thinking about the logic of the situation -- it seems perfectly consistent to both think that we should "support" Israel's existence as a democracy and its national security concerns and also to recognize that it's hardly the world's most pressing charity case. We're talking about wealthy country with a top-notch military and a nuclear arsenal. If Israel is getting the appropriate level of aid for a country in those circumstances, we're shortchanging the world's poor democracies to an absurdly large degree.


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RogerGathman
Excellent point. Israel and Greece were the two exemplary recipients of development aid in the 60s -- Greece from the European Community, Israel from the U.S. Contrary to claims that development aid never works, the aid was a great success. But unfortunately, the aid developed locked in structures - at least in Israel's case - that functioned to justified aid long after it was unnecessary. It would be much better to turn that aid on other countries -- say, Lebanon, Chad, and Ethiopia, or some similar grouping. It wouldn't, however, be good to scatter it to all LDCs, as this would atomize its effects -- perhaps fatally.

The problem in development aid with Israel, it seems to me, is that, due to the politics of the Middle East, Israel could not operate as a model and a multiplier -- as it should have. This is obviously the next stage in aid.

"liberals are going to want to give Israel a "democracy bonus," is the current American level of aid to Israel really justifiable?"

I really don't think that the level of aid in terms of cash dollars is the question here. After all the US government wastes money all the time. The point is that Israel is being supported by the US to make policies such as colonising and ethnic cleansing the Palestinian arabs which are a) morally disreputable (hence the resort to euphemism, distraction, what-about-chechnya-ism) and b) make millions of arabs/muslims hate us. I'd be happy to give them twice as much money if it would stop Israel's colonisation and ethnic cleansing (and plans for expelling the Israeli arabs from Israel to solve the 'demographic problem'). Of course, it would be cheaper to make the level of aid contingent on Israel removing all settlements established in 1967. But the point is Israel's behaviour, not its regime type, or its dollar cost of the US budget.

Hey otto--what plans are you referring to for expelling Israeli Arabs? I haven't heard anything about them. I'd be very interested to know about these plans, if you could provide a link or something.

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

Hey I am a liberal dammnit. And if liberals can be hawks, they can be realists too!  Hells bells you think we're ALL "wooly headed"???

As for the simplistic causation question - yes it's a polemic. I also enjoyed Daniel Goldhagen's Hitler's Willing Exexutioners, and would have reminded him of that in comment on his recent screed on the Israel Lobby but thanks be to Allah, my subscription to the The New Likud Republic finally expired!

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

U.S. Financial Aid To Israel: Figures, Facts, and Impact

 

BTW I like that "risk careers" bit.  Anthony Cordesman, in CSIS report released yesterday,  took a swipe at "think tanks" and their role in fomenting a war of aggression against Iraq.  He didn't get into the Lobby aspect obviously not within the scope of his topic, but the connection is not hard to make nor the suspects difficult to identify - Martin Indyk, Saban Center will ring bells in the Lobby around here.

I think what Otto is referring to is Avigdor Lieberman's proposal to carve out the Arab population centers from Israel and give them to the Palestinians in return for other West Bank land concessions. This would be done irrespective of the Arab Israeli citizens wishes.

Well, from what's easily to hand, see this http://lrb.co.uk/v28/n08/papp01_.html" target="_blank">LRB piece on the politics of Israel's "demographic problem" i.e. too many arabs in Israel and, I need hardly add, none of them are planning to leave voluntarily. You may want to search the web for Netanyahu's previous statements too.

[That was misposted on the Slaughter thread! Here it is too. But yes, jdledell is right that many Israeli 'peace' offers include expelling a large proportion of the Israeli arabs from Israel against their wishes, coupled with the demand for keeping settlements around Jerusalem against the wishes of the Palestinian arabs. These offers are ethnic cleansing as compensation for racist settler colonialism - truly a 'generous offer'!). 

I thought that our level of aid to Israel was a direct result of Jimmy Carter's promises. Does anyone know if those promises were written in the text of the Camp David Accords? Or are they just oral promises made by Carter?

In any event, regardless of the current American level of aid to Israel is "really justifiable", it was promised to Israel. (Ditto for our aid to Egypt, BTW.) So the question is whether we should renege on our promise.

BTW - I think that Jacob Levy had the definitive blogospheric takedown of the execrable MW paper.

I especially like this of Levy's:

The mere existence of the Lobby suggests that unconditional support for Israel is not in the American national interest. If it was, one would not need an organized special interest to bring it about.

This is, I think, the worst paragraph of political science I've read in many years.

Lieberman's plan doesn't call for ethnic cleansing in any way. It calls for resetting Israel's borders to not include areas with high Arab populations. Those areas would then become part of a Palestinian state. Since nobody would be forced from their homes, it's absurd to call such a move ethnic cleansing.

Regardless of the morality of such a move, it's kind of pointless to debate it exhaustively because it will never happen. According to current international law, there is no mechanism for revoking a group of people's citizenship en masse and against their will. Thus Israel could withdraw from the Arab population centers behind the green line, redraw its borders and still have those Arabs as citizens, although now they would be expatriate citizens. Since the whole point of the plan is to reduce the number of Arab voters--and even after such a withdrawal those folks would still be Arab voters--it doesn't make sense.

Israel could of course simply unilaterally revoke the expats' citizenship, but nobody would recognize it. Putting into action Lieberman's plan would change nothing in regards to the world's acceptance of a Jewish state. The whole thing is a non-starter.

Your suggestion that International Law will somehow prevent Israeli malfeasance towards the Palestinians has a certain naivete to it.

Israel has never allowed International Law to mitigate its brutality towards the Palestinian people. The occupation and its brutal consequences – felt primarily by the Palestinians – is a massive violation of International Law. Which code of International Law allows 250,000 Israeli war criminals to be settled in the Occupied Territories?

"Since nobody would be forced from their homes, it's absurd to call such a move ethnic cleansing."

They would be being removed from a political jurisdiction because of their ethnicity against their will. It's absurd not to call such a move ethnic cleansing.

"Israel could of course simply unilaterally revoke the expats' citizenship, but nobody would recognize it. Putting into action Lieberman's plan would change nothing in regards to the world's acceptance of a Jewish state."

Of course it would change nothing in the world's acceptance of Israeli. But it would make Israeli more jewish and less arab, and there are lots of Israeli jews who want just that.

Oh, so the "Israeli Plan" for ethnic cleansing consists of an extreme right-wing politician's plan to redraw borders, which incidentally, he lacks the power to ever implement . . . we must stop the ethnic cleansing before it's too late.

If Avigdor Lieberman's insanity constitutes an Israeli plan to commit ethnic cleansing, then what do we make of Hamas's pledge to wipe Israel off the map?

Also, I'm a little confused about why Israeli Arabs wouldn't want to join a Palestinian state. Isn't Israel a racist state in which arabs are second-class citizens without basic rights? Please explain why Israeli Arabs would prefer this to living in a democratic Palestinian state.

Of course Israel is a state where Israeli arabs are systematically discriminated against because they are not jews. That doesn't mean that the Israeli arabs would prefer to be living in a bantustan where all the important decisions were still made by Israel but they even lacked the modest political and legal protections they get inside Israeli.

I think you are - or should be - aware that the desire to reduce the number of arabs in Israeli is widespread across the jewish political spectrum in Israel.

"They would be being removed from a political jurisdiction because of their ethnicity against their will. It's absurd not to call such a move ethnic cleansing."

If Israeli Arabs are so horribly mistreated why would it be such a horrible act to give them true self-determination?

Your question restated: If Israeli Arabs are so horribly mistreated, why would it be so horrible to ethnically cleanse them from Israel?

Of course, if you are syympathetic to ethnic cleansing, you may be endlessly inventive in finding reasons for it.

Al has it right, I think, with the Camp David reference. Matt is wrong to treat aid to Israel as some free floating number that is put into the budget every year as part of some decision on how much aid Israel "needs." It's simply a payment to buy peace between Israel and Egypt. How long this obligation is supposed to last and the legal basis for it, and under what legal/practical terms it might be cut I can't say.

at the risk of imperiling everyone's careers I'd like to see if anyone else here at this fine café can be persuaded to wade a bit deeper.

This substantiates that Jews have immense power in this country and if you fuck around with them they'll bury your ass. This is why Congress is quiet about the whole thing; this is why Matt's dancing salsa on the issue leaving others to debate the essence of the essay; this is why writers have to tell us "Don't be afraid to debate Israel policy" etc. Shit -- you guys are so afraid of the Jews that you prefer to get on this shit with a fake name. Why are so many people afraid? Let's have a debate on that. It's really freakin' sad.

Maybe I'm retarded, but it seems to me like if Israeli Arabs are so horribly mistreated, it wouldn't be so terrible to let them join a new country without even having to relocate. Heck, you would think they'd WANT to do it. I wonder why they don't.

"I think you are - or should be - aware that the desire to reduce the number of arabs in Israeli is widespread across the jewish political spectrum in Israel."

Otto--do you say this because you live in Israel or because you've reviewed extensive polling data? If the latter, can you provide the opinion polls on which you're basing this statement?

Or, alternatively, are you completely full of $#$*?

Also, what's a Bantustan?

I think I will finish my comments by noting that Yoni is typical of commentators when its pointed out that many Israelis think that the number of arabs in Israel is a 'demographic problem' that they both a) deny that Israel wishes to get the Israeli arabs out of Israel and b) make arguments to consistent with wanting to get the Israeli arabs out of Israel! (For their own good!).

The vast bulk of U.S. aid to Israel was a quid pro quo for Israel withdrawing from Sinai and signing the Camp David accords. There were no written promises guaranteeing the loans. But it was clear that the massive amounts of aid going to both Israel and Egypt were in return for the peace treaty.

One thing is clear about America's financial gifts to Israel: it doesn't need it. U.S. grants to Israel now account for less than 1% of GDP--their elimination would be a minor irritant to a thriving economy.

More than half of the money goes directly to the IDF and would thus have a major impact on its budget. But much of it is earmarked for purchases of U.S. weaponry (such as F-15 fighter jets and Apache helicopters) which don't provide Israel with much of a bang-for-buck to begin with.

So if Israel does't really need the money and America has much better things to do with the money, why does it continue to flow? The primary reason has to do with the superior influence of the defense industry (which in the end gets most of the money back through weapons purchases). A secondary reason has to do with plain old provincial politics. Jewish voters put Israel very high on their list of priorities. Thus the tiny portion of senators and congressmen who represent areas with large Jewish populations satisfy that constituency by aiming a tiny portion of the federal spigot Israel's way (the two most ardent supporters in the 1990's of federal aid to Israel were Curt Weldon and Jane Harman, both of whom represented areas with large Jewish populations (LA and suburban Philly).

If the debate about money to Israel is really about reality, the question we should be asking is this: What are we getting in return? And the answer is very little. The Camp David peace treaty is a done deal. The Oslo process has completely broken down. Likewise, our money for Egypt has only reinforced a dictatorship that probably poses a greater strategic threat to the U.S. than any other Arab country than Saudi Arabia.

And in the case of Israel, we have very little influence over decision making in that country. Israeli governments have historically based their policy on only one thing--existential security. American money doesn't help them with that. But America's allegiance does. Thus when Israel pulled back from Gaza, it did so more out of an interest in keeping a political alliance with America than to ensure that the dollars flow from Washington.

A smarter policy would be to eliminate the Camp David flow of funds to both Israel and Egypt and replace them with a much more valuable carott: allowing Egyptian and Israeli firms to bid openly with American firms for U.S. defense purchases. ALthough Israel does sell some materiel to the U.S., it does so only when it can massively underbid U.S. suppliers, thanks to regulations that give better bidding terms to U.S. firms. By allowing Israeli and Egyptian firms to freely bid on U.S. defense contracts, they could save the U.S. government money from their cheaper products while providing a real tool of leverage that U.S. governments can use to influence policy in the region. Just an idea.

One more thought: until Hamas installed its new government, no nation enjoyed more per capita largesse from the U.S. government than the Palestinian Authority. We gave them close to half a billion dollars in direct U.S. government aid--all of which paid for civil servants salaries directly. And we got absolutely nothing in return. Likewise Europe, which gives nothing to Israel, gave the PA close to $400 million a year. Now that we've cut off that flow in its entirety, we are in exactly the same position as we were before--the Palestinian public views the U.S. government as pawns of an international Jewish cabal. U.S. aid to the PA for the last ten years did nothing but feed extremism and corruption. The most important lesson that we should learn from all this isn't that evil Jews control our government, but that money doesn't buy friends or influence politics in the middle east. Stop making the mistake of giving everyone money so they'll be nice to each other. Send it to New Orleans instead.

It's totally not ethnic cleansing. That's ridiculous.

If what you were saying is true, it would mean that Croatia ceding the Serb-inhabited Krajina to Serbia during the Yugoslav Civil War would have been equivalent to kicking out all the Serbs and forcing them to move back to Serbia or Bosnia (as actually happened). The latter is ethnic cleansing. The former may or may not be impractical, or stupid, or an awful idea, or whatever, but it's not ethnic cleansing under any legitimate understanding of the term.

I want to question the premise: is it really correct to call Israel a democracy? This state declared itself ethnocentric 'Jewish state', enacted ethnocentric 'repatriation' laws and used them to import most of its population.

Vast majority of the people who immigrated to Israel consider themselves members this ethnic group - and that's OK, that's fine, not a problem at all - but they are also to a significant degree a group people of who find ethnocentric view of the world attractive, who subscribe to it.

IOW, this is a group of people selected by ideology. Not all of them, of course, but to a large extent. And then they vote.

Is this really a democracy? It's basically a case of crude gerrymandering on international scale, isn't it?

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

A few days ago on these very "pages" someone noted that as if on cue, the Lobby's propaganda arm, launched a warmongering campaign aimed at Iran. The Wall Street Journal, the Weekly Standard and the National Review, were sooned joined by neocon wannabe Marty Peretz's New Republic.

 Dr/. Slaugher waded into the fray with the somewhat dubious and undeniably self-serving claim that for liberals "democrasy" trumps all other concerns.

Well, here's how the hand plays in no-trump.

 

Mideast 'axis' forms against West

By Nicholas Blanford, Correspondent of The Christian Science MonitorThu Apr 20, 4:00 AM ET

Rising tension between the West and Iran is coinciding with the emergence of a loose anti-Western alliance - Israel now dubs it an "axis of terror" - spanning the Middle East, presenting a new challenge to the US's regional ambitions.

Centered on Iran, this alignment has hardened in recent months, analysts say, with Tehran shoring up old alliances and strengthening ties with countries (Syria and Iraq) and with groups (Hizbullah, Hamas, and Islamic Jihad) that share its hostility toward Israel and the US.

"The alliance that is emerging in this part of the world is a creation of Iran," says Sami Moubayed, a Syrian political analyst. "It wants to bolster its position by allying itself with countries or groups that can temporarily enhance its regional role and influence."

So far the strategy appears to be working in their favor. Hizbullah has become one of the most influential players in Lebanon and looks set to retain its military wing for the foreseeable future.

Iran has rarely appeared more resolute, boasting of its success in uranium enrichment and expressing near daily defiance toward the US. Damascus is gaining confidence with a slackening of international pressure lately amid concerns that a collapse of Syria's Baathist regime could trigger Iraq-style instability.

"The Syrians are very supportive of Iran and very supportive of Hamas and Hizbullah," says Mr. Moubayed. "Almost everybody in Syria is praising [Syrian President Bashar] al-Assad's alliance with Iran as a very smart move. Many are saying that the alliance with [Iranian President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad was not political suicide after all."

"This is an anti-America alliance," says Joshua Landis, professor of history at the University of Oklahoma and author of Syriacomment.com, who spent 2005 living in Damascus. "My guess is that the US will end up in a weaker position than it started. The war on terror has alienated the Muslim countries who now believe that America is the big bad ogre and specter of imperialism."

In mid-January, Assad hosted a summit in Damascus with Ahmadinejad, the Iranian president's first state visit. Also attending were the leaders of Hizbullah and several anti-Israel Palestinian groups in what analysts regarded as an affirmation of the anti-Western axis.

"The meeting between Ahmadinejad and Assad," commented Sateh Noureddine of Lebanon's As Safir newspaper at the time, "did not come as a sign of defeat, but rather as a joint warning to the world. A warning that the alliance between the two neighbors is on its way to becoming stronger."

The alliance includes the Mahdi Army of Moqtada al-Sadr, who in visits to Tehran and Damascus in January and February vowed to come to the defense "by all possible means" of Iran and Syria if attacked by the US.

There is a commercial dimension, too. In February, Iran and Syria inked sweeping economic and trade agreements including one establishing gas, oil, railroad, and electrical links between Syria and Iran via Iraq. Both countries are looking to the emerging economic powerhouses of Asia to build new trade ties as an alternative to Europe and the West.

"Syria has been signing oil and gas contracts with India, China, and Russia," says Mr. Landis, the Syria expert. "Syria and Iran are thinking they can build Iraq into their northern tier, building gas and oil pipelines across the region."

Surprised? None should be. All part of "Securing the Realm"

That said, I've read Lieberman's proposal described as "voluntary transfer" - that implies the people will be moved to the West Bank. That sounds like ethnic cleansing to me.

samjaffe writes:

[N]o nation enjoyed more per capita largesse from the U.S. government than the Palestinian Authority.

Israel, as the occupying power in the Palestinian Territories, has legal and moral responsibilities to the Palestinian people. Sadly, Israel has found it convenient to ignore these responsibilities and has preferred to keep the Palestinians in squalor for the last three decades. Ironically, the provision of international aid to the Palestinian people directly helps Israel because it reduces the financial burden of the occupation. In fact, as long as Israel is the occupying power of the Palestinian Territories we should refer to the Palestinian aid as being nothing more than aid to Israel with a mandated use.

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

BantustanFrom Wikipedia,

Bantustan refers to any of the territories designated as tribal "homelands" for black South Africans and Namibians during the apartheid era. The term "bantustan" was first used in the late 1940s and was coined from Bantu (meaning "people" in the Bantu languages) and -stan (meaning "land of" in the Persian language, equivalent to the Latin ending -ia and the Germanic -land). It was a disparaging term used by critics of the apartheid-era government's "homelands" (from Afrikaans tuisland).

The word "bantustan" is often used in a pejorative sense when describing a country or region that lacks any real legitimacy or power, and that sometimes emerges from national or international gerrymandering. It has been used particularly by opponents of Israeli policies towards the Palestinian populations of the Gaza Strip and West Bank, in particular concerning the "Apartheid Wall".

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

If support for Israel was in the US national interest, Israel wouldn't need the Lobby.

 If hostilty toward Castro's Cuba was in the national interest, the exiles wouldn't need a lobby.

 Of Course There Is an Israel Lobby by Edward Peck

There are about 1 million non-Jews who vote in Israel in a population of about 7 million. There is not much support for resettling anyone among Israelis. If Olmert follows up with his plan to settle the borders by 2010 there should be very little need to resettle people.

Why is it that the Arabs of Israel have more rights than the Arabs of most Arab countries?

Daniel A. Greenbaum

I think you should be aware that only means that most Israelis want to get rid of the West Bank. Not resettle Arab citizens of Israel.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

My subscription to TNR had been expired for months, but they didn't block me form access until I lit into Martin Peretz for his shameless slandering of Mearshimer and Walt.

Peretz also consistently failed to mention that he is part of a Zionist lobbying group that was mentioned in passing in the M/W paper.

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

The Israel Lobby. To hear the wails from the Amen Corner, you'd think this was a new concept. Count the vetos at the Security Council. Count the tax dollars.

Well Bush is about to launch off into Iran now and the only organized advocacy of that lunacy (Yglesisas) is..you guessed it - a case study in progress.

 

The Israel Lobby

Michael Massing May 23, 2002

I'd post here, but I'd probably get banned again.

Apparently Ivo Daalder doesn't like being called a moron and an idiot. Well, I suppose he's right - it was impolite.

It's just that I'm used to posting at Huffpo, where the discussions are, shall we say, a bit rougher than here - not to mention Slashdot where flame wars are a way of life.

I could have been told to keep it clean and offered a way back in, but apparently criticizing the site's favored pundits has put me beyond the pale.

Oh, well, Arnold Evans argues fairly well. I'll let him take up my slack.

If support for Israel was in the US national interest, Israel wouldn't need the Lobby.

If abortion was in the national interest, then abortion wouldn't need a lobby.

If labor unions were in the national interest then labor wouldn't need a lobby.

If gays were in the national interest then gays wouldn't need a lobby.

If protecting the environment were in the national interest, then the environment wouldn't need a lobby.

Need I continue to show how incredibly idiotic M/W's point was?

There are about 20 million unionized workers in the US. If you add family members, that's a population of at least 50 million people. According to this, the Labor PAC contributed $21.4 million to congressional candidates in the 2003-2004 election cycle.

There are less than 7 million people in Israel altogether. According to this, the Pro-Israel PAC contributed $39.8 million in the 2003-2004 election cycle.

That's - what? - about 14 times more per head?

And what's the "gay lobby"?

Apparently abb1 didn't get the point. Let's try again.

If children were in the national interest, we wouldn't need a childrens' lobby.

Mr. Transhuman, you will be missed if you stop posting here.

Do you have a Daily Kos page? Register there and a week from now you can post one diary a day.

I'd also recommend that you start a thread in the cafe management section and post under this handle until it is resolved.

If it really is resolved against you, then there are other places to post where you will have as many or more readers as here.

There is no Palestinian state. Without getting into the what and why that is the case, your question about why second class citizens wouldn't rush to live in a "democratic Palestinian state" can be simply answered by reflecting upon their reluctance to be third class citizens.