Throwing Rummy from the Train
Like it or not, Don Rumsfeld's time as Secretary of Defense is running out. The real question is who will be next to step out of the shadows and denounce him. So far, six retired Generals (four Army and two Marines) have stepped up to the microphone to denounce Donald Rumsfeld as an incompetent, failed leader and the list is likely to get longer in the coming days. The list, so far, of retired Generals is impressive (for those non-military folk, a Brigadier General has one star, a Major General has two stars, a Lieutenant General has three stars, and a General has four stars; four stars outranks the others) :
Lt. General Gregory Newbold, (Marine) retired director of operations at the Pentagon’s military joint staff;
Major General Paul D. Eaton (Army);
General Anthony Zinni (Marine) former Commander Central Command
Major General John Batiste (Army)
Major General Charles Swannack (Army)
Major General John Riggs (Army)
Up to this point, President Bush could offer the lie that he was giving the military everything they asked for and no one challenged him. To quote Edgar Allen Poe, "nevermore". The die is now cast for the Republican controlled Congress. The respective heads of the Armed Services Committees, Senator Warner and Congressman Duncan Hunter, now realize that a critical mass of generals has come forward and that Don Rumsfeld has suffered the parliamentary equivalent of a vote of no confidence.
Consider, for example, Lt. General Newbold. He was the J-3 for the Joint Chiefs of Staff. In other words, he was the top General with the specific responsibility for planning operations. You do not start a war without a plan. Although the responsibility for crafting the plan to invade Iraq fell specifically to CENTCOM, which was under the command of General Franks, General Newbold was in a position to monitor and comment on those plans. He can now appear before both the Senate and House Armed Services Committees and explain precisely how Don Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz fiddled with the plan first developed by Generals Zinni and Peay (former Centcom Commanders) in the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf War and circumvented the recommendations of senior military officers.
This is not a simple case of the military trying to usurp or embarrass civilian leaders. The growing chorus of senior military officers recognize that if they do not speak out now that the debacle in Iraq could erode the publics' confidence that military leaders, especially those in the Army and the Marines, and leave the military with a tarnished legacy like the aftermath of Vietnam.
Don Rumsfeld may want to stick it out, but stick a fork in him. His goose is cooked and his reign will soon be over.















Bush just gave Rumsfeld a rousing vote of confidence. I give him a week tops now. When Fredo gives support to someone, the rest of the Coreleon family knows to whack him.
April 14, 2006 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rumsfeld my be going, going...gone, but what will get as a replacement?
Another political hack that won't be any more talented than this incompentent boob. How do I know this? I have seen all the other incompetent idiots Bush has surrounded himself with, so at this point, there is little doubt, we are simply into replacing 'old incompetence' with 'new incompetence'. It is a 'constant' with this administration.
Beware of the fanatics, they never see gray.
April 14, 2006 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wish I could believe this. But I don't. Rummy may resign (for real) but the chances of Bush firing him are not high. According to one theory, Bush has been so disengaged that he basically has been out of it for a while. Sure he signs off on the big decisions, but he's such a numbskull that he probably doesn't ask too many questions.
I think the focus on Rummy is misplaced actually. The war is Bush's responsiblity and blaming Rummy means taking your eye off that fact.
April 14, 2006 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why does it take any number of generals to show Rumsfeld is incompetent? Isn't the fact that 3 years later things are far worse in Iraq than they were before we invaded? Are Bush's supporters really that blind?
April 14, 2006 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman's the one.
April 14, 2006 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Rummy is responsible for the conduct of the wars; Bush is responsible for putting the military in that situation. Rumsfled's the SecDef, and it's his job to make sure that whatever Bush wants done with the military gets done properly.
It has not. Fire his ass. Later Bush can give him a Medal of Freedom, but get him out of there and get someone competent in there.
April 14, 2006 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Grannus said: "Bush just gave Rumsfeld a rousing vote of confidence. I give him a week tops now..."
Here's Bush's full statement on Rummy:
Earlier today I spoke with Don Rumsfeld about ongoing military operations in the Global War on Terror. I reiterated my strong support for his leadership during this historic and challenging time for our Nation.
The Department of Defense has been tasked with many difficult missions. Upon assuming office, I asked Don to transform the largest department in our government. That kind of change is hard, but our Nation must have a military that is fully prepared to confront the dangerous threats of the 21st Century. Don and our military commanders have also been tasked to take the fight to the enemy abroad on multiple fronts.
I have seen first-hand how Don relies upon our military commanders in the field and at the Pentagon to make decisions about how best to complete these missions. Secretary Rumsfeld's energetic and steady leadership is exactly what is needed at this critical period. He has my full support and deepest appreciation.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/04/20060414.html
Based on that statement, I'd say Grannus is correct, a week at most and then Rummy's health problems lead to a resignation, effective, say, the first week of Nov. It is the kiss of death for Bush to say "He has my full support and deepest appreciation."
I know it sounds nuts but I think they are really considering appointing Lieberman. It's a rat fuck move and, well, that's a lot of that going around.
April 14, 2006 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rumor mill at this point,
Senator John Warner and Former SecDef Cohen. Libermann seen as too light.
April 14, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe there are seven? I heard that General Clark was not a happy camper, either. Maybe he does not count because he is a politician.
April 14, 2006 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is worth noting that two of the generals, Batiste and Swannack, are commanders that served in Iraq. Batiste commanded the 1st Infantry Division and Swannack commanded the 82th Airborne Division. These guys aren't all Pentagon desk jockeys.
This may signal the start of a split with military personnel and GOP as they have more and more public acknowledge from the military's top people of the total separation of the Bush White House from the reality on the ground in Iraq.
That said, I don't think there will be any change in the situation until the next Presidential, not Congressional, election. Bush doesn't care what we, or the military, think, it stay the course, all the way.
April 14, 2006 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see his possible replacement as Liebermann, only because they can spin any further "mishaps" as being the fault of a Democrat at the wheel.
April 14, 2006 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Contrary to all opinions on this page, I'll believe that Rumsfeld is slated to resign only when it happens. Bush is a despot, and he will damn well do as he pleases, and only become more resolute when pushed.
April 14, 2006 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Card is gone. Bush is looking for a legacy. His current one is not looking too good. He'll throw anyone from the bus that he has to.
April 14, 2006 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Michael O'Hanlon sez that if Bush dumps Dumsfeld, he might just as well dump himself - it's his Disaster too, after all.
What Michael, a supporter of the Greatest Strategic Disaster in US History doesn't tell us (quoted today in a wire service report) is that if Bush throws Rummy from the train, and then jumps himself, O'Hanlon, Daalder and the rest of the Brookings claque won't be far behind.
Will they
April 14, 2006 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Tom DeLay needs a job.
;)
April 14, 2006 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
It looks like Leiberman has been angling for the job for a long time now. Why else would he make the silly statements he has been making.
That said, and agreeing with everybody who says 1) Rumsfeld is incompetent and ought to go, and 2) in the rest of the world a statement like "He has my full support and deepest appreciation" would be his cue to clean out his locker, I think Rumsfeld is going to stay as long as he wants. That is Bush's way.
Anyway there are three people who count in the Bush administration. Bush is number 3. Rumsfeld out ranks him. (Small snark.)
Ron Byers
April 14, 2006 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Donald Rumsfeld is running a clandestine operation in Iran, as some are saying, an operation that's been hidden from congress, then he's not going anywhere. He serves at the pleasure of the madman that gave him those orders.
April 14, 2006 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Yesterday my old pal Charlie Cook said the same thing about GWB. Thuugh we have a bit of disagreement about the effects of the Cheney/CIA leak case, on this point I wholeheartedly agree.
Bush staked his presidency on a pack of lies. Lies have consequences.
That goes for Joe Lieberman and Hillary Clinton too. Let's have a bi-partisan house cleaning.
April 14, 2006 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
The "cooked goose" part that is. As far as I can tell, Charlie's fork is still in the drawer.
Personally I prefer DEAD DUCKS to cooked geese. Another point of disagreement.
April 14, 2006 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that Rummy's days are numbered, or would be in a rational administration. What's difficult is how this could play out without an acknowledgement of error. By this sad stage, who could utter a phrase like 'time with family' while keeping a straight face?
When they start to talk about 'moving on to the next phase' in Iraq, Rummy is as good as gone. For that to happen, they need to be able to point to a successful end of the previous phase. I'm not counting on reality to provide that. Short of that, Bush will have to essentially say, "We really screwed the pooch - big time. We're going back to the drawing board" That's the part I can't imagine happening.
April 14, 2006 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Before I'll believe that Rummy will be fired, notwithstanding his demonstrated incompetence, someone has to tell me how the Bush Administration would be able to survive the confirmation hearings for the new SecDef. These would quickly become a three-ring-circus in which GOP senators out-bloviate one another as they find fault with the execution of the war they so enthusiastically supported. Unlike Supreme Court confirmation hearings, these would be all about policy positions and hypotheticals. No one with a reputation strong enough to preclude such questioning would accept the job.
I'd pay to see it, but I just can't imagine that the Bush Administration will allow it to happen. Unless it could pull off a recess appointment, which it couldn't, the only way to replace Rummy is to expose themselves to a firestorm of criticism that would be devastating enough to assure major Democratic Party gains in November.
April 14, 2006 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Out of all of this Revolt of the Generals' Alumni Assn, the most significant thing in my view is the charge that Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld "micro-managed" the Greatest Strategic Disaster in US history, this in the face, of Bush's repeated remonstrances that the Generals would tell him how to act.
Well, that's a lie but it is more than that. I virtually confirms my thesis that the manifold lies of Bush & Co, oerneated EVERY significant strategic and tactical decision over the past 3 years from Day 1 - from Falluja to Tal Afar.
Relatedly it also demolishes the Packer War Lies - this was to be a debacle of the first order, just as predicted with 20/20 foresight by so very man.
Hello Daalder, O'Hanlon, Lindsay, Ken Pollack
April 14, 2006 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rumsfeld said on Arabic TV (al-Arabiya, the one the Admin likes and seems to be trying to help, must have intel sources there or something) and also in his press conference that there are thousands of retired generals and admirals.
http://www.defenselink.mil/transcripts/2006/tr20060413-12826.html
Is that true? How many retired generals and admirals are there? How many that retired in the last 5 years? I bet the relevant number for comparison is not so large as Rumsfeld makes it out to be. He really is a slick liar. No one parses his words as closely as is necessary. His press conference answers about the generals challenging him are a good case in point.
SEC. RUMSFELD: We'll make this the last question.
Q -- General Pace in his opening statement was responding, as he mentioned a moment ago, to Lieutenant General Newbold's essay in Time magazine. And in calling for you to step down, Mr. Secretary, in referring to the civilian leadership he said, "The commitment of our forces to this fight was done with a casualness and swagger that are the special province of those who had never had to execute these missions or bury the results."
Do you take that personally? Does that sting? I mean, what is your reaction to a statement like that?
SEC. RUMSFELD: Well, first of all, I haven't read it. Second, he never raised an issue, publicly or privately, when he was here that I know of, or -- do you know of any?
GEN. PACE: No. And to make sure you understand, my opening comment was not directed at General Newbold. My opening comment was directed at several articles that have been out here. I used his timeline as an example in answering Barbara's question.
Q You did mention General Newbold's name. And in response, you were saying, sir, that General Newbold never raised any objections or --
SEC. RUMSFELD: Not to my knowledge, no.
Q -- concerns about the war plans.
GEN. PACE: Nor to mine. Nor to mine.
SEC. RUMSFELD: No, I just -- he just didn't. Plenty people did, and I did, lots of people did, and talked about it. But we had discussions in the department, we had discussions in the National Security Council, we had discussions with the president. And they were extensive discussions. There are an awful lot of people around here who aren't shy about giving their views. So it's not something that concerns me, because I think that -- I guess he was working on the Joint Staff, but in terms of why he would come up with this now, I just can't speak to that, I'm sorry.
Q Do you think people are rewriting history?
GEN. PACE: Okay, wait a minute. It would be unfair for me leave you with the idea that he never said anything critical. As the director for operations on the Joint Staff, he certainly had the responsibility, as we all do as we sit around the table to discuss, and I'm sure during those discussions he did.
What I'm trying to point out is that no later than the 3rd of September of 2002, he no longer had that responsibility. He no longer was on active duty. The plan evolved for six more months before it was executed, and therefore, there's a knowledge base there from which extrapolating to what happened in those six months really should not be done.
http://www.defenselink.mil/transcripts/2006/tr20060411-12800.html
P.S. O'Hanlon of Brookings also said on NPR that Bush would hurt himself (as if he can do worse!) and said the generals were partly to blame (although oddly enough not himself). I've read or listened to the comments of these generals, and they readily took part of the blame for themselves and their fellow officers, so that's just a red herring.
April 14, 2006 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember 'you're doin' a heckuva job Brownie'? Well, that was a couple of days before political pressure forced Bushco to get rid of him. I can't say for sure if Rumsfeld is going to get the axe, the only point I can make is that you can't believe Bush's vote of confidence in him. It's just spin. When was the last time that anyone could believe anything Bush said?
April 14, 2006 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't help but reflect on how jaw-droppingly arrogant Rummy must be; a real first-class bully.
This is a guy, after all, who has already served as SecDef before. You'd think that he might have learned something the first time around...
April 14, 2006 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
He learned how to run the shop, but not how to run a war.
April 14, 2006 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, when you've got Tim Russert working late on Good Friday to report that they were trying to avert "civil war" at the Pentagon today, sounds like the country has big troubles. Are things in Iraq even worse than we think?
April 14, 2006 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cohen would be a good choice, so he's out for sure. Warner? Probably an order taker, not an order giver. Looking for any actual, real improvements in this administration is futile.
Hoppy in Sacramento
April 14, 2006 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Recess appointment!
April 14, 2006 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gotta disagree here. Bush values loyalty above all else. When and if he throws you from the bus you are certainly disparaged, but the guy hates to throw anyone from the bus. The replacement always seems scarier than the current body to Bush.
Just another sign of what a scared little man he is.
Card doesn't really count here because he was probably just worn out. Chiefs of staff never last that long and he was replaced with a near identical copy. Plus no one was really calling for Card to leave. In Rumsfeld's case, our esteemed idiot President can't just go down one job title and offer a promotion. He must go outside the circle and that terrifies him.
April 14, 2006 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry or others -
Shouldn't Rumsfeld know how many generals there are?
Today Rumsfeld said
What is a better number for generals in the military?
Source: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/washington/politics-bush-rumsfeld-interview.html
April 14, 2006 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Ole Bernie Trainor's takin credit (as he should) for unleashing the Generals
April 14, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Ole Bernie Trainor's takin credit (as he should) for unleashing the Generals
April 14, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Ole Bernie Trainor's takin credit (as he should) for unleashing the Generals
onApril 14, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Ole Bernie Trainor's takin credit (as he should) for unleashing the Generals.
April 14, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Ole Bernie Trainor's takin credit (as he should) for unleashing the Generals.
(Oberman)April 14, 2006 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Maybe Bernie's just in an especially bad mood today.
April 14, 2006 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Paul in Brooklyn:
I have to disagree with your assessment of the political leverage that confirmation hearings for a new SecDef would have. A circus? True enough: but rather, one ringmastered by Karl Rove, most likely, and designed to do what Rove does best, only in reverse: turning an actual flaw into a perceived strength; and using said hearings as a big campaign commercial for the GOP.
Do you really think the Republican p-t-b are going to allow a confirmation hearing for Rummy's successor to turn into a free-for-all critique of the Administration's handling of the war? After 3-1/2 years of lambasting any and all critics of the Bush gang's handling of Iraq as virtual Benedict Arnolds? AND after nearly six years putting GOP prestige foursquare behind Fearless Leader Dubya, Scourge of Terrorism?
Not if those Senators want to keep their seats.
Sorry, much as I would like to see it, I still don't think Bush will become SO radioactive as to push Republicans into attacking him or his creatures overtly: they might not want to be associated too closely, if things get worse; but outright criticism?
April 14, 2006 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rumsfeld killed people. Andrew Card did not. Rummy was an accessory to the crimes of Bush. Rummy is safer for Bush in the Pentagon as he knows too much dirt on this administration. Conversely, a new Secretary would have access to all the dirty secrets and might not be 'loyal'. Like Bonnie and Clyde they are inseparable.
April 14, 2006 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
BradTheDad is spot on-Rummy ain't goin nowhere, Bush would never 'fire' Rummy, Cheney or Rice, and Rummy is too much of a flaming a**hole to leave on his own.
I like Rummy's "Out of thousands and thousands of admirals and generals, if every time two or three people disagreed we changed the secretary of defense of the United States it would be like a merry-go-round," Rumsfeld told Al Arabiya television in an interview aired on Friday.
If every time, no Rummy, just leave after a F***ed up war that has killed or wounded 20,000 Americans and cost $500 billion over budget you a**hole. Rumsfeld goose isn't cooked, America's goose is cooked because we are stuck with Bush and his incompetent 'team' until impeachment or 2008.
April 14, 2006 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
The late Colonel David Hackworth said it best: "He's an arrogant asshole."
You only have to look at any of his media performances to see this is utterly true.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 14, 2006 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually I can see throwing Rummy off the train precisely because of the runup to a war on Iran.
Then Bush can make a big deal about putting a guy in with "fresh ideas" (invade Iran with too few troops and no plan to handle the worldwide terrorist retaliation), and "ready for new challenges in the Global War on Terror" (invade Iran), etc., etc.
With the critics unable to hang the Iraq problem on the new guy, criticism of the conduct of the planning for the war in Iran will be disabled for a while.
You get my point? The new guy (assuming he had nothing to do with Iraq) is immune to criticism about Iraq, therefore he can do the exact same things in Iran.
Once again, the "faith-based crew" act - the "reality-based crew" have to react - too late.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 14, 2006 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely correct. Anyone who thinks Rumsfeld is gone because of this spat doesn't understand anything about Bush, despots, and the last six years of this administration. Retired generals don't mean any more to Bush than a the missing WMD which he joked about, or the daily casualty count.
April 14, 2006 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's entirely possible that Rumsfeld won't be replaced no matter how badly he performs, because the small group of criminal conspirators who run the country and the war can't afford to let anyone else into their inner circle. There's no cabal member down the hall who could be passed off as Secretary of Defense.
April 14, 2006 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
He only knows how many he has forced into retirement, or accused of bullshit conduct malfeasances to shut them up.
April 14, 2006 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
That old god, public opinion, needs a human sacrifice. Even constant campaigning can't bring Bush's approval rating above 40%. The 'Publicans think there is a realignment election in their future, and not one to their liking.
It is like the Bushies to select the wrong human. The only one that would give 'em a chance is Cheney; but he's the high priest, hardly likely to march up to the mouth of the volcano an jump in. Rummy might make make some good sparks, but he will burn in the volcano (and later in hell) for no benefit for the 'Publicans. Probably even the high priest is not good enough anymore. Ra himself will go down.
If it's good for me it must be Good 4 A MericaApril 14, 2006 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Bush staked his presidency on a pack of lies. Lies have consequences."
Not to Bush and his supporters. Lies are merely the price you pay to get what you know is right. What God has told him to do. Or maybe you haven't been paying attention for the past 6 years.
April 14, 2006 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now you know why:
"There is some background noise here, a lot of chatter, a lot of speculation and opining."
- George Bush, Oct. 20, 2005
April 14, 2006 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
So if Rummy is fired....
....and if Lieberman is offered SecDef (which is at least plausible)....
....would he take it?
Part of me says no, he knows in his heart (no matter what he says publicly) that Iraq is a fiasco.
Part of me says yes.
SecDef today, GOP VP nominee tomorrow.
My other scenario: Rove gives SecDef to McCain.
Kiss of death.
April 14, 2006 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Revolt of the Generals is about Iran, not Iraq. They won't stop it. I think the bombing starts in weeks, not months. Nobody is going to want the job after the war kicks into second gear.
April 14, 2006 7:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Karl Rove can still rally the base, but that group seems to be shrinking. Maybe Josh Bolten can help improve relations with Congress. But W's leadership on Social Security and immigration resulted in no substantive gains for his positions on the Hill.
The public is rapidly losing patience with Iraq, is against any similar adventure in Iran, and is no longer convinced that W is the best answer to protecting our national security at home. With elections coming up and the GOP rightfully nervous about seeing its grip on power slipping away, my bet remains that W can't risk giving GOP senators the opportunity to distance themselves from his SecDef nominee and the president himself.
Would they resort to a Weekend at Bernie's scenario to avoid hearings? Probably not. But they can't be thinking those hearings would be anything but a serious challenge.
April 14, 2006 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
well i can not email you and you know why. i understand that. i just wanted you too know i appreciate you speaking up about this matter. i only wish it could have been sooner. i am not privi to many things but i have been as i feel unjustly put upon since 1971 when i exited viet nam. i do believe there are people like you out there. i do believe you and they are silent for reasons. and those reasons are good. i have been alone all these years. but again thanks and thanks to the rest of you even though you have yet to speak. "things true will always be true for they are not things of us"
April 14, 2006 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
I wonder that perhaps we are missing the vital point in speculating whether or not Bush will fire Rumsfeld.
Does it matter?
The Revolt of the Generals is aimed at Rummy only formally when in fact, Bush is the real target.
Does it matter what happens to Rumssfeld. If Bush fires him, he admits the grave mistake he made lying this country into a catastrophe.
If Bush keeps him, to the millstone alaredy fitted to his neck, just add some extra dead weight.
Does it matter?
The Revolt of the Generals gives cowardly democrats extra cover.
Rumsfeld is irrelevant
April 14, 2006 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
my question "when we rip the head of this snake off are you determined to replace it with another" my answer would be in the thousands of years of replacing the head upon the serpent you have gotten nowhere. i certainly do not want my head upon the carcus nor anyone i can imagine.
April 14, 2006 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: someone has to tell me how the Bush Administration would be able to survive the confirmation hearings for the new SecDef.
Easy. Bush appoints a sitting senator, one from a safe GOP state. The Senate will fall all over itself to confirm one of its own.
April 14, 2006 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rummy will be around at least through the fall elections. The bigger picture is that everyone sees the chances for a face-saving outcome in Iraq as vanishingly small, so the race is on to find a scapegoat. The administration has declared where they're putting it: on those folks that made "thousands of tactical errors" - framing it as a failure of execution, not strategy.
Which is, of course, one astonishingly bold lie.
The military establishment is fighting back, via the half dozen retired generals (so far) that have called for Rummy's head. Mere truth is of little advantage in this kind of fight - witness Kerry and the Swift Boat propaganda campaign - so the edge goes to the side that better manipulates and cows the media.
On that measure, a year from now the GOP true believers will be muttering that Rummy and Wolfowitz and the rest of their merry band had a great plan, a wonderful plan, the kind of plan that was just bound to succeeed. But gee, those darn slackers in the Army and the Marines just didn't understand the brilliant strategy that let you use 125K troops to do the job of half a million.
It's ridiculous, but no more so than the theory embraced by many conservatives that the U.S. could have won in Vietnam had we just hung in there long enough, and fought hard enough.
Only difference is that this time around such a nutty view will be packaged and marketed by the right's spin machine, and thus carry a lot more weight as the accepted mythos/hagiography.
Bo Raxo
--
"Bother," said Pooh as Satan pointed out the small print.
April 14, 2006 11:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
They might try just promoting some other neocon asshole like Cambone or somebody like that that the public isn't that familiar with and who could claim to not be responsible for Iraq.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 14, 2006 11:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lieberman may know Iraq is a fiasco, but he doesn't really care because it plays well in Israel.
He's also the "Senator from Israel", so the upcoming war on Iran would suit him just fine. He'd be the perfect guy to lead the Pentagon in the attack on Iran - a Jewish guy in charge of attacking another Muslim nation.
That's the level of stupidity Bush has. You can't make this stuff up.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 14, 2006 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's a question.
Why aren't the Democrats in Congress with the clearances to do so demanding to see the war plans being drawn up for Iran?
If they really want to avoid another Iraq fiasco, how come they aren't demanding more oversight?
According to Sy Hersh, only a handful of members of Congress have been briefed on these plans - including at least one Democrat - and we can guess who that was - and ALL of them were on board for the attack. The only questions they asked, according to Hersh's contacts, were, "Are we sure the nukes can go deep enough to take out the facility"?
Which means they didn't ask about the estimated several hundred thousand to three milion radiation casualties likely to result from nuclear bunker busters being used near the city of Isfahan, which has a population of 2.5 million.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 14, 2006 11:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to hear the Generals' views on Rummy's policy of torture. It must rankle some to have put their soldiers in the awkward position of throwing out the Geneva conventions (which will come back to haunt them).
April 15, 2006 12:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is, I believe, the motivation for the generals coming out now. They want to stop the Iranian operation before the airstrikes happen.
The trouble is that the madman who gave the orders is not the Commander-in-Chief. It's the SecDef. The President accedes, and I doubt is aware of what's been done to date in Iran. It wasn't a good thing when Johnson was up to all hours deciding on targets. But it's also not a good thing when the President says, in effect, "Iran? Sure. Do what you need to do. They're bad guys, and, besides, I'm a war president, a strong leader, with courage, and determination. So take care of it. Now I gotta go ride my bike."
April 15, 2006 5:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
In answer to the question about the number of generals, here's the latest data as of Feb 2006:
So there are a grand total of 881 generals, Rumsfeld's way off.
April 15, 2006 8:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Cheney/Rumsfeld axis reigns supreme. Bush is too feeble to cross Cheney and run his own administration. I bet they now have knives out for Condi, and that she threatens to resign over a major policy show down like Iran.
April 15, 2006 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think things are getting ahead of themselves here. What's not been done is to draw up an easily understandable case against Rumsfeld that ordinary people can easily understand, with the individual concerns stated in clear narrative fashion. From what I can see and hear much of the opposityion to Rumsfeld is fairly disjointed -- and misses that point that in having lost trust in him -- people have lost faith in a Presidential Appointee.
I think the most important public goal now is to put pressure on Senator Warner and Senator Levin to call Armed Forces Committee hearings so as to provide a very public forum, indeed a legitimate forum for the Generals soeaking out clearly. They have to organize their critique so that there is no daylight in their case -- and in the process they assure Congress and the rest of us that they are not coup minded, and are essentially deeply concerned with the fate of these institutions in the hands of Rumsfeld, Cheney and Bush.
April 15, 2006 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think things are getting ahead of themselves here. What's not been done is to draw up an easily understandable case against Rumsfeld that ordinary people can easily understand, with the individual concerns stated in clear narrative fashion. From what I can see and hear much of the opposityion to Rumsfeld is fairly disjointed -- and misses that point that in having lost trust in him -- people have lost faith in a Presidential Appointee.
I think the most important public goal now is to put pressure on Senator Warner and Senator Levin to call Armed Forces Committee hearings so as to provide a very public forum, indeed a legitimate forum for the Generals soeaking out clearly. They have to organize their critique so that there is no daylight in their case -- and in the process they assure Congress and the rest of us that they are not coup minded, and are essentially deeply concerned with the fate of these institutions in the hands of Rumsfeld, Cheney and Bush.
April 15, 2006 3:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wonderin wondered:
Let's turn to an expert on arrogance and bullying.
In '71 Nixon was recorded on the White House tapes talking about our current Secretary of defense. "At least Rummy is tough enough. He's a ruthless little bastard."
Ol' Tricky Dick may have had some lapses in judgment, little respect for the constituion, and the morals of a used car salesman who owes back rent, but you have to give the man this: he knew a thing or two about being ruthless.
Bo Raxo
April 15, 2006 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nah - I don't see Condi having the balls (pardon the pun) to threaten to resign over Iran.
Powell might have done that, but not Condi.
Richard Steven Hack
www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com
April 15, 2006 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
"So there are a grand total of 881 generals, Rumsfeld's way off."
Rumsfeld knows exactly how many generals there are. He inflated the numbers so if a half dozen or so are pissed it looks like better. It's a much smaller percentage of 6,000 than it is of 880.
April 15, 2006 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
And if we want to take it from the right set, you'll notice that all of the generals commenting are retired. For obvious reasons. So take six as a percentage of the number of generals who have retired since the start of this war. Even better, limit it to two-stars and up (as is the case with the half dozen Cheney critics), and you'll roughly cut the number in half.
At which time it starts looking like a fairly significant chunk of professional military opinion.
Bo Raxo
April 15, 2006 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
By 'ordinary people' I assume you mean the average white racist Bush supporting dittohead. Everyone else in the world already knows the crimes and errors Bush and Rummy have committed in the name of America and 'freedom'.
April 15, 2006 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Larry,
I think the question of Rummy will not be decided until after whatever this Administration plans by way of an "October Surprise" and, specifically, how the mid-term elections go.
In this regard the key race is Stenholm v Taylor in the Texas Panhandle. The idiots at the DCCC think the most important race in this state is Lampson v the memory of Tom DeLay.
It is not. If Taylor can beat Stenholm, the the Gingrich version of the Southern Strategy is still intact. If Stenholm (and Webb in VA) win. The jig is up for more than just Rummy.
Then GOP "ownership" of DoD is in question for the first time since, oh, back when Jefferson Davis was, in fact, quite a good SECWAR.
::JRBehrman
April 16, 2006 7:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ah yes! The words of a psychopathological maniac with delusions of omnipotence....
If six top line generals have publicly bubbled to the surface ... you can't even fathom how many more in the ranks are seething under the surface to get Rumsfeld's ass out the door. From Sun-tzu ... Art of War:
Never attempt to replace the hierarchy of the military chain of command with the politics of civil bureaucracy. The moral courage to speak exhibited by these six generals is much rarer than physical courage. Emphasis on career advancement over integrity marred the officer corps in Viet Nam, as it still does in Iraq. Don't think for one second that it doesn't.April 16, 2006 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Newt Gingrich.
April 16, 2006 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since I initially raised the issue with Rumsfeld's 3-6,000 number of generals I found what may be an explanatiuon of what he was trying to say, though he was still wrong.
Per Bill Arkin in WaPo
April 18, 2006 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have an answer to my question below. It makes Rumsfeld look better but still he is wrong.
April 18, 2006 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
This war was and is about oil.
Anyone that thinks Rumsfeld is the guy calling the shots in this war must have forgotten what state Bush is from and obviously hasn't filled up thier tank lately.
Nobody talked Bush into this war. Bush talked everybody else into it.
Rumsfeld is Bush's "kevlar" and he will use Rumsfeld until Bush starts taking hits, then Rumsfeld is gone.
April 18, 2006 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink