Why Not Both?
I agree with a lot of what's in Jacob Weisberg's column on immigration, but I'm honestly not convinced that "You can't crack down on illegal immigration and liberalize it at the same time." The really pressing issue on the liberalize side is that it's bad to have millions of people living in this country, stuck in the shadows, facing all kinds of problems. Deporting them all would be cruel and impractical. The reasonable thing to do is something along the lines of these "earned legalization" schemes wherein people who've been obeying the (non-immigration) laws pay some fines and back taxes and can get their green cards. This isn't only compatible with "crackdown" measures, crackdown measures would make such a program much more palatable by assuaging these incentives concerns.
I've heard a few people allege that we "can't" build a wall across the border with Mexico, but why can't we? Some things don't scale up. You can't take a 747, double the dimensions, and expect it to fly. It's the same thing with skyscrapers. Making some things bigger generates whole new problems. But not walls. If you can build a small wall, you can build a big wall. It would be expensive, to be sure, but lots of things the government does are expensive. Similarly, you hear that we've made the Border Patrol bigger in the past and that hasn't stopped illegal immigration. True, but does anyone really think it's had no effect? And the Border Patrol is pretty small right now -- about 11,000 officers. The NYPD has about 35,000. Adding 24,000 Border Patrol agents -- especially backed by a wall -- would make it much harder to immigrate illegally.
The logic of crackdown and liberalize goes even further. It seems plausible to me that we should have more immigrants from Mexico than the current cap allows. But if that's what we should do, the right way to do it is just allow more immigrants to come legally. That's far preferable to either "guest worker" programs or a wink-and-nod approach to illegal immigration.















To reduce illegal immigration directly you can either throw more money at the problem, or be more loose with the proceedures. The latter method doesn't really help incentives (since some innocents get sweeped up in the process, diluting the incentive to play by the rules) When I hear the word "crackdown" that's what I think of - looser proceedures.
April 6, 2006 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that the real issue is that many people don't trust that the Congress will cut down on illegal immigration. Before anything is liberalized, we'd like to see the crackdown first.
"You say I'm a dreamer. We're two of a kind. Looking for some perfect world that we both know that we'll never find." - Thompson Twins, "Hold Me Now"
April 6, 2006 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Matthew is quite right - the solution is to greatly liberalize our immigration regime by vastly increasing the number of legal workers we permit into the country, while simultaneously cracking down hard on illegal immigration, through the use of a wall and an increase in the number of border patrol and immigration officials. The quibble I have with Matthew is where he says that deporting all the existing illegal immigrants would be "cruel and impractical." Why? Practicalities can be fixed through enforcement mechanisms (i.e., making being here illegally a felony; really going after employers who hire illegals). And I don't understand the "cruel" part at all - what really cruel is to allow people to illegally cut the line, while people following the law have to wait in Mexico. I mean, if Matthew is on a loooooong grocery line, and someone cuts in front of him, does Matthew say "sure he doesn't belong in the line in front of me, but it would be cruel to send him back to the end of the line where he belongs"?
What Matthew has wrong, I think, is that no matter how much you crack down on illegals, you can't "assuage" the incentives created by an amnesty. And we've got to reverse the incentives here - the incentives have got to be that if you play by yhe rules, you are very likely to become a legal immigrant, whereas if you don't play by the rules, you'll likely never become a legal immigrant. Amnesty just screws that up.
The proper solution, as I see it, has three parts: (i) greatly, GREATLY increase the number of permitted legal immigrants (we need as many immigrants as possible, so that, as Paul Krugman says, we can keep wages low), (ii) build a wall, vastly increase resources to border patrol, make illigal immigration a felony, crack down on employers who hire illegals, and (iii) deport illegals who are already here and tell them to get at the end of the line, where they should be if they had followed the law in the first place.
April 6, 2006 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whenever I read this kind of thing from folks like Weisberg, I hear this little voice in the background saying, "Plus, I won't be able to afford the nanny and the gardener . . ."
April 6, 2006 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
As Paul Krugman said last week, the biggest issue from an economic standpoint is less legal vs. illegal immigration, but rather skilled vs. unskilled. We need a liberalized regime to attract more skilled immigrants. We don't need a liberalized regime to allow more unskilled workers. Unskilled workers compete directly with poor Americans and depress wages. As Robert Samuelson writes in the WaPo, it is importing poverty:
We need control over the borders and a conscious policy to shift the work that is done now by unskilled illegals into the hands of willing Americans. It is a myth that illegals do the jobs that Americans won't.
The most important consideration, as far as I'm concerned, is what is best for Americans, but poor Americans in particular. Liberals rightly denounce the Bush tax cuts as a policy that amounts to a redistribution of wealth away from poor Americans and towards wealthy ones. Here we have a policy in illegal immigration that has exactly the same effect and the standard liberal response is indifference. Why is that?
April 6, 2006 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
What "line" would that be precisely? Mexicans can't even be apart of the Diversity Lottery. There is no line for them because they are already overrepresented in the U.S. And a green card is obviously out of the question for most of the people we're talking about. OTMs (Other Than Mexicans) on the other hand can get in legally. (By that same token, OTMs when caught in the U.S. are not sent back to their countries, unless they commit a non-immigration related crime, because its too expensive to do so. Mexicans are. What kind of ham-handed policy is that?)
Considering that, the policy needs to be changed to recognize that the people just to the south of us have a much larger stake and greater impact in pure human numbers on our economy than anywhere else. Bush's guest worker program might in fact address that and open up a legal way for Mexicans to get in. I suppose I agree with you about the incentives. The only way to reverse them is to make the penalities harsher, but I would only support that in combination with relaxed immigration regulations.
Still, this is only addressing new migrants, not current ones. And the bill that seems to be pushing through Congress right now distinguishes current residents based on years in the country, not actual benefit to society. This is all wrong. We can't trust this current Congress to draft legislation on this issue. I hope this thing gets killed quickly.
April 6, 2006 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
The cruelty comes into play when families are separated; when someone is torn away from a life they have built here over years. I mean, you're entitled to your opinion about immigration policy, but equating being deported with having to go to the back of a grocery line is pretty cold, man.
April 6, 2006 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
God forbid we actually try to solve this problem. That might result in higher food costs, higher lawn mowing costs, higher clothing costs, etc. Of course it would also result in higher incomes for low income people, but no one cares about that as long as the millionaire class continues to grow.
The obvious solution to the problem is a higher minimum wage, along with enforcement of that minimum wage, plus, enforcement of work environment laws. It would be a big step towards improvement if our laws actually leveled the playing field where unions and management compete.
An enforced higher minimum wage and enforcement of working conditions laws would open up a huge number of jobs that Americans would gladly take, thus reducing the availablity of such jobs for illegals. It would also improve our economy by putting more money into the hands of people who spend that money instead of accumulating it.
But, it's a lot more fun to bash Mexicans so enjoy.
Hoppy in Sacramento
April 6, 2006 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even applying for a visitor visa is very difficult for most third country nationals. Ever since 9/11, the embassies impose a steep fee for security investigations with no guarantee that a visa will be granted. The process is both difficult and degrading as applicants usually stand in line for hours with no facilities such as water or restrooms and then face interviews that demand intimate details on the financial status and other cirucumstances of the applicant. For example, female relatives of mine have been asked whether they are prostitutes. The consulate officers have absolute authority and there is no appeal from there decision. U.S. citizens would NEVER tolerate this type of treatment at the hands of civil servants. Getting an immigrant visa is in most cases just impossible. There is no line to get in.
This country was built with English capital, Native American resources and (cheap) immigrant labor. Shutting the door now to preserve local wages is counterproductive and would as foolish as closing the door to foreign capital. The jobs will only go elsewhere. Better to keep them here. The economic activity generated by that activity creates more high-paying jobs as well.
April 6, 2006 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's axiomatic that people who have less want to immigrate to a country that offers more; that's why we don't have an illegal immigration problem on our northern border. To be clear, Mexico and Latin American are not the only source of illegal immigrants — just today some 40 or so Chinese were found in a container at the LA docks — but they are the "problem" everyone is talking about simply because of their numbers.
Mr. Yglesias proposes a solution combining enforcement (build the wall, hire more Border Patrol officers) with "earned legalization" for those that are here. It is still only a partial solution. As harsh as the enforcement around the Berlin Wall was it didn't stop people from trying to go over or under it, neither did the Great Wall of China. Part of any solution must involve lowering the desire to illegally immigrate to the US by improving the opportunities in countries from which people are coming. I can get on board with the Yglesias proposal as long as we do something serious with Mexico in terms of improving that country's standard of living. Never in my life (and I'm at the half century mark) have I heard any serious proposal to improve our relations with our southern neighbor in any meaningful way.
What we want and have gotten from Mexico has been cheap labor, oil, and vacations on their beaches. What we have not sought and could greatly benefit from is a close relationship like we have with Canada. But they are poor and Canada is rich, you may say. All I can say is where are the progressives when you need them?
The other part of the equation is the very idea of "cheap labor" — usually presented as if it is some right of the US economy to have a certain percentage of the population, here legally or not, live harshly so the rest of us can have inexpensive lettuce, meat, maid service, nannies, and gardeners.
So I'll support the Yglesias proposal when it is married to a program to build close ties with Mexico and reform the US economy so everyone gets a fair share (a reasonable minimum) of the wealth we create.
April 6, 2006 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I mean, if Matthew is on a loooooong grocery line, and someone cuts in front of him, does Matthew say "sure he doesn't belong in the line in front of me, but it would be cruel to send him back to the end of the line where he belongs"?
It would be cruel if that someone paid for his groceries, took them home, and cooked them for his family. That is a piss poor analogy considering those who move here to improve the lives of their families and their children are morally and ethically doing the right thing. It may impose on us a bit, but I'd hardly expect them to follow our laws if we don't want to grant them citizenship in return. It's sort of a chicken and egg thing.
Instead, we should stop them from entering and setting up shop. Hire more border police (but please no silly wall). Punish employers for hiring illegals, perhaps by implementing a national id that must be verified within a month of employment. If employers break the rule, fine them a lot. And then increase legal immigration.
April 6, 2006 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about a piece on how to get out of this country when the s*** hits the fan, the US dollar and the Bush economy sink in a sea of red ink, gas goes to $10 a gallon, unemployment spikes, Mexicans go home, and the evangelicals turn tribal. Canada, Australia, dual citizenship??
April 6, 2006 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is just completely nonsensical. Hotel maid jobs are going to go overseas? Child nannies? Farmworkers? Chicken processors?
There's hardly another issue out there that is so full of mythical economics. It's just amazing.
April 6, 2006 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
A wall is just a terrible idea, for a whole host of reasons.
Matt is right that, unlike a double-size 747, a wall is technically feasible to build, but it would cost billions of dollars, be a logistical nightmare (think of all the property the government would have to condemn). And there is very little reason to think that it would do enough to deter illegal border crossings -- you can bring a ladder, build a tunnel, or sneak in on a truck through a port of entry -- to justify its other collateral effects. Forseeable results of building would be boom times for alien smugglers and coyotes and a deterioration of our relationship with Mexico -- which has its own problems with securing its southern border. What this whole debate needs is a recognition that there are limits to the effectiveness of any border control strategy and that illegal immigration is a chronic condition that must be managed rather than a problem that can be solved.
That said, in order to manage the problems associated with illegal immigration -- lack of assimilation, downward pressure on wages -- the most important thing to do is to regularize the status of the millions of immigrant workers who are currently deprived (in fact if not always in law) of labor rights. The "incentive effects" of such an amnesty are not much of a cause for worry. They will be small or negligible. The overwhelming majority of illegal border crossers do not do so with the intention to settle permanently in the United States; rather they intend to work here for some time and return home. The great increase in illegal immigration came not after the 1986 amnesty, but after NAFTA made migration to the U.S. much more desirable (or rather, staying in one's hometown nearly impossible).
April 6, 2006 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right. The illegal immigration phenomenon proves one thing overwhelmingly clearly: you can't expect to stay rich if your neighbors are destitute. If US workers want to stay rich, they should start figuring out how to make Mexican workers rich, too. One way to do that would be to use NAFTA more like the EU: subsidies and benefits for Mexican goods, on condition that Mexico meet some North America-wide standards of good governance. This approach has worked wonders for formerly corrupt low-wage European southern economies, like Italy, Greece and Spain. We need to North-Americanize Mexico like the EU Europeanized Greece and Spain.
April 6, 2006 10:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't even understand the objection that you can't liberalize and crack down at the same time. You should ALWAYS liberalize and crack down at the same time. That's how every effective approach to widespread criminal behaviors has ever worked. Pure crackdowns are totally ineffective - witness the war on drugs.
April 6, 2006 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree it is nonsensical. But I'm curious to know exactly what labor pool exists to fill these minimum wage jobs should immigrants not be there to do them?
April 7, 2006 6:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unemployed urban blacks?
April 7, 2006 8:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're no doubt thinking that with unemployment at around 5%, where are these workers going to come from?
Remember, the unemployment rate only counts people employed or looking for work. The better statistic is the labor participation rate, which counts the proportion of able-bodied adults that are working. That number is around 68%. In other words, there are plenty of people out there not working.
April 7, 2006 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink