Real Security, Fake Foreign Policy
If the Bush administration has perfected the art of devising a foreign policy that's long on airy platitudes and short on figuring out how to accomplish anything, the Democrats' "Real Security" agenda has managed to achieve the reverse. The thing is like a shopping list of stuff the national security establishment ought to have that winds up saying almost nothing about what the stuff is for. What's America's purpose in the world? What are the goals of our foreign policy? It manages to neither endorse Bush's strategy nor outline a different one.
On homeland security this is fine -- it really does go without saying what the point of beefing up security here or giving more radio there is. But on the military side it doesn't make sense at all. Obviously, all else being equal it would be better to have more Special Operations forces than fewer. But it would also be better to have more aircraft carriers than fewer. Or more anything rather than fewer. What's it supposed to be for? Why are these the priorities?












Less casualties though. Less wars that are expensive and counter productive.
More seriously, the point is valid, but I have a sense that the Reid's of this world are reading the political calculations better at this point. It is still early to take focus away from (R) problems.
Bush is not going to dog himself out of his hole anytime soon. Republican support will continue to flounder and twist, and there is a lot of time before the midterms.
With that said they could be doing a much better job of planting a narrative that is devastating to the (R)s. The only consistent elements of Republicanism are the corruption and the dishonesty -- and Dems should be laying the foundation for the argument that this behavior is not just politicians, but Repoublican politicians.
As MY knows as well as anyone, the "Real Security" is not a document intended to influence George W. Bush's policies - it is a political document, and they want it to tie them down as little as possible when they get the House or the Senate in 2006 (fingers crossed).
I think I have reached my platitude limit, so I will quit for now.
April 4, 2006 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
AS much as it pains me to say it, isn't the smart thing to do to combine this set of proposals with an explicit endorsement of Bush's goals in foreign policy?
He won on those goals. It's the implementation he screwed up. This document stresses implementation.
The net effect would be to lay stress on the choice between R incompetence and D competence -- which should be a major focus in '06 and '08 -- the vision thing now being a wash.
April 4, 2006 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
"....isn't the smart thing to do to combine this set of proposals with an explicit endorsement of Bush's goals in foreign policy?
In a word, no. It is precisely the foreign policy that is misguided and generates the tactical failure.
There is no way to sensibly plan the rest of the world. We can seek more room for maueuver, and more flexibility in response, to what comes down the pike. We can only plan our own goals, and those should be 1) renewable energy, not only to help the climate but because it will help the whole world, and 2) move aggressively to interrupt CO2-driven warming, and possibly develop ameliorating steps to cool the planet and/or remove CO2. Renewable energy isn't just nice, it saves money, and gets cheaper as time goes by. Climate change will eventually produce millions of refugees here at home, not to mention around the world.
These issues will drive the next wars, unless we act now.
April 4, 2006 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Bush agenda, was it ever about security? Did anyone seriously believe Iraq was a threat to the US or even Turkey? Was it really about getting re-elected as the war president, global and dollar hegemony, and filling America's need for 25% of the oil used in the world each day.
April 4, 2006 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
First, we should realize its a political document, not a policy document. Even if the Dems were to get Congress back, the most they could do on national security would be to monitor and check Bush's policy agenda, not enact an agenda of their own.
The political question becomes whether lacking a national security vision at the present time hurts the Democrats? The Democrats have to cobble together a motly coalition that includes enraged Jeffersonians enraged at Bush's "imperial ambitions", Wilsonians frusterated by Bush's incompetence and the gap between his rhetoric and action, and Hamiltonians who balk at the way Bush has favored ideology over stability.
At the same time, Dems cannot ignore the plurality of Jacksonians who have formed the core of Bush's support in the war on terror but are growing increasingly uncomfortable with a long-term committment to Iraq. The problem is that the only things Wilsonian, Jeffersonian and Hamiltonian critcis of Bush can agree on is the disaster of the administration's Jacksonian policies - the dismissal of international institutions, the use of torture and unchecked expansion of executive power.
Given this conundrum, the Dems best option may simply be to hold themselves out as Not Bush on national security and to cull their general wonky laundry list of items down to three easy to sound-byte programs - for example: (1) beefing up port security, (2) full equipment for every soldier and (3) subsdizing hybrid cars.
April 4, 2006 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
When I read the plan, it felt hollow. You just told me why. But God bless them for putting something out.
April 4, 2006 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agree in large part, but there has to be a positive agenda that goes down the throat of the GOP's favorite sons: energy/oil, mainly. A full-scale, government-incentivised alternative energy program, like that proposed by Obama and others, would show that Dems are not simply obsessed about Bush, but have larger interests and ideas.
April 4, 2006 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I dunno. How can Libertarians and Liberal Progressives get along? :-)
From what I've read, the Founding Fathers were mostly what we would call Libertarians today, emphasizing individual liberty to do as much as you want as long as it doens't harm someone else's ability to do as much as they want.
The Liberals of recent memory have focused on using government power to redress inequities in society and to address some pretty bad injustices, which bumps right into the Libertarian strains in American polity. I'm not well-versed in this area, but it seems to me that a coalition in this country that has the best chance of unseating the neocon/fundamentalists is one between progressive thought and libertarian thought. But how?
April 4, 2006 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, this document is best suited to hang in the outhouses of the less well developed parts of this country. Anytime it takes a 120+ page document to describe what our policy is, we have no policy. I am quite sure I could write a policy document in less than two pages, and have it be easily understood and comprehensive.
What the heck do our so called leaders think they are doing? Surely one of the lessons to be learned from the Kerry campaign is that having detailed, endless documents describing our positions is not a way to get elected. If a candidate cannot answer the question, "what is your policy towards national security" in the two minutes typically provided in debates, he has already lost the election.
I wonder if we even know what our national security policy should be.
Hoppy in Sacramento
April 4, 2006 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
That's easy. The WarParty Democrats, Hillary and Claque, intent on moving to the right of Bush on Iran, boloxed when it comes to Iraq, have effectively blocked the emergence of a national Democratic opposition to Bush's failed war policies.
They can't talk about Iraq - the Greatest Strategic Disaster in US History - the Hallmark of a National Security Catastrophe,, the Benchmark of Bush Lies and Incompetence.
So they came up with a laundry list of what? More DubaiPorts thinking more paralysis, more failed leadership in the Democratic Party, and mostl likely another political flop this fall.
Bush, responding to the DeLay resignation, expressed confidence in his "party of ideas'. What ideas? The Republicans will run another slash n trash Rove campaign this fall and from the looks of things, the Democrats don't know what in the hell to do about it.
Rove will run against the specter of an impeachment Congress, a subpoena Senate, a democratic party, ready to "cut and Run" from Iraq, one that is too gutless to be trusted to run the country in a time of war.
But there may well be some bite to his bark - an attack this fall on Iran.
With the UN in disarray and the hope of effective sanctions more of a pipedream than ever, under presssure from Israel, a desperately weakened Bush may well have an October Surprise up his sleeve.
A couple of reports out of Britain based on leaks (probably preemptive attacks) from the British General staff and the Pentagon are cause for concern.
Top UK Brass Plan for US Strike on IranApril 4, 2006 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Bush gives them what they asked for and as the Middle East plunges ever deeper into chaos, Bush will have given the Democrats just what they asked for....
Their third drubbing in a row.
April 4, 2006 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
As Tom Wright said above, "We can seek more room for maueuver, and more flexibility in response, to what comes down the pike." Alot of commentors, conservative and liberals alike, on Real Security seem to want Dems to come up with a security plan in the context of the current Iraq War.
The only question on the context of the Iraq War should be; Should we have gone into Iraq? There is only a yes or no answer to this and its not difficult to come up with an eloquent one. If right now you still believe we should have gone there, fine, but that doesn't seem to me to represent this party's, OR the American public's, thinking.
So, with that out of the way, we can address global security problems as they come down the pike. What I think Real Security should have done in regards to future use of the military would be very short and succinct statements that we will excercise our power when our interests truly are in jeopardy and when the risks and rewards are prudent to do so. To highlight that idea should be actual policy toward the direct threats we're facing right now, namely Iran and N. Korea. Real Security unfortunately didn't really address those threats specifically enough.
Some may continue criticize the Dems for not being specific about what qualifies as "interests truly in jeopardy." If so, maybe now might be the time to start coming up with some ourselves. You know, to help the cause and all. I personally don't think the Dems need to be anymore specific, but if the concensus is that they do, we all should stop waiting for Dems to do this for us and start discussing it ourselves.
"What's America's purpose in the world? What are the goals of our foreign policy?" I don't know Matt, have any ideas?
I would add that maybe addressing a way to move forward in Iraq would be useful but quite fucking frankly I would have no idea how to better that situation and think, unfortunately for the Iraqis and our soldiers, that its just not our problem to address right now. As Bu$hCo thenmselves are seeing, its pretty hard to address problems that have no solutions.
April 4, 2006 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen "JmacSF"
San Francisco. CA
Stalemate and paralysis are hardly the Democrat's "best option". Perhaps you meant "only option"?
The Iraq Debacle is the only issue on which the Democrats, with a straightforward opooition, can join issue with the Republicans, nationalize the election, and their only hope for taking control of at least one chamber.
Hardly the best option, the only option is a recipie for another defeat..
Is there a Three Strikes Law in Politics. If not, there should be.
sigh
April 4, 2006 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow Matt, you sound like some of us now. When critics say the Democrats need more big, coherent ideas - rather than laundry lists of specific proposals - you have usually defended them in the past.
I suspect the document is, as you say, quite literally a shopping list - an election year enumeration of defense-related pork products ... umm ...programs.
April 4, 2006 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are arguing that the Dems best option is to tap into the growing Jacksonian opposition to the war in Iraq. Independent of the substantive merits of withdrawal, this is a sticky political problem, however, based on the very contradictory impulses of Jacksonians. Their not happy with any war that doesn't have a clear path to victory, but they also have a viceral reaction to America appearging "weak" - which Bush has effectively stoked since 9/11.
While its not a perfect analogy, the politics of Vietnam are a cautionary tale. The Jacksonians who turned against the war in the large numbers in the early 1970s, rather than rewarding Democrats for their foresight and wisdom of their anti-war position, punished them for being "anti-military" and weak on Communism. Reagan deftly exploited the shame Jacksonians felt over America's loss in Vietnam - and their opposition to the Jeffersonian view of the war as immoral.
Could the Dems call for an exit plan in Iraq without being painted as a party of Jeffersonian pacifists? Possibly, but they would have to find a way to do it while holding the Jeffersonian grass roots at arms length. The only way to do that is to avoid detail - promise to hold Bush accountable for what happens in Iraq and express opposition to babysitting a full-blown civil war. Anything else however, will be easily painted as "Michael Moore cut and run."
April 4, 2006 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is a really terrible document. Full of meaningless waffle with nothing on purpose or details. As Fred Hiatt said yesterday, it equates national security with self protection, nothing more. It just reminds me how much of a problem I have with the crazy folks who pass for our House and Senate leadership. It's almost enough to make one vote Republican in November. I'm sure the Dem foreign policy establishment and more moderate representatives are going nuts.
April 4, 2006 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am struck by how much attention the document gives to issues involving military folks directly - particularly veterans. Democrats are seizing the opportunity offered by Bush's bungling of Iraq and other military and veterans issues to make a play for the votes of soldiers, veterans and their families.
Note particularly to tables showing numbers of veterans by state, and also numbers of "veterans denied health care coverage because of Bush policies", also by state. There are a lot of important battleground states on the list - note especially Florida. Soldiers elected Bush to begin with, and it looks like Democrats are now preparing to take the battle to the Republican turf - including military districts.
The authors seem to have intentionally refrained from offering any grand strategic agenda. Instead they have simply cribbed from various mainstream reports from DOD, Rand, CSIA, CSBA, CFR, etc. and followed their recommendations on resources. Perhaps this modest and bureaucratic approach is unavoidable in the present environment, given growing public skepticism and disagreement about "Grand Strategy", and the absense of a consensus in the party. Given that this is a congressional off-year election and not a Presidential year, the party will have no standard bearer to articulate an overarching vision. The best approach may be an experimental one: give candidates the freedom to run on whatever works best in their home districts as far as ideology and generalities go. Then see what works, what rising stars emerge, and use those experimental results to help craft a strategic vision in 2008.
As for Matt's question: "What's America's purpose in the world?" My former career as an academic philosopher inclines me toward addressing these deep, abstract existential questions about the meaning of life and the purpose of our existence - including our national existence. But perhaps most American's already know what the purpose of America is. After all, the American republic was created in a deliberate act of constitution-making, and came with a brith certificate stating the explicit purpose of constituting the United States of America - to "form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity."
April 4, 2006 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell
Why experiment? You've hit the nail on the head with the Preamble. I don't see a thing in there about preventive wars or engaging in nation building among peoples of an entirely different culture. Justice, tranquility, defense, general welfare, liberty -- somebody could build a party around that.
April 4, 2006 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
As Fred Hiatt said yesterday, it equates national security with self protection, nothing more.
What more is there to it? Could you elaborate?
Is it democracy? (Or lackthereof?) Because if so, lack of democracy only has to do with national security when it directly threatens us. Anything more than that is part of the Bush Doctrine, which I fully reject on emphirical grounds.
April 5, 2006 7:20 AM | Reply | Permalink