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The New Old National Security Strategy

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The New National Security Strategy has been released, and to pick up on Steve Clemons' theme about the UN and Iran, it is deja vu all over again.  But, with a twist.

The Strategy, as already noted in early press accounts, does not shy away from preemption as an appropriate option.  There isn't anything remarkable in that; no President would take that off the table. 

The more interesting aspect is, of course, Iran.  The timing of this release can't be mere coincidence, as its already a few years late on a report that was supposed to be annual, but the last iteration was in 2002.  What's more remarkable is the extent to which the issue of Iran, and the policy dilemma we face with them, is delinked from the policy agenda of preemption.  What we are confronting in Iran is a consequence, of course, to our failures in Iraq.  A more emboldened and radical leadership.  A UN wary of us.  The "military option" by the U.S. now likely spent because of the problems in Iraq. 

 The press hasn't yet, but if the problems in Iran are our number one concern, they didn't come out of no where.  Iran, in 2002, was struggling to determine what kind of nation it would be.  The axis of evil didn't help; walking away from Middle East peace didn't help; failure to engage with more moderate elements there didn't help; and a war that Iran can only see as, in the end, benefitting them certainly didn't help. 

The preemption discussion v/v Iraq in the national security strategy should not be our main focus.  We are responsible, in many respects,  for the dilemma we now face in Iran. 


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The preemption discussion v/v Iraq in the national security strategy should not be our main focus.  We are responsible, in many respects, for the dilemma we now face in Iran. 

 

The "dilemma" we now face with Iran is about 80% hype.  The other day, for example, Bush gave a speech in which he complained that "components" of some IEDs used in Iraq were produced Iran.  Of course, since IEDs are usually cobbled together out of a hodgepodge of non-military parts, those components could include anything from nails to pieces of cell phones to metal plates to ordinary industrial explosives.  General Pace later threw some cold water on this latest little fire started by the White House propaganda arsonists.

 

Subtract all of the similar instances of Bush administration BS from the last five years worth of rhetoric about Iran, and how much of a dilemma do we have left I wonder?


A more emboldened and radical leadership.  A UN wary of us.  The "military option" by the U.S. now likely spent because of the problems in Iraq.

 

Juliette,

 

Please remind me again why anybody in the world really cares what our policy agenda is?

 

I don't want to get all "defeatist" or anything, but I can't help but think that we are only being humored by the civilized world.  Maybe out of pathos, maybe just for economic self interest, maybe "for old times sake", but not because they really care how our impotence will manifest itself next.

 

The question we should be particularly interested in, IMHO, is how do we right the great ship of state?  Our internal processes are viewed as much stronger indicators of intention than all the bluster of "preemption".  If our political processes can start the bilge pumps pumping out the sludge in the White House and Congress, then the world may care what we think.  As long as our economy is indentured to oil, China and a treasury looted by BushCo, we are effectively as "invisible" as a panhandler- with the rest of the world just averting their eyes.
 

Alphonse ( Al ) Kada

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

This not as off topic as it may first appear...

Helena Cobban's done such fine blogging, I'll let her tell you

Major new article on the pro-Israel Lobby
John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt are two of the most important thinkers in the "realist" school of US foreign-policy analysts. Mearsheimer is the Wendell Harrison Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, and Walt is the Academic Dean at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, where he holds the Robert and Renee Belfer Professorship in International Affairs. These two men are not, as you can see, fuzzy-headed liberals who are marginal to the mainstream of policy discourse in the United States.Now, they have a major new article in the upcoming issue of the London Review of Books on the power and detrimental role that the pro-Israel lobby in Washington has played over the years. (The LRB piece has no footnotes. But you can access a fully documented, PDF version of the longer article from which it was excerpted, if you click here. 211 endnotes, many of them very lengthy, to document just 48 pages of text... These guys are empiricists after my own heart!)Here is some of what they argue in the LRB version:
    Why has the US been willing to set aside its own security and that of many of its allies in order to advance the interests of another state? One might assume that the bond between the two countries was based on shared strategic interests or compelling moral imperatives, but neither explanation can account for the remarkable level of material and diplomatic support that the US provides. Instead, the thrust of US policy in the region derives almost entirely from domestic politics, and especially the activities of the ‘Israel Lobby’. Other special-interest groups have managed to skew foreign policy, but no lobby has managed to divert it as far from what the national interest would suggest, while simultaneously convincing Americans that US interests and those of the other country – in this case, Israel – are essentially identical.
And this:
Continue reading"Major new article on the pro-Israel Lobby

 Jexster-

 

Did you ever play "Risk"?

 

Sometimes you pile up resources in "Kamchatka" just to keep your foot in the door.....

 

Alphonse ( Al ) Kada

J. McCutchen "JmacSF"

San Francisco. CA

Thank You NeoCon Men!
Mark Fiore

Absolutely. The London Review of Books article is brilliant. Recommended reading for anyone who doesn't understand what it means when Ariel Sharon tells Perez that "we  control the United States."

 

As for Iran, there IS NO "dilemma". There is only a direct and unequivocable continuation of the policies of the neocons.

 

War with Iran is now inevitable. Nothing can stop it short of the immediate impeachment of Bush and Cheney and the firing of all the neocons in the administration, AND the Democrats forswearing the continuation of these policies - which means no Clintons, no Liebermans, etc. put forth by the Dems for office.

 

A year from now when thousands of US troops are dying monthly in Iraq and Iran, and the price of gas is $20/gallon at the pump, and Arab terrorists are blowing themselves up during your morning commute on the New York Subway, I can't wait to hear Josh Marshall and his sycophants here complaining about the war he ignored the year before, obsessed with his partisan politics and Republican corruption diversions.

 

Richard Steven Hack

www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com 

Richard, why has the spelling of your last name changed?

Not that I'm aware of.

 

I used to get kicked off BBS systems back in the eighties because the sysops thought it was a phoney name by some hacker...

 

And, no, I'm not related to Shelly Hack of Charlie's Angels fame, unfortunately.

 

Richard Steven Hack

www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com 

People like Hack and McCutcheon deserve to be flayed alive by Iranian Ayatollahs. Thank G-d the Mossad will prevent that from happening even if they don't have anything nice to say about Israelis.

People like Hack and McCutcheon deserve to be flayed alive by Iranian Ayatollahs. Thank G-d the Mossad will prevent that from happening even if they don't have anything nice to say about Israelis.

People like Hack and McCutcheon deserve to be flayed alive by Iranian Ayatollahs. Thank G-d the Mossad will prevent that from happening even if they don't have anything nice to say about Israelis.

People like Hack and McCutcheon deserve to be flayed alive by Iranian Ayatollahs. Thank G-d the Mossad will prevent that from happening even if they don't have anything nice to say about Israelis.

Yes, it seems like a lot of hype.  In a way, Iran is the new Red China.  All the hype is necessary for a bunch of political reasons to accomodate what will be a very important actor - power - in the not so distant future.  Iran has the youngest large population right now and a big and potentially rich fairly advanced economy.  It is no Iraq.  Not too many years from now an American President (could the Dems ever have the nerve?) will arrange a visit and reproachment a la Nixon in China.  Sure Israel stands in the way but the supporters of Chiang Kai-shek never thought we'd turn our backs on Taiwan either. 

"Where the bulk of the population cannot read, true democracy is impossible." -- Bertrand Russell

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