How Scared Are We?
Mark's post responding to my case for universal health care raises some good objections that, I think, deserve consideration. He argues that this era's economic insecurity and benefit deterioration has left the middle classes cowering in the corner, flinching from friend and foe alike lest they lose the little they already have. Democrats may be trying to help, but they'll get snapped at all the same. Remember, Mark cautions, that Kerry had a rather incremental plan, and Bush effectively attacked it as a big government takeover.
But did he? This is a point Garance made on Dick Gephardt's plan, that it was widely-panned and went down with its candidate. But like with Gephardt, I fear folks have a correlation/causation problem. Both Kerry and Gephardt gained substantial political benefit from their plan despite losing their respective races. Here's ABC News:
Among likely voters, Kerry leads Bush by 50 percent to 38 percent in trust to handle health care, up from an even split in early September. Among movables, Kerry's lead on health care is wider still, 59 percent to 17 percent, with the rest undecided or distrustful of both.Democrats with health care plans often see their plans attacked and their campaigns foiled. But that's because Democrats lose elections. If they didn't have health care propping them up, they'd lose a lot more of them, and do so by larger margins. Election losses are multicausal, just because a losing candidate got attacked for their health plan doesn't mean their health plan harmed them.
That said, Mark's point is a serious one, and it should be considered:
[Voters] are more nervous about keeping whatever they have, and easily spooked. The suggestion that you might not be able to choose a doctor (not that you can under many employer systems these days anyway) or that certain procedures might not be covered, or that the system will be too complicated are likely to scare people who are already worried.Pay special attention to that point on choice. That's the argument used to sink ClintonCare, the argument singularly responsible for the perpetuation of our crazy-quilt system. And it's exactly the argument that, I think, has changed, rendering health care reformable for the first time since the 70's.
What scared voters about Clinton's plan was managed care. It was a political fight over whether or not Americans wanted their traditional insurance plans transformed into HMos. They didn't. They got it anyway, albeit through the private market, which adopted managed care en masse. But where traditional insurance truly did offer choice and freedom that Clinton's plan would restrict, you'd have to go door-knocking in the Appalachians to find an insured American who retains traditional insurance.
And that was okay for awhile. The rise of managed care created a period, during the mid-90's, of blissfully slow growth in health spending. But those were one-time savings, and costs are, once again, accelerating beyond all comprehension. Since 2000, premiums have risen 74%, wages 15%, inflation 14%. Health costs, then, are increasing a full five times faster than wages. Folks may be afraid of losing what they have, but I think Mark underestimates the rapidly dawning realization (seen in all polling on the subject) that, in the near future, they won't be able to afford what they have.
That doesn't mean Mark's wrong: voters are looking for security, and nothing that can be easily demagogued or misunderstood will survive. As ClintonCare, Bill Bradley's plan, and Medicare Part D proved, a surfeit of complexity will kill any reform. The politics of health care are the politics of economic security, and no one is comfortable with what they don't understand. So as much affection as I have for all the FEHBP expansions and tax credits proposed by various think tanks and pols (see PPI's new proposal for a good example), the way forward is not a technocratic compromise that cleverly mixes market mechanisms with regulated insurers and individual mandates in order to emerge as ideologically indistinguishable as possible. Single-payer, presented without compromise or apology, is simplicity itself. And if, in the end, we're too scared to pursue it, then why should we ever expect anyone to elect us ever again? It's one thing not to stand for anything; you can at least fake convictions, then. But Democrats do have core principles, they're just afraid to fight for them. It's time they stepped back in the ring.


"Democrats do have core principles, they're just afraid to fight for them. It's time they stepped back in the ring."
Exactly.
Todd Gitlin
March 4, 2006 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell
Single-payer, presented without compromise or apology, is simplicity itself. And if, in the end, we're too scared to pursue it, then why should we ever expect anyone to elect us ever again? It's one thing not to stand for anything; you can at least fake convictions, then. But Democrats do have core principles, they're just afraid to fight for them. It's time they stepped back in the ring.
Amen.
March 4, 2006 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Remember, Mark cautions, that Kerry had a rather incremental plan, and Bush effectively attacked it as a big government takeover.
Healthcare barely figured in the election of 2004. I doubt the average voter had any idea what Kerry proposed or Bush criticized.
March 4, 2006 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
My sister voted for Kerry instead of Bush because he at least offered something on health care. One of the biggest problems for Kerry was that he chose not to campaign here in Georgia so most people probably never heard about the plan he offered. I told my sister he had one. She checked it out on his website. It probably changed her vote.
__________________________________________
I try my best to be just like I am but everybody wants me to be just like them. -- Robert Zimmerman
March 4, 2006 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Medicare. Good enough for your grandmother? Good enough for you.
March 4, 2006 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
While I strongly favor comprehensive reform and universal care and think it should be an 'article of faith' for Democrats to do so, I thought Kerry's plan was one of the best ideas of his campaign. Universal single-payer coverage of all catastrophic bills (which I think was essentially his plan) would cut health insurance premiums substantially and mean that uninsured people might not be bankrupted by unexpected bills.
It's a reasonable first step, and it would alse get the 'camel's nose in the tent' for comprehensive coverage for all.
March 4, 2006 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
We really need to stop being afraid to stand up for what we believe in. Those who will vote against us when we do, wouldn't vote for us in any case. But, people would finally understand the difference between Democrats and the corrupt Republicans now in office.
What is the worst thing that happens if we stand up for single payer health care? We lose an election. Gee, we have done that before and we are still alive and kicking - feebly but still kicking.
Hoppy in Sacramento
March 4, 2006 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the idea of Medicare for all (except the current disgraceful prescription drug program) with existing insurance companies being allowed to offer supplemental coverage. My best friend has this arrangement and, interestingly, his supplemental insurance has rarely been tapped since Medicare picks up so much of the bill. As someone who has been without insurance, I find it interesting that when I tell the doctors that I don't have insurance and will be paying cash that they charge me 50% of the normal fee since they don't have the horrendous processing costs to cover. The truth is that insurance companies, regardless of the type of insurance, are simply investment companies. They do whatever they can not to pay out on a claim. Medicare has a totally different rationale: it is not intended to be a profit making enterprise.
March 4, 2006 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
We probably are more scared than we care to admit but eventually we will muster the courage to do what is necessary and implement a single payer program; and it will require courageous leadership. Health care is probably the most enormous and complex challenge of our modern age. It can not be resolved by incremental tweaking.
We need leadership of the caliber exhibited by Eisenhower and Churchill. They understood that D-day was necessary and put their careers on the line to see that it was executed. The details were left to support staff who also understood that they would be held accountable for success or failure.
Is this really too intimidating a concept for today's Democrats? Lead and people do follow. We want government that works and don't accept the fantasy that government is the problem, not the solution. If concern about the possibility of loosing an election is still enough to keep the Democratic candidates from taking a stand for universal health care, they do not have the courage to lead and don't deserve our support and will probably loose again.
March 4, 2006 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps, this comment/observation is something of a tangent to the discussion. However, while everyone seems to recognize the urgent need for a national health program, could it be the upcoming bird flu pandemic, instead of politicians and lobbyists, which gets the ball moving?
There are a lot of folks without any insurance, and now, what happens, if this virus does actually mutate? The mortality rates at present don't look very good and from I have seen in news reports, it is a 50-50 chance even with adequate medical care.
This very well could be the national health crisis which will transform medical care for generations in this country.
March 4, 2006 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe hospitals are required by law to treat life-threatening illness regardless of insurance status. If you show up in the emergency room with a gunshot wound to the stomach, they can't turn you away. Same deal with bird flu. You are, of course, liable for the bills afterwards (unless you file for bankruptcy), which might be what you were getting at.
March 4, 2006 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
With due respect, I think that's a bit simplistic, meaning too many different things to different people. A lot of people read such things as an endorsement of various mutaully exclusive pet issues.
I think the false dilemma between "triangulation" on one hand, and impassioned "principles" on the other, and the democratic tendency to oscillate between the extremes; that is the real problem, the real flip-flop, and is extremely unhelpful.
To be more specific, we need to select the principles which matter most, fight smart, and fight to win. Fighting for ideology for it’s own sake, generally not very smart, nor productive, nor enduring.
March 4, 2006 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I’ve said before, I think bluebell is either a stealth Freeper or just a terribly simplistic person. Regardless, a saboteur to Democrats and Progressives generally.
Bluebell's all-bold militant tone is the kind of demagoguery which leads not to victories but angry failures. quote:
Obviously UHC shouldn’t be overly complex or a mess of bad compromises. Duh. It will need to address the needs of various constituencies including business, and be reasonable first and foremost. It will need bipartisan/moderate support to pass, that is unquestionable. There is nothing cowardly about that, The presumption that compromise = cowardice is a plan for failure.
Anyone expecting a hardliner/left plan should disabuse themselves of the notion now. Such people have a logn history of accomplishing nothing. UHC attempted by them will never pass, they’ll just hand victory to the GOP.
March 4, 2006 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Except not everyone in the Democratic party or moderates actually agrees with your stated opinion. So everyone standing up for their beliefs without compromise, that's a great way to fracture the Democratic party and hand more victories to the GOP.
Thanks for repeating the GOP meme though.
Wow. Slick. I like the way you deride UHC to hurt morale on the issue, and simultaneously implore people to be passionate about losing.
Yea, you're a real help to Democrats and Progressive causes you are.
March 4, 2006 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
About choosing doctors: among people here who aren't seriously or chronically ill, who really has a personal relationship with a doctor anyway? And, if you do, how did you meet that doctor? Under the current system of private health insurance, it's likely that most people meet their regular doctors, almost at random, right? You show up at the HMO or Urgent Care Center or office and you basically either connect with the doctor your plan made available to you or you don't.
Sure, in terms of specialists and the like, who you want to have help you through a specific or serious condition, you might do your own research and find the doctor you think is best and, if they're not under your plan and can't work something out with your plan, you're rightly ticked off.
But, in general, isn't this issue of "doctor choice," being overblown?
And, more importantly, if the issue of "doctor choice" really IS important to you, then isn't that an argument in favor of a universal system, where all doctors would be available under the same nationwide plan?
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
March 4, 2006 11:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well well well ... If isn't Mr. Courtesy, the be all, end all and know all of the democratic mantra (at least the DLC mantra) who's hot on the warpath again. Now this is the kind of tactics that make everyone feel right at home in the BIG TENT for comprise...
Yeah everbody's heard ya' say that line of bull over and over and over... Funny (not ha ha) that some agent provocateur "Freeper" would spend close to 10 months participating here. A saboteur? Get a grip Nick! This isn't a James Bond 007 flick.... If there was a third party that refrained from brow-beating, name calling, labeling and downright dehumanizing fellow citizens like quoted above, I'd be sitting in the front row there, just to get as far the hell away from a person who uses such tactics as you. Look... most folks are born with a backbone. It's just that some don't notice that their own has slowly and imperceptibly degenerated over time... Did you just so happen to have overlooked it Nick? Or did you reach MIO (maximum information overload) and your head began to implode? ps: Nick... they've added a ZERO for trolls... (don't worry this 60 year old's backbone is straight and strong)March 5, 2006 1:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yawn. Speaking of idiots... OGD has a lot in common with SFCWally.
March 5, 2006 3:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
An important distinction here... One of the main things people dislike about HMO is the lack choice for doctors in plan. PPO are somewhat better but more expensive. It's important to mention that under UHC, basically every doctor's in the plan. So, UHC is actually more choice. Like a PPO or better, at the cost savings of a HMO.
Great post though. Yes, people have a huge problem mistaking correlation with causation. The more clarification on that, the better.
Very true. Which is why I think pointing out the superiority/efficiency of UHC in blanket terms such as reducing bloat, and preserving choices is the way to go. Also important is the "narrative" explaining opposition as being basically the Big Insurance lobby. UHC is a win/win/win arguable on any level of complexity, but the message affirming it's overall superiority must come first, loud and proud. Democrats have a horrible tendancy to qualify too much in debates and over complicate things. A good debater prepares for counter arguments and makes reasonable points avoiding obvious gotchas, but doesn't try to argue every counterpoint in advance, at least not since Lincoln's day.
Lastly, the way to pass UHC is with bi-partisan support which excludes axe grinders. The perfect UHC candidate will be a left/centrist who can argue both the value of privatization and of natural monopolies. That is NOT to say UHC should be a convoluted mess. UHC will be passed by pols who know how to compromise across a number of issues, both give and take.
UHC would greatly benefit from the support of Big Business and small business, take GM for example. Dems need to sit down to the negotiating table with GM and play hardball, using both the carrot and the stick. UHC can help GM lower it's costs, make better vehicles, increase market share, and create jobs. Research grants and tax subsidies for energy independence and competitive technology can also help GM and the national good. Credits for fuel efficiency across the auto market can help the environment and GM's bottom line. There's a nice mix of government helping business and business cooperating for the national good.
OTOH, tightening CAFE and emissions standards directly, especially in CA, or offering more tax subsidies to Toyota for the Prius and thier hybrid vehicles, that can be another way to help the environment and improve energy independence, and GM will still have it's healthcare problems.
March 5, 2006 3:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
<<Yeah everbody's heard ya' say that line of bull over and over and over... Funny (not ha ha) that some agent provocateur "Freeper" would spend close to 10 months participating here. A saboteur? Get a grip Nick! This isn't a James Bond 007 flick.... >>
Heh. Nick called me a "Freeper" just a couple of days ago. On the other hand, bluebell once told me that I was ruining the Democratic Party and that I should be ashamed of myself....not sure whom I should for in this spat. :)
Noel
March 5, 2006 3:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
The way to sell universal health care is to get big business on our side. I would think that GM and Ford and others would be ready for that now. If we can get big business (and their money) behind the idea, we can make it happen.
In my opinion, the way to do it is to give everyone acccess to basic health care and pay for it through tax dollars. If people want more choice, they can buy supplemental insurance.
Bush et al have done such a good job at "starving the beast" that this is becoming less and less feasible. That was the plan all along I think. There is such a huge difference between the amount of money we need to take in and the amount that tax revenue currently coming in that it is going to be hard to get anything done.
I think Dems should run on first balancing the budget and then taking on health care.
March 5, 2006 3:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I brought this up on another thread, but here it is again: is there any reason a single state couldn't implement its own universal health care system?
I can think of a couple problems, the most complicated one being its obligation to out-of-state residents. Then again, state universties charge different tuition rates for in-state and out-of-state students, and many states charge the out-of-state rate to students for the entire course of study even if they move their legal residence to the state in question. One could imagine a system where for the first, say, five years of residency one had to buy in with premiums, but afterwards would be covered.
Even better, nearby states could merge into the system one at a time, similar to the way some states have reciprocal in-state tuition agreements (e.g., students from Wisconsin pay in-state tuition to go to the University of Minnesota, and vice versa). Eventually, hopefully, it could be built into a true national system.
There's also, as always, the problem of paying for it, but convincing a single state's population of the benefits would be easier than convincing the national electorate. It still presents problems, in that sales taxes or state income taxes would have to jump pretty high, and convincing people that higher taxes are a good thing (even if its true) is like convincing a five year old to eat his vegetables. Employers, particularly those with high healthcare costs, could probably persuaded to get on board, though, as it relieves them of the administrative costs, if not the financial costs, of providing healthcare to its workers. Best of all, a statewide system sucessfully implemented would be a powerful argument that a national healthcare system is both desirable and practical.
Noel
March 5, 2006 4:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
To be honest, I can't tell with certainty from your posts whether you're a Freeper or just clueless. But then, a sneaky Freeper sounds like a clueless lefty, and a clueless lefty sounds like a sneaky Freeper.
They both tend to encourage Dems towards kamikaze policies to cede victory to Republicans.
March 5, 2006 5:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, doctor choice as well as medical center choice is a very important issue. Whether they're part of the plan is a big issue. Many people get reccomendations for doctors to help choose. One a good doctor is found people like to stick with them. When changing employer or insurer under the existing system many people lose a familar and liked doctor/OBGYN. I think most everybody even passingly familar with healthcare already knows that.
The good news is that in UHC, everybody is "in the plan" so people can choose from a larger pool and retain good doctors once found.
March 5, 2006 5:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
A state based system has some problems. For one thing it punishes the state offering health care if the unhealthy move there. Isn't that obvious?
National UHC is far more efficient for everyone.
March 5, 2006 5:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Democrats in office and Democratic nonofficeholders seem to both support positions but often they are not the same ones. Those in office unwilling to alienate their base or those they preceive to be majorities so no spine and waffle on way too many issues.
On healthcare Democrats should and can separate separate universal healthcare which will prevent self-selection, cherrypicking, and give everyone coverage, and thus relieves corporations of the expense and how that care is paid for. Single payer is not the same a good healthcare just one means among many to pay for good universal care.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
March 5, 2006 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
this debate sounds like a political rendering of that short video on youtube showing what would happed to an IPOD if microsoft were pushing the product. the point is that there may very well be a lot of complexity in an health policy reform package, but the key is simplicity and elegance as a marketing vehicle. any reform worth a damn is certain to have very fine and detailed mechanics, restrictions, and particulars. most people just want the product to work and not sweat everything else. the key is to have them pick up the package and bring it home.
March 5, 2006 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell
My "militant bold" was a cut and a paste from the author of the thread. As to freepers, you are so totally intimidated by them that the joke is on you.
March 5, 2006 8:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Huh? This is complete nonsense. I'm someone with traditional insurance, if by that you mean I can choose my doctor and the insurance company pays the bills. The difference nowadays is that there are bigger co-pays and deductibles, but the basic system is more or less the same.
This is a common fallacy, and it's an important point. Managed care does not have to mean that the insured person loses all control over which doctor they can see or that costs are covered differently than in traditional plans. There are plans, like the Kaiser plan in California, that operate that way. Far more common, though, is the PPO plan, which imposes penalties for going outside the network and where more care needs to go through a primary care physician. There are of course many problems with the system, not the least of which is the frequent haggling that goes on with the insurance company to get something covered. But that also happened in the days before managed care.
I also take exception to the notion that support for a single-payer system is the sine qua non for being a good Democrat. There are those of us who think the political climate is not quite ripe, despite the discontent that is out there, for such a radical change. What I think all Democrats CAN agree on is that we ought to find a way to help those who are currently uninsured.
The biggest single problem we have is that once someone loses their employer-based insurance, the cost of either a COBRA-backed continuation of their plan or purchasing a new plan is cost-prohibitive. For a family, a COBRA plan is now more than $1,000 a month in cost. And this is at a time when your income has just plummeted. To purchase a plan directly from an insurance company is even more. What's needed is a cheap way for people who lose their employer-based coverage to get covered immediately against catastrophic costs. The best way to do that that I've seen is a government risk pool. Basically, the government offers an insurance risk pool that you buy into for a lot less than if you were to buy individually. Because of the size of the risk pool, the government can afford to charge people a whole lot less for premiums.
One final point. The political problem with a single-payer system is not that people will be afraid of losing control over their choices. It's that every single-payer system that's out there fails to cope with the rationing problem. Basically, every system in the world rations health care one way or another. Demand for healthcare outstrips supply. In our system, it's rationed by price. Certain people can't afford care. In single-payer systems, it's rationed by queueing - long waits for procedures that are non-critical (and sometimes for chronic care too). Go to Canada or Britain or any other country where the government pays for everything and that's what you see. And it causes widespread discontent. Need that knee replacement? You'll have to wait more than a year for it. That's why Britain has moved AWAY from single-payer in the last 20 years or so as private care has expanded rapidly. Rich people get better care than poor people. But even poor people are covered.
No friggin' way would Americans put up with that kind of waiting. Currently, Americans that have insurance, for all the hassles they may experience getting coverage, and for all the risks they may take in losing coverage, can get care when they want it, even if it's not critical care. THAT's what the reaction would be to a full push on the part of Democrats for single-payer care. And until Democrats have a good answer, they're going to lose that argument.
March 5, 2006 8:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
The principle here is: Americans deserve affordable health care. Universally. Period.
If it turns out that the political balance of forces is such that the principle can't be achieved because the Republicans block it, then the Democrats would of course have to accept political reality in the end. But they should fight for the principle--fight hard. If they lose, they're then in a position to blame the Republicans for obstructing the achievement of a good principle.
This is not triangulation, but neither is it bluster. It's a politics of principle that people can recognize and respect.
Todd Gitlin
March 5, 2006 9:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
bluebell
But people are more likely to die from chronic illnesses like heart disease or diabetes which require a sustained relationship with clinicians who can manage the disease. Sure, the trauma center will treat the hugely expense heart attack but it won't treat the disease to prevent the heart attack. That neither controls costs nor saves lives.
March 5, 2006 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
The fact remains that Ezra took Mark's response, failed to respond to the major points, and took another opportunity to blame democrats. Democrats do have convictions, and because of that they weigh potential consequences because so much does hang in the balance, and once one jumps, it's not easy to switch courses on so complex a matter. Frankly, what passes itself off as the left these days, either is ignorant or ambivalent to the realities of the wider population. They toss off barely considered ideas, their lack of critical linear thinking exposes their naivete on what responsibilities are encumbant on those who seek power.
Another factor hasn't been brought into the mix. The Bush administration's policies, on immigration/borders seems to me intent on bankrupting our nation's programs for health care, free public education, et al.. they are mass outsourcing/off shoring jobs, the pain started trickling up into the middle class when he took office. It's a furtherance of divide and conquer.. increasing fear and insecurity.
John Kerry didn't lose because of his health care plan.. the media refused to actually cover the issue, and the neo-left couldn't have cared less about it. They and their neo-con peers only sought to slander him. He saw the many problems we're facing as being interconnected, and had a plan to address them in a common sense way. Kerry lost the race because voters in states like Ohio were denied their right to vote. Funds given to the state to provide more voting equipment was left in state coffers by Ohio Sec of State, Bush campaign chair for the state, Ken Blackwell. Who also conspired to deny adequate voting equipment to poorer/more populated urban areas and campuses, while providing more equipment to affluent, less populated areas that tended to be more republican.
Masses of voters in urban areas were unable to vote, even after spending 8 or more hours in line waiting to vote. There was ample coverage of that... but the neo-left seek to blame Kerry as being a bad or weak candidate.
The neo-left refer to the people as "the masses" as though we aren't thinking beings worthy of having rights or opinion. They do so because they find having to consider our opinions inconvenient. Mark's opinion on people's concerns about what single payer might mean, and the flaws with existing single payers systems are spot on.
March 5, 2006 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
What's the "neo-left" stuff? I think that needs clarifying. It's not the left and moderate left generally that's the problem.
The problem is just the same unrealistic, uncompromising, screechy fringe it's always been. We just can't afford thier BS anymore becasue the country overall has moved to the right, and the right has upped the stakes incredibly high accross the board, so we can't afford F-ups.
March 5, 2006 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obviously. I was responding specifically to the bird flu post above.
March 5, 2006 10:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nick -- For those who have experienced the pain of not having a single-payer system, the issue has nothing to do with ideology and everything to do with survival.
That worry about survival goes way beyond the usual seniors and the disabled and that forty million who have no access to health insurance. Huge companies are faced with huge costs. Medical partnerships, clinics, individual doctors and administrators are getting hit. It's been enlightening to talk to some very Republican doctors here in redstatesville, clinics whose administrative costs alone have made them realize that we have to move to a national healthcare system. I know of one partnership of 3 specialists who had 24 full and parttime administrative assistants mostly working on insurance and Medicare claims.
The dismay and disgust with the present "system" are widespread. Even those with decent coverage are appalled by the shenanigans insurance companies indulge in to avoid paying. Add all this stuff together and I think we've reached the point at which most people stop thinking in terms of political ideology.
What we need is a really sweet piece of work laying out how government can implement a national healthcare system. A solid plan. A plan which could and should lower costs. That's what the Democrats have to come up with. If we had that in hand tightly, we'd walk away with the issue. We certainly shouldn't wait until the center-right comes up with a sleazy compromise, throwing the responsibility off onto the states, playing its usual shell-game.
(Just for fun, I wonder whether the FDA, Pharma, and the health insurance industry would rate higher or lower in polls than Blunderbuss Cheney. Bet they're all about equally loved.)
March 5, 2006 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Brad -- which of the national healthcare systems have you personally experienced? The British one? The Canadian one? Another one you didn't mention?
March 5, 2006 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
In my view, it's a risk vs. reward question. I start from the premise that the current system is the problem. The only "people" it really works for are the insurance companies and, increasingly (as more diseases are treated by drugs), the pharmaceutical companies.
Given that premise, what are the risks of pursuing an incrementalist approach? In my view, the biggest risk is that, if we win, we simply perpetuate the problem - in perhaps a slightly mitigated form, but the current system will still be in place, helping the fewest number of people at the greatest cost. In that sense, "winning" is virtually indistinguishable from "losing" -because the risks of losing with an incrementalist approach are that the problem is perpetuated, and the reward of winning is that the problem is perpetuated - except that if we "win," we'll be complicit in that perpetuation.
What are the risks of pursuing a "UHC" approach? Well, if we lose, the system is perpstuated. That risk is absolutely cancelled out by the fact that it's the *same* risk as persuing an incrementalist approach.
But what are the rewards of pursuing a "UHC" approach? It fixes the problem AND provides the opportunity for a paradigm shift in both the way the Democratic party is perceived by the working class AND the way we as a society view government's value in solving problems.
We need not argue that government can solve *every* problem, but we can, and should, argue that government can, and should, have a role in solving problems that affect ALL of us.
In short, we won't be much worse off if we lose (and in pure partisan terms, I'd suggest we'll be better off if we lose on a UHC approach than we will be if we win on a incrementalist approach), and we'll be far, far better off - both as a country and as a party - if we win on an UHC approach.
I say we go for broke.
March 5, 2006 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink