Bush's Isolationists
So who did Bush have in mind when he railed against the danger of isolationism in the SOTU last night? Matt Yglesias is right to suggest that it wasn't old-style conservatives; they're really a fringe even in the GOP. But it wasn't traditional isolationists either.
I think there are really two explanations for why Bush chose to make isolationism his newest bogey man. One responds to the growing anxiety among Americans about the increasing costs of our engagement; the other reflects an attempt to gain political advantage over his adversaries.
One reason why Bush made isolationism the newest grave and growing threat against which to rail in yet another State of the Union speech is the not unreasonable concern that Americans are once again becoming wary of foreign entanglements. Opinion polls have shown a sharp increase in the number of Americans who believe America should mind its own business internationally -- to a level (42%) that is higher than any time since the early 1960s.
There is clearly, then, a growing concern among the American people, that the costs of our engagement abroad, particularly the cost of how we have engaged abroad is simply too great these days -- and that the best way we can reduce these costs is by disengaging from the world, by retreating, by coming home.
That sentiment, while perhaps understandable, is one that should concern all of us. For whether we like or not, we have no choice but to engage a world with which we have become increasingly interconnected. Our prosperity, our security, our way of life is increasingly determined not by what we do at home but what happens in places far away. Because the world has come to America, America must remain engaged in the world -- helping to shape it in ways that protect our security, enhance our prosperity, and secures our way of life.
This reality is one reason why Bush warned against isolationism -- and why he stressed the importance of enhancing our competitiveness and reducing our dependence on oil. The fact that we are now one with the world means that we cannot easily disengage -- and that when we try the costs of doing so are likely to be very great indeed.
That, I'd argue, was one reason why Bush warned against the dangers of isolationism. But there was another reason -- one less analytical and much more political. Which was to paint his political opponents, particularly those who disagree with him on Iraq, with the isolationist brush. It was no accident that the speech moved straight from a defense of American global engagement into a defense of his Iraq strategy. And it was no accident that he equated retreat from Iraq with retreat from the world -- as if the two were somehow the same. "Defeatists" is what Bush called them; "retreatists" is what he really had in mind.
He mentioned the 1930's, just to make clear that those who are not with him on Iraq are somehow with the Neville Chamberlains of this world.
For Bush, you are either with him all the way or you are with the isolationists -- there is never any middle ground. But that, of course, misreads the debate we're having. Not only can and must we debate what to do about the mess in Iraq -- without those who favor a different course being accused of being irresponsible, unpatriotic, or appeasers -- but we must debate how we engage the world. For the real debate is not between those who want to engage the world and those who do not. The real debate is about how to engage the world -- Bush's way, which has left us more isolated, more hated, and less powerful, or a more cooperative way that seeks to meld America's power with that of others to advance our common interests. But that, of course, is not a debate Bush wants to have.





Really, I think that The Allies Must Step Up.
February 1, 2006 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is clearly, then, a growing concern among the American people, that the costs of our engagement abroad, particularly the cost of how we have engaged abroad is simply too great these days -- and that the best way we can reduce these costs is by disengaging from the world, by retreating, by coming home.
Opinion polls have shown a sharp increase in the number of Americans who believe America should mind its own business internationally -- to a level (42%) that is higher than any time since the early 1960s.
But Mr. Daalder, you don't honestly believe that anything close to 42% of the American people think that we should literally "disengage from the world" and "come home", do you? Do you think that many people believe that American business people should stop selling their goods around the world and come home? Or that we should stop importing goods from other countries? Or that we should all stop learning languages and stop traveling abroad? Or that we should cease reading scientific articles published in other countries? Or that we should stop talking on the internet to people in other countries? Or that we should only listen to American music? Or that we should never cooperate with any foreign countries on any projects of common interest?
There are times, you must grant, where "mind your own business" is precisely the message somebody needs to hear. If my brother knocks down our neighbor's door, and goes rushing in with guns drawn and blazing in order to rearrange our neighbor's life, I might say to my brother "I think you should mind your own business." But he would have to be obtuse to interpret my comment as an injunction that he go home, stay home, and never come outside again to enagage with other people. And he would surely have missed the point if he started mouthing platitudes about how no man is an island, how we are all interconnected in the great web of life, how what comes around goes around, etc.
February 1, 2006 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
We could do with fewer involvments but we can hardly be uninolved.
The Eagle Has Crash Landed. We are at the edge of the precipice in an increasingly unstable world
History continues
February 1, 2006 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
So who did Bush have in mind when he railed against the danger of isolationism in the SOTU last night?
I don't think it is very complicated. Bush knows that there are a lot of quite normal people out there who have this funny notion that one shouldn't invade and demolish a country has neither attacked you nor posed a serious threat do you; and that you should avoid killing tens of thousands of people who weren't trying to kill you first. Bush would like us to believe that all these quite normal people are in fact bizarre and misanthropic desert hermits who want to disengage from foreign interaction altogether.
By the same logic, all of those who speak up against cannibalism are really vegans, drawn in by the seductive temptations of radical vegetarianism. So from now on, when people say "Hey Bush, stop eating human flesh!", he plans to respond "We must not succumb to vegetarianism!"
Extending that metaphor, Bush also knows that he can count on acertain bunch of "muscular omnivoires" to get themselves worked up into distracted paroxysms of moral terror about the worrisome critics of cannibalism, about the dangers of creeping vegetarianism, and about how important it is to eat meat from time to time.
February 1, 2006 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not mean to pile on, but Mr.Daalder just a few months ago,you were telling us that you saw some positives in the situation in Iraq and before people jumped on the Murtha bandwagon we should let the positives play out and take stock again in several months. I would like to know your current assessment of the situation in Iraq. My reading of it now, as then, is that it is a disaster pure and simple and that there will never be a "good" time to get out so the sooner the better . So what is your take?
February 1, 2006 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
February 1, 2006 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Bush's "isolationism" is a knock on anyone that want to reexamine the various free trade agreements that bind the US. As wages stay flat and costs increase there will be political pressure to exit some of these agreements that allow jobs to shift overseas (I'm not debating economics here but politics). Economic populism might be just around the corner - if not in the '06 elections then in '08.
Howard Dean's 'fair trade' campaign (only classic free trade with countries that have basic labor and environmental protections) could be painted as 'isolationism' if you were say....Karl Rove.
February 1, 2006 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, he's referring to the foreign policy sphere. When it comes to economic & trade illiberalism it's not isolationism it's protectionism.
February 1, 2006 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I found this on Google when I entered Isolationist
http://www.theamericancause.org/patamericafirst.htm
The Resurrection of 'America First!'
Patrick J Buchanan
October 13 2004
For Bush the party may be over.
February 2, 2006 5:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ivo, "disengage from the world" is just as reprehensible a straw man as Bush's "isolationism." Yes, we are all interconnected up with the world. We will continue to be, unless international trade and travel collapse. The question is not about that. It is: What should the US government be doing with its military? Why is it, exactly, that we need not just a war in Iraq, but 735 military bases in 38 different countries all over the world -- to mention only the publically acknowledged ones?
February 2, 2006 6:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's not too much mystery why Bush said what he said. About a third of the Democratic Party agrees with him (Lieberman is their leader).
Whenever possible military action is on the table, the I-word gets trotted out to smear anyone who opposes it, along with the D-word. And the Republicans don't have to do any heavy lifting, because they can trust Democrats to do the job.
Since 1941 the interventionist establishment has been firmly in command regardless of the President's party. They gained their position by defeating the real isolationists, and for them any opposition the get is a continuation of the same fight.
By and large, the Democratic Party has accomodated the interventionists, but even so, people like the late Bill Casey, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Michael Ledeen, , Scooter Libby, Richard Perle, PNAC, et all do everything they can to hurt or destroy Democrats, because whatever opposition there ever is to their plans usually comes from registered Democrats (though not from the Democratic Party itself).
It's pretty hard to formulate an intelligent foreign policy when Rule One is "You can never be a dove" and Rule Two is "You can never be an isolationist". Interventionists talk about sophistication, nuance, and realism, but they always start the argument off with these two lead-pipe cliches.
February 2, 2006 6:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
That sentiment, while perhaps understandable, is one that should concern all of us. For whether we like or not, we have no choice but to engage a world with which we have become increasingly interconnected.
Ivo, we all agree with this of course. But like too many Democrats you worry too much about saying the sensible thing and not enough about saying what's politically effective.
What's happening right now is that the American people are beginning to question the cost (in blood and treasure) of our engagement in Iraq. At the same time, they're beginning to clamor for our tax dollars to be spent at home, particularly on medical benefits. Bush and his political staff are afraid of this trend because it reflects a public shifting away from Bush's strength (war) to Bush's weakness (domestic policy).
So, to try to counter this trend, they've invented a bogey man: isolationist Democrats. Now all the Democrats are trying to show they are not isolationists--which is just what Rove wants. Because the more you talk about isolation, the more you give credibility to the concept. And the more you defend yourself, the more guilty you look.
I've said the proper response to the Bush speech is to take him on. Say he's more interested in being President of the Middle East than the President of Middle America. Accuse him of investing vast amounts of our hard-earned tax dollars in building infrastructure in Iraq while allowing New Orleans to rot. Accuse him of trying to cut Social Security and Medicare at home so he can build democracies in places like Zimbabwe and Burma. I know this isn't totally fair. There are good reasons to build Iraq and promote democracy. But I think we all agree that the Bush administration has not achieved anywhere near a proper balance between meeting international goals and meeting domestic goals. Therefore, we need to emphasize the failure by a bit of hyperbole--exaggerating the imbalance and accusing him of caring only about the international and not at all about his own people.
The President knows he's weak on this issue. He's tried to grab the initiative. Don't help him. Attack back. Attack back hard. Counter the isolationist accusation with an accusation that he's not doing enough at home and his expansive nation-building is taking our tax dollars away from important priorities in our own backyard. Let him call you an isolationist. Who cares? You're not, and the American people are with you, not him. Stick to your guns. Shit, if you do that, you might even win a red state . . .
February 2, 2006 7:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
No one really addressed Ivo's point.
Two groups associated with Bush, Cheney's nationalists and the neo-Cons, share a paranoid view of foreign policy. Every choice is "Munich" stand up to Hitler or appeasement. 9/11 is depicted as our era's Pearl Harbor. We are meant to see Iraq and everything else in terms of fighting the evil enemy in the way Bush determines it should be fought.
What is not discussed enough even in intellectual terms but also in political terms is an engaged foreign policy, including the use of military force, that involved more of the world with the U.S. in the lead. This is the sort of policy Ivo shaped when he worked for Clinton. It recognized only the United States can lead the world but the United States alone can only destroy enemies at great cost to ourselves.
There is not nearly enough debate on how we engage not the Muslim extremists who are at war with us, even if we don't like it, but to France, Germany, Japan and much of the rest of the world in order to accomplish common goals.
February 2, 2006 7:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Purple state, this sounds an awful lot like America First.
February 2, 2006 7:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I understand the terminology. I'm suggesting that 'protectionism' is no longer considered a negative word to most Americans and the GOP is trying to graft on their economic agenda (not so popular) onto their security posture (very successful electorally).
February 2, 2006 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
This should help: http://www.sonyclassics.com/whywefight/
Opens Feb. 20 nationwide.
I think the next few years will be a bumpy ride for interventionists, Right and Left .
February 2, 2006 9:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
'Engagement' is such a pleasant word. It's a favorite euphemism of interventionists because it merges things Americans support (trade / travel etc.) with things they are ambivalent about or opposed to (worldwide mil deployment / invasions).
Anyone using the term should be required to spell out in which sense they are applying it -- or, better, to dispense with it and use more specific language to say what they mean. The resulting political and policy discussions would lose much of their straw content.
February 2, 2006 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's a bit of overlap--maybe enough to bring a few America First types over to the Democrats--but ultimately it's pretty different. We're not buying the America First agenda on immigration, English language only, trade protectionism, or disregard for multilateralism and the UN. All we are stressing is that Bush should be paying more attention to the major problems at home (medical costs, retirement security, jobs, the budget deficit, education, re-building New Orleans, etc) and be a bit more frugal with the tax dollars he's shipping in droves to Middle Easterners to build their democracies. Iraq is going to cost us at least a half trillion dollars. That's a heck of a lot of money. Bush was bragging about reducing the budget by $14 billion. Well what does that do when he's spending $100 billion or more per year in Iraq?
February 2, 2006 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's alot of zeros - alot of lettuce
That's per Congressional sources the updated price tag of Bush Bloody Baghdad Boondoggle and foreign aid to Iran's Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI? Perhaps you've heard of em)
Throw money at it..the GOP way..
No wonder Iran loves Bush's New Iraq so much.
Gee, how do I join the Vast Isolationist Conspiracy?
February 2, 2006 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I was supporting Kosovo intervention but now I have second thoughts.
I think that the principle that one should value human life and preventing genocide above the letter of the international law is valid, but it requires a proviso that avetting a war is a value in itself and one should go an extra mile to seek a solutuion that avoids a war.
That said, Darfur is a much clearer case of a violent humanitarian crisis that Iraq under Saddam. That pretty much excludes humanitatian concern as the reason for the war. WMD proliferation and even securing oil supplies can be excluded too, as pretty much every other reason except the liking of a "splendid little war" that allowed to win a pair of elections in a row.
True isolationisms roam United States in very small numbers, and are largely libertarians and paleo-cons. So the problem with them is as acute as the problem of werewolves and other human-animmal hybrids.
February 2, 2006 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is just another attempt to Swift Boat slime patriots like John Murtha as 'isolationists" and appeasers like Neville Chamberlain. This isn't brain surgery. Bush's Iraq policy is in trouble and he knows it. Therefore, he must bring out the slime buckets, because he can't use logic to defend an illogical immoral policy. On to ways to defeat this bunch of right-wing loonies.
February 2, 2006 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Report: Bush, Blair Wanted War, No Matter What
- oh they're doing it again, you say?
Iran..that's IraQ with an "N"
February 2, 2006 10:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pat Buchanan blasts Bush in Human Events over phony charges of protectionism and isolationism and claims Bush is running out of alibis.
Why would a president use his State of the Union to lash out at a school of foreign policy thought that has had zero influence in his administration? The answer is a simple one, but it is not an easy one for Bush to face: His foreign policy is visibly failing, and his critics have been proven right.
But rather than defend the fruits of his policy, Bush has chosen to caricature critics who warned him against interventionism. Like all politicians in trouble, Bush knows that the best defense is a good offense.
..................................................
If America is angry over what interventionism and free trade have wrought, George Bush cannot credibly blame isolationists or protectionists. These fellows have an alibi. They were nowhere near the scene of the crime
February 3, 2006 7:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dr. Daalder's assessment of Bush's speech was dead on. In some respects, Bush should not be condemned for his use of the "isolationism" charge. Bill Clinton did it effectively throughout his eight years in office. I currently have an essay out that tracks Clinton's use of the isolationism argument. What we should be debating is, Dr. Daalder suggests, the propers ways of American engagement (e.g. renewing the liberal international order as G. John Ikenberry has written in a variety of posts over the past few months). Instead, Bush has pursued a more unilateral foreign policy, which actually harms American leadership in the WoT, than helps it. Bush could take a lesson from the Truman and Clinton administrations who pursued foreign policy on a number of fronts that ensured American engagement and American leadership. The isolationist argument, is in some respects a "boogeyman," but it hides the debate that we should really be having in foreign policy.
February 6, 2006 8:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
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June 1, 2006 2:49 AM | Reply | Permalink