Shout out to Michael Ware on CNN just now for calling Bush's depiction of success in Iraq as "the Great Lie"-- He said it more than once.

(The Forward, 9/30/05) - At a time when Iran's nuclear program is a top American priority, the Bush administration appears to have backed Tehran in a fight over the 1994 bombing of the Jewish community center in Argentina.

The US is "pursuing diplomacy" in the Iran situation.

Dream on!

The US is planning to attack Iran militarily in support of Israel. There is absolutely no doubt about this.

How the US expects this to develop is beyond me. Are the neocons so totally bonkers as to believe that they can possibly win a war with Iran? When their so-called "win" in Iraq has cost 100,000 Iraqi lives, around 2.500 US lives, costs $6 billion per month, has cost $450 billion so far and is expected to cost a trillion dollars over time?

Let's consider the probable results of an air attack on Iran.

First, it will immediately become a ground war because Iran will attack the US in Iraq. If Iran is smart, at the first sign of an air attack (from their spies in Israel or near the Kurdish Iraqi airfields supposedly to be used by Israel with US blessings), they will probably move several divisions of their regular army, their Special Forces, and much of their one million man militia to the Iraqi border. If this doesn't slow down the air attack as the US realizes it's 160,000 troops in Iraq are vulnerable to being forced to retreat up into Turkey, Iran can do a great deal of damage to US forces in Iraq. And they will be aided by an all-out effort by the Sunni insurgents in Iraq. And they may well be aided by the Shia in Iraq, many of whose militia are beholding for weapons and financing from Iran.

But let's say the US actually invades Iran, succeeds in capturing the main oil province, and decimates the Iranian army - quite possible, of course, once the US commits another half million troops to the Gulf, carpet-bombs the Iranian forces with B-52's or tactical nukes, etc.

Now the US faces a country with three to four times the population of Iraq, with none of the religious differences that kept the Shia on the sidelines (with the exception of al-Sadr) in Iraq, with a far larger territory to control, which also happens to be more mountainous than Iraq.

So now we have an insurgency thrown against us which is four to ten times larger than the Iraqi one (which, by the way, will still be under way undiminished in ferocity.) The cost in Iraq has been $6 billion per month - to this we now add a cost of - what? Another $6-10 billion per month in Iran? More? The total cost to the US taxpayer so far in Iraq has been $450 billion. The cost in Iran for combating an insurgency that will go on literally FOREVER will be what? Another trillion dollars?

Cui bono? Who benefits? Whoever is getting paid those trillion dollars, right? In other words, Dick Cheney's company, Halliburton, and various other Republican - and Democratic - cronies.

Meanwhile, with 160,000 US troops tied down unable to control the insurgency in Iraq, how many will be needed to control an insurgency in Iran? Half a million? One million? And where do these troops come from? Hint: If you're under the age of 42, expect to register for the draft by this time next year. Expect to have your butt sent to Iraq or Iran. Expect to have your butt blown off by an IED.

This raises the obvious question: is there ANYBODY DUMB enough on this planet to believe that the US can possibly treat this situation as a "win"?

Evidently there is - and he's our President. "He's" also our Vice President, our Secretary of State, our Defense Department head, and the heads of most of the major government agencies, as well as most of the US Congress - including the leading contenders for President in the next elections - Senator John McCain and Senator Hillary Clinton. And "he's" also a significant percentage of the US population.

Have a nice day, folks. We will be at war with Iran within the next two to six months.

Richard Steven Hack

www.computerproblemssolvedcheap.com 

Iran's been playing a cat and mouse game with the world community for years. You can say a lot of bad things about Bush but he's definitly playing the diplomacy card with Iran. As much as a lot of people on the neo-con side may want him to take military action against Iran, it's just not feasable. The thing about Iran is, it shouldn't be up to just the US to stop them from acquiring nuclear weapons. I don't understand why people don't believe that Iran is building nukes when even the IAEA is saying as much.

The U.S. has invaded 2 neighbours ( Afghanistan and Iraq ) and carried out raids in a 3rd. Pushback was inevitable.
The U.S. is a threat to Iran of a direct, physical nature. Iran can be a threat to the wallet.
As much as I am loath to overestimate the intelligence of the Oval Office, greed should recognize in time that destroying the economy at home means their money is worthless and power curtailed.
The nuclear threat to the U.S.? Get serious. Compared to what else is going on, this isn't a blip on the radar. Israel has nukes and somebody else is bound to get them ( India and Pakistan do ).

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