Alito Again
In an effort to further provoke the ire of the blogosphere, here's a poll showing that 53 percent of voters think Alito should be confirmed and 27 percent think he shouldn't be. The good news for Democrats is that this is a low salience issue, "because Alito's nomination has been overshadowed by more compelling issues, such as Iraq, the cost of home heating oil and natural gas or lobbyist Jack Abramoff's plea bargain" and Bush continues to be an unpopular president. An Alito filibuster would, however, tend to crowd these other issues -- which are all good ones for the Democrats -- off the public agenda and instead focus attention on the relatively-bad issue of the legitimacy of filibustering Alito.
But Alito will be a bad Supreme Court Justice. So what's a Democrat to do? The same thing they should have done on John Roberts -- explain why putting him on the Court will be bad for the country, vote "no," let the GOP majority confirm him, move on to other issues, and try to win the next two elections.








Matt, Same question: it is 2009. President Feingold nominates a very liberal judge for a Supreme Court vacancy. Do the Radicals (A) accept the nomination, vote no, and move on (B) Lash out wildly in every direction, using all the resources of FoxNews, Big Pharma, and the Washington Post at their disposal, detonating every "nuculear weapon" they can get their hands on, until the earth is scorched and the President is "forced" to withdraw her as his supporters stab him in the back one-by-one?
sPh
January 10, 2006 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
and the same question from me:
Would you support a filibuster of Janice Rogers Brown?
...of Robert Bork?
...of Roy Moore?
...or James Dobson?
Is the filibuster completely off the table?
If not, why does Alito clear the bar?
January 10, 2006 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dunno if you read Digby. You ought to on this one.
Also, your poll result that precedes public discussion of the issue is not particularly relevant to the question of a filibuster's merit.
Let's do as you say, "explain why putting him on the Court will be bad for the country." And explain with passion! Substituting that for glad-handling him should certainly help the public get some grasp of the dangers involved in confirming the man.
A filibuster will be the natural result of the synergy that can develop between informed public opinion and an adversarial Democratic Senate.
Do the real work here, help the Dems do the real work there, quit pre-judging sentiment and let the thing evolve!
January 10, 2006 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
What does the "winning elections" bit have to do with anything? Is that on the table as something some people want to give away in exchange for a fight against Alito? If not, then what is the point of constantly referring to it? The implication seems to be that opposing Alito strongly will actually hinder the electoral efforts of the Democrats. However, basically every poster here has advocated that the opposite is true. You don't have much of an argument against that, except for a single poll, and even that is nonconclusive.
January 10, 2006 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
i doubt the five of us will swing any significant races.
January 10, 2006 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, but that's not what I was saying.
If Bush were a popular President, and he was actually getting things done, then maybe the Dems could be easily portrayed as obstructionists. But in America today even right-wing nutjobs like Michael Savage are slamming Bush. If the Dems can't summon the will to fight in this environment, then there really is no hope for them in the future.
January 10, 2006 10:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Much as I'd love to see Alito's nomination blocked, a filibuster, even if successful, would be a pyhrric victory that would give the Repubs further ammo to paint the Dems as obstructionist. This is an opportunity not to filibuster but to elaborate on key philisophical differences - and paint the Repubs as the party that is out of the mainstream - at a time when the Dems will have the voters' undivided attention.
That said, if something were to come out that really resonates with the public - e.g., clear evidence of an extremist view regarding presidential war powers - that could present an opportunity to wage a filibuster without looking like the bad guys. And if such a filibuster is met with the nuclear option, it's the Repubs who could pay the price politically, similar to Gingrich's government shut-down.
January 10, 2006 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Matt, you don't read my posts here? Heh.
With your reasoning (vote no and move on), the minority party is worthless. Or do you believe that a filibuster is something the minority party can use, and, while Alito is bad, you just don't think Alito is bad enough?
Isn't it also possible that, instead of being a negative for Dems, a filibuster will show American voters that Dems are willing to take a strong stand on something (for once!)?
If the case is made that Alito will be a bad Justice, then the fillibuster IS legitimate.
January 10, 2006 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
With the appointment of Alito, we will have 4 "Justices" to the right of Atilla the Hun. All of them can be expect to be on the court for 20 more years or longer. To solve this mess, we will have to go back to FDR's court packing scheme.
January 10, 2006 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since the Radials paint the Democrats as obstructionist firmly, loudly, and consistently today, what exactly would be the downside?
sPh
January 10, 2006 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since the Radials paint the Democrats as obstructionist firmly, loudly, and consistently today, what exactly would be the downside?
I agree that the wingnuttery will heap scorn on the Dems no matter what they do short of embracing the Repubs in Zell-esque fashion. But why make it easy on them by giving them tangible ammunition?
January 10, 2006 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The Alito Files"
January 10, 2006 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Each and every time the Dems allow the Radicals to fence off a topic like that, the Radicals simply leave a marker to maintain the pressure (Marshall Whittman could explain how this is done) and move on to the next topic. 10-15 years of that and the Dems are left with, well, nothing to fight over - they have lost everything.
sPh
January 10, 2006 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Much as I'd love to see Alito's nomination blocked, a filibuster, even if successful, would be a pyhrric victory that would give the Repubs further ammo to paint the Dems as obstructionist. This is an opportunity not to filibuster but to elaborate on key philisophical differences - and paint the Repubs as the party that is out of the mainstream - at a time when the Dems will have the voters' undivided attention.
No, this is the time for all Senators to do the job they were elected to do. If they think, as I do, that Alito is a bad choice, a potential disaster lasting 30 years, then they absolutely must fight to the last man to stop the appointment. This is not about positioning ourselves to win a future election, but about serving our country today.
Furthermore, not standing up to Bush on Alito, is just one more reason for voters to believe that we really don't have any principles beyond getting elected.
January 10, 2006 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The issue seems more difficult than just filibuster or not. If the issue is Roe and only Roe then a filibuster is probably a bad political move even if it will make women's groups and indeed many women happy. If however the Democrats believe Alito will simply endorse the growing and uncheck power of the Presidency and the abuse of citizens' rights then they should mount a principled filibuster.
Fighting for our rights is not merely obstructionist. Democrats can educate us and show why it is that Bush and any President should not be trusted with they type of unchecked power that Alito seems to endorse.
Even if they lose this fight, I assume they will, and even if they are accused of being obstructionists, of course they wil, they will have fought on principle. This will be a very good thing for a party that seems spineless.
January 10, 2006 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Beware the danger of just reading the polls rather than acting from authentic beliefs, but, that said, here are CBS' new numbers which show the American people are undecided on Alito.
Should Alito be confirmed by the Senate?
Yes -- 17%
No -- 9%
Can't say -- 70%
January 10, 2006 11:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bingo. Matt's Alito posts really baffle me -- did he see a poll somewhere that showed that the Democrats' big weakness is not caring enough about winning elections?
January 10, 2006 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course he forgot to mention that liberals like to pretend that tests are meaningless because liberals are scared of standards, preferring a completely relativistic world where no one is equipped to judge anyone else. This way they can further their agenda of corrupting the country.
January 10, 2006 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
But Alito will be a bad Supreme Court Justice. So what's a Democrat to do? The same thing they should have done on John Roberts -- explain why putting him on the Court will be bad for the country, vote "no," let the GOP majority confirm him, move on to other issues, and try to win the next two elections.
What about spending the next dew weeks using every communications tool at our disposal to get out the message to ordinary Americans that Alito would indeed be a "bad Supreme Court Justice"?! Let's tell them that Alito is a radical right-winger, a dangerous believer in an authoritarian presidency and an enemy of women's rights. Let's also send the message that Bush is the person who is screwing up the confirmation process by sending up a rigid ideological nominee. I'm sure we can find some other good stuff as well. When Bork's hearings began, polls also showed the public thought he should be confirmed as well. If we work and fight hard, instead of giving up the fight before any shots have been fired, we can turn so many people off on Alito that even moderate Republicans will be afraid to vote for him.
Low salience issue? Matt, you have this curious tendency to recommend holding our fire on the really big and important things, so that we can use the ammunition on the humdrum. We win elections by fighting and getting people on our side. It is not enough to poke our heads up into the cold polling winds, like a timid and skinny little groundhog, look at the shadows on the ground, and then scamper back underground with a few dim notions of the current public opinion environment, an environment that varies from one day to the next.
Natural gas prices?! Gripes about things like natural gas prices will always be around. But new Supreme Court Justices don't come around very often.
January 10, 2006 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
2) alito will be more than a bad judge. he will be a bad judge who will help republicans steal elections. you think bush v. gore is a one-time deal? if alito is confirmed, we may never see another fair election.
January 10, 2006 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
oh, and 3) i am really tired of people saying that the democrats should sit tight, keep their powder dry, be strategic, do nothing, wait for the next opportunity, be careful not to antagonize the voters. where is the democrat who is willing to fight?
January 10, 2006 1:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
as of 6:15 p.m., tuesday, argentina time, msnbc's poll of whether or not alito should be confirmed is running at 59% no, 41% yes, with 84044 respondents...
And, yes, I DO take it personally
January 10, 2006 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to agree with the majority of the posters here--if you're not willing to fight for a woman's right to control their own body, why call yourself a Democrat? If you're not willing to fight against someone who will enable an imperial presidency, why call yourself an American?
This brings to mind Josh Marshall's call-to-arms a year ago, at the beginning of the Social Security battle: if we are to lose this one, be sure to lose well. Because without these core values, there is nothing left to fight for.
Recall, though, that we won that one...and rather than being depleted by the battle, we are stronger for it. And the same can happen here. By far the number one complaint I hear about Democrats is the wish that they would (forgive the macho imagery) "grow a pair" and stand up and fight. So let's fight this one--and if we lose, lose well.
Follow our principles, ignore the carpings of the pundits, and the elections will take care of themselves...I suspect the electorate wants to see if we can stand up Ann Coulter before they give us another shot at bin Laden.
A final point--if we wish to make use of the growing "Bush apologists are giving away our freedoms out of fear" meme, we cannot ourselves shortchange our principles out of fear of mere words being used against us.January 10, 2006 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
The filibuster outpolls the nuclear option anyway. Pro-choice outpolls pro-life.
If the Republicans do not want to worry about the filibuster, they should lose, move on and concentrate on getting a supermajority in the next elections.
This is a lay-up. Repubs threatened a filibuster against Harriet Myers.
January 10, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
a quote:
“Senator, I never attended a school that was co-educational until I went to Princeton,” Alito told the committee on Tuesday morning, “and after I was there for a short time I realized the benefits of a co-educational school.” Italics added.
How different Alito is from most Americans.
January 10, 2006 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
When the GOP white house and congress are under criminal investigation - and polling commensurately - how is "obstructionist" anything but a compliment?
If Dems must take GOP criticism to heart, why not disprove "no cojones" or "no convictions" rather than "obstructionist".
January 10, 2006 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
JRB is genuinely a radical, with ideas well outside the mainstream. She speaks, with real enthusiasm, of a time when the Court imposed serious constraints on Congress' ability to legislate in the name of the sanctity of contract and the limits of the interstate commerce clause. Sam Alito is a conservative jurist, whose ideas I mostly disagree with, but who has not shown that he would try to make radical changes in our understanding of the Constitution. He's Chuck Hagel, not Sam Brownback.
If JRB were nominated, I would say the party absolutely has to filibuster. With Alito as the nominee, I agree with Matt. He's not what we'd like but he hasn't said or done things that will persuade most Americans that it's worth a filibuster.
Exaggerating his record to justify the filibuster has, so far, not done us any favors. The recusal issue is nonsense. The idea that he wants to strip search 10-year-olds isn't much better. About all we've got is Roe. Should we filibuster to prevent a Justice who's likely to work to overturn Roe? We can, but I don't think it's a winner for us politically and as a matter of constitutional law, frankly it's not the strongest decision ever written. So, I'd say no. (Women should absolutely have the right to an abortion as a matter of state and/or federal law. Saying that the Constitution protects that right is much less clear to me.)
If the Dems could make a convincing case over the next few days that he'd really pave the way for a broad expansion in executive authority (and they'd have to use something more compelling than 20-year old writings for that purpose) then maybe there'd be reason. But so far, no.
January 10, 2006 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aren't we getting ahead of ourselves on the fillibuster issue? A lot of things can happen during a Supreme Court confirmnation hearing. Let's zero in on the task at hand. Let's help our guys find some openings and vulnerabilities, and make the case.
January 10, 2006 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are good arguments on both sides of the question of whether to filibuster or not to filibuster. On the one hand, it would be an unequivocal demonstration of commitment. On the other hand, it is undemocratic, obstructionist and smacks of desperation.
To me, the only issues that matter are these:
1. Can the filibuster be sustained? The worst of all outcomes would be for Democrats to filibuster and then have that broken either by the "nuclear option" or by Democratic defections. I think that in order for a filibuster of Alito to be politically worthwhile, it has to be successful. This notion that the public will reward a romantic, valiant fight for a lost cause is bunk.
2. Is there any evidence that Republican commitment to Alito is anything but rock solid? I seem to recall that one of the key moments in the Bork episode was when Specter announced he was going to vote no. That signaled to many that GOP commitment to Bork was not universal. Look for signs that Specter is wavering.
Whatever happens, Democrats need to use this issue to articulate why it is important. I fear that the importance of judicial nominations in general is not understood by enough people. The GOP has been hammering away at "liberal judges" for a generation now. But where are Democrats to articulate why they disagree?
January 10, 2006 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
That has got to be one of the most foolish things I have ever read on this blog. Winning elections has everything to do with everything. Winning elections means that your agenda has validity in a democracy. Winning elections means that you get to nominate people to the Supreme Court. Whining about stuff as a minority party may make you feel better about yourself but doesn't change anything; even if you are right.
The Democrats need to win. Trying to unimpeach Clinton or overturn the 2000 election or question techniques to destroy terrorism is not what sells with the American people. Win first.
January 11, 2006 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course winning elections is, uh, important. But why is Matt Yglesias wasting his time writing on blogs instead of helping the Democrats win elections? Yglesias should just shut down his blogs and focus on the big picture -- the Dems need to regain the White House and majorities in Congress.
I guess Matt Yglesias doesn't understand the big picture. Maybe you should lecture him about that too.
January 11, 2006 6:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've got to disagree, Matt. You're right that that's what the Dems should have done with Roberts - made the case against him, and gotten 41+ Dem votes against him to make the point that they could have filibustered, but let it come to a vote instead of filibustering.
Doing this with Roberts was tolerable, given that he effectively replaced Rehnquist, not O'Connor.
But Alito...(a) he's replacing O'Connor, and (b) he's exactly the sort of judge for whom the Dems supposedly preserved the right to filibuster. If they're not going to use it against Alito, they really should have just let the 'nuclear option' come to a vote last year.
Sure, Alito will crowd other issues out of the news for a few weeks. But it's not like we won't get a lot more Abramoff/DeLay/Libby (Rove?) news this year. I say block him, then go back to the corruption feast.
January 11, 2006 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
As for a filibuster, why not make the Republicans use the nuclear option? As MY's argued before, IIRC, the filibuster isn't all that great if you're the progressive party. So if not now, when?
That's assuming the Dems could actually get to that level. Some Dems seem to be ready to vote to confirm, so I'm not confident.
January 12, 2006 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink