Welfare Reform in the Budget Bill
I'm kicking myself because several weeks ago, various people sent me things encouraging me to comment on the possible inclusion of welfare reform in the budget reconciliation bill. And I got distracted and didn"t do anything with it. And now here it is, almost passed into law, and I finally start looking at it. It"s outrageous.
Consider that Congress and the Clinton administration spent four years in a highly public debate about welfare reform in the 1990s.
Actually, it goes back longer than that. The law that first created work requirements was passed in 1988 and the politics of welfare flared up again in 1991 or so, prompting Clinton's campaign promise to "end welfare as we know it." There were endless hearings, floor debates, and Congress passed a bill in 1995 that Clinton vetoed, followed by one in 1996 that, after a long internal debate, he signed. It was far from a good outcome, but the 1996 bill was a hundred times better than the 1995 bill, and, having been on the inside, I have to admit that the long open process did work to continually improve the legislation.
That law "expired" in 2001. And since then, it's fair to say that the Republicans didn't put much energy into the effort to reauthorize it. (Obviously, as with the Patriot Act, a law's expiration is not its end.) Bush and the congressional Republicans talked about tougher work requirements, but didn't push too hard. The governors were pretty happy with things as they are (since the block grant is very generous to them) and Democrats were happy to have welfare off the political agenda.
So after four years of sitting around and not reauthorizing the welfare law, all of a sudden it became a matter of such urgency that it had to be shoveled into the reconciliation bill, so that it can be passed with just 50 Republican votes plus Dick Cheney. But as I've mentioned before, the consequence of shoving things into budget reconciliation bills without debate, which are not meant for major policy changes, is that you get bad, awkward policy changes, even apart from the intended bad policy changes.
In this case, here's what it meant: Under the Byrd Rule (which was the procedure that Senator Conrad used to force the bill back to the House one more time), a budget reconciliation bill cannot include provisions have no impact on the budget. Provisions can increase spending, decrease spending, cut or raise taxes -- but they can't be ordinary legislation that has no budget impact. That's a reasonable rule -- if these special, closed procedures were open to anything, Congress would never do anything the normal way.
The welfare provisions include new work requirements. To make sure that the work requirements have a budgetary impact, the majority made them so strict that they know -- and the Congressional Budget Office estimated -- that many states would fail to enforce them and take a financial penalty instead. Thus, a budget impact.
I'll try this a different way. Let's say, for argument's sake, that we all agreed that the work requirements for welfare recipients should be even tighter than they are. You could increase them somewhat, all states would comply, and people on welfare would work more. But that would have no budget impact. You couldn't get away with sneaking into budget reconciliation. Or, you could increase the requirements to a ridiculous level, where states would find it easier to pay a fine than to spend what it takes to get people working (an estimated $8 billion in costs in this bill). The result: Now you have a budget impact and you can sneak welfare reauthorization into the budget reconciliation bill. But welfare recipients in those states that don't comply won't work more. In fact, they'll probably work even less than they would under the first plan.
In the end, the Republicans' desire to push this reauthorization through an undemocratic procedure was a higher priority than their desire to actually make sure that welfare recipients work more.
Further proof that the manipulations of the process required to maintain total one party control of government produce absurd results even beyond the already absurd results that the majority sets out to achieve. For a little more on this, see this report.














Comments (8)
So the Republican Congress is imposing federal standards and conditions on grants to the states. What happened to all that states' rights stuff about states being closer to the people, laboratories of democracy, etc.? I guess that only applies when states want to keep Jim Crow laws.
December 21, 2005 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
<blockquote>So after four years of sitting around and not reauthorizing the welfare law, all of a sudden it became a matter of such urgency that it had to be shoveled into the reconciliation bill, </blockquote>
I don't get it. Whence the urgency?
December 21, 2005 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
LucBoardwalk:
I think the answer to your question (why the sudden urgency?) is the 2006 midterm elections. The GOP hasn't had that much success lately, or at least not the kind of success the public can easily understand (fit on a bumper sticker) or for that matter should even know about (see: rampant corporate favors), so they've returned to the tried and tested days of yore: ie "welfare reform". Now next November they can boast about making sure welfare moms work hard and that "your money" isn't going to waste. The question is, will the American public buy it. After all, they might think, didn't Clinton ended welfare as we know it so isn't it all taken care of? Or perhaps we'll see post-Katrina if there's a bit more sympathy for the poor in this country. Only time will tell if this strategy works. Like Mark suggests, if its isn't about actually making people work harder or longer then it must be about something....and it can only be about looking good to their base for the midterm elections next year.
December 21, 2005 6:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
beyond the already absurd results that the majority sets out to achieve ...
We have long known that this Admin. is populated by folks who are results-oriented hacks, not the thoughtful wonky folks who, like me, worked on issues like this in the Clinton Admin. and tried to understand how a program worked -- or didn't -- before recommending changes/improvements.
So what undemocratic ridiculous thing were they after that had been stalled since the welfare law's authorization expired in 2001? Marriage promotion ... some baseless bull-hockey cooked up in concert with the Heritage Fdn. that goes like this: poor women are poor because they lack husbands. Let's marry them off to guys making $17.5k and get 'em off the rolls. After all, "these people have no role models for marriage." The $17.5k figure was used by Heritage's Robert Rector at a House hearing earlier this year -- and probably in other places -- and both Rector and other Heritage folks have uttered the phrase I have in quotes. So let's cut to the chase: the bottom line on this funding is in excess of a billion dollars in federal and state funds over the reauthorized life of the program (5 years).
That's right folks: 1) those shiftless folks should work; 2) we won't put enough money in the bill to cover the cost of the additional child care that will be necessary if those shiftless folks increase their work hours as mandated by our hackneyed and heartless bill; 3) but we WILL include ample funds in the bill so that our friends can teach "these people" -- whose lives we know and care nothing about -- how everything will be better if we just impose our moralistic and narrow minded -- and let's not leave out heterosexist cuz there certainly won't be any same sex couples in the mix -- view of how the world should be on them.
December 21, 2005 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
December 21, 2005 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
And let's remember that "results oriented" means decreasing welfare caseloads while increasing overall, and even more significantly, child poverty since 2001. The end result, of course, is shameful.
December 21, 2005 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can only think that the starting point for this is a confirmation of the (real) goals being sought. No amount of polispeak can obscure the fact that the WH and the Republican controlled congress are seriously conflicted in their intentions. Thus any expectation of achieving the publicly stated goal is truly and completely shot in the ass from the outset. And this applies to any and all social programs. Any money that can be diverted to conservative usage or pockets will be.
thepeoplechoose
December 22, 2005 3:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Cheshire Cat is dead on -- the R's ultimately cared more about getting their marriage money than anything else in the bill. They wanted it passed early enough in the Administration that they can be sure of writing the regs and controlling the money.
December 22, 2005 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink