Before We Get Too Excited

I'm still going to break out the champagne, but with bitters.  Here's the most recent poll results I could find--from last September--on how a telephone sample of Americans, conducted at Virginia Commonwealth University, feels about intelligent design and creationism vs. evolution:


"Regardless of what you may personally believe about the origin of biological life, which of the following do you believe should be taught in public schools?...Evolution only--evolution says that biological life developed over time from simple substances. Creationism only--creationism says that biological life was directly created by God in its present form at one point in time. Intelligent design only--intelligent design says that biological life is so complex that it required a powerful force or intelligent being to help create it. Or some combination of these?


15%  Evolution only

21   Creationism only

5    Intelligent design only

47   Combination

1    None of these (Vol.)

6    Don't know

5    No answer"


(Data courtesy of the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Connecticut.)

In other words, as one poster surmised, the radical right position will be that, once again, a runaway judge has trashed the exalted principle of popular ignorance.  


There is no way to defend the judge's opinion other than to defend reason over popular sentiment.  There is no way to attack it than to choose popular sentiment over reason.  


In other words, the Enlightenment position is:  Judicial activism in defense of reason is no vice.  


And what do you think, Judge Alito?


Comments (28)

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I look at those numbers and I think that like President Grant they're a pretty good refutation of evolutionary theory.  I'm not sure what they're proof of.

avatar In its ruling, the Court addressed this very issue:

Those who disagree with our holding will likely mark it as the product of an activist judge. If so, they will have erred as this is manifestly not an activist Court. Rather, this case came to us as the result of the activism of an ill-informed faction on a school board, aided by a national public interest law firm eager to find a constitutional test case on ID, who in combination drove the Board to adopt an imprudent and ultimately unconstitutional policy. The breathtaking inanity of the Board’s decision is evident when considered against the factual backdrop which has now been fully revealed through this trial. The students, parents, and teachers of the Dover Area School District deserved better than to be dragged into this legal maelstrom, with its resulting utter waste of monetary and personal resources.

(my emphasis added)

I just read all 137 pages and it was gripping. The wording of the ruling is stunning and is scathing indictment of the actions of the school board members who voted ID in. The Court reviewed and closed down just about every argument possible. Even if it gets to the SCOTUS, I can't imagine it will be overturned.
 
Regardless, the good guys win one.
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The whole thrust of the ID program is to appeal to that 47% who just figure it's fair to split the difference.  The reason the IDers focus on the non-existent controversy is in order to raise the level of their position up.  That's why they didn't really want to show up in Dover and why the scientists (aware of this strategy) didn't show up in Topeka.

You should take reassurance from the voting out of the Dover Board. When actually confronted with the issue, the nature of ID became very clear to those voters. Regardless of what distance the IDers were (unsuccessfully) trying to keep between Designer and God in the courtroom, the voters knew exactly what this was about.  How could they not?  The people in favor of teaching were arguing it was godless of the opposition to do so. 

The naturally fair-minded response ('both') arises in a state of ignorance. But if a community actually has to assess the question, the members  see reason--that's what the voters are telling us.

Dawkins via  Pharyngula makes the point that most of the problem lies in ignorance. People haven't really been exposed to evolutionary thought--and they are discouraged from exploring it by their religious leaders.  The insidiousness of ID is that is intended to preserve that ignorance. But when the issue actually arises in a community, their ability to keep people from being exposed to the ideas becomes straitened.

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I agree that the Pa. court decision was a clear 'win' for the good guys.  But those numbers make depressing reading: we have so far to go.  What the heck happened to science teaching in this country that so many people still cling to the old creation myth?  Is it just the power of the religious right, or is it indifference amongst the rest of us?

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It is curious that you think intelligent design is somehow foreign to the Enlightment since this is precisely where it came from.  I suppose you could trace its roots further back if you wanted to to Aristotle's unmoved mover and then through Aquinas to the Enlightment but it is really with Moliere's Grand Horlogier (Great Clockmaker) that the idea gains currency in something like the form it has today. 
At the time it was a rationalist reaction to what Moliere and other Lumieres saw as the "superstition" of traditional Christian religion.  Here superstition is to be taken in its more etymological sense of "beyond being", i.e. supernaturalism.  Writers like Molier rebelled against the irrational interventions of an Old Testament God bent on punishment and performing miracles.  They saw the universe as a great mechanism or clock that was rational, regular, and comprehensible.  This is the deist God of Jefferson and Washington.  For these, God created a clocklike universe, set it motion, and then left it to run according to rational laws, no miracles, no shaking the earth.  In the Eighteenth Century, intelligent design was the progressive anti-Establishment point of view.  It has always seemed strange to me that it has been taken up by religious conservatives and fundamentalists when in its origins it was used as a critique of the wrathful deity with which these groups are most comfortable.

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Data courtesy of the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Connecticut 

These numbers are sobering. How is it that only 15% believe in science? I'm sorry, I just don't understand. Any thoughts?

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I'm not sure it's quite so clear cut as those numbers would appear to indicate.

Let me use my own beliefs as an example. I am one of those that might mistakenly answer "combination" if I didn't listen to the question... for example, if I thought the question was "what do you believe" as opposed to "what should be taught in science class". The question as written, I would answer "evolution", period. So how closely was I listening when asked the question?

I am both a Christian, and a firm believer in the scientific method. And to me, those are not diametrically opposed points of view, no matter how long and loud some zealots (on either side of the matter, tho the "religious" side is the problematic one at the moment) scream that they are.

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How is it that only 15% believe in science? I'm sorry, I just don't understand. Any thoughts?

Maybe not the main reason but I believe that science educators have done a poor job in communicating difficult ideas in easy to understand ways. What may be a simplified explanation to a scientist might still be utterly indecipherable to a lay person. Somewhere there is someone who can explain concepts like natural selection or even quantum physics in ways that are understandable to anyone. Cartoons anyone? Michael Moore was able to use a cartoon to great effect in "Bowling for Columbine".

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I was surprised by those numbers and poked around the 'net a bit, where I came across this:

The poll... used a definition for evolution that I think is problematic. “Biological life developed over time from simple substances, but God did not guide this process.” Merely by asking the question that way, the pollsters agree with the creationists that evolution is atheism.

Perhaps some of the poll's results stem from this poor definition of evolution, which suggests that teaching evolution involves instructing students that God is either nonexistent or irrelevant.  Most biologists, it seems to me, are very clear on the fact that evolution has nothing to do with God one way or the other.

avatar One of the things that Jones pointed to in his ruling was that the board members who voted for ID exhibited "striking ignorance" as to what Intelligent Design really is.

One voting for it referred to it as intelligence design and the superintendent of the school board said his total knowledge amounted to "evolution has a design".

Given that, I'm not surprised to see the numbers in this survey. If asked whether it should be taught as a "science", I'm in agreement with Jay and MN that people really do know what time it is when it gets right down to it.
(I would strongly recommend reading the ruling. If upheld, it should strike down the Kansas law also. Jones was absolutely scrupulous in making sure it would be nationally applied.)
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<i> the board members who voted for ID exhibited "striking ignorance"</i>

I read that as  judge-speak for "just flat lied."

The ruling is scathing.  It leaves them nothing, and, I think, finishes ID in its primary agenda of preserving ignorance among young people.

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Clarifying - it's 139 pages but it reads a lot shorter.

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Actually, Jones actually said straight out that the board members flat out lied.

"It is ironic that several of these individuals, who so staunchly and proudly touted their religious convictions in public, would time and again lie to cover their tracks and disguise the real purpose behind the ID Policy."

One of the most enjoyable reads I've had. This guy totally takes them (and ID) down.

What I'm wondering is why this cockamamy is getting such coverage in the first place.  No scientist supports it;  no teacher of science supports it.  Only in the world of 'he said, she said' journalism do you see any credibility given to it.  And of course, 50% of the people polled think it should be given equal time with evolution.  That's precisely the formula they see on their television sets and in other media outlets day-in, day-out.

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You can't teach evolution to the religious fundamentalists. That group now comprises up to 35% of our population. We need immigrants, they raise the national IQ.   The great flood caused it all, and although not necessarily admitted in ID, most  believe the earth is only 8,000 years old.  They are unable to see that the world is full of evidence of a very old earth. You need an open and enquirying mind to believe evolution, many have neither.

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Given that, I'm not surprised to see the numbers in this survey. If asked whether it should be taught as a "science", I'm in agreement with Jay and MN that people really do know what time it is when it gets right down to it.


How many people will bother to find out what time it is?  And how many when the creationists re-jigger things to try, yet again?  The unfortunate thing here is that this is a battle that's been fought for almost a century now, and it shows no signs of ending with a court ruling, or a vote, or any series of laws.    


I have a theory that when the Soviets were around, the country sort of subconciously "knew" it couldn't afford stupidity like this, not something that touched a vital area like science.  But now that the U.S. is unchallenged, people figure, "why not?"  Indulge ourselves with asinine shit like this.  It can't hurt, at least not imediately, and nobody likes those science classes, anyway.  

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"difficult ideas in easy to understand ways"?

But, you see, that is the problem. There is nothing easy about understanding difficult concepts.

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But the beauty of Darwinism is precisely that the basic ideas are so simple. Inheritance, variation, and reproductive advantage. What's supposed to be hard to get? The difficulty a lot of people have with it is purely and simply emotional: design, purpose, and teleology simply have no basic role, and a lot of people just can't live with that.

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Re: You can't teach evolution to the religious fundamentalists. That group now comprises up to 35% of our population.

At least if we are going with people who actually admit of the Fundamentalist label then 35% is way, way too many: 10% I think is close. (Evangelical is not a synonym for Fundamentalist, though 35% is too much even for self-described Evangelicals who are about 25% of the population)
Also, ID is not even remotely congenial with real Biblical Fundamentalism, since ID accepts without a quibble all the physical, astronomical, and geological evidence for the age of the Earth and of life, which is of course anathema to the 6000 year old Earth folks. In fact I am rather surprised that such people seem to support ID and I can only conclude that they are as grossly ignorant of it as they are of Darwinism.

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The key thing here is to keep in mind the distinction between popular opinion as one arena of struggle, and jurisprudence as another.  The area of the politics is derivative from possibilities raised on the popular opinion side of the issue, but must be approached skeptically.

Polls that show widespread believe in creationism in the 80s, and at least some watered-down idea of ID today, do not necessarily imply that there is, as there was with busing, a potential simmering political power against "judicial activism" brewing.  After all, the issue of ID is one that the vast majority of Americans don't give what is described in the vernacular as a 'flying f&%#*' about.   It is mainly an issue pursued by rightwing fundamentalists, with the idea of using it as a vehicle to gain power in school boards dancing in their heads.  But popular opinion is not -- as in the Kelo case -- incensed and readily mobilizable on this issue, IMHO.  If school boards are forbidden from putting forward ID in biology classes (but after all, could include discussion of it in other courses, including high school electives on 'contemporary controversies' and such), I don't see masses of Americans charging to the polls to elect fundies to their local school boards in protest.  The judicial activism protestation would, however, move people in realms like that of ProteinWisdom.com, but those are merely the diehards.

And this issue, at root, is not so much about the confused ideas most Americans have about evolution (polls also show that high school seniors usually don't know the specifics of the FDR presidency or many other things not subject to this kind of controversy), but about the power to impose a religiously driven agenda in the public schools.  After all, there is no overt or covert suppression going on of ID thinking in the society at large.  Unlike authentic progressive politics, and comprehensive effective access to disfavored authentic progressives, the issue is unrestricted outside of the sphere of essentially imposing ID as a "scientific theory" on the captive audience of students in public school biology classes.  Again, I don't see most Americans being up in arms over that.  Fortunately for progressives, as Robertson well realizes, the fact that this judicial decision goes WITH the grain of democratic decisionmaking in Dover PA makes it all the less powerful as a springboard of protestation politics over "judicial activism".

There is, however, another consideration at the macro political level, especially when you look at the crucial comprehensive issues at stake in Edwards v Aguillard (1987), the key Supreme Court decision on this issue.  With Stevens at age 82, if Bush appoints his replacement, we could have a court that makes the quite conservative Rehnquist Court of the 1980s look like the Burger Court of 1968.  They would be poised to overturn Roe and possibly Edwards, and other cases that have not only policy but implications of power and fundamental rights.  The powers-that-pee in the US, who at the comprehensive level have long been able to (discreetly) do more or less whatever they please and get away with it without genuinely having to fear any sort of effective accountability, would now have even whatever restraints that do exist removed, and as we have seen in areas of torture, detention, warrantless wiretaps, etc. the removal of even those flimsy and typically flaccidly enforced restraints can make quite a difference.  The advent of the kind of Supreme Court that we almost have already could undermine the particular victory here from above.

   On the issue of Edwards, at the comprehensive level ONLY one side (the right) have been able to mobilize effectively under the rubric of this showcase.  Indeed, that reality has been quite different from the politics of creationism/ID, where there has been much democratic give-and-take.  This reflects how our system is designed merely for masses to engage in toy-telephone theatrics that don't have a chance at influencing the levers of real power, or real repression, as they are exercised.  And so the charade goes on.

Of course, speaking of politics that people are able at least to seriously discuss, it is curious that, as distinct from the practices of gay marriage and flag burning, which threaten to infringe secularly on the rights of NO ONE, there has not been any push, as yet, to amend the Constitution to protect against the kinds of power governments have been given in Kelo.  It would seem to me that here you have an issue where a Constitutional amendment should be able to garner broad bipartisan support, and it would be wise for liberals to pursue it, before the whole issue does indeed give rise to the kind of 'judicial activism' driven backlash Gitlin seems to fear in the ID area, to be mobilized and exploited against environmental policy, as supposedly 'takings'.

   I would also not that Christmas is something people do care a lot about overall, and RW fundies are exploiting that issue to try to foment a divisive 'culture wars' over references such as to 'holiday tree ornaments' (that one wise-ass blogger noted, until it was corrected, were being sold at FOX's own website).  The idea is, though, that such unnecessary politicization is nasty, and so the operative press meme has shifted to a 'plague on both your houses' (secularists and the religious right) in response to this unilateral juggernaut.  The point is that these kinds of forces and efforts are precisely what underlies ID -- an effort to find something popular to use to polarize society with themselves in the majority.  On ID, they are not likely to be successful.

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But now that the U.S. is unchallenged, people figure, "why not?"  Indulge ourselves with asinine shit like this.  It can't hurt, at least not imediately, and nobody likes those science classes, anyway.


Experts See China as World's 4th Largest Economy - and Climbing - New York Times

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I don't know. A good friend of mine - a virulently anti-Christian Right liberal who grew up in a fundamentalist GOP household and rebelled against that worldview during college - initially found the Intelligent Design line sympathetic, about a year ago when this whole debate really got started. Her response boiled down to showing me her hand, pointing at it, and saying, "I mean, look at this thing!" It was, in essence, precisely the point some of the ID people make: when we look at certain objects, they intuitively seem to us to have been designed. They're incredibly complex and obviously have a purpose.


I'm sure part of the popular anti-evolutionary sentiment has to do with protecting our sense of ourselves as the center of the universe, and part of it is doctrinaire religiosity. But part of it really is that animals are such complicated and sophisticated machines, with so many efficient and purposeful organs and behaviors, that the idea that they could have simply evolved out of the molecular soup, with no guiding intelligence, just as the natural consequence of circumstances, really does boggle the mind. It's much harder to comprehend than geology or astronomy, which merely confront us with vast expanses of time and space. I don't think Americans rebel so strongly against the idea that the universe is 15 billion years old or so. But the idea that your hand just happened really is counterinstinctive, and it takes some educating to get used to.

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That is the interesting thing for me.   Well, W can mess up some can't he? 

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The new school board will not appeal it (they blew out the ID crowd you may recall) so it stops here in terms of moving up the ladder.  What I think is great is that the judge wrote his opinion to be the template for other suits.  Now what I think should happen in Kansas and Ohio (where some tepid ID went in a few years back) is that parents should back sue against the ID crowd to get it stripped out.  Then this can be the template and precedent to pry ID right out of those tenuous strongholds. 

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You can lead a horse to water but you can't make it drink, especially when its intent is to get to the other side, in this case the other side of this life in the next world after this world.  There are demons in the water in the water that prevent passage to everlasting life.  One of them is the idea of evolution. 

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Apologies if someone already posted it (I didn't see it) but link to the full text of the opinion is at:

http://www.pamd.uscourts.gov/kitzmiller/kitzmiller_342.pdf

Wikipedia has background and summary information at:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kitzmiller_v._Dover_Area_School_Dist
rict

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I actually think that a strong tendency toward understanding nature teleologically is something that is wired into us -- by evolution, of course. But that's our problem, not nature's.

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