Method to the Madness
Thanks to Bruce Jentleson and others, I'm back on the "Iranian nukes are bad" bandwagon, and have some serious concerns about the administration's policy. For one thing, I keep hoping the president will stop saying "Freedom in Iraq will inspire reformers from Damascus to Tehran" but it's still in his standard stump speech policy address. The thing of it is that we're trying to get Iran to co-operate with us in Iraq and it's hard to see how we can make that work if the president is going to run around the country declaring the overthrow of the Iranian government to be one of our war aims. By contrast, I have a sneaking suspicion that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad knows exactly what he's doing with all this Israel-bashing and Holocaust-denying.
One key swing constituency in this whole standoff is the Arab world. The regimes in the Gulf and beyond the Egypt are not very excited about the prospect of a nuclear Iran which they naturally see as a threat to their own standing in the area. But the Arab public is pretty sympathetic to the Iranian position on this. If Teheran can successfully frame its nuclear program as directed at Israel, rather than the Gulf monarchies, then it becomes extremely difficult for the Arab regimes to support an anti-Iranian policy even though they'd be inclined to do so. In that sense, I worry that the tendency of western diplomats to explicitly link the Israel and nuclear issues every time Ahmadinejad launches one of these tirades is a mistake.





The thing of it is that we're trying to get Iran to co-operate with us in Iraq and it's hard to see how we can make that work if the president is going to run around the country declaring the overthrow of the Iranian government to be one of our war aims.
What are you suggesting, a return to the status quo ante where we treated tyrannical regimes with respect and decorum and didn't let their 'internal affairs' get in the way of doing diplomatic business (and other types of business) with them?
Look, for many decades it was perfectly clear to the U.S.S.R. that our goal was the end of communist police states (and theirs the end of capitalist democracies) and yet that did not prevent us from having (appropriately tense) diplomatic relations with the Soviets. Yes, the Iranians will try to thwart Iraqi democracy (as the Soviets used to support communist revolutionaries), but Iran would do that anyway, regardless of U.S. diplomatic niceties (or lack thereof).
Our goal absolutely should be to see the end of islamist police states, and there's no benefit in pretending otherwise. But as for Iranian nukes -- they're going to develop them, and there's not f**k all we can do about it. We're not going to take military action, and there's no way the other major powers are join us in tough-enough economic sanctions to have an effect. The Mullahs want nukes and I'm pretty sure they're going to have them.
December 14, 2005 11:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Framing it as directed against Israel may keep the Arab street on board but it makes it much more likely that we or the Israelis will have to destroy as much of the Iranian nuclear program as possible, maybe even as early as next Spring. It pains me to say this because I was not a hawk on Iran but there may be no choice. We simply cannot allow a guy like this to acquire a nuclear weapons capability.
December 14, 2005 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well goading Bush seems pretty easy, especially if no one is willing to tell him "Hey Mr. President, they're just trying to piss you off. Chill buddy. Just call down."
I suppose I should remind people that Iranians are NOT Arabs. Iranians I've talked to get very touchy about this.
I'm not saying people are conflating them, its just a precaution.
December 14, 2005 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about the Pakastani nukes? Is that ok because India has them too and therefore have their own little MAD policy in place?
The bottom line is that an regime in the region already has nukes. So the argument that we can't allow any regime in the region to have them means we would have to address Pakistan's program.
I am dead set against the Iranian's membership in the "Nuclear Club". Or any new memberships into the club, period. But what to do about it? The Israeli Air Force bombed the Iraqi reactors putting an end, for all intents and purposes, to Saddam's program. Will the rest of the Arab countries sit back again if the Israelis bomb the Iranian program...or will the Iranians, like Iraq in the 80's, not respond militarily?
December 14, 2005 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I worry that the tendency of western diplomats to explicitly link the Israel and nuclear issues every time Ahmadinejad launches one of these tirades is a mistake.
I worry about that too, Matt. If we continue to pursue this linkage, the law of unintended consequences will surely come into operation. This type of "diplomacy" will likely backfire.
Whar passes for US "diplomacy" today is mostly pathetic. We do and say so many things that are not even in our own self-interest, much less in the interest of any other country. It seems to consist of chest-thumping to show how tough we are and lecturing others on the error of their ways. Maybe we should put the high echelon folks in the State Dept. on sabbatical and let the careerists run the place for a while.
December 14, 2005 12:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not clear that destroying Iran's nuclear program by bombing is even possible for us. It's nothing like as vulnerable as Saddam's was. We'd need to bomb a lot of places for a long time. Or invade. Either of these sounds like a fast track to strategic disaster.
December 14, 2005 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
...they're going to develop them, and there's not f**k all we can do about it. We're not going to take military action.
Iran's developing nuclear weapons is a totally separate issue from Iraq - or, for that matter, any other political/diplomatic issue in the Middle East, save Israel's survival - and there's not a shadow of doubt we won't allow them to produce weapons, come hell or high water. To think otherwise is just crazy.
I am totally and unalterably opposed to the Iraq war, but admit it's a fait accompli. But we cannot and will not let Iranian nukes become reality. The day when even one Iranian weapon is made would be the day the countdown commences to Israel's utter destruction, in fact not concept. And Israel's destruction to any degree will so destabilize not just the Middle East but the entire world, not one government would seriously take military steps to defend Iran's bomb-making enterprise.
I deplore the way we behave internationally these days, and I'm a peacenik besides, but I wouldn't for a second regret our using military action to take out an Iranian nuke-making facility. It must not happen!
December 14, 2005 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
your concern that nukes and israeli security shouldn't be so consistently linked is well taken. but it's also a long-standing tenet of the West's security position that no one but Israel should have nukes in the Middle East because, as a matter of fact, Israel does face the largest threat from a nuclear armed Iran. so what's being articulated now is only a function of Iran's President drawing the West out on this point.
i take you to mean that it's unwise diplomatically to fall for Iran's baiting. however, at least in the case of germany, they have absolutely no choice. if they didn't vigorously reject holocuast denial at the international diplomatic level, it would be a disaster for the country and for the new government. so whatever baiting is being done is being done VERY effectively, because for some western countries there's no other way but to react as they have.
but i don't think the wisdom of the West's bleating should be too heavily debated. I mean, everyone knows Iran's nukes are a bigger threat to israel than everyone else. Further, the populations of arab countries seldom have an impact on policy. take, for instance, the wildly anti-israeli jordanians and pro-israeli jordanian government. so i actually think in the end this is not something to worry about very much from a strategic point of view.
December 14, 2005 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
"And Israel's destruction to any degree will so destabilize not just the Middle East but the entire world, not one government would seriously take military steps to defend Iran's bomb-making enterprise."
Absolute nonsense.
The opposite is true - Israel's removal from the Middle East problem would leave the Arabs with nothing to do but attack each other as they have been doing for centuries. None of that would be relevant to the United States as long as we stayed out of it and made the necessary concessions to the resulting winners to get the oil. Of course, it would be better if we didn't NEED the oil, but as long as the economy and the state are run by the oil companies and other corporate elites, that isn't likely to happen.
The idea that Iran will use the few nuclear weapons they could get to destroy Israel is completely preposterous as well. Iran knows full well that while they could undoubtedly destroy Tel Aviv and perhaps Haifa with one or two nuclear weapons, they would be instantly incinerated by the 100-200 nuclear weapons the Israelis possess, not to mention the thousands the US possesses and would not hesitate to use against them should the Iranians launch an aggressive nuclear war against anyone, let alone Israel.
This sort of propaganda about Iran's nuclear intentions comes straight from AIPAC and Sharon and the neocons, nowhere else - and it's just as egregiously false as the crap about Iraq's WMDs were - and for the same reasons.
The fact of the matter is that Israel is run by Zionist nationalist fanatics who see the US as their hand maiden in creating "Greater Israel" that drives out the Palestinians in an orgy of genocide and rules the Middle East from the Nile to the Euphrates. This has been the cornerstone of Zionist philosophy since the late 1800's and has been publicly reiterated by every major Israeli political leader since Israel was formed in 1948.
Israelis were fanatical nationalists two thousand years ago until the Romans - who were really good at it - kicked them out of their own country. And they're still religious and nationalist fanatics who justify their criminal actions by the notions of being "God's Chosen" and "history", neither of which are true or relevant to their actions in the world.
The Iranian leader's notion of removing Israel and putting it in Europe somewhere - while completely impossible and obvious hyperbole - is actually a very clear exposition of the fundamental problem of the Middle East (aside from their vacuous Islamic religion) - Israel is a cancer on the whole region.
And Israel's dominance of US foreign policy is a cancer in the US. It is not the only cancer, and probably not even the major one, but it is a cancer.
The US could raise its esteem in the eyes of the entire Muslim world overnight by: a) cutting off ALL military aid to Israel; b) requiring Israel to recognize the right of the Palestinians to the borders specified by the UN in 1947; c) requiring Israel to unilaterally disarm ALL its nuclear weapons on pain of being referred to the UN for total economic sanctions.
The fact that NO US politician can even contemplate advocating these steps proves that the US government is owned and operated by the Israelis and their Jewish supporters in the US and elsewhere.
This has nothing to do with "anti-Semitism" - I'm an atheist myself and couldn't care less about distinguishing the Jewish religion from the Muslim or the Christian religions - a pox on the lot of these fanatics.
And here is Michael Scheuer's take on that:
"We are at the point where where we can no longer tolerate that Israel dictates the policy the US must follow. It's time we play the great power in the relationship and not the minor power. Fifty years is enough. I think Israel should do whatever it needs to defend itself. I have no qualms about that, but I don't think it's worth one dead American."
However, he also said: "It's so much more than Israel. We are so dependent, along with our European allies on oil from the Gulf, we still are going to be supporting the al-Saud tyranny. "
And as for the effect of a Democratic victory in 2006 or 2008:
"If the Democrats come in, they are viewed by the militants as more pro-Israel than the Republicans."
As the neocon "Senator from Israel" Joe Lieberman has demonstrated recently...People are starting to wonder if Lieberman is coordinating his Iraq policy statements with Karl Rove...
And Hillary's statements on the issue are a joke...
December 14, 2005 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Eh, no. Your post is a perfect example of it. You should be ashamed of yourself for giving voice to such hate. I only hope you were trying to stir controversy and don't really believe what you said.
As for your point on Iran, does their president's remarks not raise serious doubt as to whether he is rational?
December 14, 2005 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
You seem to be at the wrong website sir. You might want to redirect yourself to Stormfront.org I'm sure you'll find a more appropriate audience there.
December 14, 2005 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iran is playing for the end-game now.
After Iran consolidates its victory in the longer Iran-Iraq war, from 1980-2005, it is poised to be a regional power.
Iran does not have to build a weapon and has no reason to for the time being. But Iran is very likely to enrich uranium in 2006 and if its referred to the Security Council, there will not be a resolution that requires Iran to stop enriching uranium.
The reason for this is that there is nothing Iran signed that requires it to refrain from enriching uranium. At least China and Russia will vote against a resolution imposing new restrictions that are not part of the treaties Iran signed.
Iran also has the right to withdraw from the treaty if it feels its security is threatened and end all inspections.
So nuclear capable regional power Iran is now preparing to make its bid for an alternative "democracy promotion" that will over time pull more Muslim gulf nations into its orbit and out of the US/Israel orbit.
For now anti-Israel Jordanians are ruled by a pro-Israel government but while the US is calling for bold steps toward democracy such as maybe one day holding elections, Iran will be calling for real power to be vested in the Parliament and the reduction of the King to figurehead status.
Iran envisions a world where country after country votes its way out of the US/Israel axis and into a new regional configuration led by Iran.
It's difficult to read Americans, Israelis and their supporters as they get all hysterical about Iran being nuclear capable. You always ask "are they being serious or are they saying this for effect?"
When Iran is nuclear capable the main change that will make in the strategic environment is that if there is a crisis, Israel will no longer be able to threaten unilateral assured destruction of the Arab countries. Iran will be able to say we have weapons building facilities deep under mountains. You may get them, but you may not, and if you don't a lot of you die.
The issue is not Iranian threats against Israel, the issue is the drastically weakened ability of Israel to threaten Muslim countries. Israel's current ability to threaten its neighbors is what you defenders of Israel's nuclear monopoly are really saying must be defended "at all costs".
2006 will be an important year though, because after a friendly regime is installed in Iraq, from that point the regional balance of power begins to tip steadily in Iran's favor with its much larger population and the world's acceptance of it as a technological power.
Israel would be wise to accept whatever Abbas is willing to give them now because with the support of the regional power, ten years from now the Palestinians are going to require a South Africa solution, the end of the specifically Jewish state.
For many of course, that will be a good thing.
December 14, 2005 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
What specific statement did in the parent post did you find hateful? I'm really curious.
December 14, 2005 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Matt ..I think you are overthinking and even over-re-thinking.
Yes Am is playing to the crowd. Sure he's flexing Iran's new power position in the region with his incindiary remarks about Israel. Yes indeed with all the posturing he is speaking to several audiences with one message - We have the US and Israel by the short and curlies. We stand up to them when no other Moslem state will. Yes the Gulf States and Saudi and Jordan are as Juan Cole put it "pasxing bricks"
But Iran's looming "nuclear" capabilty if that's what it is wholly secondary to the central problem - one entirely an u consquence of our invasion and occupation of Iraq - unintended but unmistakable. The nukes and the Israel bashing..just props.
As long as we are in Iraq fighting Sunnis, fighting Iran's enemies, defending Iran's co-religionist allies next door, driving toward the eventual breakup of Iraq, and pumping another $100 billion into that enterprise, Iran's position will only get stronger and the oppressed Shia minorities in the Gulf will become more and more of a threat to the stability of every regime in the area.
The last thing we need worry about is Iran's nuclear option.
It is almost beside the point (provided Turkey and Eygpt don't join the Club that is)
Detente, if it isn't already, will be our only option
December 14, 2005 3:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, Matthew, what makes you think that "we're trying to get Iran to c
o-operate with us in Iraq"? We're doing no such thing. We're trying to create permanent bases in Iraq, from which we can invade Iran and overthrow its government before it develops nukes. That's been the plan since Day 1. Who cares about Arab public opinion? I mean, who in the US government cares about Arab public opinion? Arab public opinion isn't going to protect us, or Tel Aviv, from Iranian nukes.
December 14, 2005 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is not possible to destroy Iran's nuclear potential. Too attempt it would be foolhardy in the extreme. The debate is an idle, even dangerous distraction.
The position is grim now but I shudder at the prospect however remote that Bush will achieve his "complete victory".
December 14, 2005 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
You make a persuasive-sounding argument. I wrote as I did at risk of being taken for an hysteric. I'm not really. I think that every possible effort must be made to resolve nuclear disputes wisely and diplomatically. Any less would be unconscionable. But it should be made clear and unequivocal in such negotions what the limits are as to what may be possible and what certainly will not. I think it would further be necessary to put forth in clear and specific terms what limits there will be in responding to a material threat.
It behooves us meanwhile to commit every available resource to obtain, within civilized limits, as much and as high quality intelligence as may be required to best ascertain what a nation - in this case Iran - is capable of and intentionally developing. That should be as major a commitment of resources, in principle, as those now directed to military occupation.
I'm arguing that above all else it must be made clear to Iran and all nations - not limited to specific actors or regions - that further development of nuclear weapons by policy shall be deemed unacceptable and will not be permitted under any circumstances.
It really is reasonable and prudentto establish and declare such a policy, and spell out exactly what we are prepared to do to enforce it.
Finally, for those who toy with ideas that embrace nuclear weapons development for some imagined or conjectured purpose e.g. balance of power, M.A.D., need to think again, especially in regard to Iran. That nation's possessing nuclear weapons dangerously unbalances any conceivable schema to stabilize the region. We have no evidence that Iran will refrain from destabilizing action if it deems it to its advantage. Do we really want them to have that kind of leverage? It's ludicrous to speculate what they might or might not do with it.
December 14, 2005 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really should have posted this here, but it looks like we have a strong contender for first place.
December 14, 2005 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I worry that the tendency of western diplomats to explicitly link the Israel and nuclear issues every time launches one of these tirades is a mistake.
It is a mistake, I agree. If the linkage is obvious, or obviously understood, which it is, why belabor it, especially since Ahmadinejad and those Mullahs who secretly (or not so secretly) egg him on, don't need to be played to to enhance their propoganda.
December 14, 2005 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes me and another poster commented on this already, he much nicer than I. Our posts were hidden though. Shows where TPM's priorities really lie.
December 14, 2005 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
This:
The fact of the matter is that Israel is run by Zionist nationalist fanatics who see the US as their hand maiden in creating "Greater Israel" that drives out the Palestinians in an orgy of genocide and rules the Middle East from the Nile to the Euphrates.
Here the writer is peddling absurd conspiracy theories about Israeli expansionism. There is no Israeli politician that advocates expanding the state to match the borders of David's kingdom. If anything, there is a growing consensus on the need for Israel to cede more of the historic Jewish homeland in order to achieve peace and preserve and Jewish and democratic state.
In addition the writer is libelous accusing Israel of genocide, in an effort to declare the Jewish state and its citizens beyond the pale of humanity and accordingly deserving of whatever their enemies inflict on them. The Palestinian population has grown exponentially under Israeli occupation, which would make it the Worst Genocide - Ever.
And This:
The fact that NO US politician can even contemplate advocating these steps proves that the US government is owned and operated by the Israelis and their Jewish supporters in the US and elsewhere.
Jews secretly control the American government. That's a textbook anti-Semitic canard. The Jews are a treacherous fifth column, not true Americans, yada yada yada...got the Nazis a lot of votes before they burned down the Reichstag.
Is it fair to call anyone who criticizes Israel an anti-Semite? Of course not. Is there a way to parse between calling the Jewish state a cancer that must be excised and anti-Semitism? No.
December 14, 2005 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The fact that NO US politician can even contemplate advocating these steps proves that the US government is owned and operated by the Israelis and their Jewish supporters in the US and elsewhere.
Jews secretly control the American government. That's a textbook anti-Semitic canard. The Jews are a treacherous fifth column, not true Americans, yada yada yada...got the Nazis a lot of votes before they burned down the Reichstag."
Exactly. This stuff is only a hairlip away from 'Zionist Occupied Government' territory. Hence the stormfront reference; which was apparantly more offensive than Neo-Nazi talking points.
December 14, 2005 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd say the writer overstates the case here. "Hate" is a stronger word than I'd use though. I'd also say that Greater Israel is more a goal acknowledged to be unachievable for now than it is not a goal of a substantial portion of Israeli leadership.
You have to add the word "secret" that the original writer did not use to try to invoke Godwin's law.
I wouldn't use language this hyperbolic myself but I'd have trouble saying this guy hates Jews, or that only someone who hates Jews could write that post.
The thing is that traditional liberals oppose ethnic based political structures. They oppose Alabama being a white state. They oppose South Africa being a white state. They oppose Germany being an Aryan state. They oppose Israel being a Jewish state. They oppose Israel's refusal to admit those who were driven from their homes and their descendents if the reason Israel must not admit them is that to admit them would damage Israel's ethnic identity.
Does that mean traditional liberals hate Jews? I think you might say yes. But that is not hatred, and the accusation of hatred that flows freely when Israel's mission to maintain its ethnic identity is attacked devalues the accusation.
December 14, 2005 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
We will defend Israel simply because they are our friends. That said, a conventional attack, by now, has no hope against Israel. A nuclear missile attack would perhaps have the imagined hope of leaving the world with a fait accompli. What would the consequences be?
Iran would be bombed into rubble, then invaded and occupied without remorse, for sure. They might even be nuked first. They know this.
More significant for the equation is that while a foolproof Star Wars is not available, a close-in defense could be deployed rapidly. Enough Patriot missiles combined with a Phalanx-style gatling gun would prevent likely success of a low-altitude or ground explosion. A high-alititude explosion would hurt everyone.
At this point I say we stop ignoring the reasonable questions of Israel's legitimacy. We have to acknowledge to the Persians, Assyrians, Chaldeans, Arabs, etc. that the founding of Israel was short on consensus, to put it diplomatically. Nonetheless, it is the main fait accompli that can't be undone. I don't see how we can expect the deniers (of its legitimacy) to turn around and accept Israel without a reason.
It is a source of rage that our concern for Europe's Jewish population was so large and our concern for the other populations in the Mideast was so slight. I think an honest postitiion is this: "Israel is our friend and we will defend her. Period. However, your concerns are not trivial and we will listen to suggestions for a way to live together. We will not listen to anything that does not include Israel's continued existence. We are aware that our history here has not made friends and we wish to apologize for those actions. This we do, but you must accept Israel. You know that on this we are serious." In other words, no bullshit. The facts---we guarantee Israel, and leave it at that. The other facts---we have coerced, corrupted, and manipulated nations in the region and that should stop.
I have no confidence that we can manage events in the manner of forcefully preventing Iran from technical advance. Only if the populations in the region cooperate will there be security. It is no longer possible to control unwilling populations. Time to treat them like people.
It's easy to say we shouldn't trust Iran, but what is the alternative? People aren't thinking it through when they casually talk about action to prevent Iran's nuclear developments.
December 14, 2005 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Jews secretly control the American government. That's a textbook anti-Semitic canard."
And accusing anyone who opposes Israeli policies of Nazism is the standard Zionist canard. I expect the Holocaust will be the next reference to pop up. (And for the record, I am NOT a "Holocaust denier".)
Also for the record, I am an anarchist, and thus could never be remotely conceived to be a Nazi sympathizer.
What I said was that Israeli interests dominate American foreign policy concerns in the Middle East (at least when access to cheap oil does not dominate) - which is obvious if you look at the voting record of the US in the UN where anti-Israeli resolutions have been concerned, or if you look at the excessive influence of organizations such as AIPAC in the US Congress, or any number of other reasons easy to find with a Google, not to mention billions of dollars of foreign aid (larger than any other recipient) given mostly for military purposes to Israel.
Another poster says that no Israeli leader has ever advocated Zionist goals. This is almost too easy...a quick Google provides the following:
"We declare openly that the Arabs have no right to settle on even one centimetre of Eretz Israel...Force is all they do or ever will understand. We shall use the ultimate force until the Palestinians come crawling to us on all fours." Rafael Eitan, Chief of Staff of the Israeli Defence Forces - Gad Becker, Yediot Ahronot 13 April 1983, New York Times 14 April 1983.
"We must do everything to ensure they [the Palestinian refugees] never do return." David Ben-Gurion, in his diary, 18 July 1948, as quoted in Michael Bar Zohar's Ben-Gurion: The Armed Prophet, Prentice Hall, 1967.
"There is no such thing as a Palestinian people...It is not as if we came and threw them out and took their country. They didn't exist." Golda Meir, Statement to the Sunday Times, 15 June, 1969
"The settlement of the Land of Israel is the essence of Zionism. Without settlement we will not fulfull Zionism. It's that simple." Yitzhak Shamir, Maariv, 02/21/1997.
"Israel should have exploited the repression of the demonstrations in China, when world attention focused on that country, to carry out mass expulsions among the Arabs of the territories.." Benjamin Netanyahu, then Deputy Israeli Foreign Minister, former Prime Minister, speaking to students at the Bar Ilan University, from the Israeli journal Hotam, November 24, 1989.
"It is the duty of Israeli leaders to explain to public opinion, clearly and courageously, a certain number of facts that are forgotten with time. The first of these is that there is no Zionism, colonialization, or the Jewish State, without the eviction of the Arabs and the expropriation of their lands." - Ariel Sharon, Israeli Foreign Minister, addressing a meeting of militants from the extreme right-wing Tsomet Party, Agency France Presse, November 15, 1998.
"Our task consists of preparing the Israeli army for the new war approaching in order to achieve our ultimate goal, the creation of an Israeli empire." - Moshe Dayan, 1952, cite unknown.
"We want assimilation to be replaced by a new law: the declaration of belonging to the Jewish nation and Jewish race. A state built upon the purity of nation and race can only be honored and respected by a Jew who declares his belonging to his own kind. " Joachim Prinze, German Zionist, later head of the American Jewish Congress.
You were saying something about me being racist perhaps?
Thank you for playing, come again.
December 14, 2005 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
It must not happen!
If you put this in bold, plus all caps, plus add some exclamation points, plus clap really loud, plus wish with all your might, plus be good, then that is sure to stop Iran from becoming nuclear capable.
But exclamation points and all caps is the serious answer. Once we decide Iran being nuclear capable is bad, the US has to "get the world to stand as one" and "show that we are really serious" and "not accept excuses". This is the serious plan I've read so far.
But what happens when Israel claims it is preparing to bomb Iran, and the US gives Iran a stern warning and Iran calls the US and Israeli bluff? Then the US and Israel decide maybe they won't bomb this year but there is a new red line that Iran will be bombed if it leaves the NPT even though the treaty says it can?
What happens when the US gets to the security council and then starts "getting really tough" but China and Russia will not vote for a resolution that requires Iran to make concessions beyond the Non-Proliferation Treaty?
What happens when Europe puts Iran on a do not trade list, then some refineries blow up and the price of oil doubles, and more European goods than ever end up in Iran by smuggling with Iran's new extra cash?
I'd like to take this opportunity to be clear what we are talking about here. If Iran is nuclear capable, Israel loses its nuclear monopoly and the threat of assured unilateral destruction that it currently holds over the region.
The samson option becomes vastly different when there is a real chance it involves suicide. Israel's nuclear weapons in that case become close to valueless.
THAT MUST NOT HAPPEN!!!!!!!
December 14, 2005 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone who thinks Israel is going to stand still while such rhetoric is on the upswing is sorely mistaken. No amount of U.S. attempts to moderate things is going to alter the radical Islamic uprising we have promoted in the region. We are simply seeing the result of our regional policies. The promotion and or formation of anti-democratic forms of governance should not be unexpected. This is the all too predictable push back. Did anyone really think there would not be a wider price to pay for our military and political intervention in the region? Just ask yourself what might be our rection to a similar intervention in the Americas? Our regional intervention is being met by a logical and totally predictable opposition. This entire episode is so in line with all the fuck-ups to ever come out of Washington. One gets tired of watching. Its the same old plot line with a predictable outcome that can be seen from miles away. Its a modern day Shakespearean tragedy.
thepeoplechoose
December 15, 2005 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's nothing Anti-Semitic about a principled opposition to the concept of the modern nation-state. There is nothing inherently wrong with wishing every state in the world to be a multicultural, post-national democracy such as the U.S., Canada or Australia. In an idealized world, there would be no ethnic hatred, bigotry or reason. (Cue the music to "Imagine"). You may call this position "traditionally liberal", but it clearly a utopian, radical position.
It is highly suspicious, however, when post-nationalists select out Israel as the first state on the list - that Israel is to be the first sacrifice to the glorious post-nationalist future. History has proven that Jews are not safe if nation-states in which they are a minority. They deserve the right of self-preservation that only a sovreign state can provide every bit as much as any other nationality.
So by all means, promote your utopian post-nationalist agenda. Call on all of the nation-states of the world to renounce their ethnic identity and become an idealized post-national democracy. You can do all of this without giving apolgetics for anti-Semitic rants.
Sometimes a shrug speaks volumes. I'd suggest if you don't want to put that message across that you make yourself a bit clearer in the future.
December 15, 2005 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
To the degree that anti-Semetic rants means rants that display a hatred of Jews, I'd say the original post was not an anti-Semitic rant.
Is there another refugee population on earth that wants to return home but cannot because their returning would mess up the ethnic balance of a state?
Trying to stretch opposition to Israel as a Jewish state into hatred of Jews is great as long as it works, and people are afraid to take that position for fear of being called anti-semitic.
But when it stops working, not only has Israel as a Jewish state not been defneded, but there is no term left to give people who really hate Jews.
December 15, 2005 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink