Domestic Policy By Idiots
Ordinary political movements take one of two stances on the idea of launching a big, expensive new program to have the government deliver some services. Either they favor such endeavors, or else they oppose them. The Bush Republicans have chosen a third way -- they don't favor this sort of thing, but they implement it anyway in search of political gains and ways of funneling money toward their financial supporters. The result is disaster.
Keep in mind that these poor policy outcomes aren't really mistakes or the much-cited "incompetence." It's malice. As during the post-Katrina recovery, the fear is that if you design a program well, people will like it, and support for the dread "big government" will grow. New programs must be poorly designed in order to "prove" that such things don't work.


<span class="Apple-style-span">"Keep in mind that these poor policy outcomes aren't really mistakes or the much-cited 'incompetence.' It's malice."</span><span class="Apple-style-span">
</span><span class="Apple-style-span">Well, if it's malice, then shouldn't the title of your post be "Domestic Policy by Evildoers"? I mean, nobody would accuse Karl Rove or Dick Cheney of being an idiot. They're bad people, nasty people of ill intent. Morally bankrupt. Whatever. </span><span class="Apple-style-span">
</span><span class="Apple-style-span">I mean, really Matt: it's as though you're some liberal in thrall to moral relativism with this reluctance to call evil what it is. </span><span class="Apple-style-span">
</span><span class="Apple-style-span">(Tongue in cheek here!)</span>
November 13, 2005 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I mean, really Matt . . . . pdp
Leave Matt alone. He's been on a biorhythm perigee, lately.
November 13, 2005 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
New programs must be poorly designed in order to "prove" that such things don't work.
The converse is just as true:
Existing programs must be managed poorly in order to prove that they no longer work.
Exhibit A: Amtrak
November 13, 2005 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
i've argued before that the appropriate dem response is to call for the entire bill to be...rescinded, overturned, whatever the appropriate action would be, on the grounds that it's unaffordable, poorly designed, and not liked by the target audience.
since the dems need to raise taxes (well, since america needs to raise taxes and only the dems will do it), it would be a good pre-emptive move to act against type and suggest a major spending program be stopped before it starts.
the dem carrot should be, let us straighten out the fiscal mess first. once we do, let us return to this matter and pass a simple, comprehensible, effective prescription drug benefit.
November 13, 2005 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The new prescription drug plans, though heavily subsidized by Medicare, are marketed and administered by private insurers like Aetna, Humana, PacifiCare and UnitedHealth Group.
Is the benefit intended for the insurance companies or for the retirees?
My husband is in our state retiree system, and they are our secondary insurer after Medicare. We have a drug plan with the state, and they have told us not to sign up with the Medicare drug plan, since theirs is better. That's the only reason I know what decision to make.
November 13, 2005 6:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
exhibit B: the iraq war.
but malicious intent is hard to prove. and isn't there a risk of being percieved as an idiot / corrupt / evil-doer (and also harming a vast swath of the electorate)? i guess that's the price of having one foot on the side of pragmatism (i.e., popular support; self-enrichmnet) and the other on the side of ideology (small gov't; foisting democracy on the middle east).
and, hey, let's not forget congress; they play a major role in developing these dysfunctional initiatives.
November 13, 2005 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
This drug plan was passed a reward to pharmaceutical (sp?) companies as reward for their large contributions to the Republican party. it has nothing to do with the welfare of seniors. If it's a disaster for seniors, while being a bonanza for big companies, the Reublicans see that as a double good. It's another reason to starve the beast of big government(which doesn't work), while lining the pockets of big donors. Meanwhile the public is screwed. These peoplke are doing some despicable immoral stuff. When will the populace wake up and throw these bums out? Oh wait - why do that when there's gay marriage and abortion to worry about. What a fiasco.
November 13, 2005 6:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
True ...and new programs must be poorly designed to prove they don't work.
November 13, 2005 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe the Medicre insanity was either 100% a republican production or very close to it.
November 13, 2005 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sadly, there are lots of government programs that work very poorly under many different administrations even before Bush came up with this strategy.
November 13, 2005 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keep in mind that these poor policy outcomes aren't really mistakes or the much-cited "incompetence." It's malice. As during the post-Katrina recovery, the fear is that if you design a program well, people will like it, and support for the dread "big government" will grow. New programs must be poorly designed in order to "prove" that such things don't work.
I don't see any proof of this, and it is a little conspiratorial for my tastes. Are you really suggesting that conservatives are implementing policies they disagree with, and implementing them badly, so that people will associate those bad policies with liberals?
Doesn't Occam's Razor tell us that the best answer is that they are simply incompetent?
November 13, 2005 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's malice.
I love political arguments based on accusations of motive. I makes arguing so easy: they're evil; we're good!
So Matthew can argue that Republicans didn't create the Medicare drug program with the intention (perhaps mistaken) that competition would hold prices down. Instead, Republicans want the program to fail (so as to discredit the idea of big government, or whatever).
Similarly, Republicans can argue that people like Matthew don't want to bring our troops home because they think that the cost of keeping them in Iraq is just too great. Instead, Republicans can argue that people like Matthew want the insurgents to win the war (so as to discredit the idea of America going to war, or whatever).
Each side of course argues that the accusation against their side is bogus while the accusation against the other side is true, because, well, my side is good and the other side is evil.
See, arguing based on motives is easy!
November 13, 2005 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
When you're faced with manifest failure, failure that was absolutely predictable from the outset--over and over again--you do have to start grasping at straws.
They haven't done anything right. They haven't shrunk the government. They haven't introduced fiscal sanity. They haven't implemented RMA at DoD; they've kept every stupid pissant money-wasting program They haven't ended welfare as we knew it. They haven't reformed social security. They haven't introduced business-like practices in government. They haven't improved education. Pork expenditures are up by an order of magnitude. Abortions are up. There are more poor people. Inflation is up. Interest rates are up. The war in Iraq is a disaster, and in creating that disaster they've undermined the America is invincible story. Relations with Europe are in the toilet. They're torturing people in Soviet prisons. They've dramatically increased the size of entitlements without improving benefits, and they've made it more complicated. They've made the tax code more complicated, and penalized wage earners. Health care has gotten more expensive and more of PITA to deal with for the middle three quintiles (looking at enrollment forms today took a couple of hours). They've both made the country more protectionist and lost industiral capacity to overseas competitors. The median take home wage is down. The pension system is near collapse. The airlines are near collapse. China holds a marker on about half the annual GDP.
They've thrown away at least 50 and more like 100 years of American good will as a leader in promoting freedom, human rights, and not torturing people. Do you think striking students in China would lead the way, today, with the stature of liberty.
Aside from conducting the war in Afghanistan, they've fucked every single thing up. There is no upside. And they've not even cheerful about it, like Reagan. They're mean. And their central strategy is to lie about everything, undermining the news media as a means of covering up their manifest failure in every endeavor.
There were upsides with Reagan, upsides even with Nixon. Bush I is looking like a freakin' statesman, and Clinton is taking on godlike qualities next to these guys.
You have to start wondering what in heavens name they're thinking. It's no wonder Matt's reaching.
November 13, 2005 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Statue of Liberty
November 13, 2005 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
People are leaving the meetings crying, because they don't know what to do. It's shameful. I hope it backfires "big time".
November 13, 2005 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
November 13, 2005 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
To be fair, there is literature on the right (mostly from Grover Norquist and his followers) that does, indeed, advocate starving the government of resources so that it will perform badly and people will lose faith in it.
Beyond that, the idea that people who control government won't exactly work in the best interests of the programs they don't like is a pretty old one.
Republicans, and some Democrats, have lambasted "entitlements," even sticking that innacurate term to them and Medicaire/Medicaid have always been considered "entitlements." Given our history, and the terms used to describe such programs like Medicaire and Social Security, it's not out of bounds to question the motives of the people making decisions about these programs.
November 13, 2005 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
They want public schools to fail so that they can "prove" their idea or privatization. That's what NCLB was all about. That's why it wasn't funded.
They wanted public schools to fail. That way they can say "see, the public school system doesn't work, we need to privatize it."
Same with Social Security. Run up a huge deficit, and then say "we can't afford Social Security."
It's not that we can't afford it, it's just that they don't want to afford it.
And this is the big plan. Screw up the programs at every turn, and then turn around and say "we told you it wouldn't work."
Of course it won't work when someone is at the helm actively throwing wrenches into the gears.
November 13, 2005 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it possible that it's less direct than that, though? Perhaps they have implemented policies that they either find disagreeable for political reasons or that they can live with out of deference to public will and they haven't exactly designed them to fail but didn't put the thought or effort into them that was needed. There are softer scenarios, after all, than ones in which people laugh "muahahaha," and set out on a conspiracy.
November 13, 2005 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are softer scenarios, after all, than ones in which people laugh "muahahaha," and set out on a conspiracy.
Yes, well said. There probably is a good bit of what you describe going on. I just found Matt's post a little crazy sounding.
November 13, 2005 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
JayAckroyd: I disagree about Afghanistan -they failed at that also by not providing follow-through and allowing the country to fall largely back into the hands of warlords and remnants of the Taliban. They have failed at every major foreign and domestic policy effort. Period.
No one should let themselves be chumpified by the high minded goo-goo and false fairmindedness of helpme and dontthinktwice. There is evidence that the rightwing wants public programs to fail purely because of ideology and they will be very unscrupulous in pursuing that end. Sabotage is part of their toolkit. Look at the some the incoherent and destructive proposals pumped out by rightwing think tanks and legislators during the late great social security debate. Many of them would have resulted in an earlier date for cash-flow problems (assuming that the Bush fiscal policy remains in place). There is a post either here or at the New Republic relating a conversation with Bill Bennett during the Reagan years where he flatly said he wanted policies set to that public schools would fail. What would you call the effort to bad mouth ridicule, and reduce public faith in the treasury bonds invested in the SS trust fund? (Any suave trolls who want to argue that these are not really really really real treasury bonds: don't bother -there are no marks at this blog). Was that anything other than an attempt to reduce public confidence in social security out of thin air?
Sometimes Occam’s razor does lead one to suspect motives. There is a quote from James Madison: “A foolish reason given by a wise man is seldom the true one.” In the case of many rightwing pundits, one might change “wise man’ to “self-professed wise man” or “very clever fraud” but the point remains the same.
There is plenty of evidence of bad motives. There is also evidence of great incompetence. There is certainly evidence of immense incoherence whenever ideological, financial, and political motives clash, but a bill must be produced no matter what, as in the case of the Medicare drug benefit. I am not sure we can pick out which one of sabotage or incompetence or incoherent desperation to produce something that looks OK is the reason for each miserable stupid provision in a many of the bills, but I don’t think that is necessary.
November 13, 2005 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cute theory, Matt, but not exactly an original one. Moreover, it seems to assume a level of self-awareness of which I've seen no evidence from the current administration.
It seems to me more as if they do want their programs to succeed (or at least have the short term appearance of success, because the current administration seems incapable of or uninterested in looking far beyond the short term imperatives of the political process) but ingrained animosity towards government action renders them intellectually incapable of either designing or running effective policy initiatives, while their devotion to tax cuts and need to pander to particular interests within their base render them politically unable to do so.
November 13, 2005 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I kind of agree. I don't think that The Administration has any kind of shared organizational self-awareness. But certainly individuals within the administation, and those who influence the administration have individual self awareness, and know what they are doing when the advocate certain types of proposals. I think some influential individuals do have sabotage in mind (Rove, Norquist, Bennett, many individual Republicans in Congress and right wing think tanks)
November 13, 2005 10:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think Matt's reaching, at least not much. Katrina's a prime example. They might not want the reconstruction to go poorly, but they sure are putting the republican money machine ahead of results. Did anyone truly believe David Paulison about no-bid contracts? That was a bald faced lie, of course wasteful contracts are still going to cronies and they'd probably be happy to see the national debt increased to no purpose. They can use it as proof that government programs don't work. How is it conspiracy thinking to take Grover Norquist at his word?
Actually, I suppose the administration would most like to see the recovery go well in Mississippi, but not Louisiana (that's not paranoia, La. has a Dem. Gov., Ms. a Rep.).I truly Sen. Craig of Idaho gave the game away when he compared the corruption in La. and Iraq. In both cases, give crooked contracts to cronies then blame the locals when the money gets wasted.
Still, I suppose it's a stretch to say they want particular policies to fail. But if they only look at short term benefits to their allies because they don't care about long term results, what's the difference? If you throw in the fact that philosophically they don't believe in government programs, it's quite possible that it actually goes deeper than just neglect, at least subconsciously.
November 13, 2005 10:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
"China holds a marker on about half the annual GDP"
Nice rant, and I agree with you. But I believe the debt held by China is "only" about $700B, against US GDP of about $11T, so you're off by almost a factor of 10. Big problem, and getting bigger every day, but not that big.
November 13, 2005 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I don't think that The Administration has any kind of shared organizational self-awareness. "
We now have several insider accounts of decision-making in the Bush administration, from such as Paul O'Neill, John (?) DeIulio, and most recently Lawrence Wilkerson. From these it seems clear that all major decisions are taken exclusively in the White House; and that politics always trumps policy concerns. In other words, the initiatives come from Karl Rove, Dick Cheney, and George W Bush. That makes "shared organizational self-awareness" pretty easy to achieve.
November 13, 2005 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
But do you think any of them knows, or talks with any who knows and understands the details of the legislation and the likely consequences? I agree with what you say regarding major decisions, I am not so sure regarding what actually goes into the legislation and the conference negotiations, adminstrative regs. Bush's attitude is probably "whatever..."
November 13, 2005 11:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
We only had to get half way down the page before someone pointed out the fact that Republicans didn't in vent "Bad Government", thanks for a "smidge" of honesty.
November 14, 2005 3:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Even if half the stuff in your statement were true...how can you keep losing to these guys?
November 14, 2005 3:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. I knew that China number was wrong when I wrote it, but I was on a roll. I should never let emotion c ompletely cloud fact and reason; that's the first step on the road to Bushiness.
November 14, 2005 4:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's the most insidious part of the program. Did you see the recaps of the Sunday shows? They stand up and just flat lie. They say that black is white, and there's no such thing as truth anyway--every statement is political. They've completely destroyed the ability for media oversight with this strategy; the media doesn't have in its collection of tools one that says "The president continued to insist today that black is white, in a stunning and unprecedented display of lying to the American people." Hell, they don't even have it their toollkit to write a story that says "A large number of Americans believe in things that are manifestly false--like astrology."
The willingness to say, with a straight face, over and over again, things that are false--to the point where people who don't follow this stuff closely shrug and say "There must be something to it, or they wouldn't say it. And all those politicians lie anyway." That's why.
We'll see if they can keep this going. They're tanking, and going back to these strategies in stronger terms with weaker foundations. I'm a traitor again this week, and San Francisco is, according to Bill O'Reilly (who has how much air time? 20 hours?) fair game for terrorists because they're traitors too.
How long did this work for McCarthy? 5 years? But these guys have been very effective at staying away from any setting where they are confronted by facts.
November 14, 2005 4:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's tons of stuff of people who were standing on the outside advocating all kinds of things related to inefficient, overly intrusive government.
Or, wrt social issues, inefficient, insufficiently intrusive government.
But once in office they have accomplished nothing in either of those areas either. In the more intrusive realm, they've managed trivial symbolic gestures (in terms of ending abortion and jailing homosexuals) like ending stem cell research and cutting off aid to Africans.
It's not even that they've engaged in the implementation of bad policies. They haven't even done that right. Hell, some of those bad policies might have turned out to be good. None of the left's education initiatives have done any appreciable good. But these guys have accomplished not a single thing--except stealth programs to permit regulations to be violated and a systematic transfer of the tax burden from capital holders to wage earners.
November 14, 2005 4:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree about Afghanistan -they failed at that also by not providing follow-through and allowing the country to fall largely back into the hands of warlords and remnants of the Taliban.
I did say "conduct of the war." And the Taliban is gone. Bin Laden no longer has the resources of a state at hand, and has to do whatever his is doing from hiding, which is a significant accomplishment. If the policy goal was making Afghanistan a better place, then, yes, they've mostly failed. If the goal was to drive out the Taliban and send bin Laden to the caves, then it was successful. Of course, it was a failure in their idiotic terms: "dead or alive".
There is a post either here or at the New Republic relating a conversation with Bill Bennett during the Reagan years where he flatly said he wanted policies set to that public schools would fail.
Yes, and there are clear cases where you can say that has happened, the most recent being the resistance to using housing vouchers to deal with people made homeless by Katrina.
But if you made me choose, I'd say it's this:
There is certainly evidence of immense incoherence whenever ideological, financial, and political motives clash, but a bill must be produced no matter what, as in the case of the Medicare drug benefit.
Diulillo said that he engaged in a number of policy discussions while he was in the administration, and that he was upset that they all turned not on policy considerations, but on political considerations. I honestly thinkit's not been an issue of active neglect. I think it's been a case of complete cronyism, throwing political sops as needed to allow the administration to say that they've done something.
That's the central point. They didn't care to fix the schools, help seniors hamstrung by drug costs, stop the threat of terrorism. They simply wanted "reached a bipartisan program to improve education" "worked with democrats to come up with an effective drug benefit" "embarked on the war on terror with Congressional support" bullet points.
They won their election. Now we have three more years of rank incompetence to deal with, and no way out that I can see. Harding's gonna look like a statesman when these guys are done.
November 14, 2005 5:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
<I>Keep in mind that these poor policy outcomes aren't really mistakes or the much-cited "incompetence." It's malice. As during the post-Katrina recovery, the fear is that if you design a program well, people will like it, and support for the dread "big government" will grow. New programs must be poorly designed in order to "prove" that such things don't work.</I>
If that were true, the explanation for their failure in Iraq would be that they were secretly anti-war and trying to prove that foreign interventionism doesn't work.
November 14, 2005 5:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think there needs to be a distinction between two kinds of administration blundering. The first is simple incompetence and the second is malicious incompetence. In the hurricane Katrina fiasco, you saw both. The immediate government response was sluggish and uncoordinated because you had a leader who not only was out of touch, but also fundamentally unable to manage his way out of a paper bag. MBA or no MBA, the idea that Bush was a no-nonsense take-charge CEO was always risible. As an MBA myself, I think I can say with assurance that that degree is no guarantee of anything.
But there can be no doubt that in certain cases there is malice aforethought when Republicans get involved in policy. The anti-poverty and housing relief efforts post-Katrina are a perfect example. As many have pointed out before, in the LA earthquake ten years ago, homeless people were given housing vouchers so that they could find something quickly through local markets. It worked well. But despite that, a similar scheme was blocked this time around in part because Republicans were afraid it would be "too successful" and people might wonder why we need to wait for an emergency to put such a scheme in place.
November 14, 2005 5:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Are you really suggesting that conservatives are implementing policies they disagree with, and implementing them badly, so that people will associate those bad policies with liberals?
Yes, he was saying that. Learn to read.
November 14, 2005 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Philosophy 101 taught you that motives are irrelevant. When you're a sophomore next year, take 201.
November 14, 2005 6:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
All their tactics are designed for those in opposition. Rail away on negatives. Blame inevitable real world problems on incumbents--even "problems" as simple as the unhappy fact that you can't have services if you don't pay for them.
Then they won, and they were like the dog that caught up to the car it was chasing. In the past, they'd always turned their negative tactics on the part of the government they didn't happen to control--it was the Congress's fault, or Clinton's or the Court's.
So now they've got it all, and they apparently don't have a clue what to do about it There is no policy program to match the slogans.
It reminds me, sometimes, of a book by PJ O'Rourke. It consisted of a series of essays written about how various economies around the world work. PJ went and visited, talked to some people and then wrote an essay. Very funny, and insightful.
His first visit was to Wall Street. The main conclusion he walked away with was surprise at how much regulation it took to run a free market stock market operation.
You read the stuff Grover Norquist says, and it's hard to say whether he believes it or not. Or if he believes it, as long as he doesn't have to actually do something about it. I mean, it's easy to say "get rid of the government." But then what do you do when hurricanes strike?
Maybe it'll work. Maybe by running everything really badly, they can stay in office and abolish Social Security or do something else that would actually shrink the size of government. Doesn't seem likely, though.
November 14, 2005 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dude, get a grip. Dem's have been saying fo a year George Bush lied to America. Bush gave a speech and said "no I didn't." The reason Bill Orielly said that the people of SF are wrong is that they voted to ban recruiters from high school and college campuses. Oh and he's only on 4 hours a day (3 radio, and 1 tv... even less if you add in the commercials).
November 14, 2005 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink