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Is George Bush More Progressive Than Bill Clinton?

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For me the answer is obvious: Clinton raised taxes on the most affluent, expanded the EITC, fought for partial refundability of the child tax credit, established the Children's Health Insurance Program, raised the minimum wage, and expanded investments in education, to name just a few of his accomplishments.  (I wish he could have done much more, but that's another story.)


George Bush cut taxes for the most affluent, allowed the minimum wage to erode to its lowest value in fifty years, tried to privatize Social Security, and wants more cuts in progressive programs.


If you took the logic of some of the posts in this forum seriously, however, then you would have to believe that George Bush was the more progressive President.

If you think trade is the single most important issue and dwarfs everything else (and only Gene, Jamie, Alan, Ed and I seem passionate about anything else), then compare Clinton's record (NAFTA, WTO, and resisting steel tariffs) to the Bush record (Bahrain, Australia, CAFTA, and steel tariffs).  (For completeness, Clinton expanded labor and environment in trade agreements and Bush has moved the other way.)


Do you think Bush is more progressive than Clinton?


Of course not.   But since that's the logical implication of what appear to be the priorities of many of the people in this discussion, maybe the priorities and logic need to be re-examined.

This isn't just a debating point for me. I don't pay lip service to all these domestic policies as part of a clever plot to advance my one and only true goal: free trade.

While I proudly call myself a free trader (and would be thrilled by the succesful completion of the Doha Development Round), it isn't the single most important issue for me and I haven't done much work on it. I worked 16 hours a day in the last years of Clinton White House, 13 of those hours were spent trying to defeat Republican tax plans, like estate tax repeal. I was the architect of Wes Clark's plan to raise taxes on people who make over $1 million annually, eliminate taxes for families of four making up to $50,000, and effectively expand the EITC and lift millions out of poverty. I spent every waking hour from January through July fighting the Bush Social Security plan.

These are the most important issues for me. That's why I'm a proud progressive and a proud Democrat.

But, after this discussion, I'm also a slightly more depressed and demoralized Democrat. I wasn't surprised to learn that many of the people who should be my allies don't understand the potential of expanded trade to create shared growth that benefits the majority of Americans. No, what really upsets me is the intensity and single-mindedness of their monolithic worldview. A worldview that sees every problem as stemming from trade and corporations and can't see any solution other than bashing trade (as it exists today) and corporations.


P.S. I noticed that much of the liberal blogosphere seems to think that the free traders in this conversation believe that trade is always, everywhere and automatically good for everyone. I have no problem being on the free trade side of the debate, but I also want to quote one of my earlier posts:

the section on globalization is a must-read for anyone trying to resolve the agonizing tradeoffs entailed by globalization.


Elites are too often cavalier about the workers who are hurt by trade. Economists even have a concept (compensated Pareto improvement) which says something is a good idea if the winners could compensate the losers to ensure that everyone is better off -- even if this compensation doesn't actually happen.


Although Gene is more eloquent than most neo-classical economists in documenting the benefits of trade for innovation, consumers, and workers, he is also more sensitive than most about the costs of trade.


Gene wrestles with these two sides and comes up with a reasonable balance that is economically sensible, morally just, and politically viable.


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Jason


I did not realize you were associated General Clark.  I wrote him urging him to run and help host a number of the evenings for him.  It is nice to agree with some who worked so hard for him.


I would not be too depressed.  One of the things I have noticed, and the Republicans do make hay of this, Democrats include traditional liberals, socialists and even those more left.  We all get lumped in as liberals and then that word is used to end all further debate.


Besides trade you should notice that many of the people who like to trade also don't like the whole notion of consumer goods and that fact that Americans like purchasing such goods.  Their option to trade is part of a general dislike of the whole idea behind modern capitalist society.  

P.S. I noticed that much of the liberal blogosphere seems to think that the free traders in this conversation believe that trade is always, everywhere and automatically good for everyone...


Oh, please don't get discouraged by that. Just like on talk radio, it's the zealots left and right that are all fired up enough to rant all the time. Keep in mind, the loudest, those with the most outrage about anything and everything, may not be the majority.


The rest of us, who like to ponder a while to form balanced views, are out there reading, we really are. I suspect a lot of us types also try as much as possible to run from the passionate like they have the plague, because we ourselves had it once, luckily survived, but don't want to breathe in the virus again. That kinda stuff starts real wars. :-)


I also suspect many of us are hoping, praying, have crossed fingers, that a small section of this site remains a precious "nuance place," so rare on the net, anger checked at the door. We're desperately looking for blog entries like yours, agree with them or not. Come back.

p.s. Also, keep in mind, even idiotic comments help you tighten up your arguments, even as they drive you nuts. Sometimes it makes you realize you've got to step back and do a big picture thing, like you did here. If you can find the right point to calm the zealots, it's gotta be a good one. :-) Probably the most mysterious reaction is few comments at all--then you have to wonder, is no one interested, or is it that this argument is so non-inflammatory that it's a sure sell to a majority? :-)

Please don't let yourself get too discouraged by the reactionary zealots. There are many of us here that recognize the benefits of liberal trade and the excellence of the Clinton era policies. Concentrate on the liberal liberals and think not of the illiberal reactionaries who dig themselves into the ground and refused to be budged by reality.

This is an interesting question--although not really the subject of the post.

One of the things that confused the dickens out of me during the Clinton presidency was why he so pissed off people who called themselves conservative. Here was a democrat  who was farthest to the right ("most centrist" if you prefer) than any in the post-war period.  He did a lot of the things they profess to support--controlled deficits, expanded free trade, reined in entitlements for poor people, and so forth.  He didn't actually deliver anything to speak of in advancing an environmental agenda (which I was angry about at the time, but seeing the alternative in action....) and slowed down the movement on divisive social issues ("safe legal and rare" is  a far cry from "just part of a woman's body" while an agenda to advance gay rights didn't last past the first sixty days of the presidency).

I still don't know what pissed them off so much. The only thing I could think is that it was about power, and he was cherry picking their good issues.

Now Bush comes along, and he should be illuminating. He's farther to the left of any Republican president since Nixon--deficit spending to a fare-thee-well, nation-building, increasing the size of government, adding to entitlements, erecting protectionist barriers, intervening for humanitarian reasons internationally, presiding over a period of rapid progressive social reform (read Scalia's dissent in Casey if you don't think things have changed  a lot for the better in this regard)--and the left thinks he's the personification of evil.

Well, I have reasons for thinking the left is correct here. The other stuff Jason mentions, like restructuring the tax code so that unearned income plays a much smaller role while wages bear more of the burden. Gutting environmental policy without changing any laws.  That kind of thing. And there's the whole governance thing; the spending has been wasted, the nation-building has enriched cronies (though that's not exactly a new development), protectionist barriers have been for shareholders, not workers etc.

No, what I don't understand is why the right has stuck with him for so long.   Is it really just about being the ones who get to divide up the money?

 

 

Is it really just about being the ones who get to divide up the money?

 

No, it's not "just" about that, but mostly it is. After the money's divided up, what's left to argue about?  

Jason - boy is this the wrong question.  Even the "fire-breathing" David Sirota has quite pointedly and prominently given the Clinton administration their props.  Nobody is arguing that Clinton was WORSE than Bush.  The political argument is that he wasn't sufficiently BETTER than Bush so that the people who should have been voting Democratic noticed.

You say we obsess constantly about trade.  I don't see it that way.  As I've said in other posts this morning, I really don't give a damn about tariffs.  What I really object to from "free-trade" Democrats is the parroting of business-school ideology as revered truth.

I'm tired of hearing the bullshit that the only way to survive in this economy is to move up the value chain, as if there's ever been room for everyone at the top.  I don't believe the hype that America can only survive by invention and managing the labor of others.   Computer programmers who are excellent at their jobs are told that they must become managers of offshore teams to keep jobs.  Even if that were possible, it isn't sustainable.  In fewer years than the purveyors of this nonsense imagine, the American managers will be getting thrown out on their asses, just as the the programmers were, as the offshore countries develop their own management cultures - since they will have the seedbed of actual work to grow their management skills on and American managers won't.  The more of this that goes on, the more parasitical America will become.

I favor a well-balanced economy with the proper mix of high and low-skill work and the policies that get us there.  If tariffs help with that I'm for them (but I'm skeptical that they are).

The problem with liberal free-traders is that they're promising benefits that are at best generations out in the future while looking down their nose at those their policies make losers of today. 

The problem with you guys is that you've got one track minds that only see the Econ 101 realities and tone-deaf when it comes to the political realities that are necessary in a democracy.  If you can't look at both, then maybe something's wrong with your theory.  It's not a guide to real-world policy, any more than utopian Marxism was.

You have to drink in the reaction to your policies and come to terms with it, not exclude it from the debate as "ignorance." 

 

 

 

 

I share the author's concern with the tendency of many progressives to automatically paint corporations as evil entities, but there is a kernel of truth in that position.  Much of the discussion about trade that I have seen here appears to be an empty debate that misses a key point.  You can view a corporation as an evil empire controlled by dark forces or you can see it as a cluster of weak-minded individuals (typical Americans) pursuing various interests that are sometimes aligned strategically to achieve a comon goal.  At the root, a corporation is a legal construct.  In a state of nature an individual could organize others to work together in some sort of enterprise to produce wealth, but without a set of practical rules it is hard to get people to interact in a predictable and useful way.  Moreover, if you are successful at building an enterprise and become rich you are vulnerable to other enterprising individuals who follow the oldest business strategy of them all:  find rich people, kill them and take their money.  Therefore, laws have been created to define what a legal enterprise is and how it can interact with others in society.  There is an underlying assumption that a corporation benefits society by generating wealth and allowing individual workers to earn a living and prepare for old age.  With the rise of globalization leaders of corporations have introduced the concept that the corporation really doesn't have to benefit workers.  Wealth, the benefit that the corporation and its owners derive from the enterprise can simply be drawn out of the legal enterprise that exists in one country and put in a legal enterprise in another country where the owners can generate even more wealth by paying workers far less.  These same corporate leaders have also pushed through changes to the tax laws in the US to allow most, if not all of their new found wealth to go untaxed and to allow them to pass it on to their children untaxed.  In this process, the assumed benefit that a society derives from corporations becomes highly theoretical and the argument for the reintroduction of a policy that favors the world's oldest business strategy becomes increasingly persuasive.  A fair middle ground would be a solution that returns most of the wealth generated by corporations to the people at large if they elected to pursue a business strategy that was not beneficial to their workers.   

Don't you think that those of us who are critical of the current trade negotiation regimes are also disturbed and troubled by Deomocrats who support them? It is a two way street.  I don't know anyone who thinks trade issues are the most important. But when the subject comes up people of all sides express their opinions.

Why can't we agree then, that we will never again, as Democrats, as Progressives, play a part in negotiating and passing problematic trade agreements without also demanding that at the same time radical redistribution of whatever gains come from said trade agreements? We will not pass the trade agreements with the naive hope that redistribution will follow. They happen together or not at all. That seems progressive, fair and reasonable.

This might help heal the rift the various trade regimes seem to make in our coalition.

 

Just a word about someone throwing you a "1"! There are indeed zealots and, worse, know-nothings on both sides.  The last thing we want to let go of, if we really want a democracy, is reasonable discourse, nuance, disagreement and all of those things most rightwingers and a few nutcases on the left are scared of.  Free trade is a tough issue, particularly as it's been taken to mean "free for me but not for you" in too many cases.  Maybe we need a more, uh, nuanced terminology and more clarity about what we mean by "free trade."

I see the psycho Firebug is rating you 1 now too. Pretty shabby moderation to allow that imo.

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